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At least 1,171 records · Page 65

Influence of Tundra Polygon Type and Climate Variability on CO 2 and CH 4 Fluxes Near Utqiagvik, Alaska

Arctic tundra has the potential to generate significant climate feedbacks, but spatial complexity makes it difficult to quantify the impacts of climate on ecosystem-atmosphere fluxes, particularly in polygonal tundra comprising wetter and drier polygon types on the scale of tens of meters. We measured CO 2 , CH 4 , and energy fluxes using eddy covariance for 7 yr (April to November, 2013–2019) in polygonal tundra near Utqiagvik, Alaska. This period saw the earliest snowmelt, latest snow accumulation, and hottest summer on record. To estimate fluxes by polygon type, we combined a polygon classification with a flux-footprint model. Methane fluxes were highest in the summer months but were also large during freeze-up and increased with the warming trend in August–November temperatures. While CO 2 respiration had a consistent, exponential relationship with temperature, net ecosystem exchange was more variable among years. CO 2 and CH 4 exchange (June–September) ranged between -0.83 (Standard error [SE] = 0.03) and -1.32 (SE = 0.04) μmol m -2 s-1 and 13.92 (SE = 0.26)—23.42 (SE = 0.45) nmol m -2 s -1 , respectively, and varied interannually (p ≤ 0.05). The maximum-influence method effectively attributed fluxes to polygon types. Areas dominated by low-centered polygons had higher CO 2 fluxes except in 2016–2017. Methane fluxes were highest in low-centered polygons 2013–2015 and in flat-centered polygons in subsequent years, possibly due to increasing temperature and precipitation. Sensible and latent heat fluxes also varied significantly among polygon types. Accurate characterization of Arctic fluxes and their climate dependencies requires spatial disaggregation and long term observations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

High-frequency and Vertical Variations of Soil Moisture and their Impact on Ecosystem Dynamics

The vertical distribution of subsurface moisture is a major control on ecosystem dynamics and climate. The Mediterranean climate of California, with wet winters and dry summers, provides a testbed for understanding how transpiration is sustained through extended dry periods. The project developed and tested a new subsurface hydrology model that includes a parameterization of stochastic hydraulic conductivity to capture fracture flow, a diagnostic model of rooting profile that depends on the subsurface hydrology, and a representation of hydraulic redistribution by plant roots. A sensitivity study shows that it is plants with rooting depths >8 m that could access the subsurface moisture. The insight is applied to understand differential tree mortality during the 2012-2016 drought in California. The analysis shows that greater mortality trees on plutonic rocks than on sedimentary rocks. The study demonstrates, for the first time, the importance of lithology for the distribution and health of ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mapping the Path Forward to Next Generation Algal Technologies: Workshop on Understanding the Rules of Life and Complexity in Algal Systems

Algal technology offers enormous potential as a source of renewable biomass and bioproducts for fuels, biochemicals, nutrients, and numerous other applications. While tremendous opportunities exist, significant challenges are also present in harnessing and utilizing this valuable and potentially sustainable bioproduction platform. Funded by a joint partnership between the Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO) at the Department of Energy (DOE) and the National Science Foundation (NSF), the recent virtual workshop, "Understanding the Rules of Life: Complexity in Algal Systems Workshop," was organized to bring together thought leaders from academia, national laboratories and other government agencies, and industry to identify key challenges and propose research strategies to overcome these barriers. Two parallel sessions were undertaken: 1) algae strain and toolkit development and 2) algal ecosystem and microbiome dynamics, in order to advance algae engineering and cultivation efforts. In each session, attendees discussed the most pressing challenges from the perspective of model systems and omics analysis. Themes such as genetic engineering toolboxes, translation from the laboratory to outdoor cultivation, functional genomics, metabolomics, algal ecology, consortial design, microbiome dynamics, mathematical models, and data analytics emerged from the discussion. Overall, this workshop has served to elucidate the key hurdles and many opportunities present as we continue to advance algal science and technology from the laboratory and into the commercial realm.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

On the transferability of residence time distributions in two 10-km long river sections with similar hydromorphic units

Quantifying hydrologic exchange fluxes (HEFs) at the stream-groundwater interface and their residence time distributions (RTDs) in the subsurface are important for managing the water quality and ecosystem health in dynamic river corridors. However, direct simulating high-spatial resolution HEFs and RTDs can be time-consuming, especially for watershed-scale modeling. Efficient surrogate models linking RTDs to hydromorphic units (HUs) can be alternatives for simulating RTDs in large-scale models. A common concern of these surrogate models, though, is the transferability of the relationship between the RTDs and HUs from one river corridor to another. To address this issue, this work evaluates the HEFs and resulting RTD-HU relationships for two 10-km long river corridors along the Columbia River leveraging a one-way coupled three-dimensional transient surface-subsurface water transport modeling framework we previously developed. Applying such a framework at the two river corridors with similar HUs allows for quantitative comparisons of HEFs and RTDs using both statistical tests and machine learning classification models. Finally, our comparison shows that the similarity and transferability of the RTD-HU relationship is very low for the two investigated river sections, which suggests that devising a general algorithm to estimate RTDs based solely on surface water hydrodynamics and short-distance river channel topography data, as well as HU classification, might be nearly impossible.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

xCDAT: A Python Package for Simple and Robust Analysis of Climate Data

xCDAT (Xarray Climate Data Analysis Tools) is an open-source Python package that extends Xarray (Hoyer & Hamman, 2017) for climate data analysis on structured grids. xCDAT streamlines analysis of climate data by exposing common climate analysis operations through a set of straightforward APIs. Some of xCDAT’s key features include spatial averaging, temporal averaging, and regridding. These features are inspired by the Community Data Analysis Tools (CDAT) library (Dean N. Williams et al., 2009) (D. N. Williams, 2014) (Doutriaux et al., 2019) and leverage powerful packages in the Xarray ecosystem including xESMF (Zhuang et al., 2023), xgcm (Abernathey et al., 2022), and CF xarray (Cherian et al., 2023). To ensure general compatibility across various climate models, xCDAT operates on datasets that are compliant with the Climate and Forecast (CF) metadata conventions (Hassell et al., 2017).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A general mechanistic framework for cross-scale understanding of hot spots and hot moments in carbon and water fluxes

Semi-arid ecosystems, like those in the American Southwest, exert a massive impact on the interannual variability of carbon and water cycling. Unfortunately, these carbon and water fluxes are notoriously difficult to predict due to their high spatial and temporal variability, which is poorly captured by the current generation of vegetation models. Indeed, this region is exemplified by the ‘hot spots and hot moments’ concept, which states that small areas in space (‘hot spots’) and transient moments in time (‘hot moments’) exert an outsized influence on biogeochemical cycling. However, the factors that regulate these pulses in biogeochemical activity are unknown, as is their variability across space and time. These uncertainties severely limit efforts to better represent hot spots and hot moments in models. Here, we seek to develop a generalized method for detecting and quantifying the importance of hot spots and hot moments from individual plant to regional scales. Underpinning this method is our recently developed statistical approach for identifying hot spots and hot moments. By applying this method to semi-continuous measurements of plant water status, a depth profile of soil water potential, and ecosystem fluxes via eddy covariance, we will track the fate of water through the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum and identify the mechanistic drivers of these transient pulses in biogeochemical activity. Then, we will expand this approach across a broad network of Ameriflux towers, and apply a machine learning approach that will allow us to upscale measurements of hot spots and hot moments across the American Southwest and quantify their impact on carbon and water cycles. These products will allow us to identify hot spots and hot moments across spatio-temporal scales and will serve as crucial data sources for validating a new generation of models that can better capture highly dynamic carbon and water fluxes. The proposed method will be easily transferable across biomes and will serve as a framework for future research on hot spots and hot moments across the plant ecophysiology, biometeorology, and vegetation modeling communities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A data-driven global soil heterotrophic respiration dataset and the drivers of its inter-annual variability

Soil heterotrophic respiration (SHR), one of the primary carbon fluxes from terrestrial ecosystems to the atmosphere, is important for carbon-climate feedbacks because of its sensitivity to available litter and soil carbon, climatic conditions, and nutrient availability. However, until recently limited SHR data were available, and most published global SHR estimates have either a short time span, coarse spatial resolution, or reply on overly-simple model formulations. To better understand and quantify the global distribution of SHR and its sensitivity to climate variability, we produced a new global SHR dataset using Random Forest algorithms, up-scaling 455 point data from the Global Soil Respiration Database (SRDB 4.0) with gridded fields of climatic, edaphic and productivity as explanatory variables. We estimated a global total SHR of 46.8 Pg C yr-1 over 1985-2013 (95% confidence interval: 38.6-56.3 Pg C yr-1), with a significant increasing trend of 0.03 Pg C yr-2 during this period. We found that the choice of soil moisture datasets contributes more to the difference among these data-driven SHR members rather than that of productivity, temperature and precipitation data sources. We also analyzed the influence of climatic variables on the inter-annual variability (IAV) of our SHR product. Water availability was the dominant driver of IAV at global scales, although the inferred sensitivity depends on the choice of the soil moisture gridded dataset. At the ecosystem scale, temperature strongly controls the IAV of SHR in tropical forests, while water availability dominates in extra-tropical forest and semi-arid regions. Our machine-learning gridded SHR dataset and outputs from process-based land surface models (TRENDYv6) show agreement for a strong association between water variability and SHR IAV at the global scale, but the two approaches lead to different temporal trend globally and different controlling variables for IAV at the ecosystem scale. Our study provides evidence for the pervasive and important role of water availability in driving SHR, indicating both a direct effect limiting decomposition rates and an indirect effect through the amount of fresh organic matter made available to SHR from productivity. In consideration of potential limitations and uncertainties remaining in our data-driven SHR datasets, we call for a more scientifically designed observation network for SHR, more observation data compilation, and increased use of deep learning methods making maximum use of observation data in hand. This will benefit process-based models, and improve our understanding of SHR response to future anomalous environmental conditions.

Yao, Yitong↗

Earth's record-high greenness and its attributions in 2020

Terrestrial vegetation is a crucial component of Earth's biosphere, regulating global carbon and water cycles and contributing to human welfare. Despite an overall greening trend, terrestrial vegetation exhibits a significant inter-annual variability. The mechanisms driving this variability, particularly those related to climatic and anthropogenic factors, remain poorly understood, which hampers our ability to project the long-term sustainability of ecosystem services. Here, in this work, by leveraging diverse remote sensing measurements, we pinpointed 2020 as a historic landmark, registering as the greenest year in modern satellite records from 2001 to 2020. Using ensemble machine learning and Earth system models, we found this exceptional greening primarily stemmed from consistent growth in boreal and temperate vegetation, attributed to rising CO 2 levels, climate warming, and reforestation efforts, alongside a transient tropical green-up linked to the enhanced rainfall. Contrary to expectations, the COVID-19 pandemic lockdowns had a limited impact on this global greening anomaly. Our findings highlight the resilience and dynamic nature of global vegetation in response to diverse climatic and anthropogenic influences, offering valuable insights for optimizing ecosystem management and informing climate mitigation strategies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Decreased growth of wild soil microbes after 15 years of transplant‐induced warming in a montane meadow

Abstract The carbon stored in soil exceeds that of plant biomass and atmospheric carbon and its stability can impact global climate. Growth of decomposer microorganisms mediates both the accrual and loss of soil carbon. Growth is sensitive to temperature and given the vast biological diversity of soil microorganisms, the response of decomposer growth rates to warming may be strongly idiosyncratic, varying among taxa, making ecosystem predictions difficult. Here, we show that 15 years of warming by transplanting plant–soil mesocosms down in elevation, strongly reduced the growth rates of soil microorganisms, measured in the field using undisturbed soil. The magnitude of the response to warming varied among microbial taxa. However, the direction of the response—reduced growth—was universal and warming explained twofold more variation than did the sum of taxonomic identity and its interaction with warming. For this ecosystem, most of the growth responses to warming could be explained without taxon‐specific information, suggesting that in some cases microbial responses measured in aggregate may be adequate for climate modeling. Long‐term experimental warming also reduced soil carbon content, likely a consequence of a warming‐induced increase in decomposition, as warming‐induced changes in plant productivity were negligible. The loss of soil carbon and decreased microbial biomass with warming may explain the reduced growth of the microbial community, more than the direct effects of temperature on growth. These findings show that direct and indirect effects of long‐term warming can reduce growth rates of soil microbes, which may have important feedbacks to global warming.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Movement with meaning: integrating information into meta-ecology

Fluxes of matter, energy and information over space and time contribute to ecosystems' functioning and stability. The meta-ecosystem framework addresses the dynamics of ecosystems linked by these fluxes but, to date, has focused solely on energy and matter. Here, we synthesize existing knowledge of information's effects on local and connected ecosystems and demonstrate how new hypotheses emerge from the integration of ecological information into meta-ecosystem theory. First, we begin by defining information and reviewing how it flows among ecosystems to affect connectivity, local ecosystem function and meta-ecosystem dynamics. We focus on the role of semiotic information: that which can reduce an individual's – or a group's – uncertainty about the state of the world. Semiotic information elicits behavioral, developmental and life history responses from organisms, potentially leading to fitness consequences. Organisms' responses to information can ripple through trophic interactions to influence ecosystem processes, their local and regional dynamics, and the spatiotemporal flows of energy and matter, therefore information should affect meta-ecosystem dynamics such as stability and productivity. While specific subdisciplines of ecology currently consider different types of information (e.g. social and cultural information, natural and artificial light or sound, body condition, genotype and phenotype), many ecological models currently account for neither the spatio–temporal distribution of information nor its perception by organisms. We identify the empirical, theoretical and philosophical challenges in developing a robust information meta-ecology and offer ways to overcome them. Finally, we present new hypotheses for how accounting for realistic information perception and responses by organisms could impact processes such as home range formation and spatial insurance, and thus our understanding of ecological dynamics across spatial and temporal scales. Accounting for information will be essential to understanding how dynamics such as fitness, organismal movement and trophic interactions influence meta-ecosystem functioning, and predicting how ecosystem processes are affected by anthropogenic pressures.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multiscale assessment of North American terrestrial carbon balance

Abstract. Comparisons of carbon uptake estimates from bottom-up terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) to top-down atmospheric inversions help assess how well we understand carbon dioxide (CO2) exchange between the atmosphere and terrestrial biosphere. Previous comparisons have shown varying levels of agreement between bottom-up and top-down approaches, but they have almost exclusively focused on large, aggregated scales (e.g., global or continental), providing limited insights into reasons for the mismatches. Here we explore how consistency, defined as the spread in net ecosystem exchange (NEE) estimates within an ensemble of TBMs or inversions, varies with at finer spatial scales ranging from 1∘×1∘ to the continent of North America. We also evaluate how well consistency informs accuracy in overall NEE estimates by filtering models based on their agreement with the variability, magnitude, and seasonality in observed atmospheric CO2 drawdowns or enhancements. We find that TBMs produce more consistent estimates of NEE for most regions and at most scales relative to inversions. Filtering models using atmospheric CO2 metrics causes ensemble spread to decrease substantially for TBMs, but not for inversions. This suggests that ensemble spread is likely not a reliable measure of the uncertainty associated with the North American carbon balance at any spatial scale. Promisingly, applying atmospheric CO2 metrics leads to a set of models with converging flux estimates across TBMs and inversions. Overall, we show that multiscale assessment of the agreement between bottom-up and top-down NEE estimates, aided by regional-scale observational constraints is a promising path towards identifying fine-scale sources of uncertainty and improving both ensemble consistency and accuracy. These findings help refine our understanding of biospheric carbon balance, particularly at scales relevant for informing regional carbon-climate feedbacks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mixotrophic microbes create carbon tipping points under warming

Mixotrophs are ubiquitous and integral to microbial food webs, but their impacts on the dynamics and functioning of broader ecosystems are largely unresolved. Here, we show that mixotrophy produces a unique type of food web module that exhibits unusual ecological dynamics, with surprising consequences for carbon flux under warming. We develop a generalizable model of a mixotrophic food web module that incorporates dynamic switching between phototrophy and phagotrophy to assess ecological dynamics and total system CO 2 flux. We find that warming switches mixotrophic systems between alternative stable carbon states—including a phototrophy-dominant carbon sink state, a phagotrophy-dominant carbon source state and cycling between these two. Moreover, warming always shifts this mixotrophic system from a carbon sink state to a carbon source state, but a coordinated increase in nutrients can erase early warning signals of this transition and expand hysteresis. This suggests that mixotrophs can generate critical carbon tipping points under warming that will be more abrupt and less reversible when combined with increased nutrient levels, having widespread implications for ecosystem functioning in the face of rapid global change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

High-performance computing leadership to enable advances in artificial intelligence and a thriving compute ecosystem

The past three decades have witnessed the widespread adoption of high-performance computing (HPC) as an essential tool in the advancement of science. From accelerating critical research in the wake of a global pandemic to climate modelling and national security, HPC has become integral to the most cutting-edge scientific research around the world and across application domains. The global competition to debut the next fastest supercomputer keeps pushing the field forward. Meanwhile, increasing capabilities are bringing hallmarks of science fiction, such as artificial intelligence (AI), into daily life. However, the tremendous power of new computing systems comes with an increased concern about equitable access to these resources and their impact on supporting a thriving workforce.

Tourassi, Georgia↗

An Integrative Model for Soil Biogeochemistry and Methane Processes. II: Warming and Elevated CO 2 Effects on Peatland CH 4 Emissions

Peatlands are one of the largest natural sources for atmospheric methane (CH 4 ), a potent greenhouse gas. Climate warming and elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) are two important environmental factors that have been confirmed to stimulate peatland CH 4 emissions; however, the mechanisms underlying enhanced emissions remain elusive. A data-model integration approach was applied to understand the CH 4 processes in a northern temperate peatland under a gradient of warming and doubled atmospheric CO 2 concentration. We found that warming and elevated CO 2 stimulated CH 4 emissions through different mechanisms. Warming initially stimulated but then suppressed vegetative productivity while stimulating soil organic matter (SOM) mineralization and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) fermentation, which led to higher acetate production and enhanced acetoclastic and hydrogenotrophic methanogenesis. Warming also enhanced surface CH 4 emissions, which combined with warming-caused decreases in CH 4 solubility led to slightly lower dissolved CH 4 concentrations through the soil profiles. Elevated CO 2 enhanced ecosystem productivity and SOM mineralization, resulting in higher DOC and acetate concentrations. Higher DOC and acetate concentrations increased acetoclastic and hydrogenotrophic methanogenesis and led to higher dissolved CH 4 concentrations and CH 4 emissions. Both warming and elevated CO 2 had minor impacts on CH 4 oxidation. A meta-analysis of warming and elevated CO 2 impacts on carbon cycling in wetlands agreed well with a majority of the modeled mechanisms. Finally, this mechanistic understanding of the stimulating impacts of warming and elevated CO 2 on peatland CH 4 emissions enhances our predictability on the climate-ecosystem feedback.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Aerosols from anthropogenic and biogenic sources and their interactions – modeling aerosol formation, optical properties, and impacts over the central Amazon basin

The Green Ocean Amazon experiment – GoAmazon 2014–2015 – explored the interactions between natural biogenic forest emissions from central Amazonia and urban air pollution from Manaus. Previous GoAmazon 2014–2015 studies showed that nitrogen oxide (NO x = NO + NO 2 ) and sulfur oxide (SO x ) emissions from Manaus strongly interact with biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs), affecting secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formation. In previous studies, ground-based and aircraft measurements provided evidence of SOA formation and strong changes in aerosol composition and properties. Aerosol optical properties also evolve, and their impacts on the Amazonian ecosystem can be significant. As particles age, some processes, such as SOA production, black carbon (BC) deposition, particle growth and the BC lensing effect change the aerosol optical properties, affecting the solar radiation flux at the surface. This study analyzes data and models SOA formation using the Weather Research and Forecasting with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model to assess the spatial variability in aerosol optical properties as the Manaus plumes interact with the natural atmosphere. The following aerosol optical properties are investigated: single scattering albedo (SSA), asymmetry parameter (g aer ), absorption Ångström exponent (AAE) and scattering Ångström exponent (SAE). These simulations were validated using ground-based measurements at three experimental sites, namely the Amazon Tall Tower Observatory – ATTO (T0a), downtown Manaus (T1), Tiwa Hotel (T2) and Manacapuru (T3), as well as the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Gulfstream 1 (G-1) aircraft flights. WRF-Chem simulations were performed over 7 d during March 2014. Results show a mean biogenic SOA (BSOA) mass enrichment of 512 % at the T1 site, 450 % in regions downwind of Manaus, such as the T3 site, and 850 % in areas north of the T3 site in simulations with anthropogenic emissions. The SOA formation is rather fast, with about 80 % of the SOA mass produced in 3–4 h. Comparing the plume from simulations with and without anthropogenic emissions, SSA shows a downwind reduction of approximately 10 %, 11 % and 6 % at the T1, T2 and T3 sites, respectively. Other regions, such as those further downwind of the T3 site, are also affected. The g aer values increased from 0.62 to 0.74 at the T1 site and from 0.67 to 0.72 at the T3 site when anthropogenic emissions are active. During the Manaus plume-aging process, a plume tracking analysis shows an increase in SSA from 0.91 close to Manaus to 0.98 160 km downwind of Manaus as a result of SOA production and BC deposition.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sticky roots--implications of widespread, cryptic, viral infection of plants in natural and managed ecosystems for soil carbon processing in the rhizosphere

Plants strongly influence soil properties through rhizodeposition, in which exudates diffuse from roots, additional secretions are actively released, and root cells are sloughed into the soil. This contribution by plants of carbon compounds belowground is at the core of soil health, water holding capacity, and the soil carbon storage that pulls carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere. Once in soil, organic matter can bind with minerals such as iron hydroxides, where it can be protected from microbial attack for millenia, preserving very large terrestrial soil carbon pools. However, those same compounds contributed by roots to soil may also destabilize the long-term protective associations of SOM with minerals, making that soil organic matter (SOM) more vulnerable to microbial attack and decomposition. Plant roots thus influence both the buildup and breakdown of soil carbon pools. DOE’s E3SM Land Model (ELM) includes a representation of soil carbon storage on minerals, but the potential vulnerability of SOM–mineral associations to effects of rhizodeposition is not yet represented in ELM. To begin testing for this effect of rhizodeposition on soil carbon storage and decomposition, we worked to develop a novel approach during this TES Exploratory project DE-SC0019142 – we harnessed the power of plant viral infection. We examined whether plant virus infection can serve as a tool to intensify rhizodeposition at the root surface, and therefore possibly intensify mobilization of SOM from minerals making it visible to our analytical techniques. Viral infection is widespread in terrestrial ecosystems; 25-70% of plants have virus infection, yet the influence of such infection on root traits and terrestrial soil carbon dynamics remains largely unexplored. We used two plant hosts: the annual Avena sativa (oats) and the genetically tractable, model grass Brachypodium distachyon. These grasses were infected with the broad host range virus Barley Yellow Dwarf Virus (BYDV) via aphids (Rhopalosiphum padi). BYDV infects at least 150 grass species in agricultural and natural ecosystems, and in previous experiments, oats infected with BYDV had roots that were very sticky to the touch, strongly suggesting that infection altered rhizodeposition. We developed this new experimental approach mostly in a one virus (Barley Yellow Dwarf Virus)–one plant (Avena sativa) system. (Several effects of infection in a Brachypodium-BYDV system were similar in nature to effects on Avena sativa, but were more variable.) In the BYDV-Avena system, we developed protocols for consistently infecting target plants (and avoiding infection of control plants) using aphid caging on leaves. We measured that infected plants exhibited reduced photosynthesis, plant (including root) biomass, and root:shoot ratio, as well as simplified root system architecture. We established procedures for sampling the organic compounds carried specifically in phloem (vascular tissue) of leaves and roots, using aphid stylectomy. We used FTICR-MS, Orbitrap GC-MS, and LC-MS/MS to analyze organic compounds in phloem, liquid around roots of plants grown hydroponically, and pore water around roots in soil, and found differences in the compounds in solution bathing roots when infected and uninfected plants were grown hydroponically. Finally, we synthesized isotopically-labeled mineral–organic matter (MAOM) associations in the lab and developed assays using them in solution and in soil. Assays quantified the extent and rate of mineralization of labeled MAOM that was mobilized by functionally distinct rhizodeposits and then attacked by microbes. Two mechanisms for MAOM mobilization emerged, with distinct dynamics. During “direct” mobilization, rhizodeposits such as the strong ligand oxalic acid could drive rapid dissolution of minerals, mobilizing MAOM. During “indirect” mobilization, rhizodeposits such as the simple sugar glucose did not attack minerals directly but instead intensified microbial activity, which led to mobilization via changes in e.g. pH, Eh, and microbial metabolite production (Li et al. 2021). Mechanistic understanding derived from these data and our ongoing experiments using these techniques will inform future development of ELM. Plant roots not only contribute newly fixed organic compounds to soils, but also root activities can drive mineralization of the carbon and nutrients mobilized off minerals via “indirect” or “direct” mechanisms. Using viral infection as a new tool, ongoing combined experimentation and modeling will explore the strength and larger-scale significance of the cascade of processes from rhizodeposition to MAOM mobilization for soil carbon storage and nutrient cycling in terrestrial ecosystems. And if viral infection leads quite generally to “sticky roots”, our perception of the potential importance of prevalent virus infection in terrestrial landscapes will be transformed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Annual Tropical‐Rainforest Productivity Through Two Decades: Complex Responses to Climatic Factors, [CO 2 ] and Storm Damage

Abstract Yearly changes in tropical carbon‐cycling have been a major biotic determinant of the interannual variation in the rise of atmospheric carbon dioxide ([CO 2 ]). The environmental responses underlying these changes remain poorly understood. A 21‐year field study (1997–2018) in a Costa Rican rainforest has produced the first multi‐decade record of landscape‐scale annual aboveground productivity for a tropical ecosystem. While none of the four production components (wood production; leaf‐, twig‐, and reproductive litterfall) increased over two decades, all significantly varied among years. Multi‐factor environmental models explained a large fraction of the inter‐year changes in two production components. Annual changes in three climatic factors and [CO 2 ] jointly accounted for 84% of the variation in annual wood production. While the strongest response of wood production was to decline in years of slightly warmer nights, it also significantly declined in years with more dry‐season hours hotter than 28°C. The yearly changes in reproductive litterfall were largely (52%) determined by the combined effects of increasing [CO 2 ] and declining annual radiation. Twig litterfall declined over the 21 years. Annual leaf litterfall, the largest component of field‐assessed aboveground production, showed no significant environmental responses. An extreme storm in the study's final year disrupted the environmental controls on production that prevailed through the prior 20 years. While important uncertainties are introduced by some of the field methods for assessing aboveground forest production, the findings of this first long‐term field study of annual landscape‐scale productivity raise deep concerns for the future of tropical forests as global warming proceeds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integrated global assessment of the natural forest carbon potential

Forests are a substantial terrestrial carbon sink, but anthropogenic changes in land use and climate have considerably reduced the scale of this system. Remote-sensing estimates to quantify carbon losses from global forests are characterized by considerable uncertainty and we lack a comprehensive ground-sourced evaluation to benchmark these estimates. Here we combine several ground-sourced and satellite-derived approaches to evaluate the scale of the global forest carbon potential outside agricultural and urban lands. Despite regional variation, the predictions demonstrated remarkable consistency at a global scale, with only a 12% difference between the ground-sourced and satellite-derived estimates. At present, global forest carbon storage is markedly under the natural potential, with a total deficit of 226 Gt (model range = 151–363 Gt) in areas with low human footprint. Most (61%, 139 Gt C) of this potential is in areas with existing forests, in which ecosystem protection can allow forests to recover to maturity. The remaining 39% (87 Gt C) of potential lies in regions in which forests have been removed or fragmented. Although forests cannot be a substitute for emissions reductions, our results support the idea that the conservation, restoration and sustainable management of diverse forests offer valuable contributions to meeting global climate and biodiversity targets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗