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At least 1,225 records · Page 68

The effect of initial velocity on manually controlled remote docking of an orbital maneuvering vehicle (OMV) to a space station

Simulated docking maneuvers were performed to assess the effect of initial velocity on docking failure rate, mission duration, and total impulse (fuel consumption). The effect of the removal of the range and rate displays was also examined. Since duration and impulse decrease and increase respectively with increases in initial velocity, two parameters were created by subtracting a reference value from each. These values were termed 'reserve time' and 'radial impulse'. Naive subjects were capable of achieving a high success rate in performing simulated docking maneuvers without extensive experience, and failure rate did not significantly increase with increased velocity. The amount of time pilots reserved for final approach increased with starting velocity. Piloting of docking maneuvers was not significantly affected in any way by the removal of range and rate displays. Values for reserve time, and radial impulse were lowest for docking maneuvers begun at the lowest initial velocity.

Brody, Adam R.↗

Mesh Failure Prediction Using Deep Learning Techniques

The goal of this joint effort between SRI and LLNL has been to investigate the use of state-of-the-art deep learning architectures to effectively explore the correlations between a set of mesh zone attributes and manifestations of failure in a given mesh simulation and draw useful conclusions towards a practical failure detection system. Each zone attribute is a scalar feature that is recorded separately for each zone during simulation, resulting in a multivariate time series signal for each zone. Currently, these features are used to manually decide where to apply manual relaxations so that simulations run without any failures. Our long-term vision is to build a machine learning system that is capable of reliably detecting upcoming failures and is able to apply finer-grained targeted relaxations automatically to relevant zones to avoid an expected failure.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Resonant acoustic monitoring of damage in plug‐screw feeders

Abstract Plug‐screw feeders are critical in many industrial processes for compressing slurry materials via a rotating plug‐screw feeder. Over time, increasing plug‐screw feeder wear will eventually lead to catastrophic mechanical failure. Early detection of the wear state can prevent unplanned catastrophic failures resulting in operational shut‐downs, costly repairs, and most importantly the health and safety of workers. We present a theoretical basis for a noninvasive, in operando acoustic resonant technique to monitor the wear state of plug‐screw feeders. The technique is based on tracking the resonant acoustic modes of the plug‐screw feeder, which are sensitive to the plug‐screw feeder geometry, material, and operating conditions. We implemented a multivariate polynomial model to estimate the plug‐screw feeder wear state using multiple acoustic resonances by simulating the acoustic resonant modes for two categories of wear (tip and thread damage) that are common in plug‐screw feeders. Fitting multiple resonances to the polynomial model, we demonstrate accurate estimation of the total mass loss, as well as characterization of the type of damage (i.e., tip vs. thread). Current approaches for monitoring plug‐screw feeder wear rely on shutting down the operation and visually inspecting the plug‐screw feeder. The presented acoustic technique offers a noninvasive, in operando measurement approach that mitigates unplanned catastrophic failures. The acoustic resonance technique presented in the paper has a broad range of industrial applications including the Pharmaceutical, Mining, Integrated Biorefineries (IBR), and Additive Manufacturing industries, to name a few.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Implementational Aspects for the Characterization of Low-Inertia in Power Systems

The replacement of conventional generating units with non-conventional renewable energy resources impacts the stability of the power system. While the general goal of supplying demand could be achieved from both generation resources, inverter-based energy resources are different from traditional synchronous machines in the sense that they do not inherently provide inertia to the system. The latter obviously worsen the system ability to maintain the balance between supply and demand after certain contingencies such as generator outages. With high integration of renewable-based generation resources, there is a reduction in total system inertia, which could lead to systems with less time to react for frequency restoration in case of such unexpected unit failures. While conceptually it is true, there is a missing gap in the field of power system stability community in terms of test-bed power systems for characterizing low-inertia conditions. In this paper, a framework for low-inertia power systems is presented. The purpose of the test-bed is to establish an environment for testing and conducting research on power systems experiencing low-inertia issues. The frequency nadir, the rate of change of frequency, and the under-frequency load shedding scheme are used as a measure of the healthiness of power grids.

Baquedano-Aguilar, Mario D.↗

Seamless Transition of Critical Infrastructures using Droop Controlled Grid-forming Inverters

Seamless recovery of power to critical infrastructures, after grid failure, is a crucial need arising in scenarios that are increasingly becoming more frequent. Here, this article proposes a seamless transition strategy using a single and unified mode-dependent droop controlled grid-forming inverters. The control strategy achieves the following objectives: 1) regulates the output active and reactive power by the droop-controlled inverters to a desired value while operating in on-grid mode; 2) seamless transition and recovery of power injections into the load after grid failure by inverters that operates in grid-forming mode all the time; 3) requires only a single bit of information on the grid/network status for the mode transition. A framework for assessing the stability of the system and to guide the choice of parameters for controllers is developed using control-oriented modeling. A controller hardware-in-the-loop-based real-time simulation study on a test system based on the realistic electrical network of a commercial-scale medical center is conducted for initial prototyping of the control strategy. A hardware experiment is conducted with two 3 - $\phi$, 480 -V, 125 -kVA grid-forming inverters, a 3 - $\phi$, 480 -V, 270 -kVA grid simulator, a physical grid switch, and a physical load bank. The experimental data establishes the effectiveness of the always grid-forming operation and control of inverters in meeting power delivery objectives when on-grid and off-grid under various kinds of loads and scenarios while minimizing transients during transitions. Furthermore, performance comparison with existing strategies showcases the advantage of the proposed strategy.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Characterization and identification of HPC applications at leadership computing facility

High Performance Computing (HPC) is an important method for scientific discovery via large-scale simulation, data analysis, or artificial intelligence. Leadership-class supercomputers are expensive, but essential to run large HPC applications. The Petascale era of supercomputers began in 2008, with the first machines achieving performance in excess of one petaflops, and with the advent of new supercomputers in 2021 (e.g., Aurora, Frontier), the Exascale era will soon begin. However, the high theoretical computing capability (i.e., peak FLOPS) of a machine is not the only meaningful target when designing a supercomputer, as the resources demand of applications varies. A deep understanding of the characterization of applications that run on a leadership supercomputer is one of the most important ways for planning its design, development and operation. In order to improve our understanding of HPC applications, user demands and resource usage characteristics, we perform correlative analysis of various logs for different subsystems of a leadership supercomputer. This analysis reveals surprising, sometimes counter-intuitive patterns, which, in some cases, conflicts with existing assumptions, and have important implications for future system designs as well as supercomputer operations. For example, our analysis shows that while the applications spend significant time on MPI, most applications spend very little time on file I/O. Combined analysis of hardware event logs and task failure logs show that the probability of a hardware FATAL event causing task failure is low. Combined analysis of control system logs and file I/O logs reveals that pure POSIX I/O is used more widely than higher level parallel I/O. Based on holistic insights of the application gained through combined and co-analysis of multiple logs from different perspectives and general intuition, we engineer features to "fingerprint" HPC applications. We use t-SNE (a machine learning technique for dimensionality reduction) to validate the explainability of our features and finally train machine learning models to identify HPC applications or group those with similar characteristic. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that combines logs on file I/O, computing, and inter-node communication for insightful analysis of HPC applications in production.

Liu, Zhengchun↗

New Physics in the Hot Electron Furnace (Final Report)

The primary purpose of this award was experiments and simulations related to the idea of a ‘Hot Electron Furnace’ where nonlocal heat transport would allow unique new experimental opportunities at x-ray free electron lasers. The period of this award included beamtime at the MEC endstation of the LCLS, and the execution of those experiments was a primary goal. Unfortunately, the beamtime had limited success due to (1) inability of the LCLS to deliver the expected two-color operations mode, and (2) failure of the MEC endstation’s own software to save the cavity timing data that would have allowed inference of time delays for the few hours when two-color mode briefly operated. The beamtime was then switched to operate in single-color (one pulse) mode, and studies were performed of x-ray heating and probe, simultaneously. Two interesting manuscripts are finally near submission, having been delayed by student graduations, need for collaborator simulations of x-ray heating processes, and then COVID. I am hopeful that they will soon be submitted (especially the paper on x-ray heating of MgO) because one of the principal students involved has returned from industry to take a postdoc position at SLAC. Below, we first list all publications and other work products (including the two that are nearing submission) and then summarize several outcomes from this effort. During the term of this award three UW physics graduate students were at least partially supported, and all three received their Ph.D.’s with significant components of their supported work in the dissertation.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

A self-reorganizing digital flight control system for aircraft

This paper presents a design method for digital self-reorganizing control systems which is optimally tolerant of failures in aircraft sensors. The functions of this system are accomplished with software instead of the popular and costly technique of hardware duplication. The theoretical development, based on M-ary hypothesis testing, results in a bank of M Kalman filters operating in parallel in the failure detection logic. A moving window of the innovations of each Kalman filter drives the detection logic to decide the failure state of the system. The detection logic also selects the optimal state estimate (for control logic) from the bank of Kalman filters. The design process is applied to the design of a self-reorganizing control system for a current configuration of the space shuttle orbiter at Mach 5 and 120,000 feet. The failure detection capabilities of the system are demonstrated using a real-time simulation of the system with noisy sensors.

Montgomery, R. C.↗

Reliability inputs to Mariner 9 data explosion

This paper describes the prelaunch and post-launch reliability functions which contributed to the success of the Mariner 9 spacecraft. Examples are included to illustrate how each reliability activity was a vital part of each phase of the project. Prelaunch reliability functions included: (1) establishing, negotiating, and monitoring system and subsystem requirements, (2) participating in spacecraft system and subsystem design/hardware reviews, (3) monitoring preparation of failure mode effects and criticality analyses (FMECA), (4) establishing and managing a problem failure reporting (PFR) system for the spacecraft and its support equipment, (5) monitoring electronic parts activities, and (6) participating in spacecraft reviews. Particular emphasis is placed on mission operations reliability assurance activities, which included: (1) spacecraft problem/failure reporting, (2) managing an integrating failure reporting system which covered all mission operations activities, (3) real-time analysis of spacecraft anomalies, and (4) risk assessment.

Macgregor, D. S.↗

Reliability-based optimum inspection and maintenance procedures

The development of reliability-based optimum inspection and maintenance schedules for engines needs an understanding of the fatigue behavior of the engines. Critical areas of the engine structure prone to fatigue damage are usually identified beforehand or after the fleet has been put into operation. In these areas, fatigue cracks initiate after several flight hours, and these cracks grow in length until failure takes place when these cracks attain the critical lengths. Crack initiation time and its growth rate are considered to be random variables. Usually, the inspection (fatigue) or test data from similar engines are used as prior distributions. The existing state-of-the-art is to ignore the different lengths of cracks obserbed at various inspections and to consider only the fact that a crack existed (or did not exist) at the time of inspection. In this paper, a procedure has been developed to obtain the probability of finding a crack of a given size at a certain time if the probability distributions for crack initiation and rates of growth are known. Application of the developed stochastic models to devise optimum procedures for inspection and maintenance are also discussed.

Nanagud, S.↗

Operations analysis (study 2.1): Program manual and users guide for the LOVES computer code

Information is provided necessary to use the LOVES Computer Program in its existing state, or to modify the program to include studies not properly handled by the basic model. The Users Guide defines the basic elements assembled together to form the model for servicing satellites in orbit. As the program is a simulation, the method of attack is to disassemble the problem into a sequence of events, each occurring instantaneously and each creating one or more other events in the future. The main driving force of the simulation is the deterministic launch schedule of satellites and the subsequent failure of the various modules which make up the satellites. The LOVES Computer Program uses a random number generator to simulate the failure of module elements and therefore operates over a long span of time typically 10 to 15 years. The sequence of events is varied by making several runs in succession with different random numbers resulting in a Monte Carlo technique to determine statistical parameters of minimum value, average value, and maximum value.

Wray, S. T., Jr.↗

Voltage stress effects on microcircuit accelerated life test failure rates

The applicability of Arrhenius and Eyring reaction rate models for describing microcircuit aging characteristics as a function of junction temperature and applied voltage was evaluated. The results of a matrix of accelerated life tests with a single metal oxide semiconductor microcircuit operated at six different combinations of temperature and voltage were used to evaluate the models. A total of 450 devices from two different lots were tested at ambient temperatures between 200 C and 250 C and applied voltages between 5 Vdc and 15 Vdc. A statistical analysis of the surface related failure data resulted in bimodal failure distributions comprising two lognormal distributions; a 'freak' distribution observed early in time, and a 'main' distribution observed later in time. The Arrhenius model was shown to provide a good description of device aging as a function of temperature at a fixed voltage. The Eyring model also appeared to provide a reasonable description of main distribution device aging as a function of temperature and voltage. Circuit diagrams are shown.

Johnson, G. M.↗

Ionizing radiation effects on SBP9900 microprocessor

The radiation resistance of a 16-bit microprocessor based on integrated injection logic technology has been investigated. Cumulative fluences of 10 to the 12th power to 10 to the 14th power e/sq cm were used in the radiation-resistance study. Complete failure of the microprocessor was noted at a fluence level of 1.2 times 10 to the 14th power e/sq cm. Though the radiation resistance of the microprocessor makes it suited for space applications, reductions in the power dissipation of the device are needed.

Stanley, A. G.↗

Cumulative creep damage for polycarbonate and polysulfone

The literature for creep to failure cumulative damage laws are reviewed. Creep to failure tests performed on polycarbonate and polysulfone under single and two step loadings are discussed. A cumulative damage law or modified time fraction rule is developed using a power law for transient creep response as the starting point. Experimental results are approximated well by the new rule. Damage and failure mechanisms associated with the two materials are suggested.

Zhang, M.↗

The implementation and use of Ada on distributed systems with high reliability requirements

The use and implementation of Ada in distributed environments in which reliability is the primary concern were investigted. A distributed system, programmed entirely in Ada, was studied to assess the use of individual tasks without concern for the processor used. Continued development and testing of the fault tolerant Ada testbed; development of suggested changes to Ada to cope with the failures of interest; design of approaches to fault tolerant software in real time systems, and the integration of these ideas into Ada; and the preparation of various papers and presentations were discussed.

Knight, J. C.↗

Cumulative creep damage for polycarbonate and polysulfone

Creep to failure tests performed on polycarbonate and polysulfone under single and two step loadings are discussed. A cumulative damage law or modified time fraction rule is developed using a power law for transient creep response as the starting point. Experimental results are approximated well by the new rule. Damage and failure mechanisms associated with the two materials are suggested.

Zhang, M. J.↗

Applications of ISES for the oceans

The need in oceanography for direct broadcast, why, and what type are discussed. Four reasons for support exist: need for real-time observations in support of field studies; need to back up point failures; need for experimentation with onboard processing and selection of data for direct broadcasting; and the need to develop future operational NOAA systems. Each of these areas is examined.

Esaias, W. E.↗

Redundant disk arrays: Reliable, parallel secondary storage

During the past decade, advances in processor and memory technology have given rise to increases in computational performance that far outstrip increases in the performance of secondary storage technology. Coupled with emerging small-disk technology, disk arrays provide the cost, volume, and capacity of current disk subsystems, by leveraging parallelism, many times their performance. Unfortunately, arrays of small disks may have much higher failure rates than the single large disks they replace. Redundant arrays of inexpensive disks (RAID) use simple redundancy schemes to provide high data reliability. The data encoding, performance, and reliability of redundant disk arrays are investigated. Organizing redundant data into a disk array is treated as a coding problem. Among alternatives examined, codes as simple as parity are shown to effectively correct single, self-identifying disk failures.

Gibson, Garth Alan↗