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At least 1,207 records · Page 67

Taylor limit studies for local helicity injection plasma startup

Solenoid-free tokamak startup techniques can simplify the design and reduce the cost of tokamak-based fusion energy systems. The newly commissioned Pegasus-III spherical tokamak provides a dedicated platform for developing a scalable solenoid-free startup approach. Local helicity injection (LHI) is one promising technique being developed on Pegasus-III, which uses compact edge current sources to drive open field line current I inj that is redistributed via helicity-conserving instabilities to initiate tokamak plasmas. These instabilities relax the system toward a minimum energy state described by Taylor relaxation theory. This relaxation process imposes a global current limit for LHI plasmas, referred to as the Taylor limit I TL ⁠, which can dictate the plasma current I p evolution. Experiments on Pegasus and Pegasus-III show that increasing this limit leads to more effective utilization of the available helicity input and higher I p plasmas. Initial Pegasus-III experiments have verified the expected I TL $\varpropto$ ( I inj B T ) 1/2 scaling holds for B T and I inj up to 0.3 T on axis and 12 kA ⁠, respectively. Additionally, data from different injector arrays show that the width of the injector aperture directly alters I TL and can be leveraged for future injector design optimization. Throughout these scaling studies, discharges were overdriven at I p = I TL by providing excess helicity input. Intermittent bursts of n = 1 magnetic activity consistent with large-scale reconnection events occurred more often as the system was increasingly overdriven leading to a flattening of the λ = μ 0 J ∥ / |B| profile, where J ∥ is the parallel current density.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Error-controlled, progressive, and adaptable retrieval of scientific data with multilevel decomposition

Extreme-scale simulations and high-resolution instruments have been generating an increasing amount of data, which poses significant challenges to not only data storage during the run, but also post-processing where data will be repeatedly retrieved and analyzed for a long period of time. The challenges in satisfying a wide range of post-hoc analysis needs while minimizing the I/O overhead caused by inappropriate and/or excessive data retrieval should never be left unmanaged. In this paper, we propose a data refactoring, compressing, and retrieval framework capable of 1) fine-grained data refactoring with regard to precision; 2) incrementally retrieving and recomposing the data in terms of various error bounds; and 3) adaptively retrieving data in multi-precision and multi-resolution with respect to different analysis. With the progressive data re-composition and the adaptable retrieval algorithms, our framework significantly reduces the amount of data retrieved when multiple incremental precision are requested and/or the downstream analysis time when coarse resolution is used. Experiments show that the amount of data retrieved under the same progressively requested error bound using our framework is 64% less than that using state-of-the-art single-error-bounded approaches. Parallel experiments with up to 1, 024 cores and ~ 600 GB data in total show that our approach yields 1.36× and 2.52× performance over existing approaches in writing to and reading from persistent storage systems, respectively.

Liang, Xin↗

Evaluation of DED and LPBF Fe-based Alloys Process Application Envelopes based on Performance, Process Economics, Supply Chain Risks, and Reactor-specific Targeted Components

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Technologies (AMMT) program aims to develop extreme-environment materials solutions for use in the deployment of advanced nuclear reactors and the sustainment of the current fleet. To achieve this objective, a combination of experiment, a computational tool, and machine learning (ML) for the design of materials is adopted for the maturation of materials for nuclear technology. Through advanced manufacturing techniques such as laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) and laser powder direct energy deposition (LP-DED), components with complex geometries can be fabricated with reduced time and effort. Such advanced manufacturing methods can also provide the opportunity to improve materials performance through optimized microstructures and mechanical properties. However, existing engineering alloys are not always well suited for fabrication with additive manufacturing (AM), as their compositions have been tuned to optimize fabrication via conventional methods. Thus, similar alloys with modified compositions that are better suited for AM can be studied for improved performance. Over the past three years, the AMMT teams from Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) studied various known Fe-based alloys by evaluating their initial printability using LPBF, and an AMMT-developed down-selection and decision matrix reduced the number of alloys to be studied from six to three in fiscal year (FY) 2024. Additionally, in FY 2024, for parallel evaluation, these three alloys were studied using LPDED. While LPBF is better for small- to medium-sized components with high detail and internal features, LP-DED combines a material feed system to place the powder onto the exact spot where the laser will melt the material. This AM method can be easily scaled to extremely large components and provides high build rate speeds compared to those of conventional LPBF systems. Additionally, DED is a better choice for complex geometries and compositional gradients.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Stability and Control of Burning Tokamak Plasmas with Resistive Walls (Final Report)

Work supported by the grant, "Stability and Control of Burning Tokamak Plasmas with Resistive Walls" in the period Aug 2017 to 2023 can be cast in three general categories: (1) linear tearing regimes and the effects on the response to error fields and resistive walls: (2) nonlinear tearing modes in the presence of error fields, with locking; and (3) energetic particle effects. In the first category, we have completed a study of tearing mode regimes with extended MHD effects, including parallel dynamics and toroidal effects, notably favorable average curvature. This work has been presented at the 2018 Sherwood Conference. This work has been published in the ArXiv and is being prepared for publication in Physics of Plasmas. A systematic study of shaping in a tokamak plasma with resistive tearing layers and a resistive wall has been presented in the PhD dissertation by Dov Rhodes, a student of Andrew Cole at Columbia University. John Finn was on Rhodes's PhD committee, and was a co-author of a paper published in Physics of Plasmas on that work. A detailed study of nonlinear tearing modes in the presence of finite beta, favorable average curvature, and an error field has been nearly completed. In this study it was found that the response to an error field with real frequency a tearing layer agreed with analytic results, and that tearing mode saturation by flattening of the current profile as well as destabilization due to flattening of the pressure profile were important factors in the locking process. This work was presented at the 2017 APS/DPP Conference and at the 2018 Sherwood Conference. The effects of energetic ions on tearing modes was presented at the 2017 APS/DPP Conference and in the PhD dissertation of Michael Halfmoon. John Finn served as a committee member on Halfmoon's PhD committee. Extensions to this work including two fluid effects were performed and presented at the APS/DPP Conference in 2017.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Characterizing the performance of node-aware strategies for irregular point-to-point communication on heterogeneous architectures

Supercomputer architectures are trending toward higher computational throughput due to the inclusion of heterogeneous compute nodes. These multi-GPU nodes increase on-node computational efficiency, while also increasing the amount of data to be communicated and the number of potential data flow paths. In this work, we characterize the performance of irregular point-to-point communication with MPI on heterogeneous compute environments through performance modeling, demonstrating the limitations of standard communication strategies for both device-aware and staging-through-host communication techniques. Presented models suggest staging communicated data through host processes then using node-aware communication strategies for high inter-node message counts. Notably, the models also predict that node-aware communication utilizing all available CPU cores to communicate inter-node data leads to the most performant strategy when communicating with a high number of nodes. Furthermore, model validation is provided via a case study of irregular point-to-point communication patterns in distributed sparse matrix–vector products. Importantly, we include a discussion on the implications model predictions have on communication strategy design for emerging supercomputer architectures.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Data for Kim et al., "Variations in the optical and molecular composition of dissolved organic matter exported from coastal wetlands"

Knowledge about sources and composition of marsh-derived dissolved organic matter (DOM) is critical for understanding the role of marshes in coastal biogeochemical cycling and the fate of marsh-derived DOM in the ocean. To investigate tidal variability in composition of marsh-derived DOM, Kim et al. examined the optical and molecular characteristics of hourly surface water samples at three tidal creeks in the Chesapeake Bay. Groundwater samples along the terrestrial landscape gradient as well as estuarine water from the adjacent estuary at each site were also collected to help resolve sources of surface water DOM. Samples were collected in summer 2024 at three sites – SWH: Sweet Hall Marsh, GCW: Kirkpatrick Marsh, and GWI: Goodwin Islands – which are part of synoptic sites in the Chesapeake Bay region of the COMPASS-FME (Coastal Observations, Mechanisms, and Predictions Across Systems and Scales - Field, Measurements, and Experiments) project. Surface water samples were collected hourly over a 48-hour period at each site. Groundwater and estuarine water samples were collected once. This dataset includes- Surface water depth and salinity- Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and total dissolved nitrogen (TDN) concentrations- Optical indices and relative composition of parallel factor analysis (PARAFAC) components- High resolution mass spectrometry data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

High-resolution Laboratory Measurements of K-shell X-Ray Line Polarization and Excitation Cross Sections in Helium-like S XV Ions

We report measurements of electron-impact excitation cross sections for the strong K-shell n = 2 → 1 transitions in S xv, using the LLNL EBIT-I electron beam ion trap, two crystal spectrometers, and the EBIT Calorimeter Spectrometer. The cross sections are determined by direct normalization to the well-known cross sections of radiative electron capture, measured simultaneously. Using contemporaneous polarization measurements with the two crystal spectrometers, whose dispersion planes are oriented parallel and perpendicular to the electron beam direction, the polarization of the direct excitation line emission is determined, and in turn the isotropic total cross sections are extracted. We further experimentally investigate various line-formation mechanisms, finding that radiative cascades and collisional inner-shell ionization dominate the degree of linear polarization and total line-emission cross sections of the forbidden line, z.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

In-situ X-ray scattering study of isotactic polypropylene/graphene nanocomposites under shear during fused deposition modeling 3D printing

Complementary techniques were applied to characterize the structure property relationships of FDM printed isotactic polypropylene/graphene nanocomposites. Raman spectroscopy indicated that graphene was mostly exfoliated during the nozzle extrusion process. Rheological measurements of the viscosity indicated that the presence of graphene induced shear thinning during extrusion. Azimuthal scans of wide angle x-ray scattering indicate correlated thermal fluctuations of the graphene platelets which stops abruptly at the onset of transcrystallization, or templating of the iPP chains on the graphene. X-ray microbeam SAXS analysis show the formation of ‘shish-kebab’ structures at the core of the unfilled filaments, where the ‘kebab’ component vanishes at the fiber-fiber interface enabling interdiffusion. Weak lamellar structure, and a corresponding decrease in the storage modulus are observed with the addition of 5% graphene. The lamellar structure disappears entirely with the addition of 10% graphene, while the storage modulus is decreased by nearly 50%. Thermal imaging of heat flux dissipation across molded and printed samples shows no orientational effects in pure iPP despite differences in crystal structure. Thermal conductivity increases dramatically in the samples with 10% graphene, and strong orientational effects are observed where the thermal coefficients differ by 180% between samples printed parallel or perpendicular to the heat flux.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Striped Data Analysis Framework

A columnar data representation is known to be an efficient way for data storage, specifically in cases when the analysis is often done based only on a small fragment of the available data structures. A data representation like Apache Parquet is a step forward from a columnar representation, which splits data horizontally to allow for easy parallelization of data analysis. Based on the general idea of columnar data storage, working on the [LDRD Project], we have developed a striped data representation, which, we believe, is better suited to the needs of High Energy Physics data analysis. A traditional columnar approach allows for efficient data analysis of complex structures. While keeping all the benefits of columnar data representations, the striped mechanism goes further by enabling easy parallelization of computations without requiring special hardware. We will present an implementation and some performance characteristics of such a data representation mechanism using a distributed no-SQL database or a local file system, unified under the same API and data representation model. The representation is efficient and at the same time simple so that it allows for a common data model and APIs for wide range of underlying storage mechanisms such as distributed no-SQL databases and local file systems. Striped storage adopts Numpy arrays as its basic data representation format, which makes it easy and efficient to use in Python applications. The Striped Data Server is a web service, which allows to hide the server implementation details from the end user, easily exposes data to WAN users, and allows to utilize well known and developed data caching solutions to further increase data access efficiency. We are considering the Striped Data Server as the core of an enterprise scale data analysis platform for High Energy Physics and similar areas of data processing. We have been testing this architecture with a 2TB dataset from a CMS dark matter search and plan to expand it to multiple 100 TB or even PB scale. We will present the striped format, Striped Data Server architecture and performance test results.

Gutsche, Oliver↗

Machine Learning Assisted HPC Workload Trace Generation for Leadership Scale Storage Systems

Monitoring and analyzing a wide range of I/O activities in an HPC cluster is important in maintaining mission-critical performance in a large-scale, multi-user, parallel storage system. Center-wide I/O traces can provide high-level information and fine-grained activities per application or per user running in the system. Studying such large-scale traces can provide helpful insights into the system. It can be used to develop predictive methods for making predictive decisions, adjusting scheduling policies, or providing decisions for the design of next-generation systems. However, sharing real-world I/O traces to expedite such research efforts leaves a few concerns; i) the cost of sharing the large traces is expensive due to this large size, and ii) privacy concern is an issue.We address such issues by building an end-to-end machine learn- ing (ML) workflow that can generate I/O traces for large-scale HPC applications. We leverage ML based feature selection and gener- ative models for I/O trace generation. The generative models are trained on I/O traces collected by the darshan I/O characterization tool over a period of one year. We present a two-step generation process consisting of two deep-learning models, called the feature generator and the trace generator. The combination of two-step generative models provides robustness by reducing the bias of the model and accounting for the stochastic nature of the I/O traces across different runs of an application. We evaluate the performance of the generative models and show that the two-step model can generate time-series I/O traces with less than 20% root mean square error.

Paul, Arnab↗

A worldwide climatology of extreme air masses

Extreme temperature events are among the most damaging weather phenomena. In a warming world, more heat extremes and fewer cold extremes are expected in most regions in the future, a trade-off that warrants further understanding of such events. Here, we track and analyze large, persistent areas of hot and cold extreme temperatures in parallel, relative to the location and time of year, to quantify overall regional exposure to extreme temperatures. To accomplish this, we compare the frequencies, movements, trends, and sources/sinks in each type of extreme air mass, calling them extreme cold or extreme hot air masses (ECAMs/EHAMs). For most land regions, ECAMs occur more often than EHAMs, and ECAMs are more common in each hemisphere’s winter, when cold-air advection is strongest and most widespread. Average movement of ECAMs has a stronger equatorward component in winter than in summer, while movement of EHAMs is eastward all year, with less meridional movement than ECAMs. EHAMs have become more common almost everywhere on land, and the reverse is true for ECAMs, with the strongest trends in the northern hemisphere occurring in autumn, especially in the Arctic. The number of EHAMs around the world is increasing at a higher rate (+ 2.32 events/year) than ECAM numbers are decreasing (-1.27 events/year), causing a net increase in extremes, especially in some midlatitude regions. These results help to document the different processes driving hot and cold extremes, and thus the asymmetric and regionally varying trends in frequency for extreme air masses.

Ryan, James M↗

Estimating biofuel contaminant concentration from 4D ERT with mixing models

Here, we present the results of a lab-scaled feasibility study to assess the performance of electrical resistivity tomography for detection, characterization, and monitoring of fuel grade ethanol releases to the subsurface. Further, we attempt to determine the concentration distribution of the ethanol from the electrical resistivity tomography data using mixing-models. Ethanol is a renewable fuel source as well as an oxygenate fuel additive currently used to replace the known carcinogen methyl tert-butyl ether; however, ethanol is preferentially biodegraded and a cosolvent. When introduced to areas previously impacted by nonethanol-based fuels, it will facilitate the persistence of carcinogenic fuel compounds like benzene and ethylbenzene, as well as remobilize them to the ground water. These compounds would otherwise be retained in the soil column undergoing active or passive remediation processes such as soil vapor extraction or natural attenuation. Here, we introduce ethanol to a saturated Ottawa sand in a tank instrumented for four-dimensional geoelectrical measurements. Forward model results suggest pure phase ethanol released into a water saturated silica sand should present a detectable target for electrical resistivity tomography relative to a saturated silica sand only. We observe the introduction of ethanol to the closed hydraulic system and subsequent migration over the duration of the experiment. One-dimensional and three–dimensional temporal data are assessed for the detection, characterization, and monitoring of the ethanol release. Results suggest one-dimensional geoelectrical measurements may be useful for monitoring a release, while three-dimensional geoelectrical field imaging would be useful to characterize, monitor, and design effective remediation approaches for an ethanol release, assuming field conditions do not preclude the application of geoelectrical methods. We then attempt to use predictive mixing models to calculate the distribution of ethanol concentration within the measurement domain. For this study we examine four different models: a nested parallel mixing model, a nested cubic mixing model, the complex refractive index model (CRIM), and the Lichtenecker-Rother (L-R) model. The L-R model, modified to include an electrical formation factor geometry term, provided the best agreement with expected EtOH concentrations.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Structural evidence for intermediates during O 2 formation in photosystem II

In natural photosynthesis, the light-driven splitting of water into electrons, protons and molecular oxygen forms the first step of the solar-to-chemical energy conversion process. The reaction takes place in photosystem II, where the Mn 4 CaO 5 cluster first stores four oxidizing equivalents, the S 0 to S 4 intermediate states in the Kok cycle, sequentially generated by photochemical charge separations in the reaction center and then catalyzes the O–O bond formation chemistry. Here, we report room temperature snapshots by serial femtosecond X-ray crystallography to provide structural insights into the final reaction step of Kok’s photosynthetic water oxidation cycle, the S 3 →[S 4 ]→S 0 transition where O 2 is formed and Kok’s water oxidation clock is reset. Our data reveal a complex sequence of events, which occur over micro- to milliseconds, comprising changes at the Mn 4 CaO 5 cluster, its ligands and water pathways as well as controlled proton release through the hydrogen-bonding network of the Cl1 channel. Importantly, the extra O atom O x , which was introduced as a bridging ligand between Ca and Mn1 during the S 2 →S 3 transition disappears or relocates in parallel with Y z reduction starting at approximately 700 μs after the third flash. The onset of O 2 evolution, as indicated by the shortening of the Mn1–Mn4 distance, occurs at around 1,200 μs, signifying the presence of a reduced intermediate, possibly a bound peroxide.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Investigation of Rocket Effect in BRC 18 using Gaia EDR3

ABSTRACT Bright-rimmed clouds (BRCs) are ideal candidates to study radiation-driven implosion mode of star formation as they are potential sites of triggered star formation, located at the edges of Hii regions, showing evidence of ongoing star formation processes. BRC 18 is located towards the eastern edge of relatively closer (∼400 pc) H ii region excited by λ Ori. We made R-band polarimetric observations of 17 candidate young stellar objects (YSOs) located towards BRC 18 to investigate any preferred orientation of the discs with respect to the ambient magnetic field and the direction of energetic photons from λ Ori. We found that the discs are oriented randomly with respect to the projected magnetic field. Using distances and proper motions from the Gaia EDR3 of the candidate YSOs, we investigated the possible acceleration of BRC 18, away from λ Ori due to the well-known ‘Rocket Effect’, by assuming that both the candidate YSOs and BRC 18 are kinematically coupled. The relative proper motions of the candidate YSOs are found to show a trend of moving away from λ Ori. We computed the offset between the angle of the direction of the ionization front and the relative proper motion of the candidate YSOs and found it to lie close to being parallel to each other. Additionally, we found 12 sources that are co-moving with the known candidate YSOs towards BRC 18. These co-moving sources are most likely to be young and are missed in previous surveys conducted to identify potential YSOs of the region.

Saha, Piyali (ORCID:0000000200281354)↗

Design, Optimization, and Control of Floating Offshore Wind Farms for Optimal Energy Production (Final report)

The uncertainty and irregularity of ocean waves and the ocean environment is a major factor in the development of commercial scale floating wind turbines as the operation of floating structures in such an environment can lead to irregular and unpredictable loading, fatigue, and ultimately a reduction in the operational life of the turbine system which affects energy production over the lifetime of the turbine. Control solutions that can limit float motions and mitigate stressful events on the structure become essential for extending lifetime and limiting the operational uncertainty of a floating wind turbine. Digital twins are computational replicas of physical systems that operate in parallel with the operation of the physical system. Given advanced knowledge of a systems input, digital twins have the ability to predict the behavior of a system in advance, which can be valuable in the control of that system. In this project, we developed and assessed potential digital twin models developed in house and openly available (OpenFast) for use in the real time control of the six degree of freedom response motions of a floating wind turbine in ocean waves. Coupling these models with near-field real time irregular sea surface (wve) measurement/sensings and prediction models, we used the digital twin to predict how the floating turbine will respond to the incoming waves. Applying this information to a motion control system of the float, one can limit and control float motions to prevent undesirable loading events/large angular motions, thus increasing system life and ultimately contributing to optimizing energy production. Due to the computational intensity of operating a digital twin in real time, we investigated the use of artificial intelligence techniques to speed-up the processes of the digital twin, as well as the wave reconstruction/prediction models. Model tank testing at the University of Rhode Island and University of Maine both validated and demonstrated the developed techniques on simple float geometries and a scale model of the NREL 15 MW reference turbine.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Hyperspectral and Nanosecond Temporal Resolution Widefield Infrared Photothermal Heterodyne Imaging

Label-free, bond-selective imaging offers new opportunities for fundamental and applied studies in chemistry, biology, and materials science. Preventing its broader application to investigating spectrally congested specimens are issues related to low sensitivity as well as low spatial and temporal resolution. Here, we demonstrate a widefield, mid-infrared (MIR) photothermal imaging technique, called widefield Infrared Photothermal Heterodyne imaging (wIR-PHI), that massively parallelizes acquisition of MIR absorption data through use of a high-speed complementary metal-oxide-semiconductor camera. wIR-PHI possesses notable features that include: spatial resolution significantly below the MIR diffraction limit, hyperspectral imaging capabilities, high sensitivity, and ~100 ns temporal resolution. Here, the first two features are highlighted by hyperspectral imaging of proximally close poly(methyl methacrylate) (PMMA) and polystyrene (PS) nanoparticles where clear, bond-specific imaging of nanoparticles, separated by less than the MIR diffraction limit, is demonstrated. Sensitivity is highlighted by imaging individual PMMA and PS nanoparticles with radii between r = 97-556 nm. This leads to a current, peak absorption cross-section limit-of-detection of σ abs = 1.9× 10 –16 cm 2 . wIR-PHI's 100 ns temporal resolution is simultaneously demonstrated by observing the decay of photothermal contrast on individual nanoparticles on a ~200-6000 ns timescale. In whole, wIR-PHI’s dramatic increase in acquisition speed opens opportunities for future MIR kinetic imaging and spectroscopic studies of important chemical, biological, and material processes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Towards a Circular Economy for PET Bottles in the US

The United States generates the most plastic waste of any country. Along with that GHG emissions from the global plastic economy are expected to increase to 15% of the global carbon budget by 2050. It is imperative that plastic recycling is made a reality to reduce both plastic pollution in the environment and GHG emissions. A portfolio of end-of-life strategies must be implemented to minimize environmental impacts and retain valuable plastic material, but it is challenging to compare options that generate products with different utility and lifetime. Plastic use reduction, reuse and recycling are thus increasingly important, but making informed policy and research decisions within this space can be challenging given the diverse range of available solutions. The novel analysis framework, Plastic Parallel Pathways Platform (4P) has been equipped with consequential life cycle assessment, techno-economic analysis, and a plastic circularity indicator to estimate the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, circularity, and cost of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) down-cycling to lower-quality resin, closed-loop recycling to food-grade PET bottles, up-cycling to fiber-reinforced plastic (FRP), and conversion to non-plastic products (electricity, oil) on a United States economy-wide basis. Integrating system dynamics into this robust plastics model that already incorporates techno-economics, circularity, and environmental impacts will enable identification of key bottlenecks between manufacturers, waste sorters, and reclaimers that currently prevent rapid decarbonization of the plastics economy. System dynamics (SD) explore the evolution of activities and technologies based on changed macro parameters such as plastic demand and supply, market shifts, and cross-sectoral interactions. This project particularly aims to explore the interplay between, waste collection, plastic waste sorting, recycling, and manufacturing, as well as the effect of plastic bale quality and plastic reuse initiatives on the surrounding process stages. This functionality will facilitate combinatory analysis in which a portfolio of end-of-life pathways are assessed simultaneously, with the exact makeup of that portfolio affected by parameters such as technology scales, resource constraints, and waste mitigation efforts. Integrating SD with the 4P framework enables analyzing the effect of increased revenue and reinvestment into improving process efficiencies, sorting and collection quantities. Through that, market effects of increased recycled resin availability can be studied for the plastics systems model for the US. The results will help identify technical or economic bottlenecks that currently limit efforts to decarbonize the U.S. plastics economy.

circular economy↗

Towards a Circular Economy for PET Bottles in the U.S. - 4P Model

The United States generates the most plastic waste of any country. Along with that GHG emissions from the global plastic economy are expected to increase to 15% of the global carbon budget by 2050. It is imperative that plastic recycling is made a reality to reduce both plastic pollution in the environment and GHG emissions. A portfolio of end-of-life strategies must be implemented to minimize environmental impacts and retain valuable plastic material, but it is challenging to compare options that generate products with different utility and lifetime. Plastic use reduction, reuse and recycling are thus increasingly important, but making informed policy and research decisions within this space can be challenging given the diverse range of available solutions. The novel analysis framework, Plastic Parallel Pathways Platform (4P) has been equipped with consequential life cycle assessment, techno-economic analysis, and a plastic circularity indicator to estimate the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, circularity, and cost of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) down-cycling to lower-quality resin, closed-loop recycling to food-grade PET bottles, up-cycling to fiber-reinforced plastic (FRP), and conversion to non-plastic products (electricity, oil) on a United States economy-wide basis. Integrating system dynamics into this robust plastics model that already incorporates techno-economics, circularity, and environmental impacts will enable identification of key bottlenecks between manufacturers, waste sorters, and reclaimers that currently prevent rapid decarbonization of the plastics economy. System dynamics (SD) explore the evolution of activities and technologies based on changed macro parameters such as plastic demand and supply, market shifts, and cross-sectoral interactions. This project particularly aims to explore the interplay between, waste collection, plastic waste sorting, recycling, and manufacturing, as well as the effect of plastic bale quality and plastic reuse initiatives on the surrounding process stages. This functionality will facilitate combinatory analysis in which a portfolio of end-of-life pathways are assessed simultaneously, with the exact makeup of that portfolio affected by parameters such as technology scales, resource constraints, and waste mitigation efforts. Integrating SD with the 4P framework enables analyzing the effect of increased revenue and reinvestment into improving process efficiencies, sorting and collection quantities. Through that, market effects of increased recycled resin availability can be studied for the plastics systems model for the US. The results will help identify technical or economic bottlenecks that currently limit efforts to decarbonize the U.S. plastics economy.

carbon↗