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At least 1,207 records · Page 67

An analysis of the uncertainty and bias in DCE-MRI measurements using the spoiled gradient-recalled echo pulse sequence

Purpose: The pharmacokinetic parameters derived from dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) MRI have been used in more than 100 phase I trials and investigator led studies. A comparison of the absolute values of these quantities requires an estimation of their respective probability distribution function (PDF). The statistical variation of the DCE-MRI measurement is analyzed by considering the fundamental sources of error in the MR signal intensity acquired with the spoiled gradient-echo (SPGR) pulse sequence. Methods: The variance in the SPGR signal intensity arises from quadrature detection and excitation flip angle inconsistency. The noise power was measured in 11 phantoms of contrast agent concentration in the range [0–1] mM (in steps of 0.1 mM) and in onein vivo acquisition of a tumor-bearing mouse. The distribution of the flip angle was determined in a uniform 10 mM CuSO{sub 4} phantom using the spin echo double angle method. The PDF of a wide range of T1 values measured with the varying flip angle (VFA) technique was estimated through numerical simulations of the SPGR equation. The resultant uncertainty in contrast agent concentration was incorporated in the most common model of tracer exchange kinetics and the PDF of the derived pharmacokinetic parameters was studied numerically. Results: The VFA method is an unbiased technique for measuringT1 only in the absence of bias in excitation flip angle. The time-dependent concentration of the contrast agent measured in vivo is within the theoretically predicted uncertainty. The uncertainty in measuring K{sup trans} with SPGR pulse sequences is of the same order, but always higher than, the uncertainty in measuring the pre-injection longitudinal relaxation time (T1{sub 0}). The lowest achievable bias/uncertainty in estimating this parameter is approximately 20%–70% higher than the bias/uncertainty in the measurement of the pre-injection T1 map. The fractional volume parameters derived from the extended Tofts model were found to be extremely sensitive to the variance in signal intensity. The SNR of the pre-injection T1 map indicates the limiting precision with which K{sup trans} can be calculated. Conclusions: Current small-animal imaging systems and pulse sequences robust to motion artifacts have the capacity for reproducible quantitative acquisitions with DCE-MRI. In these circumstances, it is feasible to achieve a level of precision limited only by physiologic variability.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Increasing efficiency of BEAMnrc-simulated Co-60 beams using directional source biasing

Purpose: This study describes the implementation of a directional source biasing (DSB) scheme for efficiently simulating Cobalt-60 treatment heads using the BEAMnrc Monte Carlo code. Previous simulation of Co-60 beams with BEAMnrc was impractical because of the time required to track photons not directed into the treatment field and to simulate secondary charged particles. Methods: In DSB, efficiency is increased by splitting each photon emitted by the Co-60 source a user-defined number of times. Only those split primary photons directed into a user-defined splitting field (encompassing the treatment field) are sampled, yielding many low-weight photons directed into the field. Efficiency can be further increased by taking advantage of radial symmetry at the top of the treatment head to reduce the number of split primary photons tracked in this portion. There is also an option to generate contaminant electrons in DSB. Results: The DSB scheme in BEAMnrc increases the photon fluence calculation efficiency in a 10 × 10 cm{sup 2} Co-60 beam by a factor of 1800 with a concurrent increase in contaminant electron fluence calculation efficiency by a factor of 1200. Implementation of DSB in beampp, a C++ code for accelerator simulations based on EGSnrc and the C++ class library, egspp, increases photon fluence efficiency by a factor of 2800 and contaminant electron fluence efficiency by a factor of 1600. Optimum splitting numbers are in the range of 20 000–40 000. For dose calculations in a water phantom (0.5 × 0.5 × 0.5 cm{sup 3} voxels) this translates into a factor of ∼400 increase in dose calculation efficiency (all doses > 0.5 × D{sub max}). An example calculation of the ratio of dose to water to dose to chamber (the basis of the beam quality correction factor) to within 0.2% in a realistic chamber using a full simulation of a Co-60 treatment head as a source indicates the practicality of Co-60 simulations with DSB. Conclusions: The efficiency improvement resulting from DSB makes Monte Carlo commissioning of Co-60 beams and calculation of beam quality correction factors feasible.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Exchange bias and quantum anomalous nomalous Hall effect in the MnBi 2 Te 4 /CrI 3 heterostructure

The layered antiferromagnetic MnBi 2 Te 4 films have been proposed to be an intrinsic quantum anomalous Hall (QAH) insulator with a large gap. It is crucial to open a magnetic gap of surface states. However, recent experiments have observed gapless surface states, indicating the absence of out-of-plane surface magnetism, and thus, the quantized Hall resistance can only be achieved at the magnetic field above 6 T. We propose to induce out-of-plane surface magnetism of MnBi 2 Te 4 films via the magnetic proximity with magnetic insulator CrI 3 . A strong exchange bias of ~40 meV originates from the long Cr- e g orbital tails that hybridize strongly with Te p orbitals. By stabilizing surface magnetism, the QAH effect can be realized in the MnBi 2 Te 4 /CrI 3 heterostructure. Moreover, the high–Chern number QAH state can be achieved by controlling external electric gates. Thus, the MnBi 2 Te 4 /CrI 3 heterostructure provides a promising platform to realize the electrically tunable zero-field QAH effect.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Exchange Bias in Layered GdBaCo{sub 2}O{sub 5.5} Cobaltite

It is established that excess oxygen content δ influences the exchange bias (EB) in layered GdBa-Co{sub 2}O{sub 5+δ} cobaltite. The EB effect arises in p-type (δ > 0.5) cobaltite and disappears in n-type (δ < 0.5) cobaltite. The main parameters of EB in GdBaCo{sub 2}O{sub 5.52(2)} polycrystals are determined, including the field and temperature dependences of EB field H{sub EB}, blocking temperature T{sub B}, exchange coupling energy J{sub i} of antiferromagnet–ferromagnet (AFM–FM) interface, and dimensions of FM clusters. The training effect inherent in systems with EB has been studied. The results are explained in terms of exchange interaction between the FM and AFM phases. It is assumed that the EB originates from the coexistence of Co{sup 3+} and Co{sup 4+} ions that leads to the formation of monodomain FM clusters in the AFM matrix of cobaltite.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Dependence of energy resolution of a plane-parallel HPGe detector on bias voltage upon registration of low-energy X-rays

In this study, we theoretically analyze the processes in a plane-parallel high-purity germanium (HPGe) detector. The generating function of factorial moments describing the process of registration of low-energy X-rays by the HPGe detector with consideration of capture of charge carriers by traps is obtained. It is demonstrated that the coefficients of expansion of the average signal amplitude and variance in power series over the quantity inversely proportional to the bias voltage of the detector allow one to determine the Fano factor, the product of the charge carrier lifetime and mobility, and other characteristics of the semiconductor material of the detector.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Dependence of the Energy Resolution of a Hemispherical Semiconductor Detector on the Bias Voltage

It is shown that the series expansion of the amplitude and variance of the hemispherical semiconductor detector signal in inverse bias voltage allows finding the Fano factor, the product of electron lifetime and mobility, the degree of inhomogeneity of the trap density in the semiconductor material, and the relative variance of the electronic channel gain. An important advantage of the proposed method is that it is independent of the electronic channel gain and noise.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Anharmonic Bloch oscillations of electrons in electrically biased superlattices

The phenomenon of anharmonic Bloch oscillations (i.e., oscillations with a frequency which is a multiple of the Bloch frequency) is considered. The energy-band structure of silicon-carbide polytypes where these oscillations are observed is calculated ab initio. A one-dimensional model potential making it possible to calculate the Stark wave functions in a biased superlattice is constructed for these polytypes. The transfer matrix method is used to find the set of energy levels (the so-called Stark ladder) and calculate the electron wave functions. It is shown that both radiative transitions between neighboring Stark levels (at the Bloch frequency) and transitions in the form of jumps via several levels, accompanied by emission at frequencies that are multiples of the Bloch frequency, may occur. The calculated probabilities of transitions between Stark-ladder levels increase with increasing applied field strength.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Domain Structure and Magnetization Reversal Micromechanisms in Quasi-Two-Dimensional Exchange-Biased Nanomagnetics

Abstract—The domain structure and magnetization reversal mechanisms are studied in quasi-two-dimensional exchange-biased NiFe/FeMn and NiFe/NiO nanomagnetics, using a complex method of magnetooptical indicator films and acoustic emission. The presence of the axial dispersion of unidirectional anisotropy in grains of the antiferromagnetic layer is shown to determine the statistic distribution and chirality of spin springs near the interface. The acoustic emission signals caused by the excitation of elastic Lamb waves upon the magnetization reversal of NiFe/NiO heterostructure are found. The coercive force of these systems is due to irreversible processes to overcome potential barriers that are induced by the formation of spin springs with different chirality, localized in the antiferromagnetic near the ferromagnetic–antiferromagnetic boundary.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Moving beyond the total sea ice extent in gauging model biases

Here, reproducing characteristics of observed sea ice extent remains an important climate modeling challenge. This study describes several approaches to improve how model biases in total sea ice distribution are quantified, and applies them to historically forced simulations contributed to phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). The quantity of hemispheric total sea ice area, or some measure of its equatorward extent, is often used to evaluate model performance. A new approach is introduced that investigates additional details about the structure of model errors, with an aim to reduce the potential impact of compensating errors when gauging differences between simulated and observed sea ice. Using multiple observational datasets, several new methods are applied to evaluate the climatological spatial distribution and the annual cycle of sea ice cover in 41 CMIP5 models. It is shown that in some models, error compensation can be substantial, for example resulting from too much sea ice in one region and too little in another. Error compensation tends to be larger in models that agree more closely with the observed total sea ice area, which may result from model tuning. The results herein suggest that consideration of only the total hemispheric sea ice area or extent can be misleading when quantitatively comparing how well models agree with observations. Further work is needed to fully develop robust methods to holistically evaluate the ability of models to capture the finescale structure of sea ice characteristics; however, the “sector scale” metric used here aids in reducing the impact of compensating errors in hemispheric integrals.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

High-speed fiber-coupled terahertz time-domain spectroscopy system using a bias-free plasmonic source

We demonstrate a high-speed fiber-coupled terahertz time-domain spectroscopy (THz-TDS) system using a bias-free plasmonic terahertz source. The system is powered by a compact, low-power femtosecond fiber laser oscillator that drives a dual-branch fiber amplifier to pump and probe a plasmonic terahertz source and detector, respectively. A polarization-maintaining, fiber-coupled optical delay line is employed to precisely control the temporal offset between the pump and probe beams through a compact, robust platform. Operating in the self-similar amplification regime, the fiber amplifiers are engineered to mitigate nonlinear pulse distortion and dispersion while delivering robust, high-energy pulses at a 1560-nm wavelength, with an output power exceeding 326 mW. In reflection mode, the THz-TDS system achieves a peak dynamic range of 81 dB and a bandwidth greater than 3.5 THz at a scan rate of 3.75 Hz. The utility of the system for rapid sensing is further demonstrated by quantifying the porosity and density of pharmaceutical tablets through measurements of their physical thickness and effective refractive index.

Jiang, Xinghe [University of California, Los Angel↗

Eliminating Signal Bias Caused by Vacuum System Backstreaming in the Diagnostic Residual Gas Analyzer of ITER

In fusion neutral gas analysis, such as with the Diagnostic Residual Gas Analyzer (DRGA) for ITER, the primary measurement range of interest comprises the low-amu species (1 to 6), especially deuterium and helium. The challenge in successfully obtaining accurate measurements is two-fold. First, the sensitivity of the method must be sufficient to resolve trace amounts accurately; typically, one percent or less. Second, the gas signal from the fusion processes must be free of bias caused by the latent presence (from system outgassing and/or vacuum backstreaming) of these gases to enable accurate interpretation of the measured signal. This latter criterion can be problematic for the lightest gases since there is a propensity for some fraction of the pumped gas load to undergo a phenomenon known as backstreaming. This behavior is manifested in pumping systems for gas properties related to relative atomic weight (lightest) and size (smallest). Backstreaming results in a significant amount of the pumped gas undertaking a reverse flow and re-entering the measurement region; thus, contaminating the forward, real-time measurement. To fully eliminate this adverse effect, a conductance-limiting device – or orifice – has been installed in the high-vacuum pumping system of the present ITER DRGA prototype. The system was already equipped with a secondary turbomolecular pump (TMP), but with limited effectiveness against backstreaming in the inter-pump volume (IPV). This orifice is placed within the suction inlet coupling of the secondary TMP, which is downstream of the IPV. Its objective is to eliminate the backstreaming phenomenon by increasing the back pressure in the IPV. However, the orifice sizing must take into consideration other factors, such as the diagnostic measurement objectives. For example, in the ITER DRGA, one of the measurement requirements is a dynamic response time of ~1s. Fortunately, an added benefit of the pumping restriction created by the orifice is that the upstream pressure increase is beneficial for the DRGA’s optical gas analysis (OGA) sensors. These sensors are attached to the IPV in the present design. The glow discharges, when used as an OGA light source, will typically have a brighter light emission with increasing plasma cell pressure. In addition to the fusion machine research sector, there are other potential applications of this pumping technique where the monitoring of lighter gas concentrations is essential, such as the photolithography process for the semiconductor fabrication of integrated circuits. This presentation will describe the vacuum system used to demonstrate a process to eliminate backstreaming as well as show test results to verify the accomplishment of this critical objective.

Marcus, Chris↗

Exploring Data Set Bias and Decision Support with Predictive Uncertainty Through Bayesian Approximations and Convolutional Neural Networks

Individual seismic catalogs can contain multiscale observations from fault level to global scales and associated waveforms from discrete events reflect crustal structure across many different scales and locations. Seismic network aperture, geographic location, and observation distance may not provide informative guidance or intuition on how different catalogs will behave across models trained under different conditions. We rely on uncertainty to provide guardrails for when to trust model decisions, but understanding when our uncertainty is trustworthy is an open challenge. Here, in this work, we explore Bayesian approximation methods for assigning predictive uncertainty in seismic event classification problems. We find that computationally expensive Bayesian approximations do not outperform simple ensemble methods. We also find that when exploiting multiple seismic event catalogs, joint training with data from all the catalogs combined with Bayesian approximations and supervised training for classification can obscure bias and result in less robust uncertainty while also not providing substantial performance benefits compared to training individual models for each catalog.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Status of the Perpendicular Biased 2nd Harmonic Cavity for the Fermilab Booster

This is a status report on the 2nd harmonic cavity for the Fermilab Booster as part of the Proton Improvement Plan (PIP) for increasing beam transmission efficiency, and thus reducing losses. A set of tuner rings has been procured and is undergoing quality control tests. The Y567 tube for driving the cavity has been successfully tested at both injection and extraction frequencies. A cooling scheme for the tuner and cavity has been developed after a thorough thermal analysis of the system. RF windows have been procured and substantial progress has been made on the mechanical designs of the cavity and the bias solenoid. Finally, the goal is to have a prototype cavity ready for testing by the end of 2017.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Bias and Uncertainty Under-Prediction in Monte Carlo Depletion [Slides]

Monte Carlo criticality calculations have well-known issues. – Bias in Results: Arises from renormalization with a small batch size. – Under-prediction of Uncertainties: Criticality calculations do not account for positive correlation between cycles. Previous work has focused on static calculations, no assessment on how depletion calculations are affected.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Development of A Self Biased High Efficiency Solid-State Neutron Detector for MPACT Applications

Neutron detection is an important aspect of materials protection, accounting, and control for transmutation (MPACT). Currently He-3 filled thermal neutron detectors are utilized in many applications; these detectors require high-voltage bias for operation, which complicates the system when multiple detectors are used. In addition, due to recent increase in homeland security activity and the nuclear renaissance, there is a shortage of He-3, and these detectors become more expensive. Instead, cheap solid-state detectors that can be mass produced like any other computer chips will be developed.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Alternatives to accuracy and bias metrics based on percentage errors for radiation belt modeling applications

This report reviews existing literature describing forecast accuracy metrics, concentrating on those based on relative errors and percentage errors. We then review how the most common of these metrics, the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), has been applied in recent radiation belt modeling literature. Finally, we describe metrics based on the ratios of predicted to observed values (the accuracy ratio) that address the drawbacks inherent in using MAPE. Specifically, we define and recommend the median log accuracy ratio as a measure of bias and the median symmetric accuracy as a measure of accuracy.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Separability of Mesh Bias and Parametric Uncertainty for a Full System Thermal Analysis

When making computational simulation predictions of multi-physics engineering systems, sources of uncertainty in the prediction need to be acknowledged and included in the analysis within the current paradigm of striving for simulation credibility. A thermal analysis of an aerospace geometry was performed at Sandia National Laboratories. For this analysis a verification, validation and uncertainty quantification workflow provided structure for the analysis, resulting in the quantification of significant uncertainty sources including spatial numerical error and material property parametric uncertainty. It was hypothesized that the parametric uncertainty and numerical errors were independent and separable for this application. This hypothesis was supported by performing uncertainty quantification simulations at multiple mesh resolutions, while being limited by resources to minimize the number of medium and high resolution simulations. Based on this supported hypothesis, a prediction including parametric uncertainty and a systematic mesh bias are used to make a margin assessment that avoids unnecessary uncertainty obscuring the results and optimizes computing resources.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Using the GoAmazon-CHUVA measurements to understand what causes the biases in the onset of the rainy season in Amazonia in climate models

The onset of the Amazon rainy season has a large temporal and spatial variability, and strong impact on aerosols, ecosystems, fire, carbon fluxes, dry season length, agriculture, and hydropower. Two major droughts occurred in the region in the last 20 years, and the dry season has increased in length by about one month. These events highlight the urgency for improving our understanding and capability to project the rainy season onset and drought variability. However, global climate models (CMIP3 and CMIP5) appear to underestimate the past variability, and also project virtually no future change of the onset of rainy season over the Amazon even when they are forced by strong greenhouse forcing under the RCP8.5 scenario. Why these models underestimate the variability of the rainy season onset, and whether this bias implies an underestimate of sensitivity of their dry season length to anthropogenic radiative forcing remain unclear.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗