Statistical analysis of pulsed-neutron well logs in monitoring injected carbon dioxide
Pulsed-neutron well logs (PNLs) were acquired to monitor CO 2 storage associated with enhanced oil recovery. This work quantifies the precision of repeat PNLs using data from four wells and 15 repeat PNLs. Root-mean-square (RMS) precision for the repeat PNLs was less than 3%, indicating good agreement between the baseline and repeat PNLs. Evaluations of scaled relative difference (Scaled-D) showed variation in precision among individual wells and formations. Analysis of false-positive rates (FPRs) across the entire data set showed that a Scaled-D threshold in sandstone formations of approximately ±8% resulted in a 1% FPR. These Scaled-D precision thresholds were used to estimate the value of CO 2 saturation able to be confidently distinguished from baseline. The detection limit for CO 2 is lowest for high-porosity formations filled with saline water and is highest for low-porosity formations filled with fresh water. Thus, detection of vertical out-of-zone CO 2 migration using repeat PNLs is a function of instrument precision, petrophysical properties, and hydrology, all of which must be taken into account as part of the monitoring program. Here, the results of this work provide insight into how PNLs may be included within monitoring plans to detect vertical out-of-zone CO 2 migration along a wellbore or instances of wellbore failure and provide a quantitative basis for establishing detection limits of repeat PNLs to distinguish change from baseline conditions.