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At least 1,171 records · Page 65

Effect of Surface Nonequilibrium Thermochemistry in Simulation of Carbon Based Ablators

This study demonstrates that coupling of a material thermal response code and a flow solver using finite-rate gas/surface interaction model provides time-accurate solutions for multidimensional ablation of carbon based charring ablators. The material thermal response code used in this study is the Two-dimensional Implicit Thermal Response and Ablation Program (TITAN), which predicts charring material thermal response and shape change on hypersonic space vehicles. Its governing equations include total energy balance, pyrolysis gas momentum conservation, and a three-component decomposition model. The flow code solves the reacting Navier-Stokes equations using Data Parallel Line Relaxation (DPLR) method. Loose coupling between material response and flow codes is performed by solving the surface mass balance in DPLR and the surface energy balance in TITAN. Thus, the material surface recession is predicted by finite-rate gas/surface interaction boundary conditions implemented in DPLR, and the surface temperature and pyrolysis gas injection rate are computed in TITAN. Two sets of gas/surface interaction chemistry between air and carbon surface developed by Park and Zhluktov, respectively, are studied. Coupled fluid-material response analyses of stagnation tests conducted in NASA Ames Research Center arc-jet facilities are considered. The ablating material used in these arc-jet tests was a Phenolic Impregnated Carbon Ablator (PICA). Computational predictions of in-depth material thermal response and surface recession are compared with the experimental measurements for stagnation cold wall heat flux ranging from 107 to 1100 Watts per square centimeter.

Chen, Yih-Kang↗

Dynamics of Molecular Hydrogen in Hypersaline Microbial Mars

Early Earth microbial communities that centered around the anaerobic decomposition of organic molecular hydrogen as a carrier of electrons, regulator of energy metabolism, and facilitator of syntroph'c microbial interactions. The advent of oxygenic photosynthetic organisms added a highly dynamic and potentially dominant term to the hydrogen economy of these communities. We have examined the daily variations of hydrogen concentrations in cyanobacteria-dominated microbial mats from hypersaline ponds in Baja California Sur, Mexico. These mats bring together phototrophic and anaerobic bacteria (along with virtually all other trophic groups) in a spatially ordered and chemically dynamic matrix that provides a good analog for early Earth microbial ecosystems. Hydrogen concentrations in the photic zone of the mat can be three orders of magnitude or more higher than in the photic zone, which are, in turn, an order of magnitude higher than in the unconsolidated sediments underlying the mat community. Within the photic zone, hydrogen concentrations can fluctuate dramatically during the diel (24 hour day-night) cycle, ranging from less than 0.001% during the day to nearly 10% at night. The resultant nighttime flux of hydrogen from the mat to the environment was up to 17% of the daytime oxygen flux. The daily pattern observed is highly dependent on cyanobacterial species composition within the mat, with Lyngbya-dominated systems having a much greater dynamic range than those dominated by Microcoleus; this may relate largely to differing degrees of nitrogen-fixing and fermentative activity in the two mats. The greatest H2 concentrations and fluxes were observed in the absence of oxygen, suggesting an important potential feedback control in the context of the evolution of atmospheric composition. The impact of adding this highly dynamic photosynthetic term to the hydrogen economy of early microbial ecosystems must have been substantial. From an evolutionary standpoint, the H2 generated in mats could have represented a very important new source of electrons and energy - but one that could not be harnessed without substantial adaptation to the highly variable chemistry of the mat surface. In addition, the emergent chemistry of anaerobic communities is often highly dependent on ambient hydrogen concentrations, so that incorporation of these communities into photosynthetic mats could have significantly affected the composition and flux of reduced "biosignature' gases to the environment.

Hoehler, Tori M.↗

Sol–Gel Synthesis and Distinctive Structural Features of Ce{sub x}Zr{sub 1–x}O{sub 2} Solid Solutions

We have synthesized Ce{sub x}Zr{sub 1–x}O{sub 2} solid solutions via the thermal decomposition of xerogels of different compositions prepared by drying appropriate hydrosols. The synthesized materials have been characterized by thermal analysis, X-ray diffraction, and Raman spectroscopy. The results demonstrate that the solid solutions are formed at relatively low temperatures (450–600°C). The Ce{sub x}Zr{sub 1–x}O{sub 2} samples with x = 0.5–0.9 consist of a cubic solid solution. At a lower CeO{sub 2} content (x = 0.2), the material consists of a mixture of cubic and tetragonal phases.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Formation and Composition-Dependent Properties of Alloys of Cubic Halide Perovskites

Distinct shortcomings of individual halide perovskites for solar applications, such as restricted range of band gaps, propensity of $ABX_3$ to decompose into $AX + BX_2$, or oxidation of 2$ABX_3$ into $A_2BX_6$, have led to the need to consider alloys of individual perovskites such as [FA,Cs][Pb,Sn][Br,I] 3 . This proposition creates a nontrivial material selection problem associated with a six-component structure, spanning a continuum of three sets of compositions (one for each sublattice) and requiring control of phase separation or ordering in each alloyed subfield. Not surprisingly, material and structure choices were made thus far mostly via trial-and-error explorations among a large number of arrangements. In this work, we use ideas from solid-state theory of semiconductor alloys to analyze the behaviors of the canonical [FA,Cs][Pb,Sn]I 3 alloy system, where FA is formamidinium. Density functional calculations utilizing specially constructed supercells are used to calculate the composition dependence of band gaps, energy of decomposition, and alloy mixing enthalpies. A number of clear trends are observed for A-site alloys [Cs,FA]SnI 3 and [Cs,FA]PbI 3 , as well as for B-site alloys Cs[Sn,Pb]I 3 and FA[Sn,Pb]I 3 . To understand the physical reasons that control these trends, we decompose the alloy properties into distinct physical terms: (i) the energies associated with removing the octahedral deformations (tilting, rotations, B-site displacements) of the individual components, (ii) the energies for compressing the larger component and expanding the smaller one to the alloy volume V(x), (iii) the charge-transfer energies associated with placing the alloyed units onto a common lattice, and finally, (iv) structural relaxation of all bonds within the cells. This analysis clarifies the origin of the observed trends in band gaps, decomposition energies, and mixing enthalpies. Unlike a number of previous calculations, we find that the proper description of alloy physics requires that even the pure, nonalloyed, end-point compounds need to be allowed to develop local environment-dependent octahedral deformation that lowers significantly the total energy and raises their band gaps.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Supermassive black holes and their host spheroids. II. The red and blue sequence in the M{sub BH}–M{sub *,SPH} diagram

In our first paper, we performed a detailed (i.e., bulge, disks, bars, spiral arms, rings, halo, nucleus, etc.) decomposition of 66 galaxies, with directly measured black hole masses, M{sub BH}, imaged at 3.6 μm with Spitzer. Our sample is the largest to date and, for the first time, the decompositions were checked for consistency with the galaxy kinematics. We present correlations between M{sub BH} and the host spheroid (and galaxy) luminosity, L{sub sph} (and L{sub gal}), and also stellar mass, M{sub ∗,sph}. While most previous studies have used galaxy samples that were overwhelmingly dominated by high-mass, early-type galaxies, our sample includes 17 spiral galaxies, half of which have M{sub BH}<10{sup 7} M{sub ⊙}, and allows us to better investigate the poorly studied low-mass end of the M{sub BH}--M{sub ∗,sph} correlation. The bulges of early-type galaxies follow M{sub BH} ∝ M{sub ∗,sph}{sup 1.04±0.10} and define a tight red sequence with intrinsic scatter ϵ{sub (M{sub B{sub H|M{sub ∗{sub ,{sub s{sub p{sub h)}}}}}}}} = 0.43 ± 0.06 dex and a median M{sub BH}/M{sub ∗,sph} ratio of 0.68 ± 0.04%, i.e., a ±2σ range of 0.1%–5%. At the low-mass end, the bulges of late-type galaxies define a much steeper blue sequence, with M{sub BH} ∝ M{sub ∗,sph}{sup 2−3} and M{sub BH}/M{sub ∗,sph} equal to 0.02% at M{sub BH} ≈ 10{sup 6} M{sub ⊙}. We additionally report that (1) our Sérsic galaxy sample follows M{sub BH} ∝ M{sub ∗,sph}{sup 1.48±0.20}, a less steep sequence than previously reported; (2) bulges with Sérsic index n{sub sph}<2, argued by some to be pseudo-bulges, are not offset to lower M{sub BH} from the correlation defined by the current bulge sample with n{sub sph}>2; and (3) L{sub sph} and L{sub gal} correlate equally well with M{sub BH}, in terms of intrinsic scatter, only for early-type galaxies—once reasonable numbers of spiral galaxies are included, the correlation with L{sub sph} is better than that with L{sub gal}.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Effect of Non-Equilibrium Surface Thermochemistry in Simulation of Carbon Based Ablators

This study demonstrates that coupling of a material thermal response code and a flow solver using non-equilibrium gas/surface interaction model provides time-accurate solutions for the multidimensional ablation of carbon based charring ablators. The material thermal response code used in this study is the Two-dimensional Implicit Thermal-response and AblatioN Program (TITAN), which predicts charring material thermal response and shape change on hypersonic space vehicles. Its governing equations include total energy balance, pyrolysis gas mass conservation, and a three-component decomposition model. The flow code solves the reacting Navier-Stokes equations using Data Parallel Line Relaxation (DPLR) method. Loose coupling between the material response and flow codes is performed by solving the surface mass balance in DPLR and the surface energy balance in TITAN. Thus, the material surface recession is predicted by finite-rate gas/surface interaction boundary conditions implemented in DPLR, and the surface temperature and pyrolysis gas injection rate are computed in TITAN. Two sets of nonequilibrium gas/surface interaction chemistry between air and the carbon surface developed by Park and Zhluktov, respectively, are studied. Coupled fluid-material response analyses of stagnation tests conducted in NASA Ames Research Center arc-jet facilities are considered. The ablating material used in these arc-jet tests was Phenolic Impregnated Carbon Ablator (PICA). Computational predictions of in-depth material thermal response and surface recession are compared with the experimental measurements for stagnation cold wall heat flux ranging from 107 to 1100 Watts per square centimeter.

Chen, Yih-Kanq↗

TU-F-18C-01: Breast Tissue Decomposition Using Spectral CT After Distortion Correction

Purpose: To investigate the feasibility of accurate breast tissue compositional characterization by using spectral-distortion-corrected dual energy images from a photon-counting spectral CT. Methods: Thirty eight postmortem breasts were imaged with a Cadmium-Zinc-Telluride (CZT)-based photon-counting spectral CT system at beam energy of 100 kVp. The energy-resolved detector sorted photons into low and high energy bins with a splitting energy of 42 keV. The estimated mean glandular dose (MGD) for each breast was approximately 2.0 mGy. Dual energy technique was used to decompose breast tissue into water, lipid, and protein contents. Two image-based methods were investigated to improve the accuracy of tissue compositional characterization. The first method simply limited the recorded spectra up to 90 keV. This reduced the pulse pile-up artifacts but it has some dose penalty. The second method corrected the spectral information of all measured photons by using a spectral distortion correction technique. Breasts were then chemically decomposed into their respective water, lipid, and protein contents, which was used as the reference standard. The accuracy of the tissue compositional measurement with spectral CT was evaluated by the root-mean-square (RMS) errors in percentage composition. Results: The errors in quantitative material decomposition were significantly reduced after the appropriate image processing methods. As compared to the chemical analysis as the reference standard, the averages of the RMS errors were estimated to be 15.5%, 3.3%, and 2.8% for the raw, energy-limited, and spectral-corrected images, respectively. Conclusion: Spectral CT can be used to accurately quantify the water, lipid, and protein contents in breast tissues by implementing a spectral distortion correction algorithm. The tissue compositional information can potentially improve the sensitivity and specificity for breast cancer diagnosis.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Emergent temperature sensitivity of soil organic carbon driven by mineral associations

Abstract Soil organic matter decomposition and its interactions with climate depend on whether the organic matter is associated with soil minerals. However, data limitations have hindered global-scale analyses of mineral-associated and particulate soil organic carbon pools and their benchmarking in Earth system models used to estimate carbon cycle–climate feedbacks. Here we analyse observationally derived global estimates of soil carbon pools to quantify their relative proportions and compute their climatological temperature sensitivities as the decline in carbon with increasing temperature. We find that the climatological temperature sensitivity of particulate carbon is on average 28% higher than that of mineral-associated carbon, and up to 53% higher in cool climates. Moreover, the distribution of carbon between these underlying soil carbon pools drives the emergent climatological temperature sensitivity of bulk soil carbon stocks. However, global models vary widely in their predictions of soil carbon pool distributions. We show that the global proportion of model pools that are conceptually similar to mineral-protected carbon ranges from 16 to 85% across Earth system models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 and offline land models, with implications for bulk soil carbon ages and ecosystem responsiveness. To improve projections of carbon cycle–climate feedbacks, it is imperative to assess underlying soil carbon pools to accurately predict the distribution and vulnerability of soil carbon.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Substrate temperature influence on the properties of GaN thin films grown by hollow-cathode plasma-assisted atomic layer deposition

Gallium nitride films were grown by hollow cathode plasma-assisted atomic layer deposition using triethylgallium and N{sub 2}/H{sub 2} plasma. An optimized recipe for GaN film was developed, and the effect of substrate temperature was studied in both self-limiting growth window and thermal decomposition-limited growth region. With increased substrate temperature, film crystallinity improved, and the optical band edge decreased from 3.60 to 3.52 eV. The refractive index and reflectivity in Reststrahlen band increased with the substrate temperature. Compressive strain is observed for both samples, and the surface roughness is observed to increase with the substrate temperature. Despite these temperature dependent material properties, the chemical composition, E{sub 1}(TO), phonon position, and crystalline phases present in the GaN film were relatively independent from growth temperature.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Fundamental Interactions of Bimetallic Cu x Pd y ( x + y = 4) Clusters Supported on the α-WC(0001) Surface and Their Performance for CO 2 Adsorption and Dissociation

The tungsten carbide α-WC(0001) surface, an active system for the activation of H 2 and important hydrogenation processes involving unsaturated hydrocarbons, can serve as a support of bimetallic clusters to produce materials with unique catalytic properties, opening routes for a wide range of technical applications. In particular, Cu x Pd y clusters are of particular interest because they combine metals with different properties. A stochastic method was applied to obtain the geometry of Cu x Pd y (x + y = 4) bare clusters, evaluating thousands of possibilities to obtain stable structures, yielding one isomer for Cu 4 , Cu 2 Pd 2 , Cu 1 Pd 3 , and Pd 4 and two isomers for Cu 3 Pd 1 . These clusters were supported on C and W terminations of the tungsten carbide (0001) surface, exploring all of the binding possibilities. The adsorption energies on the C and W terminations are in the ranges from −2.51 to −3.02 eV and from −2.26 to −3.30 eV, respectively. The strongest and weakest binding was seen for monometallic Cu 4 and Pd 4 clusters on both C and W terminations, while the Cu-Pd bimetallics have intermediate adsorption energies but lack a clear trend in terms of composition. The location of Cu x Pd y clusters over the (0001) surface induces a decrease in the work function relative to the pristine surface, while the cluster-surface Bader charge transfer and variations in the partial density of states point to changes in the electronic structure of the carbide atoms upon binding of the metallic clusters. The d-band center of the Cu x Pd y deposited on WC(0001) indicates an intermediate reactivity among Cu(111) and Pd(111) surfaces, modulating the reactivity with small numbers of Cu and Pd atoms, i.e., atom economy in catalyst design. The likelihood of existence of the most stable Cu x Pd y (x + y = 4) clusters in the temperature range of 298-400 K is 100%. The composite Cu x Pd y /α-WC(0001) (x + y = 4), is a nontrivial system since 22 isomers are needed to completely describe its structural properties. Among the isomers, seven structures are necessary to represent Cu 3 Pd 1 /α-WC(0001), five for Pd 4 /α-WC(0001), two for Cu 4 /α-WC(0001), and four for Cu 2 Pd 2 /α-WC(0001) and Cu 1 Pd 3 /α-WC(0001). The large number of cluster isomers supported on the tungsten carbide surface opens the door for several applications in the heterogeneous catalysis of the Cu x Pd y /α-WC(0001) composite, with the possibility of modulating the geometric, electronic, and chemical properties according to a desired application. Test studies for the adsorption of CO 2 indicate that the Cu x Pd y /α-WC(0001) composites are highly active for the adsorption and decomposition of the molecule, with bimetallic and admetal-carbide interactions playing a key role in the binding performance. In conclusion, this high activity indicates that these systems should be useful as catalysts for the conversion of CO 2 to oxygenates or light alkanes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Kinetics of the Carbothermic Reduction of Manganese Oxide from Slag

Experiments were performed using a range of test conditions to elucidate the rate controlling step during the reaction of liquid iron-carbon droplets and slags containing manganese oxide. Four conditions were tested in the system: initial MnO content in the slag (5, 10, and 15 wt pct), initial carbon content of the metal (1, 2.5, 4.3 wt pct), initial droplet mass (0.5, 1.0, and 1.5 g), and reaction temperature (1823 K [1550 °C], 1873 K [1600 °C], and 1923 K [1650 °C]). Data were collected using the Constant Volume Pressure Increase (CVPI) technique which tracked the continuous pressure increase in the sealed furnace over time. Samples were quenched at the end of each experiment and chemistry was checked using LECO Carbon Analysis and ICP (Inductively Coupled Plasma) for manganese. The rate of reaction can be broken into a faster initial period related to internal CO formation, and a slower second reaction controlled by a complex mechanism involving transport of oxygen from slag to metal via CO{sub 2} and decomposition of the CO{sub 2} at the gas–metal interface.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Bulk Electrical Cable Non-Destructive Examination Methods for Nuclear Power Plant Cable Aging Management Programs

This Pacific Northwest National Laboratory milestone report describes progress to date on the investigation of nondestructive test methods focusing particularly on bulk electrical test methods that provide key indicators of cable aging and damage. The work includes a review of relevant literature as well as hands-on experimental verification of inspection capabilities. As nuclear power plants consider applying for second, or subsequent, license renewal to extend their operating period from 60 years to 80 years, it is important to understand how the materials installed in plant systems and components will age during that time and develop aging management programs to assure continued safe operation under normal and design basis events (DBE). Normal component and system tests typically confirm the cables can perform their normal operational function. The focus of the cable test program, however, is directed toward the more demanding challenge of assuring the cable function under accident or DBE. The industry has adopted 50% elongation at break (EAB) relative to the un-aged cable condition as the acceptability standard. All tests are benchmarked against the cable EAB test. EAB, however, is a destructive test so the test programs must apply an array of other nondestructive examination (NDE) tests to assure or infer the overall set of cable’s system integrity. Assessment of cable integrity is further complicated in many cases by vendor’s use of dissimilar material for jacket and insulation. Frequently the jacket will degrade more rapidly than the underlying insulation. Although this can serve as an early alert to cable damage, direct test of the cable insulation without violating the protective jacket becomes problematic. This report addresses the range of bulk electrical NDE cable tests that are or could be practically implemented in a field-test situation with a particular focus on frequency domain reflectometry (FDR). The FDR test method offers numerous advantages over many other bulk electrical tests. Two commercial FDR systems plus a laboratory vector network analyzer are used to test an array of aged and un-aged cables under identical conditions. Several conclusions are set forth, and a number of knowledge gaps are identified.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Linear and Nonlinear Solvers for Simulating Multiphase Flow within Large-Scale Engineered Subsurface Systems

Simulation of multiphase flow in the subsurface is well-known to be computationally challenging. While there have been many studies that have explored approaches to overcoming these challenges, they often utilize relatively simple case studies. In this paper, we focus on the unique numerical challenges posed by modeling large-scale engineered subsurface systems, characterized by discrete features embedded in a heterogeneous natural subsurface setting. The man-made features such as shafts, tunnels, and barriers often cause multiple challenges in modeling the domain for multiphase porous media flow. This flow scenario can have a wide range of applications such as nuclear waste repositories, enhanced recovery of a petroleum reservoir, geothermal engineering, and carbon sequestration. An example of these severe numerical challenges is the case of performance assessment (PA) for Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), the only operating deep geological repository in the US, which simulates extreme material properties of bedded salt rock formation and extreme contrast due to open excavation next to the formation. The models have extremes not only of permeability and porosity but also of the constitutive models needed for multiphase flow; additionally, they have process models like salt creep closure reducing porosity over time, fracturing in clay and anhydrite interbeds of the bedded salt, gas generation from the waste materials, and unintentional human borehole intrusions in some scenarios. Numerical simulations require the solution of coupled systems of nonlinear PDEs; in our work, we use the open-source simulator PFLOTRAN which is based on Finite Volume discretization. The solution of the nonlinear equations requires use of the Newton-Raphson iteration at each time step, which entails the solution of the linearized Jacobian system at each iteration. The effects of all the processes (i.e., large number of unknowns, highly nonlinear constitutive relations, large contrasts in material properties in short distances) lead to an ill-conditioned Jacobian matrix that severely challenges traditional linear solver, i.e., stabilized biconjugate gradient with block Jacobi incomplete LU preconditioner (BCGS-ILU) leading to non-convergence for traditional Newton-Raphson nonlinear solver causing unacceptably long computation time for each model. This paper presents linear solvers such as constrained pressure residual (CPR) two-stage preconditioner with alternate-block-factorization (ABF) and quasi- implicit pressure and explicit saturation (QIMPES) decouplers and flexible generalized residual solver (FGMRES). The new general-purpose nonlinear solver, Newton trust-region dogleg Cauchy (NTRDC), is also introduced to resolve extreme nonlinearities in the models. We demonstrate the effectiveness of each method relative to the default BCGS-Newton solver. The two best cases had nearly 50 times speed-up and achieved completion of a simulation in 14 hours that never completed due to non-convergence with the default solver. We also investigate the strong scalability of each method and discuss some of the deficiencies found for Block Jacobi preconditioner using parallel domain decomposition, and node packing effects of modern processor architecture.

Preconditioner, Nonlinear, Porous media, Multiphas↗

Fabrication of Al-Zn solid solution via friction stir processing

Highlights: • Thermomechanical nature of FSP was utilized for mechanical alloying. • Zn particles dissolved in Al during FSP to form solid solution. • Second pass of FSP lead to homogenization and partial decomposition of the solid solution. • Processed alloy exhibited improved hardness over base and FSPed metal. • The process can be adopted for site specific property enhancement. - Abstract: The present study demonstrates that friction stir processing (FSP) can be used as a mechanical alloying tool to process solid solution. Zn was incorporated in commercially pure aluminium by multi-pass FSP leading to its dissolution and formation of supersaturated solid solution which was confirmed by X-ray diffraction and scanning electron microscopy. The hardness across the stir zone matched with the distribution of Zn and was significantly improved compared to the base metal. The supersaturated solid solution that formed in the first pass, partially decomposed during the second pass, leading to the formation of fine Al-Zn precipitates. Thermal stability of the microstructure against abnormal grain growth was also improved after the second pass due to the pinning effect of the grain boundary precipitates. FSP also caused grain refinement of the alloy yielding fine equiaxed grains in the range of 4–6 μm with a high fraction (> 67%) of high angle grain boundaries. Such microstructure is conducive for isotropic properties and the fact that the microstructure is stable against thermal cycles make the process suitable for selective alloying for location specific property enhancement.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Soda Pop: A Time-Series Clustering, Alarming and Disease Forecasting Application

To introduce Soda Pop, an R/Shiny application designed to be a disease agnostic time-series clustering, alarming, and forecasting tool to assist in disease surveillance “triage, analysis and reporting” workflows within the Biosurveillance Ecosystem (BSVE). In this poster, we highlight the new capabilities that are brought to the BSVE by Soda Pop with an emphasis on the impact of methodological decisions. The Biosurveillance Ecosystem (BSVE) is a biological and chemical threat surveillance system sponsored by the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA). BSVE is intended to be user-friendly, multi-agency, cooperative, modular and threat agnostic platform for biosurveillance. In BSVE, a web-based workbench presents the analyst with applications (apps) developed by various DTRA funded researchers, which are deployed on-demand in the cloud(e.g., Amazon Web Services). These apps aim to address emerging needs and refine capabilities to enable early warning of chemical and biological threats for multiple users across local, state, and federal agencies. Soda Pop is an app developed by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) to meet the current needs of the BSVE for early warning and detection of disease outbreaks. Aimed for use bya diverse set of analysts, the application is agnostic to data source and spatial scale enabling it to be generalizable across many diseases and locations. To achieve this, we placed a particular emphasis on clustering and alerting of disease signals within Soda Pop without strong prior assumptions on the nature of observed diseased counts. Although designed to be agnostic to the data source, Soda Pop was initially developed and tested on data summarizing Influenza-Like Illness in military hospitals from collaboration with the Armed Forces Health Surveillance Branch. Currently, the data incorporated also includes the CDC’s National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System(NNDSS) tables and the WHO’s Influenza A/B Influenza Data(Flunet). These data sources are now present in BSVE’s Postgres data storage for direct access. Soda Pop is designed to automate time-series tasks of data summarization, exploration, clustering, alarming and forecasting. Built as an R/Shiny application, Soda Pop is founded on the powerful statistical tool R.. Where applicable, Soda Pop facilitates nonparametric seasonal decomposition of time-series; hierarchical agglomerative clustering across reporting areas and between diseases within reporting areas; and a variety of alarming techniques including Exponential Weighted Moving Average alarms and Early Aberration Detection. Soda Pop embeds these techniques within a user-interface designed to enhance an analyst’s understanding of emerging trends in their data and enables the inclusion of its graphical elements into their dossier for further tracking and reporting. The ultimate goal of this software is to facilitate the discovery of unknown disease signals along with increasing the speed of detection of unusual patterns within these signals. Soda Pop organizes common statistical disease surveillance tasks in a manner integrated with BSVE data source inputs and outputs. The app analyzes time-series disease data and supports a robust set of clustering and alarming routines that avoid strong assumptions on the nature of observed disease counts. This attribute allows for flexibility in the data source, spatial scale, and disease types making it useful to a wide range of analysts.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The Q 10 of in situ microbial soil respiration varies with mean annual temperature, precipitation, pH, and plant cover: a meta-analysis and spatial prediction of Q 10

The temperature sensitivity of soil microbial respiration, commonly quantified using the Q 10 coefficient, is a key parameter in carbon cycle models. Uncovering how environmental factors affect in situ Q 10 values can therefore provide critical insight into potential shifts in global carbon stocks under climate change. We collected data from previously published field experiments that measured soil microbial respiration across a range of temperatures. We hypothesized that the Q 10 coefficient of in situ soil microbial respiration would vary based on environmental factors including mean annual temperature (MAT), mean annual precipitation (MAP), plant cover type, pH, soil C:N, and latitude. Linear regression revealed that Q 10 correlates negatively with MAT and MAP and positively with pH and absolute latitude. Additionally, average Q 10 varied significantly across different plant cover types; it was highest in mountain grasslands and lowest in tropical moist forests. Variation in microbial Q 10 across environmental factors may arise from underlying mechanisms such as enzyme kinetics, substrate availability and complexity, and microbial adaptation. To capture patterns in Q 10 more comprehensively, we developed a multiple linear regression model of Q 10 based on the most individually significant environmental drivers and applied it to public datasets to generate a global map of predicted Q 10 . Q 10 was higher in high-latitude and high-altitude regions, where large permafrost carbon stores are vulnerable to thawing and decomposition. We also compared fits between the Q 10 equation and a model produced from macromolecular rate theory (MMRT). We found that the MMRT model had the superior fit and may be better suited to model temperature sensitivity of complex biological reactions. Overall, our results emphasize that relationships between microbial Q 10 and environmental variables should be accounted for in climate models. Incorporating these variations in the Q 10 parameter, rather than using a fixed value, will help predict whether CO 2 emissions will be buffered or exacerbated by soil microbial respiration under climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗