Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Prediction Accuracy”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,171 records · Page 65

Uncertainty-aware particle segmentation for electron microscopy at varied length scales

Electron microscopy is indispensable for examining the morphology and composition of solid materials at the sub-micron scale. To study the powder samples that are widely used in materials development, scanning electron microscopes (SEMs) are increasingly used at the laboratory scale to generate large datasets with hundreds of images. Parsing these images to identify distinct particles and determine their morphology requires careful analysis, and automating this process remains challenging. In this work, we enhance the Mask R-CNN architecture to develop a method for automated segmentation of particles in SEM images. We address several challenges inherent to measurements, such as image blur and particle agglomeration. Moreover, our method accounts for prediction uncertainty when such issues prevent accurate segmentation of a particle. Recognizing that disparate length scales are often present in large datasets, we use this framework to create two models that are separately trained to handle images obtained at low or high magnification. By testing these models on a variety of inorganic samples, our approach to particle segmentation surpasses an established automated segmentation method and yields comparable results to the predictions of three domain experts, revealing comparable accuracy while requiring a fraction of the time. These findings highlight the potential of deep learning in advancing autonomous workflows for materials characterization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Neural network potentials with effective charge separation for non-equilibrium dynamics of ionic solids: a ZnO case study

Developing neural network potentials (NNPs) accurate under non-equilibrium dynamics is challenging, as such systems require extensive sampling beyond equilibrium phases. Here we construct high-fidelity NNPs for zinc oxide (ZnO), a polymorphic ionic solid, using density functional theory (DFT) reference data. To efficiently capture transitional configurations, we combine enhanced-sampling molecular dynamics with empirical potentials, data distillation, and pretraining on short-range atomic energies (A-Train), followed by transfer learning with DFT-relabeled datasets. This hierarchical approach improves transferability across polymorphs and stress states. We further introduce effective charge separation, treating long-range Coulombic terms analytically while short-range residual interactions are learned by the NNP. The optimal effective charges fall in the range 0.5–1.0 q e , consistent with dielectric-screened values derived from formal charges but distinct from Bader estimates. Motivated by this observation, we propose a simple data-driven protocol in which effective charges are optimized by comparing DFT reference energies with explicit Coulomb calculations, without additional NNP training. This strategy improves accuracy and transferability in DFT-level predictions of energies, forces, and stress. Together, these results provide a practical charge-selection framework for robust NNP development in ionic solids, enabling reliable simulation of polymorphic phase transformations and non-equilibrium dynamics.

Chemistry↗

Many-body reactive force field development for carbon condensation in C/O systems under extreme conditions

In this paper, we describe the development of a reactive force field for C/O systems under extreme temperatures and pressures, based on the many-body Chebyshev Interaction Model for Efficient Simulation (ChIMES). The resulting model, which targets carbon condensation under thermodynamic conditions of 6500 K and 2.5 g cm –3 , affords a balance between model accuracy, complexity, and training set generation expense. We show that the model recovers much of the accuracy of density functional theory for the prediction of structure, dynamics, and chemistry when applied to dissociative condensed phase systems at 1:1 and 1:2 C:O ratios, as well as molten carbon. Our C/O modeling approach exhibits a 104 increase in efficiency for the same system size (i.e., 128 atoms) and a linear system size scalability over standard quantum molecular dynamics methods, allowing the simulation of significantly larger systems than previously possible. We find that the model captures the condensed-phase reaction-coupled formation of carbon clusters implied by recent experiments, and that this process is susceptible to strong finite size effects. Overall, we find the present ChIMES model to be well suited for studying chemical processes and cluster formation at pressures and temperatures typical of shock waves. We expect that the present C/O modeling paradigm can serve as a template for the development of a broader high pressure–high temperature force-field for condensed phase chemistry in organic materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The plasma–sheath transition and Bohm criterion in a high recycling divertor

The high recycling regime of a divertor is characterized by high plasma particle fluxes and low temperature at the target, where a strong hydrogen recirculation loop exists. Atomic processes in the high recycling regime, such as ion–neutral friction and radiation, can affect the plasma momentum and energy transport in the sheath transition region. Here, in this work, the plasma–sheath transition near a high recycling wall is investigated. The Bohm speed, which constraints the ion exit flow speed, is evaluated from a transport model that accounts for the effect of the anisotropic transport and atomic collisions in the transition layer. A first principles kinetic code vector particle-in-cell with the atomic collision package is used to investigate a 1D self-consistent slab plasma with a high recycling boundary for the tungsten and carbon divertors. The results demonstrate the accuracy of the Bohm speed model in predicting the ion exit flow speed in the transition region, as well as the reduction of the Bohm speed due to the ion–neutral friction. The effect of different wall materials, tungsten, and carbon, on the Bohm speed and near-wall plasma profile is shown.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

A single genomic region controls primocane fruiting in tetraploid blackberry

The fresh-market blackberry ( Rubus subgenus Rubus ) industry has expanded dramatically in the past 2 decades, driven in part by improved cultivars. Introgression of the primocane-fruiting (PF; annual flowering) trait into elite germplasm has enabled dual cropping in a single year, season extension, and cultivation in tropical and subtropical regions. Despite its economic performance, the genetic basis of PF is not well understood. It has been proposed that the PF trait is controlled by a major recessive locus, but its genomic location is unclear. Here, a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of 365 tetraploid blackberry genotypes identified a single genomic region on chromosome Ra03 (∼33 Mb) strongly associated with PF. Genetic linkage analysis in a biparental population confirmed that the same interval (32–35 Mb) was linked to the PF phenotype. Ten putative candidate genes were identified in this region. Allele mining using whole-genome resequencing of 17 genotypes highlighted 2 high-priority candidates: a CCCH-type zinc finger gene and an ubiquitin-specific protease gene. Use of an improved Rubus argutus “Hillquist” genome annotation (v1.2) enabled refined variant interpretation, including identification of regulatory 3′ UTR polymorphisms in the zinc finger homolog. Two diagnostic KASP markers (PF1 and PF2), designed from the most significant GWAS SNPs, predicted the PF phenotype with over 96% accuracy in a validation panel of 494 tetraploid blackberries from multiple breeding programs. Together, these results provide the first high-resolution mapping of the PF locus in blackberry, identify candidate genes for flowering regulation in Rubus , and deliver diagnostic markers that can be immediately deployed in breeding programs.

GWAS↗

Assessing the accuracy of compound formation energies with quantum Monte Carlo

Accurately predicting the formation energy of a compound, which describes its thermodynamic stability, is a key challenge in materials physics. Here, we employ a many-body quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) with single-reference trial functions to compute the formation energy of two electronically disparate compounds, the intermetallic VPt2 and the semiconductor CuI, for which standard density functional theory (DFT) predictions using both the Perdew-Burke-Ernzerhof (PBE) and the strongly constrained and appropriately normed (SCAN) density functional approximations deviate markedly from available experimental values. For VPt2, we find an agreement between QMC, SCAN, and PBE0 estimates, which therefore remain in disagreement with the much less exothermic experimental value. For CuI, the QMC result agrees with neither SCAN nor PBE pointing towards DFT exchange-correlation biases, likely related to the localized Cu 3d electrons. Compared to the behavior of some density functional approximations within DFT, spin-averaged QMC exhibits a smaller but still appreciable deviation when compared to experiment. The QMC result is slightly improved by incorporating spin-orbit corrections for CuI and solid I 2 , so that experiment and theory are brought into imperfect but reasonable agreement within about 120 meV/atom.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Point-particle drag, lift, and torque closure models using machine learning: Hierarchical approach and interpretability

Developing deterministic neighborhood-informed point-particle closure models using machine learning has garnered interest recently from the dispersed multiphase flow community. The robustness of neural models for this complex multibody problem is hindered by the availability of particle-resolved data. Here, the present work addresses this unavoidable limitation of data paucity by implementing two strategies: (1) by using a rotation and reflection equivariant neural network and (2) by pursuing a physics-based hierarchical machine learning approach. The resulting machine-learned models are observed to achieve a maximum accuracy of 85% and 96% in the prediction of neighbor-induced force and torque fluctuations, respectively, for a wide range of Reynolds number and volume fraction conditions considered. Furthermore, we pursue force and torque network architectures that provide universal prediction spanning a wide range of Reynolds number (0.25 ≤ Re ≤250) and particle volume fraction (0 ≤ φ ≤0.4). The hierarchical nature of the approach enables improved prediction of quantities such as streamwise torque, by going beyond binary interactions to include trinary interactions.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Tuned and screened range-separated hybrid density functional theory for describing electronic and optical properties of defective gallium nitride

We apply a hybrid density functional theory approach, based on a tuned and screened range-separated hybrid (SRSH) exchange-correlation functional, to describe the optoelectronic properties of defective gallium nitride (GaN). SRSH and time-dependent SRSH (TDSRSH) are tuned to produce accurate energetics for the pristine material and applied to the study of a series of point defects in bulk GaN, a blue light-emitting material that degrades in the presence of defects. We first establish the accuracy of the method by comparing the predicted quasiparticle gap and low-energy excitation spectra of (TD)SRSH and many-body perturbation theory for both pristine GaN and GaN containing a single nitrogen vacancy. Aided by the reduced computational cost of (TD)SRSH, we then report on three additional technologically relevant point defects and defect complexes in GaN: the gallium vacancy, the carbon interstitial, and the carbon-silicon complex. We compute the low-energy optical absorption spectra for these defects and show the presence of defect-centered transitions. Furthermore, by estimating the Stokes shift, we predict, in agreement with previous studies, that the carbon substitutional defect is a candidate for the detrimental yellow luminescence in GaN. Furthermore, this study indicates that TDSRSH is a promising and computationally feasible approach for quantitatively accurate, first-principles modeling of defective semiconductors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Coupled Induction Machine and HVAC Models for Simulating HVAC Performance Considering Grid Dynamics in Buildings

This paper presents the development of novel models that integrate induction machines with HVAC equipment, such as pumps, heat pumps, and chillers, to analyze the impact of electrical parameters on the operational performance of thermo-fluid systems. The proposed model employs a coupling technique that captures the dynamic interactions between induction machines and HVAC systems. By integrating electrical, thermal, and mechanical dynamics, the models provide a comprehensive framework for simulating real-world scenarios, including interactions with the electrical grid. This achievement was made possible through the development of a Computationally Efficient and Accurate Induction Machine (CEAIM) model. Implemented using the equation-based Modelica language, the CEAIM model has been validated against experimental results, manufacturer data sheets, and various operating conditions. Its performance has been compared with existing induction machine models in the Modelica Standard Library (MSL), demonstrating superior accuracy and computational efficiency. The CEAIM model predicts torque, speed, and power consumption with a coefficient of determination (R 2 ) ranging from 0.98 to 1 and a coefficient of variation of root mean square error (CVRMSE) between 0.27% and 6.67%. Additionally, CEAIM scales more efficiently than conventional MSL models, with a slower computational growth rate in large-scale simulations. After thorough validation of the CEAIM model, it was coupled with HVAC equipment as this approach provides a detailed multi-dimensional view of capturing electrical transients and mechanical performance. To support this, a case study was conducted to showcase its capabilities.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

An interpretable model of pre-mRNA splicing for animal and plant genes

Pre-mRNA splicing is a fundamental step in gene expression, conserved across eukaryotes, in which the spliceosome recognizes motifs at the 3' and 5' splice sites (SSs), excises introns, and ligates exons. SS recognition and pairing is often influenced by protein splicing factors (SFs) that bind to splicing regulatory elements (SREs). Here, we describe SMsplice, a fully interpretable model of pre-mRNA splicing that combines models of core SS motifs, SREs, and exonic and intronic length preferences. We learn models that predict SS locations with 83 to 86% accuracy in fish, insects, and plants and about 70% in mammals. Learned SRE motifs include both known SF binding motifs and unfamiliar motifs, and both motif classes are supported by genetic analyses. Our comparisons across species highlight similarities between non-mammals, increased reliance on intronic SREs in plant splicing, and a greater reliance on SREs in mammalian splicing.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Geochemistry and Multiomics Data Differentiate Streams in Pennsylvania Based on Unconventional Oil and Gas Activity

Unconventional oil and gas (UOG) extraction is increasing exponentially around the world, as new technological advances have provided cost-effective methods to extract hard-to-reach hydrocarbons. While UOG has increased the energy output of some countries, past research indicates potential impacts in nearby stream ecosystems as measured by geochemical and microbial markers. Here, we utilized a robust data set that combines 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing (DNA), metatranscriptomics (RNA), geochemistry, and trace element analyses to establish the impact of UOG activity in 21 sites in northern Pennsylvania. These data were also used to design predictive machine learning models to determine the UOG impact on streams. We identified multiple biomarkers of UOG activity and contributors of antimicrobial resistance within the order Burkholderiales. Furthermore, we identified expressed antimicrobial resistance genes, land coverage, geochemistry, and specific microbes as strong predictors of UOG status. Of the predictive models constructed (n = 30), 15 had accuracies higher than expected by chance and area under the curve values above 0.70. The supervised random forest models with the highest accuracy were constructed with 16S rRNA gene profiles, metatranscriptomics active microbial composition, metatranscriptomics active antimicrobial resistance genes, land coverage, and geochemistry (n = 23). The models identified the most important features within those data sets for classifying UOG status. These findings identified specific shifts in gene presence and expression, as well as geochemical measures, that can be used to build robust models to identify impacts of UOG development.

16S rRNA↗

S-OPT: A Points Selection Algorithm for Hyper-Reduction in Reduced Order Models

While projection-based reduced order models can reduce the dimension of full order solutions, the resulting reduced models may still contain terms that scale with the full order dimension. Hyper-reduction techniques are sampling-based methods that further reduce this computational complexity by approximating such terms with a much smaller dimension. The goal of this work is to introduce the points selection algorithm developed by Shin and Xiu as a hyper-reduction method. The selection algorithm was originally proposed as a stochastic collocation method for uncertainty quantification. Since the algorithm aims at maximizing a quantity $\mathcal{S}$ that measures both the column orthogonality and the determinant, we refer to the algorithm as S-OPT. Numerical examples are provided to demonstrate the performance of S-OPT and to compare its performance with a gappy proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) algorithm. Here, we found that using the S-OPT algorithm is shown to predict the full order solutions with higher accuracy than gappy POD especially when the number of sampling points is small, although we note that S-OPT shows slow asymptotic convergence with respect to the number of samples for some applications, e.g., Lagrangian hydrodynamics.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Visualization of Multi-Fidelity Approximations of Stochastic Economic Dispatch

As renewable energy generation deployment increases, the operation of electrical grids becomes more complex. Economic dispatch is part of a grid operator's regular decision process where the amount of energy to generate is determined based on the number of available generators and the actual level of energy demand. Renewable generators are inherently stochastic due to the chaotic nature of weather patterns, and thus, real-time decisions of economic dispatch become increasingly complex. Modeling efforts to assist in these decisions in the highest fidelity typically take hours to days to solve on leadership-class computers; too long for the 5-minute operational time-frame demanded of operators. Alternatively, multi-fidelity approximations can be used to predict generation levels quickly and with sufficient accuracy to be used for real-time operations. We have developed a visualization tool to demonstrate the utility of multi-fidelity approximations by displaying contextual results of economic dispatch approximations, comparisons across fidelity levels of generation levels and possible failures to meet demand, and meta-data on the modeling setup.

interactive visualization↗

Direct Demonstration of Unified Brønsted-Evans-Polanyi Relationships for Proton-Coupled Electron Transfer Reactions on Transition Metal Surfaces

Brønsted-Evans-Polanyi (BEP) relationships, which relate elementary reaction barriers to reaction thermodynamics, have long been discussed in electrochemical science, but demonstration of their existence in heterogeneous electrocatalysis, across many different catalyst surfaces and voltages, is lacking. In this contribution, the BEP model is demonstrated to describe both multiple catalyst surfaces and variable voltages in electrochemical environments. For proton-coupled electron transfer (PCET) to surface nitrogen (N*) and nitric oxide (NO*), reaction energies and activation barriers are calculated using Density Functional Theory (DFT) on a parallel plate capacitor model at three different potentials and for nine different transition metal surfaces. Linear BEP relations that describe all potentials and catalyst surfaces are obtained for these elementary reactions, and the slopes of the correlations are shown to be directly related to the fractional coordinate of the transition states (FCTS) of the reactions. The results, which are explained in terms of Marcus Theory, prove a direct equivalence between unified BEP coefficients, describing both variable catalyst surfaces and voltages, and electrochemical symmetry factors and provide a straightforward means of estimating this quantify for PCET reactions on transition metal surfaces. The resulting relationships, in turn, could lead to predictions of electrocatalytic reactivity trends of enhanced accuracy and efficiency.

Electrochemistry↗

Predicting potential adverse events using safety data from marketed drugs

Abstract Background While clinical trials are considered the gold standard for detecting adverse events, often these trials are not sufficiently powered to detect difficult to observe adverse events. We developed a preliminary approach to predict 135 adverse events using post-market safety data from marketed drugs. Adverse event information available from FDA product labels and scientific literature for drugs that have the same activity at one or more of the same targets, structural and target similarities, and the duration of post market experience were used as features for a classifier algorithm. The proposed method was studied using 54 drugs and a probabilistic approach of performance evaluation using bootstrapping with 10,000 iterations. Results Out of 135 adverse events, 53 had high probability of having high positive predictive value. Cross validation showed that 32% of the model-predicted safety label changes occurred within four to nine years of approval (median: six years). Conclusions This approach predicts 53 serious adverse events with high positive predictive values where well-characterized target-event relationships exist. Adverse events with well-defined target-event associations were better predicted compared to adverse events that may be idiosyncratic or related to secondary target effects that were poorly captured. Further enhancement of this model with additional features, such as target prediction and drug binding data, may increase accuracy.

Daluwatte, Chathuri↗

A Preliminary Feasibility Study on Multi-Cavity Cryomodule Integration for the Electron Ion Collider Energy Recover Linac Cooler

The Electron-Ion Collider (EIC) is a state-of-the-art accelerator designed for collisions between highly polarized electrons and ions. To achieve optimal luminosity, the ion beam is cooled using an electron beam sourced from an energy recovery linac (ERL). In the current ERL baseline design, one BNL type RF cavity is used per cryomodule, leading to spatial and cost challenges. This study examines the feasibility of using more compact PERLE (Powerful Energy Recovery Linac for Experiments) type cavities, which can house multiple cavities within a single cryomodule, by evaluating their Beam Breakup (BBU) instability performance. Higher Order Modes (HOM) parameters were obtained through frequency scaling, assuming constant quality factor Q_L, R/Q, and linearly scaling HOM frequencies. To predict the BBU threshold current and ensure accuracy, two different BBU tracking simulations are used for cross-verification. Although the reduced footprint of PERLE-type cavities is advantageous, maintaining sufficient damping of HOMs remains crucial. Finally, we compare the HOM damping efficiency of both cavity types and suggest a pathway forward.

Deitrick, K.↗

Predicting Missing Regions in Charged Particle Tracks Using a Sparse 3D Convolutional Neural Network

The 2x2 Demonstrator is a prototype detector for the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE)'s Near Detector. Both the 2x2 Demonstrator and the Near Detector itself will have inactive regions wherein there is no sensitivity to charge deposition and light signals that arise from charged particle interactions with liquid argon. In the 2x2, these inactive regions are positioned in-between the active detector modules, which introduces the challenge of inferring what charge signals ought to look like in these regions. This study explores the use of a Sparse 3D Convolutional Neural Network (ConvNet) to infer missing regions in charged particle tracks. Hits corresponding to energy depositions are voxelized into a three-dimensional (3D) grid for each track. Inactive regions within the tracks are replaced with a dense, rectangular 3D grid of voxels, ensuring consistent step sizes in X, Y, and Z directions. Voxels in these dense regions are initialized with an energy value of -1, indicating nonphysical energy or charge. The model is trained to predict which voxels should activate as part of the track and which should not, with the goal of eventually inferring the missing charge or energy values in these voxels. Results indicate that the model accurately predicts track voxels within ±1 unit in X, Y, or Z directions and effectively identifies non-track voxels, despite some overprediction. The approach shows promise in prediction of missing track regions with some accuracy.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗