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At least 1,171 records · Page 65

Solar Activities Predictions: Long-Term Solar Activity

The need for long term solar activity predictions is addressed. The spatial organization of solar activity is described including applications for predictions, and ancient evidence for solar variability. Methods of predicting sunspot numbers are discussed. The inherent accuracy of the methods varies considerably, but a typical error bar 20%. The accuracy of sunspot cycle predictions is considered along with long term predictions of great solar events.

P S Mcintosh↗

Recent NASA Research on Aerodynamic Modeling of Post-Stall and Spin Dynamics of Large Transport Airplanes

A simulation study was conducted to investigate aerodynamic modeling methods for prediction of post-stall flight dynamics of large transport airplanes. The research approach involved integrating dynamic wind tunnel data from rotary balance and forced oscillation testing with static wind tunnel data to predict aerodynamic forces and moments during highly dynamic departure and spin motions. Several state-of-the-art aerodynamic modeling methods were evaluated and predicted flight dynamics using these various approaches were compared. Results showed the different modeling methods had varying effects on the predicted flight dynamics and the differences were most significant during uncoordinated maneuvers. Preliminary wind tunnel validation data indicated the potential of the various methods for predicting steady spin motions.

Murch, Austin M.↗

Hail damage to typical aircraft surfaces.

Severe structural damage can occur when aircraft collide with hailstones. Consequently, methods of predicting hail damage to airplane surfaces are needed by the aircraft designer. This paper describes an analytical method of predicting the dent depth and final deformed shape for simple structural components impacted by hailstones. The solution was accomplished by adapting the DEPROSS computer program to the problem of normal impact of hail on flat metallic sheets and spherical metallic caps. Experimental data and analytical predictions are presented for hail damage to typical aircraft surfaces along with a description of the hail gun and hail simulation technique used in the experimental study.

Hayduk, R. J.↗

Application of ride quality technology to predict ride satisfaction for commuter-type aircraft

A method was developed to predict passenger satisfaction with the ride environment of a transportation vehicle. This method, a general approach, was applied to a commuter-type aircraft for illustrative purposes. The effect of terrain, altitude and seat location were examined. The method predicts the variation in passengers satisfied for any set of flight conditions. In addition several noncommuter aircraft were analyzed for comparison and other uses of the model described. The method has advantages for design, evaluation, and operating decisions.

Jacobson, I. D.↗

D region predictions

Present knowledge of D region phenomena is briefly reviewed and the status of current methods of predicting their effects on radio propagation considered. The ELF, VLF and LF navigational and timing systems depend on the stability of the lower part of the D layer where these waves are reflected, whereas MF and HF waves are absorbed as they penetrate the region, in most cases mainly in the upper part of the layer. Possible methods of improving predictions, warnings, and real time operations are considered with particular stress on those which can be implemented in the near future.

Thrane, E. V.↗

A feasibility study for long-path multiple detection using a neural network

Least-squares inverse filters have found widespread use in the deconvolution of seismograms and the removal of multiples. The use of least-squares prediction filters with prediction distances greater than unity leads to the method of predictive deconvolution which can be used for the removal of long path multiples. The predictive technique allows one to control the length of the desired output wavelet by control of the predictive distance, and hence to specify the desired degree of resolution. Events which are periodic within given repetition ranges can be attenuated selectively. The method is thus effective in the suppression of rather complex reverberation patterns. A back propagation(BP) neural network is constructed to perform the detection of first arrivals of the multiples and therefore aid in the more accurate determination of the predictive distance of the multiples. The neural detector is applied to synthetic reflection coefficients and synthetic seismic traces. The processing results show that the neural detector is accurate and should lead to an automated fast method for determining predictive distances across vast amounts of data such as seismic field records. The neural network system used in this study was the NASA Software Technology Branch's NETS system.

Feuerbacher, G. A.↗

The Harmonic Linearized Navier-Stokes Equations for Transition Prediction in Three-Dimensional Flows

The conventional method to predict the onset of laminar-turbulent transition in convectively unstable boundary-layer flows is based on the logarithmic amplification ratio, the so-called N-factor, of the linear instability waves. To calculate the N-factor, the flow variables are decomposed into a laminar basic state solution and the linear disturbances, which are assumed to be harmonic in time. The most commonly used linear stability analysis approaches include the locally parallel linear stability theory (LST) and the nonlocal, weakly nonparallel parabolized stability equations (PSE). However, these methods do not account for strong streamwise gradients that are encountered in several configurations of interest, such as those in the vicinity of roughness elements, steps, gaps, or corners. To compute the linear evolution of disturbances along such strongly nonparallel regions, the harmonic linearized Navier-Stokes equations (HLNSE) need to be solved. The discretization of the HLNSE for spanwise/azimuthally inhomogeneous laminar basic states yields a linear system of complex arithmetic with a leading dimension of the order of 10^(7) to 10^(8) even in relatively simple flows. A combined multithread and multiprocessor algorithm is implemented for the direct solution of such linear systems. Results for a supersonic boundary layer over a three-dimensional roughness patch show good agreement with experimental measurements when the evolution of the instability waves over the roughness patch is included via the HLNSE. Additionally, inflow-resolvent analysis based on the HLNSE for discrete-roughness-induced disturbances in the nose tip of a blunt cone at Mach 6 demonstrates the importance of including the disturbance amplification along the near vicinity of the roughness element and separation region.

Boundary Layer Stability↗

The Harmonic Linearized Navier-Stokes Equations for Transition Prediction in Three-Dimensional Flows

The conventional method to predict the onset of laminar-turbulent transition in convectively unstable boundary-layer flows is based on the logarithmic amplification ratio, the so-called N-factor, of the linear instability waves. To calculate the N-factor, the flow variables are decomposed into a laminar basic state solution and the linear disturbances, which are assumed to be harmonic in time. The most commonly used linear stability analysis approaches include the locally parallel linear stability theory (LST) and the non-local, weakly nonparallel parabolized stability equations (PSE). However, these methods do not account for strong streamwise gradients that are encountered in several configurations of interest, as roughness elements, steps, gaps, or corners. To solve the linear evolution of disturbances along such strongly nonparallel regions, the harmonic linearized Navier-Stokes equations (HLNSE) need to be solved. The discretization of the HLNSE for spanwise/azimuthally inhomogeneous laminar basic states yields a linear system of complex arithmetic with a leading dimension of the order of 107 to 108. A combined multithread and multiprocessor algorithm is implemented for the direct solution of such linear system. Results for a supersonic boundary layer over a three-dimensional roughness patch show good agreement with experimental measurements when the evolution of the instability waves over the roughness patch is included via the HLNSE.

Boundary Layer Stability↗

Predicting Fatigue Lives Of Metal-Matrix/Fiber Composites

Method of prediction of fatigue lives of intermetallic-matrix/fiber composite parts at high temperatures styled after method of universal slopes. It suffices to perform relatively small numbers of fatigue tests. Data from fatigue tests correlated with tensile-test data by fitting universal-slopes equation to both sets of data. Thereafter, universal-slopes equation used to predict fatigue lives from tensile properties.

Bartolotta, Paul A.↗

Point-Mass Aircraft Trajectory Prediction Using a Hierarchical, Highly-Adaptable Software Design

A highly adaptable and extensible method for predicting four-dimensional trajectories of civil aircraft has been developed. This method, Behavior-Based Trajectory Prediction, is based on taxonomic concepts developed for the description and comparison of trajectory prediction software. A hierarchical approach to the "behavioral" layer of a point-mass model of aircraft flight, a clear separation between the "behavioral" and "mathematical" layers of the model, and an abstraction of the methods of integrating differential equations in the "mathematical" layer have been demonstrated to support aircraft models of different types (in particular, turbojet vs. turboprop aircraft) using performance models at different levels of detail and in different formats, and promise to be easily extensible to other aircraft types and sources of data. The resulting trajectories predict location, altitude, lateral and vertical speeds, and fuel consumption along the flight path of the subject aircraft accurately and quickly, accounting for local conditions of wind and outside air temperature. The Behavior-Based Trajectory Prediction concept was implemented in NASA's Traffic Aware Planner (TAP) flight-optimizing cockpit software application.

Karr, David A.↗

Loads and aeroelasticity division research and technology accomplishments for FY 1983 and plans for FY 1984

Research was done in the following areas: development and validation of solution algorithms, modeling techniques, integrated finite elements for flow-thermal-structural analysis and design, optimization of aircraft and spacecraft for the best performance, reduction of loads and increase in the dynamic structural stability of flexible airframes by the use of active control, methods for predicting steady and unsteady aerodynamic loads and aeroelastic characteristics of flight vehicles with emphasis on the transonic range, and methods for predicting and reducing helicoper vibrations.

Gardner, J. E.↗

Base Pressure at Supersonic Speeds on Two-dimensional Airfoils and on Bodies of Revolution with and Without Fins Having Turbulent Boundary Layers

An analysis has been made of available experimental data to show the effects of most of the variables that are more predominant in determining base pressure at supersonic speeds. The analysis covers base pressures for two-dimensional airfoils and for bodies of revolution with and without stabilizing fins and is restricted to turbulent boundary layers. The present status of available experimental information is summarized as are the existing methods for predicting base pressure. A simple semiempirical method is presented for estimating base pressure. For two-dimensional bases, this method stems from an analogy established between the base-pressure phenomena and the peak pressure rise associated with the separation of the boundary layer. An analysis made for axially symmetric flow indicates that the base pressure for bodies of revolution is subject to the same analogy. Based upon the methods presented, estimations are made of such effects as Mach number, angle of attack, boattailing, fineness ratio, and fins. These estimations give fair predictions of experimental results. (author)

LOVE EUGENE S↗

Statistical prediction of dynamic distortion of inlet flow using minimum dynamic measurement. An application to the Melick statistical method and inlet flow dynamic distortion prediction without RMS measurements

The Melick method of inlet flow dynamic distortion prediction by statistical means is outlined. A hypothetic vortex model is used as the basis for the mathematical formulations. The main variables are identified by matching the theoretical total pressure rms ratio with the measured total pressure rms ratio. Data comparisons, using the HiMAT inlet test data set, indicate satisfactory prediction of the dynamic peak distortion for cases with boundary layer control device vortex generators. A method for the dynamic probe selection was developed. Validity of the probe selection criteria is demonstrated by comparing the reduced-probe predictions with the 40-probe predictions. It is indicated that the the number of dynamic probes can be reduced to as few as two and still retain good accuracy.

Schweikhard, W. G.↗

Prediction of the acoustic impedance of duct liners

Recent research which contributes to the prediction of the acoustic impedance of duct liners is reviewed. This review includes the linear and nonlinear properties of sheet and bulk type materials and methods for the measurement of these properties. It also includes the effect of grazing flow on the acoustic properties of materials. Methods for predicting the properties of single or multilayered, point reacting or extended reaction, and flat or curved liners are discussed. Based on this review, methods for predicting the properties of the duct liners which are typically used in aircraft engines are recommended. Some areas of needed research are discussed briefly.

Zorumski, W. E.↗

Space shuttle orbiter mechanical refrigeration system

A radiator/condenser was designed which is efficient in both condensation (refrigeration) and liquid phase (radiator) operating modes, including switchover from the refrigeration mode to the radiator mode and vice versa. A method for predicting the pressure drop of a condensing two-phase flow in zero-gravity was developed along with a method for predicting the flow regime which would prevail along the condensation path. The hybrid refrigeration system was assembled with the two radiator/condenser panels installed in a space environment simulator. The system was tested under both atmospheric and vacuum conditions. Results of the tests are presented.

Williams, J. L.↗

The effects of interply damping layers on the dynamic response of composite structures

Integrated damping mechanics for composite laminates with interlaminar constrained layers of damping polymer materials are developed. Discrete layer damping mechanics for composite laminates with damping layers, in connection with a semi-analytical method for predicting the modal damping in simply-supported specialty composite plates are presented. Application cases demonstrate the advantages of the method. Damping predictions for graphite/epoxy composite plates of various laminations demonstrate the potential for higher damping than geometrically equivalent aluminum plates. The effects of aspect ratio, damping layer thickness, and fiber volume ratio on static and dynamic characteristics of the composite plate are also investigated.

Saravanos, D. A.↗

Performance prediction of concurrent systems

Concurrent systems are computers that use multiple processors to solve a single problem. A means to predict the application performance on these systems is a useful tool in many areas of concurrent system research. A computationally efficient and accurate method to predict performance for a class of parallel computations on concurrent systems is described. A parallel computation is modeled as a task system with precedence relationships expressed as a series parallel directed acyclic graph. Resources in concurrent systems are modeled as service centers in queueing network models. Using these two models as inputs, the method outputs predictions of both the time to complete the computation and the concurrent system utilization. The algorithm used is based on the approximate Mean Value Analysis in queueing network modeling with extensions to model concurrency in the computation. The new algorithm was validated against both detailed simulation and actual execution on a commercial multiprocessor.

Mak, Victor W. K.↗

Prediction of noise field of a propfan at angle of attack

A method for predicting the noise field of a propfan operating at an angle of attack to the oncoming flow is presented. The method takes advantage of the high-blade-count of the advanced propeller designs to provide an accurate and efficient formula for predicting their noise field. The formula, which is written in terms of the Airy function and its derivative, provides a very attractive alternative to the use of numerical integration. A preliminary comparison shows rather favorable agreement between the predictions from the present method and the experimental data.

Envia, Edmane↗