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At least 1,207 records · Page 67

Efficient Multifamily Homes in a Hot-Humid Climate by Atlantic Housing Partners

With assistance from the Florida Solar Energy Center (FSEC) and its Building America Partnership for Improved Residential Construction (BA-PIRC), Atlantic Housing Partners (AHP) has implemented a high performance, systems engineered package of measures. This report demonstrates how the initiative achieves Building America (BA) goals of 30%-50% energy savings. Specifically, the goals are documented as being achieved in the new construction multifamily housing sector in the hot humid climate. Results from energy modeling of the high performance package are presented. The role of utility allowance calculations, used as part of the low-income housing tax credit process, to value those energy savings is discussed, as is customer satisfaction with heat pump water heaters.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Efficient Multifamily Homes in a Hot Humid Climate by Atlantic Housing Partners

With assistance from the Florida Solar Energy Center (FSEC) and its Building America Partnership for Improved Residential Construction (BA-PIRC), Atlantic Housing Partners (AHP) has implemented a high performance, systems engineered package of measures. This report demonstrates how the initiative achieves Building America (BA) goals of 30%-50% energy savings. Specifically, the goals are documented as being achieved in the new construction multifamily housing sector in the hot humid climate. Results from energy modeling of the high performance package are presented. The role of utility allowance calculations, used as part of the low-income housing tax credit process, to value those energy savings is discussed, as is customer satisfaction with heat pump water heaters.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Fatigue life prediction modeling for turbine hot section materials

A major objective of the fatigue and fracture efforts under the Hot Section Technology (HOST) program was to significantly improve the analytic life prediction tools used by the aeronautical gas turbine engine industry. This was achieved in the areas of high-temperature thermal and mechanical fatigue of bare and coated high-temperature superalloys. The cyclic crack initiation and propagation resistance of nominally isotropic polycrystalline and highly anisotropic single crystal alloys were addressed. Life prediction modeling efforts were devoted to creep-fatigue interaction, oxidation, coatings interactions, multiaxiality of stress-strain states, mean stress effects, cumulative damage, and thermomechanical fatigue. The fatigue crack initiation life models developed to date include the Cyclic Damage Accumulation (CDA) and the Total Strain Version of Strainrange Partitioning (TS-SRP) for nominally isotropic materials, and the Tensile Hysteretic Energy Model for anisotropic superalloys. A fatigue model is being developed based upon the concepts of Path-Independent Integrals (PII) for describing cyclic crack growth under complex nonlinear response at the crack tip due to thermomechanical loading conditions. A micromechanistic oxidation crack extension model was derived. The models are described and discussed.

Halford, G. R.↗

Fatigue life prediction modeling for turbine hot section materials

A major objective of the fatigue and fracture efforts under the NASA Hot Section Technology (HOST) program was to significantly improve the analytic life prediction tools used by the aeronautical gas turbine engine industry. This was achieved in the areas of high-temperature thermal and mechanical fatigue of bare and coated high-temperature superalloys. The cyclic crack initiation and propagation resistance of nominally isotropic polycrystalline and highly anisotropic single crystal alloys were addressed. Life prediction modeling efforts were devoted to creep-fatigue interaction, oxidation, coatings interactions, multiaxiality of stress-strain states, mean stress effects, cumulative damage, and thermomechanical fatigue. The fatigue crack initiation life models developed to date include the Cyclic Damage Accumulation (CDA) and the Total Strain Version of Strainrange Partitioning (TS-SRP) for nominally isotropic materials, and the Tensile Hysteretic Energy Model for anisotropic superalloys. A fatigue model is being developed based upon the concepts of Path-Independent Integrals (PII) for describing cyclic crack growth under complex nonlinear response at the crack tip due to thermomechanical loading conditions. A micromechanistic oxidation crack extension model was derived. The models are described and discussed.

G R Halford↗

Expert elicitation survey predicts 37% to 49% declines in wind energy costs by 2050

Wind energy has experienced accelerated cost reduction over the past five years—far greater than predicted in a 2015 expert elicitation. Here we report results from a new survey on wind costs, compare those with previous results and discuss the accuracy of the earlier predictions. In this work, we show that experts in 2020 expect future onshore and offshore wind costs to decline 37–49% by 2050, resulting in costs 50% lower than predicted in 2015. This is due to cost reductions witnessed over the past five years and expected continued advancements. If realized, these costs might allow wind to play a larger role in energy supply than previously anticipated. Considering both surveys, we also conclude that there is considerable uncertainty about future costs. Our results illustrate the importance of considering cost uncertainty, highlight the value and limits of using experts to reveal those uncertainties, and yield possible lessons for energy modellers and expert elicitation.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Probing quintessence potential with future cosmological surveys

Quintessence, a scalar field model, has been proposed to account for the acceleration of the Universe at present. We discuss how accurately quintessence models are discriminated by future cosmological surveys, which include experiments of CMB, galaxy clustering, weak lensing, and the type Ia SNe surveys, by making use of the conventional parameterized dark energy models. We can see clear differences between the thawing and the freezing quintessence models at more than 1σ (2σ) confidence level as long as the present equation of state for quintessence is away from -1 as w{sub X}∼>−0.95(−0.90). However, it is found to be difficult to probe the effective mass squared for the potential in thawing models, whose signs are different between the quadratic and the cosine-type potentials. This fact may require us to invent a new estimator to distinguish quintessence models beyond the thawing and the freezing ones.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Coarse-Grained Reactive Molecular Dynamics Simulations of Heterogeneities in Shocked Energetic Materials (LDRD Final Report)

This report summarizes the result of LDRD project 16-0161, titled "Coarse-Grained Re- active Molecular Dynamics Simulations of Heterogeneities in Shocked Energetic Materials." The purpose of the project was to develop a coarse-grained reactive molecular dynamics capability in LAMMPS enabling simulations of initiation in energetic materials comparable in accuracy to what is currently possible using large-scale reactive molecular dynamics, but with greatly reduced computational cost. The starting point for this work was the reactive dissipative particle dynamics (DPD) approach, which has been implemented as the new USER-DPD package in LAMMPS by researchers at Army Research Laboratory. Using modified versions of the examples provided with the new package, we examined the computational efficiency of the method, as well as its ability to model energy release in energetic materials. We observed that the Shardlow splitting method provides a great speed and accuracy advantage over conventional velocity Verlet time integration. We observed that the generic model of an energetic material provided with the USER-DPD package exhibited incomplete reaction under constant volume conditions. This was caused by quenching of the internal temperature of the molecules due to a rapid build-up of repulsive interactions between product gas components under constant volume conditions. Under constant pressure conditions, complete reaction was observed, as volume expansion prevented the buildup of strong repulsive interactions. Finally, a more realistic model calibrated to reproduce the equation of state of the RDX molecular crystal was examined. This model exhibited much less quenching of the internal temperature under constant volume conditions and reacted very rapidly under constant pressure conditions.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Quantifying Occupant Health and Productivity for Deep Retrofits: Beyond Traditional IEQ Studies

As energy-efficiency standards for both new construction and existing building renovations become more stringent, further reductions become less tractable and more expensive. With increasing interest and rising investment in healthy built environments, integrating energy efficiency with improved occupant experience (i.e., health, comfort, and work performance) offers a new path to drive deep energy retrofits. However, the difficulty in quantifying and verifying health and productivity gains from building upgrades leads to lower valuation of human benefits in practice. Building codes and standards have progressive energy targets but often give minimum requirements to occupant health for factors such as ventilation and thermal comfort. State and federal laws in the United States that govern the energy service performance contract (ESPC) have no clear and consistent guidance on quantifying non-energy benefits and incorporating them into a formal cost-effectiveness analysis. This paper presents a methodology to measure a building’s potential performance improvement regarding occupant health based on existing evidence correlating IEQ to occupant outcomes. Health improvement measures are integrated with a building energy model to identify and measure the impact of holistic improvement strategies. The net present value of these measures is determined based on the investment costs required to attain those improvements, energy savings, and personnel gains. We will discuss results from one pilot building, which showed nearly $50 per square foot 20-year net present value using the integrated approach.

Keene, Kevin M.↗

Overview of the Regional Bio-Economy Model (RBEM)

Recent decarbonization goals and market pressures (nationally and internationally) have led airlines to commit to aggressive strategies to reduce carbon emissions in their fleet. To better understand possible regional evolution scenarios for SAF supply train, we have developed the Regional Biomass Energy Model (RBEM). RBEM is a dynamic model that can be used to create potential development scenarios for bioenergy fuels within a defined region. In this report, we describe the model and present illustrative results using the Chicago O'Hare Airport as an example.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Massively parallel GPU enabled third-order cluster perturbation excitation energies for cost-effective large scale excitation energy calculations

We present here a massively parallel implementation of the recently developed CPS(D-3) excitation energy model that is based on cluster perturbation theory. The new algorithm extends the one developed in Baudin et al. [J. Chem. Phys., 150, 134110 (2019)] to leverage multiple nodes and utilize graphical processing units for the acceleration of heavy tensor contractions. Furthermore, we show that the extended algorithm scales efficiently with increasing amounts of computational resources and that the developed code enables CPS(D-3) excitation energy calculations on large molecular systems with a low time-to-solution. More specifically, calculations on systems with over 100 atoms and 1000 basis functions are possible in a few hours of wall clock time. This establishes CPS(D-3) excitation energies as a computationally efficient alternative to those obtained from the coupled-cluster singles and doubles model.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Climate impacts on hydropower in Colombia: A multi-model assessment of power sector adaptation pathways

There is uncertainty as to how climate change will affect hydropower generation in different regions of the world. In drying regions, impaired hydropower production could result in significant changes to the power sector implying new plants to be installed to make up for lost hydropower generation. In this article we apply two partial equilibrium models (TIAM-ECN and GCAM) and two general equilibrium models (Phoenix and MEG4C) to identify possible pathways of power sector adaptation for Colombia under climate change scenarios that reflect altered water inflow to hydropower reservoirs. Each model is run for two emissions policy scenarios and for a dry and moderate climate projection. Planned hydropower expansion for Colombia is insufficient to meet increased power demands as the country's economy grows; the contribution of hydropower to Colombia's power supply drops from ~65% currently to 30 - 50 % by 2050 depending on energy model and scenario. Climate change reduces this by a further 5 - 10 % under the dry climate projection. Climate-driven losses in hydropower will be compensated by an expansion of alternative technologies, which vary significantly across models. When climate policy is implemented, three distinct pathways emerge: expanding the electricity production from solar and wind energy (TIAM-ECN); reducing overall power demand hence exploiting savings and efficiencies (Phoenix and MEG4C); and expanding the use of fossil resources—primarily natural gas— complemented with carbon dioxide capture and storage (GCAM).

Arango, Santiago↗

Optimal Gas-Electric Energy System Decarbonization Planning

As energy utilities implement climate change mitigation policies, system planners require strategies for achieving affordable emissions reductions. Coordinated planning of electric power and natural gas systems will allow synergistic investments to address cross-sector operational constraints, competing uses for net-zero emissions fuels, and shifts in energy demands across energy carriers. In this study, we develop a novel optimization program that finds the cost-minimizing mix of infrastructure expansion or reduction across gas and electric systems to satisfy sector-specific emissions constraints. Alongside energy supply resources, our framework allows for central-planning of end-use equipment stocks to allow switching between gas and electric appliances upon failure or premature replacement. The proposed model is used to simulate case study scenarios for a benchmark 24-pipe gas network coupled to a 24-node power system test network. We find that electrification of greater than 80% of core gas demands is a component of the least-cost solution for modeled energy systems. Despite this substitution, the gas system is maintained to service difficult-to-electrify customers and to deliver net-zero emissions gas to electricity generators in times of peak electricity demand. Restricting electrification of gas appliances increases reliance on power- to-gas technologies and increases annual costs by 15% in 2040. Neglecting constraints on pipeline blending of hydrogen can produce a misleading result that relies on hydrogen blend fractions of greater than 50%. In all cases, we find the average costs of delivered gas increase nearly 5-fold across the decarbonization transition, highlighting the importance of future work investigating cost-allocation strategies for ensuring an equitable energy transition.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Experimental and theoretical investigation of the crystalline surface, film, and interface properties of antiperovskite Mn 3 GaN grown by molecular beam epitaxy on MgO(001)

Here, we present a study of the epitaxial growth, characterization, and theoretical modeling of thin film antiperovskite Mn 3 GaN, an antiferromagnetic material with kagome structure which is grown on MgO (001) substrates using N-plasma-assisted molecular beam epitaxy. Reflection high energy electron diffraction is used to assess the in-plane evolution of the film structure during growth, and the surface is investigated in-situ using scanning tunneling microscopy and Auger electron spectroscopy. These results are combined with precision measurements done ex-situ determining the film lattice constants using a combination of x-ray diffraction with reciprocal space mapping and scanning transmission electron microscopy. Overall, a uniform, homogeneous film with an atomically smooth vacuum surface and atomically sharp substrate interface is found having very small in-plane tensile strain and mild out-of-plane compressive strain. First-principles theoretical calculations are applied in order to ascertain the lowest energy models for both the Mn 3 GaN surface and the Mn 3 GaN/MgO film/substrate interface. Models including MnGa versus MnN surface layers and MnGa versus MnN interfacial layers are considered as functions of both the Mn and Ga chemical potentials. The predictions are discussed in comparison to the experimental results. The overall findings suggest that Mn 3 GaN on MgO(001) is a viable epitaxial film which can be further explored in connection with antiferromagnetic spintronics.

Density functional theory↗

H 0 = 69.8 ± 1.3 km s - 1 Mpc - 1 , Ω m 0 = 0.288 ± 0.017 , and other constraints from lower-redshift, non-CMB, expansion-rate data

Here, we use updated Type Ia Pantheon+ supernova, baryon acoustic oscillation, and Hubble parameter (now also accounting for correlations) data, as well as new reverberation-measured C $\tiny{IV}$ quasar data, and quasar angular size, H $\tiny{II}$ starburst galaxy, reverberation-measured Mg $\tiny{II}$ quasar, and Amati correlated gamma-ray burst data to constrain cosmological parameters. We show that these data sets result in mutually consistent constraints and jointly use them to constrain cosmological parameters in six different spatially-flat and non-flat cosmological models. Our analysis provides summary model independent determinations of two key cosmological parameters: the Hubble constant, H 0 = 69.8 ± 1.3 km s -1 Mpc -1 , and the current non-relativistic matter density parameter, Ω m0 = 0.288 ± 0.017. Our summary error bars are 2.4 and 2.3 times those obtained using the flat ΛCDM model and Planck TT,TE,EE + lowE + lensing cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy data. Our H 0 value is very consistent with that from the local expansion rate based on the Tip of the Red Giant Branch and Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) data, is 2σ lower than that from the local expansion rate based on Cepheid and SN Ia data, and is 2σ higher than that in the flat ΛCDM model based on Planck TT,TE,EE + lowE + lensing CMB data. Our data compilation shows at most mild evidence for non-flat spatial hypersurfaces, but more significant evidence for dark energy dynamics, 2σ or larger in the spatially-flat dynamical dark energy models we study.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Low-e Storm Windows: Market Assessment and Pathways to Market Transformation

Laboratory and field studies sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) demonstrate that the use of low-emissivity (low-e) storm windows can lead to significant heating and cooling energy savings in homes. This report examines the market for low-e storm windows based on market data, case studies, and recent experience with weatherization deployment programs. It uses information from interviews conducted with DOE researchers and industry partners involved in case studies and early deployment efforts related to low-e storm windows. In addition, this study examines potential barriers to market acceptance, assesses the market and energy savings potential, and identifies opportunities to transform the market for low-e storm windows and overcome market adoption barriers. Based on laboratory testing, case studies, and climate-based modeled energy savings, the installation of low-e storm windows is estimated to reduce heating and cooling consumption by 12 to 33% in residential homes. Individual home savings would depend on the overall condition of existing windows and home as well as climate conditions. Based on these heating and cooling saving ranges, low-e storm windows have a technical potential energy savings – that is, the energy savings that would result if all low-performing windows were covered with low-e storm windows – ranging from 0.7 to 1.96 quadrillion Btus primary (source) energy. Of this technical potential, this study estimates that market adoption of low-e storm windows could reasonably achieve savings of 140 trillion Btus of primary energy annually by 2025, assuming DOE implements a number of market transformation activities directed toward low-e storm window market adoption. To assess the marketability and market adoption potential of low-e storm windows, this study examines and characterizes the benefits and costs of the technology, the size and characteristics of likely target markets, the potential pathways to reach these markets, possible market barriers, and the likelihood of overcoming these barriers. A number of promising market transformation pathways are identified including existing weatherization assistance programs, utility energy-efficiency incentive programs, federally sponsored energy efficiency retrofit programs, standards and rating organizations, and federal building energy-efficiency mandates and programs. By working with storm window manufacturers, installers, energy-efficiency consortiums, and the Federal Energy Management Program, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Building America program could implement a number of targeted outreach, education, and technical assistance programs to help effectively transform the market for low-e storm windows and have a measurable impact on reducing residential energy consumption over time.

Building America↗

Lessons Learned From Techno-Economic Analysis of Solar Photovoltaics and Battery Energy Storage at a Vietnam Industrial Park

Through the Clean Energy Investment Accelerator (CEIA), engineers from the United States (U.S.) National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) conducted a case study analysis evaluating the techno-economic feasibility of battery energy storage systems (BESS) at an industrial park in Vietnam. The analysis uses NREL's REopt platform, a distributed energy modeling and optimization tool, to identify the cost-optimal system sizing for BESS, in conjunction with onsite renewables such as solar photovoltaics (PV), to reduce electricity costs, increase onsite renewable energy generation utilization, and improve resilience to grid outages.

batteries↗

High Performance Cold Climate Heat Pump (CCHP) – Final Report

In the U. S., there are approximately 2.6 million dwellings that use electricity for heating in very cold and cold regions with an annual energy consumption of 0.16 quads. A high performance cold climate heat pump (CCHP) would result in significant savings over current technologies (> 70% compared to strip heating). It can result in an annual primary energy savings of 0.1 Quads when fully deployed, which is equivalent to 5.9 million tons of annual CO2 emissions reduction. The outcome of this project is the development of a split system, cold climate heat pump (CCHP) providing 36,000 Btu/hr (10.6 kW) heating capacity with a COP > 4.0 (at the 47°F (8.3°C) AHRI rating condition) and maximum efficiency degradation of 50% and capacity loss of 25% at -13°F (-25°C) ambient conditions. Between 2012 and 2015, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and Emerson Climate Technologies engaged in a Cooperative Research and Development Agreement (CRADA) to develop a high efficiency, cold climate heat pump for the US residential market. We went through an exhaustive technologies survey to select energy efficient and cost-effective components. We conducted in-depth engineering design and building energy modeling, based on the ORNL Heat Pump Design Model (HPDM) and EnergyPlus, by which we made the final choices.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Bioenergy and Climate Change in Ukraine: How climate can impact the sustainability of bioenergy production

The Russian invasion has exacerbated Ukraine’s energy security issues, prompting a shift toward diversifying energy supply sources. Additionally, strategic documents aim to align Ukraine’s energy system with EU climate requirements, focusing on reducing reliance on fossil fuels and advancing decarbonization efforts. This report focuses on the expansion of bioenergy as an alternative source of energy in Ukraine. Current assessments suggest that Ukraine has substantial bioenergy potential, primarily from agricultural residues and energy crops. However, the challenges posed by climate change and the ongoing war might impact the outcome of these projections. This report highlights the importance of integrating climate factors into energy modeling using tools like the integrated assessment models to provide a comprehensive understanding of Ukraine’s bioenergy potential under various climate scenarios. It also emphasizes the need for climate-smart agriculture and forestry practices to mitigate risks, enhance energy efficiency, and support resilient crop supplies. Recommendations for stakeholders include diversification of the energy supply sources, developing adaptation strategies, diversifying bioenergy feedstocks, and ensuring robust decision-making to navigate the impacts of climate change on Ukraine’s energy system.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗