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At least 1,225 records · Page 68

A Statistical Framework for Evaluating Rain Microphysics in Model Simulations and Disdrometer Observations

Abstract Statistical analyses of a large disdrometer data set and a diverse set of model simulations for convection using the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System were conducted, with the mutual goal of providing insights into precipitation formation and microphysical processes. We demonstrate that a two‐moment bulk microphysical model successfully captures the dominant observed modes of variability in rainfall related to rainfall intensity and raindrop size distributions. The model reproduced the general distribution of observed precipitation groups (PGs) derived from Principal Component Analysis. The multi‐variable analysis also uncovered some shortcomings in the model as well as limitations of the disdrometer data. The model solutions were constrained in their predicted drop size distributions (DSDs) due to the fixed DSD parameters assumed in a two‐moment microphysics scheme. A case study from the Mid‐latitude Continental Clouds and Convection Experiment field project demonstrated how model results can be used to contextualize the disdrometer observations which are limited in sample size, spatial coherence, and detection of small drops and low drop concentrations. The case study also showed that the spatial patterns of the statistically derived PGs revealed by the model are consistent with the hypothesized microphysical processes that determine surface rain DSDs. This work demonstrates how leveraging the strengths of observations and models together can improve our understanding and representation of rain microphysical processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Simulation and Experimental Study of Metal Organic Frameworks Used in Adsorption Cooling

Metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) have recently attracted enormous interest over the past few years in energy storage and gas separation, yet there have been few reports for adsorption cooling applications. Adsorption cooling technology is an established alternative to mechanical vapor compression refrigeration systems and is an excellent alternative in industrial environments where waste heat is available. We explored the use of MOFs that have very high mass loading and relatively low heats of adsorption, with certain combinations of refrigerants to demonstrate a new type of highly efficient adsorption chiller. Computational fluid dynamics combined with a system level lumped-parameter model have been used to project size and performance for chillers with a cooling capacity ranging from a few kW to several thousand kW. These systems rely on stacked micro/mini-scale architectures to enhance heat and mass transfer. Recent computational studies of an adsorption chiller based on MOFs suggests that a thermally-driven coefficient of performance greater than one may be possible, which would represent a fundamental breakthrough in performance of adsorption chiller technology. Presented herein are computational and experimental results for hydrophyilic and fluorophilic MOFs.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Development of Improved Models, Stochasticity, and Frameworks for the MIT Extensible Air Network Simulation

MEANS, the MIT Extensible Air Network Simulation, was created in February of 2001, and has been developed with support from NASA Ames since August of 2001. MEANS is a simulation tool which is designed to maximize fidelity without requiring data of such a low level as to preclude easy examination of alternative scenarios. To this end, MEANS is structured in a modular fashion to allow more detailed components to be brought in when desired, and left out when they would only be an impediment. Traditionally, one of the difficulties with high-fidelity models is that they require a level of detail in their data that is difficult to obtain. For analysis of past scenarios, the required data may not have been collected, or may be considered proprietary and thus difficult for independent researchers to obtain. For hypothetical scenarios, generation of the data is sufficiently difficult to be a task in and of itself. Often, simulations designed by a researcher will model exactly one element of the problem well and in detail, while assuming away other parts of the problem which are not of interest or for which data is not available. While these models are useful for working with the task at hand, they are very often not applicable to future problems. The MEAN Simulation attempts to address these problems by using a modular design which provides components of varying fidelity for each aspect of the simulation. This allows for the most accurate model for which data is available to be used. It also provides for easy analysis of sensitivity to data accuracy. This can be particularly useful in the case where accurate data is available for some subset of the situations that are to be considered. Furthermore, the ability to use the same model while examining effects on different parts of a system reduces the time spent learning the simulation, and provides for easier comparisons between changes to different parts of the system.

Clarke, John-Paul↗

Learning Coarse-Grained Potentials for Binary Fluids

Even though atomistic and CG models have been used to simulate liquid nanodroplets in vapor, very few rigorous studies of the liquid-liquid interface structure are available, and most of them are limited to planar interfaces. In this work, we evaluate several existing force fields (FF)s, including two atomistic and three CG FFs, with respect to modeling the interface structure and thermodynamic properties of the water-hexane interface. Both atomistic FFs are able to quantitatively reproduce the interfacial tension and the coexisting densities of the experimentally-observed planar interface. We use the atomistic FFs to model water droplets in hexane and use these simulations to test the CG FFs. We found that the tested CG FFs cannot reproduce the interfacial tensions of planar and/or curved interfaces. Finally, we propose a new approach for learning coarse-grained (CG) potentials within the CG SDK (Shinoda-DeVane- Klein) FF framework from atomistic simulation data. We demonstrate that the new potential significantly improves the prediction of both the interfacial tension and structure of water-hexane planar and curved interfaces.

Gao, Peiyuan↗

Passivation, conductivity, and selectivity in solar cell contacts: Concepts and simulations based on a unified partial-resistances framework

Passivation, conductivity, and selectivity are often acknowledged as the three requirements for optimal contacts to photovoltaic solar cells. Although there are generally accepted definitions and metrics for passivation and conductivity, a common understanding of the concept of selectivity is emerging only now. In this contribution, we present a generalized model of solar cell contacts based on the distinct lumped resistances encountered by electrons and holes traversing a contact, which we refer to as partial specific contact resistances. The relations between electron and hole partial current densities, quasi-Fermi level separation, and external voltage are derived from these partial specific contact resistances, leading to simple metrics for the aforementioned contact properties: the sum of the electron and hole resistances is a metric for passivation, their ratio is a metric for selectivity, and the majority-carrier resistance is a metric for conductivity. Using PC1D, we validate our model by simulating 10 500 cases of homojunction contacts to crystalline silicon solar cells, although our framework is material agnostic and can be equally applied to any other type of absorber. In these simulations, the hole contact and absorber are assumed to be ideal, whereas we vary the partial specific contact resistances in the electron contact by orders of magnitude by adjusting the electron and hole mobilities, their densities (through variations of the donor doping density), and the contact thickness. The simulations confirm the finding of the model that, when the contact fraction cannot be adjusted—as is the case with full-area contacts—combined passivation and conductivity are necessary and sufficient for optimal solar cell performance, and they imply selectivity. However, the reciprocal is not true: contacts can be selective but lack conductivity—causing a deleterious drop in fill factor—or can be selective but provide poor passivation—leading to a reduction in implied open-circuit voltage and, hence, actual open-circuit voltage. Furthermore, selectivity is a meaningful metric in the sole case of partial-area contacts, where the contact fraction can be adjusted arbitrarily.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Insights From Dayflow: A Historical Streamflow Reanalysis Dataset for the Conterminous United States

Abstract Reconstructed historical streamflow time series can supplement limited streamflow gauge observations. However, there are common challenges of typical modeling approaches: process‐based hydrologic models can be data/computation‐intensive, and statistics‐based models can be region/stream‐specific. Here we present a nationally scalable modeling framework integrating the simulated runoff from the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model with the Routing Application for Parallel computatIon of Discharge (RAPID) routing model leveraging high‐performance computing. We demonstrate an efficient method of assimilating streamflow at US Geological Survey (USGS) streamflow monitoring sites using a simple hierarchical approach in the VIC‐RAPID framework. The result is a reconstructed 36‐year (1980–2015) daily and monthly streamflow dataset (Dayflow) at ∼2.7 million NHDPlusV2 stream reaches in the conterminous US (CONUS). We perform a comprehensive evaluation at 7,526 USGS sites and characterize their error statistics. The results demonstrate that 49% of the USGS sites demonstrate Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE) > 0.5 and 58% of the sites show percentage bias within ±20% for the daily naturalized streamflow. Streamflow data assimilation across CONUS shows an overall improvement over naturalized streamflow, notably in the western semiarid‐to‐arid regions. Comparison to other national and global streamflow reanalysis datasets such as the National Water Model and Global Reach‐scale A priori Discharge Estimates for SWOT demonstrates improved KGE, reduced bias, and directions for Dayflow improvements. Investigations of error statistics with key hydrologic, hydroclimatic, and geomorphologic basin characteristics reveal region‐specific patterns which may help improve future framework applications. Overall, Dayflow may enable a better understanding of hydrologic conditions in a changing environment, especially in locations currently not represented by streamflow monitoring networks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

VERA-Grizzly Ex-Core Calculations: Watts Bar Unit 1 Cycles 1-2

The critical structures that comprise light-water reactor (LWR) nuclear power plants are subjected to operating environments that can challenge their integrity. Structures in close proximity to the reactor core, such as the reactor pressure vessel (RPV) and the biological shield wall, are subjected to high levels of radiation emanating from the core, as well as elevated temperatures. As the US fleet of operating LWRs ages, the effects of these operating environments on the integrity of these structures must be considered to ensure their continued safe operation. Extending the lifetime of commercial reactors and maintaining the aging reactor fleet require accurate prediction of the exposure of ex-core components to neutron and photon radiation. In particular, concrete degradation studies must be performed to evaluate the safety and long-term operation of reactors with lifetime extensions. The concrete reactor bioshield is important for providing radiological protection during operation and must last for the entire lifetime of the reactor. Recent interest in lifetime extensions furthers the need to accurately simulate concrete material degradation in the reactor bioshield. As a result of this need, the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program has funded this study to couple its tools, Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA) and Grizzly. VERA allows users to set up models to calculate time-dependent and fully coupled solutions (with thermal feedback) for ex-core quantities of interest such as vessel and coupon fluence and detector responses for multiple statepoints and cycles. Grizzly is a finite-element application based on the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework that is used to enable aging materials calculations. This report highlights the work performed to calculate the fluence in the vessel and concrete for Watts Bar Nuclear Plant Unit 1 (WBN1) Cycles 1 and 2. The fluences obtained from VERA were successfully transferred to Grizzly using a Python script. Four simulations were run with Grizzly: (1) the Mazars model with the initial Young’s modulus being the instantaneous modulus, (2) the Mazars model with the initial Young’s modulus being the delayed modulus, (3) the Mazars model with the initial Young’s modulus being the delayed modulus with the addition of the effects of micro-damage caused by irradiation, and (4) the Mazars model with the initial Young’s modulus being the instantaneous modulus, and with the addition of micro-damage and creep. Details regarding the methods used to obtain the fluence and the statistical errors associated with the VERA Monte Carlo Shift calculations are discussed in greater detail in this report. The results obtained from the four Grizzly models are also presented in this report.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Demonstration of Bison/TRACE Coupling (CRAB) Through Validation Case LOFT L2-5

The postulated pressurized water reactor (PWR) accident known as a large-break loss of coolant accident (LOCA) is still of great concern to the current nuclear reactor fleet. Research through experiments, modeling, and simulation is active in the field of LOCAs and new modeling tools are under continuous development. The BISON fuel performance code, developed at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL), is one such tool that has been very active in the development of models and the simulation of accidents. With recent model developments, Bison has been used to simulate LOCA cladding burst experiments and full integral LOCA experiments with favorable results. Bison is a thermomechanical code that must be fed boundary conditions (BC) for phenomena occurring outside of the fuel rod. These BCs include moderator or outer cladding temperature, coolant pressure, and rod linear power or neutron flux. These BCs can be supplied from a function or, preferably, another coupled code. Bison is built on the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework which allows for ease of code coupling. A framework is currently in place that allows codes external to MOOSE to communicate with MOOSE applications as if they were a MOOSE application. Through a recent MOOSE/BISON development, with collaboration from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), BISON has been coupled with the NRC system code TRAC/RELAP Advanced Computational Engine (TRACE). Simulation results of the initial validation loss of flow test (LOFT) L2-5 case from this research will be presented.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Probabilistic Framework for the Validation and Certification of Computer Simulations

The paper presents a methodology for quantifying, propagating, and managing the uncertainty in the data required to initialize computer simulations of complex phenomena. The purpose of the methodology is to permit the quantitative assessment of a certification level to be associated with the predictions from the simulations, as well as the design of a data acquisition strategy to achieve a target level of certification. The value of a methodology that can address the above issues is obvious, specially in light of the trend in the availability of computational resources, as well as the trend in sensor technology. These two trends make it possible to probe physical phenomena both with physical sensors, as well as with complex models, at previously inconceivable levels. With these new abilities arises the need to develop the knowledge to integrate the information from sensors and computer simulations. This is achieved in the present work by tracing both activities back to a level of abstraction that highlights their commonalities, thus allowing them to be manipulated in a mathematically consistent fashion. In particular, the mathematical theory underlying computer simulations has long been associated with partial differential equations and functional analysis concepts such as Hilbert spares and orthogonal projections. By relying on a probabilistic framework for the modeling of data, a Hilbert space framework emerges that permits the modeling of coefficients in the governing equations as random variables, or equivalently, as elements in a Hilbert space. This permits the development of an approximation theory for probabilistic problems that parallels that of deterministic approximation theory. According to this formalism, the solution of the problem is identified by its projection on a basis in the Hilbert space of random variables, as opposed to more traditional techniques where the solution is approximated by its first or second-order statistics. The present representation, in addition to capturing significantly more information than the traditional approach, facilitates the linkage between different interacting stochastic systems as is typically observed in real-life situations.

Ghanem, Roger↗

Unraveling the 2021 Central Tennessee flood event using a hierarchical multi-model inundation modeling framework

Flood prediction systems need hierarchical atmospheric, hydrologic, and hydraulic models to predict rainfall, runoff, streamflow, and floodplain inundation. The accuracy of such systems depends on the error propagation through the modeling chain, sensitivity to input data, and choice of models. In this study, we used multiple precipitation forcings (hindcast and forecast) to drive hydrologic and hydrodynamic models to analyze the impacts of various drivers on the estimates of flood inundation depth and extent. We implement this framework to unravel the August 2021 extreme flooding event that occurred in Central Tennessee, USA. We used two radar-based quantitative precipitation estimates (STAGE4 and MRMS) as well as quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPF) from the National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center (WPC) to drive a series of models in the hierarchical framework, including the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) land surface model, the Routing Application for Parallel Computation of Discharge (RAPID) river routing model, and the AutoRoute and TRITON inundation models. An evaluation with observed high-water marks demonstrates that the framework can reasonably simulate flood inundation. Despite the complex error propagation mechanism of the modeling chain, we show that inundation estimates are most sensitive to rainfall estimates. Most notably, QPF significantly underestimates flood magnitudes and inundations leading to unanticipated severe flooding for all stakeholders involved in the event. Finally, we discuss the implications of the hydrodynamic modeling framework for real-time flood forecasting.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Adaptive Conformer Sampling for Property Prediction Using the Conductor-like Screening Model for Real Solvents

The valorization of lignocellulose-derived bioproducts requires effective separation from excessive water. Liquid–liquid extraction is a promising low-energy separation technology, but effective extraction requires solvent selection based on the thermodynamic properties of the bioproduct and solvent components. We propose a computational framework for predicting such properties by developing an adaptive conformer selection approach for use with COSMO-RS (conductor-like screening model for real solvents) calculations. In this framework, molecular dynamics simulations are used to generate many molecular structures (conformers) at representative temperatures in varying solvent environments. Conformers are then clustered based on structural metrics in a low-dimensional space and selected using a mixed-integer quadratic programming problem to iteratively insert a sampled conformer. At each iteration, we determine bioproduct properties using COSMO-RS. Here, we demonstrate the capability of the proposed framework on representative bioproducts to show convergence of the adaptive sampling toward experimentally measured properties with fewer calculations than required by random conformer sampling, enabling the improved screening of solvent systems for liquid-phase separation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Expanding the physics reach of DUNE in the near and far detectors

The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) is a next-generation long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment. Its primary goal is the determination of the neutrino mass hierarchy and the CP-violating phase. The DUNE physics programme also includes the detection of astrophysical neutrinos and the search for beyond the Standard Model (BSM) phenomena. DUNE will consist of a near detector (ND) complex placed at Fermilab, and a modular Liquid Argon Time Projection Chamber (LArTPC) far detector (FD) to be built in the Sanford Underground Research Facility (SURF), approximately 1300 km away from the neutrino production point. This thesis describes three different projects within DUNE. First, a novel strategy to improve the triggering capabilities of the DUNE FD is proposed. It uses matched filters to enhance the production of online hits across all charge collection planes. Next, the possibility of detecting neutrinos coming from dark matter (DM) annihilations in the Sun with the FD is explored. The complementarity of DUNE to this kind of DM searches is shown. Finally, the simulation and reconstruction framework of ND-GAr, the gas argon ND proposed for Phase II of DUNE, is presented. A number of additions to this are described, particularly focused on the development of the particle identification (PID) capabilities of the detector. These are then used to perform the first event selection studies with an end-to-end simulation in ND-GAr, in particular the selection of pion exclusive samples in $\nu_{\mu}$ CC interactions. All three of these projects share the common goal of enhancing the physics programme of DUNE.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Parallel general purpose multiobjective optimization framework with application to electron beam dynamics

Particle accelerators are invaluable tools for research in the basic and applied sciences, such as materials science, chemistry, the biosciences, particle physics, nuclear physics and medicine. The design, commissioning, and operation of accelerator facilities is a nontrivial task, due to the large number of control parameters and the complex interplay of several conflicting design goals. The Argonne Wakefield Accelerator facility has some unique challenges resulting from its purpose to carry out advanced accelerator R&D. Individual experiments often have challenging beam requirements, and the physical configuration of the beam lines is often changed to accommodate the variety of supported experiments. The need for rapid deployment of different operational settings further complicates the optimization work that must be done for multiple constraints and challenging operational regimes. One example of this is an independently staged two-beam acceleration experiment which requires the construction of an additional beam line (this is now in progress). The high charge drive beam, well into the space charge regime, must be threaded through small aperture (17.6 mm) decelerating structures. In addition, the bunch length must be sufficiently short to maximize power generation in the decelerator. We propose to tackle this problem by means of multiobjective optimization algorithms which also facilitate a parallel deployment. In order to compute solutions in a meaningful time frame, a fast and scalable software framework is required. In this paper, we present a general-purpose framework for simulation-based multiobjective optimization methods that allows the automatic investigation of optimal sets of machine parameters. Using evolutionary algorithms as the optimizer and opal as the forward solver, validation experiments and results of multiobjective optimization problems in the domain of beam dynamics are presented. Optimized solutions for the new high charge drive beam line found by the framework were used to finish the design of a two beam acceleration experiment. The selected solution along with the associated beam parameters is presented.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗