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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,225 records · Page 68

WinnowML: Stable feature selection for maximizing prediction accuracy of time-based system modeling

Online deep learning (ODL) has become an important methodology for modeling time-based performance of computer systems. An open problem is the intelligent selection of features from raw workload traces of computer systems. The best methods are overly sensitive to noisy data, causing frequent feature changes and re-training. Using all available features inflates training time and introduces model artifacts if some features should have been dropped. We present WinnowML, a method for automatically determining the most relevant feature subset for a predictive time-series model. WinnowML combines existing feature ranking algorithms and a history of each feature's ranking to iteratively rank a feature set to lower prediction error and maximize long term relevance. From this ranked feature set, the most relevant and stable subset is selected to train a model. Experimentally, we show how WinnowML can lower a model's mean absolute relative error up to 42% on average compared to the closest performing approach. Additionally, we lower the fluctuation in feature ranking and selection up to 65%. We also demonstrate how to combine WinnowML and a model search tool to provide improvements in performance of up to 14.5% when compared to using all the feature available.

Bel, Oceane MS↗

Evaluating the Accuracy of Various Irradiance Models in Detecting Soiling of Irradiance Sensors

We evaluate the feasibility of using various clear-sky models or purchased satellite data for estimating the soiling of a reference cell irradiance sensor. We find results to be more accurate for models that consider local meteorological conditions. We conclude that given the data sets considered, and depending on the requirements of the data analyst, choosing to use purchased satellite irradiance data from Solargis to estimate the soiling of a reference cell sensor tends to yield more accurate results, although there are instances where a clear-sky model performs better. The SOLIS clear-sky model in PVLIB with variable P wat provided useful soiling results, implying that the general method of using a clear-sky model with local meteorological data may provide a low-cost tool for detecting soiling of irradiance sensors.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Assessing the accuracy of time-fraction and ductility exhaustion approaches for creep-fatigue damage prediction through feature-test validation

Determining creep-fatigue damage formation is critical for elevated temperature components integrity. This study evaluates creep-fatigue assessments with emphasis on differences between creep damage models. Evaluated are the time-fraction model and the classical and stress-modified ductility exhaustion creep damage models. This work extends the domain of stress-modified ductility exhaustion models by introducing and validating such formalism to Ni-based alloys. The fidelity of the assessments was benchmarked against uniaxial creep-fatigue and multiaxial feature tests of Alloy 617. For uniaxial specimens, best estimate predictions rank ductility exhaustion as the most accurate and precise and time-fraction as markedly conservative. For feature tests, ductility exhaustion predictions are within < 4.0 times difference, whereas time-fraction underpredicts life by factors of 7–14. The observations suggest ductility exhaustion models as alternative to time-fraction models in design codes for situations requiring characterization of the design margin. Further work in employing such models to assess other relevant phenomena (e.g., stress relaxation cracking) is discussed.

creep-fatigue↗

Accuracy limitations for composition analysis by XPS using relative peak intensities: LiF as an example

Although precision in XPS can be excellent, allowing small changes to be easily observed, obtaining accurate absolute elemental composition of a solid material from relative peak intensities is generally much more problematical, involving many factors: background removal; differing analysis depths at different photoelectron kinetic energies; possible angular distribution effects; calibration of the instrument transmission function, and variations of the distribution of the photoelectron intensity between “main” peaks (those usually used for analysis) and associated substructure following the main peak, as a function of the chemical bonding of the elements concerned. The last item, coupled with the use of photoionization cross-sections and/or relative sensitivity factors, is the major subject of this paper, though it is necessary to consider the other items also, using LiF as a test case. The results show that the above issues, which are relevant to differing degrees in most XPS analyses, present significant challenges to highly accurate XPS quantification.

Brundle, Christopher R.↗

Modeling protein structures from predicted contacts with modern molecular dynamics potentials: accuracy, sensitivity, and refinement

Protein structure prediction has become increasingly popular and successful in recent years. An essential step for fragment-free, template-free methods is the generation of a final three-dimensional protein model from a set of predicted amino acid contacts that are often described by interresidue pairwise atomic distances. Here we explore the use of modern, open-source molecular dynamics (MD) engines, which have been continually developed over the last three decades with all-atom Hamiltonians to model biomolecular structure and dynamics, to generate accurate protein structures starting from a set of inferred pairwise distances. Additionally, the ability of MD empirical physical potentials to correct inaccuracies in the predicted geometries is tested. We rigorously characterize the effect of modeling parameters on results, the effect of different amounts of error in the predicted distances on the final structures, and test the ability of post-processing analysis to sort the best models out of a set of statistical replicas. We find that with exact distances and with noisy distances, the method can produce excellent structural models, and that the molecular dynamics force field seems to help correct errors in distance predictions, resisting the effects of applied noise.

Davidson, Russ↗

RAPIDS: Reconciling Availability, Accuracy, and Performance in Managing Geo-Distributed Scientific Data

In modern science, big data plays an increasingly important role. Many scientific applications, such as running simulations on supercomputers or conducting experiments on advanced instruments, produce huge amount of data at unprecedented speed. Analyzing and understanding such big data is the key for scientists to make scientific breakthroughs. However, data might become unavailable for scientists to access when outages or maintenance of the storage system occur, which severely hinders scientific discovery. To improve the data availability, data duplication and erasure coding (EC) are often used. But as the scientific data gets larger, using these two methods can cause considerable storage and network overhead.In this paper, we propose RAPIDS, a hybrid approach that combines the multigrid-based error-bounded lossy compression with erasure coding, to significantly reduce the storage and network overhead required for maintaining high data availability. Our experiments show that RAPIDS reduces the storage overhead by up to 7.5x and network overhead by up to 3x to achieve the same level of availability compared to the regular EC method. We improve RAPIDS by building two models to optimize the fault tolerance configurations and data gathering strategy. We demonstrate that RAPIDS significantly improves performance when running on many CPU cores in parallel or on GPUs.

Wan, Lipeng↗

Improved accuracy of S-value-based dosimetry: a guide to transition from Cristy–Eckerman to ICRP adult phantoms

Background: In 2016, the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) published the results of Monte Carlo simulations performed using updated and anatomically realistic voxelized phantoms. The resulting specific absorbed fractions are based on more realistic human anatomy than those computed in the stylized, geometrical Cristy–Eckerman (CE) phantom. Despite this development, the ICRP-absorbed fractions have not been widely adopted for radiopharmaceutical dosimetry. To help make the transition, we have established a correspondence between source and target tissues defined in the CE phantom and those defined in the ICRP phantoms. Results: The ICRP phantom has 79 source regions and 43 target regions in comparison with the 23 source and 18 target tissue regions defined in the CE phantom. The ICRP phantom provides tissue regions with greater anatomical detail. Some of this additional detail is focused on radiation protection and dosimetry of inhaled/ingested radioactivity. Some, but not all, of this detail is useful and appropriate for radiopharmaceutical therapy. We have established the correspondence between CE and ICRP phantom source and target regions and attempted to highlight the ICRP source tissues relevant to radiopharmaceutical therapy (RPT). This paper provides tables and figures highlighting the correspondences established. Conclusion: The results provide assistance in transitioning from CE-stylized phantoms to the anatomically accurate voxelized ICRP phantoms. It provides specific guidance for porting the total absorbed activity for regions as defined in the CE phantom to regions within the ICRP phantoms.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Accuracy of High Explosive Data used for Reactive Burn Model Calibration

Reactive burn models for a high explosive (HE) have three components: an equation of state (EOS) for the products, an EOS for the reactants and a reaction rate. For the products, we discuss the uncertainty in data for the planar detonation state and its release isentrope. For the reactants, the uncertainty in the principal shock locus data is discussed. For the reaction rate, we discuss uncertainties in shock initiation data (distance-of-run to detonation as a function of shock pressure), and curvature effect data (detonation speed as a function of front curvature). An important source of uncertainty for calibrating the reaction rate for a plastic-bonded explosive (PBX) results from variations in heterogeneities; that is the mesoscale structure of HE grains, binder and porosity. This shows up in the scatter of both shock initiation data and curvature effect data with small changes in initial density and initial temperature, and systematic changes with PBX lot. As illustrative examples, we use data for the conventional HMX based PBX 9501 and the insensitive TATB based PBX 9502 since these explosives have been extensively studied and high quality data are readily available in the literature.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗