Determination of a Generic Human Error Probability Distribution, Part 2: A Dynamic SPAR-H Example Application
Humans are an integral part of a nuclear power plant (NPP) from its construction, to its everyday maintenance and operation. In the nuclear industry there are many approaches to quantifying component reliability, which is called probability risk assessment (PRA). In PRA there are two considerations given to the quantification, static and dynamic. Static is quantified before or after an operation; and dynamic is time dependent, in that the probability changes as real time data are provided. In PRA, the importance of the components is calculated, but what of the importance of the human component? There are several methods for human reliability analysis (HRA), which include but are not limited to: THERP, ATHEANA, CREAM, SPAR-H, ASEP, and SLIM. Each of these methods aims to provide a more accurate and objective human error probability (HEP) quantification. Of the methods listed above, ASEP, THERP, and SPAR-H are all inextricably linked. The Standardized Plant Analysis Risk-Human Reliability Analysis (SPAR-H) method was generated to better generalize the Technique for Human Error Rate Prediction (THERP) and Accident Sequence Precursor (ASEP). THERP is mapped to specific scenario templates, and ASEP is a simplified screening method, while SPAR-H employs generalizations to describe the spectrum of human behavior while maintaining the same theoretical underpinnings. SPAR-H is a well-known and accepted HRA method that uses performance shaping factors (PSFs) to classify inputs to the human component. PSFs capture a wide variety of input data, including plant status, crew dynamics, task description, and psychological aspects of the human operator. Current efforts have been focused to further generalize SPAR-H in to a dynamic framework. These methods can fit into dynamic NPP simulations such as RAVEN / RELAP-7. In order to do this, a dynamic methodology is applied to model the human as would be applied to the components. This method is applied in part one in the accompanying paper.