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Bottomonium suppression and elliptic flow using Heavy Quarkonium Quantum Dynamics

We introduce a framework called Heavy Quarkonium Quantum Dynamics (HQQD) which can be used to compute the dynamical suppression of heavy quarkonia propagating in the quark-gluon plasma using real-time in-medium quantum evolution. Using HQQD we compute large sets of real-time solutions to the Schrödinger equation using a realistic in-medium complex-valued potential. We sample 2 million quarkonia wave packet trajectories and evolve them through the QGP using HQQD to obtain their survival probabilities. The computation is performed using three different HQQD model parameter sets in order to estimate our systematic uncertainty. After taking into account final state feed down we compare our results to existing experimental data for the suppression and elliptic flow of bottomonium states and find that HQQD predictions are good agreement with available data for R AA as a function of N part and p T collected at \( \sqrt{s_{\mathrm{NN}}} \) = 5 . 02 TeV. In the case of v 2 for the various states, we find that the path-length dependence of ϒ(1 s ) suppression results in quite small v 2 for ϒ(1 s ). Our prediction for the integrated elliptic flow for ϒ(1 s ) in the 10 – 90% centrality class, which now includes an estimate of the systematic error, is v 2 [ϒ(1 s )] = 0 . 003 ± 0 . 0007 ± \( {}_{0.0013}^{0.0006} \) . We also find that, due to their increased suppression, excited bottomonium states have a larger elliptic flow. Based on this observation we make predictions for v 2 [ϒ(2 s )] and v 2 [ϒ(3 s )] as a function of centrality and transverse momentum.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

The utility of {sup 82}Rb PET for myocardial viability assessment: Comparison with perfusion-metabolism {sup 82}Rb-{sup 18}F-FDG PET

Background: {sup 82}Rb kinetics may distinguish scar from viable but dysfunctional (hibernating) myocardium. We sought to define the relationship between {sup 82}Rb kinetics and myocardial viability compared with conventional {sup 82}Rb and {sup 18}F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) perfusion-metabolism PET imaging. Methods: Consecutive patients (N = 120) referred for evaluation of myocardial viability prior to revascularization and normal volunteers (N = 37) were reviewed. Dynamic {sup 82}Rb 3D PET data were acquired at rest. {sup 18}F-FDG 3D PET data were acquired after metabolic preparation using a standardized hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp. {sup 82}Rb kinetic parameters K{sub 1}, k{sub 2}, and partition coefficient (KP) were estimated by compartmental modeling Results: Segmental {sup 82}Rb k{sub 2} and KP differed significantly between scarred and hibernating segments identified by Rb-FDG perfusion-metabolism (k{sub 2}, 0.42 ± 0.25 vs. 0.22 ± 0.09 min{sup −1}; P < .0001; KP, 1.33 ± 0.62 vs. 2.25 ± 0.98 ml/g; P < .0001). As compared to Rb-FDG analysis, segmental Rb KP had a c-index, sensitivity and specificity of 0.809, 76% and 84%, respectively, for distinguishing hibernating and scarred segments. Segmental k{sub 2} performed similarly, but with lower specificity (75%, P < .001) Conclusions: In this pilot study, {sup 82}Rb kinetic parameters k{sub 2} and KP, which are readily estimated using a compartmental model commonly used for myocardial blood flow, reliably differentiated hibernating myocardium and scar. Further study is necessary to evaluate their clinical utility for predicting benefit after revascularization. [French] French Abstract: Contexte: La cinétique du {sup 82}Rb pourrait être utilisée pour distinguer la fibrose myocardique des zones viables mais dysfonctionnelles (en hibernation). Dans cette étude, nous avons cherché à définir la relation entre la cinétique du {sup 82}Rb et la viabilité myocardique en comparant les images de perfusion et métabolisme myocardique utilisant le {sup 82}Rb et le {sup 18}F-fluorodésoxyglucose (FDG) Méthodes: les données obtenues chez 120 patients consécutifs (N = 120) référés pour évaluation de la viabilité du myocarde avant revascularisation et 37 volontaires considérés normaux (N = 37) ont été étudieés. Les données TEP 3D dynamiques {sup 82}Rb ont été acquises au repos. Les données TEP 3D au {sup 18}F-FDG ont été acquises après préparation métabolique utilisant une pince hyperinsulémique-euglycémique normalisée. Les paramètres k1, k2 et le coefficient de partage (KP) de la cinétique du {sup 82}R bont été évalues par modélisation compartimentale. Résultats: les paramètres k2 et KP de distribution du {sup 82}Rb se sont révélés significativement différent entre les zones tissulaires cicatricielles fibreuses et celles en hibernation identifiées par étude métabolique au FDG (k2, 0,42 ± 0,25 vs. 0,22 ± 0,09 min{sup −1}; P < 0,0001; KP, 1,33 ± 0,62 vs. 2,25 ± 0,98 ml/g; P < 0,0001). Par rapport aux données FDG, le paramètre KP du rubidium a révélé un indice de concordance de 0,809 et une sensibilité et spécificité de 76% et 84%, pour la distinction des segments en hibernation et cicatrisés. Les résultats du paramètre k2 se sont révélés similaires, mais avec une spécificité plus faible calculée à 75% (P < 0,001). Conclusions: Dans cette étude pilote, les paramètres cinétiques k2 et KP de perfusion myocardique au {sup 82}Rb, qui sont facilement estimés à l’aide d’un modèle compartimental couramment utilisé pour flux sanguin myocardique, ont permis de différencier de manière fiable le myocarde cicatricielle des zones myocardiques hibernantes. Une étude plus approfondie est souhaitable pour valider leur utilité clinique en revacularisation. [Spanish] Spanish Abstract: Antecedentes: La cinética con {sup 82}Rb puede distinguir las cicatrices miocárdicas del tejido viable pero disfuncional (hibernante). Buscamos definir la relación entre la cinética del {sup 82}Rb y la viabilidad miocárdica comparada con las imágenes convencionales de PET con {sup 82}Rb y {sup 18}F-flurodeoxyglucosa (FDG). Métodos: se evaluaron a Pacientes Consecutivos (N = 120) referidos para evaluación de viabilidad miocárdica previos a revascularización y voluntarios normales (N = 37). Los datos de PET 3D dinámico con {sup 82}Rb fueron adquiridos en reposo. Los datos de {sup 18}F-FDG 3D PET fueron adquiridos posterior a la preparación metabólica usando un clamp hiperinsulínico-euglucémico. Los patrones cinéticos K1, k2 y el coeficiente de partición (KP) fueron estimados por el modelo compartimental. Resultados: el k2 y KP del {sup 82}Rb permitueron distinguier el tejido cicatricial de los segmentos hibernados identificados por la vía perfusión metabolismo de Rb-FDG (k{sub 2}, 0.42 ± 0.25 vs. 0.22 ± 0.09 min-1; P < .0001; KP, 1.33 ± 0.62 vs. 2.25 ± 0.98 ml/g; P < .0001). En comparación con el análisis de Rb-FDG, el KP segmentario del Rb tuvo un índice-c, sensbilidad y especificidad de 0.809 76 y 84%, respectivamente, para distinguir segmentos hibernantes y cicatriciales. k2 Segmentario tuvo un desempeño similar pero con una menor especificidad (75%, P < .001). Conclusiones: En este estudio piloto, los parámetros cinéticos k2 y KP del {sup 82}Rb, los cuales son estimados usando un modelo compartimental usado comúnmente para flujo sanguíneo miocárdico, diferenciaron el miocardio hibernante del cicatricial. Se necesita estudiar más a fondo para evaluar la utilidad clínica para la predicción del beneficio posterior a la revascularización [Chinese] Chinese Abstract: 背景: 铷-82({sup 82}Rb)药代动力学可能区分梗死与功能受损但存活的心肌(冬眠心肌)。我们将探讨{sup 82}Rb药代动力学与存活心肌的关系,并与常规的{sup 82}Rb和{sup 18}F-氟脱氧葡萄糖(FDG)灌注-代谢PET显像进行比较。 方法: 连续纳入120名血运重建前评估存活心肌的患者和37名正常志愿者。获得静息{sup 82}Rb 3D-PET动态采集数据;采用标准化的高胰岛素 - 正葡萄糖钳夹试验得到{sup 18}F-FDG 3D PET代谢显像数据; 通过房室模型计算{sup 82}Rb动力学参数k{sub 1},k{sub 2}和分配系数(KP)。 结果: 以Rb-FDG灌注代谢显像鉴定疤痕心肌组和冬眠心肌组,两组的{sup 82}Rb节段性 k{sub 2}值和KP值有明显差异(k{sub 2}, 0.42 ± 0.25 vs 0.22 ± 0.09 min{sup −1}; P < .0001; KP, 1.33 ± 0.62 vs 2.25 ± 0.98 ml/g; P < .0001)。以Rb-FDG灌注代谢显像为诊断标准,{sup 82}Rb节段性 KP对疤痕和冬眠心肌鉴别效能的c指数,敏感性和特异性分别是0.809, 76%和84%。节段性k{sub 2}的鉴别效能与KP相似,但特异性较低(75%,P < .001)。 结论: 在本试验性研究中,通过常规用于{sup 82}Rb心肌血流量测定的房室模型计算出的{sup 82}Rb动力学参数k{sub 2}和KP,可以有效的区分冬眠心肌和瘢痕心肌。 但需要进一步的研究来评估其对预测血运重建是否获益的临床价值。.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Transient analysis of advancing contact angle measurements on polished rock surfaces

We report that contact angle measurements for gas-liquid-rock systems are important for modeling multi-phase flow and transport in the subsurface. These data are needed in applications such as the extraction of oil and gas resources, geologic sequestration of carbon dioxide, contaminant fate and transport, and aquifer recharge through the vadose zone. Contact angles are frequently measured with the sessile drop method. Previous research has largely ignored the dynamic behavior of sessile droplets on geologic materials. This study investigates the dynamic behavior of sessile water droplets on prepared rock surfaces in the presence of air. Droplet diameter and advancing contact angle were determined at 0.5 s intervals for ~90 s on flat polished disks of Burlington limestone, Crossville sandstone, Mancos shale, Sierra White granite, Vermilion Bay granite, and Westerly granite using a Krüss DSA 30 Drop Shape Analyzer. The droplet diameter and advancing contact angle data sets were nonlinearly regressed against time using two different two-parameter models. The median coefficients of determination for the fits were 0.85 and 0.96, respectively. The resulting parameter estimates were used to compute the apparent equilibrium contact angle, θ e , for each disk following droplet diameter stabilization. Estimates of θ e ranged from 37.2° for Mancos shale to 75.6° for Burlington limestone. Analysis of variance indicated statistically significant differences in θ e between the rock types at the 95% confidence level. The variability of θe on the polished rock surfaces, as quantified by the coefficient of variation (CV) for θ e , varied between ~3 and ~9%; there were no significant differences in CV between the rock types. Neutron radiography indicated changes droplet morphology over time were due to the spontaneous imbibition of water into the rock matrix. Finally, the transient analysis employed in this study permits a more meaningful estimate of the equilibrium contact angle for rocks than taking the initial value or averaging over time as is frequently done.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Process Modeling and Techno-Economic Analysis of a CO 2 Capture Process Using Fixed Bed Reactors with a Microencapsulated Solvent

A detailed model of a capsule containing sodium carbonate solution is developed here to study the microencapsulated carbon capture solvents (MECS). A rigorous vapor–liquid equilibrium model is developed for the Na 2 CO 3 –CO 2 –H 2 O system, where liquid-phase nonideality is modeled by the electrolyte nonrandom two-liquid model. The data from the experiments conducted at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory is used to obtain a maximum likelihood estimate of the initial solvent concentration inside the capsules and the parameters for the capsule model. A nonisothermal, dynamic model of a fixed bed contactor filled with these capsules is then developed. In addition to direct steam injection, indirect heating using an embedded heat exchanger is modeled for desorption. Finally, the model is used to simulate temperature swing absorption and desorption cycles. The results of these studies indicate that there is an optimal residence time or superficial flue gas velocity to minimize the bed volume. However, the total energy requirement for desorption monotonically decreases with increased residence time as the proportion of the sensible heat to the total regeneration heat keeps decreasing. Furthermore, heat recovery from the bed is crucial to keep energy penalty for regeneration low. A techno-economic analysis is conducted, and the equivalent annual operating cost (EAOC) is analyzed for two different reactor materials (concrete and carbon-steel) and compared with a system using a conventional monoethanolamine (MEA) solvent. In this work, the minimum EAOC for the MECS fixed bed configuration is approximately 1.8–2.7 times higher than the EAOC for an MEA system with a similar amount of heat recovery (85%). The impact of ±50% uncertainty in the capital cost estimate is also evaluated, and the minimum EAOC is 1.5 times higher than the MEA technology for 85% heat recovery. These results using microencapsulated sodium carbonate solution are a starting point that sets an upper limit on the cost of the MECS carbon-capture system. Improvements to the MECS capsules (e.g., using a higher carbonate concentration and lowering the shell mass transfer resistance) and also exploring other contactor technologies are expected to decrease the system cost and make it more competitive.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Congruity of genomic and epidemiological data in modelling of local cholera outbreaks

Cholera continues to be a global health threat. Understanding how cholera spreads between locations is fundamental to the rational, evidence-based design of intervention and control efforts. Traditionally, cholera transmission models have used cholera case-count data. More recently, whole-genome sequence data have qualitatively described cholera transmission. Integrating these data streams may provide much more accurate models of cholera spread; however, no systematic analyses have been performed so far to compare traditional case-count models to the phylodynamic models from genomic data for cholera transmission. Here, we use high-fidelity case-count and whole-genome sequencing data from the 1991 to 1998 cholera epidemic in Argentina to directly compare the epidemiological model parameters estimated from these two data sources. We find that phylodynamic methods applied to cholera genomics data provide comparable estimates that are in line with established methods. Our methodology represents a critical step in building a framework for integrating case-count and genomic data sources for cholera epidemiology and other bacterial pathogens.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Bootstrap-determined p values in lattice QCD

We present a general method to determine the probability that stochastic Monte Carlo data, in particular those generated in a lattice QCD calculation, would have been obtained were that data drawn from the distribution predicted by a given theoretical hypothesis. Such a probability, or p -value, is often used as an important heuristic measure of the validity of that hypothesis. The proposed method offers the benefit that it remains usable in cases where the standard Hotelling T 2 methods based on the conventional χ 2 statistic do not apply, such as for uncorrelated fits. Specifically, we analyze q 2 , defined as the correlated χ 2 statistic obtained using an arbitrary covariance matrix estimator, and show how to use the bootstrap as a data-driven method to determine the expected distribution of q 2 for a given hypothesis with minimal assumptions. This distribution can then be used to determine the p -value for a fit to the data. We also describe a bootstrap approach for quantifying the impact upon this p -value of estimating population parameters from a single ensemble of N samples. The overall method is accurate up to a 1 / N bias which we do not attempt to quantify. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

LEAD - LEArning Damage

LEAD is a suite of scripts to enable rapid estimation of model parameters for damage models for ductile materials using machine learning. In its current version, the only supported damage model is TEPLA, though others are planned. The data we train on are comprised of free surface velocity data as well as porosity data. Some details about our method can be found in the preprint LA-UR-23-20468 (arxiv.org/abs/2301.07790)

Blaschke, Daniel↗

Absolute image registration for geosynchronous satellites

A procedure for the absolute registration of earth images acquired by cameras on geosynchronous satellites is described. A conventional least squares process is used to estimate navigational parameters and camera pointing biases from observed minus computed landmark line and element numbers. These estimated parameters along with orbit and attitude dynamic models are used to register images, employing an automated grey-level correlation technique, inside the span represented by the landmark data. Experimental results obtained from processing the SMS-2 observation data base covering May 2, 1979 through May 20, 1979 show registration accuracies with a standard deviation of less than two pixels if the registration is within the landmark data span. It is also found that accurate registration can be expected for images obtained up to 48 hours outside of the landmark data span.

Nankervis, R.↗

Table look-up estimation of signal and noise parameters from quantized observables

A table look-up algorithm for estimating underlying signal and noise parameters from quantized observables is examined. A general mathematical model is developed, and a look-up table designed specifically for estimating parameters from four-bit quantized data is described. Estimator performance is evaluated both analytically and by means of numerical simulation, and an example is provided to illustrate the use of the look-up table for estimating signal-to-noise ratios commonly encountered in Voyager-type data.

Vilnrotter, V. A.↗

Measuring and modeling near-surface reflected and emitted radiation fluxes at the FIFE site

Information is presented pertaining to the measurement and estimation of reflected and emitted components of the radiation balance. Information is included about reflectance and transmittance of solar radiation from and through the leaves of some grass and forb prairie species, bidirectional reflectance from a prairie canopy is discussed and measured and estimated fluxes are described of incoming and outgoing longwave and shortwave radiation. Results of the study showed only very small differences in reflectances and transmittances for the adaxial and abaxial surfaces of grass species in the visible and infrared wavebands, but some differences in the infrared wavebands were noted for the forbs. Reflectance from the prairie canopy changed as a function of solar and view zenith angles in the solar principal plane with definite asymmetry about nadir. The surface temperature of prairie canopies was found to vary by as much as 5 C depending on view zenith and azimuth position and on the solar azimuth. Aerodynamic temperature calculated from measured sensible heat fluxes ranged from 0 to 3 C higher than nadir-viewed temperatures. Models were developed to estimate incoming and reflected shortwave radiation from data collected with a Barnes Modular Multiband Radiometer. Several algorithms for estimating incoming longwave radiation were evaluated and compared to actual measures of that parameter. Net radiation was calculated using the estimated components of the shortwave radiation streams, determined from the algorithms developed, and from the longwave radiation streams provided by the Brunt, modified Deacon, and the Stefan-Boltzmann models. Estimates of net radiation were compared to measured values and found to be within the measurement error of the net radiometers used in the study.

Blad, Blaine L.↗

Atmospheric environment for space shuttle (STS-34) launch

A summary of selected atmospheric conditions observed near space shuttle STS-34 launch time on October 18, 1989, at Kennedy Space Center, Florida is presented. Values of ambient pressure, temperature, moisture, ground winds, visual observations (clouds), and winds aloft are included. The sequence of pre-launch Jimsphere-measured vertical wind profiles is given. The final atmospheric tape, which consists of wind and thermodynamic parameters vs. altitude, for STS-34 vehicle ascent was constructed to provide an internally consistent data set for use in post-flight performance assessments. It represents the best estimates of the launch environment to the 400,000 feet altitude that was traversed by the STS-34 vehicle.

Jasper, G. L.↗

Maximum likelihood estimation for distributed parameter models of flexible spacecraft

A distributed-parameter model of the NASA Solar Array Flight Experiment spacecraft structure is constructed on the basis of measurement data and analyzed to generate a priori estimates of modal frequencies and mode shapes. A Newton-Raphson maximum-likelihood algorithm is applied to determine the unknown parameters, using a truncated model for the estimation and the full model for the computation of the higher modes. Numerical results are presented in a series of graphs and briefly discussed, and the significant improvement in computation speed obtained by parallel implementation of the method on a supercomputer is noted.

Taylor, L. W., Jr.↗

Lifetime Reliability Evaluation of Structural Ceramic Parts with the CARES/LIFE Computer Program

The computer program CARES/LIFE calculates the time-dependent reliability of monolithic ceramic components subjected to thermomechanical and/or proof test loading. This program is an extension of the CARES (Ceramics Analysis and Reliability Evaluation of Structures) computer program. CARES/LIFE accounts for the phenomenon of subcritical crack growth (SCG) by utilizing the power law, Paris law, or Walker equation. The two-parameter Weibull cumulative distribution function is used to characterize the variation in component strength. The effects of multiaxial stresses are modeled using either the principle of independent action (PIA), Weibull's normal stress averaging method (NSA), or Batdorf's theory. Inert strength and fatigue parameters are estimated from rupture strength data of naturally flawed specimens loaded in static, dynamic, or cyclic fatigue. Two example problems demonstrating cyclic fatigue parameter estimation and component reliability analysis with proof testing are included.

Nemeth, Noel N.↗

Time-dependent reliability analysis of ceramic engine components

The computer program CARES/LIFE calculates the time-dependent reliability of monolithic ceramic components subjected to thermomechanical and/or proof test loading. This program is an extension of the CARES (Ceramics Analysis and Reliability Evaluation of Structures) computer program. CARES/LIFE accounts for the phenomenon of subcritical crack growth (SCG) by utilizing either the power or Paris law relations. The two-parameter Weibull cumulative distribution function is used to characterize the variation in component strength. The effects of multiaxial stresses are modeled using either the principle of independent action (PIA), the Weibull normal stress averaging method (NSA), or the Batdorf theory. Inert strength and fatigue parameters are estimated from rupture strength data of naturally flawed specimens loaded in static, dynamic, or cyclic fatigue. Two example problems demonstrating proof testing and fatigue parameter estimation are given.

Nemeth, Noel N.↗

Parameter estimation in a structural acoustic system with fully nonlinear coupling conditions

A methodology for estimating physical parameters in a class of structural acoustic systems is presented. The general model under consideration consists of an interior cavity which is separated from an exterior noise source by an enclosing elastic structure. Piezoceramic patches are bonded to or embedded in the structure; these can be used both as actuators and sensors in applications ranging from the control of interior noise levels to the determination of structural flaws through nondestructive evaluation techniques. The presence and excitation of patches, however, changes the geometry and material properties of the structure as well as involves unknown patch parameters, thus necessitating the development of parameter estimation techniques which are applicable in this coupled setting. In developing a framework for approximation, parameter estimation and implementation, strong consideration is given to the fact that the input operator is unbonded due to the discrete nature of the patches. Moreover, the model is weakly nonlinear. As a result of the coupling mechanism between the structural vibrations and the interior acoustic dynamics. Within this context, an illustrating model is given, well-posedness and approximations results are discussed and an applicable parameter estimation methodology is presented. The scheme is then illustrated through several numerical examples with simulations modeling a variety of commonly used structural acoustic techniques for systems excitations and data collection.

Banks, H. T.↗

A historical overview of flight flutter testing

This paper reviews the test techniques developed over the last several decades for flight flutter testing of aircraft. Structural excitation systems, instrumentation systems, digital data preprocessing, and parameter identification algorithms (for frequency and damping estimates from the response data) are described. Practical experiences and example test programs illustrate the combined, integrated effectiveness of the various approaches used. Finally, comments regarding the direction of future developments and needs are presented.

Kehoe, Michael W.↗

Dibromine Monoxide, Br2O: The Rotational Spectrum and Molecular Properties

The rotational spectra of (79)Br2O, (79)BrO(81)Br, and Br2O in their ground vibrational states as well as (79)BrO(81)Br in its v (sub 2) = 1 state have been studied in selected regions between 90 and 523 GHz. Transitions involving a large range of quantum numbers, 6 less than or equal to J less than or equal to 123 and 0 less than or equal to K (sub a) less than or equal to 12, have been observed permitting precise rotational and a large set of centrifugal distortion constants to be determined. All isotopic species as well as the excited state data were fit simultaneously. Ground-state effective and average structural parameters as well as an estimate of the equilibrium structure have been derived. The quartic distortion constants were used for a calculation of the harmonic force field. The complete quadrupole tensor has been determined. Its diagonalization reveals a largely covalent BrO bond with little pi-bonding. The derived properties of Br2O are compared with those of related compounds such as Cl2O, HOBR, and HOCl.

Mueller, Holger S. P.↗

Real-Time Dynamic Modeling - Data Information Requirements and Flight Test Results

Practical aspects of identifying dynamic models for aircraft in real time were studied. Topics include formulation of an equation-error method in the frequency domain to estimate non-dimensional stability and control derivatives in real time, data information content for accurate modeling results, and data information management techniques such as data forgetting, incorporating prior information, and optimized excitation. Real-time dynamic modeling was applied to simulation data and flight test data from a modified F-15B fighter aircraft, and to operational flight data from a subscale jet transport aircraft. Estimated parameter standard errors, prediction cases, and comparisons with results from a batch output-error method in the time domain were used to demonstrate the accuracy of the identified real-time models.

Morelli, Eugene A.↗