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At least 1,225 records · Page 68

Prognostics

Knowledge discovery, statistical learning, and more specifically an understanding of the system evolution in time when it undergoes undesirable fault conditions, are critical for an adequate implementation of successful prognostic systems. Prognosis may be understood as the generation of long-term predictions describing the evolution in time of a particular signal of interest or fault indicator, with the purpose of estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) of a failing component/subsystem. Predictions are made using a thorough understanding of the underlying processes and factor in the anticipated future usage.

Systems Health Management↗

Twinning and Dislocation Evolution during Shock Compression and Release of Single Crystals: Real-Time X-Ray Diffraction

Determining the temporal evolution of twinning and/or dislocation slip, in real time (nanoseconds), in single crystals subjected to plane shock wave loading is a long-standing scientific need. Non-cubic crystals pose special challenges because they have many competing slip and twinning systems. Here, we report on time-resolved, in situ, synchrotron Laue x-ray diffraction measurements during shock compression and release of magnesium single crystals that are subjected to compression along the c-axis. Significant twinning was observed directly during stress release following shock compression; during compression, only dislocation slip was observed. Our measurements unambiguously distinguish between twinning and dislocation slip on nanosecond timescales in a shocked hexagonal-close-packed metal.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Quantum dynamics of cold atomic gas with SU(1,1) symmetry

Motivated by recent advances in quantum dynamics, we investigate the dynamics of the system with SU(1,1) symmetry. Instead of performing the time-ordered integral for the evolution operator of the time-dependent Hamiltonian, we show that the time evolution operator can be expressed as an SU(1,1) group element. Since the SU(1,1) group describes the “rotation” on a hyperbolic surface, the dynamics can be visualized on a Poincaré disk, a stereographic projection of the upper hyperboloid. As an example, we present the trajectory of the revival of Bose-Einstein condensation and that of the scale-invariant Fermi gas on the Poincaré disk. Further considering quantum gases in an oscillating lattice, we also study the dynamics of the system with time-dependent single-particle dispersion.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Nature Versus Nurture: A Bayesian Framework for Assessing Apparent Correlations between Planetary Orbital Properties and Stellar Ages

Many exoplanets have orbital characteristics quite different from those seen in our own solar system, including planets locked in orbital resonances and planets on orbits that are elliptical or highly inclined from their host star’s spin axis. It is debated whether the wide variety in system architecture is primarily due to differences in formation conditions (nature) or due to evolution over time (nurture). Identifying trends between planetary and stellar properties, including stellar age, can help distinguish between these competing theories and offer insights as to how planets form and evolve. However, it can be challenging to determine whether observed trends between planetary properties and stellar age are driven by the age of the system—pointing to evolution over time being an important factor—or other parameters to which the age may be related, such as stellar mass or stellar temperature. The situation is complicated further by the possibilities of selection biases, small number statistics, uncertainties in stellar age, and orbital evolution timescales that are typically much shorter than the range of observed ages. Here, we develop a Bayesian statistical framework to assess the robustness of such observed correlations and to determine whether they are indeed due to evolutionary processes, are more likely to reflect different formation scenarios, or are merely coincidental. We apply this framework to reported trends between stellar age and 2:1 orbital resonances, spin–orbit misalignments, and hot Jupiters’ orbital eccentricities. We find strong support for the nurture hypothesis only in the final case.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Real-time tracking of structural evolution in 2D MXenes using theory-enhanced machine learning

In situ Electron Energy Loss Spectroscopy (EELS) combined with Transmission Electron Microscopy (TEM) has traditionally been pivotal for understanding how material processing choices affect local structure and composition. However, the ability to monitor and respond to ultrafast transient changes, now achievable with EELS and TEM, necessitates innovative analytical frameworks. Here, we introduce a machine learning (ML) framework tailored for the real-time assessment and characterization of in operando EELS Spectrum Images (EELS-SI). We focus on 2D MXenes as the sample material system, specifically targeting the understanding and control of their atomic-scale structural transformations that critically influence their electronic and optical properties. This approach requires fewer labeled training data points than typical deep learning classification methods. By integrating computationally generated structures of MXenes and experimental datasets into a unified latent space using Variational Autoencoders (VAE) in a unique training method, our framework accurately predicts structural evolutions at latencies pertinent to closed-loop processing within the TEM. This study presents a critical advancement in enabling automated, on-the-fly synthesis and characterization, significantly enhancing capabilities for materials discovery and the precision engineering of functional materials at the atomic scale.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Modeling and Analysis of Wind Turbine Wake Vortex Evolution Due to Time-Constant Spatial Variations in Atmospheric Flow

Modern utility-scale wind turbines are evolving toward larger, lighter, and more flexible designs to meet the growing demand for renewable energy while minimizing logistical costs. However, these advancements in lightweight design result in heightened aeroelastic sensitivity, leading to complex interactions which affect the rotor’s capacity to withstand aerodynamic loading and the cascading effects that manifest in the wake’s vortex-structure evolution under variable atmospheric conditions. In this paper, we analyze the influence of stream-wise fluctuating atmospheric flow conditions on wind turbines with large, flexible rotors through simulations of the National Rotor Testbed (NRT) turbine, located at Sandia National Labs’ Scaled Wind Farm Technology (SWiFT) facility in Lubbock, Texas. The Common Ordinary Differential Equation Framework (CODEF) modeling suite is used to simulate wind turbine aeroelastic oscillatory behavior and wind farm vortex–wake interactions for a range of conditions with spatially variant atmospheric flow. CODEF solutions for turbine operation in wind conditions featuring only one parameter fluctuation are compared to wind conditions with several wind parameter variations in combination. By isolating individual inflow variations and comparing them to multi-parameter scenarios, we determine the contributions of each atmospheric factor to rotor dynamics, wake evolution, and downstream wind farm interactions. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effects of spatial variations in atmospheric flow on the topological evolution of wind turbine vortex wakes, which constitutes a gap in the current understanding of wind turbine wake dynamics. The insights gained from this study are particularly valuable for the development of wind farm control strategies aimed at mitigating the adverse effects of wake interactions, enhancing energy capture, and improving the overall stability of wind farm operations. With these insights, we aim to contribute to the development of modeling and simulation tools to optimize utility-scale wind power plants operating in diverse atmospheric environments.

Farrell, Alayna (ORCID:000000023555720X)↗

Experimental trends and theoretical descriptors for electrochemical reduction of carbon dioxide to formate over Sn-based bimetallic catalysts

The electrochemical carbon dioxide reduction reaction (CO 2 RR) using renewable energy sources is a promising solution for mitigating CO 2 emissions. In particular, CO 2 RR to formate represents a commercially profitable target. However, a comprehensive understanding of the catalytic mechanisms of Sn-based catalysts under reaction conditions, including the real-time structural evolution of catalysts and the role of all key reaction intermediates in influencing the CO 2 RR selectivity, is still lacking. The current study reports a framework to study the selectivity preference of Sn-based bimetallic catalysts using a combination of electrochemical measurements, in situ characterization, and density functional theory (DFT) calculations. The addition of a second metal (Co, Ni, Ag, Zn, Ga, Bi) was found to play a vital role in affecting the CO 2 RR performance. In situ X-ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) measurements revealed a dynamic evolution in the Sn valence state induced by different secondary metals. A multidimensional descriptor involving all the key reaction intermediates was developed to assess formate selectivity using a 2-dimensional volcano plot. Finally, this research offers an effective framework for understanding CO 2 RR catalytic selectivity by considering both the real-time structural evolution of catalysts and all the key intermediates involved.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A Real Time Investigation of Morphological Evolution During Solidification of Different Alloy Systems

Solidification phenomenon which occur at the solid/liquid (s/I) interface play a major role in the determination of structure and hence the technologically important properties of a casting. However, metals being opaque, conclusions related to several important phenomenon such as boundary layer thickness, morphological evolution, and eutectic and cell spacing are deduced from quenching experiments and subsequent post solidification metallographic analysis. Consequently, limited information is obtained about the dynamics of the process. This paper will discuss the recent efforts at the Space Science Laboratory, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, to view and quantify in-situ and in real time the dynamics of the solidification process and to measure interfacial undercooling. First, a high resolution x-ray transmission microscope (XTM) has been developed to monitor fundamental interfacial phenomena during directional solidification of metals and alloys. The XTM operates in the range of 10-100 KeV and through projection is capable of achieving magnification of up to 16OX. Secondly, an innovative collapsible furnace has been designed to quantify interfacial undercooling by measuring the temperature of a moving s/I interface in reference to a fixed s/l interface. This measurement technique is non-intrusive in nature and is based on the Seebeck principle. In this paper real time results obtained to characterize the dynamics of irregular eutectic spacing will be presented. As an example fiber to lamella or plate transition in the Al-Al2Au eutectic system will be discussed. Further, a resolution limit of 25 micron has permitted viewing in real time morphological instability and cellular growth in Al-Au and Al-Ag systems. Simultaneously, a systematic investigation has been carried out to measure interfacial undercooling for Pb-1 wt.% Sn at and near the marginal stability regime. In conjunction with the XTM observations this study attempts to validate existing relationships between undercooling and growth velocity during plane front growth, marginal stability regime, and stable cellular growth.

Sen, S.↗

Giant branch mixing and the ultimate fate of primordial deuterium in the Galaxy

The observed cosmic abundances of light elements are most consistent with each other, and with the predictions of big bang nucleosynthesis, if, contrary to the usual assumption, galactic chemical evolution reduces (D = He-3)/H with time. Chemical evolution models which accomplish this require that low-mass stars destroy He-3 in the envelope gas that they return to the interstellar medium. A simple argument based on the rates of limiting nuclear reactions shows that the same giant branch mixing process which appears to be needed to explain the observed C-12/C-13 and C/N ratios in 1-2 solar mass stars would indeed also probably destroy He-3 by a large factor in the bulk of the envelope material. The conclusion is that Galactic He-3/H estimates should not be trusted for setting an upper limit on primordial (D = He-3)/H. This removes the strongest lower bound on the cosmic baryon density from big bang nucleosynthesis and the only argument for abundant baryonic dark matter.

Hogan, Craig J.↗

Forecasting and Early Warning for Adversarial Targeting in Industrial Control Systems

A new feature-based forecasting framework of abnormalities is presented for early warning for cyber-physical control systems. The abnormalities may refer to intelligent cyber-attacks or naturally occurring faults and failures. Techniques presented here are aimed at protecting against unauthorized intrusions as well as fault prevention. Time series signals from system monitoring nodes are converted to features using feature discovery techniques. The feature behavior for each monitoring node is characterized in the form of decision boundaries, separating normal and abnormal space with operating data collected from the plant or by running virtual models of the plant. A set of ensemble state-space models are constructed for representing feature evolution in time-domain, where the ensembles are selected using Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) clustering. The forecasted outputs are anticipated time-evolution of features, computed by applying an adaptive Kalman predictor to each ensemble model. The overall features forecast is then obtained through dynamic ensemble averaging. This is done by projecting evolution of feature vector to future times in a receding horizon fashion. The features forecast are compared to the decision boundary to estimate if/when the feature vectors will cross the boundary. Simulation results in a high fidelity GE gas turbine platform, show the effectiveness of our approach for forecasting abnormalities.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Real-time View of Orbital Evolution in HM Cancri

HM Cancri is a double-degenerate binary with the shortest orbital period presently known. The 5.36 minute period is seen as a large amplitude, soft X-ray modulation, likely resulting from a hot-spot produced by direct impact accretion. With such a7short orbital period it is expected to have a gravitational wave luminosity comparable8to or larger than that in the X-ray, and its orbital frequency is known to be increasing9at a rate consistent with the expected loss of angular momentum due to gravitational radiation. We use recent Neutron Star Interior Composition Explorer(NICER) observations to extend its long-term X-ray timing baseline to almost 20 yr. Phase coherent timing of these new data combined with existing Chandra data demonstrates conclusively that the rate of orbital frequency increase is slowing, and we measure a non-zero f0=8.95 ± 1.4 x 1027 Hz s2, to our knowledge the first such measurement of its kind for any compact astrophysical binary. With the simultaneous high precision measurement of f0= 3.557 ± 0.005 x 1016 Hz s1, we estimate that the system17will reach its maximum orbital frequency of fmax 3.1172091 mHz in 1,260 ± 200 yr, indicating that the system is close to its epoch of maximum orbital frequency. Assuming mass transfer is conservative, the measurement of f<0 implies that the20accretion rate from the donor is growing, with 5.4 x 1010<M2<4.0 x 1010 M⊙yr2. Further quantitative comparisons with theoretical models should enable more precise inferences regarding its current evolutionary state.

White dwarfs↗

The Evolution of Team-X: 25 Years of Concurrent Engineering Design Experience

Established in 1995 in response to NASA’s “Faster, Better, Cheaper” era, Team-X was born from a need to perform rapid space mission design for principal investigator-led competed proposals. The success and sustainability of Team-X over the 25 years that have followed is directly attributable to the Team-X business model and its evolution over time. While dozens of organizations and institutions have emulated the Team-X design process, there are nuances to the Team-X business model that are unique to JPL, and explain why it is different than other concurrent design teams. One of the key components of a business model is the customer segments that are served. Team-X was founded to conduct the Pre-Phase A work necessary to formulate a portfolio of multiple planetary mission concepts, but has since expanded to include the capability to conduct studies for Earth science, astrophysics, and heliophysics missions as well as Human Exploration and Operations missions and space technology development. Team-X delivers value to its clients both in terms of speed and cost. Team-X has also added value by creating teams to enable the development of Instrument and SmallSat Concepts. Value has further been enhanced through a revision of its process for reviews and the addition of pre-design architecting capabilities. Other aspects of the Team-X infrastructure, in addition to study process, have enabled it to succeed for over a quarter century. From our most important resource, the people, our tools, especially for cost estimating, as well as our increasing capable IT infrastructure have contributed to our capability to meet the demands of our clients. The Team-X business model and its evolution over time, position it well for success in the decades to come.

Murphy, Jonathan↗

Algebraic compression of quantum circuits for Hamiltonian evolution

Here unitary evolution under a time-dependent Hamiltonian is a key component of simulation on quantum hardware. Synthesizing the corresponding quantum circuit is typically done by breaking the evolution into small time steps, also known as Trotterization, which leads to circuits the depth of which scales with the number of steps. When the circuit elements are limited to a subset of SU(4) - or equivalently, when the Hamiltonian may be mapped onto free fermionic models - several identities exist that combine and simplify the circuit. Based on this, we present an algorithm that compresses the Trotter steps into a single block of quantum gates using algebraic relations between adjacent circuit elements. This results in a fixed depth time evolution for certain classes of Hamiltonians. We explicitly show how this algorithm works for several spin models, and demonstrate its use for adiabatic state preparation of the transverse field Ising model.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

The evolution of cooling flows - Self-similar cooling waves

Similarity solutions are presented for the time-dependent evolution of cooling flows. A cooling flow expands when the cooling time computed from the initial gas distribution increases with radius. If certain simplifying conditions are met, the evolution of the resulting cooling wave becomes self-similar. The similarity solutions obtained here assumed subsonic flow, which is valid in the outer parts of observed cooling flows; they are matched to transonic accretion solutions valid in the central parts. The models are applied to the cooling flow onto M87, with unsatisfactory agreement at small radius. A local linear stability analysis shows that the similarity solution suffers isobaric thermal instability, suggesting that the neglect of star formation may be responsible for the poor agreement. The similarity solution suggests that the cooling flow around M87 was more vigorous in the past.

Bertschinger, Edmund↗

Real-Time Modulation of Hydrogen Evolution Activity of Graphene Electrodes Using Mechanical Strain

This paper reports the effect of mechanically applied elastic strain on the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) activity of graphene under acidic conditions. Here, applied tensile strain of 0.2% on a graphene electrode is shown to lead to a 1–3% increase of HER current. Tensile strain increases HER activity while compressive strain decreases it. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations using a periodic graphene slab model show increasing in the adsorption energy of H atom with growing tensile strain, leading to a corresponding enhancement of current density in HER, similar to that observed experimentally.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Robust negativity in the quantum-to-classical transition of Kerr dynamics

Here, we quantify the quantum-to-classical transition of the single-mode Kerr nonlinear dynamics in the presence of loss. We establish three timescales that govern the dynamics, each with distinct characteristics. For times short compared with the Ehrenfest time, the evolution is classical, characterized by Gaussian dynamics. For sufficiently long times, as we increase the initial photon number, unitary Kerr evolution would generate macroscopic superpositions of coherent states (so-called kitten states). However, this is severely restricted in the presence of small photon loss, and the expectation values of observables coincide with their classical values. The intermediate timescale, however, shows resilient quantum behavior in the macroscopic limit. We show that in the mean-field non-Gaussian regime, the Kerr Hamiltonian (with small photon loss) generates a significant amount of Wigner-negativity, and classical flow is recovered only if the loss rate grows with system size. Our results broaden the usual understanding of quantum-to-classical transitions and demonstrate the potential for creating robust nonclassical resources for continuous-variable quantum information processing in the presence of loss.

Raza, Mohsin [University of New Mexico, Albuquerqu↗

Enhancements and Evolution of the Real Time Mission Monitor

The Real Time Mission Monitor (RTMM) is a visualization and information system that fuses multiple Earth science data sources, to enable real time decision-making for airborne and ground validation experiments. Developed at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Marshall Space Flight Center, RTMM is a situational awareness, decision-support system that integrates satellite imagery, radar, surface and airborne instrument data sets, model output parameters, lightning location observations, aircraft navigation data, soundings, and other applicable Earth science data sets. The integration and delivery of this information is made possible using data acquisition systems, network communication links, network server resources, and visualizations through the Google Earth virtual globe application. RTMM has proven extremely valuable for optimizing individual Earth science airborne field experiments. Flight planners, mission scientists, instrument scientists and program managers alike appreciate the contributions that RTMM makes to their flight projects. We have received numerous plaudits from a wide variety of scientists who used RTMM during recent field campaigns including the 2006 NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses (NAMMA), 2007 Tropical Composition, Cloud, and Climate Coupling (TC4), 2008 Arctic Research of the Composition of the Troposphere from Aircraft and Satellites (ARCTAS) missions, the 2007-2008 NOAA-NASA Aerosonde Hurricane flights and the 2008 Soil Moisture Active-Passive Validation Experiment (SMAP-VEX). Improving and evolving RTMM is a continuous process. RTMM recently integrated the Waypoint Planning Tool, a Java-based application that enables aircraft mission scientists to easily develop a pre-mission flight plan through an interactive point-and-click interface. Individual flight legs are automatically calculated for altitude, latitude, longitude, flight leg distance, cumulative distance, flight leg time, cumulative time, and satellite overpass intersections. The resultant flight plan is then generated in KML and quickly posted to the Google Earth-based RTMM for interested scientists to view the planned flight track and then compare it to the actual real time flight progress. A description of the system architecture, components, and applications along with reviews and animations of RTMM during the field campaigns, plus planned enhancements and future opportunities will be presented.

Goodman, Michael↗