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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,171 records · Page 65

Computing Nonequilibrium Responses with Score-Shifted Stochastic Differential Equations

Using equilibrium fluctuations to understand the response of a physical system to an externally imposed perturbation is the basis for linear response theory, which is widely used to interpret experiments and shed light on microscopic dynamics. For nonequilibrium systems, perturbations cannot be interpreted simply by monitoring fluctuations in a conjugate observable and general response results rely on path ensemble averaging. Furthermore, these techniques do not apply to perturbations that affect the diffusion tensor in a stochastic system. Here, we introduce an “effective” physical process that represents the diffusion perturbed dynamics and enables accurate calculations of responses to a change in the diffusion. Interestingly, the effective dynamics contain an additional drift involving the instantaneous “score” of the system, and we leverage score matching algorithms to carry out nonequilibrium response calculations on systems for which the exact stationary distribution is unknown.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Reinforcement Learning for Spacecraft Navigation & Environment Characterization in the Planar-Restricted Two-Body Problem

As science, exploration, and commercial space missions become increasingly complex, so does the need for efficient, autonomous, and integrated spacecraft navigation and operations techniques. Key operational functions, including data collection and transmission, environment characterization, systems constraints, human factors, and navigation, often are intertwined and conflicted. Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) offers a framework for addressing integrated spacecraft navigation and planning in an uncertain dynamical environment. The goal of this study is to evaluate the utility of DRL for integrated spacecraft navigation and planning. This is achieved by developing a simple environmental characterization training environment in the Planar-Restricted 2-Body Problem (PR2BP), establishing benchmarks and heuristic baselines, and designing a previously unstudied Markov Decision Process (MDP) formulation. This MDP formulation enables the spacecraft DRL agents to appropriately balance navigation and actuation capabilities. The resulting DRL-derived policy exceeds a random or untrained policy and meets or exceeds the level of performance of a heuristic without actuation. In the process, valuable intuition is gained about the problem with insight into how DRL methods could scale to increasingly more realistic scenarios, including net-work design and training architectures, efficient state space representations, and methods for encouraging exploration in a parametric action space, among others.

navigation↗

Numerical analysis for finite-range multitype stochastic contact financial market dynamic systems

In an attempt to reproduce and study the dynamics of financial markets, a random agent-based financial price model is developed and investigated by the finite-range multitype contact dynamic system, in which the interaction and dispersal of different types of investment attitudes in a stock market are imitated by viruses spreading. With different parameters of birth rates and finite-range, the normalized return series are simulated by Monte Carlo simulation method and numerical studied by power-law distribution analysis and autocorrelation analysis. To better understand the nonlinear dynamics of the return series, a q-order autocorrelation function and a multi-autocorrelation function are also defined in this work. The comparisons of statistical behaviors of return series from the agent-based model and the daily historical market returns of Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index indicate that the proposed model is a reasonable qualitative explanation for the price formation process of stock market systems.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Effective Stochastic Model For Reactive Transport

We propose an effective stochastic advection-diffusion-reaction (SADR) model. Unlike traditional advection-dispersion-reaction models, the SADR model describes mechanical and diffusive mixing as two separate processes. In the SADR model, the mechanical mixing is driven by random advective velocity with the variance given by the coefficient of mechanical dispersion. The diffusive mixing is modeled as a fickian diffusion with the effective diffusion coefficient. Both coefficients are given in terms of Peclet number (Pe) and the coefficient of molecular diffusion. We use the experimental results of \cite{Gramling} to demonstrate that for transport and bimolecular reactions in porous media the SADR model is significantly more accurate than the traditional dispersion model, which overestimates the mass of the reaction product by as much as 25\%.

stochastic equations, mixing controlled reactions,↗

Evaporation-Induced Vertical Alignment Enabling Directional Ion Transport in a 2D-Nanosheet-Based Battery Electrode

2D nanosheets have been widely explored as electrode materials owing to their extraordinarily high electrochemical activity and fast solid-state diffusion. However, the scalable electrode fabrication based on this type of material usually suffers from severe performance losses due to restricted ion-transport kinetics in a large thickness. Here, a novel strategy based on evaporation-induced assembly to enable directional ion transport via forming vertically aligned nanosheets is reported. The orientational ordering is achieved by a rapid evaporation of mixed solvents during the electrode fabrication process. Compared with conventional drop-cast electrodes, which exhibit a random arrangement of the nanosheets and obvious decrease of rate performance with increasing thickness, the electrode based on the vertically aligned nanosheets is able to retain the original high rate capability even at high mass loadings and electrode thickness. Furthermore, combined electrochemical and structural characterization reveals the electrode composed of orientation-controlled nanosheets to possess lower charge-transfer resistances, leading to more complete phase transformation in the active material.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Scalable domain decomposition solvers for stochastic PDEs in high performance computing

Stochastic spectral finite element models of practical engineering systems may involve solutions of linear systems or linearized systems for non-linear problems with billions of unknowns. For stochastic modeling, it is therefore essential to design robust, parallel and scalable algorithms that can efficiently utilize high-performance computing to tackle such large-scale systems. Domain decomposition based iterative solvers can handle such systems. And though these algorithms exhibit excellent scalabilities, significant algorithmic and implementational challenges exist to extend them to solve extreme-scale stochastic systems using emerging computing platforms. Intrusive polynomial chaos expansion based domain decomposition algorithms are extended here to concurrently handle high resolution in both spatial and stochastic domains using an in-house implementation. Sparse iterative solvers with efficient preconditioners are employed to solve the resulting global and subdomain level local systems through multi-level iterative solvers. We also use parallel sparse matrix–vector operations to reduce the floating-point operations and memory requirements. Numerical and parallel scalabilities of these algorithms are presented for the diffusion equation having spatially varying diffusion coefficient modeled by a non-Gaussian stochastic process. Scalability of the solvers with respect to the number of random variables is also investigated.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Clinical Utility of Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Testing in the Treatment of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA analysis has been shown to be useful for early detection, prognostication, and monitoring of treatment response of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), and the recent literature provides growing evidence of the clinical utility of EBV DNA testing, particularly to inform treatment decisions for NPC patients. Despite the fact that NPC is a rare disease, the NRG Oncology cooperative group has successfully activated a phase 2/3 randomized clinical trial for NPC with international partners and in that process has discovered that the development of a harmonized EBV DNA test is absolutely critical for integration into clinical trials and for future deployment in clinical and central laboratories. In November 2015, the National Cancer Institute (NCI) convened a workshop of international experts in the treatment of NPC and EBV testing to provide a forum for discussing the state of EBV DNA testing and its clinical utility, and to stimulate consideration of future studies and clinical practice guidelines for EBV DNA. This review provides a summary of that discussion.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

The agglomeration and dispersion dichotomy of human settlements on Earth

Human settlements on Earth are scattered in a multitude of shapes, sizes and spatial arrangements. These patterns are often not random but a result of complex geographical, cultural, economic and historical processes that have profound human and ecological impacts. However, little is known about the global distribution of these patterns and the spatial forces that creates them. This study analyses human settlements from high-resolution satellite imagery and provides a global classification of spatial patterns. We find two emerging classes, namely agglomeration and dispersion. In the former, settlements are fewer than expected based on the predictions of scaling theory, while an unexpectedly high number of settlements characterizes the latter. To explain the observed spatial patterns, we propose a model that combines two agglomeration forces and simulates human settlements’ historical growth. Our results show that our model accurately matches the observed global classification (F1: 0.73), helps to understand and estimate the growth of human settlements and, in turn, the distribution and physical dynamics of all human settlements on Earth, from small villages to cities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Benchmarking structural evolution methods for training of machine learned interatomic potentials

When creating training data for machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs), it is common to create initial structures and evolve them using molecular dynamics (MD) to sample a larger configuration space. Here, we benchmark two other modalities of evolving structures, contour exploration (CE) and dimer-method (DM) searches against MD for their ability to produce diverse and robust density functional theory training data sets for MLIPs. We also discuss the generation of initial structures which are either from known structures or from random structures in detail to further formalize the structure-sourcing processes in the future. The polymorph-rich zirconium-oxygen composition space is used as a rigorous benchmark system for comparing the performance of MLIPs trained on structures generated from these structural evolution methods. Using Behler–Parrinello neural networks as our MLIP models, we find that CE and the DM searches are generally superior to MD in terms of spatial descriptor diversity and statistical accuracy.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Control of Networked Traffic Flow Distribution: A Stochastic Distribution System Perspective

At signalized intersections, the traffic queues are controlled by traffic signal control settings and effective traffic lights control would realize both smooth traffic flow and minimize fuel consumption. Funded by the Energy Efficient Mobility Systems (EEMS) program of the Vehicle Technologies Office of the US Department of Energy, we performed a preliminary investigation on the modelling and control framework in context of urban network of signalized intersections. In specific, we developed a recursive input-output traffic queueing models. The queue formation can be modeled as a stochastic process where the number of vehicles entering each intersection is a random number. Further, we proposed a preliminary B-Spline stochastic modelling and control for a one-way single-lane corridor traffic system based on theory of stochastic distribution control that shapes the PDF of the queue length.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

A Framework to Support Generator Ramping Uncertainty Analysis and Visualization

Power system operation requires maintaining a continuous balance between system demand and generation within certain constraints. Traditionally, the balancing processes are based on deterministic models, which do not consider possible random deviations of system generation and load from their predicted values. With the increasing penetration of the renewable generation, unexpected balancing problems can happen due to the deviations. This can result in serious risks to system reliability and efficiency. When the available balancing reserve is not enough to cover the predicted net load range with uncertainty, deficiency of balancing needs occurs. In this case, it is necessary to commit or de-commit additional conventional generators to achieve the desired confidence level for the balancing needs. The framework is built for solving this problem. The ramping tool engine is used to predict additional balancing requirements caused by the variability and uncertainty of the renewable energy, under the constraints of the generation ramping capability and interchange schedule. The web browser- based GUI is used to visualize the data in web-environment, which provides flexibility to allow user to see the ramping outputs in any platform. The GOSS structure provides strong support to allow easy communication between ramping engine, and system inputs, as well as the GUI.

Chen, Yousu↗

Exascale Programming Approaches for Accelerated Climate Modeling for Energy

The Accelerated Climate Modeling for Energy (ACME) program is a leading-edge climate and Earth system model designed to address the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) mission needs. The ACME project involves collaboration between seven National Laboratories, the National Center for Atmospheric Research, four academic institutions, and one private-sector company. The ACME project funds ongoing efforts to ensure the model continues to make efficient use of DOE Leadership Computing Facilities (LCFs) in order to best address the three driving grand challenge science questions:Water cycle: How will more realistic portrayals of features important to the water cycle (resolution, clouds, aerosols, snowpack, river routing, land use) affect river flow and associated freshwater supplies at the watershed scale?Cryosphere systems: Could a dynamical instability in the Antarctic ice sheet be triggered within the next 40 years?Biogeochemistry: What are the contributions and feedbacks from natural and managed systems to current greenhouse gas fluxes, and how will those factors and associated fluxes evolve in the future?

Norman, Matthew↗

Three-dimensional multiphase segmentation of X-ray CT data of porous materials using a Bayesian Markov random field framework

Advancements in noninvasive imaging methods such as X-ray computed tomography (CT) have led to a recent surge of applications in porous media research with objectives ranging from theoretical aspects of pore-scale fluid and interfacial dynamics to practical applications such as enhanced oil recovery and advanced contaminant remediation. While substantial efforts and resources have been devoted to advance CT technology, microscale analysis, and fluid dynamics simulations, the development of efficient and stable three-dimensional multiphase image segmentation methods applicable to large data sets is lacking. To eliminate the need for wet-dry or dual-energy scans, image alignment, and subtraction analysis, commonly applied in X-ray micro-CT, a segmentation method based on a Bayesian Markov random field (MRF) framework amenable to true three-dimensional multiphase processing was developed and evaluated. Furthermore, several heuristic and deterministic combinatorial optimization schemes required to solve the labeling problem of the MRF image model were implemented and tested for computational efficiency and their impact on segmentation results. Test results for three grayscale data sets consisting of dry glass beads, partially saturated glass beads, and partially saturated crushed tuff obtained with synchrotron X-ray micro-CT demonstrate great potential of the MRF image model for three-dimensional multiphase segmentation. While our results are promising and the developed algorithm is stable and computationally more efficient than other commonly applied porous media segmentation models, further potential improvements exist for fully automated operation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Memory interface simulator: A computer design aid

Results are presented of a study conducted with a digital simulation model being used in the design of the Automatically Reconfigurable Modular Multiprocessor System (ARMMS), a candidate computer system for future manned and unmanned space missions. The model simulates the activity involved as instructions are fetched from random access memory for execution in one of the system central processing units. A series of model runs measured instruction execution time under various assumptions pertaining to the CPU's and the interface between the CPU's and RAM. Design tradeoffs are presented in the following areas: Bus widths, CPU microprogram read only memory cycle time, multiple instruction fetch, and instruction mix.

Taylor, D. S.↗

Design of optimal partial state feedback controllers for linear systems in stochastic environments

The problem of obtaining an optimal control law, which is constrained to be a feedback of the available measurements, is considered for both continuous and discrete time linear systems subjected to additive white process noise and measurement noise. Necessary conditions are obtained for minimizing a quadratic performance function for both finite and infinite duration cases. The feedback gain matrices are constrained to be constant for the infinite duration cases. For all the cases considered, algorithms are derived for generating sequences of feedback gain matrices which successively improve the performance function. Computational aspects are discussed via application to two continuous time processes, including a helicopter/slung load system subjected to measurement noise and random wind gust input.

Joshi, S. M.↗

Frequency domain measurement systems

Stable frequency sources and signal processing blocks were characterized by their noise spectra, both discrete and random, in the frequency domain. Conventional measures are outlined, and systems for performing the measurements are described. Broad coverage of system configurations which were found useful is given. Their functioning and areas of application are discussed briefly. Particular attention is given to some of the potential error sources in the measurement procedures, system configurations, double-balanced-mixer-phase-detectors, and application of measuring instruments.

Eischer, M. C.↗

Statistical Analysis of a Debugging Model

Suppose that a system is undergoing a sequence of trials and design changes in an effort to find and eliminate design flaws in the system. Specifically, suppose that each trial is classified as an assignable cause failure (if the failure is due to one or more design flaws), an inherent failure (if the failure is not due to a design flaw), or a success. After each assignable cause failure, the design flaws that caused the failure are removed. In the case of statistically independent and identical design flaws, a probabilistic model is developed to describe this debugging process. Explicit expressions are obtained for the distributions of the important random variables and for the important measures of reliability. Statistical methods are developed for estimating the parameters of the model from accumulated test data.

Siegrist, K.↗

The distribution of catchment coverage by stationary rainstorms

The occurrence of wetted rainstorm area within a catchment is modeled as a Poisson arrival process in which each storm is composed of stationary, nonoverlapping, independent random cell clusters whose centers are Poisson-distributed in space and whose areas are fractals. The two Poisson parameters and hence the first two moments of the wetted fraction are derived in terms of catchment average characteristics of the (observable) station precipitation. The model is used to estimate spatial properties of tropical air mass thunderstorms on six tropical catchments in the Sudan.

Eagleson, P. S.↗