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At least 1,171 records · Page 65

Accelerating Random Forest Classification on GPU and FPGA

Random Forests (RFs) are a commonly used machine learning method for classification and regression tasks spanning a variety of application domains, including bioinformatics, business analytics, and software optimization. While prior work has focused primarily on improving performance of the training of RFs, many applications, such as malware identification, cancer prediction, and banking fraud detection, require fast RF classification. In this work, we accelerate RF classification on GPU and FPGA. In order to provide efficient support for large datasets, we propose a hierarchical memory layout suitable to the GPU/FPGA memory hierarchy. We design three RF classification code variants based on that layout, and we investigate GPU- and FPGA-specific considerations for these kernels. Our experimental evaluation, performed on an Nvidia Xp GPU and on a Xilinx Alveo U250 FPGA accelerator card using publicly available datasets on the scale of millions of samples and tens of features, covers various aspects. First, we evaluate the performance benefits of our hierarchical data structure over the standard compressed sparse row (CSR) format. Second, we compare our GPU implementation with cuML, a machine learning library targeting Nvidia GPUs. Third, we explore the performance/accuracy tradeoff resulting from the use of different tree depths in the RF. Finally, we perform a comparative performance analysis of our GPU and FPGA implementations. Our evaluation shows that for high accuracy targets, our GPU implementation yields 5-9x speedup over CSR, and up to a 2x speedup over cuML.

FPGA, Xilinx FPGA, GPU, Random Forest classificati↗

Radionuclide-specific Parameters Dataset

The radionuclide-specific parameters dataset is searchable for radiological information for multiple isotopes simultaneously. After selecting radionuclides of interest and the desired parameters, the RAIS will generate a table containing the values, chosen according to an established hierarchy. Results can be downloaded in Excel format. 50 parameters are available, including atomic number, soil to animal transfer coefficients, plant uptake coefficients, half-life, specific activity, and water solubility. Seven primary sources are used to populate the dataset of radiological-specific parameters. These values should be used in cancer risk assessments for the calculation of preliminary remediation goals (PRGs), hazard characterization, and transport modeling. Users can select up to 1000 radionuclides per query. The dataset supports environmental risk assessments, regulatory decision-making, and environmental planning with tools for benchmarking against risk-based standards. This structured approach ensures a robust evaluation of environmental risks tailored to regulatory needs.

Manning, Karessa [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (O↗

Development of Next Generation Hierarchical Hybrid Cu-Si anode Batteries via Direct-Ink Writing Application: End of (6th) Month Report - November 2025

Sustainable renewable energy continues to be in dire need to effectively combat global warming. Emerging technology for electric vehicles/ devices remains in high demand that is not only lower in cost, more efficient, but safer in comparison to commercial materials on the market. Although first-generation lithium-ion batteries have exhibited extensive commercial application, conventional graphite no longer meets this increasing demand as an efficient anode material. Due to the fact that graphite has a subpar theoretical specific capacity (372 mAh g -1 ), thus significant limitations in rate capability (for potential faster charging at higher C-rates currently commercially available.). Alternatively, silicon has gained significant attention as a superior candidate to potentially surpass graphite. Due to silicon’s exceedingly high theoretical capacity (4,200 mAh g -1 ) in comparison to standard graphite, its abundance thus in turn it’s low-cost, in addition to exhibiting a significantly low working potential (< 0.4 V vs Li/Li + ). However, one of the main (and most detrimental) challenges is silicon’s tendency to expand in volume (> 300%) upon discharge as it begins the lithiation process. As a direct result, it causes not only for the particles to both crack and pulverize under mechanical stress as the volume continues to expand and contract during cycling. Upon assembling the cell, it needs to undergo ‘charging’ for initially discharging/ ‘activating’ the cell, otherwise commonly known as the ‘formation’ step. As a result a solid electrolyte interface (SEI) layer begins to form at the anode surface because some of the electrolyte begins to react during the formation process. However, this (SEI) layer is deemed as a ‘protective’ interlayer because in theory it prevents further reaction as the cell continues to cycle. However, due to the volume change it causes significant degradation at the interface. As cracking starts to occur at the anode surface, it results in a ‘new’ altered surface with each cycle that causes further reaction with the electrolyte as a byproduct quickly consuming active Li/ and more electrolyte. Thus, fracturing this ‘protective layer,’ causing significantly higher impedance as a result, and in turn a decline in capacity due to active Li-loss. In addition to the active material exfoliating off from the current collector, further contributing to the steady decline in capacity and overall performance. Current state of the art Si-anode batteries on the market range between a maximum content of 5-10 Si wt%. It has been previously reported Tesla has utilized SiO x -C anodes containing 5 wt% Si within their ‘Model 3/ Model X’ electric vehicles. However, more recent ‘Model 3’ vehicles have started to incorporate 10 Si wt%, in which they were able to increase their energy density upwards by approximately 30%. Recent effort has been focused on continuing to increase the wt% of Si being utilized, eventually to 100 wt% of Si, to maximize the energy density even further.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Trends and limits of CO 2 capture in solid and liquid sorbents at standard conditions

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) plays a critical role in achieving climate change mitigation targets, offering a pathway to decarbonize power generation, industrial processes, and heat production while addressing atmospheric CO 2 removal. While CCS technologies are technically advanced, the widespread adoption of 100 % CO 2 capture capacities such as 1 mol of CO 2 /mol of material and 1 g CO 2 /g storage (targeted by the DARPA, Defense Sciences Office, USA Govt.) has raised questions about the feasibility of achieving higher capture capacities. In the context of limiting global warming to 1.5°C, reaching 100 % CO 2 capture capacity is increasingly necessary, with residual emissions requiring complementary carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies. This review exclusively focuses on the CO 2 capture capacities of various sorbents under standard conditions, using different evaluation metrics. This study explores the performance of solid and liquid sorbents under standard conditions, analyzing factors including surface area, pore structure, solvent type, and functionalization to identify materials optimized for industrial-scale CCS applications. Emerging sorbents, including ILs, MOFs, COFs, POPs, DES, RCC, hybrid materials, and reactive sorbents, offer significant potential for enhanced selectivity and energy-efficient regeneration. Through a systematic assessment of gravimetric, volumetric, and molar capacities, the study provides insights into material efficiencies and trade-offs, offering guidance on optimizing sorbent selection for specific applications. The research advances understanding of scalable CCS technologies, contributing to global efforts to achieve net-zero emissions and address the pressing challenge of climate change.

Absorption↗

Analysis of the Financial Impacts of Building Performance Standard Penalties on Commercial Buildings in Aurora, Colorado

Buildings are responsible for 30% of total energy consumption worldwide. To address building energy, jurisdictions in the USA have enacted Building Performance Standards (BPS) legislation. The objective of BPS is to reduce energy consumption in buildings, thereby reducing the energy burden on utility infrastructure and other externalities. This is accomplished by setting mandatory energy use limits coupled with penalties for exceeding those limits. One of the key questions in BPS policymaking is how these penalties might impact the finances of building owners and tenants. This paper presents an analysis of BPS penalties in Aurora, Colorado, specifically targeting buildings impacted by the adopted statewide BPS legislation. Several BPS penalty structures were applied to the affected building stock in Aurora, and the potential impacts on building owner returns and tenant rents were estimated. The results show that for some combinations of building types and penalty structures, potential rent increases due to penalties could match or exceed typical yearly rent increases. The results also show that in most cases, for Aurora, there was no statistically significant difference in impact between buildings located in under-resourced and well-resourced areas.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Nonperturbative dynamics of (2+1)d φ 4 -theory from Hamiltonian truncation

We use Lightcone Conformal Truncation (LCT) - a version of Hamiltonian truncation - to study the nonperturbative, real-time dynamics of φ 4 -theory in 2+1 dimensions. This theory has UV divergences that need to be regulated. We review how, in a Hamiltonian framework with a total energy cutoff, renormalization is necessarily state-dependent, and UV sensitivity cannot be canceled with standard local operator counter-terms. To overcome this problem, we present a prescription for constructing the appropriate state-dependent counterterms for (2+1)d φ 4 -theory in lightcone quantization. We then use LCT with this counterterm prescription to study φ 4 -theory, focusing on the $\mathbb{Z}$ 2 symmetry-preserving phase. Specifically, we compute the spectrum as a function of the coupling and demonstrate the closing of the mass gap at a (scheme-dependent) critical coupling. We also compute Lorentz-invariant two-point functions, both at generic strong coupling and near the critical point, where we demonstrate IR universality and the vanishing of the trace of the stress tensor.

field theories in lower dimensions↗

Structure constants in $ \mathcal{N} $ = 4 SYM at finite coupling as worldsheet g-function

We develop a novel nonperturbative approach to a class of three-point functions in planar $ \mathcal{N} $ N = 4 SYM based on Thermodynamic Bethe Ansatz (TBA). More specifically, we study three-point functions of a non-BPS single-trace operator and two determinant operators dual to maximal Giant Graviton D-branes in AdS 5 × S 5 . They correspond to disk one-point functions on the worldsheet and admit a simpler and more powerful integrability description than the standard single-trace three-point functions. We first introduce two new methods to efficiently compute such correlators at weak coupling; one based on large N collective fields, which provides an example of open-closed-open duality discussed by Gopakumar, and the other based on combinatorics. The results so obtained exhibit a simple determinant structure and indicate that the correlator can be interpreted as a generalization of g -functions in 2d QFT; an overlap between an integrable boundary state and a state corresponding to the single-trace operator. We then determine the boundary state at finite coupling using the symmetry, the crossing equation and the boundary Yang-Baxter equation. With the resulting boundary state, we derive the ground-state g -function based on TBA and conjecture its generalization to other states. This is the first fully nonperturbative proposal for the structure constants of operators of finite length. The results are tested extensively at weak and strong couplings. Finally, we point out that determinant operators can provide better probes of sub-AdS locality than single-trace operators and discuss possible applications.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Cross-platform comparison of arbitrary quantum states

As we approach the era of quantum advantage, when quantum computers (QCs) can outperform any classical computer on particular tasks, there remains the difficult challenge of how to validate their performance. While algorithmic success can be easily verified in some instances such as number factoring or oracular algorithms, these approaches only provide pass/fail information of executing specific tasks for a single QC. On the other hand, a comparison between different QCs preparing nominally the same arbitrary circuit provides an insight for generic validation: a quantum computation is only as valid as the agreement between the results produced on different QCs. Such an approach is also at the heart of evaluating metrological standards such as disparate atomic clocks. In this paper, we report a cross-platform QC comparison using randomized and correlated measurements that results in a wealth of information on the QC systems. We execute several quantum circuits on widely different physical QC platforms and analyze the cross-platform state fidelities.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

A New Modeling Approach for a Priori Uncertainties of Laser Tracker Angle Measurements

Methods for modeling the uncertainty in laser tracker angle measurements vary within the metrology industry, leading to confusion and questionable stochastic modeling for survey network adjustments and error propagation analysis. Interpreting the published laser tracker manufacturer performance specifications to determine an a priori sigma value for weighting azimuth and zenith angle measurements can be confusing and has led to differing implementations. Furthermore, this paper proposes a unique way to model survey network a priori laser tracker angular uncertainties based on laser tracker manufacturers’ published maximum permissible error (MPE) values referenced to current standards for weighting survey network measurements. This paper’s proposed model takes into account the disparate effects that pointing errors, target centering errors, and leveling errors have on azimuth and zenith angular uncertainties for measurements with steep sightings and at near ranges.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Compact and efficient elastocaloric heat pumps—Is there a path forward?

Elastocaloric cooling holds promise for energy-efficient heat pumping near room temperature with low environmental impact. Its adoption is, however, impeded by disproportionally large sizes of actuators compared with the active material volume. Taking magnetocaloric cooling as the baseline, the value of no more than 10:1 actuator volume to active material volume should lead to both size- and cost-effective solutions that may potentially be competitive with vapor-compression devices. With the goal to establish performance metrics that can lead to informed actuator selection for specific regenerator requirements, we analyze a wide range of elastocaloric materials and actuator technologies to find the best matches. We find that actuation with magnetic shape memory alloys meets all requirements; however, this technology is currently in early developmental stages and such actuators are not widely commercially available. Another promising and easily accessible option is standard rotary electric motors in combination with rotary-to-linear transduction mechanisms. A theoretical analysis of two case studies of elastocaloric systems using rotary electric motors with a Scotch yoke mechanism demonstrates the usefulness of our approach. Actuator requirements are based on two different regenerator configurations: one starting from zero strain without any mechanical energy recovery and another with 2% pre-strain and mechanical energy recovery to reduce the power and torque required from the motor. Our results indicate that the 10:1 target actuator to active material volume ratio can be met and feasibly lowered further, demonstrating that the proposed method for selecting actuators makes compact and efficient elastocaloric systems possible.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Burden of bacterial bloodstream infections and recent advances for diagnosis

Abstract Bloodstream infections (BSIs) and subsequent organ dysfunction (sepsis and septic shock) are conditions that rank among the top reasons for human mortality and have a great impact on healthcare systems. Their treatment mainly relies on the administration of broad-spectrum antimicrobials since the standard blood culture-based diagnostic methods remain time-consuming for the pathogen's identification. Consequently, the routine use of these antibiotics may lead to downstream antimicrobial resistance and failure in treatment outcomes. Recently, significant advances have been made in improving several methodologies for the identification of pathogens directly in whole blood especially regarding specificity and time to detection. Nevertheless, for the widespread implementation of these novel methods in healthcare facilities, further improvements are still needed concerning the sensitivity and cost-effectiveness to allow a faster and more appropriate antimicrobial therapy. This review is focused on the problem of BSIs and sepsis addressing several aspects like their origin, challenges, and causative agents. Also, it highlights current and emerging diagnostics technologies, discussing their strengths and weaknesses.

Costa, Susana P.↗

Hyaloscypha finlandica Metabolome Repository

This repository provides the curated data tables, manuscript figure and table exports, dependency records, and workflow scripts supporting an integrated comparative genomics and untargeted LC-MS/MS metabolomics analysis of Hyaloscypha finlandica strain PMI 746, a root-associated dark septate endophyte of poplar. The repository includes genome-mining summaries from antiSMASH, FunBGCeX, BGC-Prophet, and BiG-SCAPE; processed metabolomics inputs; metabolite annotation evidence; statistical outputs; and publication-facing figures and tables. Raw LC-MS/MS spectra, full genome/protein downloads, and large generated tool outputs are referenced through public archive/accession records and are not stored in Git.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

General gauge-Yukawa-quartic β-functions at 4-3-2-loop order

We determine the full set of coefficients for the completely general 4-loop gauge and 3-loop Yukawa β-functions for the most general renormalizable four-dimensional theories. Using a complete parametrization of the β-functions, we compare the general form to the specific β-functions of known theories to constrain the unknown coefficients. The Weyl consistency conditions provide additional constraints, completing the determination.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Contaminant Migration Modeling to Support the In Situ Decommissioning of Hardened Nuclear Facilities - 20215

The decommissioning of hardened nuclear facilities provides a unique challenge in balancing current worker dose with exposure to future receptors and media. In situ decommissioning (ISD) is a cost-effective and safe option for the closure of such facilities but requires a detailed understanding of the threat that radioactive and hazardous constituents remaining in the facilities pose to groundwater and surrounding surface water. The Savannah River Site (SRS) extensively employs contaminant migration models within the decommissioning process to develop site-specific removal, grouting, and monitoring strategies in support of safe and effective final end states of nuclear facilities. This work discusses the use of contaminant migration modeling in the ISD process at SRS, including specific examples from the closure of P-Reactor and R-Reactor, Building 235-F, F-Canyon and F/H Laboratory Complex. Migration models developed during the closure of P-Reactor and R-Reactor were divided into four source areas: the reactor vessel, the process area, the disassembly basin, and the purification wing. Each source area was assigned a specific inventory and migration pathway and was then subject to varying hypothetical removal, capping, and grouting schemes. Modeling indicated that groundwater Maximum Concentration Limits (MCLs) might be exceeded if no action was taken for eleven and ten constituents of concern (COCs) at P-Reactor and R-Reactor, respectively. These exceedances could occur in as few as 200 to 500 years. Alternatively, the migration modeling demonstrated that the selected ISD actions reduced contaminant mobility which allowed for significant radioactive decay and resulted in fewer predicted exceedances of groundwater MCLs (five COCs for P-Reactor; eight COCs for R-Reactor). In response to the modeling results for P-Reactor and R-Reactor, effectiveness monitoring programs were developed to target contaminants, specific to each reactor, that may migrate to groundwater. Contaminant migration modeling also revealed that roof collapse was a large factor in the release of COCs to the environment, giving rise to roof improvements, and an inspection and vegetation control program to ensure roof stability over time. Contaminant migration modeling is also aiding in the closure planning for hardened facilities in F Area. Building 235-F housed the Actinide Billet Line, which produced Np-237 billets for irradiation in SRS reactors, and the Plutonium Fuel Form (PuFF) facility that produced Pu-238 heat sources for the space program. As a result of these missions, areas within Building 235-F contain considerable residual amounts of both Pu-238 and Np-237. Contaminant migration modeling of Building 235-F was originally performed in 2012 to identify the feasibility of ISD and the amount of radioactive material removal required to prevent the exceedance of groundwater MCLs. The original model indicated that a 60% reduction in the PuFF facility Pu-238 inventory could keep groundwater concentrations below standards, while Np-237 did not pose a threat to groundwater. However, updates to the model with an emphasis on source impact pathways revealed that, due to the orientation of the source areas relative to groundwater flow, no amount of reasonable removal of Pu-238 would keep groundwater concentrations below MCLs and that Np-237 could be a large contributor to localized MCL exceedances. With this insight, the refined 2019 model is being used to assist in the development of grouting plans specific to each facility source area, where bentonite may be utilized to slow the migration of Pu-238 and its daughter products from the PuFF facility and a reducing grout may decrease Np-237 transport by ensuring the nuclide remains in the less mobile +IV oxidation state. The beginning phases of contaminant migration modeling are underway for F-Canyon and associated facilities using lessons learned from the Reactors and Building 235-F. A contaminant migration pathway, similar to the pathway used for the reactor vessels, is being developed for the hot and warm canyons. The F-Canyon inventories are being spatially refined to identify specific and localized source zones, comparable to Building 235-F, that may impact groundwater. Contaminant migration modeling provides vital input within the ISD process, from facility investigation to post closure effectiveness monitoring, making it a valuable tool in the development of safe and effective end states for hardened nuclear facilities at SRS. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

High-Silicon Steel Strip by Single-Step Shear Deformation Processing

It is well known that Fe-Si alloys with Si content higher than in conventional electrical sheet steels (>3.2% Si) can make a significant impact in improving the efficiency of electrical motors if they are available in sheet/foil (strip) forms at suitable cost. While the magnetic and electrical attributes (e.g., resistivity, core loss) of these high-Si Fe alloys, of relevance to electrical motor core laminations, are known to be exceptional, the alloys have limited workability, making them difficult to produce consistently in sheet/foil (strip) forms. Current processing techniques such as rolling, while adequate for producing conventional electrical steel sheet, do have important disadvantages - large energy consumption and emissions, limitations in processing of low-workability alloys (e.g., high-Si content steels), large-scale plant infrastructure, and less than adequate capability to engineer sheet metals with specific microstructures (e.g., fine-grained) and crystallographic textures (e.g., shear textures). It is therefore of interest to have an alternative commercial process that can produce sheet/foil (strip) from high-Si Fe alloys and which can also overcome some of the deficiencies of current multistage strip processes. The goal of the present project was design and demonstration of a new energy-efficient pilot process for producing high-Si electrical steel strip of commercial widths and thickness, and with superior electrical and magnetic properties than current electrical steels (Fe-3.2% Si as benchmark). The applications domain for these steels is electrical motor core laminations. We have addressed this goal by accomplishment of the following specific objectives and tasks: a) Development of an Fe-4Si-4Cr alloy with electrical resistivity >80 μΩ-cm, induction flux density >1.48 T at 5000 A/m and core loss 35% lower than the benchmark 3.2% Si alloy. The alloy which meets DOE target specifications for motor core attributes was designed with the Si content controlled for the electrical properties and the Cr content tailored to meet material/process workability requirements. b) A unique machining-based deformation processing system was designed and scaled-up to produce strip of commercial width (25 mm to 150 mm) and thickness (up to 0.5 mm) from the Fe-4Si-4Cr alloy and other alloys of varied workability including copper, Al6061-T6 and naval brass. The key attributes of the machining-based strip production are deformation processing by concentrated simple-shear; single-step production of strip from ingot using compact machine infrastructure; strip surface finish of Ra 0.35 to 1 micrometer that is comparable/superior to that of rolled strip; discrete production of strip that can potentially be done at point of use; and controllability of strip mechanical/formability properties by deformation control. c) The electrical, magnetic, surface quality, mechanical, formability, and metallurgical properties/attributes of the machining-based strip were established by direct ASTM standard or equivalent measurement techniques. d) Punching characteristics of the strip in terms of load, edge quality and macro defects were similar to those of conventional 3.2% Si electrical steels. These punching characteristics are critical from a manufacturability perspective for motor/transformer core applications. e) A modeling framework for energy analysis of multistage rolling and the machining-based deformation processing has been established. Application of this modeling to the two strip-processes showed that the machining-based process requires significantly lower specific energy for processing, ~ 25% of that for rolling. The modeling framework can be adapted for a range of sheet-metal forming, bulk metal forming, and machining processes. It can be used to identify key parameters controlling process specific energy. f) A comparative analysis of advantages and disadvantages of machining-based processing against rolling for strip production. The single stage machining-based processing, with compact infrastructure, represents a new manufacturing paradigm for sheet and foil manufacturing that can potentially also be applied to advanced titanium, aluminum, copper and magnesium alloys. The goals and objectives were accomplished by a cross-disciplinary project team comprising of personnel from Purdue University; M4 Sciences LLC, a small-business focused on advanced manufacturing technology development; the Pacific Northwest National Labs; and tool manufacturers. The team is currently in advanced discussions with multiple entities for future process development for commercialization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Non-Gaussianity constraints with anisotropic μ distortion measurements from Planck

ABSTRACT Primordial non-Gaussianity can source μ-distortion anisotropies that are correlated with the large-scale temperature and polarization signals of the cosmic microwave background (CMB). A measurement of μT and μE correlations can therefore be used to constrain it on wavelengths of perturbations not directly probed by the standard CMB anisotropies. We carry out a first rigorous search for μ-distortion anisotropies with Planck data, applying the well-tested constrained ILC component-separation method combined with the needlet framework. We correlate the reconstructed μ map with the CMB anisotropies to derive constraints on the amplitude fNL of the local form bispectrum, specifically on the squeezed configurations with effective wavenumbers $k_s \simeq {740}\, \mathrm{Mpc^{-1}}$ and $k_L \simeq {0.05}\, \mathrm{Mpc^{-1}}$, improving previously estimated constraints by more than an order of magnitude. This enhancement is owing to the fact that we are able to use the full multipole information by carefully controlling biases and systematic effects in the analysis. We also for the first time incorporate constraints from measurements of μE correlations, which further tighten the limits. A combination of the derived Planck μT and μE power spectra yields |fNL| ≲ 6800 (95 per cent c.l.) on this highly squeezed bispectrum. This is only ≃3 times weaker than the anticipated constraint from Litebird. Furthermore we show that a combination of Litebird with Planck can improve the expected future constraint by ${\simeq}20{{\%}}$. These limits can be used to constrain multifield inflation models and primordial black hole formation scenarios, thus providing a promising novel avenue forward in CMB cosmology.

Rotti, Aditya (ORCID:0000000341245226)↗

Self-interacting neutrinos, the Hubble parameter tension, and the cosmic microwave background

Here, we perform a comprehensive study of cosmological constraints on nonstandard neutrino self-interactions using cosmic microwave background and baryon acoustic oscillation data. We consider different scenarios for neutrino self-interactions distinguished by the fraction of neutrino states allowed to participate in self-interactions and how the relativistic energy density, N eff , is allowed to vary. Specifically, we study cases in which all neutrino states self-interact and N eff varies; two species free-stream, which we show alleviates tension with laboratory constraints, while the energy in the additional interacting states varies; and a variable fraction of neutrinos self-interact with either the total N eff fixed to the Standard Model value or allowed to vary. In no case do we find compelling evidence for new neutrino interactions or nonstandard values of N eff . In several cases, we find additional modes with neutrino decoupling occurring at lower redshifts z dec ~ 10 3–4 . We do a careful analysis to examine whether new neutrino self-interactions solve or alleviate the so-called H 0 tension and find that, when all Planck 2018 CMB temperature and polarization data are included, none of these examples eases the tension more than allowing a variable N eff comprised of free-streaming particles. Although we focus on neutrino interactions, these constraints are applicable to any light relic particle.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Operating Dynamic Reserve Dimensioning Using Probabilistic Forecasts

The rapid integration of variable energy sources (VRES) into power grids increases variability and uncertainty of the net demand, making the power system operation challenging. Operating reserve is used by system operators to manage and hedge against such variability and uncertainty. Traditionally, reserve requirements are determined by rules-of-thumb (static reserve requirements, e.g., NERC Reliability Standards), and more recently, dynamic reserve requirements from tools and methods which are in the adoption process (e.g., DynADOR, DRD, and RESERVE, among others). While these methods/tools significantly improve the static rule-of-thumb approaches, they rely exclusively on deterministic data (i.e., best guess only). Consequently, these methods disregard the probabilistic uncertainty thresholds associated with specific days and their weather conditions (i.e., best guess plus probabilistic uncertainty). This work presents practical approaches to determine the operating reserve requirements leveraging the wealth information from probabilistic forecasts. Proposed approaches are validated and tested using actual data from the CAISO system. Furthermore, results show the benefits in terms of risk reduction of considering the probabilistic forecast information into the dimensioning process of operating reserve requirements.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗