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At least 1,207 records · Page 67

Energy-Storage Modeling: State-of-the-Art and Future Research Directions

Given its physical characteristics and the range of services that it can provide, energy storage raises unique modeling challenges. This paper summarizes capabilities that operational, planning, and resource-adequacy models that include energy storage should have and surveys gaps in extant models. Existing models that represent energy storage differ in fidelity of representing the balance of the power system and energy-storage applications. Modeling results are sensitive to these differences. The importance of capturing chronology can raise challenges in energy-storage modeling. Some models ‘decouple’ individual operating periods from one another, allowing for natural decomposition and rendering the models relatively computationally tractable. Energy storage complicates such a modeling approach. Improving the representation of the balance of the system can have major effects in capturing energy-storage costs and benefits.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Energy Research and Forecasting (ERF) v1

ERF is a next-generation regional atmospheric modeling code for simulation mesoscale atmospheric flows. Its capabilities include the ability to model advection, diffusion, turbulence, terrain and moisture physics.

Almgren, Ann↗

Implementing a Stochastic Soot Model in a 3D Domain

In this document a highly detailed stochastic soot model limited to 0D simulations is coupled to 3D domains through the use of a Lagrangian parcel-Eulerian fluid method. Although both the stochastic soot model used and the Lagrangian parcel-Eulerian fluid method have long histories of development, their use, as described in this document, is novel and useful. Previous works significant to the model's development include documents from both the stochastic and simpler soot model genre and the fuel, aerosol, and other particle tracking and Lagrangian parcel-Eulerian fluid genres. Developing the theory behind the model is crucial to its implementation because of the unconventional Lagrangian parcel-Eulerian fluid representation. In fact, the Lagrangian parcel-Eulerian fluid coupling is only a means of simplifying the much more difficult theoretical model. Despite the accompanying assumptions, the complete model is validated from the bottom up and then again in a holistic fashion with promising results. Then the model is used in multiple case studies, showcasing capabilities not had by other models. The optical properties of soot generated in a Spray A simulation are calculated to find measured results are likely overpredicting the mass of soot along the central axis via KL extinction measurements. A thermophoresis submodel that calculates force based on the soot particles' shape is installed to find it has a high influence on the path of the heaviest soot particles. Investigations into the HACA mechanism for soot growth and the effect of syngas on soot in 3D domains are performed with much more detail than has been available before.

Strickland, Tyler↗

Improvements to the New CTH Code Verification & Validation Test Suite (FY2020)

The CTH multiphysics hydrocode, which is used for a wide range of important calculations, has undertaken in recent years to overhaul its software quality and testing processes. A key part of this effort entailed building a new, robust V&V test suite made up of traditional hydrocode verification problems, such as those listed in the ASC Tri-Lab Test Suite and the Enhanced Tri-Lab Test Suite, as well as validation problems for some of CTHs most frequently used equations of state, materials models, and other key capabilities. Substantial progress towards this goal was made in FY19. In FY20, this test suite has been expanded to include verification and validation tests of the Sesame and JWL equation of state models as well as the Mader verification problem from the Tri-Lab Test Suite and the Blake verification problem - a linear elastic analog to the Hunter problem from the Enhanced Tri-Lab Test Suite. This report documents CTH performance on the new test suite problems. Verification test results are compared to analytic solutions and, for most tests, convergence results are presented. Validation test results are compared to experimental data and mesh refinement studies are included. CTH performs well overall on the new test problems. Convergence rates for the Blake and Mader problems are comparable to those for similar ASC codes. The JWL and Sesame verification tests show good agreement with analytic solutions. Likewise, CTH simulation results show good agreement with experimental validation data for the Sesame and JWL equations of state for the materials tested. Future V&V work will focus on adding tests for other key capabilities like fracture and high explosive models.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Implementation and evaluation of multi-dual mode counter-current chromatography in the CUP Modeler software

Counter-current chromatography (CCC) is a separation technique that utilizes immiscible solvent pairs as stationary and mobile phases, which imparts numerous benefits compared to solid-liquid chromatography including the ability to treat either the more-dense or less-dense solvent layer as the mobile phase. Multi-dual mode (MDM) is a CCC elution mode capable of improving the separation of closely eluting compounds by alternating upper- and lower-layer solvent flows in opposing directions within the same separation. While some effort has been made to model MDM, implementation of these models in experimental design has yet to be widely adopted. Accordingly, we further developed our previously published cell utilized partitioning (CUP) model to include MDM predictions with CCC and packaged the full suite of CUP modeling capabilities into a user-friendly, open-source tool called the CUP Modeler. The mathematical model for MDM CCC was derived and validated with experimental separation of ethyl guaiacol (EG) and ethyl phenol (EP), two compounds that co-elute in our previously demonstrated reductive catalytic fractionation (RCF) lignin monomer isolation method. The developed MDM model provided insights into the effect of multiple operating parameters - including stationary phase retention, flow rate, column efficiency, feed concentration ratio, selectivity factor, and solute distribution ratios - on the separation yields, productivity, and purities. Our model agreed with prevailing understanding of MDM but also revealed new insights including that the ideal distribution ratios for co-eluting solutes to be separated by MDM is between 1.1 and 1.5, with the lower value ideally close to 1.25. Overall, this work provides fundamental insights for MDM process design and enables broader adoption of general liquid-liquid chromatography with a new, open-source user-friendly interface.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Benchmarking FFTF LOFWOS Test# 13 using SAM code: Baseline model development and uncertainty quantification

The development and deployment of advanced reactors, such as the sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR), relies on sophisticated modeling tools to ensure the safety of the design under various transients. The predictive capability of these advanced modeling tools requires validation to garner trust in supporting the licensing of the advanced reactors. For this reason, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) initiated a coordinated research project (CRP) in 2018 for the analysis of the Fast Flux Test Facility (FFTF) Loss of Flow Without Scram (LOFWOS) Test #13.In this study, we present and discuss the benchmarking efforts of the modern system code SAM on the FFTF LOFWOS Test #13. Further, the SAM baseline model was developed according to the benchmark specification, which included a detailed core model with reactivity feedback. Generally, good agreement was observed between the baseline results and benchmark measurements; however, discrepancies persisted, particularly in predicted fuel assembly coolant outlet temperatures. Utilizing the baseline model, uncertainty quantification (UQ) and sensitivity analysis (SA) were conducted with the assistance of various statistical learning and machine learning methods, including kernel density estimation, Gaussian processes, and Sobol indices. Following the baseline model prediction and UQ and SA results, we discuss the reasons for the simulation discrepancies and propose further improvements to the model. This benchmarking effort adheres to the best-estimate plus uncertainty approach and can serve as a valuable example for supporting risk-informed licensing of advanced reactors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Prediction of Specificity of α-Conotoxins to Subtypes of Human Nicotinic Acetylcholine Receptors with Semi-supervised Machine Learning

Conotoxins are a family of highly toxic neurotoxins composed of cysteine-rich peptides produced by marine cone snails. The most lethal cone snail species to humans is Conus geographus, with fatality rates of up to ∼65% from a single sting, which is caused mostly by the activity of α-conotoxins against human nicotinic acetylcholine receptors (nAChRs). While sequence-based machine learning (ML) classifiers have been trained to identify targets of conotoxins binding voltage-gated ion channels, no ML model has been built to predict the subtype-specific nAChR targets of α-conotoxins. Here, we trained an ML model in a semi-supervised manner to predict the specificity of α-conotoxin binding toward different human nAChR subtypes to overcome the challenge of limited data in subtype-specific nAChR targets of α-conotoxins and the issue that one α-conotoxin can bind multiple nAChR subtypes with high selectivity. We considered additional features of sequences of α-conotoxins in training our ML model, including the secondary structure propensities and electrostatic properties, which resulted in better prediction capability for the ML model. Notably, we identify that most α-conotoxins bind to α3β2, α1γδ, and α7 subtypes of human nAChRs. Our findings from this study provide a framework for predicting targets of various kinds of toxins.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Practical Probabilistic Programming

Recent advances in probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) have provided the capability for exact inference: computing a closed-form probability distribution for a given probabilistic program. In particular, the new language Roulette uses a language oriented programming (LOP) approach, wherein analysts build new programming languages on top of a set of primitives provided by Roulette, which then translates these structures into a weighted model counting problem which can be solved by automated reasoning tools. However, because Roulette provides few convenience features, developing these new languages is challenging even for expert users. We developed a standard library of common probability functions for Roulette with the goal of improved usability. This included approximation of continuous probability density functions using discrete probability mass functions. We demonstrated this approach by modeling a cosmic ray striking a RAM controller. We found that Roulette provides a powerful interface for highly expressive probabilistic programs to be generated. In collaboration with the NNSA Advanced Simulation and Computing program, which resulted in development of a tool called Circulette, we were able to model complex circuits expressed in Verilog using probabilistic programs with an expressivity not previously possible. Our research question that motivated the development of a Roulette standard library was to determine whether non-experts could use a PPL to model relevant problems regarding radiation effects on microelectronics. This standard library improved the expressivity of Roulette by implementing common probability density functions, mathematical operators on distributions, and support for empirical distributions. While Roulette is a powerful modeling language, the untyped, LOP approach makes error messages difficult to understand and requires expert aid. We recommend further research on Roulette, especially with its error messages, to enable improved usability. At the same time, this project demonstrated that for users familiar with Roulette and the LOP approach, Roulette provides powerful new capabilities that can be integrated with other Sandia modeling capabilities.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

ChIMES: A Machine-Learned Interatomic Model Targeting Improved Description of Condensed Phase Chemistry in Energetic Materials

In this report we detail completion of a Physics and Engineering Model Level Two Milestone targeting improved reactive interatomic potentials (IAPs) for energetic materials (EM) through machine learning. The specific goals of this milestone were to develop, validate, and document a new reactive molecular dynamics method for EM, based on machine learning by (1) generating databases of first-principles-derived forces, stresses, and energies for HN3 and 3,4-bis(3-nitrofurazan- 4-yl)furoxan (DNTF) (2) generate atomistic force fields from these databases via ML, and (3) benchmark model performance against first principles calculations. These goals were achieved by (1) further developing a machine learned reactive IAP and generation approach (i.e. the Chebyshev Interaction Model for Efficient Simulation or “ChIMES”), for which resulting IAPs can approach the predictive power of quantum-mechanical approaches at a fraction of the computational expense, and (2) applying the ChIMES framework to develop models for HN3 and DNTF. We find that for simple energetic materials like HN3, high accuracy ChIMES models can be obtained through application of a fitting approach that does not use active machine learning. We demonstrate the suitability of ChIMES models for simulations involving EM by using the HN3 model in multiscale shock technique simulations to predict the HN3 Chapman-Jouguet detonation state and investigate chemical evolution out to 1 ns following shock compression. This model is then used in larger direct shock (DS) simulations for a preliminary investigation of how bubbles (i.e. voids) influence material response under shock compression. We find that more complex EM (i.e. DNTF) necessitate a more sophisticated fitting approach, and develop a new active learning method and python tool to meet this challenge. We demonstrate that this fitting approach yields ChIMES models that out-perform commonly used standard reactive IAPs as well as semi-empirical quantum methods, and discuss the systematic improvability of these actively learned ChIMES models. We also describe challenges related to model development for EM such as DNTF, for which few experimental or previous simulation data are available (e.g. which could otherwise inform generation of training data). To overcome this issue, we establish a semi-empirical quantum ChIMES capability which can be used to efficiently map out relevant thermodynamic and configurational space, and generate ChIMES-IAP training data in a multiscale manner. We also show that these semi-empirical quantum ChIMES models can be used to generate predictions for the shock Hugoniot (the Hugoniot is the locus of thermodynamic states found in a shocked material) equation of state, investigate related thermochemistry, and explore carbon condensation following shock compression. This work represents a substantial advance in our atomistic modeling capability for EM that will provide much needed information on the chemistry of detonation for continued development of continuum models based on the Cheetah thermochemical code.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

PeleMP: The Multiphysics Solver for the Combustion Pele Adaptive Mesh Refinement Code Suite

Combustion encompasses multiscale, multiphase reacting flow physics spanning a wide range of scales from the molecular scales, where chemical reactions occur, to the device scales, where the turbulent flow is affected by the geometry of the combustor. This scale disparity and the limited measurement capabilities from experiments make modeling combustion a significant challenge. Recent advancements in high-performance computing (HPC), particularly with the Department of Energy's Exascale Computing Project (ECP), have enabled high-fidelity simulations of practical applications to be performed. The major physics submodels, including chemical reactions, turbulence, sprays, soot, and thermal radiation, exhibit distinctive computational characteristics that need to be examined separately to ensure efficient utilization of computational resources. This paper presents the multiphysics solver for the Pele code suite, called PeleMP, which consists of models for spray, soot, and thermal radiation. Here, the mathematical and algorithmic aspects of the model implementations are described in detail as well as the verification process. The computational performance of these models is benchmarked on multiple supercomputers, including Frontier, an exascale machine. Results are presented from production simulations of a turbulent sooting ethylene flame and a bluff-body swirl stabilized spray flame with sustainable aviation fuels to demonstrate the capability of the Pele codes for modeling practical combustion problems with multiphysics. This work is an important step toward the exascale computing era for high-fidelity combustion simulations providing physical insights and data for predictive modeling of real-world devices.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Machine-Learning of Nonlocal Kernels for Anomalous Subsurface Transport from Breakthrough Curves

Anomalous behavior is ubiquitous in subsurface solute transport due to the presence of high degrees of heterogeneity at different scales in the media. Although fractional models have been extensively used to describe the anomalous transport in various subsurface applications, their application is hindered by computational challenges. Simpler nonlocal models characterized by integrable kernels and finite interaction length represent a computationally feasible alternative to fractional models; yet, the informed choice of their kernel functions still remains an open problem. We propose a general data-driven framework for the discovery of optimal kernels on the basis of very small and sparse data sets in the context of anomalous subsurface transport. Using spatially sparse breakthrough curves recovered from fine-scale particle-density simulations, we learn the best coarse-scale nonlocal model using a nonlocal operator regression technique. Predictions of the breakthrough curves obtained using the optimal nonlocal model show good agreement with fine-scale simulation results even at locations and time intervals different from the ones used to train the kernel, confirming the excellent generalization properties of the proposed algorithm. A comparison with trained classical models and with black-box deep neural networks confirms the superiority of the predictive capability of the proposed model.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Capability Enhancements for System-level thermal Hydraulic Modeling of Lead Fast Reactors

This project has focused on the use, assessment, and development of the SAS4A/SASSYS-1 (SAS) safety analysis software. Although SAS was originally intended as a safety analysis tool for Liquid Metal cooled Fast Reactors (LMFRs), which includes both Sodium Fast Reactors (SFRs) and Lead Fast Reactors (LFRs), the vast majority of its recent development and customization has been tailored to SFRs. In general, enhancements that are made to the software for SFRs are applicable to LFRs, however, the fuel composition and corrosive nature of lead requires careful consideration when performing safety analysis of an LFR. In this project an emphasis was placed on closing gaps that are associated with modeling LFRs using SAS. The principal objective of the project was to enhance the ability of SAS as a licensing tool for LFRs. This objective was to be accomplished through three tasks: 1) Enhance the ability of SAS to couple with external software; 2) Improve the underlying physics models in SAS, with priority given to models that are highly relevant to LFRs; 3) Extend the Verification and Validation (V&V) basis of the software

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

TEAMER Technical Support for Aquantis (Modeling): Cooperative Research and Development Final Report, CRADA Number CRD-21-17763

NREL will provide numerical modelling support to Requestor by completing four successive stages of numerical modeling effort which are capable of accurate predicting the performance of the Aquantis turbine. NREL will develop a baseline OpenFAST model (a couple model of AeroDyn and ElastoDyn solver) of the Aquantis turbine, subsequently couples this model to OrcaFlex or within OpenFAST framework to preliminarily design and explore a full floating tidal turbine system in a control co-design process.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Communication System Modeling in Transactive Systems

Transactive energy systems almost always rely on communication systems for proper operation but most analysis of transactive systems do not model the communication system. Often these analysis are performed by those without a communication system modeling or simulation background and the difficulty of implementing such models in the analysis environment is prohibitive. Without this model, an understanding of the communication system requirements to successfully implement a transactive energy system can not be comprehended. This report details a capability of auto-generating communication system models from an electrical distribution system model, discusses the need for such models, discusses the method by which these models were developed in this project, and demonstrates the impact on the performance of a load management system when using such models. This capability has been incorporated into Pacific Northwest National Laboratory’s (PNNL) Transactive Energy Simulation Platform (TESP).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Machine learning assisted prediction of the Young’s modulus of compositionally complex alloys

We identify compositionally complex alloys (CCAs) that offer exceptional mechanical properties for elevated temperature applications by employing machine learning (ML) in conjunction with rapid synthesis and testing of alloys for validation to accelerate alloy design. The advantages of this approach are scalability, rapidity, and reasonably accurate predictions. ML tools were implemented to predict Young’s modulus of refractory-based CCAs by employing different ML models. Our results, in conjunction with experimental validation, suggest that average valence electron concentration, the difference in atomic radius, a geometrical parameter λ and melting temperature of the alloys are the key features that determine the Young’s modulus of CCAs and refractory-based CCAs. The Gradient Boosting model provided the best predictive capabilities (mean absolute error of 6.15 GPa) among the models studied. Our approach integrates high-quality validation data from experiments, literature data for training machine-learning models, and feature selection based on physical insights. It opens a new avenue to optimize the desired materials property for different engineering applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗