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At least 1,207 records · Page 67

Bayesian Safety Risk Modeling of Human-Flightdeck Automation Interaction

Usage of automatic systems in airliners has increased fuel efficiency, added extra capabilities, enhanced safety and reliability, as well as provide improved passenger comfort since its introduction in the late 80's. However, original automation benefits, including reduced flight crew workload, human errors or training requirements, were not achieved as originally expected. Instead, automation introduced new failure modes, redistributed, and sometimes increased workload, brought in new cognitive and attention demands, and increased training requirements. Modern airliners have numerous flight modes, providing more flexibility (and inherently more complexity) to the flight crew. However, the price to pay for the increased flexibility is the need for increased mode awareness, as well as the need to supervise, understand, and predict automated system behavior. Also, over-reliance on automation is linked to manual flight skill degradation and complacency in commercial pilots. As a result, recent accidents involving human errors are often caused by the interactions between humans and the automated systems (e.g., the breakdown in man-machine coordination), deteriorated manual flying skills, and/or loss of situational awareness due to heavy dependence on automated systems. This paper describes the development of the increased complexity and reliance on automation baseline model, named FLAP for FLightdeck Automation Problems. The model development process starts with a comprehensive literature review followed by the construction of a framework comprised of high-level causal factors leading to an automation-related flight anomaly. The framework was then converted into a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) using the Hugin Software v7.8. The effects of automation on flight crew are incorporated into the model, including flight skill degradation, increased cognitive demand and training requirements along with their interactions. Besides flight crew deficiencies, automation system failures and anomalies of avionic systems are also incorporated. The resultant model helps simulate the emergence of automation-related issues in today's modern airliners from a top-down, generalized approach, which serves as a platform to evaluate NASA developed technologies

Ancel, Ersin↗

Theoretical study of the seasonal behavior of the global ionosphere at solar maximum

The seasonal behavior of the global ionosphere was studied using a time-dependent three-dimensional physical model (developed by Shunk and his coworkers) of the ionosphere at altitudes between 120 and 800 km. This model accounts for field-aligned diffusion, cross-field electrodynamic drifts both the equatorial region and at high latitudes, interhemispheric flow, thermospheric winds, polar wind escape, energy-dependent chemical reactions, neutral composition changes, ion production due to solar EUV radiation and auroral precipitation, thermal conduction, diffusion-thermal heat flow, and local heating and cooling processes. The model studies were carried out for both June and December solstice conditions at solar maximum and for low geomagnetic activity. The ionospheric features predicted by the model agreed qualitatively with the available measurements.

Sojka, J. J.↗

Research and Educational Opportunities with NASA GSFC

The research carried out in the Earth sciences at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center will be the focus of the presentation. These research interests span the full breath of disciplines in Earth System Science. Branches and research groups focus on areas as diverse as planetary geomagnetics and atmospheric chemistry. There are 4 major laboratories in the directorate and 2 organizations that focus on scientific information technology. These laboratories focus on atmospheric sciences (atmospheric chemistry, climate and radiation, regional processes, atmospheric modeling), hydrological sciences (snow, ice, oceans, and seasonal-to-interannual prediction), terrestrial physics (geology, terrestrial biology, land-atmosphere interactions, geophysics), climate modeling (global warming, greenhouse gases, climate change). Two of the labs also have branches that focus on sensor development especially using lidar and microwave technologies. In the information technologies, areas of scientific and technical research, and expertise include massively parallel computers, technologies for high speed electronic networks, scientific visualization, information systems, archive and distribution systems, and information processing. Examples will be presented from each of these research disciplines.

Meeson, Blanche W.↗

Dynamics of magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling including turbulent transport

A two dimensional two-fluid MHD model including anomalous resistivity was used to investigate the dynamics of magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling. When a field-aligned current is generated on auroral field lines, the disturbance propagates towards the ionosphere in the form of a kinetic Alfven wave. When the current exceeds a critical value, microscopic turbulence is produced, which modifies the propagation of the Alfven wave. This process is modeled by a nonlinear collision frequency, which increases with the excess of the drift velocity over the critical value. Turbulence leads to absorption and reflection of the Alfven wave, partially decoupling the generator from the ionosphere. The approach to a steady-state is strongly dependent on the presence or absence of the turbulence. The current is self-limiting, since a current in excess of critical causes a diffusion of the magnetic field perturbation and a reduction of current.

Lysak, R. L.↗

Open solutions to distributed control in ground tracking stations

The advent of high speed local area networks has made it possible to interconnect small, powerful computers to function together as a single large computer. Today, distributed computer systems are the new paradigm for large scale computing systems. However, the communications provided by the local area network is only one part of the solution. The services and protocols used by the application programs to communicate across the network are as indispensable as the local area network. And the selection of services and protocols that do not match the system requirements will limit the capabilities, performance, and expansion of the system. Proprietary solutions are available but are usually limited to a select set of equipment. However, there are two solutions based on 'open' standards. The question that must be answered is 'which one is the best one for my job?' This paper examines a model for tracking stations and their requirements for interprocessor communications in the next century. The model and requirements are matched with the model and services provided by the five different software architectures and supporting protocol solutions. Several key services are examined in detail to determine which services and protocols most closely match the requirements for the tracking station environment. The study reveals that the protocols are tailored to the problem domains for which they were originally designed. Further, the study reveals that the process control model is the closest match to the tracking station model.

Heuser, William Randy↗

Extreme Wet and Dry Conditions Affected Differently by Greenhouse Gases and Aerosols

Global warming due to greenhouse gases and atmospheric aerosols alter precipitation rates, but the influence on extreme precipitation by aerosols relative to greenhouse gases is still not well known. Here we use the simulations from the Precipitation Driver and Response Model Intercomparison Project that enable us to compare changes in mean and extreme precipitation due to greenhouse gases with those due to black carbon and sulfate aerosols, using indicators for dry extremes as well as for moderate and very extreme precipitation. Generally, we find that the more extreme a precipitation event is, the more pronounced is its response relative to global mean surface temperature change, both for aerosol and greenhouse gas changes. Black carbon (BC) stands out with distinct behavior and large differences between individual models. Dry days become more frequent with BC-induced warming compared to greenhouse gases, but so does the intensity and frequency of extreme precipitation. An increase in sulfate aerosols cools the surface and thereby the atmosphere, and thus induces a reduction in precipitation with a stronger effect on extreme than on mean precipitation. A better understanding and representation of these processes in models will provide knowledge for developing strategies for both climate change and air pollution mitigation.

Sillmann, Jana↗

Mathematical analysis study for radar data processing and enchancement. Part 2: Modeling of propagation path errors

A study is performed under NASA contract to evaluate data from an AN/FPS-16 radar installed for support of flight programs at Dryden Flight Research Facility of NASA Ames Research Center. The purpose of this study is to provide information necessary for improving post-flight data reduction and knowledge of accuracy of derived radar quantities. Tracking data from six flights are analyzed. Noise and bias errors in raw tracking data are determined for each of the flights. A discussion of an altitude bias error during all of the tracking missions is included. This bias error is defined by utilizing pressure altitude measurements made during survey flights. Four separate filtering methods, representative of the most widely used optimal estimation techniques for enhancement of radar tracking data, are analyzed for suitability in processing both real-time and post-mission data. Additional information regarding the radar and its measurements, including typical noise and bias errors in the range and angle measurements, is also presented. This report is in two parts. This is part 2, a discussion of the modeling of propagation path errors.

James, R.↗

Developing processing techniques for Skylab data

The author has identified the following significant results. The effects of misregistration and the scan-line-straightening algorithm on multispectral data were found to be: (1) there is greatly increased misregistration in scan-line-straightening data over conic data; (2) scanner caused misregistration between any pairs of channels may not be corrected for in scan-line-straightened data; and (3) this data will have few pure field center pixels than will conic data. A program SIMSIG was developed implementing the signature simulation model. Data processing stages of the experiment were carried out, and an analysis was made of the effects of spatial misregistration on field center classification accuracy. Fifteen signatures originally used for classifying the data were analyzed, showing the following breakdown: corn (4 signatures), trees (2), brush (1), grasses, weeds, etc. (5), bare soil (1), soybeans (1), and alfalfa (1).

Nalepka, R. F.↗

Investigating Some Technical Issues on Cohesive Zone Modeling of Fracture

This study investigates some technical issues related to the use of cohesive zone models (CZMs) in modeling fracture processes. These issues include: why cohesive laws of different shapes can produce similar fracture predictions; under what conditions CZM predictions have a high degree of agreement with linear elastic fracture mechanics (LEFM) analysis results; when the shape of cohesive laws becomes important in the fracture predictions; and why the opening profile along the cohesive zone length needs to be accurately predicted. Two cohesive models were used in this study to address these technical issues. They are the linear softening cohesive model and the Dugdale perfectly plastic cohesive model. Each cohesive model constitutes five cohesive laws of different maximum tractions. All cohesive laws have the same cohesive work rate (CWR) which is defined by the area under the traction-separation curve. The effects of the maximum traction on the cohesive zone length and the critical remote applied stress are investigated for both models. For a CZM to predict a fracture load similar to that obtained by an LEFM analysis, the cohesive zone length needs to be much smaller than the crack length, which reflects the small scale yielding condition requirement for LEFM analysis to be valid. For large-scale cohesive zone cases, the predicted critical remote applied stresses depend on the shape of cohesive models used and can significantly deviate from LEFM results. Furthermore, this study also reveals the importance of accurately predicting the cohesive zone profile in determining the critical remote applied load.

Wang, John T.↗

Evaluation of the Surface Representation of the Greenland Ice Sheet in a General Circulation Model

Simulated surface conditions of the Goddard Earth Observing System model, version 5 (GEOS 5) atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) are examined for the contemporary Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). A surface parameterization that explicitly models surface processes including snow compaction, meltwater percolation and refreezing, and surface albedo is found to remedy an erroneous deficit in the annual net surface energy flux and provide an adequate representation of surface mass balance (SMB) in an evaluation using simulations at two spatial resolutions. The simulated 1980-2008 GrIS SMB average is 24.7+/-4.5 cm yr(- 1) water-equivalent (w.e.) at.5 degree model grid spacing, and 18.2+/-3.3 cm yr(- 1) w.e. for 2 degree grid spacing. The spatial variability and seasonal cycle of the simulation compare favorably to recent studies using regional climate models, while results from 2 degree integrations reproduce the primary features of the SMB field. In comparison to historical glaciological observations, the coarser resolution model overestimates accumulation in the southern areas of the GrIS, while the overall SMB is underestimated. These changes relate to the sensitivity of accumulation and melt to the resolution of topography. The GEOS-5 SMB fields contrast with available corresponding atmospheric models simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). It is found that only a few of the CMIP5 AGCMs examined provide significant summertime runoff, a dominant feature of the GrIS seasonal cycle. This is a condition that will need to be remedied if potential contributions to future eustatic change from polar ice sheets are to be examined with GCMs.

AGCM↗

Lessons Learned and Best Practices for Utilizing a Generalized Composite Impact Model

A material model which incorporates several key capabilities which have been identified as lacking in currently available composite impact models has been developed. The material model utilizes experimentally based tabulated input to define the evolution of plasticity and damage as opposed to specifying discrete input parameters (such as modulus and strength). It has been implemented into the commercially available transient dynamic finite element code LS-DYNA® as MAT_213. The model can simulate the nonlinear deformation, damage and failure that take place in a composite under dynamic loading conditions. As MAT_213 is now being used by a general user community that did not participate in the model development process, a number of issues have been identified that caused uncertainty in assembling a MAT_213 input deck and conducting a MAT_213 analysis. The overall goal of this effort is to develop a quantified set of lessons learned and best practices which will permit a new user to conduct useful MAT_213 simulations without needing to have detailed expert knowledge of the material model and its theoretical underpinnings.

Micromechanics↗

Monte Carlo simulation of lunar megaregolith and implications

A realistic Monte Carlo model closely simulating the evolution of the lunar megaregolith over a large area of 67 million sq. km of the front surface of the moon is presented. Craters larger than 100 km in diameter observed over the entire surface of the moon and those less than 100 km lying in the referenced area are included in the simulation. A total of 21,664 craters are processed. The model predicts the average thickness of the megaregolith to be about 1.9-2.0 km. Curves for the variation of the regolith thickness across the simulated area are given and show that about 50% of the area is covered with regolith less than 1 km thick. The model produces crater structures similar to the ones observed in the lunar highlands, it partially supports the layering theory for crater structures that the variations in strength and density of target materials may be responsible for the observed differences in the morphologies of lunar craters, and rules out the possibility that all craters when formed are bowl-shaped with a fixed depth/diameter ratio characteristic of small craters.

Aggarwal, H. R.↗

Aerothermal modeling

The objectives, approach, and status of a program to develop the computational fluid dynamics tools needed to improve combustor design and analysis are outlined. The calculation procedure selected consists of a finite difference solution of the time averaged, steady state, primitive variable, elliptic form of the Reynolds equations. Standard TEACH type numerics are used to solve the resulting equations. These include hybrid differencing, SIMPLE algorithm for the pressure field, line by line iterative solution using the ADI method and the tridiagonal matrix algorithm (TDMA). Convergence is facilitated by using under relaxation. The physical processes are modeled by a two equation eddy viscosity model for turbulence; combustion is represented by a simple, irreversible, one step chemical reaction whose rate is influenced only by the time scale of the turbulence. The model evaluation procedure is also described.

Sturgess, G. J.↗

Lessons Learned from the Aquarius Radiometer Engineering Model

The Aquarius instrument is a combination microwave radiometer and scatterometer operating in the L-band for the measurement of sea surface salinity (SSS) over the open-ocean. "The Aquarius science goals are to observe and model the processes that relate salinity variations to climatic changes in the global cycling of water and to understand how these variations influence the general ocean circulation. By measuring salinity globally and synoptically every month for 3 years, Aquarius will provide an unprecedented new view of the ocean's role in climate." (http://aquarius.asfc.nasa.gov on Jan. 4, 2007). To launch in 2009, Aquarius will provide 8-day global coverage and monthly-averaged salinity maps at approx.120-km spatial resolution. Because the microwave emissivity of the ocean surface is weakly dependent upon salinity, the Aquarius radiometer remain sufficiently stable to provide accurate salinity measurements. An engineering model (EM) of one radiometer receiver was developed and tested for functionality and performance at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center. It was tested for long-term stability starting July 27,2006. Two discrepancies where found at the start of testing and a four-month correction process ensued. This paper covers the testing and debugging of the EM radiometer through resolution of the problems. The radiometer is required to have calibration stability of less than or equal to 0.15 K over 7 days. The radiometer is in a three-beam push-broom configuration with each beam being an independent three-state Dicke radiometer (antenna, reference load, and additive noise). Internal noise diodes and reference loads provide periodic and rapid calibration of the receiver. Front-end loss contributions must be corrected as the lossy components are outside the calibration loop. A key design feature for obtaining stability is active thermal control of the front-end lossy components and the RF receiver. The thermal stability is predicted to be about 0.1 C over an orbit and no more than 1 C over a year. The radiometric stability requirement is 0.13 K rms 1 7 days without using temperature corrections. Temperature corrections and post-launch calibration are expected to extend the stability period through the life of the mission.

Piepmeier, Jeffrey↗

Effects of Meteoroid Erosion in Planetary Rings

This grant supported continuing studies of the effects of ballistic transport on the evolution of Saturn's rings. Ballistic transport, as used in this context, refers to the net transport of mass and angular momentum caused by the exchange of meteoroid impact ejecta between neighboring ring regions (Ip 1983, 1984, Morfill et al. 1983, Lissauer 1984, Durisen 1984a,b). The characteristic time scale associated with this process is the gross erosion time t(sub g) the time it would take a ring region to be completed eroded if all impact ejecta were lost. This time scale is estimated to be about 10(exp 5) to 10(exp 6) years for a ring region with normal optical depth tau approximately 1. Earlier work by myself and collaborators developed the physical theory and simulation techniques to model this process (Durisen et al. 1989, Cuzzi and Durisen 1990). Detailed simulations, supported in part by this grant, have demonstrated that ballistic transport can produce observed structures in Saturn's rings, especially at and near the inner edges of the A and B Rings (Durisen et al. 1992, 1996). The structures of interest in the real rings are illustrated in Figures 1 and 2. Most of these structures were previously unexplained. The computational results plus analytic treatments place useful constraints on fundamental ring properties, including the indication of a relatively young ring age less than or equal 10(exp 8) years (see reviews by Nicholson and Dones 1991, Esposito 1993, Cuzzi 1995, and Porco 1995). This grant also supported development of the faster computational algorithms necessary to permit longer evolutions. Resulting simplications in the ballistic transport equations permitted an analytic linear stability analysis (Durisen 1995), which has provided considerable insight into ballistic transport processes and applications to Saturn's rings. All these accomplishments are described in more detail below.

Durisen, Richard H.↗

Preliminary results of the mission profile life test of a 30 cm Hg bombardment thruster

The paper deals with some preliminary results of the Mission Profile Life Test planned to conduct a program of long-term test segments of 30-cm diameter thrusters and power processing units under computer control. Thruster performance data and other operational characteristics taken at various times during a test segment are compared and the results are evaluated in light of the life-timing mechanisms. Thruster control algorithms are also presented. The first test segment completed 2700 hr of a planned 4000 hr test with a J-series 30-cm thruster. The last 1600 hr used a functional model power processing unit (PPU) operated in vacuum. The thruster-PPU was controlled by a computer with software developed to control start-ups, throttling, and variety of off-normal conditions.

Bechtel, R. T.↗

Applicability of a Framework for Estimating Performance and Associated Uncertainty for Modified Aircraft Configurations

As improvements are made to the accuracy and reliability of modeling and simulation techniques, certification by analysis becomes a more attractive alternative compared to traditional aircraft flight testing. Certification by analysis is especially cost-effective when one considers modifications to a previously certified aircraft. However, it is important that the models and methods used are applicable and accurate throughout the intended use domain. A framework for estimating the performance and associated uncertainty was introduced in an earlier paper. The factors and limitations of this framework for estimating the performance and associated model form uncertainty are explored to determine the range of applicability of the framework, particularly with respect to model form, process and sensor noise, and quality of available flight test data. This paper focuses on the general limitations and applicability of the framework and not the applicability of the individual methods to a range of modified configurations, which requires a large number of modified configurations and is an area for future work. The effects of these factors on the performance and uncertainty results are demonstrated using NASA’s Generic Transport Model aircraft.

uncertainty quantification↗

Interaction dynamics of on-orbit construction

Deployment and assembly of large structures in orbit is a critical technology to the overall problem of orbital construction. The attendant large configuration changes of structures will cause significant changes in the dynamic characteristics of the entire system, and perturbation to the orbital dynamics of the spacecraft from which the structures are deployed and/or assembled. To better design structures for deployment and assembly, and to better design controlled deployment/assembly processes, accurate modeling techniques are absolutely essential. The problem of modeling the dynamics of deploying and retrieving beam-like structures from a rotating base was addressed. A methodology for discrete modeling, and a computational procedure were developed. These results give us the capability of understanding and predicting the effects on the overall satellite motion of deploying flexible appendages. This is an initial step towards a general capability of treating axially moving three-dimensional beams. The interaction dynamics of the orbiter, its flexible manipulator, and the structures to be assembled/deployed, as a prerequisite in order to simulate incremental in-space structural construction processes are investigated. Preliminary results so obtained indicate that, as the inertia properties of the flexible large space structure under construction change during the space assembly/construction process, the interaction dynamics undergo significant changes in their characteristics, thus revealing the need for a variety of control strategies throughout construction.

Park, K. C.↗