Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “lifetime model”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,207 records · Page 67

An ab initio molecular dynamics exploration of associates in Ba-Bi liquid with strong ordering trends

Fictive associates are widely used to describe and model liquid phases with strong ordering trends. However, little evidence is known about the assumed associates in most cases. In the present work, an ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) study is employed to investigate the characters of the Ba-Bi liquid, in which associates have been assumed in existing thermodynamic modeling. It is found that in the Ba rich melt, the Bi atoms are almost completely surrounded by Ba atoms. The Bi-centered coordination polyhedrons are strongly associated to crystalline structures of Ba 5 Bi 3 and Ba 4 Bi 3 with a longer lifetime than other polyhedrons during the AIMD simulations. In addition, these Bi-centered polyhedrons in Ba rich melt connect with each other through vertex, edge, face, and/or bipyramid sharing to form medium range orders (MRO). In the Bi rich melt, the Ba-centered polyhedrons also form MROs, but they are both structurally and compositionally diverse with a shorter lifetime. These findings from AIMD study provide evidences that there exist a strongly ordering Ba 4 Bi 3 associate and a weakly ordering BaBi 3 associate in the Ba-Bi liquid. Here, the predicted enthalpy of mixing in the liquid agrees well with the results by the CALPHAD modeling in the literature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Full Scale 3D Computational Model of the Industrial -Scale Coal Fired Boiler Performance for Temperature Sensor Installation Guidance

Abstract Nearly 30% of the electricity is generated by using coal as the primary fuel in the US. One of the major concerns in coal-fired power plants is the failure of boiler tubes that leads to unscheduled maintenance and has a huge economical and societal impact. High temperature flue gas along with ash pass over the boiler tubes, which over time leads to tube failure. Therefore, developing temperature sensors for harsh environments and install them for temperature sensing and boiler tube lifetime prediction is an urgent need. On the side of sensor development, the location of the sensor installation is important for stable sensing performance and easy calibration. In this study, computational fluid dynamics and heat transfer modeling are adopted to establish a full-scale 3-dimensional model of a coal-fired boiler to investigate the flue gas temperature distribution within the boiler and identify the proper locations for sensor installation. We proposed three criteria to select the temperature sensor installation location: (1) select the boiler tube panel away from the sidewalls, (2) select the boiler tube section closer to the top wall of the boiler; and (3) select the boiler tube on the back of the boiler panel (not directly facing the flue gas flow). In these regions, the flue gas temperature is stable, providing an ideal environment for stable temperature sensing and calibration.

Gupta, Tanuj↗

Lifetime estimation of a BWR core shroud in terms of IGSCC

The continued operation of aging Boiling Water Reactors (BWRs) worldwide requires gradually increasing cost of inspection, maintenance, and repair. Intergranular Stress Corrosion Cracking (IGSCC) in sensitized austenitic stainless steel piping first became a major issue for BWRs in the 1980s, resulting in recognition of the susceptibility of reactor internals to IGSCC. Shroud cracking identified in 1993–1994 confirmed that IGSCC of internals is a significant issue for BWRs. IGSCC is a time-dependent, material degradation process, which is caused and accelerated by the presence of residual stresses, material sensitization, irradiation, cold work, elevated temperature, and corrosive environments. This paper emphasizes the importance of accounting for corrosive environments, or more exactly, electrochemical phenomena in modelling IGSCC and predicting the service life of BWR in-vessel components, and stresses the necessity of performing such modeling not just for a single state point under full power conditions, but for the whole operating history of the reactor, including startups and shutdowns. Overall, this paper demonstrates that ignoring electrochemical considerations may result in underestimating component lifetime and lead to unnecessary expenses for inspection and repair.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Characterizing and modeling the mechanical behavior of an anion exchange membrane for carbon capture applications

A new direct air capture (DAC) technology uses a moisture swing (MS) process with anion exchange membranes, potentially offering a more energy-efficient way to remove CO₂ from the air. In this MS process, the membrane absorbs CO₂ as it dries and releases it when water is added. Understanding the mechanical behavior of these membranes is essential for improving the design and efficiency of DAC systems and prolonging sorbent lifetime. This study tested one anion exchange membrane, Fumasep’s FAA-3, under mechanical loading and various temperature and humidity conditions to measure its swelling, stiffness, strength, plastic deformation, and stress relaxation. Experimental results were used to identify a mechanical model for FAA-3 that can be used to predict the material’s nonlinear viscous behavior under various loads and environments. Unlike prior studies that assumed linear elastic behavior, this work incorporates humidity-dependent swelling, thermal expansion, and nonlinear viscoelasticity of FAA-3 in both the experiments and the model.

Direct air capture↗

Future mission studies: Preliminary comparisons of solar flux models

The results of comparisons of the solar flux models are presented. (The wavelength lambda = 10.7 cm radio flux is the best indicator of the strength of the ionizing radiations such as solar ultraviolet and x-ray emissions that directly affect the atmospheric density thereby changing the orbit lifetime of satellites. Thus, accurate forecasting of solar flux F sub 10.7 is crucial for orbit determination of spacecrafts.) The measured solar flux recorded by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is compared against the forecasts made by Schatten, MSFC, and NOAA itself. The possibility of a combined linear, unbiased minimum-variance estimation that properly combines all three models into one that minimizes the variance is also discussed. All the physics inherent in each model are combined. This is considered to be the dead-end statistical approach to solar flux forecasting before any nonlinear chaotic approach.

Ashrafi, S.↗

Electrochemical Control of the Ultrafast Lattice Response of a Layered Semimetal

The unique layer-stacking in two-dimensional (2D) van der Waals materials facilitates the formation of nearly degenerate phases of matter and opens novel routes for the design of low-power, reconfigurable functional materials. Electrochemical ion intercalation between stacked layers offers a promising approach to stabilize bulk metastable phases and to explore the effects of extreme carrier doping and strain. However, in situ characterization methods to study the structural evolution and dynamical functional properties of these intercalated materials remains limited. Here a novel experimental platform is presented capable of simultaneously performing electrochemical lithium-ion intercalation and multimodal ultrafast characterization of the lattice using both electron diffraction and nonlinear optical techniques. Using the layered semimetal WTe 2 as a model system, the interlayer shear phonon mode that modulates stacking between 2Dlayers is probed, showing that small amounts of lithiation enhance the amplitude and lifetime of the phonon, contrary to expectations. This results from the dynamically fluctuating and anharmonic structure between nearly degenerate phases at room temperature, which can be stabilized by electronic carriers accompanying the inserted lithium ions. At high lithiation, the T d ’ structure emerges and quenches the phonon response. This work defines new approaches for using electrochemistry to engineer the dynamic structure of 2D materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Contact pressure analysis to allow improved design for the clearing plate in a biomass comminution system

For biomass processing systems, feedstocks with small but equal sizes can improve flowability and thermochemical outputs. The Crumbler rotary shear system was designed to achieve such ideal feedstocks to reduce costs and energy throughout the biomass supply chain. Improving the wear resistance of major components in this system is important to decrease the cost. Accelerating the feedstock flow through the rotary shear machine plays an equivalent role of improving its efficiency. An analytical analysis and a finite-element analysis of the stationary clearing plate are presented in this work. Here, these tools are used to investigate the effect of contact surface curvature on the impact pressure. The optimized new clearing plate design is expected to improve the component’s lifetime and wood chips flowability. The field tests confirm that the trend of the new clearing plate design guided by FEA. The optimization method, model verification, and validation experience applied in this work can also be applied to other static components with similar simple contact wear problems.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Creep ductility limiting mechanisms in an additively manufactured Al-Ce-Ni-Mn-Zr alloy

Tensile creep response and cavitation damage evolution in an additively manufactured Al-7.5Ce-4.5Ni-0.4Mn-0.7Zr (wt%) alloy with peak-aging and overaging treatments were investigated in the 300–400 ºC range. Microstructural heterogeneity and its response to heat treatment and subsequent creep deformation were studied to understand the interplay between cavity formation, creep lifetime and ductility. Increasing the applied stress activated the nucleation of more cavities, an experimental observation that is well described using the vacancy accumulation model. Cavities nucleated prematurely due to localized plasticity in the denuded zones that formed at/near melt-pool or grain boundaries. Microstructure/deformation heterogeneity with consequent evolution of stress triaxiality, especially at lower stresses, causes accelerated cavitation, thus producing low creep ductility (∼ 0.2–2.4 %), compared to (∼12–21 %) ductility of the alloy measured by regular tensile tests at equivalent temperatures. A constrained diffusional cavity growth mechanism with continuous cavity nucleation during creep is established as the dominant mechanism, implying that cavitation involves vacancy diffusion, yet its growth rate is dictated by the minimum creep rate. In conclusion, the ductility-limiting creep and cavitation mechanisms discussed here provide new insight into the creep behavior of 3D-printed metallic alloys.

Additive manufacturing↗

Global Electrification of Vehicles and Intertwined Material Supply Chains of Cobalt, Copper and Nickel

Electric vehicles (EVs) will be an important part of a low-carbon economy. Future EV adoption depends on overcoming multiple barriers, including charging infrastructure, sufficient electricity generation, and the availability of battery raw materials at acceptable costs, including cobalt, copper and nickel – which typically are co-produced. Various EV projections have been made, along with associated requirements for battery raw materials (demand). There have been separate assessments of the availability of raw materials (supply). However, integrated assessments of supply and demand and their interaction over time are lacking to support decision-making. Using a dynamic market model that reflects the co-produced nature of cobalt, copper and nickel production as well as recycling, we estimate global output of these three metals under different EV growth scenarios from 2020 to 2040. In this work, results suggest that starting in 2025, replacement demand for battery raw materials becomes important. Thus, estimates for future material demand that consider only demands from new EVs are incomplete and misleading. EV deployment and associated increased demand for raw materials will have a greater impact on prices for cobalt than nickel and, in turn, for nickel than copper. High EV deployment scenarios will be difficult to achieve without larger supplies of copper, nickel and cobalt than forthcoming under the conditions modeled here, which anticipates a six-year time lag between a demand increase and the expansion of metal-production capacity. Shortening battery lifetimes and improving collection and recycling rates increase secondary supply, but the extent to which these factors support additional EV deployment is mixed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

GeSn-on-GaAs with photoconductive carrier lifetime >400 ns: role of substrate orientation and atomistic simulation

Group IV GeSn quantum material finds application in electronics and silicon-compatible photonics. Synthesizing these materials with low defect density and high carrier lifetime is a potential challenge due to lattice mismatch induced defects and tin segregation at higher growth temperature. Recent advancements in the growth of these GeSn materials on Si, Ge, GaAs, and with substrate orientations, demonstrated different properties using epitaxial and chemical deposition methods. This article addresses the effect of GaAs substrate orientation and misorientation on the materials’ properties and carrier lifetimes in epitaxial Ge 0.94 Sn 0.06 layers. With starting GaAs substrates of (100)/2°, (100)/6°, (110) and (111)A orientations, Ge 0.94 Sn 0.06 epitaxial layers were grown with an intermediate Ge buffer layer by molecular beam epitaxy and analyzed by several analytical tools. X-ray analysis displayed good crystalline quality, and Raman spectroscopy measurements showed blue shifts in phonon wavenumber due to biaxial compressive strain in Ge 0.94 Sn 0.06 epilayers. Cross-sectional transmission electron microscopy analysis confirmed the defect-free heterointerface of Ge 0.94 Sn 0.06 /Ge/GaAs heterostructure. Minority carrier lifetimes of the unintentionally doped n-type Ge 0.94 Sn 0.06 epilayers displayed photoconductive carrier lifetimes of >400 ns on (100)/6°, 319 ns on (100)/2°, and 434 ns on (110) GaAs substrate at 1500 nm excitation wavelength. On the other hand, Ge 0.94 Sn 0.06 layer showed poor carrier lifetime on (111)A GaAs substrate. The observed differences in carrier lifetimes were correlated with the formation energy of the Ge on (100)/6° and (100)/2° GaAs heterointerface using Stillinger–Weber interatomic potential model-based atomistic simulation with different heterointerfacial bonding by Synopsys QuantumATK tool. Total energy computation of 6280-atom Ge/GaAs supercell on (100)/6° leads to lower formation energy than (100)/2°, making it more thermodynamically stable. Hence, the growth of the GeSn/III–V material system using misoriented (100) substrates that are more thermodynamically stable will enhance the performances of optoelectronic devices.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Has AMS-02 observed two-component dark matter?

There is convincing observational evidence for an increasing cosmic-ray positron-to-electron ratio at energies larger than ~10 GeV, at odds with expectations from secondary positron production. The most recent AMS-02 data exhibit an interesting spectral feature consisting of a bump at an energy around 300 GeV followed by a drop around ~800 GeV. A possible explanation for the most recent data is that the excess positron flux originates from decaying dark matter. Here, we show that models consisting of two dark matter particle species contributing equally to the global cosmological dark matter density provide good fits to the data. The favored models, with a best-fit with χ 2 / d . o . f ~ 2, consist of a first species weighing 750 GeV decaying with a lifetime τ χ ~ 10 26 s to τ lepton pairs (or to a pair of vector bosons subsequently decaying to a τ pair each), and a second species with a mass around 2.3 TeV decaying to μ lepton pairs. We provide a few possible concrete realizations for this scenario.

Physics↗

An Investigation of Heuristic Control Strategies for Multi-Electrolyzer Wind-Hydrogen Systems Considering Degradation

With the growing demand for renewable-energy-powered hydrogen generation and the corresponding increase in plant capacity, individually controlling many electrolyzer stacks will be critical for increasing the plant's lifetime and efficiency. This paper introduces a rule-based controller framework targeting electrolyzer degradation to explore the opportunity space in multi-stack hydrogen plant control. A novel control-oriented degradation model is also presented in this work, which quantifies the impact of steady power input, fluctuating power input, and the number of startup/shutdown cycles on electrolyzer degradation. Using a wind power input signal, 13 controller configurations are tested on 5 MW hydrogen plants consisting of 2, 5, 10, and 25 stacks. These configurations are evaluated on their capability to mitigate electrolyzer degradation and efficiently produce hydrogen from the time-varying input power. The results show that multi-stack control for degradation can extend the plant's lifetime by more than a factor of 3 with minimal impact on instantaneous hydrogen production.

control↗

Simulating the Effect of p-n Junction Fields on TRPL Transients of Thin-Film CdTe Solar Cells

Bias-dependent time-resolved photoluminescence (TRPL) transients of thin CdTe solar cells were simulated with the goal of characterizing the effect of p-n junction fields on photoluminescence decays. It was found that, although bulk lifetime could be accurately determined in field-free samples, electric field effects in solar cells lead to systematic underestimation of bulk lifetime. Modulating field strength with the application of external bias was found to have a major impact, a result corroborated by experimental data. In particular, p-n junction fields effects were found to be effectively suppressed when a cell is put far into forward bias, enabling accurate measurement of bulk lifetime in p-n junction structures.

CdTe↗

Photovoltaic Inverter Failure Mechanism Estimation Using Unsupervised Machine Learning and Reliability Assessment

This article introduces a data-driven approach to assessing failure mechanisms and reliability degradation in outdoor photovoltaic (PV) string inverters. The manufacturer's stated PV inverter lifetime can vary due to the impact of operating site conditions. To address limitations in degradation estimation through accelerated testing, condition monitoring, or degradation modeling, we propose a machine learning (ML) oriented approach. Utilizing data from a 1.4 MW PV power plant operational since 2016, with 46 string PV inverters tied to the grid, we employ the unsupervised one-class support vector machine ML technique to analyze inverter and sensor data, capable of classifying humidity cycling and temperature fluctuations as dominant failure mechanisms. Utilizing the anomaly alert relationship and alert details specific to the inverter, the level of PV inverter output is considered as its availability or available reliability. Subsequently, a continuous Markov model is applied to six-month alert data, revealing an average stated reliability of 20% after 20 years of continuous operation. These results support recommendations for time-bound preventive measures to enhance PV inverter reliability under diverse outdoor conditions. Furthermore, the approach provides a nondestructive, top–down, and generalized method for analyzing any commercial PV inverter exposed to outdoor conditions, contingent on the availability of relevant data.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Spark-Assisted HCCI Residential CHP

A transformative small spark ignition (SI) internal combustion (IC) engine fueled with natural gas was developed for combined heat and power (CHP) applications using a combination of cycle simulations, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling, and engine experiments. The resulting 1 kW CHP engine was demonstrated to achieve 36.1% brake thermal efficiency (BTE) while meeting aggressive exhaust emissions targets using a low-cost three-way catalyst. Starting from a “clean-sheet” design, modeling tools were used to select the optimal engine parameters and operating characteristics. The disruptive technologies developed for the CHP system have a target lifetime of at least 10 years. The engine cost at volume of 10,000 units was estimated to be $\$$1,050. A combination of experimental and simulation results were used to identify a path to the program target of 38.6% BTE. Base engine design parameters (i.e., displacement, speed, bore, stroke, valve timings, and compression ratio) were optimized to reduce friction, heat transfer, and exhaust losses. The base clean sheet prototype engine achieved 32% BTE. Optimization of the lube oil and coolant temperatures added 1.8% BTE. The addition of exhaust gas recirculation added 1.1% BTE. Novel thermal barrier coatings (TBCs) developed over the course of the project added 1.2% BTE. Further improvements in engine friction reduction (1.3% BTE) and improved combustion (1.2% BTE) are estimated to meet the program target 38.6% BTE, while also meeting the stringent criteria pollutant emissions targets.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Orbit decay analysis of STS upper stage boosters

An orbit decay analysis of the space transportation system upper stage boosters is presented. An overview of the computer trajectory programs, DSTROB, algorithm is presented. Atmospheric drag and perturbation models are described. The development of launch windows, such that the transfer orbit will decay within two years, is discussed. A study of the lifetimes of geosynchronous transfer orbits is presented.

Graf, O. F., Jr.↗

Lifetimes and Reliabilities of Bevel-Gear Drive Trains

Statistical methods used to predict system lifetimes from component lifetimes. Report shows how to use information to determine system life of drive train, using methods of probability and statistics. Presents life and reliability model for bevel-gear drive trains. Bevel-gear and support-bearing lives analyzed for each gear and bearing in drive train, with results statistically combined to produce system life for entire drive train. Numerical example included.

Lewicki, D.↗

Designing Accelerated Tests Of Electromigration

Method for design of accelerated tests of electromigration (as in microscopic conductors in integrated circuits) based partly on simplified mathematical model of electromigration and partly on error analysis. Objective to determine quickly operating life of tested components under normal operating conditions by extrapolation from lifetime measurements at operating stresses greater than normal. Involves compromise between reducing testing time by increasing stresses and reducing uncertainty in extrapolated lifetime by decreasing stresses.

Buehler, Martin G.↗