Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “module generation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,207 records · Page 67
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

An Approach to Dynamic Human Reliability Analysis and Its Data Collection Framework

Human reliability analysis (HRA) is a method for evaluating human errors in a variety of complex systems such as nuclear power plants, military systems, aircraft, and chemical plants. Most HRA methods currently used by regulatory institutes or utilities are called static HRA and are carried out by simple worksheets or simple calculators. To date, there are many unsolved or intrinsic challenges in static HRA. For example, existing static HRA does not realistically model and evaluate human actions as they would be performed at actual systems. There is no method with HRA to objectively estimate the time required for human actions despite being essential to HRA processes. In addition, many HRA methods still rely on a dataset generated prior to the 1980s, from unrelated industry experience or simply from expert judgment. Accordingly, this study attempted to research how to overcome the challenges of existing HRA via dynamic risk assessment (a.k.a., simulation-based or computation-based risk assessment) techniques. First, this study developed a dynamic HRA method, named as PRocedure-based Investigation Method of EMRALD Risk Assessment – HRA (PRIMERA-HRA). The PRIMERA-HRA mainly concentrates on providing HRA analysts with specific guidelines on how to reasonably model human actions, assign human reliability data and evaluate output of simulation within a dynamic probabilistic risk assessment tool, called as Event Modeling Risk Assessment using Linked Diagrams (EMRALD). Second, this study also developed a module for performance shaping factors (i.e., the key concept in HRA quantification) applicable to dynamic HRA, then implemented it based on PRIMERA-HRA within the EMRALD tool. Third, this study developed an HRA data collection framework to support dynamic HRA, called as Simplified Human Error Experimental Program (SHEEP). Originally, the SHEEP study aimed to support static HRA and its data collection, but recently extended the scope to the new technologies such as dynamic HRA or HRA for advanced reactors. SHEEP focuses on the use of data collected from simplified simulators to complement—but not replace—data collection studies using full-scope simulators and actual operators. To date, many experiments were conducted under the SHEEP framework. Multiple analyses, such as human performance analysis, human error analysis, task complexity analysis, learning effect analysis and time distribution analysis, were also carried out using the collected data. Then, based on the major insights, an approach to inferring full-scope data based on simplified simulator data was proposed. The PRIMERA-HRA and SHEEP research are expected to evaluate human actions more realistically than existing static HRA, provide an opportunity to collect more HRA data with reasonable cost and labor, then contribute to enhance the quality of HRA.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2024

An Approach to Dynamic Human Reliability Analysis and Its Data Collection Framework

Human reliability analysis (HRA) is a method for evaluating human errors in a variety of complex systems such as nuclear power plants, military systems, aircraft, and chemical plants. Most HRA methods currently used by regulatory institutes or utilities are called static HRA and are carried out by simple worksheets or simple calculators. To date, there are many unsolved or intrinsic challenges in static HRA. For example, existing static HRA does not realistically model and evaluate human actions as they would be performed at actual systems. There is no method with HRA to objectively estimate the time required for human actions despite being essential to HRA processes. In addition, many HRA methods still rely on a dataset generated prior to the 1980s, from unrelated industry experience or simply from expert judgment. Accordingly, this study attempted to research how to overcome the challenges of existing HRA via dynamic risk assessment (a.k.a., simulation-based or computation-based risk assessment) techniques. First, this study developed a dynamic HRA method, named as PRocedure-based Investigation Method of EMRALD Risk Assessment – HRA (PRIMERA-HRA). The PRIMERA-HRA mainly concentrates on providing HRA analysts with specific guidelines on how to reasonably model human actions, assign human reliability data and evaluate output of simulation within a dynamic probabilistic risk assessment tool, called as Event Modeling Risk Assessment using Linked Diagrams (EMRALD). Second, this study also developed a module for performance shaping factors (i.e., the key concept in HRA quantification) applicable to dynamic HRA, then implemented it based on PRIMERA-HRA within the EMRALD tool. Third, this study developed an HRA data collection framework to support dynamic HRA, called as Simplified Human Error Experimental Program (SHEEP). Originally, the SHEEP study aimed to support static HRA and its data collection, but recently extended the scope to the new technologies such as dynamic HRA or HRA for advanced reactors. SHEEP focuses on the use of data collected from simplified simulators to complement—but not replace—data collection studies using full-scope simulators and actual operators. To date, many experiments were conducted under the SHEEP framework. Multiple analyses, such as human performance analysis, human error analysis, task complexity analysis, learning effect analysis and time distribution analysis, were also carried out using the collected data. Then, based on the major insights, an approach to inferring full-scope data based on simplified simulator data was proposed. The PRIMERA-HRA and SHEEP research are expected to evaluate human actions more realistically than existing static HRA, provide an opportunity to collect more HRA data with reasonable cost and labor, then contribute to enhance the quality of HRA.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Demonstrating non-isothermal vacuum membrane air dehumidification for efficient next-generation air conditioning

Vacuum membrane air dehumidification has gained significant interest in recent years as a highly efficient means of air dehumidification. Prior theoretical modeling work by the authors introduced the Active Membrane Energy Exchanger (AMX) concept, which combines active heat exchange and vacuum membrane dehumidification into one non-isothermal system, and found that it could outperform other air conditioning technologies under many conditions. However, no experimental literature exists on combining active heat exchangers and vacuum membrane dehumidification. Here, the goal of the present study is to evaluate the dehumidification (mass transfer) performance of the AMX concept relative to isothermal membrane dehumidification through three main methodologies: (1) membrane material-level characterization, (2) experimental prototype development and testing, and (3) computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations. The dense membranes used in this work showed up to a 40% increase in water vapor permeance at cooler temperatures, and the prototype system showed up to a 6% increase in humidity removal when the air was simultaneously cooled. Furthermore, the membrane module-integrated heat exchange tubes provided additional mixing and turbulence, leading to a 4–8% increase in humidity removal. The upper limit coefficient of performance was equal to approximately 2.2, necessitating advanced system designs to improve efficiency. This study is the first to highlight that combining the cooling and vacuum dehumidification processes can improve dehumidification performance.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Electrolytic gold plating, stripping, and ion transport dynamics through a solid-state iodide perovskite

The pronounced electrochemical reactivity between halide perovskites and metal electrodes can introduce mobile extrinsic metal ions which can cause device instability or enable novel functionalities. Here we systematically investigate the kinetics of gold cation (Au + ) migration in indium tin oxide (ITO)/methylammonium lead triiodide (MAPbI 3 )/Au model devices under long-term potentiostatic biasing. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM), X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), and density functional theory (DFT) analyses reveal that Au + ions, electrochemically generated at the Au anode, traverse the perovskite layer with diffusion coefficients on the order of 10 −11 to 10 −10 cm 2 s −1 and are subsequently reduced at the cathode as Au 0 clusters, resembling metal plating behavior in electrolytic cells and solid-state batteries during charging. Furthermore, reversing the applied bias strips the plated Au 0 , revealing reversibility suitable for bipolar resistive switching devices and providing direct evidence of the electrochemical and ionic nature of Au transport within the perovskite matrix. Quantitatively determining diffusion coefficients and ion concentrations provides foundational inputs for future drift-diffusion modelling opportunities and allows us to relate our findings to implications on long term operation of devices like photovoltaic modules. These results clearly demonstrate the solid-state electrochemical nature of perovskite devices, highlight methods to be more quantitative about ion transport properties, provide and emphasize the importance of disentangling electro-, photo-, photoelectrochemical processes for understanding device performance and unlocking new functionalities.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Representation of the Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves in Modern Reanalysis Products

Abstract This study aims to deepen our understanding of the destabilization mechanisms and the mean-state modulation of the convectively coupled Kelvin waves (CCKWs) while testing simple models for CCKWs. We examine CCKW precipitation, vertical structure, and energetics in four modern reanalyses: the fifth version of ECMWF Reanalysis (ERA5), NASA Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), the second version of the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR), and the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis (JRA-55). The CCKW precipitation signal strength in the wavenumber–frequency domain and the geographical distribution of CCKW precipitation variability are reasonably represented in all reanalyses, although they commonly underestimate the amplitude of CCKW precipitation. Despite considerable interreanalysis differences in the vertical structure of temperature and diabatic heating anomalies, the eddy available potential energy (EAPE) generation within the CCKWs is found to be associated with the second baroclinic mode whereas the first baroclinic mode damps CCKW EAPE in three out of four reanalyses. Geographically, strong CCKW activity occurs in the areas of high mean-state sea surface temperature (SST), where the second mode EAPE generation is higher, mainly due to a stronger stratiform heating and a tighter wave–convection coupling. Our results are supportive of the simple models for CCKWs in which CCKWs are destabilized within the second baroclinic mode component.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗
DOE OSTI2024

Digital camera imagery for vegetation phenology, Seward Peninsula, Alaska, 2022-2023

Timelapse camera images from Council Mile Marker (MM) 71, Kougarok MM 64, Kougarok Fire Complex (KFC), and Teller MM 27 NGEE-Arctic field sites on the Seward Peninsula, Alaska, captured from July 2022 to July 2023. Eight Wingscape Timelapse Pro cameras, and thirty-one Power-interval Camera Automation Modules (PiCAMs) designed by Brookhaven National Laboratory?s Terrestrial Ecosystem Science and Technology (TEST) group were deployed targeting patches of low and tall shrubs (including Alnus sp. and Salix sp.) and general vegetation and landscape views. Images from Wingscape cameras were recorded at hourly intervals from 11 AM to 2 PM, and images from PiCAMs were recorded at 5 hourly intervals from 12 AM to 8 PM, continuously for 12 months and capture vegetation phenology, snow accumulation and snow melt events. This data package includes images (*.jpg), organized by site and camera ID, and metadata with details of the cameras used, number of images recorded, start and end dates, GPS locations and example fields of view. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

System and method for implementing a zero-sequence current filter for a three-phase power system

In a three-phase, four-wire electrical distribution system, a zig-zag transformer and at least one Cascade Multilevel Modular Inverter (CMMI) is coupled between the distribution system and the neutral. A controller modulates the states of the H-bridges in the CMMI to build an AC waveform. The voltage is chosen by the controller in order to control an equivalent impedance that draws an appropriate neutral current through the transformer. This neutral current is generally chosen to cancel the neutral current sensed in the line. The chosen neutral current may be based on a remotely sensed imbalance, rather than on a local value, determined by the power utility as a critical load point in the system. The desired injection current is then translated by the controller into a desired zero-sequence reactive impedance, based on measurement of the local terminal voltage, allowing the controller to regulate the current without generating or consuming real power.

Benavides, Nicholas↗
DOE OSTI2022

Mapping the self-generated magnetic fields due to thermal Weibel instability

The origin of the seed magnetic field that is amplified by the galactic dynamo is an open question in plasma astrophysics. Aside from primordial sources and the Biermann battery mechanism, plasma instabilities have also been proposed as a possible source of seed magnetic fields. Among them, thermal Weibel instability driven by temperature anisotropy has attracted broad interests due to its ubiquity in both laboratory and astrophysical plasmas. However, this instability has been challenging to measure in a stationary terrestrial plasma because of the difficulty in preparing such a velocity distribution. Here, we use picosecond laser ionization of hydrogen gas to initialize such an electron distribution function. We record the 2D evolution of the magnetic field associated with the Weibel instability by imaging the deflections of a relativistic electron beam with a picosecond temporal duration and show that the measured k -resolved growth rates of the instability validate kinetic theory. Concurrently, self-organization of microscopic plasma currents is observed to amplify the current modulation magnitude that converts up to ~1% of the plasma thermal energy into magnetic energy, thus supporting the notion that the magnetic field induced by the Weibel instability may be able to provide a seed for the galactic dynamo.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

CeO2 Nanoparticle Doping as a Probe of Active Site Speciation in the Catalytic Hydrolysis of Organophosphates

Organophosphate hydrolysis is important for degrading environmentally harmful compounds and recovering phosphate ions in biological molecules. CeO2 nanocrystals have been well-studied for dephosphorylation via hydrolysis owing to the accessible and tunable distribution of Ce3+ and Ce4+ ions. However, there remains uncertainty in the literature regarding which surface defect properties direct catalytic activity, such as the Ce3+/Ce4+ distribution, oxygen vacancies, faceting, and dopants, and to what degree they contribute to efficient hydrolysis. Trivalent (M3+) dopants serve as a tool for manipulating defects, including the concentration of Ce3+ and oxygen vacancies, thereby influencing the hydrolytic activity of CeO2. Herein, trivalent metal ions (M = Y3+, Cr3+, In3+, and Gd3+) were employed to modulate the active sites on the CeO2 nanocrystal surface, and the effects of each metal dopant on the cerium oxide active sites for organophosphate hydrolysis were investigated. M-doped CeO2 nanoparticles were synthesized via hydrothermal methods, followed by annealing to remove ligands and prime the nanocrystal surface for catalysis. Catalytic performance was evaluated using dimethyl-p¬-nitrophenyl phosphate (DMNP) as a model organophosphate substrate, with degradation monitored over time using UV-visible absorption spectroscopy. Powder X-ray diffraction (PXRD), X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), and Raman spectroscopy revealed successful doping of CeO2 in all cases, albeit with distinctive characteristics demonstrating how M3+ dopants affect catalysis. We show that CeO2 exhibits high sensitivity to dopants that generate lattice strain, Ce3+ ions, and oxygen vacancy defects. Consequently, achieving high catalytic efficiency within CeO2 requires a balanced active site ensemble, wherein defects are maintained at optimal concentrations and distributions on the nanocrystal surface.

Miura-Stempel, Emily L.↗
DOE OSTI2026

Metal-Dependent Photodissociation of Hydrazone Photoswitches from Rare-Earth Complexes

Rare-earth element separation processes often rely on a small decrease in ionic radii along the series of elements. Separation processes based on the distinct optical properties of REs remain less explored, although photochemical methods may offer a viable alternative. Accurate selection of the synthetic precursors of a photoswitchable acylhydrazonic ligand led to a system that could quantitatively isomerize (E−to−Z) upon irradiation with commercial LED lights. Coordination of the photoswitch with RE III nitrates (RE = La−Lu except Pm and Y) resulted in the retention of the photoswitching properties observed in solution. The lower binding affinity of the generated Z−isomer with RE III ions yielded the dissociation of the complexes upon irradiation (photodissociation) with the release of RE−nitrates in solution. The rate of the reaction was found to be dependent on the optical properties of the RE III ions, with nonemissive complexes (no 4f excited states) dissociating faster than emissive ones (having accessible 4f excited states). A thorough solid-state characterization of the complexes was performed by using crystallographic and photochemical methods. Ultimately, the accessibility of the 4f excited states of the metals following light irradiation and excitation of the ligand led to a decrease in the rate of the reaction due to quenching of the ligand excited state. These results demonstrate that the direct modulation of the metal coordination environment, combined with the metal-dependent reaction rate, could provide a strategy for the development of RE−separation processes based on differences in their optical properties.

Ions↗
DOE OSTI2025

Structures of respiratory syncytial virus G bound to broadly reactive antibodies provide insights into vaccine design

Abstract Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of severe lower respiratory tract disease in infants and older adults. The attachment glycoprotein (RSV G) binds to the chemokine receptor CX3CR1 to promote viral entry and modulate host immunity. Antibodies against RSV G are a known correlate of protection. Previously, several broadly reactive, high-affinity anti-RSV G human monoclonal antibodies were isolated from RSV-exposed individuals and were shown to be protective in vitro and in vivo. Here, we determined the structures of three of these antibodies in complex with RSV G and defined distinct conformational epitopes comprised of highly conserved RSV G residues. Binding competition and structural studies demonstrated that this highly conserved region displays two non-overlapping antigenic sites. Analyses of anti-RSV G antibody sequences reveal that antigenic site flexibility may promote the elicitation of diverse antibody germlines. Together, these findings provide a foundation for next-generation RSV prophylactics, and they expand concepts in vaccine design for the elicitation of germline lineage-diverse, broadly reactive, high-affinity antibodies.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗
DOE OSTI2025

Computational analysis of interface-driven spin-orbit coupling in molecular adsorbates on transition metal dichalcogenides

Spin-orbit coupling (SOC) lifts molecular orbital degeneracy, enabling bilevel electronic platforms suitable for next-generation digital devices. However, common light-atom molecular feedstocks exhibit weak SOC due to the absence of heavy elements. To enhance SOC without synthesizing new materials, we leverage interfacial interactions between molecules and transition-element-based solid-state materials. This computational study investigates SOC splitting in metal-phthalocyanine adsorbed on transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) using density functional theory (DFT). The enhanced SOC splitting is attributed to strong orbital hybridization at the molecule-substrate interface. Specifically, Zn-phthalocyanine (ZnPC) on monolayer Mo⁢S 2 achieves a notable SOC splitting of ∼8 meV. Furthermore, when ZnPC forms self-assembled chains on Mo⁢S 2 , the splitting increases to ∼20 meV, driven by the formation of hybrid bands modulated by molecular periodicity. Furthermore, these findings highlight the role of interfacial and intermolecular interactions in inducing and enhancing SOC in surface-adsorbed molecules, providing a new strategy for molecular spintronic materials without complex synthetic efforts.

2-dimensional systems↗
DOE OSTI2026

Towards retrieving cloud top entrainment velocities from MISR cloud motion vectors

Although important, direct retrievals of entrainment rates in cloud-topped planetary boundary layer (PBL) remain elusive. Here we present a novel technique for retrieving cloud-top entrainment velocities using only Multi-angle Imaging Spectro-Radiometer (MISR) stereoscopic retrievals of cloud-motion vectors (CMVs) and cloud-top heights (CTHs). Mesoscale vertical air velocity at CTH is diagnosed from the continuity equation and then used to derive entrainment velocities from the PBL mass-budget equation. The algorithm is demonstrated through a case of marine stratocumulus deck off the California coast, with comparisons made against data from the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis (ERA5) and the data from other satellites. MISR low-cloud CTH for this case were lower than the ERA5 reported PBL depth by 189 ± 87 m. These differences in cloud top heights partly modulate the differences in the ERA5 and MISR horizontal winds, with larger differences in meridional over zonal wind components. Average difference between ERA5 and MISR derived mesoscale vertical air motion at cloud top was 0.14 ± 0.73 cm s −1 , while the same for entrainment rate was −0.09 ± 0.46 cm s −1 . The uncertainties in the utilized CTHs and CMVs are propagated to derive systematic and random retrieval uncertainties. Fractional uncertainty is lower than 25 % when the retrieved mesoscale vertical air motion is stronger than ±0.04 cm s −1 and entrainment velocities are stronger than ±0.03 cm s −1 . These results showcase the ability to derive mesoscale vertical air motion and entrainment rates from MISR observations and motivate its extension to generate a global climatology leveraging its full 23-year record (2000–2022). Nonetheless comprehensive validation of the retrievals is warranted through comparisons with estimates from an independent dataset across diverse weather conditions.

Mitra, Arka [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Ar↗
DOE OSTI2024

Summary Report of the FY24 DOE Contributions to the GIF VHTR CMVB

The Generation-IV Forum (GIF) Very-High-Temperature Reactor-Computational Methods Validation and Benchmark (VHTR-CMVB) initiative, involving organizations from Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) (South Korea), Institute of Nuclear and New Energy Technology of Tsinghua University (INET) (China), U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (U.S.), Joint Research Centre (JRC) (Europe), and Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA) (Japan), is dedicated to the verification and validation of tools for High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactors (HTGRs) analysis, using data shared by Computational Methods Validation and Benchmark (CMVB) signatories. For FY24, the US DOE CMVB has committed to several critical activities. Under WP1, led by the US, the integration of the High Temperature Gas Cooled Reactor - Pebble-Bed Module (HTR-PM) Phenomena Identification and Ranking Table (PIRT) into the comparative PIRT is progressing, with a new draft of the comparison tables issued earlier this year and currently being utilized by INET for their contribution. Neutronic validation efforts under WP3 include the preparation of the burnup analysis benchmark, preliminary calculations, and the development of reference models and results. In WP2, a validation exercise for hot gas mixing in the lower plenum of HTR-PM is in progress, using experimental data from INET (China) to validate modeling approaches. A model of the experimental facility has been developed using StarCCM+, with initial calculations slated for presentation at the GIF CMVB meeting this fall. Another WP2 activity focuses on validating numerical models for air-cooled Reactor Cavity Cooling System (RCCS) with experimental data from the Wisconsin Madison RCCS facility. A high-fidelity model, developed using NEK-RS, is currently being validated with available data from a low power forced convection test. These efforts are aimed at enhancing and confirming the accuracy of HTGR analysis tools, ensuring their alignment with experimental data and regulatory requirements.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Simulating Thermoelectric Devices Using the MOOSE Framework

Thermoelectric generators (TEG) are devices that generate energy by converting heat into electricity or provide cooling via the Peltier effect. This feature of thermoelectric devices originates from the Seebeck, Peltier, Thomson, and Joule heating effects. TEGs can be applied in energy and thermal management systems such as waste heat recovery and refrigeration, respectively. Thermoelectric device design is influenced by the material selection and the device's geometry operating conditions. Therefore, predicting, verifying, and validating thermoelectric device performance using simulations tools is essential to deploying thermoelectric devices in industry. The Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) Framework is an open-source simulation tool capable of modeling simple to complex systems. In this work, we demonstrate MOOSE's thermoelectric device modeling capabilities by simulating a unicouple, module, and exhaust gas recovery system. The Seebeck, Peltier, Thomson, and Joule heating physics are implemented into MOOSE. The MOOSE thermoelectric physics were thoroughly verified and validated using published COMSOL® results and experimental data. In addition, thermoelectric modules were integrated into an exhaust gas recovery system using the MOOSE MultiApp function as a demonstration of the model's ability. The verification and validation results and exhaust gas heat recovery system showcases MOOSE's capability to model thermoelectric devices and integrate these devices into practical energy systems.

42 - ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Sensitivity Study for Forecasting Variables of WRF-Solar Using a Tangent Linear Approach

Integrating solar generation in recent years has highlighted the need for improved accuracy in predicting solar power. Confidence in solar power forecasting can be achieved by designing an ensemble that provides reliable probabilistic information for solar radiation with reduced uncertainty and error. Ideally, ensemble members are created through the optimized perturbation of the initial conditions in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Tangent linear models are capable of efficiently investigating the sensitivity of solar radiation to model input parameters because they do not require individual perturbation of each variable. This sensitivity study using tangent linear models provide us the capability to identify the right variables to perturb in an ensemble prediction system. In this study, we developed tangent linear models for WRF-Solar modules that directly impact the computation of solar radiation and the simulation of cloud formation and dissipation including the Fast All-sky Model for Solar Applications (FARMS), the Noah land surface model (LSM), the Thompson microphysics, the Mello-Yamada-Nakanishi-Niino (MYNN) boundary layer parameterization, and the Deng scheme for a shallow-convection parameterization. A sensitivity analysis was conducted under various scenarios based on satellite observations and model simulations from the National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB) and WRF-Solar, respectively. Critical forecasting variables that are highly sensitive to the forecasting of global horizontal irradiance (GHI), direct normal irradiance (DNI), cloud mixing ratio, cloud tendency, cloud fraction, and sensible and latent heat fluxes were determined using the relevant WRF-Solar module. This study will be used as a guidance on future research leading to high-quality probabilistic solar forecasting. In this presentation, we discuss the validation of tangent linear approach for WRF-Solar modules and illustrate how the sensitivity results are valuable in the improvement of probabilistic solar prediction.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2022

End-to-end learning of multiple sequence alignments with differentiable Smith–Waterman

Abstract Motivation Multiple sequence alignments (MSAs) of homologous sequences contain information on structural and functional constraints and their evolutionary histories. Despite their importance for many downstream tasks, such as structure prediction, MSA generation is often treated as a separate pre-processing step, without any guidance from the application it will be used for. Results Here, we implement a smooth and differentiable version of the Smith–Waterman pairwise alignment algorithm that enables jointly learning an MSA and a downstream machine learning system in an end-to-end fashion. To demonstrate its utility, we introduce SMURF (Smooth Markov Unaligned Random Field), a new method that jointly learns an alignment and the parameters of a Markov Random Field for unsupervised contact prediction. We find that SMURF learns MSAs that mildly improve contact prediction on a diverse set of protein and RNA families. As a proof of concept, we demonstrate that by connecting our differentiable alignment module to AlphaFold2 and maximizing predicted confidence, we can learn MSAs that improve structure predictions over the initial MSAs. Interestingly, the alignments that improve AlphaFold predictions are self-inconsistent and can be viewed as adversarial. This work highlights the potential of differentiable dynamic programming to improve neural network pipelines that rely on an alignment and the potential dangers of optimizing predictions of protein sequences with methods that are not fully understood. Availability and implementation Our code and examples are available at: https://github.com/spetti/SMURF. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Electric Drive Technologies Research: ELT223 Component Modeling, Co-Optimization, and Trade-Space Evaluation Annual Report

This project is intended to support the development of new traction drive systems that meet the targets of 100 kW/L for power electronics and 50 kW/L for electric machines with reliable operation to 300,000 miles. To meet these goals, new designs must be identified that make use of state-of-the-art and next-generation electronic materials and design methods. Designs must exploit synergies between components, for example converters designed for high-frequency switching using wide band gap (WBG) devices and ceramic capacitors. This project included: (1) a survey of available technologies; (2) investigating new technologies, that for example, reduce volume of thermal management or magnetic components; (3) the development of computer aided design tools that consider the converter volume, reliability, and electrical performance; (4) exercising the design software to evaluate performance gaps and predict the impact of certain technologies and design approaches, i.e. GaN semiconductors, ceramic capacitors, ceramic thermal management components, and select topologies; (5) building and testing hardware prototypes to validate models and concepts. The design tools enable co-optimization of the power module and passive elements and provide some design guidance. At the end of the project, new advanced computing methods, such as machine learning approaches, were considered.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗