Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Error estimation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,225 records · Page 68

Electron-impact excitation of the Cameron system (a(3)pi yields x(1) Sigma) transition of CO

The results of experimental observations of the Cameron bands of CO produced by electron impacts with CO and CO2 are presented, noting that the bands have been detected in the atmospheres of both Mars and Venus. The study was initiated to account for Conway's (1981) data that the Martian airglow displayed cross-sectional dissociative excitation of the Cameron bands seven time larger than laboratory measurements by Ajello (1971). Spectrometer measurements were obtained of processes occurring in a chamber filled with CO or CO2 gas being bombarded by an electron beam. A value three times higher than the previous lab oratory estimate was obtained. Reasons for the discrepancy are discussed, including a present factor of two error in laboratory estimates.

Erdman, P. W.↗

Using Visual Odometry to Estimate Position and Attitude

A computer program in the guidance system of a mobile robot generates estimates of the position and attitude of the robot, using features of the terrain on which the robot is moving, by processing digitized images acquired by a stereoscopic pair of electronic cameras mounted rigidly on the robot. Developed for use in localizing the Mars Exploration Rover (MER) vehicles on Martian terrain, the program can also be used for similar purposes on terrestrial robots moving in sufficiently visually textured environments: examples include low-flying robotic aircraft and wheeled robots moving on rocky terrain or inside buildings. In simplified terms, the program automatically detects visual features and tracks them across stereoscopic pairs of images acquired by the cameras. The 3D locations of the tracked features are then robustly processed into an estimate of overall vehicle motion. Testing has shown that by use of this software, the error in the estimate of the position of the robot can be limited to no more than 2 percent of the distance traveled, provided that the terrain is sufficiently rich in features. This software has proven extremely useful on the MER vehicles during driving on sandy and highly sloped terrains on Mars.

Maimone, Mark↗

Southern California Megacity CO2, CH4, and CO Flux Estimates Using Ground- and Space-Based Remote Sensing and a Lagrangian Model

We estimate the overall CO2, CH4, and CO flux from the South Coast Air Basin using an inversion that couples Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) and Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) observations, with the Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model and the Open-source Data Inventory for Anthropogenic CO2 (ODIAC). Using TCCON data we estimate the direct net CO2 flux from the So-CAB to be 104±26 Tg CO2 yr(exp -1) for the study period of July 2013–August 2016. We obtain a slightly higher estimate of 120±30 Tg CO2 yr(exp -1) using OCO-2 data. These CO2 emission estimates are on the low end of previous work. Our net CH4 (360±90 Gg CH4 y(exp -1)) flux estimate is in agreement with central values from previous top-down studies going back to 2010 (342–440 Gg CH4 yr(exp -1)). CO emissions are estimated at 487±122 Gg CO yr(exp -1), much lower than previous top-down estimates (1440 Gg CO yr(exp -1)). Given the decreasing emissions of CO, this finding is not unexpected. We perform sensitivity tests to estimate how much errors in the prior, errors in the covariance, different inversion schemes, or a coarser dynamical model influence the emission estimates. Overall, the uncertainty is estimated to be 25%, with the largest contribution from the dynamical model. Lessons learned here may help in future inversions of satellite data over urban areas.

Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON)↗

Rotorcraft system identification techniques for handling qualities and stability and control evaluation

An integrated approach to rotorcraft system identification is described. This approach consists of sequential application of (1) data filtering to estimate states of the system and sensor errors, (2) model structure estimation to isolate significant model effects, and (3) parameter identification to quantify the coefficient of the model. An input design algorithm is described which can be used to design control inputs which maximize parameter estimation accuracy. Details of each aspect of the rotorcraft identification approach are given. Examples of both simulated and actual flight data processing are given to illustrate each phase of processing. The procedure is shown to provide means of calibrating sensor errors in flight data, quantifying high order state variable models from the flight data, and consequently computing related stability and control design models.

Hall, W. E., Jr.↗

A First Order Wavefront Estimation Algorithm for P1640 Calibrator

P1640 calibrator is a wavefront sensor working with the P1640 coronagraph and the Palomar 3000 actuator adaptive optics system (P3K) at the Palomar 200 inch Hale telescope. It measures the wavefront by interfering post-coronagraph light with a reference beam formed by low-pass filtering the blocked light from the coronagraph focal plane mask. The P1640 instrument has a similar architecture to the Gemini Planet Imager (GPI) and its performance is currently limited by the quasi-static speckles due to non-common path wavefront errors, which comes from the non-common path for the light to arrive at the AO wavefront sensor and the coronagraph mask. By measuring the wavefront after the coronagraph mask, the non-common path wavefront error can be estimated and corrected by feeding back the error signal to the deformable mirror (DM) of the P3K AO system. Here, we present a first order wavefront estimation algorithm and an instrument calibration scheme used in experiments done recently at Palomar observatory. We calibrate the P1640 calibrator by measuring its responses to poking DM actuators with a sparse checkerboard pattern at different amplitudes. The calibration yields a complex normalization factor for wavefront estimation and establishes the registration of the DM actuators at the pupil camera of the P1640 calibrator, necessary for wavefront correction. Improvement of imaging quality after feeding back the wavefront correction to the AO system demonstrated the efficacy of the algorithm.

Wavefront sensing↗

The effect of earth orientation errors in baseline determination

Baselines estimated from certain space techniques are susceptible to systematic errors affecting the relative coordinates. The set of parameters that describes the continuously changing relative orientation of the conventional terrestrial (CTS) and inertial (CIS) reference frames is one source of error. As a result of these errors, the coordinates of each terminal station may actually refer to a slightly different coordinate system and therefore errors will result when these coordinates are used to compute the length between the stations. The present paper examines the expected magnitudes of these errors and their possible presence in current solutions. To test for the presence of such errors, some of the NASA/GSFC preliminary SL5 monthly baseline variations during 1979-1981 were analyzed. It is found that the present level of accuracy and stability of the available parameters linking the CTS and CIS is unsatisfactory for centimeter level baseline length determinations. It is noted that the available options are either the use of strictly simultaneous SLR data sets or the improvement of the parameters linking the CTS and CIS.

Pavlis, E. C.↗

Estimation of diastolic intraventricular pressure gradients by Doppler M-mode echocardiography

Previous studies have shown that small intraventricular pressure gradients (IVPG) are important for efficient filling of the left ventricle (LV) and as a sensitive marker for ischemia. Unfortunately, there has previously been no way of measuring these noninvasively, severely limiting their research and clinical utility. Color Doppler M-mode (CMM) echocardiography provides a spatiotemporal velocity distribution along the inflow tract throughout diastole, which we hypothesized would allow direct estimation of IVPG by using the Euler equation. Digital CMM images, obtained simultaneously with intracardiac pressure waveforms in six dogs, were processed by numerical differentiation for the Euler equation, then integrated to estimate IVPG and the total (left atrial to left ventricular apex) pressure drop. CMM-derived estimates agreed well with invasive measurements (IVPG: y = 0.87x + 0.22, r = 0.96, P < 0.001, standard error of the estimate = 0.35 mmHg). Quantitative processing of CMM data allows accurate estimation of IVPG and tracking of changes induced by beta-adrenergic stimulation. This novel approach provides unique information on LV filling dynamics in an entirely noninvasive way that has previously not been available for assessment of diastolic filling and function.

Non-NASA Center↗

The NASA F-15 Intelligent Flight Control Systems: Generation II

The Second Generation (Gen II) control system for the F-15 Intelligent Flight Control System (IFCS) program implements direct adaptive neural networks to demonstrate robust tolerance to faults and failures. The direct adaptive tracking controller integrates learning neural networks (NNs) with a dynamic inversion control law. The term direct adaptive is used because the error between the reference model and the aircraft response is being compensated or directly adapted to minimize error without regard to knowing the cause of the error. No parameter estimation is needed for this direct adaptive control system. In the Gen II design, the feedback errors are regulated with a proportional-plus-integral (PI) compensator. This basic compensator is augmented with an online NN that changes the system gains via an error-based adaptation law to improve aircraft performance at all times, including normal flight, system failures, mispredicted behavior, or changes in behavior resulting from damage.

Buschbacher, Mark↗

Radiative Flux and Forcing Parameterization Error in Aerosol-Free Clear Skies

This article reports on the accuracy in aerosol- and cloud-free conditions of the radiation parameterizations used in climate models. Accuracy is assessed relative to observationally validated reference models for fluxes under present-day conditions and forcing (flux changes) from quadrupled concentrations of carbon dioxide. Agreement among reference models is typically within 1 W/m2, while parameterized calculations are roughly half as accurate in the longwave and even less accurate, and more variable, in the shortwave. Absorption of shortwave radiation is underestimated by most parameterizations in the present day and has relatively large errors in forcing. Error in present-day conditions is essentially unrelated to error in forcing calculations. Recent revisions to parameterizations have reduced error in most cases. A dependence on atmospheric conditions, including integrated water vapor, means that global estimates of parameterization error relevant for the radiative forcing of climate change will require much more ambitious calculations.

Climate↗

An Inertial Dual-State State Estimator for Precision Planetary Landing with Hazard Detection and Avoidance

The navigation filter architecture successfully deployed on the Morpheus flight vehicle is presented. The filter was developed as a key element of the NASA Autonomous Landing and Hazard Avoidance Technology (ALHAT) project and over the course of 15 free fights was integrated into the Morpheus vehicle, operations, and flight control loop. Flight testing completed by demonstrating autonomous hazard detection and avoidance, integration of an altimeter, surface relative velocity (velocimeter) and hazard relative navigation (HRN) measurements into the onboard dual-state inertial estimator Kalman flter software, and landing within 2 meters of the vertical testbed GPS-based navigation solution at the safe landing site target. Morpheus followed a trajectory that included an ascent phase followed by a partial descent-to-landing, although the proposed filter architecture is applicable to more general planetary precision entry, descent, and landings. The main new contribution is the incorporation of a sophisticated hazard relative navigation sensor-originally intended to locate safe landing sites-into the navigation system and employed as a navigation sensor. The formulation of a dual-state inertial extended Kalman filter was designed to address the precision planetary landing problem when viewed as a rendezvous problem with an intended landing site. For the required precision navigation system that is capable of navigating along a descent-to-landing trajectory to a precise landing, the impact of attitude errors on the translational state estimation are included in a fully integrated navigation structure in which translation state estimation is combined with attitude state estimation. The map tie errors are estimated as part of the process, thereby creating a dual-state filter implementation. Also, the filter is implemented using inertial states rather than states relative to the target. External measurements include altimeter, velocimeter, star camera, terrain relative navigation sensor, and a hazard relative navigation sensor providing information regarding hazards on a map generated on-the-fly.

Bishop, Robert H.↗

A comparison of microwave techniques for measuring rainfall

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate within a common framework a large number of techniques for nearly instantaneous microwave measurements of rainfall and to determine the range of rainfall rates best suited to the various techniques and estimators. The physical basis of a technique as transformed by measurement imperfections of real instruments determines the ultimate performance capability of any microwave rain estimator. While many of the defects of the measurement process apply to all techniques, the physics behind each estimator differs. A method is presented for objectively evaluating the physical bases of the techniques and for quantifying estimator performance for perfect instruments. These results are then tempered by standard measurement errors to yield more realistic results. Analysis demonstrates that, in general, the minimization of rainfall estimate errors over a wide range of rainfall rates requires the simultaneous application of more than one microwave rainfall measurement technique.

Jameson, A. R.↗

Magnitude error bounds for sampled-data frequency response obtained from the truncation of an infinite series, and compensator improvement program

The frequency response method of analyzing control system performance is discussed, and the difficulty of obtaining the sampled frequency response of the continuous system is considered. An upper bound magnitude error equation is obtained which yields reasonable estimates of the actual error. Finalization of the compensator improvement program is also reported, and the program was used to design compensators for Saturn 5/S1-C dry workshop and Saturn 5/S1-C Skylab.

Mitchell, J. R.↗

Stratospheric N2O5, CH4, and N2O Profiles from IR Solar Occultation Spectra

Stratospheric volume mixing ratio profiles of N2O5, CH4, and N2O have been retrieved from a set of 0.052/ cm resolution (FWHM) solar occultation spectra recorded at sunrise during a balloon flight from Aire sur I'Adour, France (44 deg N latitude) on 12 October 1990. The N2O5 results have been derived from measurements of the integrated absorption by the 1246/ cm band. Assuming a total intensity of 4.32 x 10(exp 17)cm(exp -1) molecule sq cm(exp -2) independent of temperature, the retrieved N2O5 volume mixing ratios in ppbv (parts per billion by volume, 10(exp -9)), interpolated to 2 km height spacings, are 1.64 +/- 0.49 at 37.5 km, 1.92 +/- 0.56 at 35.5 km, 2.06 +/- 0.47 at 33.5 km, 1.95 +/- 0.42 at 31.5 km, 1.60 +/- 0.33 at 29.5 km, 1.26 +/- 0.28 at 27.5 km, and 0.85 +/- 0.20 at 25.5 km. Error bars indicate the estimated I-sigma uncertainty including the error in the total band intensity (+/- 20% has been assumed). The retrieved profiles are compared with previous measurements and photochemical model results.

Peyeret, C. Camy↗

The shape of Eros

Monte Carlo simulations are presently used to optimize estimation, ascertain associated errors, and guide bias-correction procedures, for the Eros polar silhouette convex hull that has been estimated from radar echo spectra. This hull is trapezoidal; this nonaxisymmetric shape may account for odd harmonics in Eros' echo spectral signature as a function of rotation phase. Additional constraints have been obtained for the figure of Eros through the inversion of the optical lightcurve to estimate the asteroid's two-dimensional average of the three-dimensional shape. This 'mean cross-section' and the polar silhouette exhibit similar elongations.

Ostro, S. J.↗

Mean sea surface height of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current from Geosat data: Method and application

The mean sea surface height across the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) has been reconstructed from height variability measured by the Geosat altimeter without assuming prior knowledge of the geoid. For this study, an automated technique has been developed to estimate mean sea surface height for each satellite ground track using a meandering Gaussian jet model, and errors have been estimated using Monte Carlo simulation. The results are objectively mapped to produce a picture of the mean Subantarctic and Polar Fronts, which together comprise the major components of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. The meandering jet model explains between 40% and 70% of the height variance along the jet axes. The results show that the fronts are substantially steered by topography and that the jets have an average Gaussian width of about 44 km in the meridional direction and meander about 75 km to either side of their mean locations. The average height difference across the Subantarctic Front (SAF) is 0.7 m and across the Polar Front (PF) 0.6 m. The mean widths of the fronts are correlated with the size of the baroclinic Rossby radius.

Gille, Sarah T.↗

Estimation of the global average temperature with optimally weighted point gauges

This paper considers the minimum mean squared error (MSE) incurred in estimating an idealized Earth's global average temperature with a finite network of point gauges located over the globe. We follow the spectral MSE formalism given by North et al. (1992) and derive the optimal weights for N gauges in the problem of estimating the Earth's global average temperature. Our results suggest that for commonly used configurations the variance of the estimate due to sampling error can be reduced by as much as 50%.

Hardin, James W.↗

Crop area estimation based on remotely-sensed data with an accurate but costly subsample

Alternatives to sampling-theory stratified and regression estimators of crop production and timber biomass were examined. An alternative estimator which is viewed as especially promising is the errors-in-variable regression estimator. Investigations established the need for caution with this estimator when the ratio of two error variances is not precisely known.

Gunst, R. F.↗

Characteristics and Origins of Frontal Convection During IMPACTS on 25 January 2020

This presentation will discuss the characteristics of frontal convection and its estimation from the ER-2 multifrequency nadir reflectivity and Doppler velocity from a warm-occlusion frontal system that traversed across the Northeast U.S. on 25 January 2020. This system that occurred during the IMPACTS field deployment, brought widespread clouds and precipitation to the Northeast. The system brought primarily rain in most areas of more intense rainfall associated with embedded convection near the frontal band and some freezing rain and/or snowfall in the northern regions or higher terrain due to the pre-existing low-level cold air. The NASA ER-2 instrumented with multifrequency radar and the NASA P-3 with in situ microphysics measurements both collected data from this system. The focus of this presentation is on the estimation of vertical velocity in convective and non-convective regions using the ER-2 nadir Doppler measurements. Vertical velocities are inherently difficult to estimate in frontal systems at mesoscale and below other than from direct in situ measurement because of their small magnitudes and errors in the measurements. Estimates from nadir Doppler measurements such as from the ER-2 are challenging because of both Doppler velocity uncertainties and the need to estimate particle fallspeed since the Doppler measurement is the vertical velocity plus the hydrometeor fallspeed. In the presentation, the vertical velocity estimation, its associated errors, and a possible mitigation scheme are described. The characteristics of the convective and stratiform regions on 25 January 2020 are discussed. The vertical velocity estimated from the nadir Doppler measurements are compared with P-3 in situ measurements. Estimation of vertical velocity is one of the goals for upcoming spaceborne missions such as EarthCare and ACCP.

Gerald M. Heymsfield↗