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At least 1,243 records · Page 69

Contrasting Chemical Kinetic Parameters for Near In‐Service‐Temperature Aging and High‐Temperature Thermal Decomposition of Triaminotrinitrobenzene Formulations

Triaminotrinitrobenzene-based high explosives such as LX-17 offer high energy density and exceptional safety, yet their long-term aging behavior at low temperatures remains poorly understood. In this study, several legacy and new production lots of LX-17 were subjected to accelerated aging experiments below 100°C, during which the formation rate of the initial degradation product, monofurazan (F1), was monitored. Kinetic analysis was performed using a sample-age-aware computational approach, yielding activation energy estimates of 82–91 kJ mol −1 for the low-temperature initiation step—markedly lower than the ∼200 kJ mol −1 associated with high-temperature thermal decomposition. Extrapolation from established cookoff models supports the conclusion that the dominant degradation mechanism at low temperatures differs from that at high temperatures. In conclusion, our results provide a unified kinetic framework that bridges the gap between in-service conditions and high-temperature damage.

Chemistry - Chemical explosives↗

Data-Driven Multi-Step Demand Prediction for Ride-Hailing Services Using Convolutional Neural Network

Ride-hailing services are growing rapidly and becoming one of the most disruptive technologies in the transportation realm. Accurate prediction of ride-hailing trip demand not only enables cities to better understand people's activity patterns, but also helps ride-hailing companies and drivers make informed decisions to reduce deadheading vehicle miles traveled, traffic congestion, and energy consumption. In this study, a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based deep learning model is proposed for multi-step ride-hailing demand prediction using the trip request data in Chengdu, China, offered by DiDi Chuxing. The CNN model is capable of accurately predicting the ride-hailing pick-up demand at each 1-km by 1-km zone in the city of Chengdu for every 10 min. Compared with another deep learning model based on long short-term memory, the CNN model is 30% faster for the training and predicting process. The proposed model can also be easily extended to make multi-step predictions, which would benefit the on-demand shared autonomous vehicles applications and fleet operators in terms of supply-demand rebalancing. The prediction error attenuation analysis shows that the accuracy stays acceptable as the model predicts more steps.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Evaluating Quality of Service Traffic Classes on the Megafly Network

An emerging trend in High Performance Computing (HPC) systems that use hierarchical topologies (such as dragonfly) is that the applications are increasingly exhibiting high run-to-run performance variability. This poses a significant challenge for application developers, job schedulers, and system maintainers. One approach to address the performance variability is to use newly proposed network topologies such as megafly (or dragonfly+) that offer increased path diversity compared to a traditional fully connected dragonfly. Yet another approach is to use quality of service (QoS) traffic classes that ensure bandwidth guarantees. In this work, we select HPC application workloads that have exhibited performance variability on current 2-D dragonfly systems. We evaluate the baseline performance expectations of these workloads on megafly and 1-D dragonfly network models with comparably similar network configurations. Our results show that the megafly network, despite using fewer virtual channels (VCs) for deadlock avoidance than a dragonfly, performs as well as a fully connected 1-D dragonfly network. We then exploit the fact that megafly networks require fewer VCs to incorporate QoS traffic classes. We use bandwidth capping and traffic differentiation techniques to introduce multiple traffic classes in megafly networks. In some cases, our results show that QoS can completely mitigate application performance variability while causing minimal slowdown to the background network traffic.

Mubarak, Misbah↗

Microstructure Evolution and Stress Corrosion Cracking Susceptibility of 12Cr Martensitic Steel Upon Long-Term Service in Power Plants

After 230,000-h long-term service at 550 °C/13.7 MPa, the microstructure of a kind of 12Cr martensitic steel was investigated using scanning electron microscopy, backscattering electron microscope and x-ray diffraction analysis. The results show that the precipitation and coarsening of carbides at grain/lath boundaries are the main cause of microstructure degradation. The static immersion tests and the slow strain rate test coupled with electrochemical impedance spectroscopy were conducted on the served steel in 1.0% NaCl solution, and it turns out that the pitting corrosion resistance and repassivation ability of the steel are significantly reduced as a result of microstructure degradation. The stress corrosion cracking susceptibility of the steel was also studied. Fracture morphology analysis shows that the secondary crack in conjunction with slip lines is a result of the coalescence of micro-cracks nucleated from the pits.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A New Alumina-Forming Ni-Co-Cr Base Alloy for Service in Gas Turbine Engine Combustors and Other High-Temperature Applications

HAYNES{sup ®} 233™ alloy based on the Ni-Co-Cr-Mo-Al system has been developed for service at high temperatures. The origins of 233 alloy can be traced to a couple of Haynes alloys: 230 alloy and 214 alloy. The former is a premier high-temperature alloy with superb creep strength and is widely accepted in the gas turbine industry. It is also chromia forming. The alumina-forming 214 alloy with its 4.5% Al content possesses outstanding oxidation resistance at high temperatures, but its creep strength above ~ 1800 °F (982 °C) is very poor. The new 233 alloy attempts to bridge this performance. This paper will present preliminary test results for 233 alloy from the products of the first production heats, including the tensile and creep properties of the alloy, microstructure, oxidation properties, as well as fabricability. These results will be compared and discussed with those of popular gas turbine alloys such as 230, 214, 617, and X alloys. The preliminary test results indicate that HAYNES 233 alloy has a unique combination of excellent oxidation resistance and creep-rupture strength while at the same time being readily fabricable. These properties make the alloy an attractive candidate for a wide variety of gas turbine and other high-temperature applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Endogeneity of pedestrian survival time and emergency medical service response time: Variations across disadvantaged and non-disadvantaged communities

The Vision Zero-Safe Systems Approach prioritizes fast access to Emergency Medical Services (EMS) to improve the survivability of road users in transportation crashes, especially concerning the recent increase in pedestrian-involved crashes. Pedestrian crashes resulting in immediate or early death are considerably more severe than those taking longer. The time gap between injury and fatality is known as survival time, and it heavily relies on EMS response time. The characteristics of the crash location may be associated with EMS response and survival time. A US Department of Transportation initiative identifies communities often facing challenges. Six disadvantaged community (DAC) indicators, including economy, environment, equity, health, resilience, and transportation access, enable an analysis of how survival and EMS response times vary across DACs and non-DACs. To this end, this study created a unique and comprehensive database by linking DACs data with 2017–2021 pedestrian-involved fatal crashes. This study utilizes two-stage residual inclusion models with segmentation for DACs and non-DACs accounting for the endogenous relationship between EMS response and pedestrian survival time. The results indicate that EMS response time is higher and pedestrian survival time is lower in DACs than in non-DACs. A delayed EMS response time is associated with a greater reduction in survival time in DACs compared to non-DACs. Factors, e.g., nighttime and interstate crashes, contribute to higher EMS response time, while pedestrian drugs, driver speeding, and hit-and-run behaviors are associated with a greater reduction in survival time in DACs than non-DACs. Finally, the implications of the findings are discussed in the paper.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Landscape-scale management for biodiversity and ecosystem services

Compelling evidence has accumulated that biodiversity in agricultural landscapes is declining. Reversing this trend requires us to transform how we envision and manage agricultural systems. Here, while most current efforts focus on modifying practices at the field scale, organisms are also affected by ecological patterns and processes that transcend individual fields and farms. Consequently, effective conservation of biodiversity and related ecosystem services will require addressing practices at the landscape scale as well.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Moore vs. Murphy: Tradeoffs between complexity and reliability in distributed energy system scheduling using software-as-a-service

Software-based optimization of building control strategies, including scheduling, has the potential to improve the performance of existing complex heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), storage, and other systems—especially if temporally variable energy production, such as solar thermal or photovoltaics, is included. If reductions in energy bills can be achieved using optimized control strategies that take advantage of cost-saving opportunities, such as time-of-use pricing, the additional bill savings can cover further efficiency investment costs. As computer processing becomes cheaper over time (Moore's Law), opportunities to perform complex control optimization become more abundant, and these can be performed remotely as software-as-a-service (SaaS). However, by “perfecting” our control strategies, we run an increased risk that when something unexpected happens (Murphy's Law), the consequences of failure are greater. This study used simulation to explore the potential benefits of HVAC schedule optimization, delivery, and implementation using a SaaS paradigm, at various levels of complexity. Implementing optimal schedules in a model of an efficient building's HVAC system, the study predicts energy cost savings of up to 10% compared to the naïve reference control strategy. Optimizing more system control variables increases the potential energy cost savings; however, these savings could be compromised by failures in communication inherent in delivering schedules via SaaS. The additional cost of energy resulting from the risk of increased demand charges generally increased with increased communication failure to a much larger extent than the risk of increased energy use charges. This work suggests that moderate improvements in performance, achieved at low cost by simple means, may be more effective than highly optimized schemes, which are more susceptible to failure due to their dependence on complex interactions between systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

RADAMS: Resilient and adaptive alert and attention management strategy against Informational Denial-of-Service (IDoS) attacks

Attacks exploiting human attentional vulnerability have posed severe threats to cybersecurity. In this work, we identify and formally define a new type of proactive attentional attacks called Informational Denial-of-Service (IDoS) attacks that generate a large volume of feint attacks to overload human operators and hide real attacks among feints. Here, we incorporate human factors (e.g., levels of expertise, stress, and efficiency) and empirical psychological results (e.g., the Yerkes-Dodson law and the sunk cost fallacy) to model the operators’ attention dynamics and their decision-making processes along with the real-time alert monitoring and inspection. To assist human operators in dismissing the feints and escalating the real attacks timely and accurately, we develop a Resilient and Adaptive Data-driven alert and Attention Management Strategy (RADAMS) that de-emphasizes alerts selectively based on the abstracted category labels of the alerts. RADAMS uses reinforcement learning to achieve a customized and transferable design for various human operators and evolving IDoS attacks. The integrated modeling and theoretical analysis lead to the Product Principle of Attention (PPoA), fundamental limits, and the tradeoff among crucial human and economic factors. Experimental results corroborate that the proposed strategy outperforms the default strategy and can reduce the IDoS risk by as much as 20%. Besides, the strategy is resilient to large variations of costs, attack frequencies, and human attention capacities. We have recognized interesting phenomena such as attentional risk equivalency, attacker’s dilemma, and the half-truth optimal attack strategy.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Drivers of Medicare Spending: A 15-Year Review of Radiation Oncology Charges Allowed by the Medicare Physician/Supplier Fee-for-Service Program Compared With Other Specialties

In 2019, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services proposed a new radiation oncology alternative payment model aimed at reducing expenditures. We examined changes in aggregate physician Medicare charges allowed per specialty to provide contemporary context to proposed changes and hypothesize that radiation oncology charges remained stable through 2017.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Correlative STEM-APT characterization of radiation-induced segregation and precipitation of in-service BWR 304 stainless steel

In this study, radiation induced segregation and precipitation phenomena in an in-service boiling water reactor 304 stainless steel component were investigated using directly correlated 3D-atom probe tomography and scanning transmission electron microscopy. Significant quantitative differences in measured segregation at grain boundaries were found between the atom probe and energy dispersive spectroscopy measurements of the exact same locations. In particular, a much stronger Si segregation (~10 atomic% via atom probe versus ~4 atomic% via electron microscopy) and different Cr profile shapes were detected that are critical to models of radiation induced segregation and stress corrosion cracking behavior. These quantitative differences highlight the need for comparative microscopy and critical evaluation of limitations in each analytical method. Elemental segregation to dislocations and conjoined-clusters were also highlighted by atom probe; confirming and expanding upon what has been observed in test reactor neutron and accelerator-based ion irradiations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Deep reinforcement learning assisted co-optimization of Volt-VAR grid service in distribution networks

With the increasing penetration of distributed energy resources in distribution networks, Volt-VAR control and optimization (VVC/VVO) have become very important to ensure an acceptable quality of service to all customers. System operators can rely on slow-responding utility devices, including capacitor banks and on-load tap changing transformers, along with fast-responding battery and photovoltaic (PV) inverters for the VVC/VVO implementation. Because of variations in response time of these two classes of devices, and different control actions (discrete versus continuous), coordinated and optimal scheduling and operation have become of utmost importance. Here, this paper develops a look-ahead deep reinforcement learning (DRL)-based multi-objective VVO technique to improve the voltage profile of active distribution networks, decrease network and inverter power loss, and save the operational cost of the grid. It proposes a deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG)-based approach to schedule the optimal reactive and/or active power set-points of fast-responding inverters, and a deep Q-network (DQN)-based DRL agent to schedule the discrete decisions variables of slow-responding assets. The reactive power output of PV and battery smart inverters are scheduled at 30-minute intervals and the capacitors’ commitment status is scheduled with several hour intervals. The proposed framework is validated on the modified IEEE 34-bus and 123-bus test cases with embedded PV and PV-plus-storage. To validate the efficacy of the proposed VVO, it is compared with several scenarios, including the base case without VVO, localized droop control of DERs, DDPG-only, and twin delayed DDPG (TD3) agent-based DRL techniques. The results justify the superior performance of the proposed method to improve the voltage profile, reduce network power loss, and minimize the look-ahead grid operational cost while minimizing the undesirable power losses in inverters as a result of power factor adjustments.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Efficient proactive vehicle relocation for on-demand mobility service with recurrent neural networks

One major challenge for on-demand mobility service (OMS) providers is to seamlessly match empty vehicles with trip requests so that the total vacant mileage is minimized. In this work, we develop an innovative data-driven approach for devising efficient vehicle relocation policy for OMS that (1) proactively relocates vehicles before the demand is observed and (2) reduces the inequality among drivers' income so that the proactive relocation policy is fair and is likely to be followed by drivers. Our approach represents the fusion of optimization and machine learning methods, which comprises three steps: First, we formulate the optimal proactive relocation as an optimal/stable matching problems and solve for global optimal solutions based on historical data. Second, the optimal solutions are then grouped and fed to train the deep learning models which consist of fully connected layers and long short-term memory networks. Low rank approximation is introduced to reduce the model complexity and improve the training performances. Finally, we use the trained model to predict the relocation policy which can be implemented in real time. We conduct comprehensive numerical experiments and sensitivity analyses to demonstrate the performances of the proposed method using New York City taxi data. Here, the results suggest that our method will reduce empty mileage per trip by 54-70% under optimal matching strategy, and a 25-32% reduction can also be achieved by following stable matching strategy. We also validate that the predicted relocation policies are robust in the presence of uncertain passenger demand level and passenger trip-requesting behavior.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

The Significance of Environmental Attributes as Indicators of the Life Cycle Environmental Impacts of Packaging and Food Service Ware

The environmental impacts of packaging and food service ware (FSW) are increasingly the subject of government policy, public discourse, and industry commitments. While some consideration is given to reducing the impacts of packaging across its entire life cycle, most of the focus is on packaging waste or feedstock substitution. Efforts typically focus on specific packaging characteristics, or material attributes, commonly perceived to be environmentally preferable. This article summarizes an extensive meta-review of existing published literature that was performed to determine whether the material attributes recyclability, recycled content, compostability, and biobased, commonly considered to be environmentally beneficial, correlate with lower net environmental impacts across the full life cycle of the packaging and FSW. Seventy-one unique life cycle assessment (LCA) studies that quantify the environmental impacts throughout the entire life cycle of packaging and FSW were analyzed. These studies included over 5000 comparisons for 13 impact categories commonly analyzed in LCA studies. The results from the meta-review identified a number of instances where material attributes do not correlate with environmental benefits for packaging and FSW. Rather, other characteristics such as material choice or mass of the packaging/FSW products can have higher influence in determining life cycle impacts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Nomenclature, Chemical Abstracts Service Numbers, Isomer Enumeration, Ring Strain and Stereochemistry: What Does Any of This Have to do with an International Chemical Disarmament and Non-Proliferation Treaty?

The Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) is an international disarmament and non-proliferation treaty that mandates a comprehensive ban on chemical weapons. This treaty entered-into-force in 1997 and has a nearly universal membership of world states. The CWC provides definitions for what constitutes a chemical weapon and describes chemicals for which verification measures and regulatory oversight are required. These chemicals, which must be declared to the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) for verification purposes, appear in three Schedules within the CWC. The schedules list specific chemical substances and families of chemicals defined by molecular structure descriptions that allow a range of specified variable groups. The text of an international treaty provides a basis for laws and regulatory requirements at international and national levels that must be enacted to comply with treaty obligations. These laws and regulations must account for the “chemistry” that is described in the treaty text, which has been negotiated and agreed upon by world governments. In this paper, we look at some of the chemicals described within the CWC and discuss how atoms and molecules, nomenclature and Chemical Abstracts Service (CAS) numbers, isomer enumeration, ring strain and stereochemistry influence the obligations of States to an international treaty. The material draws upon the authors’ experiences from an interactive “Science for Diplomats” initiative that has provided a forum for engaging with chemical disarmament decision makers to aid in their understanding of fundamental concepts in chemistry that have impact on treaty implementation. We hope this article will spark interest from chemistry students and educators in the provision of science advice for policymakers and provide policymakers with an appreciation of the complexity and importance of understanding the language of chemistry in support of a world free of chemical weapons.

Organic Chemistry, Alkanes/Cycloalkanes, Applicati↗

Reply to “Comment on ‘Nomenclature, Chemical Abstracts Service numbers, isomer enumeration, ring strain, and stereochemistry: What does any of this have to do with an international chemical disarmament and nonproliferation treaty?’”

A letter to the Journal of Chemical Education provided comments and accurate enumerations of isomers for sets of organic compounds discussed in the paper “Nomenclature, Chemical Abstracts Service numbers, isomer enumeration, ring strain, and stereochemistry: What does any of this have to do with an international chemical disarmament and nonproliferation treaty?”. This is a reply to that letter to address the comments and propose updates to the original paper in order to incorporate the accurate enumeration values.

Alkanes/Cycloalkanes, Chemical Weapons Convention ↗

TeraChem Cloud: A High-Performance Computing Service for Scalable Distributed GPU-Accelerated Electronic Structure Calculations

The encapsulation and commoditization of electronic structure arise naturally as interoperability, and the use of nontraditional compute resources (e.g., new hardware accelerators, cloud computing) remains important for the computational chemistry community. Here, we present TERACHEM CLOUD, a high-performance computing service (HPCS) that offers on-demand electronic structure calculations on both traditional HPC clusters and cloud-based hardware. The framework is designed using off-the-shelf web technologies and containerization to be extremely scalable and portable. Within the HPCS model, users can quickly develop new methods and algorithms in an interactive environment on their laptop while allowing TERACHEM CLOUD to distribute ab initio calculations across all available resources. This approach greatly increases the accessibility of hardware accelerators such as graphics processing units (GPUs) and flexibility for the development of new methods as additional electronic structure packages are integrated into the framework as alternative backends. Cost-performance analysis indicates that traditional nodes are the most cost-effective long-term solution, but commercial cloud providers offer cutting-edge hardware with competitive rates for short-term large-scale calculations. We demonstrate the power of the TERACHEM CLOUD framework by carrying out several showcase calculations, including the generation of 300,000 density functional theory energy and gradient evaluations on medium-sized organic molecules and reproducing 300 fs of nonadiabatic dynamics on the B800-B850 antenna complex in LH2, with the latter demonstration using over 50 Tesla V100 GPUs in a commercial cloud environment in 8 h for approximately $1250.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Normative Ranges for, and Interrater Reliability of, Rotational Vestibular and Balance Tests in U.S. Military Service Members and Veterans

Purpose: The objectives of this study were to (a) describe normative ranges—expressed as reference intervals (RIs)—for vestibular and balance function tests in a cohort of Service Members and Veterans (SMVs) and (b) to describe the interrater reliability of these tests. Method: As part of the Defense and Veterans Brain Injury Center (DVBIC)/Traumatic Brain Injury Center of Excellence 15-year Longitudinal Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) Study, participants completed the following: vestibulo-ocular reflex suppression, visual-vestibular enhancement, subjective visual vertical, subjective visual horizontal, sinusoidal harmonic acceleration, the computerized rotational head impulse test (crHIT), and the sensory organization test. RIs were calculated using nonparametric methods and interrater reliability was assessed using intraclass correlation coefficients between three audiologists who independently reviewed and cleaned the data. Results: Reference populations for each outcome measure comprised 40 to 72 individuals, 19 to 61 years of age, who served either as noninjured controls (NIC) or injured controls (IC) in the 15-year study; none had a history of TBI or blast exposure. A subset of 15 SMVs from the NIC, IC, and TBI groups were included in the interrater reliability calculations. RIs are reported for 27 outcome measures from the seven rotational vestibular and balance tests. Interrater reliability was considered excellent for all tests except the crHIT, which was found to have good interrater reliability. Conclusion: This study provides clinicians and scientists with important information regarding normative ranges and interrater reliability for rotational vestibular and balance tests in SMVs.

Audiology & Speech-Language Pathology↗