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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,189 records · Page 66

Assessment of the CTF subchannel code for modeling a large-break loss-of-coolant accident reflood transient

With increased industry interest in extending reactor operating cycles, the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program has been investigating the behavior of high-burnup fuel during design basis accidents such as the large-break loss-of-coolant accident (LBLOCA) with consideration for risk of fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD). As part of that activity, the NEAMS subchannel thermal/ hydraulics (T/H) code, CTF, is being used for modeling of LBLOCA and to determine the impact of subchannel resolution on results. Although CTF includes a wide range of models for LBLOCA conditions, the code has not been used for this application while maintained at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) until now. Therefore, here, in this work, a preliminary assessment of several of these models was performed using openly available reflood experimental data from the Flooding Experiments in Blocked Arrays (FEBA) tests. One coarse mesh and one fine mesh model were set up in CTF for high and low flooding rate tests performed in the unblocked FEBA facility. A coarse TRACE model was set up to be as consistent as possible with the coarse CTF model to allow for code-to-code benchmarking. The assessment shows a tendency of the codes to over-predict peak cladding temperature (PCT) near the top of the bundle and to quench early. Advanced spacer grid models were shown to improve upper bundle predictions in CTF. The resolved CTF model over-predicted PCT by a larger degree in the center channels in the low-flooding rate test, and it is believed that the radiative heat transfer model, which was not used in this study, may be needed to correct this over-prediction. Finally, this work demonstrates the importance of the droplet model in determining quench time and vapor temperature and PCT prediction, which necessitates a more in-depth validation of these models in the future.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Demystifying the Resilience of Large Language Models: An End-to-End Perspective

Deep neural networks are known to be resilient to random bit-wise faults in their parameters. However, this resilience has primarily been established through evaluations of classification models. The extent to which this claim holds for large-language models remains underexplored. In this work, we conduct an extensive measurement study on the impact of random bitwise faults in commercial-scale language models. We perform an in-depth analysis of the resulting generation outputs. We first expose that these language models are not truly resilient to random bit-flips. While aggregate metrics such as accuracy may suggest resilience, an in-depth inspection of the generated outputs shows significant degradation in text quality. Our analysis also shows that tasks requiring more complex reasoning suffer more from performance and quality degradation. Moreover, we extend our analysis to models with augmented reasoning capabilities, such as Chain-of-Thought or Mixture of Experts architectures, and characterize their failure scenarios under random bit-flips.

Sun, Yu↗

Modeling interconnections of safety and financial performance of nuclear power plants, part 3: Spatiotemporal probabilistic physics-of-failure analysis and its connection to safety and financial performance

Here, this paper is a byproduct of a line of research by the authors to analyze interrelationships of safety and financial performance of nuclear power plants (NPPs). The result of this line of research is summarized in three parts: Part 1 covers a categorical review of relevant literature and the theoretical bases that support the methodological developments in Part 2. Part 2 introduces an Integrated Enterprise Risk Management (I-ERM) methodological framework to quantify the interconnections of safety and financial performance with a focus on operation and maintenance (O&M) of NPPs. Part 2 has also demonstrated the applicability and values of the I-ERM methodology through an NPP case study. This paper is Part 3, where detailed development and implementation of one of the I-ERM modules, i.e., probabilistic physics-of-failure (PPoF) analysis, and its connection with safety and financial performance is reported. In this article, the physical failure modeling for hardware components is advanced by incorporating finite element analysis (FEA) into PPoF analysis and coupling the FEA-based PPoF with the maintenance performance through a renewal process model. This article covers two scientific contributions: (i) first-of-its-kind incorporation of FEA into the PPoF model of thermal fatigue for NPP components; and (ii) advancing the interface between the PPoF analysis and the renewal process model in order to deal with spatiotemporal FEA outputs and to efficiently estimate the physical transition rates even when the PPoF outputs are dominated by success data. Through the incorporation of FEA, the resolution of the PPoF analysis is enhanced as spatiotemporal conditions such as stress and temperature can be considered explicitly instead of relying on simplified assumptions or analytical models with reduced spatiotemporal dimensions. To demonstrate an application of the FEA-based PPoF analysis and its coupling with maintenance through the renewal process model, a case study is conducted using excess letdown elbow piping in the chemical and volume control system of a Pressurized Water Reactor.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Optimize heat prosumers' economic performance under current heating price models by using water tank thermal energy storage

Due to heat prosumers' dual roles of heat producer and heat consumer, the future district heating (DH) systems will become more flexible and competitive. However, the current heating price models have not yet supported the reverse heat supply from prosumers to the central DH system, which means the prosumers would gain no economic benefit from supplying heat to the central DH system. These unidirectional heating price models will reduce interest in prosumers, and thus hinder the promotion of prosumers in DH systems. This study aimed to optimize prosumers' economic performance under the current heating price models by introducing water tank thermal energy storage (WTTES). A dynamic optimization problem was formulated to explore prosumers' economic potentials. The size parameter of WTTESs was swept in prosumers to obtain the optimal storage size considering the trade-off between the payback period and the heating cost saving. The proposed method was tested on a campus DH system in Norway. The results showed that the prosumer's annual heating cost was saved up to 9%, and the investment of WTTES could be recovered in less than ten years. This study could provide guidelines on improving prosumers' economic performance and promote the development of prosumers during the transformation period of DH systems.

Li, H↗

ARM Data-Oriented Metrics and Diagnostics Package for Climate Model Evaluation

A Python-based metrics and diagnostics package is currently being developed by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Infrastructure Team at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) to facilitate the use of long-term, high-frequency measurements from the ARM Facility in evaluating the regional climate simulation of clouds, radiation, and precipitation. This metrics and diagnostics package computes climatological means of targeted climate model simulation and generates tables and plots for comparing the model simulation with ARM observational data. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) model data sets are also included in the package to enable model intercomparison as demonstrated in Zhang et al. (2017). The mean of the CMIP model can serve as a reference for individual models. Basic performance metrics are computed to measure the accuracy of mean state and variability of climate models. The evaluated physical quantities include cloud fraction, temperature, relative humidity, cloud liquid water path, total column water vapor, precipitation, sensible and latent heat fluxes, and radiative fluxes, with plan to extend to more fields, such as aerosol and microphysics properties. Process-oriented diagnostics focusing on individual cloud- and precipitation-related phenomena are also being developed for the evaluation and development of specific model physical parameterizations. The version 1.0 package is designed based on data collected at ARM’s Southern Great Plains (SGP) Research Facility, with the plan to extend to other ARM sites. The metrics and diagnostics package is currently built upon standard Python libraries and additional Python packages developed by DOE (such as CDMS and CDAT). The ARM metrics and diagnostic package is available publicly with the hope that it can serve as an easy entry point for climate modelers to compare their models with ARM data. In this report, we first present the input data, which constitutes the core content of the metrics and diagnostics package in section 2, and a user's guide documenting the workflow/structure of the version 1.0 codes, and including step-by-step instruction for running the package in section 3.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Deep Potential model for liquid–vapor equilibrium and cavitation rates of water

Computational studies of liquid water and its phase transition into vapor have traditionally been performed using classical water models. Here, we utilize the Deep Potential methodology—a machine learning approach—to study this ubiquitous phase transition, starting from the phase diagram in the liquid–vapor coexistence regime. The machine learning model is trained on ab initio energies and forces based on the SCAN density functional, which has been previously shown to reproduce solid phases and other properties of water. Here, we compute the surface tension, saturation pressure, and enthalpy of vaporization for a range of temperatures spanning from 300 to 600 K and evaluate the Deep Potential model performance against experimental results and the semiempirical TIP4P/2005 classical model. Moreover, by employing the seeding technique, we evaluate the free energy barrier and nucleation rate at negative pressures for the isotherm of 296.4 K. Further, we find that the nucleation rates obtained from the Deep Potential model deviate from those computed for the TIP4P/2005 water model due to an underestimation in the surface tension from the Deep Potential model. From analysis of the seeding simulations, we also evaluate the Tolman length for the Deep Potential water model, which is (0.091 ± 0.008) nm at 296.4 K. Finally, we identify that water molecules display a preferential orientation in the liquid–vapor interface, in which H atoms tend to point toward the vapor phase to maximize the enthalpic gain of interfacial molecules. We find that this behavior is more pronounced for planar interfaces than for the curved interfaces in bubbles. This work represents the first application of Deep Potential models to the study of liquid–vapor coexistence and water cavitation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Status of Research Activities on LVDTs: Modeling and Simulation Development and Performance Characterization of Commercial LVDTs

FY-22 research focused on two major areas. The first area was modeling and simulation with linked testing that will advance the Linear Variable Differential Transformers (LVDT) technology for use by stakeholders requiring LVDTs in upcoming irradiation tests. The second area focused on testing LVDTs purchased from U.S. suppliers that were investigated in FY-21. These cross-cutting development activities will ensure stakeholders have the current state-of-the-art LVDT-based technologies for deployment in future irradiation tests. Two stand-alone reports are included in the appendixes. The purpose of this report is to provide a convenient body of work to access the reports and to evaluate the data and conclusions provided. Appendix A, “Testing of the RDP Translation Transducer,” contains a complete evaluation of an RDP Electrosense linear transducer that has the capability of replicating the form, fit, and function of LVDTs currently being used at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). Appendix B is an extract from the report, “Advanced Sensors and Instrumentation Program at Boise State University (BSU), August 2022, Linear Variable Differential Transformers.” This report contains modeling and testing results conducted at BSU and INL.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Prediction of the thermal-hydraulic-mechanical response of a geological repository at large scale and sensitivity analyses

To better understand the Thermal-Hydraulic-Mechanical (THM) response of the rock caused by the high-level radioactive waste (HLW) released heat in the Callovo-Oxfordian formation (COx) in the near-field and far-field areas, a series of coupled THM modelling is performed. This study presents a case study based on the French geological repository for HLW (Cigéo project) to better assess modelling of deep geological repositories (DGR) within the DECOVALEX-2019 framework. In this study, the proposed coupled THM model, implemented in the platform of COMSOL, is validated by comparing the modelled THM results for a point heat source in an infinite rock mass with an analytical solution. It is also validated by comparing its thermal component for the Base Case with accurate results calculated using another numerical method. To shorten the calculation time, the DGR is modelled using six cuboid blocks representing 162 HLW cells and only six central HLW cells of interest modelled in detail. This simplification is validated. This model can easily be used to model not only the near-field THM response of the rock but also the far-field THM response. The influence of the boundary conditions applied on the gallery wall, HLW cell walls, and external surfaces of the model and the influence of different vertical dimensions of the geometry are studied. The sensitivity analyses of the THM parameters of COx on the THM response at different locations are performed. Finally, the influence of using a 2-dimensional (2D) model to represent a 3-dimensional (3D) repository is also investigated.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Spatio–Temporal Machine Learning for Regional to Continental Scale Terrestrial Hydrology

Integrated hydrologic models can simulate coupled surface and subsurface processes but are computationally expensive to run at high resolutions over large domains. Here we develop a novel deep learning model to emulate subsurface flows simulated by the integrated ParFlow–CLM model across the contiguous US. We compare convolutional neural networks like ResNet and UNet run autoregressively against our novel architecture called the Forced SpatioTemporal RNN (FSTR). The FSTR model incorporates separate encoding of initial conditions, static parameters, and meteorological forcings, which are fused in a recurrent loop to produce spatiotemporal predictions of groundwater. We evaluate the model architectures on their ability to reproduce 4D pressure heads, water table depths, and surface soil moisture over the contiguous US at 1 km resolution and daily time steps over the course of a full water year. The FSTR model shows superior performance to the baseline models, producing stable simulations that capture both seasonal and event–scale dynamics across a wide array of hydroclimatic regimes. The emulators provide over 1,000× speedup compared to the original physical model, which will enable new capabilities like uncertainty quantification and data assimilation for integrated hydrologic modeling that were not previously possible. Our results demonstrate the promise of using specialized deep learning architectures like FSTR for emulating complex process–based models without sacrificing fidelity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An Efficient 1-D Thermal Stratification Model for Pool-Type Sodium-Cooled Fast Reactors

Investigating thermal stratification in the upper plenum of a sodium fast reactor (SFR) is presently a technology gap in SFR safety analysis. Understanding thermal stratification will promote safe operation of the SFR before its commercial deployment. Stratified layers of liquid sodium with a large vertical temperature gradient could be established in the upper plenum of an SFR during a down-power or a loss-of-flow transient. These stratified layers are unstable and could result in uncertainties for the core safety of an SFR. In order to predict the occurrence of the thermal stratification efficiently, we developed a one-dimensional (1-D) transport model to estimate the temperature profile of the ambient fluid in the upper plenum. This model demands much less computational effort than computational fluid dynamics (CFD) codes and provides calculations with higher fidelity than historical system-level codes. Two flow conditions were considered separately in the current study depending on if in-vessel components are presented in the upper plenum. For the condition where in-vessel components, specifically the upper internal structure, are presented, we assumed that the impinging sodium was evenly dispersed in the ambient fluid within the distance between the bottom of the in-vessel component and the jet inlet surface. For the condition where no in-vessel components are presented, we assumed that the impinging sodium was evenly dispersed in the ambient fluid within the jet length, which was determined through data-driven trainings. The newly developed 1-D model showed similar performance with the CFD model in both cases. However, due to the assumption of flat profiles of the impinging jet axial dispersion rate, nonnegligible discrepancies between the 1-D prediction and the measured data were observed.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

The ballad of LLM agents: philosophical reasoning for chemistry

Large language models (LLMs) show remarkable potential for scientific reasoning but often produce unreliable or scientifically unactionable outputs when faced with multi-step logic, domain grounding, and interpretability challenges, especially in complex fields like chemistry and materials science. Here, we introduce a framework of philosophical reasoning agents, inspired by canonical thinkers such as Socrates, Descartes, Kant, and Hume, to guide LLM behavior via structured prompt engineering. These agents embody distinct reasoning paradigms (dialectical inquiry, deductive logic, rule-based judgment, and empirical validation) and are evaluated across multiple chemistry subdomains, physical, analytical, general, inorganic, and organic chemistry, using the ChemBench benchmark. Our agentic prompting approach yields substantial accuracy gains on open-ended numerical chemistry questions, with gains of +11.5 percentage points for GPT-4o with Hume, +4.5 percentage points for GPT-5 with Kant, and +21.8 percentage points for GPT-5.1 with Socrates at the strict 1% error threshold, relative to the corresponding base models. Beyond accuracy, we observe benchmark-level model–agent performance patterns, suggesting that different prompting styles interact differently with each base model. These findings demonstrate that embedding philosophy-of-science principles into multi-agent frameworks can improve and produce interpretable, adaptive, and domain-aligned scientific LLMs.

Harb, Hassan [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), A↗

Neural Phase Simulation

The Neural Phase Simulation (NPS) is a package of codes for simulating microstructure evolution and accelerated molecular dynamics with deep neural-networks based surrogate models. NPS is designed to offer quantitatively accurate and computationally efficient simulation capabilities by leveraging modern machine-learning techniques. The primary intended use cases of NPS are training neural network surrogate models, though performing simulations on a single node is also supported. The NPS surrogate models can be trained from ground truth simulation methods, which are supposed to be accurate but expensive, such as molecular dynamics, phase field methods, kinetic Monte Carlo and discrete dislocation dynamics.

Zhou, Fei↗

Machine Learning Based System for Automated Estimation of Crystal Unit Cell Parameters from X-ray Diffraction Powder Patterns (MLCell) v0.1

This software uses machine learning models to perform inference on X-ray diffraction powder patterns, output from a diffractometer, to estimate all 6 unit cell parameters of crystalline lattices. Novel aspects of this software originated from the incorporation of concepts from crystallography to an ML-based approach; The resulting method achieves new performance capabilities without significant loss of accuracy and with less computationally intensive models.

Oklejas, Vanessa↗

Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of PWR spent fuel observables to operational and model parameters

Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) observables - decay heat, neutron and γ-ray emission rate - to operational and model parameters have been performed. A 2D model representing a typical PWR 17x17 UO{sub 2} fuel assembly has been taken as reference. The Serpent code and ENDF/B-VII.1 evaluated nuclear data library have been used for the analyses. Relative uncertainty of decay heat, neutron and γ-ray emission rates due to Monte Carlo counting statistics, as well as the number of fuel pin radial regions required for an accurate characterization of SNF neutron emission, have been estimated. A parametric study has been carried out to investigate the impact of the homogenization to an average value of the fuel and moderator temperature, boron concentration power and burnup on the prediction of the selected observables. In addition, linear sensitivity coefficients have been calculated. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Dakota A Multilevel Parallel Object-Oriented Framework for Design Optimization Parameter Estimation Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis: Version 6.12 Theory Manual

The Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible interface between simulation codes and iterative analysis methods. Dakota contains algorithms for optimization with gradient and nongradient-based methods; uncertainty quantification with sampling, reliability, and stochastic expansion methods; parameter estimation with nonlinear least squares methods; and sensitivity/variance analysis with design of experiments and parameter study methods. These capabilities may be used on their own or as components within advanced strategies such as surrogate-based optimization, mixed integer nonlinear programming, or optimization under uncertainty. By employing object-oriented design to implement abstractions of the key components required for iterative systems analyses, the Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible problem-solving environment for design and performance analysis of computational models on high performance computers. This report serves as a theoretical manual for selected algorithms implemented within the Dakota software. It is not intended as a comprehensive theoretical treatment, since a number of existing texts cover general optimization theory, statistical analysis, and other introductory topics. Rather, this manual is intended to summarize a set of Dakota-related research publications in the areas of surrogate-based optimization, uncertainty quantification, and optimization under uncertainty that provide the foundation for many of Dakota's iterative analysis capabilities.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dakota, A Multilevel Parallel Object-Oriented Framework for Design Optimization Parameter Estimation Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis: Version 6.12 User's Manual

The Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible interface between simulation codes and iterative analysis methods. Dakota contains algorithms for optimization with gradient and nongradient-based methods; uncertainty quantification with sampling, reliability, and stochastic expansion methods; parameter estimation with nonlinear least squares methods; and sensitivity/variance analysis with design of experiments and parameter study methods. These capabilities may be used on their own or as components within advanced strategies such as surrogate-based optimization, mixed integer nonlinear programming, or optimization under uncertainty. By employing object-oriented design to implement abstractions of the key components required for iterative systems analyses, the Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible problem-solving environment for design and performance analysis of computational models on high performance computers. This report serves as a user's manual for the Dakota software and provides capability overviews and procedures for software execution, as well as a variety of example studies.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗