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At least 1,189 records · Page 66

Life prediction and constitutive models for engine hot section

The purpose of this program is to develop life prediction models for coated anisotropic materials used in gas turbine airfoils. In the program, two single crystal alloys and two coatings are being tested. These include PWA 1480, Alloy 185, overlay coating (PWA 286), and aluminide coating (PWA 273). Constitutive models are also being developed for these materials to predict the time independent (plastic) and time dependent (creep) strain histories of the materials in the lab tests and for actual design conditions. This nonlinear material behavior is particularly important for high temperature gas turbine applications and is basic to any life prediction system. Some of the accomplishments of the program are highlighted.

Swanson, G. A.↗

Thermal barrier coating life prediction model

The objectives of this program are to determine the predominant modes of degradation of a plasma sprayed thermal barrier coating system, and then to develop and verify life prediction models accounting for these degradation modes. The program is divided into two phases, each consisting of several tasks. The work in Phase 1 is aimed at identifying the relative importance of the various failure modes, and developing and verifying life prediction model(s) for the predominant model for a thermal barrier coating system. Two possible predominant failure mechanisms being evaluated are bond coat oxidation and bond coat creep. The work in Phase 2 will develop design-capable, causal, life prediction models for thermomechanical and thermochemical failure modes, and for the exceptional conditions of foreign object damage and erosion.

Pilsner, B. H.↗

Prediction of forces and moments for flight vehicle control effectors: Workplan

Two research activities directed at hypersonic vehicle configurations are currently underway. The first involves the validation of a number of classical local surface inclination methods commonly employed in preliminary design studies of hypersonic flight vehicles. Unlike studies aimed at validating such methods for predicting overall vehicle aerodynamics, this effort emphasizes validating the prediction of forces and moments for flight control studies. Specifically, several vehicle configurations for which experimental or flight-test data are available are being examined. By comparing the theoretical predictions with these data, the strengths and weaknesses of the local surface inclination methods can be ascertained and possible improvements suggested. The second research effort, of significance to control during take-off and landing of most proposed hypersonic vehicle configurations, is aimed at determining the change due to ground effect in control effectiveness of highly swept delta planforms. Central to this research is the development of a vortex-lattice computer program which incorporates an unforced trailing vortex sheet and an image ground plane. With this program, the change in pitching moment of the basic vehicle due to ground proximity, and whether or not there is sufficient control power available to trim, can be determined. In addition to the current work, two different research directions are suggested for future study. The first is aimed at developing an interactive computer program to assist the flight controls engineer in determining the forces and moments generated by different types of control effectors that might be used on hypersonic vehicles. The first phase of this work would deal in the subsonic portion of the flight envelope, while later efforts would explore the supersonic/hypersonic flight regimes. The second proposed research direction would explore methods for determining the aerodynamic trim drag of a generic hypersonic flight vehicle and ways in which it can be minimized through vehicle design and trajectory optimization.

Maughmer, Mark D.↗

The role of radiation-dynamics interaction in regional numerical weather prediction

The role of radiation-dynamics interaction in regional numerical weather prediction of severe storm environment and mesoscale convective systems over the United States is researched. Based upon the earlier numerical model simulation experiments, it is believed that such interaction can have a profound impact on the dynamics and thermodynamics of regional weather systems. The research will be carried out using real-data model forecast experiments performed on the Cray-X/MP computer. The forecasting system to be used is a comprehensive mesoscale prediction system which includes analysis and initialization, the dynamic model, and the post-forecast diagnosis codes. The model physics are currently undergoing many improvements in parameterizing radiation processes in the model atmosphere. The forecast experiments in conjunction with in-depth model verification and diagnosis are aimed at a quantitative understanding of the interaction between atmospheric radiation and regional dynamical processes in mesoscale models as well as in nature. Thus, significant advances in regional numerical weather prediction can be made. Results shall also provide valuable information for observational designs in the area of remote sensing techniques to study the characteristics of air-land thermal interaction and moist processes under various atmospheric conditions.

Chang, Chia-Bo↗

A model for prediction of STOVL ejector dynamics

A semi-empirical control-volume approach to ejector modeling for transient performance prediction is presented. This new approach is motivated by the need for a predictive real-time ejector sub-system simulation for Short Take-Off Verticle Landing (STOVL) integrated flight and propulsion controls design applications. Emphasis is placed on discussion of the approximate characterization of the mixing process central to thrust augmenting ejector operation. The proposed ejector model suggests transient flow predictions are possible with a model based on steady-flow data. A practical test case is presented to illustrate model calibration.

Drummond, Colin K.↗

Pilot workload prediction

A predicting model of pilot workload is developed using a time-based algorithm, work-load values from previous research, and experimental data obtained by a group of experienced pilots on a Singer-Link Gat-1 instrument trainer with three degrees of motion (roll, pitch, and yaw). Each pilot performed three experimental flights presented in a counterbalanced order; each flight consisted of short, medium, or long cruise and initial approach segments. Results strongly suggest that pilots were more sensitive to the rate at which work was done than to the total amount of work accomplished. The result of predictions obtained with the model showed that the time-weighted average of the component work-load ratings were able to predict the obtained work-load ratings accurately.

Pepitone, David D.↗

A model for predicting damage dependent damping in laminated composites

A constitutive model has been developed for predicting the dynamic properties of composite beams which accounts for the influence of microstructural damage. The model assumes the damage state to be fixed. The model can account for both the damping increase and stiffness loss due to microstructural damage. Damage dependent material constants obtained from a baseline data set can be used to predict damping changes for several composite layups. The validity of the model has been verified by comparing the experimental results to model predictions for crossply laminates with a variety of stacking sequences.

Kalyanasundaram, S.↗

Comparisons of predicted and measured rotor performance in hover using a new free wake analysis

A new free-wake analysis has been developed to predict the performance of rotors in hover and axial flight. The analysis finds the rotor wake geometry using a novel influence coefficient/relaxation scheme. In this paper, the features of the analysis are reviewed, and the accuracy of the analysis is assessed for a wide range of rotor configurations in hover and vertical climb. The effects of variations in the analysis parameters are addressed, and recommendations for future development are presented. Generally good results were obtained for the predicted performance of a wide range of rotor geometries and operating conditions without any special 'tuning' of the analysis. The analysis also provides predictions of rotor performance in vertical climb that are substantially more accurate than momentum theory.

Felker, Fort F.↗

Numerical prediction experiments related to the summer 1980 U.S. heat wave

The GLA (Goddard Laboratory for Atmosphere) fourth-order model predictions of the summer 1980 heat wave are examined to assess the skill of the model in numerically forecasting the initiation of the heat wave and the sensitivity of the model predictions to initial conditions and boundary forcing. Results of experiments indicate that the model predictions are sensitive to the initial conditions. The sensitivity of the model to anomalous boundary forcing is found to be generally larger than its sensitivity to initial conditions at extended ranges. The results of the study suggest that models may be useful in forecasting similar events if adequate determinations of the evolving boundary forcing can be made in real time.

Atlas, R.↗

The prediction of secondary flow in curved ducts of square cross-section

A three-dimensional, fully-viscous Navier-Stokes code designated INS3D is presently used for the prediction of secondary and axial flows in curved ducts of square cross-section. Attention is given to a 90-deg bend, an S-shaped duct with two 22.5-deg bends, and an 180-deg bend. The sensitivity of predicted axial and secondary flows to grid resolution and artificial dissipation is investigated in the 90-deg bend case. Good agreement is found between predicted and experimentally measured flow components.

Mcconnaughey, P. K.↗

A predictive guidance algorithm for Mars entry

This report presents the derivation, logic, and performance of a Mars entry guidance algorithm for the Mars Rover Sample Return Mission. This algorithm guides the Mars entry vehicle along an equilibrium glide trajectory designed to satisfy a set of equality and inequality constraints at chute deploy. An equilibrium glide assumption permits analytic prediction of terminal state conditions and eliminates the need for determining numeric state sensitivities. Trajectory deviations due to dispersions or uncertainties in Martian atmosphere, vehicle aerodynamics, or entry interface conditions are accommodated simply by predicting the compensating equilibrium glide profile and achieving this profile with the available lift control. This Mars Predictive Equilibrium Glide guidance scheme was tested on a range of vehicle configurations with a variety of aerodynamic, atmosphere, and trajectory dispersions with a high degree of success.

Tigges, M. A.↗

Application of fracture mechanics to predict the strength of filament-wound composite specimens with surface damage

The strength of a thick surface notched filament wound graphite/epoxy tensile specimen was predicted using fracture mechanics analysis. The prediction model depended upon the depth of the surface notch and upon the type of failure. Specimens failed in two stages: first a sublaminate with thickness equal to the depth of the surface cut, and second, for increasing load, a sublaminate with thickness equal to the initial thickness minus the cut depth. Analytical predictions and experimental data were in good agreement.

Morris, D. H.↗

Creep life prediction based on stochastic model of microstructurally short crack growth

A nondimensional model of microstructurally short crack growth in creep is developed based on a detailed observation of the creep fracture process of 304 stainless steel. In order to deal with the scatter of small crack growth rate data caused by microstructural inhomogeneity, a random variable technique is used in the model. A cumulative probability of the crack length at an arbitrary time, G(bar a, bar t), and that of the time when a crack reaches an arbitrary length, F(bar t, bar a), are obtained numerically by means of a Monte Carlo method. G(bar a, bar t), and F(bar t, bar a) are the probabilities for a single crack. However, multiple cracks generally initiate on the surface of a smooth specimen from the early stage of creep life to the final stage. Taking into account the multiple crack initiations, the actual crack length distribution observed on the surface of a specimen is predicted by the combination of probabilities for a single crack. The prediction shows a fairly good agreement with the experimental result for creep of 304 stainless steel at 923 K. The probability of creep life is obtained from an assumption that creep fracture takes place when the longest crack reaches a critical length. The observed and predicted scatter of the life is fairly small for the specimens tested.

Kitamura, Takayuki↗

Planetary scaling laws and predictions for Neptune

This paper offers a prediction concerning Neptune's low-frequency radio emission based on the radiometric Bode's law in combination with a recent prediction for Neptune's global magnetic field strength. The latter is based on a dynamo scaling relation derived from the magnetospheric balance condition within planetary cores. The radio emission frequency range is predicted to extend from approximately 100 to 1000 kHz, with a spectral peak between 350 and 500 kHz. A crude estimate of the emission spectral shape, based on Saturn and earth-like models, is shown. If radiation is beamed approximately in the sunward direction, Neptune should be detectable by the Planetary Radio Astronomy experiment onboard the Voyager spacecraft sometime between 45 and 60 days before closest approach.

Desch, Michael D.↗

Predicting minimum Al concentrations for protective scale fromation on Ni-base alloys. I - Isothermal oxidation. II - Cyclic oxidation

Criteria proposed to predict the minimum bulk Al concentration for the formation of protective Al2O3 scales on Ni-based alloys during isothermal oxidation (two criteria proposed by Wagner, 1952 and 1959) and cyclic oxidation (the criteria proposed by Wahl, 1983, and Whittle, 1972/Wahl, 1983) were applied to Ni-Al and Ni-Cr-Al(Zr) alloys, respectively. It is shown that the first Wagner (1952) criterion underpredicted, by a factor of 3, the experimentally observed minimum Al concentration for the formation of an external Al2O3 scale on Ni-Al alloys at 1200 C; the second Wagner criterion predicted a transition from internal oxidation to continuous Al2O3 formation in good agreement with experimentally observed concentrations. It was also found that the two criteria for an Al2O3 scale formation during cyclic oxidation of Ni-Cr-Al(Zr) alloys were inadequate to predict the minimum Al concentration necessary for repeated formation of an Al2O3 scale, regardless of the adherence of the scale.

Nesbitt, James A.↗

Large scale advanced propeller blade pressure distributions - Prediction and data

Two Euler analysis techniques, finite difference and finite volume, are employed to predict the blade surface pressure distributions of a large scale advanced propeller. The predicted pressure distributions are compared with wind tunnel data. Both techniques produced blade pressure distributions which are in fairly good agreement with the data over the range of test Mach numbers of 0.2 to 0.78. However, the numerical simulations fail to predict correctly the measured pressure distributions for the low Mach number, high power case which seem to have a leading edge vortex. A discussion of the compressibility effects is also presented.

Nallasamy, M.↗

Prediction of high-speed aerodynamic characteristics using the Aerodynamic Preliminary Analysis System (APAS)

An exercise was performed which illustrates the prediction of high-speed aerodynamic coefficients using the Aerodynamic Preliminary Analysis System. Two generic transatmospheric vehicle configurations are used as examples on which various inviscid and viscous estimation techniques are applied. As a means of evaluating the reliability of the Aerodynamic Preliminary Analysis System results, comparisons of predictions using this preliminary-level approach are compared with Shuttle-derived data, hypersonic helium tunnel data for several configurations, and computational fluid dynamics results. Overall, predictions using the Aerodynamic Preliminary Analysis System agree well with the other calculations and data.

Cruz, Christopher I.↗

Cosmological velocity correlations - Observations and model predictions

By applying the present simple statistics for two-point cosmological peculiar velocity-correlation measurements to the actual data sets of the Local Supercluster spiral galaxy of Aaronson et al. (1982) and the elliptical galaxy sample of Burstein et al. (1987), as well as to the velocity field predicted by the distribution of IRAS galaxies, a coherence length of 1100-1600 km/sec is obtained. Coherence length is defined as that separation at which the correlations drop to half their zero-lag value. These results are compared with predictions from two models of large-scale structure formation: that of cold dark matter and that of baryon isocurvature proposed by Peebles (1980). N-body simulations of these models are performed to check the linear theory predictions and measure sampling fluctuations.

Gorski, Krzysztof M.↗