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At least 1,171 records · Page 65

Case Studies of the Economic Impacts of Power Interruptions and Damage to Electricity System Infrastructure from Extreme Events

The risks of long-duration, widespread interruptions (LDWIs) in electrical power are a concern of U.S. regulators, the electric power industry, and stakeholders. Those responsible for making decisions about increasingly costly investments to prevent such interruptions and to facilitate rapid recovery when they do occur need relevant information on which to base those decisions. Although a number of studies have examined the physical and engineering impacts of extreme weather and other precipitating events on the bulk power system, decision makers evaluating investments in preventive strategies need information on the costs of past power interruptions and the benefits of preventing them in the future. This paper contributes to addressing this need by offering six case studies that detail the economics, at the level of the utility service territory, of power interruptions caused by extreme weather and lasting from a few days to several weeks. These intermediate-duration interruptions have been, and will continue to be, the most common type of major electric power disruption. They are longer than the short-term disruptions addressed in utility reliability planning, but not as long or widespread geographically as the national-scale interruptions with durations of many weeks, months, or longer that have been examined in some recent studies.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Air-sea interactions yielding rapid Beaufort Sea ice losses during the 2021 ONR THINICE Pilot Field Campaign

Seasonal sea ice coverage has declined in the Pacific Arctic region. Losses of the ice cover have modified the region’s surface heat and momentum fluxes providing weather systems more direct interaction with the upper ocean. For example, recent cyclones that have passed over these waters have initiated multiple air-sea interactions and have impacted mixed layer depth, wave properties, and sea ice mass budgets due to diabatic and/or advective processes. As a United States Office of Naval Research (ONR) Departmental Research initiative, one key component of the ONR THINICE program was to advance knowledge on Arctic cyclone coupling with the ocean surface, its ice cover, and understand how such coupling can lead to rapid ice loss. Leading up to the primary field campaign in August 2022, a pilot field campaign from 19 August to 13 September 2021 focused in Utqiagvik, Alaska and Longyearbyen, Svalbard was carried out. This period was marked by frequent Arctic cyclones, periods of strong low-level winds, and stints of extreme short-term Beaufort Sea ice area losses. Cyclones traversed these waters much more frequently than usual during this 26-day period, but did not exhibit extreme central pressures indicative of high intensity and impactful storms. Using ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis fields, CERES and AIRS surface flux retrievals, and in situ sensor data collected from ice-tethered profilers and ice mass balance buoys, we highlight air-sea-ice interactions in the Beaufort Sea during and between these cyclones leading up to extreme ice loss events. Our case study analysis is aimed at understanding how Arctic cyclones, including air-sea interactions prompted by their passage over the marginal ice zone, influence the end-of-summer ice conditions and ice loss events. This study provides an example where frequent, yet weak storms drive rather large marginal sea-scale losses albeit with heterogenous sea ice effects at local scales.

Ballinger, Thomas [International Arctic Research C↗

Exploring the Spatial Relationship Between Demographic Indicators and the Built Environment of a City

In addition to global and regional drivers of urbanization, neighborhood development in urban areas across the United States has been shown to be influenced by various local socio-economic factors. These factors, despite varying across socio-economic groups, have large implications regarding a population’s vulnerability to extreme climate events, including heat waves resulting in adverse health impacts. Additionally, the demographics of an urban area can shape its infrastructural characteristics, causing different populations groups to face varying levels of risks and benefits. As a result, the urban morphology and socio-economic characteristics of a city are deeply intertwined; however, their interactions on a finer scale are not yet fully understood. This research aims to better understand the relationships between various socio-economic factors and the built environment of a city, considering variability in building types, and temperature patterns. This research focuses on the city of Las Vegas, NV, and uses spatial data analysis to understand the correlation between of socio-economic characteristics, building morphology, building characteristics, and temperature data to understand the correlation between these various factors. Results of these research shows there is a distinct pattern of clustering of socio-economic characteristics with the city and there is a distinct correlation between age and cost, socio-economic characteristics, and locations of high heat distribution within the city.

Singh, Ridhima↗

Thermoplasticity of metallic glasses: Processing and applications

Owing to their extremely low shear viscosity and fragility, bulk metallic glasses (BMGs) are envisioned as new net-shaping material replacing conventionally used crystalline metals for various applications. The first part of this review describes the general technique and kinetics of thermoplastic forming. The second part elaborates on the thermal processing capability of metallic glasses from atomic- to meter-scale. The micro-/nano-structure obtained after various quenching rates followed by temperature, time and heating rate dependent thermoplastic forming is described in the third section. The deformation behavior and flow kinetics of BMGs in terms of composition, mold features, and applied conditions are elaborated in the fourth section. The variation of volume and enthalpy at the supercooled liquid region, strength retention of metallic glasses compared to other conventional metals and alloys, and kinetics of liquid fragility are given in the fifth section. Finite element modeling and molecular dynamics simulations of high-temperature deformation in BMGs are presented in the sixth part. Finally, thermally-formed BMGs used for different applications, including energy, biomedical and micro-optics, are presented in the final part. Altogether, this review provides an overview of shaping capabilities and modifications in the macro-scale properties and short-to-medium range order of BMGs upon thermoplastic forming.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Excited-State Dynamics during Primary C–I Homolysis in Acetyl Iodide Revealed by Ultrafast Core-Level Spectroscopy

In typical carbonyl-containing molecules, bond dissociation events follow initial excitation to $nπ_{C=O}$$^*$ states. However, in acetyl iodide, the iodine atom gives rise to electronic states with mixed $nπ_{C=O}$$^*$ and $nπ_{C–I}$$^*$ character, leading to complex excited-state dynamics, ultimately resulting in dissociation. Using ultrafast extreme ultraviolet (XUV) transient absorption spectroscopy and quantum chemical calculations, we present an investigation of the primary photodissociation dynamics of acetyl iodide via time-resolved spectroscopy of core-to-valence transitions of the I atom after 266 nm excitation. The probed I 4d-to-valence transitions show features that evolve on sub-100-fs time scales, reporting on excited-state wavepacket evolution during dissociation. These features subsequently evolve to yield spectral signatures corresponding to free iodine atoms in their spin–orbit ground and excited states with a branching ratio of 1.1:1 following dissociation of the C–I bond. Calculations of the valence excitation spectrum via equation-of-motion coupled cluster with single and double substitutions (EOM-CCSD) show that initial excited states are of spin-mixed character. From the initially pumped spin-mixed state, we use a combination of time-dependent density functional theory (TDDFT)-driven nonadiabatic ab initio molecular dynamics and EOM-CCSD calculations of the N$_{4,5}$ edge to reveal a sharp inflection point in the transient XUV signal that corresponds to rapid C–I homolysis. Here, by examining the molecular orbitals involved in the core-level excitations at and around this inflection point, we are able to piece together a detailed picture of C–I bond photolysis in which d → σ* transitions give way to d → p excitations as the bond dissociates. We also report theoretical predictions of short-lived, weak 4d → 5d transitions in acetyl iodide, validated by weak bleaching in the experimental transient XUV spectra. This joint experimental–theoretical effort has thus unraveled the detailed electronic structure and dynamics of a strongly spin–orbit coupled system.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Downscaling and bias-correction contribute considerable uncertainty to local climate projections in CMIP6

Abstract Efforts to diagnose the risks of a changing climate often rely on downscaled and bias-corrected climate information, making it important to understand the uncertainties and potential biases of this approach. Here, we perform a variance decomposition to partition uncertainty in global climate projections and quantify the relative importance of downscaling and bias-correction. We analyze simple climate metrics such as annual temperature and precipitation averages, as well as several indices of climate extremes. We find that downscaling and bias-correction often contribute substantial uncertainty to local decision-relevant climate outcomes, though our results are strongly heterogeneous across space, time, and climate metrics. Our results can provide guidance to impact modelers and decision-makers regarding the uncertainties associated with downscaling and bias-correction when performing local-scale analyses, as neglecting to account for these uncertainties may risk overconfidence relative to the full range of possible climate futures.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Spheroidization of Nd–Fe–B particles

Spherical powders are required for many advanced manufacturing techniques due to their inherent requirement of flowability, either within feed tubes or during powder spreading. As advanced manufacturing of magnets continues to develop, new production methods for feedstocks are also sought. Plasma spheroidization is a high-yield method to produce spherical Nd–Fe–B powders from irregularly shaped particles, with advantages including high throughput and a well-controlled size distribution. Highly spherical Nd–Fe–B powders with large scale production (i.e., kg) have been demonstrated using an inductively coupled thermal plasma system; however, the magnetic properties of the output powder display significant degradation. The coercivity was decreased from the initial 8 kOe (636 kA/m) of the as-received to 0.7 kOe (55 kA/m) for spheroidized powders. Microstructural investigation reveals 6% Nd depletion caused by the extreme temperatures of the plasma, leading to the formation of low-coercivity α-Fe and a subsequent decrease in energy product. In conclusion, post-spheroidization heat treatments with Nd can partially mitigate the coercivity degradation, increasing to 1.7 kOe (135 kA/m), potentially offering a pathway toward spherical powders for a range of applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The rebrightening of a ROSAT -selected tidal disruption event: repeated weak partial disruption flares from a quiescent galaxy?

The ROSAT-selected tidal disruption event (TDE) candidate RX J133157.6-324319.7 (J1331) was detected in 1993 as a bright [0.2–2 keV flux of (1.0 ± 0.1) × 10 -12 erg s -1 cm -2 ], ultra-soft (kT = 0.11 ± 0.03 keV) X-ray flare from a quiescent galaxy (z = 0.051 89). During its fifth all-sky survey (eRASS5) in 2022, Spectrum-Roentgen-Gamma (SRG)/ eROSITA detected the repeated flaring of J1331, where it had rebrightened to an observed 0.2–2 keV flux of (6.0 ± 0.7) × 10 -13 erg s -1 cm -2 , with spectral properties (kT = 0.115 ± 0.007 keV) consistent with the ROSAT-observed flare ~30 yr earlier. In this work, we report on X-ray, ultraviolet, optical, and radio observations of this system. During a pointed XMM observation ~17 d after the eRASS5 detection, J1331 was not detected in the 0.2–2 keV band, constraining the 0.2–2 keV flux to have decayed by a factor of ≳40 over this period. Given the extremely low probability (~5 × 10 -6 ) of observing two independent full TDEs from the same galaxy over a 30 yr period, we consider the variability seen in J1331 to be likely caused by two partial TDEs involving a star on an elliptical orbit around a black hole. J1331-like flares show faster rise and decay time-scales [$\mathcal {O}(\mathrm{d})$] compared to standard TDE candidates, with negligible ongoing accretion at late times post-disruption between outbursts.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Meta-virus resource (MetaVR): expanding the frontiers of viral diversity with 24 million uncultivated virus genomes

Viruses are ubiquitous in all environments and impact host metabolism, evolution, and ecology, although our knowledge of their biodiversity is still extremely limited. Viral diversity from genomic and metagenomic datasets has led to an explosion of uncultivated virus genomes (UViGs) and the development of specialized databases to catalog this viral diversity, though many lack comprehensive integration. Here, we introduce meta-virus resource (MetaVR), the successor of the IMG/VR database, designed to overcome previous limitations such as large-scale querying and programmatic access. Drawing on the increase of publicly available genomes and metagenomes, MetaVR significantly expands viral diversity, now comprising 24,435,662 UViGs, a 57.6% increase from its predecessor, organized into over 12 million viral operational taxonomic units. Key enhancements include the integration of curated eukaryotic host information, the integration of protein clusters and predicted structures for comparative studies, and an API for programmatic data access. Furthermore, MetaVR features an updated taxonomic framework based on ICTV release 39, assignment to Baltimore classes, and enhanced host assignment through novel computational tools like iPHoP. These advancements position MetaVR as a unique resource for exploring viral diversity, evolution, and host interactions across diverse environments. MetaVR can be freely accessed at https://www.meta-virome.org/.

Fiamenghi, Mateus B↗

Ultrasonic Measurements of Temperature Distribution in Extreme Environments: Results of Power Plant Testing

The most hardened insertion sensors do not perform reliably in extreme environmental conditions. We address this problem by developing an ultrasonic thermometry system for the measurements of segmental temperature distributions (MSTD) in solid materials and, specifically, across containments of energy conversion processes. The MSTD approach uses an echogenically segmented ultrasound propagation path, structured to contain engineered or naturally occurring echogenic features. In pulse-echo mode, these features produce a train of echoes in response to an external pulse of ultrasonic excitation created and acquired by a transducer located outside the extreme environment. The delays between the echoes encode the information on the temperature distribution in the corresponding segments of the ultrasonic propagation path, which we use to reconstruct an unknown temperature profile. This note describes the preliminary results and initial experience in applying the developed MSTD ultrasonic thermometry system to the measurements of temperatures in a utility-scale 500MW coal-fired boiler.

John, Mason↗

Graph-based Simulation Framework for Power Resilience Estimation and Enhancement

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events poses significant risks to power distribution systems, leading to widespread outages and severe economic and social consequences. This paper presents a novel simulation framework for assessing and enhancing the resilience of power distribution networks under such conditions. Resilience is estimated through Monte Carlo simulations, which simulate extreme weather scenarios and evaluate the impact on infrastructure fragility. Due to the proprietary nature of power network topology, a distribution network is synthesized using publicly available data. To generate the weather scenarios, an extreme weather generation method is developed. To enhance resilience, renewable resources such as solar panels and energy storage systems (batteries in this study) are incorporated. A customized Genetic Algorithm is proposed to determine the optimal locations and capacities for solar panels and battery installations, maximizing resilience while balancing cost constraints. Experiment results demonstrate that on a large-scale synthetic distribution network with more than 300,000 nodes and 300,000 edges, the proposed framework can efficiently evaluate the resilience, and enhance the resilience through the installations of distributed energy resources (DERs), providing utilities with valuable insights for community-level power system resilience estimation and enhancement.

Wang, Xuesong [Wayne State Univ., Detroit, MI (Uni↗

Early structure formation constraints on the ultralight axion in the postinflation scenario

Many works have concentrated on the observable signatures of the dark matter being an ultralight axion-like particle (ALP). We concentrate on a particularly dramatic signature in the late-time cosmological matter power spectrum that occurs if the symmetry breaking that establishes the ALP happens after inflation -- white-noise density fluctuations that dominate at small scales over the adiabatic fluctuations from inflation. Here, these fluctuations alter the early history of nonlinear structure formation. We find that for symmetry breaking scales of f A ~ 10 13 – 10 15 GeV, which requires a high effective maximum temperature after inflation, ALP dark matter with particle mass of m A ~ 10 –13 – 10 –20 eV could significantly change the number of high-redshift dwarf galaxies, the reionization history, and the Lyα forest. We consider all three observables. We find that the Lyα forest is the most constraining of current observables, excluding f A ≳ 10 15 GeV (m A ≲ 10 –17 eV) in the simplest model for the ALP and considerably lower values in models coupled to a hidden strongly interacting sector (f A ≳ 10 13 GeV and m A ≲ 10 –13 eV). Observations that constrain the extremely high-redshift tail of reionization may disfavor similar levels of isocurvature fluctuations as the forest. Future z ~ 20–30 21cm observations have the potential to improve these constraints further using that the supersonic motions of the isocurvature-enhanced abundance of ~10 4 M ⊙ halos would shock heat the baryons, sourcing large BAO features.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Large-field magnetoresistance of nanometer scale nickel films grown on molybdenum disulfide

The magnetoresistance of thin nickel films grown on molybdenum disulfide was measured in perpendicular magnetic fields as high as 90 kOe. Films with thicknesses of 20 nm provided continuous surfaces for measurement. The magnetoresistance was found to be linear with respect to the applied magnetic field with no sign of saturation. There was also no evidence of hysteresis or temperature dependence between 100 to 300 K. STM measurement showed the deposited Ni forms a continuous film of extremely small nanoclusters. However, the field dependence of magnetoresistance was found to be significantly larger than bulk Ni, which is in turn larger than Ni with nanoscale grains. We expect the unusual magnetoresistance behavior to arise from some property of the Ni-MoS 2 interface.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

A fully implicit, asymptotic-preserving, semi-Lagrangian algorithm for the time dependent anisotropic heat transport equation

In this paper, we extend the operator-split asymptotic-preserving, semi-Lagrangian algorithm for time dependent anisotropic heat transport equation proposed in Chacón et al. (2014) [18] to use a fully implicit time integration with backward differentiation formulas. The proposed implicit method can deal with arbitrary heat-transport anisotropy ratios $\mathcal{X}$∥ /$ \mathcal{X}$⟂ $\ggg$ 1 (with $\mathcal{X}$∥, $ \mathcal{X}$⟂ the parallel and perpendicular heat diffusivities, respectively) in complicated magnetic field topologies in an accurate and efficient manner. Further, the implicit algorithm is second-order accurate temporally and demonstrates an accurate treatment at boundary layers (e.g., island separatrices), which was not ensured by the operator-split implementation. The condition number of the resulting algebraic system is independent of the anisotropy ratio, and is inverted with preconditioned GMRES. We propose a simple preconditioner that renders the finite-dimensional linear operator compact, resulting in mesh-independent convergence rates for topologically simple magnetic fields, and convergence rates scaling as ~ (NΔt) 1/4 (with N the total mesh size and Δt the timestep) in topologically complex magnetic-field configurations. We demonstrate the accuracy and performance of the approach with test problems of varying complexity, including an analytically tractable boundary-layer problem in a straight magnetic field, and a topologically complex magnetic field featuring magnetic islands with extreme anisotropy ratios $\mathcal{X}$∥ /$ \mathcal{X}$⟂ = 10 10 ) .

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The global spectrum of tree crown architecture

Abstract Trees can differ enormously in their crown architectural traits, such as the scaling relationships between tree height, crown width and stem diameter. Yet despite the importance of crown architecture in shaping the structure and function of terrestrial ecosystems, we lack a complete picture of what drives this incredible diversity in crown shapes. Using data from 374,888 globally distributed trees, we explore how climate, disturbance, competition, functional traits, and evolutionary history constrain the height and crown width scaling relationships of 1914 tree species. We find that variation in height–diameter scaling relationships is primarily controlled by water availability and light competition. Conversely, crown width is predominantly shaped by exposure to wind and fire, while also covarying with functional traits related to mechanical stability and photosynthesis. Additionally, we identify several plant lineages with highly distinctive stem and crown forms, such as the exceedingly slender dipterocarps of Southeast Asia, or the extremely wide crowns of legume trees in African savannas. Our study charts the global spectrum of tree crown architecture and pinpoints the processes that shape the 3D structure of woody ecosystems.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Recent advances of two-dimensional material additives in hybrid perovskite solar cells

Perovskite solar cells (PSCs) have become one of the state-of-the-art photovoltaic technologies due to their facile solution-based fabrication processes combined with extremely high photovoltaic performance originating from excellent optoelectronic properties such as strong light absorption, high charge mobility, long free charge carrier diffusion length, and tunable direct bandgap. However, the poor intrinsic stability of hybrid perovskites under environmental stresses including light, heat, and moisture, which is often associated with high defect density in the perovskite, has limited the large-scale commercialization and deployment of PSCs. The use of process additives, which can be included in various subcomponent layers in the PSC, has been identified as one of the effective approaches that can address these issues and improve the photovoltaic performance. Among various additives that have been explored, two-dimensional (2D) materials have emerged recently due to their unique structures and properties that can enhance the photovoltaic performance and device stability by improving perovskite crystallization, defect passivation, and charge transport. In this work, we provide a review of the recent progresses in 2D material additives for improving the PSC performance based on key representative 2D material systems, including graphene and its derivatives, transitional metal dichalcogenides, and black phosphorous, providing a useful guideline for further exploiting unique nanomaterial additives for more efficient and stable PSCs in the near future.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

RD53A: A large-scale prototype chip for the phase II upgrade in the serially powered HL-LHC pixel detectors

The phase II upgrade of the HL-LHC experiments within the LHC intends to deepen the studies of the Higgs boson and to allow the discovery of further particles by adding an integrated luminosity of about 4000 fb -1 over 10 years of operation. This upgrade would overwhelm the installed pixel detector readout chips with higher hit rates and radiation levels than ever before. To match these extreme requirements the RD53 collaboration, a joint effort between ATLAS and CMS, developed RD53A, a new generation pixel detector readout chip prototype manufactured in a 65 nm CMOS technology. It is half the size of the final pixel chips and designed to meet requirements in the face of 3 GHz/cm 2 hit rate after irradiation to 500 Mrad. The detector is able to use 50×50 μm 2 or 25×100 μm 2 pixels with high readout speed of up to 4 links per chip with 1.28 Gbit/s each. Shunt–LDO regulators integrated on the bottom of the chip provide the required voltages to the two power domains, analog and digital. These regulators enable serial powering of the pixel modules, which is the only feasible, radiation hard scheme to ensure acceptable power cable losses and to stay within the material budget for the future pixel detectors. Finally, an overview of the status and challenges of serial powering and the Shunt–LDO regulator development will be given.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗