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At least 1,189 records · Page 66

How to renormalize coupled cluster theory

Coupled cluster theory is an attractive tool to solve the quantum many-body problem because its singles and doubles (CCSD) approximation is computationally affordable and yields about 90% of the correlation energy. Capturing the remaining 10%, e.g., via including triples, is numerically expensive. In this work, we assume that short-range three-body correlations dominate and—following Lepage (arXiv:nucl-th/9706029)—that their effects can be included within CCSD by renormalizing the three-body contact interaction. We renormalize this contact in 16 O and obtain systematically improved CCSD results for 24 O, 20–34 Ne, 40,48 Ca, 78 Ni, 90 Zr, and 100 Sn.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Extracting model-independent nuclear level densities away from stability

The nuclear level density (NLD) is a fundamental measure of the complex structure of atomic nuclei at relatively high energies. Here, in this study, we present the first model-independent measurement of the absolute partial NLD for a short-lived nucleus. For this purpose we adapt the recently introduced “shape method” for β-decay experiments, providing the shape of the γ-ray strength function for exotic nuclei. In this work, we show that combining the shape method with the β-Oslo technique allows for the extraction of the NLD of the populated states without the need for theoretical input. This development opens the way for the extraction of experimental NLDs far from stability with major implications in astrophysical and other applications. We benchmark our approach using data for the stable 76 Ge nucleus, finding excellent agreement with previous experimental results. In addition, we present new experimental data and determine the absolute partial level density for the short-lived 88 Kr nucleus. Our results suggest a fivefold increase in the NLD for the case of 88 Kr, compared to the recommended values from semimicroscopic Hartree-Fock Bogoliubov calculations recommended by the RIPL3 nuclear data library. However, our results are in good agreement with other semimicroscopic level density models. We demonstrate the impact of our method on the 87 Kr(n, γ) neutron capture rate and show that our experimental uncertainties for NLDs fulfill the requirements needed for astrophysical calculations predicting r-process abundances.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Data-Driven Linear Parameter-Varying Modeling and Control of Flexible Loads for Grid Services

Flexible loads have great potential to improve the electric grid's flexibility and stability. To effectively control large ensembles of heterogeneous loads, reliable models thereof are required. This paper presents a data-driven modeling and control approach to manage flexible loads for providing grid services. We leverage a linear parameter-varying autoregressive moving average (LPV-ARMA) model to describe the aggregate load response, where the parameters in the model are used to capture external environmental impacts (e.g., weather). A gain-scheduling feedback controller is then developed to adapt to environmental variations. This data-driven approach can be easily applied to different types of loads in various environmental conditions. In addition to the ensemble controller, distributed load controllers are designed to deliver grid services, while maintaining the quality of service of inherent load tasks. We demonstrate the work on the IEEE 37-node distribution system for real-time power regulation services through control of thermostatically controlled loads.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

An Energetic Concept of Habitability for the Deep Subsurface

Universally, life must be characterized by a characteristic level of order and complexity. In the most general sense, habitability could then be defined as the set of factors required to allow the creation and maintenance of molecular complexity. These factors are: chemical raw materials; energy with which to assemble those materials into complex molecules and sustain the resultant state of complexity; a solvent that allows the interaction of complex molecules, promotes tertiary structure, and permits compartmentalization; and environmental conditions that permit the assembly and maintenance of complex molecules. On Earth, these general requirements correspond to the major biogenic elements C, H, O, N, P, S; chemical or light energy; the solvent water; and specific ranges of temperature, pH, radiation, ionic strength, and so forth, which have thus far been determined on and exclusively empirical basis. Importantly, while the complete absence of any of these factors ensures uninhabitable conditions, the mere presence of all four does not guarantee habitability. In each case - even that of water - it is a question of degree. This question can be couched in quantitative terms by considering the impact of each of these factors on cellular energy balance. More "extreme" conditions (e.g., high temperature, high or low pH, etc.), lower water activity, and low concentrations of nutrients incur or have potential to be addressed by increased investment of energy on the part of the cell. This must be balanced by energy conservation in the cell, noting that biochemical, mass transport, and abiotic chemical limitations intervene between environmental energy availability and biological energy capture. Similarly, lower boundary conditions are emplaced on useful environmental energy yields by the "quantized" nature of biological energy conservation, and upper boundary conditions are emplaced by energy levels or fluxes that are destructive with respect to complexity. This energetic framework, with boundary conditions supplied by the specifics of the biochemistry in question, offers a generalized, yet quantitative means of assessing the habitability of any system with respect to complex life.

Hoehler, Tori M.↗

NASA GEOS-3/TRMM Re-analysis: Capturing Observed Tropical Rainfall Variability in Global Analysis for Climate Research

Understanding climate variability over a wide range of space-time scales requires a comprehensive description of the earth system. Global analyses produced by a fixed assimilation system (i.e., re-analyses) - as their quality continues to improve - have the potential of providing a vital tool for meeting this challenge. But at the present time, the usefulness of re-analyses is limited by uncertainties in such basic fields as clouds, precipitation, and evaporation - especially in the tropics, where observations are relatively sparse. Analyses of the tropics have long been shown to be sensitive to. the treatment of cloud precipitation processes, which remains a major source of uncertainty in current models. Yet, for many climate studies it is crucial that analyses can accurately reproduce the observed rainfall intensity and variability since a small error of 1 mm/d in surface rain translates into an error of approx. 30 W/sq m in energy (latent heat) flux. Currently, discrepancies between the observed and analyzed monthly-mean rain rates averaged to 100 km x 100 km resolution can exceed 4 mm/d (or 120 W/sq m ), compared to uncertainties in surface radiative fluxes of approx. 10-20 W/sq m . Improving precipitation in analyses would reduce a major source of uncertainty in the global energy budget. Uncertainties in tropical precipitation have also been a major impediment in understanding how the tropics interact with other regions, including the remote response to El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability on interannual time scales, the influence of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and monsoons on intraseasonal time scales. A global analysis that can replicate the observed precipitation variability together with physically consistent estimates of other atmospheric variables provides the key to breaking this roadblock. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center has been exploring the use of satellite-based microwave rainfall measurements in improving global analyses and has recently produced a multi-year, 1 x 1 TRMM re-analysis , which assimilates 6-hourly TMI and SSM/I surface rain rates over tropical oceans using a ID variational continuous assimilation (VCA) procedure in the GEOS-3 global data assimilation system. The analysis period extends from 1 November 1997 through 3 1 December 2002. The goal is to produce a multi-year global analysis that is dynamically consistent with available tropical precipitation observations for the community to assess its utility in climate applications and identify areas for further improvements. A distinct feature of the GEOS-3RRMh4 re-analysis is that its precipitation analysis is not derived from a short-term forecast (as done in most operational systems) but is given by a time- continuous model integration constrained by precipitation observations within a 6-h analysis window, while the wind, temperature, and pressure fields are allowed to directly respond to the improved precipitation and associated latent heating structures within the same analysis window. In this talk, I will assess the impact VCA precipitation assimilation on analyses of climate signals ranging from a few weeks to interannual time scales and compare results against other operational and reanalysis products.

Hou, Arthur Y.↗

Progress on Computational Modeling of Water-Based NSTF (FY2021)

This report documents the FY21 progress and achievements made in the computational analyses of the water-based NSTF. Both system-level and high-fidelity Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) analyses were performed to gain a complete understanding of the complex flow and heat transfer phenomena in natural convection systems. The progress on the waterbased NSTF experimental testing is summarized in a companion report (ANL-ART-230). As a continuation of progress from previous years, in FY21 the RELAP5 model of the NSTF was first updated to include a representative heated cavity that incorporated convection and conduction means of heat transfer. Two different cavity models were developed, one that models the radiation heat exchange among all surfaces in one enclosure (Cavity Model 1), and another that employs multiple radiation enclosures with each considering the surfaces at one axial level (Cavity Model 2). This updated RELAP5 deck was benchmarked with single-phase test data to tune form loss coefficients of the elbows and tees, along with heat transfer coefficients within the cavity and off the external insulation panels. This tuned model was then found to accurately predict fluid temperatures within 2.5% and both system and riser flow rates within 6% during single-phase, steady-state simulations. For transient simulations, there is a slight over prediction of the flow rate, fluid temperatures, and heater temperatures during the heat-up period, which indicate that the transient heat loss may be underestimated. Following, the capabilities of RELAP5-3D were examined, which feature a conduction enclosure model that is not present in the current version of RELAP5-MOD3.3 used for all previous NSTF simulations. As an initial comparison of the two codes, single-phase simulations were run that used similar input decks. The results indicate that the single-phase flow predicted by the two codes was very similar, however RELAP5-3D appears to predict a higher system flow during the two-phase transient when compared to the flow rates predicted by RELAP5-MOD3.3. Furthermore, RELAP5-3D run did not capture the density wave oscillations or geysering phenomena, which are large oscillation flow instabilities observed in the experimental facility. To further the prediction capabilities for capturing two-phase instabilities, Options 55, 57, 58, 61, which are implemented by default in RELAP5-MOD3.3 but not in RELAP5-3D, were investigated. When enabling Option 61, RELAP5-3D agrees well with MOD3.3 in predicting the total system flow, while other options have negligible effect on the predicted total system flow by RELAP5-3D. However, none of these options enables RELAP5-3D to produce the same flow instabilities. For future steps, efforts are currently underway to investigate RELAP5-3D’s different behavior in predicting low-pressure two-phase instabilities. STAR-CCM+ was used to perform CFD analysis of the water-based test facility and provide simulation results for comparisons to experimental data. Efforts first focused on describing the characteristics of flow within the heated cavity. A study was performed on whether possible leakage flow between the two sides of the cavity could substantially impact and explain the results. An additional second assumption was examined which defined adiabatic side walls, so physical insulation structures were added to the models to allow conduction across this outer insulation. The results suggest that potential porosity of the insulation could be a major factor in the temperature distribution within the cavity and should be considered in any studies where it is desirable to know the cavity wall temperatures to higher accuracy.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Fully Kinetic Shearing-box Simulations of Magnetorotational Turbulence in 2D and 3D. I. Pair Plasmas

The magnetorotational instability (MRI) is a fundamental mechanism determining the macroscopic dynamics of astrophysical accretion disks. In collisionless accretion flows around supermassive black holes, MRI-driven plasma turbulence cascading to microscopic (i.e., kinetic) scales can result in enhanced angular-momentum transport and redistribution, nonthermal particle acceleration, and a two-temperature state where electrons and ions are heated unequally. However, this microscopic physics cannot be captured with standard magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) approaches typically employed to study the MRI. In this work, we explore the nonlinear development of MRI turbulence in a pair plasma, employing fully kinetic particle-in-cell (PIC) simulations in two and three dimensions. First, we thoroughly study the axisymmetric MRI with 2D simulations, explaining how and why the 2D geometry produces results that differ substantially from 3D MHD expectations. We then perform the largest (to date) 3D simulations, for which we employ a novel shearing-box approach, demonstrating that 3D PIC models can reproduce the mesoscale (i.e., MHD) MRI dynamics in sufficiently large runs. With our fully kinetic simulations, we are able to describe the nonthermal particle acceleration and angular-momentum transport driven by the collisionless MRI. Since these microscopic processes ultimately lead to the emission of potentially measurable radiation in accreting plasmas, our work is of prime importance to understand current and future observations from first principles, beyond the limitations imposed by fluid (MHD) models. While in this first study we focus on pair plasmas for simplicity, our results represent an essential step toward designing more realistic electron–ion simulations, on which we will focus in future work.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Ablation and Heating During Atmospheric Entry and Its Effect on Airburst Risk

Large meteoroids and asteroids entering the atmosphere endure tremendous heating from the shock heated air, and thereby lose a significant fraction of their mass during atmospheric entry a process known as ablation. The predicted evolution of the asteroids mass as it passes through the atmosphere can affect both the predicted energy deposition profile relevant to an airburst event, or the residual mass that strikes the ground in the case of an impact event. This presentation is divided roughly into two parts. In the first part, an overview of traditional models for heat transfer and ablation that are historically used in the meteor physics community is presented, and the validity in the asteroid entry regime discussed. Sensitivity analyses performed using the recently developed Fragment-Cloud Model (FCM) will be presented which show illustrate the range of sizes and entry parameters for which the predicted asteroid threat is most sensitive to the models for ablation and heat transfer. The second part of the presentation shall focus on recent work done under NASAs Asteroid Threat Assessment Project (ATAP) to develop new models for heat transfer and ablation using high-fidelity numerical simulation in concert with state-of-the-art experiments. Coupled computational fluid dynamics (CFD)radiation transport simulations preformed using the state-of-the-art entry modeling tools at NASA show that, for large meteoroids and asteroids, there can significant attenuation of the heat transfer to the surface (95 in some cases) by the products of ablation. In addition to the heat transfer, new models for the material response and ablation of asteroidal material have been developed [cite]. In the current work, we present finding from recent novel experiments performed in the arc jet facility at NASA Ames, which allows us to, in part, simulate the extreme environment experienced by the asteroid during entry. Briefly, the experimental set-up was comprised of a 1.5 conical article of machined H5 chondrite, which was exposed to a high-enthalpy flow resulting in approximately 4 kWcm2 of heating to the surface. A still frame capture from high-speed video taken during this experiment can be seen in Figure 1. In this figure, we can observe some of the major mechanisms for meteoroid ablation, such as melt flow, spallation (mechanical removal of material), and vaporization. Major findings from this, and other experiments will be discussed, as well progress on utilizing the data from the experiments to inform and develop improved models for ablation.

Asteroids↗

Three-dimensional estimation of deciduous forest canopy structure and leaf area using multi-directional, leaf-on and leaf-off airborne lidar data

Airborne laser scanning (ALS) has been widely used to map gap probability and leaf area index (LAI) distribution at plot and landscape scales. As an indirect measurement, most ALS methods to estimate LAI combine waveform or point density information with supporting field measurements such as the leaf angle distribution, gap probability, or direct LAI measures. The development of a more independent estimation approach would facilitate more widespread use of existing ALS data to investigate patterns of forest structure and build realistic 3-D vegetation scenes to simulate remote sensing imagery and energy balance. Here, we develop a data processing workflow (named PVlad) using ALS point cloud apparent reflectance to estimate LAI and voxel-based leaf area density (LAD), aiming to reduce the need for associated field measurements such as the gap probability. The adaptation of the path volume (PV) concept derived from apparent reflectance integrates information from multi-directional ALS pulses, and quantifies the percentage exploration of each voxel for classification and occlusion correction, such that rigorous volumetric sampling approaches can be developed to derive LAI and LAD. The PVlad workflow was applied to discrete-return lidar data (Riegl VQ480i) acquired by NASA Goddard's LiDAR, Hyperspectral and Thermal Imager (G-LiHT) Airborne Imager during leaf-on (summer) and leaf-off (spring) conditions at the Smithsonian Environmental Research Center (SERC). The estimates of LAI and LAD captured structural differences between mature, logged, and intermediate-aged stands over eight deciduous forest plots. The derived LAI values were compared to field litter collection measurements, and the derived LAD vertical distribution was compared to the output of the VoxLAD model using terrestrial laser scan (TLS) field survey data. Using voxel sizes ranging from 0.5 m to 5 m, overall LAI estimation showed linear fitting coefficient bias and for 1 and 2 m voxel sizes, and vertical LAD distribution showed strong correlation with and for 0.5 and 1m voxel sizes. For every forest stand, upper-canopy LAD had a low variance for voxel sizes of ≤ . Application of PVlad to the G-LiHT and other similar ALS data archives enables the development of fine-resolution LAI map products, including voxelization of LAD for ecosystem science and radiative transfer simulations of remote sensing imagery or surface energy balance.

Tiangang Yin↗

Resonance ionization of zirconium

Abstract Measuring the isotopic composition of trace Zr in presolar stardust grains allows us to study the environment of slow neutron-capture nucleosynthesis in asymptotic giant branch stars. Here, we present a newly characterized Zr resonance ionization scheme that can be saturated with state-of-the-art titanium-sapphire lasers and yields a useful yield of (5.4 ± 0.4)%. Resonance ionization is achieved in two steps: after first being excited with a photon at 319.215 nm, neutral Zr atoms are then ionized with a photon at 388.988 nm, where both wavelengths are reported as in vacuum.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Characterize and control the multi-range structure of solution-phase systems with resonant x-ray scattering

This work aims at demonstrating the feasibility and impact of Anomalous X-ray Scattering (AXS) in characterizing the multi-range structures of solution-state systems. We will show preliminary investigation of long-range correlations in concentrated aqueous electrolytes with a combination of AXS and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. We will also start exploring the capability of AXS to capture intra- and inter-molecular structure of dilute molecular systems, and specifically its sensitivity to the chemical environment surrounding active metal sites. We anticipate that the development of this method will help us to understand ion solvation and transport, which affect the performances of, for instance, electrocatalytic cells, as well as to identify/control the intrinsic structural factors that lead to selectivity, efficiency, and stability control during catalysis.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Signal-to-background estimates for the inverse-kinematics 78 Kr(n,γ) experiment at LANSCE

The idea of a neutron target enables the measurement of neutron-induced reactions in inverse kinematics. This idea is part of the LANSCE strategy to stay a worldwide leader for neutron-induced research. The proof-of-principle experiment outlined in is the core of the LDRD project 20240004DR. The current approach is to use an ion source capable of accelerating single-charged ions up to about 60 keV. A beam of 78 Kr + ions will be created to interact with a neutron target and implanted. During the passage of the target, neutrons can be captured and the freshly produced 79 Kr + ions will be implanted along with the main beam.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Large-Eddy Simulations of Marine Boundary Layer Clouds Associated with Cold-Air Outbreaks during the ACTIVATE Campaign. Part II: Aerosol–Meteorology–Cloud Interaction

Aerosol effects on micro/macrophysical properties of marine stratocumulus clouds over the western North Atlantic Ocean (WNAO) are investigated using in situ measurements and large-eddy simulations (LES) for two cold-air outbreak (CAO) cases (28 February and 1 March 2020) during the Aerosol Cloud Meteorology Interactions over the Western Atlantic Experiment (ACTIVATE). The LES is able to reproduce the vertical profiles of liquid water content (LWC), effective radius reff and cloud droplet number concentration Nc from fast cloud droplet probe (FCDP) in situ measurements for both cases. Furthermore, we show that aerosols affect cloud properties (N c , r eff , and LWC) via the prescribed bulk hygroscopicity of aerosols (¯k) and aerosol size distribution characteristics. N c , r eff , and liquid water path (LWP) are positively correlated to ¯κ and aerosol number concentration (N a ) while cloud fractional cover (CFC) is insensitive to ¯κ and aerosol size distributions for the two cases. The realistic changes to aerosol size distribution (number concentration, width, and the geometrical diameter) with the same meteorology state allow us to investigate aerosol effects on cloud properties without meteorological feedback. We also use the LES results to evaluate cloud properties from two reanalysis products, ERA5 and MERRA-2. Compared to LES, the ERA5 is able to capture the time evolution of LWP and total cloud coverage within the study domain during both CAO cases while MERRA-2 underestimates them.

Cloud forcing↗

The isotopic composition of iron-group galactic cosmic rays

Results from studies of the isotopic composition of iron group elements in the galactic cosmic radiation are reviewed, emphasizing recently reported measurements from the ISEE-3 spacecraft. The observed isotope distributions for the elements Ti through Mn are in good agreement with those expected for a propagated solar-like source composition, with the possible exception of an enhanced abundance of Ti-50. It is found that a significant fraction of the radioactive secondary nuclide Mn-54 has decayed, indicating a confinement time of iron group cosmic rays in the galaxy of at least 2 Myr. The source ratio Fe-54/Fe-56 is found to be consistent with the solar value, but the ratio Ni-60/Ni-58 is greater than solar by a factor of 2.8+/-1.0. The measured abundance of Co-59 is significantly greater than the calculated secondary contribution, suggesting that this nuclide has been produced in the source regions by the electron capture decay of Ni-59 and implying a time delay between nucleosynthesis and acceleration approximately greater than 10(exp 5) yr.

Wiedenbeck, M. E.↗

Evaluation of EPIC Oxygen Bands Stability With Radiative Transfer Simulations Over the South Pole

The Earth Polychromatic Imaging Camera (EPIC) onboard the Deep Space Climate Observatory (DSCOVR) satellite orbiting the Sun at the Lagrange-1 point was launched without onboard calibration systems. Vicarious calibration is conducted for 8 of the 10 UV/VIS/NIR channels using other low earth orbiting satellite instruments, while its two O 2 bands (688 nm and 764nm) rely on indirect moon-view calibrations because the same narrow-band O 2 bands are not readily available from other in-flight instruments. This study compares EPIC measurements from the four O 2 bands aiming at examining sensor stability over a uniquely suited location, i.e., the permanently snow-covered South Pole. The study utilizes radiative transfer model simulations with in-situ atmospheric soundings taken at South Pole during months of December and January from 2015 to 2022. The absolute discrepancy between the model simulations and observations is less than 1.0% for the two reference bands, but 5.75% and 15.63% for the 688nm, and 764 nm absorption bands, respectively. The simulated A-band and B-band ratios are 16.09% and 4.74% higher than that from the observations. Various sensitivities are conducted to estimate possible contributions to the discrepancies from input atmospheric profiles, spectral surface albedos and surface BRDF. While none of the input uncertainties is likely to account for the large discrepancies in the oxygen absorption bands, a small shift in the instrument response function could be the main reason for these biases. On the other hand, the model simulations are able to capture systematic variations with observed angular measurements and explain the multi-year trends found in observed O 2 band ratios due to satellite orbit shifting. When model simulated contributions from the angle variations are deducted from the observed O 2 band ratios, the residual O 2 band ratios are found to be stable since 2015.

EPIC↗

The effects of low- Z shielding on uranium isotope discrimination using the time-emission profiles of long-lived delayed neutrons

Characteristic radiation signals can often be obscured or distorted by relatively small amounts of shielding, as is the case for highly-enriched uranium (HEU). Methods that can detect and identify special nuclear material (SNM) even in the presence of shielding are therefore of high value in many nuclear security and nonproliferation applications. It has been previously shown that the buildup and decay time profiles of long-lived delayed neutron emission from induced fission are unique and can be used to successfully discriminate between uranium isotopes and infer enrichment without the need for a calibration standard. Because the long-lived delayed neutron precursors exhibit decay times on the order of tens of seconds, their time profiles are not sensitive to the delays associated with scattering or diffusion in shielding materials, which occur on much shorter time scales. The use of capture-based neutron detectors can also mitigate the effects of shielding, because unlike recoil-based detectors, they do not have a low-energy detection threshold, so that neutrons that lose their energy in the shielding are still detectable. In this work, the effects of low-Z shielding on the discrimination of uranium isotopes using delayed neutron time profile measurements are investigated for the first time. Furthermore, the delayed neutron buildup and decay time profiles of polyethylene-shielded HEU and depleted uranium objects are measured using two different capture-gated detector designs. The recorded profiles show good agreement with the shapes predicted from six-group delayed neutron models even with the shielding in place, and the enrichment of the HEU and DU objects was estimated accurately to within 5%. While this method shows potential for discriminating and characterizing extreme cases of enrichment when a moderate amount of shielding is present, simulation results suggest that significant limitations exist for intermediate enrichment levels due to distortions to the delayed neutron time profile caused by neutron reflection in the shielding.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A Comparative Study of Cloud Properties Between Northern and Southern High Latitudes Based on ARM Observations and EAMv2 Simulations

Earth's high-latitude regions show a considerable amount of cloud coverage, which significantly affects global radiation budgets. Here, in this study, we examine ground- and ship-based remote sensing observations from two Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) field campaigns conducted in the high-latitude regions of Northern and Southern Hemispheres (NH and SH). A comparison of macrophysical properties for low, mid-level, high, and deep clouds shows that the cloud top heights and thickness values are higher in the Arctic for each cloud type compared with the Southern Ocean and Antarctic regions, possibly due to higher sea surface temperatures in the north Atlantic. The Arctic also shows lower ice phase occurrence frequencies compared with the SH high latitudes for low clouds. For high, mid-level and deep clouds, the cloud phase distributions as a function of temperature show small geographical variabilities. The observations are then compared with the Department of Energy (DOE) Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) to evaluate the representations of these cloud properties. Here, the results show that the model captures cloud base and top heights well and reproduces the differences in cloud macrophysical properties between the two hemispheres. But the model underestimates ice phase frequencies for all cloud types. Such model cloud phase bias is strongly correlated with positive relative humidity biases and negative aerosol number concentration biases, indicating an important role of relative humidity and aerosols in modulating cloud phase partitioning in the model.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Surface Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (SQUIRE) of Snow Water Equivalent from the Surface Atmospheric Integrated Field Laboratory

The upper Colorado River basin is the primary source of water for 40 million people. With declining snowpack in the basin, forecasting hydrological budgets in the Southwest United States is more important than ever. However, due in part, to a lack of reliable observations of precipitation in complex terrain, hydrological models struggle to assess and forecast snowpack snow water equivalent (SWE) in the upper Colorado River basin (UCRB). Therefore, the need for more reliable SWE forecasts in the UCRB motivated the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Facility’s Surface Atmospheric Integrated Field Laboratory (SAIL) that occurred from June 2021 to June 2023. During SAIL, the X-band precipitation radar from Colorado State University conducted volume scans sampling the precipitation properties over the UCRB. The ARM facility developed a gridded Surface Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (SQUIRE) product from the radar observations. To do this, various daily SWE estimates from radar using the radar reflectivity factor Z e and specific differential phase K dp were compared against ground-based precipitation gauges. SWE in precipitation calculated from Wolfe and Snider’s S–Z e estimator was in best agreement with the rain gauges for the days when SWE < 12 mm. For days with SWE > 12 mm, the WSR-88D Intermountain West relationship had the best agreement with the precipitation gauges. Airborne snow depth observations show that SQUIRE captures regions of orographic enhancement in the mountains to the west and northwest of the SAIL study area, indicating that the scientific community should focus on understanding and ultimately simulating orographic atmospheric precipitation processes to improve UCRB snowpack SWE assessment and forecasting.

Hydrology↗