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At least 1,189 records · Page 66

Models for various aspects of dwarf novae and nova-like stars

The first attempts to explain the nature of dwarf novae were based on the assumption of single-star phenomena, in which emission lines were assumed to be caused by circumstellar gas shells. The outburst behavior was tentatively ascribed to the kind of (also not understood) mechanism leading to nova outbursts. The realization that some, and possibly all, dwarf novae and nova-like stars (and novae) are binaries eventually led to models which bore more and more similarities to the modern interpretation on the basis of the Roche model. Not all cataclysmic variables are known binaries. In fact, with respect to the entire number of known objects, the proven binaries are still the minority, but all the brightest variables are in fact known to binaries. Not a single system is known which exhibits the usual characteristics of a cataclysmic variable and at the same time can be declared with certainty to be a single star. Two systems are known, the dwarf nova EY Cyg and the recurrent nova V1017 Sgr, in which, in spite of intensive search, no radial velocity variations have been found; but they still exhibit composite spectra consisting of a bright continuum, an emission spectrum, and a cool absorption spectrum. If the Roche model is correct, it is to be expected that a small percentage of objects is viewed pole-on, so orbital motions do not make themselves felt as Doppler shifts of spectral lines. So even these two systems support the hypothesis that all cataclysmic variables (with the possible exception of symbiotic stars) are binaries. In cataclysmic variables, it seems that the brightness changes observed in dwarf novae and nova-like stars in the optical and the UV are due directly to changes in the accretion disks. The study and understanding of accretion disks in these systems can bear potentially valuable consequences for many other fields in astronomy. The observed spectra of dwarf novae and nova-like stars comprise a fairly large range: pure emission spectra, pure absorption spectra, a mixture of both, asymmetric line profiles, very different slopes of the continuous flux distribution -- and one single system may exhibit all of these features at different times. Agreement and disagreement between computed and observed spectra should show whether or not the Roche model is applicable and where it probably will have to be modified and improved. Except for their outburst behavior and its immediate consequences, novae, dwarf novae, and nova-like stars cannot be physically distinguished from each other.

Ladous, Constanze↗

Global Ocean Evaporation: How Well Can We Estimate Interannual to Decadal Variability?

Evaporation from the world's oceans constitutes the largest component of the global water balance. It is important not only as the ultimate source of moisture that is tied to the radiative processes determining Earth's energy balance but also to freshwater availability over land, governing habitability of the planet. Here we focus on variability of ocean evaporation on scales from interannual to decadal by appealing to three sources of data: the new MERRA-2 (Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications -2); climate models run with historical sea-surface temperatures, ice and atmospheric constituents (so-called AMIP experiments); and state-of-the-art satellite retrievals from the Seaflux and HOAPS (Hamburg Ocean-Atmosphere Parameters and Fluxes from Satellite) projects. Each of these sources has distinct advantages as well as drawbacks. MERRA-2, like other reanalyses, synthesizes evaporation estimates consistent with observationally constrained physical and dynamical models-but data stream discontinuities are a major problem for interpreting multi-decadal records. The climate models used in data assimilation can also be run with lesser constraints such as with SSTs and sea-ice (i.e. AMIPs) or with additional, minimal observations of surface pressure and marine observations that have longer and less fragmentary observational records. We use the new ERA-20C reanalysis produced by ECMWF embodying the latter methodology. Still, the model physics biases in climate models and the lack of a predicted surface energy balance are of concern. Satellite retrievals and comparisons to ship-based measurements offer the most observationally-based estimates, but sensor inter-calibration, algorithm retrieval assumptions, and short records are dominant issues. Our strategy depends on maximizing the advantages of these combined records. The primary diagnostic tool used here is an analysis of bulk aerodynamic computations produced by these sources and uses a first-order Taylor series analysis of wind speed, SST, near-surface stability and relative humidity variations around climatology to gauge the importance of these components. We find that the MERRA-2 evaporation record is strongly influenced by the availability of wind speed and humidity from passive microwave imagers beginning in the late 1980s as well as by the SST record. The trend over the period 1980 to present is nearly 10%. AMIP or the ERA-20C trends are much smaller. We find that ENSO-related signals involving both wind speed and thermodynamic variability remain the primary signal in the latter and are confirmed by satellite retrievals. We present uncertainty estimates based on the various data sources and discuss the implications for GEWEX water and energy budget science challenges.

Robertson, Franklin R.↗

Search for dark matter produced in association with a single top quark and an energetic W boson in $\sqrt{s}=$ 13 TeV $pp$ collisions with the ATLAS detector

This paper presents a search for dark matter, $χ$, using events with a single top quark and an energetic W boson. The analysis is based on proton–proton collision data collected with the ATLAS experiment at $\sqrt{s}=$ 13 TeV during LHC Run 2 (2015–2018), corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 139 fb -1 . The search considers final states with zero or one charged lepton (electron or muon), at least one $b$-jet and large missing transverse momentum. In addition, a result from a previous search considering two-charged-lepton final states is included in the interpretation of the results. The data are found to be in good agreement with the Standard Model predictions and the results are interpreted in terms of 95% confidence-level exclusion limits in the context of a class of dark matter models involving an extended two Higgs-doublet sector together with a pseudoscalar mediator particle. The search is particularly sensitive to on-shell pro duction of the charged Higgs boson state, $H$ ± , arising from the two-Higgs-doublet mixing, and its semi-invisible decays via the mediator particle, $a$: $H$ ± → $W$ ± $a$(→ $χ$ $χ$). Signal models with $H$ ± masses up to 1.5 TeV and a masses up to 350 GeV are excluded assuming a tan $β$ value of 1. For masses of a of 150 (250) GeV, tan $β$ values up to 2 are excluded for $H$ ± masses between 200 (400) GeV and 1.5 TeV. Signals with tan $β$ values between 20 and 30 are excluded for $H$ ± masses between 500 and 800 GeV.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

A model of the physical properties of comet Encke

The available observational data on periodic comet Encke were collected and interpreted in order to construct a model of the comet. The model is intended for use in the design of scientific experiments and spacecraft systems to be used on future missions to Encke. Numerical values and ranges of uncertainty are given for all of the important structural, compositional, and photometric parameters with references to the original research from which these were calculated or estimated.

Taylor, F. W.↗

Modeling the effect of habitat availability and quality on endangered winter-run Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) production in the Sacramento Valley

Reconciliation between water uses and sustaining aquatic species populations requires an effort to identify and quantify essential habitat characteristics for ecosystem health and valuation methods to predict ecosystem response to restoration actions. This process is particularly challenging for anadromous fish species such as California's Sacramento River winter-run Chinook salmon, due to their limited geographic range and diverse life history habitat requirements. Tools, such as life-cycle models, are needed to manage population dynamics and quantify the composite effects of processes across space and time. Nevertheless, complex institutions can hinder result interpretation and communication, and limit model use in decision-making. This paper focuses on the federally endangered and endemic Sacramento River winter-run Chinook (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) by developing a Winter-Run Habitat-based Population Model (WRHAP). Additionally, WRHAP is a conceptual, freshwater rearing stage model that includes alternative rearing habitats reported in the literature (e.g., floodplains, off-channel and tributaries), defines rules of habitat use based on instream conditions, and incorporates a juvenile growth module that combines bioenergetics modeling with empirical growth rates. Model outputs reasonably follow observed out-migration patterns and provide a realistic smolt size distribution arriving at the San Francisco Bay. This effort demonstrates the importance of currently “non-critical” habitats (as defined by the Endangered Species Act) for juvenile development, with floodplain habitat contributing to a quarter of out-migrating biomass (despite < 18% availability and <10% of total rearing days), and off-channel growth being one of the most sensitive parameters (explaining ~13% of average juvenile weight variance). The model shows the utility of a simple population model to explore relationships between habitat quality/quantity and juvenile development, and to assist water/environmental management and decision-making processes focused on species recovery.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Chemical and Hydrodynamical Models of Cometary Comae

Multi-fluid modelling of the outflowing gases which sublimate from cometary nuclei as they approach the Sun is necessary for understanding the important physical and chemical processes occurring in this complex plasma. Coma chemistry models can be employed to interpret observational data and to ultimately determine chemical composition and structure of the nuclear ices and dust. We describe a combined chemical and hydrodynamical model [1] in which differential equations for the chemical abundances and the energy balance are solved as a function of distance from the cometary nucleus. The presence of negative ions (anions) in cometary comae is known from Giotto mass spectrometry of 1P/Halley. The anions O(-), OH(-), C(-), CH(-) and CN(-) have been detected, as well as unidentified anions with masses 22-65 and 85-110 amu [2]. Organic molecular anions such as C4H(-) and C6H(-) are known to have a significant impact on the charge balance of interstellar clouds and circumstellar envelopes and have been shown to act as catalysts for the gas-phase synthesis of larger hydrocarbon molecules in the ISM, but their importance in cometary comae has not yet been fully explored. We present details of new models for the chemistry of cometary comae that include atomic and molecular anions and calculate the impact of these anions on the coma physics and chemistry af the coma.

Charnley, Steven↗

Analysis of radar images by means of digital terrain models

It is pointed out that the importance of digital terrain models in the processing, analysis, and interpretation of remote sensing data is increasing. In investigations related to the study of radar images, digital terrain models can have a particular significance, because radar reflection is a function of the terrain characteristics. A procedure for the analysis and interpretation of radar images is discussed. The procedure is based on a utilization of computer simulation which makes it possible to produce simulated radar images on the basis of a digital terrain model. The simulated radar images are used for the geometric and radiometric rectification of real radar images. A description of the employed procedures is provided, and the obtained results are discussed, taking into account a test area in Northern California.

Domik, G.↗

Analyzing the impact of design factors on solar module thermomechanical durability using interpretable machine learning techniques

Solar modules in utility-scale systems are expected to maintain decades of lifetime to rival conventional energy sources. However, cyclic thermomechanical loading often degrades their long-term performance, highlighting the importance of effective design to mitigate thermal expansion mismatches between module materials. Given the complex composition of solar modules, isolating the impact of individual components on overall durability remains a challenging task. In this work, we analyze a comprehensive data set that comprises bill-of-materials (BOM) and thermal cycling power loss from 251 distinct module designs to identify the predominant design factors and their impacts on the thermomechanical durability of modules. The methodology of our analysis combines machine learning modeling (random forest) and Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) to correlate design factors with power loss and interpret the model’s decision-making. The interpretation reveals that silicon type (monocrystalline or polycrystalline), encapsulant thickness, busbar numbers, and wafer thickness predominantly influence the degradation. With lower power loss of around 0.6% on average in the SHAP analysis, monocrystalline cells present better durability than polycrystalline cells. This finding is further substantiated by statistical testing on our raw data set. The SHAP analysis also demonstrates that while thicker encapsulants lead to reduced power loss, further increasing their thickness over around 0.6 to 0.7 mm does not yield additional benefits, particularly for the front side one. In addition, other important BOM features such as the number of busbars are analyzed. This study provides a blueprint for utilizing explainable machine learning techniques in a complex material system and can potentially guide future research on optimizing the design of solar modules.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Model atmospheres for K and M giants

To aid in the interpretations of observations of K and M giant stars, model atmospheres have been calculated, covering the range in effective temperature between 3000 and 4000 K and in surface gravity-log g between 0.0 and 2.0. These models are computed under the usual assumptions of hydrostatic equilibrium, constancy of total (radiative plus convective) flux, and LTE in plane-parallel, horizontally homogeneous geometry. A significant development in these models is the incorporation of an opacity-sampled treatment of absorption by water vapor, which becomes dominant at lower temperatures. The thermal structure and scaling properties of the models are discussed, as are the effects of certain composition changes expected in the course of stellar evolution.

Brown, Jeffery A.↗

Interpretable ensemble learning unveils main aerosol optical properties in predicting cloud condensation nuclei number concentration

Variations in cloud condensation nuclei number concentration (N CCN ) significantly influence cloud microphysics, yet direct N CCN measurements remain challenging. Here, we present an N CCN ensemble learning (NEL) model utilizing ensemble learning and interpretability analysis on aerosol optical parameters. Validated at two land sites, two ocean sites and one polar site within the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement program, the mean absolute percentage error range of the NEL model across different environments is from 12% to 36%, demonstrating high accuracy. Key findings reveal that aerosol optical parameters can serve as predictors for N CCN . Aerosol scattering and backscattering coefficients, absorption coefficient, backscatter fraction (BSF), and Ångström exponent (AE) are positively correlated with N CCN , while single scattering albedo shows negative correlations. N CCN prediction at land sites is highly sensitive to BSF, largely driven by the backscattering coefficient, as fine particles dominate in these sites. At ocean sites, N CCN prediction is more sensitive to AE, primarily influenced by the scattering coefficient, due to the higher proportion of larger particles. At the polar site, N CCN prediction shows sensitivity to both BSF and AE, mainly driven by the scattering coefficient, as polar sites are cleaner and contain larger particles. These differences reflect the variation in particle size and number concentration across different environments.

Atmospheric science↗

Structure of high-lying excited states in 47 Ca with ℓ ≥ 3 populated in fast-beam 𝛾-ray-tagged one-neutron pickup reactions

Located just one neutron removed from doubly magic, stable 48 Ca, the adjacent isotope 47 Ca has been studied extensively with neutron-removing transfer reactions and interpreted within a shell-model picture. Neutron-adding transfer reactions onto the stable 46 Ca, however, have not been performed in nearly 60 years and never with the aid of high-resolution 𝛾-ray spectroscopy. Here, we report on the 12 C⁡( 46 , Ca 47 Ca+𝛾)⁢𝑋 one-neutron pickup reaction from 12 C onto 46 Ca at more than 50 MeV/nucleon, a regime of orbital angular momentum mismatch that selectively populates 47 Ca final states based on ℓ ≥ 3 neutron configurations. Newly observed excited states and 𝛾-ray transitions are discussed in comparison to 𝑓⁡𝑝 shell-model calculations in a variety of configuration spaces. Furthermore, it is shown that the nature of the observed spectrum of final states can be well interpreted, albeit with a significant fragmentation of the 𝜈⁢0⁢𝑓 5/2 strength observed in the measurement that is not borne out in the structure calculations.

39 ≤ A ≤ 58↗

elm-diagnostics

elm-diagnostics is a Python package for computing diagnostic analyses and visualizations for the E3SM Land Model (ELM) component and is meant to support new feature development in ELM. The tool reads model history files and performs quantitative analyses including budget-closure checking, variable transformations, temporal aggregations, and statistical summaries to support model evaluation, validation, and scientific interpretation. The framework is designed for extensibility, with modular architecture enabling straightforward addition of new diagnostic methods, derived variables, analysis types, visualization approaches, and model-specific adaptations

Hoffman, Matt [Los Alamos National Laboratory]↗

Transition Documentation on a Three-Element High-Lift Configuration at High Reynolds Numbers: Analysis

A 2-D high-lift system experiment was conducted in August of 1996 in the Low Turbulence Pressure Tunnel at NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA. The purpose of the experiment was to obtain transition measurements on a three element high-lift system for CFD code validation studies. A transition database has been created using the data from this experiment. The present report contains the analysis of the surface hot film data in terms of the transition locations on the three elements. It also includes relevant information regarding the pressure loads and distributions and the wakes behind the model to aid in the interpretation of the transition data. For some of the configurations the current pressure data has been compared with previous wind tunnel entries of the same model. The methodology used to determine the regions of transitional flow is outlined and each configuration tested has been analyzed. A discussion of interference effects, repeatability, and three-dimensional effects on the data is included.

Bertelrud, Arild↗

A method for automated modeling of plasma shape control response in tokamaks

Here, a simple method commonly used in modeling of tokamak conductor and plasma response for plasma control has been extended to allow more general modeling of tokamak PF conductor circuits. This extension combines a previously existing method for integrating plasma response and tokamak circuits with a more capable circuit modeling technique derived from the theory that underlies present-day automatic circuit simulation codes. This combined method can incorporate any combination of inductors (e.g., coils), resistors, capacitors, voltage sources, and current sources, while retaining the same model structure and ease of interpretation as the simple method. For many tokamaks, use of this extended method would not be the preferred approach, but for certain devices or for specialized models of a device, it is useful and occasionally essential. For example, the method has enabled fast and automated modeling of the complicated and daily-changing circuit topology used in the DIII-D tokamak. This automated modeling is essential to the support of controller design for the frequently changing requirements for DIII-D plasmas. It is likely to also find application in the workflows for new device designs.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Discrete-Event Model of WIPP Operations

The Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) is the critical component of the Department of Energy's (DOE) Transuranic Radioactive Waste (TRU) disposition infrastructure. Quantifying the operations ofWIPP with a discrete-event model demonstrates the capability to assess efficiency, identity bottlenecks, and improve future operations. Such a model has been developed with the simulation software ExtendSim. This report outlines the structure of that model, summarizes the model's successful reproduction of the annual amount of emplaced waste, and demonstrates that WIPP is successfully receiving and emplacing waste at a rate consistent with the rate at which the waste arrives. The model serves as a first step toward future production enhancements at WIPP. Those enhancements will rely on close collaboration with the Carlsbad Field Office (CBFO), accurate interpretation and incorporation of the model results, and effective planning with other DOE Environmental Management (DOE-EM) entities.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Stratospheric dynamics and transport studies

A three dimensional General Circulation Model/Transport Model is used to simulate stratospheric circulation and constituent distributions. Model simulations are analyzed to interpret radiative, chemical, and dynamical processes and their mutual interactions. Concurrent complementary studies are conducted using both global satellite data and other appropriate data. Comparisons of model simulations and data analysis studies are used to aid in understanding stratospheric dynamics and transport processes and to assess the validity of current theory and models.

Grose, William L.↗

The Submillimeter-Wave Astronomy Satellite: On-Orbit Thermal Performance and Design Retrospective

A large telescope aperture, stringent thermal stability and temperature range requirements, and a passively-cooled 1500K module presented major challenges in thermal design and hardware fabrication of this Small Explorer satellite. This paper reviews briefly the thermal design of the SWAS science instrument, and examines the first three months of on-orbit thermal history. Measured temperatures for both the science payload and the spacecraft module and solar arrays are compared with those predicted by the correlated analytical model. Similarities and differences are interpreted in terms of the major uncertainties remaining after thermal-balance testing, especially those of MLI performance and telescope aperture properties. Review of the thermal model adequacy and thermal design verification are included to suggest improvements in the thermal design process for future missions.

Boyd, David A.↗

The Submillimeter-Wave Astronomy Satellite: On-Orbit Thermal Performance and Design Retrospective

A large telescope aperture, stringent thermal stability and temperature range requirements, and a passively-cooled 150 K module presented major challenges in thermal design and hardware fabrication of this Small Explorer satellite. This paper reviews briefly the thermal design of the SWAS science instrument, and examines the first three months of on-orbit thermal history. Measured temperatures for both the science payload and the spacecraft module and solar arrays are compared with those predicted by the correlated analytical model. Similarities and differences are interpreted in terms of the major uncertainties remaining after thermal-balance testing, especially those of MLI performance and telescope aperture properties. Review of the thermal model adequacy and thermal design verification are included to suggest improvements in the thermal design process for future missions.

Boyd, David A.↗