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At least 1,243 records · Page 69

A dynamo theory prediction for solar cycle 22 - Sunspot number, radio flux, exospheric temperature, and total density at 400 km

Using the 'dynamo theory' method to predict solar activity, a value for the smoothed sunspot number of 109 + or - 20 is obtained for solar cycle 22. The predicted cycle is expected to peak near December, 1990 + or - 1 year. Concommitantly, F(10.7) radio flux is expected to reach a smoothed value of 158 + or - 18 flux units. Global mean exospheric temperature is expected to reach 1060 + or - 50 K and global total average total thermospheric density at 400 km is expected to reach 4.3 x 10 to the -15th gm/cu cm + or - 25 percent.

Schatten, K. H.↗

A dynamo theory prediction for solar cycle 22: Sunspot number, radio flux, exospheric temperature, and total density at 400 km

Using the dynamo theory method to predict solar activity, a value for the smoothed sunspot number of 109 + or - 20 is obtained for solar cycle 22. The predicted cycle is expected to peak near December, 1990 + or - 1 year. Concommitantly, F(10.7) radio flux is expected to reach a smoothed value of 158 + or - 18 flux units. Global mean exospheric temperature is expected to reach 1060 + or - 50 K and global total average total thermospheric density at 400 km is expected to reach 4.3 x 10 to the -15th gm/cu cm + or - 25 percent.

Schatten, K. H.↗

Varves and solar physics

The relationship between varves (visibly striated rocks deposited by glacial run-off) and solar radiation is discussed, proposing that the thickness of any given varve represents the mean annual sunspot number for the year in which the varve was laid down. The solar cycle may entail a deep torsional oscillator whose influence reaches the surface by wave propagation. Several observed features suggest a wave link between the source of solar activity and its surface manifestations. It is suggested that the cause of varve modulation is solar UV and X-ray radiation, which exerts solar cycle influence in the ozonosphere and ionosphere. The undulations and cycles of the Elatina varve bed formation in South Australia are related to solar phenomena. The varve mechanism is significant for the build-up of the protective shield of biogenic oxygen in the palaeoatmosphere.

Bracewell, R. N.↗

Atomic oxygen and ultraviolet radiation mission total exposures for LDEF experiments

Atomic oxygen and solar radiation exposures were determined analytically for rows, longerons, and end bays of the LDEF. Calculated atomic oxygen exposures are based on an analytical model that accounts for the effects of thermal molecular velocity, atmospheric temperature, number density, spacecraft velocity, incidence angle, and atmospheric rotation. Results also incorporate variations in solar activity, geomagnetic index, and orbital parameters occurring over the six year flight of the spacecraft. Solar radiation exposure calculations are based on the form factors reported in the Solar Illumination Data Package prepared by NASA Langley. The earth albedo value for these calculations was based on the Nimbus 7 earth radiation data set. Summary charts for both atomic oxygen and solar radiation exposure are presented to facilitate the use of the data generated by LDEF experimenters.

Bourassa, R. J.↗

Counterstreaming solar wind halo electron events - Solar cycle variations

It is shown that during the interval from August 1978 through December 1990 the frequency of the occurrence of counterstreaming events varied roughly in phase and amplitude with coronal mass ejecta (CME) rates derived from coronagraph observations and with the advance of the solar activity cycle as measured, e.g., by sunspot numbers. It is inferred that CMEs in the solar wind near 1 AU can usually be identified by the counterstreaming solar wind halo electron signature.

Gosling, J. T.↗

Ionospheric response to the sustained high geomagnetic activity during the March '89 great storm

A simulation was conducted to model the high-latitude ionospheric to the sustaied level of high geomagnetic activity for the great magnetic storm period of March 13-14, 1989. The geomagnetic and solar activity indices and the Defense Meterological Satellite Program (DMSP) F8 and F9 satellite data for particle precipitation and high-latitude convection were used as inputs to a time-dependent ionospheric model (TDIM). The results of the TDIM were compared to both DMSP plasma density data and ground-based total electron content (TEC) measurements for the great storm period as well as with earlier storm observations. The comparisons show that the overall structure of the high-latitude ionosphere was dominated by an increased convection speed within the polar cap that led to increased ion temperatures. In turn, this enhanced the NO(+) density, raised the atomic-to-molecular ion transition height to over 300 km, decreased N(sub m)F(sub 2), increased h(sub m)F(sub 2), and in places either increased n(sub e) at 800 km or slightly decreased it. The morphology of the ionosphere under these extreme conditions was considerably different than that modeled for less distributed intervals. These differences included the character of the dayside tongue of ionization that no longer extended deep into the polar cap. Instead, as a result of the ion heating and consequent reduction in N(sub m)F(sub 2), a large polar hole occupied much of the polar region. This polar hole extended beyond the auroral oval and merged with the night sector midatitude trough. The limitaions associated with the applicability of the TDIM to the geomagnetic conditions present on March 13 and 14 are discussed. The primary limitations of the TDIM derive from the limited temporal resolution of the model input parameters and the lack of suitably dynamic thermospheric specification for the great storm conditions. These limitations leads to midlatitude ionospheric storm phases that do no follow those observed.

Sojka, J. J.↗

Evolution of the solar wind acceleration region during 1990-1994

The single-station measurements of interplanetary scintillation (IPS) at 2 and 8 GHz have been made at the Kashima Space Research Center of the Communications Research Laboratory in the period from 1990 to 1994. These IPS data are used to study the radial distribution of solar wind velocity and density fluctuations near the sun (i.e. 10-70 Rs), and the long-term variation in these properties. The IPS co-spectrum technique is applied here to estimate the solar wind velocity. Derived velocities show that the solar wind gains a speed significantly in the radial range from 10 to 30 Rs (solar radii). which is much farther than the source surface of the thermally driven solar wind model. From the scintillation index analysis. it is found that the radial fall of density fluctuations is well described by the power-law function. A series of IPS observations reveals that a pronounced change in velocity and turbulence level for this radial range occurs at the polar region of the sun during 1990-1994. That is, the high speed wind and the reduced turbulence region develop there as the solar activity declines. On the other hand, little long-term variation is observed for the solar wind acceleration region at a low latitude. From the comparison with He 1O83 nm observations. it is demonstrated that the change of the solar wind structure is closely linked with the evolution of the coronal hole on the solar surface.

Tokumaru, M.↗

A Change in the Solar He II EUV Global Network Structure as an Indicator of the Geo-Effectiveness of Solar Minima

Solar activity during 2007 - 2009 was very low, causing anomalously low thermospheric density. A comparison of solar extreme ultraviolet (EUV) irradiance in the He II spectral band (26 to 34 nm) from the Solar Extreme ultraviolet Monitor (SEM), one of instruments on the Charge Element and Isotope Analysis System (CELIAS) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) for the two latest solar minima showed a decrease of the absolute irradiance of about 15 +/- 6 % during the solar minimum between Cycles 23 and 24 compared with the Cycle 22/23 minimum when a yearly running-mean filter was used. We found that some local, shorter-term minima including those with the same absolute EUV flux in the SEM spectral band show a higher concentration of spatial power in the global network structure from the 30.4 nm SOHO/Extreme ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) images for the local minimum of 1996 compared with the minima of 2008 - 2011.We interpret this higher concentration of spatial power in the transition region's global network structure as a larger number of larger-area features on the solar disk. These changes in the global network structure during solar minima may characterize, in part, the geo-effectiveness of the solar He II EUV irradiance in addition to the estimations based on its absolute levels.

Solar extreme ultraviolet irradiance↗

Galactic Cosmic Ray Proton Radiation Dosage Near a Simple Lunar Crater

The Moon has a harsh radiation environment that poses significant challenges to future science and exploration activities. Exposure hazards from space radiation are primarily due to galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) and solar energetic particles (SEPs) that are incident at the lunar surface from all directions. The Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter’s (LRO) Cosmic Ray Telescope for Effects of Radiation (CRaTER)instrument has been observing space radiation around the Moon since 2009 [1].The CRaTER observations show a steady rate of GCR flux with intermittent SEP events that have much higher fluxes. During solar minimum the GCR have a higher flux rate while the SEP events are less common. On the other hand, during solar maximum the SEP events have a higher rate but the GCR flux is lower. This is due to variations in solar activity. GCR shave characteristic energies spanning from 1 MeV to 10s of GeV[2]. SEPs, however, have much lower energy ranges of 50 keV to 10 GeV. The level of exposure at a given location on the Moon is dependent on the amount of space radiation incident from above the local horizon(Figure 1). This means that, radiation dosage depends on the surrounding terrain for any location on the surface, so it can vary substantially from point to point. Here we consider the radiation exposure around simple lunar craters that are representative of the types of landforms that will be encountered by future landed missions(e.g., the Artemis program)[3]. Of particular concern will be radiation exposure to biological targets, such as astronauts, and to critical electronic systems.

P H Phipps↗

Future High-Resolution and High-Cadence Observations for Unraveling Eruptive Solar Features

Many of the key advances in solar science over recent decades have been strongly influenced by imaging with increasing resolution and cadence of the Sun’s atmosphere from space. There is still much room for further advances in this area in the coming decades. Here we demonstrate this potential using recent advances in observation and understanding of the features known as solar coronal jets. Modern jet studies started in the 1990s, but have progressed substantially over the past ten years. Much of this progress is due to improved resolution and cadence in imaging, along with concurrent improved magnetic field and spectroscopic observations. Moreover, it is now clear that jets are smaller-size-scale, shorter-time-scale versions of less-frequent larger solar eruptions. Jets are also likely representative of yet more numerous eruptions occurring on smaller size scales. We propose development of instrumentation focused on multi-wavelength observations of jet-sized-scale eruptive solar activity, as a window to understanding both larger-scale and smaller-scale eruptive solar events.

Alphonse C. Sterling↗

Maps of Primary Radiatoin Dose Around the Lunar South Pole: Preliminary Assessment of Artemis Landing Sites

The Moon has a harsh radiation environment that poses significant challenges to future science and exploration activities. Exposure hazards from space radiation are primarily due to galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) and solar energetic particles (SEPs) that are incident at the lunar surface from all directions. The Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter’s (LRO) Cosmic Ray Telescope for Effects of Radiation (CRaTER) instrument has been observing space radiation around the Moon since 2009. The CRaTER observations show a steady GCR flux with intermittent SEP events that have much higher fluxes. During solar minimum, the GCR flux is higher, while the SEP events are less common. On the other hand, during solar maximum, the SEP events have are more frequent and the GCR flux is lower. This is due to variations in solar activity. GCRs have characteristic energies spanning from 1 MeV to 10s of GeV. SEPs, however, have much lower energy ranges of 50 keV to 100s of MeV.

P. H Phipps↗

The rotational spectrum of g-modes in the sun

Observations and calculations are presented which strongly suggest that the unique sequence of rotation rates due to g-modes is active in the sun. It is found that all angular harmonics from 1 = 2-11 appear to be resolved, while higher harmonics up to at least 1 = 20 also seem to be active. The extreme narrowness of many of the spectral lines indicates that the g-modes are locked in sets of constant 1 by a local mechanism which excites the modes and possibly regulates the long-term precision of their rotation. These sets act as a system of resonant, or nearly resonant, clocks which impose a degree of periodicity upon solar activity and measure the mean solar interior rotation

Wolff, C. L.↗

A search for periodic structure in solar 2 cm microwave radiation

A power spectral analysis of 285 hr of 2 cm microwave intensity data showed no statistically significant ( 96% confidence) periodicities in the frequency range 1 to 15 mHz. No correlation was found between 2 cm periodicities and solar activity in H alpha, X-ray, and several microwave frequencies. A small shift of power toward higher frequencies in the power spectrum of the 2 cm data was found to be correlated with solar H alpha and X-ray activity. Using the statistical properties of power spectra, an expression for the ratio of the minimum detectable peak-to-peak to ambient temperature at chromospheric heights may be derived. Applied to a model for oscillation bursts in quiescent supergranules, and using the most significant results of experiments to detect the microwave periodicities, this expression yields an upper limit of approximately .0015.

Sentman, D. D.↗

Temporal characteristics of the solar UV flux and He I line at 1083 nm

It is pointed out that the solar UV flux in the 170- to 210-nm range is important because it photodissociates O2 in the terrestrial atmosphere and thereby initiates the production of ozone and other odd-oxygen chemistry in the stratosphere. The 210- to 290-nm solar UV flux heats the stratosphere. There is consequently a great interest in the temporal variations of the solar UV flux and its relation to ground-based measures of solar activity which may be useful in estimating the UV flux variations. The present investigation is concerned with daily values of 205-nm solar UV flux data measured with the aid of the Nimbus 7 satellite during the period from November 1978 to November 1982, taking into account also measurements of the equivalent width of the He I solar absorption line at 1083 at the National Solar Observatory. Attention is given to an analysis of the data, episodes of activity, and long-term variations.

Donnelly, R. F.↗

Horizontal Flows in the Photosphere and Subphotosphere of Two Active Regions

We compare horizontal flow fields in the photosphere and in the subphotosphere (a layer 0.5 megameters below the photosphere) in two solar active regions: AR11084 and AR11158. AR11084 is a mature, simple active region without significant flaring activity, and AR11158 is a multipolar, complex active region with magnetic flux emerging during the period studied. Flows in the photosphere are derived by applying the Differential Affine Velocity Estimator for Vector Magnetograms (DAVE4VM) on HMI-observed vector magnetic fields, and the subphotospheric flows are inferred by time-distance helioseismology using HMI-observed Dopplergrams. Similar flow patterns are found for both layers for AR11084: inward flows in the sunspot umbra and outward flows surrounding the sunspot. The boundary between the inward and outward flows, which is slightly different in the photosphere and the subphotosphere, is within the sunspot penumbra. The area having inward flows in the subphotosphere is larger than that in the photosphere. For AR11158, flows in these two layers show great similarities in some areas and significant differences in other areas. Both layers exhibit consistent outward flows in the areas surrounding sunspots. On the other hand, most well-documented flux-emergence-related flow features seen in the photosphere do not have counterparts in the subphotosphere. This implies that the horizontal flows caused by flux emergence do not extend deeply into the subsurface.

SOLAR↗

Helium abundance variations.

Use of observations of the solar wind by Explorers 34 and 43 to confirm the existence of a linear relationship between the relative abundance of helium and the bulk speed of the wind, recently described by Hirshberg et al. (1972). Use of this relationship allows the dependence of the relative abundance of helium on solar activity to be separated from its dependence on bulk speed. The proportion of helium in the solar wind at a given bulk speed is found to increase with increasing sunspot number, averaged over the period of observation. It is shown that the relationship between average relative abundance and temperature, deduced by using the bulk speed/temperature relation, is consistent with the data. The relative abundance of helium is not found to increase with increasing solar-wind flux. This confirms the result of Hirshberg et al.

Ogilvie, K. W.↗

Skylab observations of X-ray loops connecting separate active regions

One hundred loops interconnecting 94 separate active solar regions detectable in soft X-rays were identified during the Skylab mission. While close active regions are commonly interconnected with loops, the number of such interconnections decreases steeply for longer distances; the longest interconnecting loop observed in the Skylab data connected regions separated by 37 deg. Several arguments are presented which support the point of view that this is the actual limit of the size of magnetic interconnections between active regions. No sympathetic flares could be found in the interconnected regions. These results cast doubt on the hypothesis that accelerated particles can be guided in interconnecting loops from one active region to another over distances of 100 deg or more and eventually produce sympathetic flares in them.

Chase, R. C.↗

Tropospheric circulation and interplanetary magnetic sector boundaries followed by MeV proton streams

The MeV proton streams which Svestka et al. (1976) connected with certain sector boundary transits appear to select boundary transits associated with unusually active solar wind conditions. Changes in tropospheric circulation linked to the proton boundary transits were larger than those linked to other boundary transits observed during the same interval. This investigation of sector boundary transits also sheds light on the relationship between changes in solar wind velocity, density and magnetic field and terrestrial changes in the vorticity area index, geomagnetic activity, and cosmic ray flux at earth.

Wilcox, J. M.↗