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DOE OSTI2023

Using machine learning to predict the correlation of spectra using SDSS magnitudes as an improvement to the Locus Algorithm

The Locus Algorithm is a new technique to improve the quality of differential photometry by optimising the choices of reference stars. At the heart of this algorithm is a routine to assess how good each potential reference star is by comparing its SDSS magnitude values to those of the target star. In this way, the difference in wavelength-dependent effects of the Earth’s atmospheric scattering between target and reference can be minimised. This paper sets out a new way to estimate the quality of each reference star using machine learning. A random subset of stars from SDSS with spectra was chosen. For each one, a suitable reference star, also with a spectrum, was chosen. The correlation between the two spectra in the SDSS r band (between 550 nm and 700 nm) was taken to be the gold-standard measure of how well they match up for differential photometry. The five SDSS magnitude values for each of these stars were used as predictors. A number of supervised machine learning models were constructed on a training set of the stars and were each evaluated on a testing set. The model using Support Vector Regression had the best performance of these models. It was then tested on a final, hold-out, validation set of stars to get an unbiased measure of its performance. With an R 2 of 0.62, the SVR model presents enhanced performance for the Locus Algorithm technique.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

CsI(Tl) pulse shape discrimination with the Belle II electromagnetic calorimeter as a novel method to improve particle identification at electron–positron colliders

Here we describe the implementation and performance of CsI(Tl) pulse shape discrimination for the Belle II electromagnetic calorimeter, representing the first application of CsI(Tl) pulse shape discrimination for particle identification at an electron–positron collider. The pulse shape characterization algorithms applied by the Belle II calorimeter are described. Control samples of $γ, μ^+, π^±, K^±$ and $ρ/ \bar{ρ}$ are used to demonstrate the significant insight into the secondary particle composition of calorimeter clusters that is provided by CsI(Tl) pulse shape discrimination. Comparisons with simulation are presented and provide further validation for newly developed CsI(Tl) scintillation response simulation techniques, which when incorporated with GEANT4 simulations allow the particle dependent scintillation response of CsI(Tl) to be modelled. Comparisons between data and simulation also demonstrate that pulse shape discrimination can be a new tool to identify sources of improvement in the simulation of hadronic interactions in materials. The $K^0_L$ efficiency and photon-as-hadron fake-rate of a multivariate classifier that is trained to use pulse shape discrimination is presented and comparisons are made to a shower-shape based approach. CsI(Tl) pulse shape discrimination is shown to reduce the photon-as-hadron fake-rate by over a factor of 3 at photon energies of 0.2 GeV and over a factor 10 at photon energies of 1 GeV.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Genetic algorithm optimization of tin–copper graded shielding for improved plutonium safeguards measurements

Plutonium nuclear material safeguards is essential to ensure that states do not divert plutonium to clandestine nuclear weapons programs. Traditional safeguards methods rely on correlated neutron measurements. Detection systems based on organic scintillators, which are sensitive to fast neutrons and photons, are gaining support for use in safeguards applications due to increased capabilities and shorter measurement times compared to the current state-of-the-art. A drawback of organic scintillators in plutonium measurements is data throughput limitations; 241 Am builds up in plutonium samples and emits 60-keV gamma rays with a high specific activity. In this work, a genetic algorithm is used to design graded shielding made of tin and copper to attenuate the 60-keV gamma rays. The shield is designed to limit the attenuation of the higher-energy, fission photons, because fission photons can be used as a signature. The genetic algorithm optimization takes days to run, while a complete search space exploration would take years. The genetic algorithm was run for different levels of 60-keV gamma-ray attenuation, and the thickness of the required shielding layers was determined at each level. Tin–copper shielding was placed in front of an array of organic scintillation detectors for a measurement of approximately 4.5 kg of alpha-phase, weapons-grade plutonium, an AmLi source, and a 252 Cf source. We show that the shield successfully attenuated low-energy, non-fission gamma rays, which significantly improved the organic scintillator performance.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2021

Improvements of pre-emptive identification of particle accelerator failures using binary classifiers and dimensionality reduction

In this paper we look at the properties of the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) Differential Beam Current Monitor (DCM) data and various methods of data transformation to improve pre-emptive detection of machine trips. In this study, the foundation of the approach is the analysis of new underlying data and understanding various properties with the goal of faster classification, higher precision and higher recall with the aim to reduce false positives as low as required. The result of the research presented in this paper are a binary classifier capable of predicting accelerator failures with millisecond classification time, 96% precision, 58% true positive and 0% false positive rate and optimization techniques enabling real-time implementations.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2021

Improving the characterization of fusion in a MuSIC detector by spatial localization

Multi-Sampling Ionization Chambers (MuSIC) provide an efficient means of measuring nuclear reactions with low beam rates (< 10 6 pps). However, in comparison to thin-target measurements, prior measurements using MuSIC detectors all manifest fusion excitation functions with wide error bars in the energy dimension. This uncertainty limits the applicability of these devices in measuring near and sub-barrier fusion cross-sections. Key to overcoming this limitation is spatial localization of the fusion in the detector. By comparing the measured ionization in the MuSIC detector with accurate energy loss calculations the position of the fusion in the detector is determined. The analysis not only provides the desired improvement in energy resolution, but it also allows extraction of the atomic number of the evaporation residues following fusion. Furthermore, the effectiveness of this approach is demonstrated for 18 O+ 12 C measured with MuSIC@Indiana.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2025

Model-driven prediction for accelerator magnet diagnostics to improve operation reliability

Reliability is one of the most critical metrics for accelerator operation, especially in user facilities. To reduce costly facility downtime and provide an operational environment where system performance can be reliably predicted in support of scientific studies, we are developing a model-driven approach for prediction and anomaly detection. Here, in this study, we present the application of a model-driven method that employs a linear regression model to predict the future temperature, in real time, of accelerator magnets at the NSLS-II light source. This approach enables proactive identification of magnet-heating issues, facilitating magnet flushing prior to the occurrence of permanent damage without interrupting machine operation. The implementation of this method in the NSLS-II control room is described and the analysis of the online results is presented. The results demonstrate the model’s effectiveness in providing early alerts to engineers and improving the reliability of accelerator operations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Towards improved neutral exhaust in the HSX stellarator

To improve our knowledge of neutral exhaust in non-resonant divertors, a particle exhaust study is performed for the Helically Symmetric eXperiment (HSX). The chaotic magnetic field topology in the plasma edge is examined with connection lengths and Lyapunov exponents. Plasma flux tubes are identified and these flux tubes deposit particles onto plasma facing components. This helps determine the areas where neutrals are generated and provides guidance on where to put baffles. As shown using EMC3-EIRENE simulations, the introduction of baffles can help increase the neutral pressure at and away from the strike line locations. Furthermore, it is demonstrated that baffle design cannot only be based on placing structures at locations with small connection lengths.

Baffles↗

DOE OSTI2020

Quantifying heavy quark transport coefficients with an improved transport model

We report that the heavy-flavor transport coefficients contain important information on the strong interaction at finite temperatures. The extraction of these numbers from experimental data requires dynamical modeling of heavy-flavor transport that is coupled to realistic medium evolution. Furthermore, meaningful extractions necessitate both a faithful implementation of the physical inputs to be tested and the quantification of model uncertainty. For these purposes, we have developed a partonic transport model LIDO. It has an improved treatment of in-medium parton bremsstrahlung, which has been calibrated to theoretical calculations in a simple medium to reduce modeling uncertainty. Regarding the interaction between heavy quark and the medium, few-body perturbative scatterings are applied to large-momentum transfer (q) processes, while a diffusion equation models the dynamics of small-q processes. Such a separation restricts the explicit use of medium quasi-particles to large-q processes only. Another advantage is that deviations from the leading-order probe-medium coupling can be parametrized as an additional contribution to the diffusion constant. The heavy quark transport coefficients are then extracted with uncertainty estimation from a Bayesian analysis including both the RHIC and the LHC data. The results are found to be consistent with earlier extraction of the light-quark transport coefficients at high momentum and be comparable with lattice calculations of the heavy-flavor diffusion constant in the static limit at low momentum.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Photoacoustic 3-D imaging of polycrystalline microstructure improved with transverse acoustic waves

Non-invasive fast imaging of grain microstructure of polycrystalline ceria with sub-micrometric spatial resolution is performed via time-domain Brillouin scattering. The propagation of a nanoacoustic pulse is monitored down to 8 µm deep in a 30 × 30 µm2 area. Grains boundaries are reconstructed in three-dimensions via a twostep processing method, relying on the wavelet synchro-squeezed transform and the alpha shape algorithm. Imaging contrast is improved by taking advantage of stronger sensitivity to anisotropy of transverse acoustic waves, compared with longitudinal waves. Utilization of transverse waves in the image processing reveals additional boundaries that are not discerned using longitudinal waves, confirmed by an electron backscattering diffraction pattern. A buried inclined interface between differently oriented grains is identified by monitoring changes in amplitude (phase) of the portion of the signal associated with transverse (longitudinal) waves. Estimates of the inclination angle of this interface prove the sensitivity of our laser ultrasonic method to image inclined boundaries.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Review: The Next Steps in Crop Improvement: Adoption of Emerging Strategies to Identify Bottlenecks in Sugar Flux

We report sugar allocation in plants is the fundamental process that transports sugar from source to sink tissues and has a dramatic impact on crop yields. Controlling sugar allocation is required to increase crop yields, as well as biomass for biofuel production. Successful examples have demonstrated that genetic engineering of sugar partitioning offers a promising strategy to achieve this goal. However, improvement has thus far been limited by gaps in understanding of the underlying mechanisms controlling the allocation of sugars. The dynamics of sugar partitioning are minimally predictable under different conditions, between species, or in response to abiotic stresses. Here, we discuss four methodologies that have not been sufficiently exploited for the identification of bottlenecks in sugar flux. Furthermore, we suggest how these strategies can be used and combined to provide the insight needed to maximize crop yields or biomass, especially under conditions of environmental stress.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Combining cross-pivot flexures to generate improved kinematically equivalent flexure systems

In this work, we show that new kinematic equivalents with improved performance of standard flexure elements can be systematically synthesized by combination of cross-pivot flexures. Cross-pivot flexures provide a unique feature of kinematic stability under both high loading and large displacement conditions which can be exploited to synthesize a range of kinematic equivalents to standard flexure elements which retain much greater stiffness, load capacity and range capacity than the traditional elements. Cross-pivot synthetic elements provide a means to expand the performance of a large range of flexure-based structures including motion stages, manufacturing equipment and optical systems. This could result in better data collection, smaller systems, and less distortion in operation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

An improved semi-global intrinsic kinetics model for high temperature carbon oxidation

Measurements of the oxidation rates of various forms of carbon (soot, graphite, coal char) have often shown an unexplained attenuation with increasing temperatures in the vicinity of 2000 K, even when accounting for diffusional transport limitations and gas-phase chemical effects (e.g. CO 2 dissociation). With the development of oxy-fuel combustion approaches for pulverized coal utilization with carbon capture, high particle temperatures are readily achieved in sufficiently oxygen-enriched environments. Here, in this work, a new semi-global intrinsic kinetics model for high temperature carbon oxidation is created by starting with a previously developed 5-step mechanism that was shown to reproduce all major known trends in carbon oxidation, except for its high temperature kinetic falloff, and incorporating a recently discovered surface oxide decomposition step. The predictions of this new model are benchmarked by deploying the kinetic model in a steady-state reacting particle code (SKIPPY) and comparing the simulated results against a carefully measured set of pulverized coal char combustion temperature measurements over a wide range of oxygen concentrations in N 2 and CO 2 environments. The results show that the inclusion of the spontaneous surface oxide decomposition reaction step significantly improves predictions at high particle temperatures. Furthermore, the simulations reveal that O atoms released from the oxide decomposition step enhance the radical pool in the near-surface region and within the particle interior itself. Incorporation of literature rates for O and OH reactions with the carbon surface results in a reduction in the predicted radical pool concentrations and a very minor enhancement of the overall carbon oxidation rate.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Measuring Success: A Refined Methodology for Estimating Long-term Continuous Improvement

Successful resource management systems require current and detailed feedback on operational and corporate-level performance. As corporate accountability concerns intensify, the precision and reliability of these performance metrics have become crucial. Traditional savings estimation methods can be difficult to understand, particularly linear regression, and can provide varying results. This paper reviews common efficiency metrics and highlights underlying mathematical inconsistencies when estimating total and percent savings with current methods. A refined approach to calculating long-term utility savings is proposed that simplifies current methodologies utilizing ratios to define an adjusted baseline, allowing for consistent and fair aggregation of results across multiple scales from resources to corporate performance. A simplified example demonstrates how the proposed methodology improves upon existing methods, especially in intermediate years. This paper’s major contributions are the simplified approach for converting modeled utility usage into estimated savings and the consistent roll-up methodology enabling more comparable, aggregable, and actionable results across scales.

Price, Chris [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000202007906)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Improved signal stability in inductively coupled plasma–atomic emission spectrometry through use of tandem spray chambers and surfactant addition

A search for causes of intermittent mid-term (about two hours) instability in emission signals from an inductively coupled plasma led to adoption of a tandem spray-chamber arrangement and subsequently to use of a surfactant (Triton X-100) to mitigate the remaining and newly found instabilities. Through a series of investigations, abrupt signal excursions in the tandem setup were traced to droplet coagulation and drainage inside the glass tube that connected the two spray chambers. However, the signal shifts were not the result of sample-solution release directly but rather to the influence of the underlying factors on plasma behavior. Experiments tailored to the study included not only examination of temporal signal behavior but also collection of long-term videos and measurement of radiofrequency characteristics of the plasma. The addition of a surfactant, Triton X-100, for signal-stability improvement is applicable not only to systems that employ tandem spray chambers but also to conventional single Scott-type chamber arrangements. Further, use of the surfactant was unsuccessful in overcoming “acid effects”, either of the steady-state or transient nature, and did not alter plasma background or analyte signals significantly.

Inductively coupled plasma–atomic emission spectro↗

DOE OSTI2021

The detrimental effect of elemental contaminants when using B additions to improve the creep properties of a Ni-based superalloy

The effect of Si contamination when using B to improve the creep properties of a Ni-based superalloy was investigated using advanced characterization techniques and first-principles simulations on alloys with high and low B levels with varying Si contents. The positive effect of B segregation along grain boundaries on the creep properties was mitigated by the presence of Si which showed a similar segregation preference. Density functional theory calculations were used for validation by calculating grain boundary cleavage energies. Silicon was shown to decrease grain boundary cohesion which offsets the positive effect of B.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Use of Physics to Improve Solar Forecast: Physics-Informed Persistence Models for Simultaneously Forecasting GHI, DNI, and DHI

Observation-based statistical models have been widely used in forecasting solar energy; however, existing models often lack a clear relation to physics and are limited largely to global horizontal irradiance (GHI) forecasts over relatively short time horizons (< 1 hour). Incorporating physics into observation-based models, increasing forecast time horizons and developing a model system for forecasting not only GHI but also direct normal irradiance (DNI) and diffuse horizontal irradiance (DHI) remain challenging, especially under cloudy conditions because of complex cloud-radiation interactions. This work attempts to address these challenges by developing a hierarchy of four new physics-informed persistence models that can be used to simultaneously forecast GHI, DNI and DHI. The decade-long measurements (1998 to 2014) at the U.S. Department of Energy's Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM)'s Southern Great Plains (SGP) Central Facility site are used to evaluate the performance of the new models. Overall, the results show that the new physics-informed forecast models generally outperform the simple and smart persistence models, and improve the forecast accuracy at lead times from 1.25 hours up to 6 hours. Further analysis reveals that the forecast error is highly related to the error and temporal variability of the assumed cloud predictor. The best model for forecasting different radiative components can be explained by the relationship between solar irradiances and cloud properties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Trapezoidal grid fingers to reduce shadowing loss and improve short circuit current

Traditional metallic contacts on solar cells can cover a substantial portion of the device area, resulting in shadowing of light that diminishes the amount of current collected. In this paper, we developed trapezoidal electron-beam evaporated Ti/Al front grid fingers on GaAs single-junction solar cells to decrease the optical shadowing and increase the photogenerated current. Here, we observe a high fill factor of 87% at 1-Sun light intensity and we observe no degradation on the open-circuit voltage. The short-circuit current density is found to increase by 0.4 mA/cm 2 when compared to previously demonstrated electroplated Ni/Au front grid fingers, resulting in an efficiency improvement of ~0.8% absolute.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Significant improvement of conversion efficiency by passivation of low-angle grain boundaries in flexible low-cost single-crystal-like GaAs thin-film solar cells directly deposited on metal tape

We develop an easily implementable yet effective process to achieve high power conversion efficiency in newly-developed flexible single-crystal-like GaAs thin-film photovoltaic solar cells on cheap metal tape. We study various techniques on the fabricated devices to passivate the defect states associated with dangling bonds at low-angle grain boundaries (LA-GBs) existing in the single-crystal-like GaAs material. We report that sulfur by trioctylphosphine sulfide (TOP:S) solution treatment can partially but effectively passivate the defect states at the LA-GBs to increase all the solar cell performance parameters of open-circuit voltage VOC (33.2%), short-circuit current JSC (19.5%), and fill factor FF (25.8%), resulting in the improvement of the power conversion efficiency more than double. The material and device characterizations and numerical modeling are performed to propose a mechanism, also suggesting that the power conversion efficiency higher than 20%, which is an important target milestone in emerging solar cell technologies, can be achieved. This work presents the first effective passivation of the bulk defects in GaAs at the device level and can also offer a solution for other photonic and electronic devices using non-single-crystalline GaAs films for flexible electronics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗