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At least 1,207 records · Page 67

Typologies of actionable climate information and its use

Developing actionable climate information and integrating it into decision-making are two crucial elements for promoting effective societal responses to climate change. However, what constitutes actionable climate information, and how it is used, varies based on the actors, systems, and scales that are relevant to specific decisions. Yet, the terms ‘actionable climate information’ or ‘use of climate information’ are used abstractly. There is a lack of holistic understanding of the various types of information that can be deemed as usable by different users, and the different ways in which they may be used in decision-making. Typologies or generalizable categorizations can help both knowledge producers and users to better envision the entire landscape of climate information and its uses and can help to reduce the time and cost of actionable knowledge production. Through systematic coding and analysis of ~ 4 years of co-production engagements between climate scientists and resource managers, this paper presents empirically derived typologies of actionable climate information and its use, and explores whether certain uses are better informed by specific types of climate information. These typologies provide a valuable starting point for climate information producers, users, and boundary spanners working on climate-informed resource management, to reduce some of the time-intensive elements of the process.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A machine learning approach for identifying variables associated with risk of developing neutralizing antidrug antibodies to factor VIII

A key unmet need in the management of hemophilia A (HA) is the lack of clinically validated markers that are associated with the development of neutralizing antibodies to Factor VIII (FVIII) (commonly referred to as inhibitors). This study aimed to identify relevant biomarkers for FVIII inhibition using Machine Learning (ML) and Explainable AI (XAI) using the My Life Our Future (MLOF) research repository. The dataset includes biologically relevant variables such as age, race, sex, ethnicity, and the variants in the F8 gene. In addition, we previously carried out Human Leukocyte Antigen Class II (HLA-II) typing on samples obtained from the MLOF repository. Using this information, we derived other patient-specific biologically and genetically important variables. These included identifying the number of foreign FVIII derived peptides, based on the alignment of the endogenous FVIII and infused drug sequences, and the foreign-peptide HLA-II molecule binding affinity calculated using NetMHCIIpan. The data were processed and trained with multiple ML classification models to identify the top performing models. The top performing model was then chosen to apply XAI via SHAP, (SHapley Additive exPlanations) to identify the variables critical for the prediction of FVIII inhibitor development in a hemophilia A patient. Using XAI we provide a robust and ranked identification of variables that could be predictive for developing inhibitors to FVIII drugs in hemophilia A patients. These variables could be validated as biomarkers and used in making clinical decisions and during drug development. The top five variables for predicting inhibitor development based on SHAP values are: (i) the baseline activity of the FVIII protein, (ii) mean affinity of all foreign peptides for HLA DRB 3, 4, & 5 alleles, (iii) mean affinity of all foreign peptides for HLA DRB1 alleles), (iv) the minimum affinity among all foreign peptides for HLA DRB1 alleles, and (v) F8 mutation type.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Fine-scale cation dynamics and control by Rhodonia placenta and Pleurotus ostreatus during wood decay

Fungi are the primary decomposers of wood across the globe. They redistribute the vast pool of wood carbon to other parts of the carbon cycle using mechanisms that also have intriguing potential in bioconversion and biotechnology applications. To make a living in the relatively sparse microenvironment of wood, these filamentous fungi must import many of their needs, including cations. Understanding the timing of cation import can help us validate the functions of cations in wood decay and create a clearer understanding of these complex wood degradation mechanisms. In this study, we resolved cation timing dynamics across space for two fungi (brown rot fungus Rhodonia placenta and white rot fungus Pleurotus ostreatus) using a wood wafer system. We found some expected patterns of the cation dynamics for both fungi, and a clear role for iron at the early stages of brown rot decay. On the other hand, the lack of an increase in manganese during initial white rot decay was surprising. Unexpectedly, we also saw a spike in copper during early brown rot decay that demands more investigation as a potential player in the brown rot mechanism.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Domain-aware Control-oriented Neural Models for Autonomous Underwater Vehicles

Conventional physics-based modeling is a time-consuming bottleneck in control design for complex nonlinear systems like autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs). In contrast, purely data-driven models, require a large number of observations and lack operational guarantees for safety-critical systems. Data-driven models leveraging available partially characterized dynamics have potential to provide reliable systems models in a typical data-limited scenario for high value complex systems, thereby avoiding months of expensive expert modeling time. In this work we explore this middle-ground between expert-modeled and pure data-driven modeling. We present control-oriented parametric models with varying levels of domain-awareness that exploit known system structure and prior physics knowledge to create constrained deep neural dynamical system models. We employ universal differential equations to construct data-driven blackbox and graybox representations of the AUV dynamics. In addition, we explore a hybrid formulation that explicitly models the residual error related to imperfect graybox models. We compare the prediction performance of the learned models for different distributions of initial conditions and control inputs to assess their suitability for control.

Shaw Cortez, Wenceslao E.↗

Synergistic enhancement of nanocellulose foam with dual in situ mineralization and crosslinking reaction

Cellulose nanocrystals (CNCs) foams have recently gained research interests because they are renewable, abundant, biodegradable and exhibit high surface area. However, the application of CNCs-based foams is still challenging, which is attributed to its lack of effective entanglements between the CNCs particles, thus lowering foam properties. In this study, a synergistic enhancement strategy was proposed, based on the in situ mineralization with hydroxyapatite (HAP) layer onto the CNCs surface, followed by a chemical crosslinking reaction. The physical and chemical structures of the composites were analyzed with SEM, STEM, XRD, FTIR, and TGA. By controlling the amount of coated HAP and the crosslinker, it is possible to manufacture a series of CNCs-based foams that are lightweight (50–75 mg/cm 3 ), highly porous (~90%) with high water absorption (>1300%) and outstanding mechanical strength properties (as high as 1.37 MPa). Moreover, our study further indicated that these CNCs/HAP materials could increase the proliferation of rat osteoblast cells. The method developed in this study presents a novel approach to design improved networked CNCs foam, which has the potential to be used in thermal-retardant material, wastewater treatment, tissue engineering, and personal care applications.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Land-use analysis using infrastructure representations and high-resolution flood inundation mapping techniques

In the face of climate change and population growth in coastal regions, land-use analysis efforts are more challenging than ever. Land-use decision-makers in coastal communities are burdened with the difficult choices of where to place new homes versus other assets. While there has been an increased focus on hazard mitigation and disaster resilience in the field of planning, evidence points towards continued development in risk-prone areas including flood zones. Residential development within flood zones specifically continues to be a major issue. To help counter this trend, this study introduces a novel land-use analysis method, coupling topographic flood inundation mapping techniques with digital elevation model (DEM) adaptations. This Topographic Model Scenario Generation workflow can be used by planners early in the land-use decision making process and provides an alternative to high-computational hydraulic models. The analysis also includes the identification of strengths and weaknesses of topographic models' recognition of built infrastructure assets, adding to a limited body of knowledge addressing recommended uses of such models. Levees and canals prove particularly functional in this context while detention ponds less so, likely due to a lack of total water mass accountability. Lastly, we provide a functional demonstration in Southeast Texas to illustrate the workflow's ability to create multiple infrastructure scenarios and visualize their effects across different flood events.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Investigating the Determinants of Household Capabilities Burden During Power Outages: The Case of Winter Storm Uri

Existing research primarily uses census data to identify the vulnerability of communities to hazards. These vulnerability indices provide aggregated data and are not hazard-specific nor well-validated with post-event data. In contrast, our study uses household survey data (n=1065) to understand which Texan households suffered the greatest loss of their capabilities due to power outages and other utility service disruptions during Winter Storm Uri. Inspired by the Capabilities Approach, our measures of burden include the number of household capability types disrupted during the outages (e.g., cooking, heating, refrigeration), the severity of impact for each disrupted capability, and the additional time and financial costs of coping with these disruptions. We perform a clustering analysis, and find two distinct groups in our data, consisting of ‘lesser burden' and ‘heavier burden' households. Results indicate that the households experiencing the heaviest capabilities burden were most likely to experience longer power outages and the loss of water services. They were also more likely to have a Hispanic-Latino household member, lack access to a generator, live in a rented home, have larger households with more young children, fewer adults over 65, lower household incomes, been impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, and more family characteristics that made life harder. We also fit a logistic regression model to assess the role of outage, household, and community characteristics in predicting differences in capabilities burden. Our results offer insights into enumerating the consequences of utility service disruptions on households, which can inform more targeted and equitable resilience strategies.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Microstructure-Sensitive modeling of surface roughness and notch effects on extreme value fatigue response

Fatigue life knockdown due to surface roughness induces local stress concentrations. Physical fatigue experiments are crucial to qualify materials for use but are limited in their capability to examine the mechanisms underlying the fatigue crack formation driving force due to these stress concentrations. Microstructure-sensitive computational models can aid in this regard and are employed in this work to examine the effects of surface roughness in Al 7075-T6. Digital microstructure models are subjected to crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM) simulations to examine the combined effects of microstructure and grain scale asperities on the driving force for fatigue crack formation. Following elastic–plastic shakedown, mesoscale volume-averaged fatigue indicator parameters (FIPs) are computed within fatigue damage process zones of grains. An increase in the intensity of realistic surface roughness profiles corresponds accordingly to larger FIPs but it is difficult to precisely interpret the mechanisms and effects of this intensification. We thus parametrically investigate surface asperities that couple with microstructure and lack of constraint on slip at the free surface to describe microstructure-sensitive surface roughness knockdown effects on fatigue resistance. The depth of a single valley (i.e., notch) due to surface roughness is found to be more detrimental to fatigue resistance than the radius (i.e., notch width, not to be confused with notch acuity). Finally, we also find that different crystallographic textures, grain morphologies, and number of sampled grains have a limited effect on the depth of influence of these notches.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Very high cycle fatigue characteristics of laser beam powder bed fused AlSi10Mg: A systematic evaluation of part geometry

This study explores the influence of geometry and part size on defect distribution, melt pool size, and mechanical characteristics in laser beam powder bed fused (LB-PBF) AlSi10Mg. Five distinct geometries—hourglass, small rod, small block, large block, and large rod—were fabricated under identical process parameters. Fully reversed ultrasonic fatigue testing, operating at a frequency of 20 kHz, was conducted to assess the very high cycle fatigue properties. The findings indicated that part geometry had a major impact on the fatigue properties of the material in the very high cycle fatigue regime. Specimens machined from large rods and large blocks had the lowest porosity and highest fatigue resistance. Microstructural analysis indicated that hourglass, small rod, and small block specimens had shallower melt pools and overlap depths compared to other geometries. This observation suggests a higher cooling rate in specimens with smaller cross-sectional areas, leading to the increased presence of entrapped gas pores and a lack of fusion defects. Understanding the relationship between part geometry and fatigue properties in LB-PBF components offers insights for optimizing design and manufacturing processes in additive manufacturing applications.

AlSi10Mg↗

Phase-field modeling of crack growth under coupled creep-fatigue

Crack growth under coupled creep-fatigue strongly influences service life of metallic components operating at high temperatures. However, there lack numerical models that enable direct simulations of crack growth and plasticity development under coupled creep-fatigue. Here, in this study, a unified phase-field model is developed for simulating crack growth under fatigue, creep, and coupled creep-fatigue. This model is able to reproduce the Paris laws for both brittle and ductile materials in pure fatigue mode, which shows that the degradation rate due to cyclic stress in ductile materials is generally larger than that in brittle materials. Fatigue simulations with different yield strengths demonstrate that plasticity facilitates crack growth in typical ductile materials. High-throughput simulations are performed under coupled creep-fatigue conditions, with varying hold-stress levels and hold-time. By analyzing crack growth rate under different hold-time, a creep-fatigue interaction term is obtained. Simulation results demonstrate that the creep-fatigue interaction is caused by smaller stress gradient and enhanced degradation rate ahead of the crack tips under coupled creep-fatigue, compared to the situation of pure fatigue. This work reveals the origin of different Paris-law exponents in brittle and ductile materials and demonstrates how the interplay between creep and fatigue affects crack growth.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Machine learning to discover mineral trapping signatures due to CO 2 injection

Mineral trapping is pursued as a geological CO 2 sequestration (GCS) mechanism because it permanently stores CO 2 in solid phases or minerals. However, CO 2 mineral-trapping mechanisms are poorly understood due to (1) lack of sufficient field and laboratory data characterizing these complex processes, and (2) challenges to develop site-specific reactive-transport models coupling fluid flow and geochemical reactions occurring at various temporal (from milliseconds to years) and spatial (from pore (millimeters) to field (kilometers)) scales. Reactive transport with additional complexities such as heterogeneity can make the simulation outputs even more difficult to interpret because of complex nonlinearity and multi-scale interdependencies. Furthermore, the values of model outputs such as concentrations can vary by several orders of magnitude, making it harder to correlate and characterize the impact of the variables via traditional data interpretation techniques such as exploratory data analyses. Recently, machine learning (ML) has shown promise in feature discovery and in highlighting hidden mechanisms that cannot be obtained by existing data-analytics and statistical methods. In this study, we applied an unsupervised ML approach, non-negative matrix factorization with custom -means clustering (NMF) to the data generated by reactive-transport simulations of GCS. The reactive-transport data consisted of 19 attributes, including four physio-chemical variables (pH, porosity, aqueous CO 2 , and sequestered CO 2 ), six chemical species (K + , Na + , HCO, Ca 2+ , Mg 2+ , Fe 2+ ), and four carbonate minerals (calcite, dolomite, siderite, and ankerite), a feldspar mineral (albite), and four clay minerals (illite, clinochlore, kaolinite, and smectite) over a period of 200 years of simulation time. Furthermore, the simulation data used was for Morrow B sandstone at the Farnsworth hydrocarbon unit in Texas. Data are sampled at two locations within the model domain: (1) at the injection well and (2) 200 m west of the injection well. The injection was performed for a period of 10 years. Using NMF, we estimated the temporal interdependencies among the 19 attributes over a span of 200 years. We found that NMF was able to identify four reaction stages and their dominant attributes; these cannot be directly discerned through traditional visualization (e.g., line plots, Pareto analysis, Glyph-based visualization methods) or exploratory data analysis tools of the simulation data. The four stages were: reactions in the injection phase followed by short-, mid-, and long-term reactions. The NMF analysis also revealed that 10 among the 19 attributes are dominant. These dominant attributes for mineral trapping include calcite, dolomite at injection well, siderite at 200 m away from the injection well, clinochlore, kaolinite, Na + , K + , Ca 2+ , Mg 2+ , pH, and aqeuous CO 2 . Finally, at late times (65–200 years), our results showed that calcite plays a major role in mineral trapping with insignificant contribution from siderite, ankerite, and clay minerals. These findings make the proposed unsupervised ML-model attractive for reactive-transport sensing towards real-time GCS monitoring.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Selecting representative geological realizations to model subsurface CO 2 storage under uncertainty

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is one of the quickest and most effective solutions for reducing carbon emissions. The majority of subsurface storage occurs in saline aquifers, for which geological information is lacking which in turn results in geological uncertainty. To evaluate uncertainty in CO 2 injection projections, the use of multiple geological realizations (GRs) has been practiced very commonly. In this approach, hundreds or thousands of high-resolution GRs is used that quickly becomes computationally expensive. This issue can be addressed with representative geological realizations (RGRs) that preserve the uncertainty domain of the ensemble GRs. Here, in this study, we propose the use of unsupervised machine learning (UML) frameworks, including dissimilarity measurement, dimensionality reduction, clustering and sampling algorithms ta select a predetermined number of RGRs. We compare the simulation outputs of the RGR sets and the ensemble using the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) test to select the best UML. The UML frameworks and their associated selection processes are evaluated using a saline aquifer with a single CO 2 injection well and 200 GRs with varying uncertain petrophysical characteristics. The best UML framework is selected to use only 5% of the GRs while maintaining the uncertainty domain of the ensemble GRs. In addition, the best UML framework is tested using a saline aquifer with three CO 2 injection wells and varied GRs. The results show that our proposed UML framework can be used to choose RGRs, capturing the whole uncertainty domain. Our approach leads to a significant reduction in the computational cost associated with scenario testing, decision-making, and development planning for CO 2 storage sites under geological uncertainty.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Using optical fibers to examine thermal mixing of liquid sodium in a pool-type geometry

Sodium fast reactors (SFR) are poised to be a leading candidate for the next generation of commercial nuclear reactor deployment. Companies are commissioning designs for SFR increasing the need for experimental and computational analysis to improve the economics and safety of these reactors. Analysis of SFR behavior during reactor transients directly informs the understanding of reactor safety. Particularly, investigating the thermal transients associated with the reactor loss of flow transient allows for informed design decisions to be made regarding reactor safety. During loss of flow transients the flow rate of the coolant is significantly reduced, but not necessarily stopped. The reduction in flow rate results in coolant temperatures exiting the reactor core that can be drastically different than the coolant in upper pool. When these different temperature fluids interact, thermally stratified layers can form causing cyclic thermal fatigue on the reactor vessel potentially leading to pre-material failure. Past experimental studies have lacked high resolution temperature measurements. This research focuses on demonstrating the reliability of novel techniques for acquiring high resolution temperature measurements in a scaled liquid sodium facility. Tests are conducted that simulate postulated loss of flow transients and provide unprecedented spatial temperature distribution measurements.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Thermal coupling-decoupling mechanism of heat transfer across van der Waals interfaces in n-eicosane

Progress toward improving thermal transport properties of n-eicosane, a promising phase change material for thermal energy storage near human body temperature, is hindered by lack of a general theoretical framework to model thermal interfacial conductance (TIC) of the van der Waals (vdW) force bonded molecular interfaces, which have little compositional/structural mismatch. Combining molecular dynamics simulations at temperatures up to the melting point and a time-domain analysis of interfacial heat currents in individual molecules, we unveil that (1) the heat flux across a molecular vdW interface has an alternating coupling-decoupling pattern at the single molecule level due to thermal fluctuations, and (2) the net heat transfer during the thermally coupled periods is orders of magnitude larger than that during the thermally decoupled periods. Furthermore, we demonstrate that a vdW interface's TIC correlates almost linearly with two atomistic-scale coupling-decoupling parameters: αc and σc, that represent the duration and strength of the thermal coupling, respectively. This thermal coupling-decoupling mechanism proposes a new paradigm that explicitly accounts for the effects of structural flexibility and dynamical fluctuation on heat transfer across molecular interfaces, and will likely provide new insights into modeling thermal transport properties in a wide-ranging soft materials, including self-assembled monolayers, paraffins or lipids.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Comprehensive framework for data-driven model form discovery of the closure laws in thermal-hydraulics codes

The two-phase two-fluid model is a basis of many thermal-hydraulics codes used in design, licensing, and safety considerations of nuclear power plants. Thermal-hydraulics codes rely on the closure laws to close the system of conservation equations and describe the interactions between phases. These laws, derived from years of experimental investigations, are semi-empirical correlations that lack generality and have a limited range of applicability. Increase of computational power, availability of new experiments, and development of high-fidelity simulations has increased the number of validation data. The discrepancies between the code predictions and the validation data are a great source of knowledge. Missing physics that are not included in the model but are important for the considered phenomena can be discovered by propagating the information from the experimental results through the model. Furthermore, physics-discovered data-driven model form (P3DM) methodology integrates available integral effect tests and separate effects tests to determine the necessary corrections to the model form of the closure laws. In contrast to existing calibration techniques, the methodology modifies the functional form of the closure laws. Based on the functional form of the correction, the missing physics that were not included in the original model can be discovered. The methodology provides the alternative to the machine learning approach, in which the model is discovered in the form of the intractable black-box relation. In this work, the methodology was applied to the CTF subchannel code to improve the prediction of the two-phase flow phenomena.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A note on thermal history kernel for unsteady heat transfer of a spherical particle

When a particle is subjected to an unsteady ambient flow, in terms of either time-dependent relative velocity or time-dependent temperature difference, the net heat transfer from the particle cannot be calculated based on the quasi-steady heat transfer correlation alone. Due to unsteady evolution of the thermal boundary layer, there is also a history contribution to heat transfer. The history contribution to heat transfer is expressed as a convolution integral of past evolution of temperature difference between the particle and the surrounding. While Basset history force and its finite Reynolds number extension have been well studied, similar understanding of unsteady heat transfer and thermal history kernel is lacking. Here, we use existing particle-resolved simulation results to develop a finite Peclet number thermal history kernel, which when used with the convolution integral is demonstrated to accurately predict unsteady heat transfer over a range of Peclet numbers and particle-to-fluid heat capacity ratio.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Design and performance of a variable gap system for thermal conductivity measurements of high temperature, corrosive, and reactive fluids

We report high-temperature fluids such as molten salts, liquid metals, and gasses are being proposed for many advanced energy systems including thermal energy storage devices, concentrating solar plants, and advanced nuclear reactor designs. However, the chemical behavior and thermophysical properties of many of these fluids have not been well characterized, which hinders the design, modeling, safety analysis, and deployment of these systems. Thermal conductivity is a property that is especially limited by existing measurement capabilities, which are subject to errors caused by convection, material interaction, radiative heat transfer, and instrument degradation. Therefore, there is a lack of standard, systematic measurement techniques for high-temperature, reactive, and corrosive fluids. In this work, the development of a variable gap thermal conductivity measurement system is detailed. The system is designed to measure the thermal conductivity of highly corrosive and reactive fluids, and survive operation between 100 °C and 800 °C. The effects of convection are minimized by limiting the thickness of the specimen to thin sizes (<0.3 mm). Corrections for radiative heat transfer were included in the working equations to consider specimens with varying optical properties. The design, construction, instrumentation, operating principles, and data analysis techniques are discussed in detail. The system was tested up to 500 °C using helium gas and molten KNO 3 -NaNO 3 to verify the measurement technique and determine the sources of error. At 300 and 400 °C KNO 3 -NaNO 3 , results showed maximum relative error of 6% when compared to results in the literature. The helium results were within 13% of those in the literature at 300 and 400 °C. Higher errors were observed at 500 °C for both fluids, and the sources of these errors are discussed.

42 ENGINEERING↗