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At least 1,153 records · Page 64
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Validation of FAST.Farm Against Full-Scale Turbine SCADA Data for a Small Wind Farm

FAST.Farm is a new midfidelity engineering tool developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory targeted at accurately and efficiently predicting wind turbine power production and structural loading in wind farm settings, including wake interactions between turbines. FAST.Farm is based on some of the principles of the Dynamic Wake Meandering model—including passive tracer modeling of wake meandering—but addresses many of the limitations of previous Dynamic Wake Meandering (DWM) implementations. Previous FAST.Farm verification studies show the similarities and differences between FAST.Farm and large-eddy simulations for rigid and flexible turbines. In this validation study, FAST.Farm turbine responses are compared to multiturbine measurements from a subset of a full-scale wind farm. FAST.Farm predictions of turbine generator power, rotor speed, and blade pitch for five-turbine simulations are compared to supervisory control and data acquisition results. Results reveal that FAST.Farm generator power mean and standard deviation results reasonably match measured data for upstream and downstream turbines, as well as the mean rotor speed and blade pitch above rated wind speeds. However, FAST.Farm generally underpredicts the mean rotor speed and overpredicts the mean blade pitch below rated operation. These errors are likely related to inaccuracies in the generic controller simulated. Despite controller differences, FAST.Farm predicts the same overall relative rotor power trends for all waked turbines at all wind speeds.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Hydrogen Leak Modeling for Development of Smart Distributed Monitoring Under Unintended Releases

Hydrogen is a versatile and clean energy carrier that can be produced from various renewable sources such as wind, solar, and hydropower. Hydrogen has the potential to play a crucial role in decarbonizing industrial processes that are currently reliant on fossil fuels and provide long-duration and/or seasonal energy storage to enable electricity decarbonization. Hydrogen can also be used as a fuel for fuel cell vehicles, providing a zero-emission alternative to traditional internal combustion engines. DOE launched the Hydrogen Energy Earthshot (Hydrogen Shot) in June 2021 to reduce the cost of clean hydrogen by 80% to $1 per 1 kilogram in 1 decade ("1 1 1"). While promising, Hydrogen is highly-flammable, and in the presence of oxygen, it can form explosive mixtures. . Therefore, understanding leak scenarios is essential to evaluate and mitigate the safety risks associated with potential hydrogen leaks. An increased understanding of leak behavior, and having tools to model leaks, can help assess how hydrogen would disperse in different environments, influencing emergency response plans and safety measures, and identify potential issues with materials and design systems that can withstand the challenges posed by hydrogen. Recently, researchers have attempted to study hydrogen leaks for development of risk management strategies. However, the focus has been on closed or semi-closed spaces like storage rooms, vehicles, garages, and fueling stations - all promising locations for future hydrogen infrastructure. In this presentation, the modeling environment extends the span of research further by modeling hydrogen leak in an outdoor, open space. We will present the key challenges with modeling hydrogen leaks in an uncontrollable environment, how they were handled, and how modeling results informed sensor selection and placement. A Hydrogen research facility at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) was used as a case study to model hydrogen leaks. In the future, Hydrogen wide area detection methodologies will be developed and tested at this site to monitor for unintended and operational hydrogen releases. The data generated from modeling will be used to develop a predictive model to detect hydrogen leak location based on concentration measured by sensors in this open space. Furthermore, the facility was also chosen because controlled hydrogen releases can be performed. A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) based modeling approach was taken to model hydrogen leak. The full-scale hydrogen facility was modeled with a large ambient domain. The electrolyzer at the facility can produce a controlled release rate of 27 kg-H2/hr. Site-specific atmospheric and weather condition data such as wind direction, wind speed at various altitudes, and temperature were used as inputs to the model. To capture the variability of weather conditions, a subset of the weather conditions experienced during daytime hours without precipitation over the course of three months was generated; using established data clustering techniques, a total of 100 condition sets were chosen. The results show statistical distributions and ranges of hydrogen concentrations at locations throughout the domain. These distributions are compared to experimental data from a constant mass flow, controlled hydrogen release at the facility. The stochastic wind conditions of the release make direct validation difficult, therefore, statistical comparison approaches were used. Wind conditions are found to significantly impact the release behavior, including direction and concentration. Sensor selection and placement is proposed for the facility and is now based on release behavior predicted for the facility given its weather patterns; this is much more informed than without the modeling results. The methodology and analysis procedure can be translated to other facilities using modified geometries and site-specific weather conditions. Hydrogen holds great promise as a renewable energy fuel, but ensuring safety in its production, storage, and use is paramount. Studying potential leak scenarios in an open space will help develop sensors to detect hydrogen on a large spectrum of concentration and eventually build a smart distributed monitoring system.

CFD↗
DOE OSTI2024

Advanced Permanent Magnet Generator Topologies Using Multimaterial Shape Optimization and 3D Printing: Preprint

A vast majority of utility-scale wind turbine generators in the United States are dependent on foreign- sourced rare-earth permanent magnets that are vulnerable to supply chain uncertainties. Many small wind original equipment manufacturers are motivated to pursue continuous improvements to the generator design to lower the material and production costs and improve performance by lowering cogging torque and increasing the efficiency. Traditional design and manufacturing offer limited opportunities. In this work, we demonstrate advanced design approaches for a 15-kW baseline wind turbine generator by making use of recent progress in three-dimensional (3D) printing of polymer- bonded magnets and, electrical and structural steel. We explore three methods of magnet parametrization using Bezier curves resulting in symmetric, asymmetric and multimaterial magnet designs. We employ a multiphysics approach combining parametric computer-aided design modeling, finite- element analysis and targeted sampling to identify novel designs with more opportunities for reducing rare-earth material, improving efficiency and minimizing cogging torque. The results show that asymmetric-pole design and multimaterial-pole designs offer a greater opportunity to minimize rare-earth magnet materials by up to 35% with similar performance as the baseline generator, suggesting newer opportunities with design freedom beyond traditional limits of symmetry and as allowed by 3D printing.

Bezier curves↗
DOE OSTI2020

Catalytic properties of model supported nanoparticles

Nanoparticles of late transition metals are used as catalysts and electrocatalysts for industrial chemical reactions that produce fuels, convert chemical energy to electricity and clean up pollution associated with the generation and use of these fuels. For such applications, metals are usually bonded onto the surfaces of oxide or carbon support materials. To provide the energy needed for sustained economic development, we must develop new and improved solid catalysts and electrocatalysts for a variety of reactions that take better advantage of traditional and alternate energy sources (solar, wind, biomass, etc.) and avoid serious environmental problems. Additionally, since these metals are often expensive and in limited supply (e.g., Pt), we also need to develop catalysts that do not require precious metals. As a consequence, recent years have seen a dramatic increase in research aimed at providing the basic understanding needed to develop new and improved catalysts and electrocatalysts for a variety of reactions that involve nanoparticles of late transition metals supported on oxide or carbon materials. It is therefore timely to present a special issue that focusses on Catalytic Properties of Model Supported Nanoparticles. The collection highlights some of the most exciting new directions for research in this area, and provides in depth examples of some of the most cutting-edge methods, both experimental and theoretical, for studying this class of catalysts, which provide insights into structure, mechanisms, kinetics and energetics with unprecedented accuracy and detail. Finally, as Guest Editors, we present below a few of the many excellent papers published in the collection.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Entropy-Infused Deep Learning Loss Function for Capturing Extreme Values in Wind Power Forecasting

Extreme scenarios in wind power generation occur with higher frequency and larger magnitude in the recent years due to the ever-increasing extreme meteorological factors. Accurate forecasting of the occurrence of extreme values in wind power generation is of great concern to ensure reliable power system operation. Recently, deep learning models have surged in popularity for wind power forecasting, with the mean squared error (MSE) loss function being commonly used. However, the MSE loss function, being sensitive to extreme values, disproportionately penalizes larger errors, cannot adequately capture the extreme values present in wind energy data, and novel loss functions have seldom been tailored for wind power forecasting. To this end, in this paper, we introduce a novel loss function specifically crafted to capture extreme values in wind power forecasting. The experimental results with four fundamental deep learning methods on open source wind power dataset validate that the new loss function is efficient and superior in all cases compared to MSE in capturing extreme values while maintaining forecasting performance.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Coastal Community Resiliency Enhancement Using Marine Hydrokinetic (MHK) Resources and Networked Microgrids

Enormous challenges are inherent in the operation of modern distribution grids. In particular, distribution feeders can be severely compromised under extreme conditions such as large-scale weather events (e.g., hurricanes, floods, and other types of natural disasters). To combat this problem, they turn to local energy support from distributed energy resources, such as solar and wind, marine hydrolinetic (MHK), and other types of energy. In this report, we investigate the actual characteristics of MHK resources to enhance coastal community resiliency. Two typical types of MHK resources (i.e., wave and tidal resources) illustrate the coastal resilience enhancement framework. By identifying their operational characteristics, such as target time-scales and potential power generation variations, we detail a holistic coastal community resiliency enhancement framework that integrates both optimization and control efforts. The optimization problem is formulated to significantly minimize the power outage time at the critical infrastructures in coastal communities by implementing multiple autonomous and dynamic microgrids around MHK resources. Therefore, during severe power outages caused by natural disasters (e.g., floods, hurricanes), the coastal community load profiles can be satisfied using local MHK resources in each microgrid with limited or no power support from upstream power grids.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2025

Additive manufacturing of amorphous metal soft magnetic composites

Soft magnet alloys are used as magnetic cores for electric motors, transformers, wind turbines and other power generation systems. Soft magnetic cores are expensive and time consuming to manufacture in the complex shapes required for next-generation devices using conventional press and sinter powder metallurgy. The objective of this effort is to additively manufacture high performance soft magnets, with reduced cost and reduced material waste and 10x lower energy (core) loss at the high operating frequencies of many electric machines. Laser powder bed fusion additive manufacturing is used as the fabrication method. Electrical steel and amorphous alloys atomized powders are used as a feedstock materials. Magnetic cores are printed in topology optimized structures such as the Hilbert curve because this has been shown to reduce energy losses by minimizing the eddy currents that circulate within the magnet at high frequencies. In our project, we succeed in printing FeSi 3.5wt% and FeSi 6.5wt% electrical steels, and iron-based soft magnetic amorphous alloys in the shape of Hilbert and Peano curve topology optimized structures. We found that the Peano curve has a higher cut-off frequency than the Hilbert curve, and that amorphous alloys have high cut-off frequencies and higher mechanical hardness than electrical steels. Processing conditions such as laser power, scan speed, and hatching pattern were optimized to achieve high density prints, and optimize magnetic performance. We find that the printing of amorphous alloy soft magnetic cores may be technoeconomically feasible for large scale applications such as transformers, for which supply chain issues and the labor costs of manual fabrication of magnetic cores is prohibitive in some cases.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
NASA NTRS1987

Guidance on maneuvering flight paths for rotary wing aircraft

A synthesis procedure for on-line determination of variable speed trajectories in known winds between fixed way points is presented. The primary application is toward rotorcraft approach guidance, although the methodology can be directly applied to other types of vehicles and other problem areas. Trajectories are generated by appropriate combination of straight and turning flight segments to determine the horizontal ground track plus a vertical synthesis based on an energy rate approach. Perturbation equations and feedback laws for four-dimensional trajectory guidance are presented.

Slater, G. L.↗
NASA NTRS2018

Development of a Mars Lidar (MARLI) for Measuring Wind and Aerosol Profiles from Orbit

Our understanding of the Mars atmosphere and the coupled atmospheric processes that drive its seasonal cycles is limited by a lack of observation data, particularly measurements that capture diurnal and seasonal variations on a global scale. As outlined in the 2011 Planetary Science Decadal Survey and the recent Mars Exploration Program Analysis Group(MEPAG) Goals Document, near-polar-orbital measurements of height-resolved aerosol backscatter and wind profiles area high-priority for the scientific community and would be valuable science products as part of a next-generation orbital science package. To address these needs, we have designed and tested a breadboard version of a direct detection atmospheric wind lidar for Mars orbit. It uses a single-frequency, seeded Nd:YAG laser ring oscillator operating at 1064nm (4 kHz repetition rate), with a 30-ns pulse duration amplified to 4 mJ pulse energy. The receiver uses a Fabry-Perotetalon as part of a dual-edge optical discrimination technique to isolate the Doppler-induced frequency shift of the back scattered photons. To detect weak aerosol backscatter profiles, the instrument uses a 4x4 photon-counting HgCdTeAPD detector with a 7 MHz bandwidth and < 0.4 fW/Hz(exp 1/2) noise equivalent power. With the MARLI lidar breadboard instrument, we were able to measure Doppler shifts continuously between 1 and 30 m/s by using a rotating chopper wheel to impart a Doppler shift to incident laser pulses. We then coupled the transmitter and receiver systems to a laser ranging telescope at the Goddard Geophysical and Astronomical Observatory (GGAO) to measure backscatter and Doppler wind profiles in the atmosphere from the ground. We measured a 5.3 ± 0.8 m/s wind speed from clouds in the planetary boundary layer at a range of 4 to 6 km. This measurement was confirmed with a range-over-time measurement to the same clouds as well as compared to EMC meteorological models. Here we describe the lidar approach and the breadboard instrument, and report some early results from ongoing field experiments.

Cremons, Daniel R.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Determining Surface Exposure Ages of Regolith Grains in Lunar Core Sample 73002 By Investigating Solar Particle Irradiation Damage

Space weathering causes the surface soils of airless bodies like the Moon to be micro-structurally and chemically altered by exposure to micrometeoroid bombardment and solar wind irradiation. These alterations accumulate in surface grains with continued residence in the uppermost millimeters of regolith. Low energy solar wind ions (largely H+ and He+) produce a layer of radiation damage as they become implanted in grain surfaces. Also present are solar energetic particle (SEP) tracks, which are nanoscale lineations within grain interiors formed by heavy, high-energy ions (mainly Fe group nuclei) penetrating up to millimeters below the surface. Recent work has determined that the width of solar wind-damaged rims on anorthite and olivine, and their respective SEP track densities are correlated with each other and with grain surface exposure age. Core sample 73002, recently released under the Apollo Next Generation Sample Analysis (ANGSA) Program, has provided an opportunity to study material collected from the light mantle formation in the Taurus-Littrow Valley during Apollo 17. The light mantle is thought to have been deposited vial and slide originating from the neighboring South Massif. Spectral analysis of bulk core soils found a plagioclase rich composition, confirming a highlands origin of the formation. Spectral profiles and ferromagnetic resonance (FMR) measurements of bulk soils sampled at cm-intervals from 73002 indicate that regolith up to~9.5 cm in depth have maturity indices consistent with longer durations of surface processing than samples deeper in the core. Thus, this upper ~9 cm layer likely represents the maximum extent of an in-situ reworking zone which may have persisted over 5 to 17million years. Here we present an analysis of grain exposure ages within the in-situ reworking zone of 73002derived from SEP track density measurements via transmission electron microscopy.

J A McFadden↗
DOE OSTI2024

Workshop Summary: Bridging the Gap Between Atmospheric Science and Grid Integration

The need for dedicated, accurate, expertly curated weather data is increasingly important as the share of variable renewable energy increases on the power system. Projections for futures with very high (50+% annual energy) shares of variable generation require ongoing assessment of data requirements from industry stakeholders in their power system operation and planning contexts. In March 2024, NREL organized a workshop entitled "Bridging the Gap Between Atmospheric Science and Grid Integration Workshop", which brought atmospheric scientists and power system experts together to refine the requirements of atmospheric datasets for grid integration, and to describe a holistic approach to creating new and regularly updated national scale wind datasets for power system planning and operations. The results of this workshop are being used to inform the near-term development and a longer-term strategy for DOE to produce relevant wind resource datasets and inform wider use of wind/solar/load data sets in power system planning. This presentation provides an overview of a preworkshop survey, an assessment of current state of the art of national-scale datasets for wind resource assessment and grid integration, insights on appropriate uses of the WTK-LED, power system perspectives on data needs, as well as recommended next steps as discussed in the workshop and how these steps support longer-term strategies.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Institutional Framework of Variable Renewable Energy Forecasting in India

The share of variable renewable energy (VRE) in India is growing rapidly, with a national goal of reaching 50% capacity from non-fossil fuel generation by 2030. One implication of this growth is the need for improved VRE forecasting methods. For this reason, the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) in India commissioned this study with support from the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in the United States, and the National Institute of Wind Energy (NIWE) in India. The objective of this study was to review the existing institutional framework and suggest changes needed to support the plans for large-scale VRE integration in the country. To achieve that objective, the authors consulted local stakeholders about the status of VRE forecasting in India, reviewed existing studies, and examined VRE forecasting methods around the world to identify best practices. Based on those best practices, the study presents six potential approaches to improve the VRE forecasting framework in India. Approaches include incentivizing VRE forecast improvement and use of the most accurate VRE forecast, creating an institution that will optimize VRE forecasts while maintaining and ensuring access to necessary data for forecasting, implementing a review and certification process for VRE forecast providers, forecasting closer to dispatch time and allowing for more frequent forecast revisions, increasing the frequency of weather forecasts, and aggregating VRE forecasts at the point of interconnection.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Enabling Floating Offshore VAWT Design by Coupling OWENS and OpenFAST

Vertical-axis wind turbines (VAWTs) have a long history, with a wide variety of turbine archetypes that have been designed and tested since the 1970s. While few utility-scale VAWTs currently exist, the placement of the generator near the turbine base could make VAWTs advantageous over tradition horizontal-axis wind turbines for floating offshore wind applications via reduced platform costs and improved scaling potential. However, there are currently few numerical design and analysis tools available for VAWTs. One existing engineering toolset for aero-hydro-servo-elastic simulation of VAWTs is the Offshore Wind ENergy Simulator (OWENS), but its current modeling capability for floating systems is non-standard and not ideal. This article describes how OWENS has been coupled to several OpenFAST modules to update and improve modeling of floating offshore VAWTs and discusses the verification of these new capabilities and features. The results of the coupled OWENS verification test agree well with a parallel OpenFAST simulation, validating the new modeling and simulation capabilities in OWENS for floating VAWT applications. These developments will enable the design and optimization of floating offshore VAWTs in the future.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
NASA NTRS1977

Kelvin-Helmholtz waves in the ocean

Large amplitude short waves confined near the crests of a swell have been observed when a stiff breeze was blowing against the swell. This would seem to imply the existence of both a wavelength-selective generating mechanism and a trapping mechanism, neither of which is to be expected of surface gravity waves of the observed length. It is suggested that there are significant changes in the dynamics of such waves if allowance is made for the dynamic coupling between wind and waves. For a Kelvin-Helmholtz model it is shown that energy transfer rates from the turbulent pressure fluctuations are greatly enhanced for subcritical conditions by the inclusion of the dynamic coupling. The group velocity of subcritical waves is profoundly affected, becoming infinite at the stability boundary. Thus subcritical waves could be trapped on a swell. An examination of the effects of wind shear suggest that Kelvin-Helmholtz type instability could still be present, although for stronger winds, particularly for rather longer waves.

Mahony, J. J.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Can stochastic, dissipative wave fields be treated as random walk generators

A suggestion by Meek et al. (1985) that the gravity wave field be viewed as stochastic, with significant nonlinearities, is applied to calculate diffusivities. The purpose here is to calculate the diffusivity for stochastic wave model and compare it with previous diffusivity estimates. The researchers do this for an idealized case in which the wind velocity changes but slowly, and for which saturation is the principal mechanism by which wave energy is lost. A related calculation was given in a very brief way (Weinstock, 1976), but the approximations were not fully justified, nor were the physical pre-suppositions clearly explained. The observations of Meek et al. (1985) have clarified the pre-suppositions for the researchers and provided a rationalization and improvement of the approximations employed.

Weinstock, J.↗
NASA NTRS1995

The origin of the solar wind

The high speed solar wind, which is associated with coronal holes and unipolar interplanetary magnetic field, has now been observed in situ beyond 0.3 a.u. and at latitudes up to 80 degrees. Its important characteristics are that it is remarkably steady in terms of flow properties and composition and that the ions, especially minor species, are favored in terms of heating and acceleration. We have proposed that the high speed wind, with its associated coronal holes, forms the basic mode of solar wind flow. In contrast, the low speed wind is inherently non-stationary, filamentary and not in equilibrium with conditions at the coronal base. It is presumably the result of continual reconfigurations of the force-free magnetic field in the low-latitude closed corona which allow trapped plasma to drain away along transiently open flux tubes. Observations of high speed solar wind close to its source are hampered by the essential heterogeneity of the corona, even at sunspot minimum. In particular it is difficult to determine more than limits to the density, temperature and wave amplitude near the coronal base as a result of contamination from fore- and back-ground plasma. We interpret the observations as indicating that the high speed solar wind originates in the chromospheric network, covering only about 1% of the surface of the sun, where the magnetic field is complex and not unipolar. As a result of small-scale reconnection events in this 'furnace', Alfven waves are generated with a flat spectrum covering the approximate range 10 kHz to 10 Hz. The plasma is likely to be produced as a result of downwards thermal conduction and possibly photoionization at the top of the low density chromospheric interface to the furnace, thus controlling the mass flux in the wind. The immediate source of free (magnetic) energy is in the form of granule-sized loops which are continually carried into the network from the sides. The resulting wave spectrum is such that energy can be efficiently transferred to the ions within a few solar radii of the base of the corona, favoring heavy species and creating stable, fast solar wind.

Axford, W. I.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Evaluating Terrain as a Turbulence Generation Method

When driving microscale large-eddy simulations with mesoscale model solutions, turbulence will take space to develop, known as fetch, on the microscale domain. To reduce fetch, it is common to add perturbations near the boundaries to speed up turbulence development. However, when simulating domains over complex terrain, it is possible that the terrain itself can quickly generate turbulence within the boundary layer. It is shown here that rugged terrain is able to generate turbulence without the assistance of a perturbation strategy; however, the levels of turbulence generated are improved when adding perturbations at the inlet. Flow over smoothed, but not flat, terrain fails to generate adequate turbulence throughout the boundary layer in all tests conducted herein. Sensitivities to the strength of the mean wind speed and boundary layer height are investigated and show that higher wind speeds produce turbulence over terrain features that slower wind speeds do not. Further, by increasing the height of the capping inversion, the effectiveness of topography alone to generate turbulence throughout the depth of the boundary is diminished. In all cases, the inclusion of a perturbation strategy improved simulation performance with respect to turbulence development.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Assessment of Model Hub Height Wind Speed Performance Using DOE Lidar Buoy Data

As the offshore wind industry continues to gain momentum both in the U.S. and globally, reanalysis products remain essential tools for the lifecycle of a wind farm. From project siting and production estimates to determining construction and maintenance windows, reanalysis products play an important role. These regional and global long-term models also serve as inputs to higher resolution models. With such wide-ranging impacts on the offshore wind industry, the need for validation of reanalysis products is strong, particularly at typical turbine hub heights. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) operates two AXYS WindSentinelTM buoys for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) in order to collect meteorological and oceanographic data, including hub height wind speed, in areas of interest for offshore wind development. This work uses DOE buoy observations off the coasts of New Jersey and Virginia to evaluate the performance of Modern Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications-2 (MERRA-2), the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR), the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis 5th generation (ERA5), and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) assimilation system Rapid Refresh (RAP). Biases and degrees of correspondence are determined for each reanalysis product in order to provide insights on the performance and uncertainty for long-term wind resource characterization. With the baseline metrics determined, this work proceeds with an investigation into the sources of large deviations between the modeled and observed hub height wind speeds during the East Coast lidar buoy deployments. Consistent sources of reanalysis model error include stably stratified flow conditions, high wind shear, flow parallel to the coastline, and tropical and winter storms. For the near shore New Jersey location, offshore winds (i.e. blowing from land to water) tend to be associated with model overestimation of observed hub height wind speed, while winds parallel to the coastline are correlated with model underestimation of wind speed. Similarly, near the Virginia buoy, during southerly winds (parallel to the coastline) models underestimate the observed wind speed due to coastal upwelling. Reanalysis model wind speeds underestimate the hub height winds with increasing stable atmospheric stratification. Reanalysis model biases are seen when the observed wind speeds approach or exceed typical turbine cut-out speeds (around 20 m s-1). Large model errors during winter and tropical storm events, high wind speed events, and ramp events are often the result of wind speed timing and magnitude offsets. Overall, ERA5 provides the most successful representation of observed offshore hub height wind speeds at the U.S. East Coast buoy locations and is therefore best suited as an input boundary condition for model case studies. ERA5 performs well for a variety of atmospheric phenomena, including storms and sea breezes, however RAP, the next most successful reanalysis model, performs best in capturing the frequency of ramp events.

17 WIND ENERGY↗