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At least 1,225 records · Page 68

Yes, No, Maybe So: Human Factors Considerations for Fostering Calibrated Trust in Foundation Models Under Uncertainty

High-stakes analytical environments require analysts to evaluate evidence and generate conclusions to inform critical decisions often under conditions of uncertainty. Probabilistic decision-making based on incomplete or inaccurate information can reduce productivity, compromise national interests, and endanger public safety. Researchers are developing expert systems built on foundation models (FMs) to support analysts’ decision-making processes by enabling human-artificial intelligence (AI) teaming, in part through the quantification and expression of uncertainty information. As FMs continue to mature, it is imperative to correspondingly consider analysts’ needs for appropriately interpreting and using uncertainty information. However, prior research indicates that it remains unclear how analysts engage with FM-generated uncertainty information and the extent to which these interactions influence trust in, and reliance on, expert systems. We plan to review the state of the science and conduct an exploratory, qualitative study to (a) understand how properly communicated uncertainty can foster calibrated trust and appropriate reliance and (b) identify approaches for effectively conveying FM-generated uncertainty information during analytical workflows. We will administer semi-structured interviews with analysts from a specific high-stakes analytical environment to collect their current experiences with job-related uncertainty and their impressions when viewing FM-generated uncertainty information. During the interview protocol, participants will be presented with several different FM outputs and invited to discuss their thoughts and beliefs about the uncertainty information displayed. Participants may provide insights into how trust and reliance may be influenced by uncertainty. The results of this study will help us to better understand how analysts currently interpret and use uncertainty information. Our findings may inform human factors recommendations for effectively conveying uncertainty information to foster calibrated trust in, and appropriate reliance on, expert systems. Interaction designers and FM developers can use this knowledge to enhance human-AI teaming and ensure the responsible deployment of FM-based expert systems in analytical workflows.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Additively manufacturing high-temperature aluminum alloy for automotive engine pistons

The purpose of the project was to evaluate DuAlumin-3D, an ORNL designed Al alloy, for additive manufacturing of high-performance automotive components. The project consisted of additively manufacturing a cylindrical block of representative material which was then heat treated before machining into test coupons. Testing included tensile tests as a function of temperature, high-cycle fatigue testing as a function of temperature, density and elastic modulus measurements, and thermophysical property measurements. Fractography was also performed on failed high-cycle fatigue specimens. The results were compared against benchmark AM Al alloys and current high-performance conventionally manufactured alloys. Overall, the DuAlumin-3D material outperformed the incumbent materials in mechanical properties, especially at elevated temperatures, while maintaining broadly similar thermophysical properties. The results of this study support further maturation of the material for additive manufacturing of high-performance automotive components.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Distributed Ledger Technology Preliminary Performance Assessment for Applications in Utilities Operational Technology

This paper provides descriptions of the key components of different distributed ledger technology platforms. Distributed ledger technology (DLT) allows for distribution of databases among different organizations and devices. The platforms use cryptographically linked “blocks” to store and verify transactional information between these organizations. DLT increases data security, data integrity, trust among its participants. Different organizations are looking to deploy this distributed and decentralized approach to avoid the single-point-of-failure vulnerabilities associated with centralized data repositories. In this study we examine twelve different DLT platforms. There is agreement within the community that of all the platforms considered here, Hyperledger and Ethereum are the most mature when it comes to privacy and permissions. These DLT platforms are being used for applications such as transactive energy, health care, and the food and goods supply chain. However, further development is required to realize the full promise of DLT. Our assessment includes a general description of each DLT and its key characteristics. Such characteristics include consensus protocol and cryptography used, public vs. private, and permissioned or permissionless. The selection and implementation of a DLT architecture depends heavily on the use case and performance requirements. During this research we found key parameters to measure performance and existing tools for assessment. Four different parameters were identified 1) consensus, 2) throughput, 3) latency, and 4) scalability. The architectures of Hyperledger Caliper and Blockbench are described as different performance assessment frameworks. From this preliminary study it is evident that there are dissimilarities on the performance assessments methods developers and users are characterizing DLT architectures. The purpose of this paper is to identify key parameters to test performance, tools that are being used and provide information on results from previous studies.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

High Performance Solvent for NGCC Flue Gas CO 2 Capture (Final Technical Report)

Amine-based solvent absorption is the most mature and reliable technology for large scale CO 2 capture, dating back to the 1930s when monoethanolamine (MEA) was used to treat acid gases from oil refineries. However, while strategic advancements have optimized the CO2 capture process, the cost of capture remains high, where current estimates suggest that CO 2 capture costs are around $\$$72/tonne of CO 2 . To address this, solvent development and optimization have become a focus of current research. This project sought to develop a high-performance solvent to reduce the overall cost of CO 2 capture from NGCC flue gas. Here, solvent optimization focused on: (1) reducing the energy required for CO 2 desorption in a reboiler, (2) improving CO 2 absorption and desorption reaction kinetics, (3) improving solvent stability, and (4) reducing environmental impacts. Susteon has developed and evaluated a promoted solvent, Sustenol™, for NGCC flue gas CO 2 capture. The optimized Sustenol™ also shows a higher dynamic CO 2 absorption capacity of ~0.5 mol CO2 /mol amine compared to 0.25 mol CO2 /mol amine for 30 wt% MEA. Additionally, the solvent is oxidatively, thermally and hydrothermally stable, which leads to lower solvent loss and emissions. These advancements have resulted in a solvent regeneration energy of 2.16 GJ/tonne of CO 2 which is >30% lower than current state-of-the-art commercial and emerging solvents. Combined with empirical data from the bench and pilot scale testing, this preliminary TEA study indicated the cost of CO 2 capture by Sustenol™ for 97% CO 2 removal at $\$$54/tonne and for 90% removal at $\$$49/tonne, with a pathway to achieve $\$$45/tonne of CO 2 with continued process and solvent advancements. Susteon has developed a technology roadmap to reduce the cost of CO 2 capture to <$\$$45/tonne for NGCC flue gas. Susteon plans to derisk this technology for commercial deployment through comprehensive solvent degradation testing, long-term testing in a pilot plant at 5 tonne CO2 /day and demonstration scale testing at 100 tonne CO2 /day with NGCC flue gas and engineering design studies to qualify Sustenol™ as a drop-in replacement solvent.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Enhancement of Carbon Capture Reactor Performance (Final Technical Report)

Significant challenges are still present in post-combustion CO 2 capture and new technologies and advanced components are needed to significantly advance the deployment of CO 2 capture for natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) plants. Critical elements of CO 2 capture that still need to be addressed include how to increase CO 2 mass transfer in the absorber column with liquid to gas ratios of <1.2, while reducing the size of the absorber column to reduce capital costs. Research involving chemical mechanism with design, synthesis, and assembly of materials with targeted functionally were combined with advanced additive manufacturing techniques towards development of enhanced CO 2 capture reactors that can lead to safe, reliable, and low-cost carbon capture technologies. The objective of the project was to develop and test novel carbon capture materials and reactor components that contribute to increased CO 2 mass transfer through increased turbulent gas-liquid interface and improved solvent wetting within the absorber. A technoeconomic analysis (TEA) was completed showing how the proposed technology decreases capital costs by reducing the size of the absorber column and the amount of packing required for high CO 2 capture rates. A technology maturation plan (TMP) was also developed to describe the current technology readiness levels (TRL) and outline additional research and development (R&D) needed to further develop these advanced components for NGCC CO 2 capture plants. The successful completion of this project has shown a pathway to reduce the absorber size and associated construction costs of post-combustion NGCC CO 2 capture systems at 97% capture and promote the utilization of abundant natural gas for production of reliable electricity.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

LAMP Project Facility and Space Requirements

The project will require significant space over the lifetime of the project to successfully execute design, technology maturation, component testing and verification, and final removal and installation. The types of space required falls into three general categories: office, storage, and laboratory. Figure 1 below summarizes the project space requirements by project lifecycle. The specific color coding indicates the availability (and potential risk to the project) of the particular type of space: green indicates space that is already allocated and in use by the LAMP project; yellow indicates space that is expected to be easily transitioned from its current use to the project; red indicates a space that is use by multiple users or other projects, and will most likely require high-level negotiations and planning to become available to the project. Figure 2 summarizes the LAMP Space Requirements by calendar year and type throughout the duration of the project. As can be seen in Fig. 2, the maximum space needed by the project exceeds 40,000 square feet, with an average space requirement over the lifetime of the project equal to approximately 25,000 square feet.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Hourly Load Profile Dataset for Electric Port Cargo Handling Equipment in the United States

Historically, ports have relied on fossil fuels, particularly diesel, as their primary energy source. Transitioning to electric cargo handling equipment (eCHE) offers a promising solution, as this relatively mature technology eliminates tailpipe emissions, reduces harmful airborne particulates, lowers noise pollution, and supports decarbonization. This study develops an initial estimation of hourly electricity demand for eCHE at the top 25 container ports (by tonnage) in the United States. These datasets, accessible at data.nrel.gov/submissions/281, provide valuable insights into the electricity demand patterns and potential grid impacts associated with widespread eCHE adoption, forming a foundation for future refinement based on stakeholder feedback.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Testing and Expertise for Marine Energy (TEAMER) Program Support: MRE Dynamic Seals Performance Investigation (CRADA Final Report)

This TEAMER project allows NREL to use and augment a custom special-purpose testing system to perform accelerated-life testing of rotating seals for use in the Marine Renewable Energy (“MRE”) industry. The requirements of this industry are different from most applications including marine, and relevant performance information is lacking. In order to achieve low costs with extremely effective and reliable operation over long periods deployed underwater, more study of the best seals and arrangements of seals must be performed. By developing a rigorous framework for such testing, NREL hopes to greatly improve understanding of the relevant factors and provide significant data to the industry. Further, this work can inform standards developments for this critical component of MRE systems, leading to maturation and improved acceptance of the industry in commerce.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Advancements in NEAMS Tool Capabilities for Multiphysics Simulation of Fast Reactor Core Bowing and Identification of Validation Test Data

Under the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) Program, an integrated multiphysics approach is being developed to model the core bowing phenomena important to liquid metal-cooled fast reactors. Core bowing is an important passive safety mechanism in liquid metal-cooled fast reactors and involves Multiphysics effects including radiation transport, fluid flow, heat transfer, and mechanical response to temperature and flux gradients. This report summarizes recent progress on developing a multiphysics, MOOSE-based workflow to predict core bowing and associated reactivity feedback. Last year, thermal fluids and mechanics were coupled on a multi-assembly benchmark problem based on ABR-1000 design. This year, the reactor physics code Griffin was assessed for readiness of core bowing calculations. Preliminary integration of Griffin’s ring-heterogeneous model with thermal fluids and thermal mechanics solvers was performed. Specifically, thermal-mechanics and reactor physics were coupled for single- and multi-assembly problems, and reactor physics and subchannel methods were coupled for a single assembly model. Finally, the workflow of all three physics was preliminarily demonstrated on a single assembly model. Caveats and future development needed have been identified. To supplement the multiphysics demonstration, verification and assessment efforts of thermos-mechanical capabilities for modeling thermo-mechanical core bowing behavior were continued by analyzing IAEA Verification Problem 5 which includes radiation swelling and creep. Additionally, a small core reactor physics benchmark defined by Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA) was performed to assess neutronics models for estimating reactivity feedback. Finally, Fast Flux Test Facility (FFTF) validation test data for core bowing phenomena has been identified and summarized, with a recommended path forward for validation once this capability is mature.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Environmentally Friendly Use of Carbon Ore for Advanced Building Materials for Homes and Commercial Buildings

Through this effort, X-MAT CCC sought to confirm the utility and commercialization potential of carbon-derived building materials (CDBM) technology licensed from our partner, Semplastics. These CDBM products contain at least 52% coal-derived carbon by mass. Including the binders within the resin, the products contain at least 71% carbon by mass overall, meeting a key criterion for DE-FOA-0002185 – Area of Interest (AOI) 5 – Design Research and Development, Validation, and Fabrication of a Prototype Carbon-Based Building. The Phase II project has resulted in a technology demonstrator prototype structure, a detailed design for a carbon-based building, and updated techno-economic analysis (TEA) including detailed market surveys to show the commercial viability of CDBM products. We pursued the following objectives in Phase II: (1) construction of a partial building shell as a technology demonstrator, (2) testing of CDBM products, individually and in assemblies, (3) demonstration of bonding of CDBM and traditional building materials (TBM) in structural applications, (4) production of a detailed design for a carbon-based building, and (5) an update of the TEA that was performed in Phase I. In Phase II, X-MAT CCC and our industry team performed the development and testing needed to improve the maturity of the technology from a Technology Readiness Level (TRL) of 5 to TRL 6. CDBM have been shown by our partner Semplastics to exhibit a number of high-performance characteristics, including high strength (five times the flexure strength of the best commercial brick, and more than twice the compressive strength of construction-grade concrete block), lower density, improved mechanical durability and abrasion resistance, very high temperature stability, and resistance to chemicals, acids, salts, and water. These properties offer significant improvements over conventional building materials. Phase II built upon the work accomplished in Phase I by performing technical and economic research and development to confirm the viability of CDBM as commercial products in various markets. Acknowledgment: This material is based upon work supported by the Department of Energy under Award Number DE-FE0031985.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Science of Scale-Up: Accelerating chemical manufacturing technology development workshop report

The Science of Scale-Up: Accelerating chemical manufacturing technology development workshop report outlines key insights and actionable recommendations for accelerating the scale-up of disruptive chemical manufacturing technologies. Convened in October 2024, the workshop brought together approximately fifty experts from academia, industry, national laboratories, and government agencies to address the barriers and solutions for maturing technologies from proof-of-concept to commercialization. The report identifies seven critical themes for enabling faster scale-up. These themes were explored through general discussions and breakout sessions focused on three specific chemical manufacturing technologies—electrochemical, thermochemical, and biological conversion processes. The findings emphasize the importance of interdisciplinary collaboration, robust funding mechanisms, and shared resources to overcome technical barriers and accelerate technology deployment. The report also highlights technology-specific challenges and opportunities, including the need for advanced materials, scalable manufacturing processes, and integrated testing environments. For electrochemical manufacturing processes, durability and material optimization are key priorities, while thermochemical processes require novel reactor designs and better supply chain integration. Biological conversion processes face hurdles in strain engineering, reactor design, and process integration. Across all technologies, the workshop emphasized the importance of leveraging computational tools, standardized protocols, and collaborative networks to address knowledge gaps and technical barriers. By acting on these insights, stakeholders can reduce the timeline for scaling up critical chemical manufacturing technologies, ensuring their timely impact on manufacturing competitiveness, and environmental sustainability.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Technology and Innovation Roadmap

This Technology and Innovation Roadmap outlines the Hanford Tank Waste Operations & Closure, LLC (H2C) strategic approach for advancing the Hanford Tank Waste Treatment Mission (HTWTM) through technology development. Our focus is on addressing technology needs that address risks, enhance efficiency, ensure worker safety, and uphold environmental standards. This Roadmap identifies key technology initiatives essential for the successful completion of the Hanford Site tank waste cleanup. Updated annually, it incorporates insights from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the Integrated Tank Disposition Contractor (ITDC) H2C, recognized national lab experts, and fieldwork specialists. The Roadmap includes approximately 100 technology elements, each detailed in Technology Element Description Summaries (TEDS) and summarized in catalog sheets. These elements are crucial for aligning technology development activities with mission objectives across the HTWTM. With the initiation of the Direct-Feed Low-Activity Waste (DFLAW) program and the operation of the Tank Side Cesium Removal (TSCR) system, our focus now shifts to the support of scaled up production in East Area; applying similar and exploring new treatment alternatives to West Area Tank Waste; and advancing retrieval, delivery and treatment technologies for waste managed as high-level waste (HLW) across the Hanford tank farms. This transition is reflected in the technology and maturation (TM&E) charts, which highlight the evolving technology priorities. This document serves as a guide for navigating the challenges and opportunities in technology development at the Hanford Site.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Design Basis Document / Owner’s Technical Specification for Nitrate Salt Systems in CSP Projects (Final Technical Report)

The number of commercial coal, gas, and nuclear projects built over the past 100 years number in the thousands. As such, there is a large database, available to a wide range of commercial engineering contractors, on proven designs. In essence, unsuccessful designs have, through generations of iterations, been identified and then deleted from further consideration. In contrast, the number of commercial parabolic trough projects using nitrate salt for the thermal storage media is perhaps 60. Further, the number of commercial central receiver projects using nitrate salt as the working fluid is on the order of 20, including estimates for China. Given the relative immaturity of salt technology, and commercial pressures to successfully bid new solar projects into a mature electricity market, solar projects often promise more than has been delivered. The Design Basis Document / Owner’s Technical Specification is a first step in the iteration process. The report describes the successful features of commercial projects, outlines a range equipment and system failures in projects that didn’t operate as intended, and provides a draft set of design changes intended to correct the known problems. The product of the study is 3 volumes of technical material; one volume is on parabolic trough technologies; a second is on central receiver technologies, and the third is on potential design changes to parabolic trough and central receiver projects. The 3 volumes, which total some 590 pages, can be found at https://www.solardynllc.com/csp-plant-technologies. One of the principal topics in the report is the use of functional or prescriptive specifications. Functional specifications describe what the equipment needs to do, consistent with the minimum legal requirements of the local jurisdictions. The details of how this is to be accomplished is developed by the engineering contractor. Prescriptive specifications, which are developed by the Owner, prescribe to the engineering contractor how the functional requirements are to be met. This arrangement ensures that the favorable experience from a previous project is repeated. One example is the design code for the hot salt tank in central receiver projects. The closest design basis is API Standard 650 Welded Steel Tanks for Oil Storage. However, the maximum design temperature in API 650 is 260 °C. As such, solar projects have typically adopted a hybrid Code approach, in which allowable material stresses are taken from ASME Section II Materials. Further, since the tanks experience daily changes in temperature and in (static) pressure, and since portions of the tank can operate at stresses beyond the elastic range, the low cycle fatigue life of the tank is conducted using the rules of Section VIII Division 2. However, in a recent study by NREL, the principal damage mechanism was identified as creep rather than fatigue. Further, design stresses permitted under Section VIII Division 2, corresponding to a fatigue life of 30 years, result in projected creep lifetimes of only 2 to 5 years. An alternate design approach, prescribed by the Owner, would be based on Code sections intended for high temperature service in the creep regime. A candidate is Section III Division 5. Granted, this is a nuclear code section, and it’s use would not likely be mandated by local jurisdictions. However, the effects of creep have been deemed to be of sufficient importance that one nuclear project developer, and one central receiver project developer, have stipulated in the tank design specification that the equipment be designed to the requirements of Section III Division 5.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Opportunities in AI for Electric Grid Applications at Sandia National Laboratories

​​This white paper describes ongoing work and portfolios at Sandia National Laboratories that could be leveraged in AI for electric grid applications. This document highlights several areas where Sandia has developed capabilities that can be used in future work. These areas are human factors, uncertainty quantification, explainability, and trust maturity frameworks. This report provides a look at future collaboration opportunities within the AI for electric grid space at Sandia.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Reducing Mass of Steel Auto Bodies using Thin Advanced High Strength Steel with Carbon-Fiber Reinforced Epoxy

Diversitak, a company based in Detroit, MI, has developed a proprietary, low specific gravity, carbon fiber-reinforced epoxy (CFRE) under U.S. patent number 9,963,58832. Preliminary testing on this new material conducted in collaboration with ArcelorMittal Steel Company proved out the CFRE concept. A thin layer of this CFRE was applied to a stamped sheet of steel with residual stamping oils from a mill, in a time corresponding to automotive processing (e.g., ~15 seconds), and processed following automotive e-coat procedures (phosphating + 175–200°C heating), to complete the curing. No problems with adherence or performance were noted. While the CFRE does add weight to a thin gauge steel panel, it weighs much less than what is displaced by using thicker conventional mild steel gauges. The application of the coating showed a significant increased dent resistance, oil canning resistance, and part stiffness.This current two-year project was designed to mature this new technology to near manufacturing readiness to reduce the weight of a vehicle and lower the cost of weight reduction. The process involves the use of thinner gauge steels than are currently used. The collaborative development team included two industrial manufacturers: Diversitak and ArcelorMittal Steel Company; LightMAT; and two National Laboratories: Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and Idaho National Laboratory (INL). The team developed a new manufacturing process to reduce the weight of a vehicle and lower the cost of weight reduction, as well as a better understanding of how to apply the coating so that it will perform to a high standard in-service. The team also performed an in-depth study to determine the long-term durability of the materials manufactured using this technology and well-known automotive industry standard tests.The overall process involved stiffening the thinner gauge steel by applying the CFRE on only one side. To accomplish this goal, the optimal reinforcement fiber length and fiber concentration was first determined. This was followed by measuring the coefficient of thermal expansion (CTE) in all three directions, so it could be fed into manufacturing models and methods for rapidly and inexpensively applying the coating. This was followed by panel level evaluations of the coating and steel combination, and then by full part demonstration of the technology on door panels. The final step was corrosion testing of the parts.ArcelorMittal characterized the advanced high strength steel (AHSS) (e.g., metallurgy-heat treatment for required AHSS properties as a function of the sheet thickness, state of internal stress) and quantified CFRE adhesion to the steel as a function of sheet preparation (e.g., rolling and stamping).ORNL optimized the fiber length, fiber concentration, and coating thickness for best vehicle function and performance at the least cost. Along with the suppliers, ORNL developed a durable CFRE application process (e.g., gun material, design, robotic dispensing process) and identified the adhesion stability of the CFRE during process holding. An approach to ensure that application/curing timing conforms to conventional assembly line speed and plant cycle times was determined. ORNL also determined the CTE of the material in all three directions and performed material scanning electron microscopy (SEM) analyses.INL characterized the corrosion properties of the steel panels coated with CFRE. The panels were investigated for corrosion resistance and stability as replacement materials used in automotive body panels to reduce mass. The coupons tested at INL were supplied by Diversitak after an optimized CFRE formulation was achieved in the already coated form for corrosion testing.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗