Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “variability analysis”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,153 records · Page 64

Legacy Well Leakage Risk Analysis at the Farnsworth Unit Site

This paper summarizes the results of the risk analysis and characterization of the CO 2 and brine leakage potential of Farnsworth Unit (FWU) site wells. The study is part of the U.S. DOE’s National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) program, which aims to quantitatively evaluate long-term environmental risks under conditions of significant geologic uncertainty and variability. To achieve this, NRAP utilizes risk assessment and computational tools specifically designed to quantify uncertainties and calculate the risk associated with geologic carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) sequestration. For this study, we have developed a workflow that utilizes physics-based reservoir simulation results as input to perform leakage calculations using NRAP Tools, specifically NRAP-IAM-CS and RROM-Gen. These tools enable us to conduct leakage risk analysis based on ECLIPSE reservoir simulation results and to characterize wellbore leakage at the Farnsworth Unit Site. We analyze the risk of leakage from both individual wells and the entire field under various wellbore integrity distribution scenarios. The results of the risk analysis for the leakage potential of FWU wells indicate that, when compared to the total amount of CO 2 injected, the highest cemented well integrity distribution scenario (FutureGen high flow rate) exhibits approximately 0.01% cumulative CO 2 leakage for a 25-year CO 2 injection duration at the end of a 50-year post-injection monitoring period. In contrast, the highest possible leakage scenario (open well) shows approximately 0.1% cumulative CO 2 leakage over the same time frame.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

High manganese redox variability and manganate predominance in temperate soil profiles as determined by X-ray absorption spectroscopy

Manganese speciation is a key to understanding the fate of contaminants, nutrients, and organic matter in soils. To date, quantification of Mn species in bulk soils has been performed mainly by sequential extraction methods and rarely supported by spectroscopic analysis. In order to obtain quantitative information on the Mn species inventory of soils, we investigated 46 soil horizons (<2-mm fraction, 45.1–2,280 mg/kg Mn) of nine typical Central European soils (Cambisols, Chernozems, Luvisols, Podzol, Stagnosol) by chemical Mn analyses and Mn K-edge X-ray absorption spectroscopy, and related speciation results to major soil properties. Amounts of Mn 2+ , Mn 3+ , and Mn 4+ and the average oxidation state of Mn were evaluated by linear combination fitting (LCF) of X-ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) spectra. Additionally, we used extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) spectroscopy to identify and quantify major Mn species. For this, EXAFS spectra of 20 organic and mineral soil samples from five soils (Cambisols, Chernozem, Luvisol) were analyzed by LCF and shell fitting. XANES analyses revealed a high Mn redox variability in organic surface layers, with Mn 2+ being most abundant (≤100%, $\overline{x}$ = 54%), followed by Mn 3+ (≤80%, $\overline{x}$ = 32%) and Mn 4+ (≤55%, $\overline{x}$ = 14%). Mineral soil horizons contained significantly less Mn 2+ (≤56%, $\overline{x}$ = 23%), about equal quantities of Mn 3+ (≤68%, $\overline{x}$ = 31%), and were enriched in Mn 4+ (≤89%, $\overline{x}$ = 46%). EXAFS analyses implied the presence of six major Mn species groups: manganates, organically complexed Mn, Mn(III) oxyhydroxides, silicate-bound Mn, Mn oxides without tunnel- or layer structure, and physisorbed Mn. In litter horizons, Mn was mainly present in organic complexes (58–91%, $\overline{x}$ = 78%) and as physisorbed Mn (≤15%), but individual horizons also comprised manganates, Mn(III) oxyhydroxides, and silicate-bound Mn. Manganates, likely mixtures of phyllomanganates with hexagonal layer symmetry and tectomanganates, dominated in all mineral soil horizons (37–94%, $\overline{x}$ = 67%). Correlation analysis showed that manganates dissolve completely during dithionite-citrate and acid ammonium oxalate extractions, and suggested that Mn 4+ -rich manganates preferentially form under less acidic soil conditions, partly by oxidation of organically complexed Mn(II), and that they are enriched in the soil clay fraction. Mineral soil horizons also contained minor quantities of organically complexed Mn (≤39%, $\overline{x}$ = 11%), silicate-bound Mn (≤30%, $\overline{x}$ = 8%), Mn(III) oxyhydroxides (≤37%, $\overline{x}$ = 7%), Mn oxides without tunnel- or layer structure (≤18%, $\overline{x}$ = 5%), and physisorbed Mn (≤14%, $\overline{x}$ <1%). The detection of Mn(III) oxyhydroxides such as feitknechtite (β-MnOOH) or groutite (α-MnOOH) as well as the spinel hausmannite (Mn 3 O 4 ) in acidic soils is remarkable, since their formation is normally linked to neutral or alkaline pH conditions. Minor contributions of silicate-bound Mn indicate the release of Mn from primary minerals already at early stages of soil formation, and low concentrations of physisorbed Mn suggest that exchangeable Mn is rapidly converted into manganates in oxic soils. In conclusion, the predominance of manganates in mineral soils has far-reaching implications for the functioning of soils and biogeochemical element cycles, as these minerals play an important role in metal binding, plant nutrition, and redox-related processes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Beyond Price-Taker: Multiscale Optimization of Wind and Battery Integrated Energy Systems

Integrating renewable energy into the electric grid is challenging due to the intermittency and variability of wind and other non-dispatchable resources. Integrated energy systems (IESs) combine multiple energy technologies (e.g., fossil, nuclear, renewables, storage) to reduce costs and improve flexibility and reliability. However, standard techno-economic analysis (TEA) methods often overestimate the benefits of IESs because they fail to account for energy market adjustments. This paper systematically studies the limitations of the prevailing price-taker assumption for TEA and optimization of hybrid energy systems. As an illustrative case study, we retrofit an existing wind farm in the RTS-GMLC test system (which loosely mimics the Southwest U.S.) with battery energy storage to form an IES. We show that the standard price-taker model overestimates the electricity revenue and the net present value (NPV) of the IES up to 178% and 30.4%, respectively, compared to our more rigorous multiscale optimization. These differences arise because introducing storage creates a more flexible resource that impacts the larger wholesale electricity market. Moreover, this work highlights the impact of the IES has on the market via various strategic bidding, and underscores the importance of moving beyond price-taker for optimal storage sizing and TEA of IESs. We conclude by discussing opportunities to generalize the proposed framework to other IESs, and highlight emerging research questions regarding the complex interactions between IESs and markets.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

In Situ Diffraction and Ex Situ Transmission X‐Ray Microscopy Studies of Solid‐State Upcycling for NMC Cathodes

Upcycling of recycled LiNi 0.6 Mn 0.2 Co 0.2 O 2 (NMC622) cathodes offers an economical route to produce cathode materials with increased energy density (i.e., LiNi 0.8 Mn 0.1 Co 0.1 O 2 , NMC811) that meet the performance needs of present-day electric vehicles. In this work, solid-state upcycling of NMC622 via calcination with Ni(OH) 2 and LiOH was monitored using in situ synchrotron powder X-ray diffraction measurements. Sequential Rietveld refinements indicate that the calcination proceeds by initially converting Ni(OH) 2 to a rocksalt NiO phase followed by lithiation of NiO to form LiNiO 2 (LNO), with both NMC and LNO phases present in nearly equal proportions at the calcination endpoint. Variable-energy transmission X-ray microscopy tomograms of upcycled samples reveal that the NMC and LNO domains are intermixed at sub-micron length scales. Depth-dependent analysis of multi-elemental fitting maps matches the expected NMC811 composition at the secondary particle level and indicates that transition metal diffusion is not limited by the secondary particle size.

cathode upcycling↗

Solution-Based, Anion-Doping of Li 4 Ti 5 O 12 Nanoflowers for Lithium-Ion Battery Applications

Solution–based, anionic doping represents a convenient strategy with which to improve upon the conductivity of candidate anode materials such as Li 4 Ti 5 O 12 (LTO). As such, novel synthetic hydrothermally–inspired protocols have primarily been devised herein, aimed at the large–scale production of unique halogen–doped, micron–scale, three–dimensional, hierarchical LTO flower–like motifs. Although fluorine (F) doping has been explored, the use of chlorine (Cl) dopants is the primary focus here. Several experimental variables, such as dopant amount, lithium hydroxide concentration, and titanium butoxide purity, were probed and perfected. Furthermore, the Cl doping process did not damage the intrinsic LTO morphology. The analysis, based on interpreting a compilation of SEM, XRD, XPS, and TEM–EDS results, was used to determine an optimized dopant concentration of Cl. Electrochemical tests demonstrated an increased capacity via cycling of 12 % for a Cl–doped sample as compared with pristine LTO. Moreover, the Cl–doped LTO sample described in this study exhibited the highest discharge capacity yet reported at an observed rate of 2C for this material at 143mAh g –1 . Overall, these data suggest that the Cl dopant likely enhances not only the ion transport capabilities, but also the overall electrical conductivity of our as–prepared structures. Furthermore, to help explain these favorable findings, theoretical DFT calculations were used to postulate that the electronic conductivity and Li diffusion were likely improved by the presence of increased Ti 3+ ion concentration coupled with widening of the Li migration channel.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

An international laboratory comparison of dissolved organic matter composition by high resolution mass spectrometry: Are we getting the same answer?

Since the first detailed compositional analysis of dissolved organic matter (DOM) in 1995, high resolution mass spectrometry (HRMS) has become a vital tool for DOM characterization. While the upward trend in HRMS for molecular level analysis of DOM continues, so do the challenges of data comparison and interpretation between laboratories operating instruments of differing performance and user operating conditions. It is therefore essential that the community establishes whether data and trends can be compared robustly between research groups. To this end, 4 identically prepared DOM samples were each studied by 16 laboratories, representing 17 commercially-purchased instruments located across 8 countries, using positive- and negative-mode electrospray ionization (ESI) HRMS analysis. Despite the widely reported sensitivity of ESI experiments to sample matrix, preparation, ion source operation and instrument tuning parameters, the instruments used in this study showed relatively low variability between results for the same samples, particularly H/C and AI metrics. The variation in O/C and m/z metrics was relatively higher, although z-score graphs and %BCD demonstrated that the relative difference in general chemical composition between samples was the same for each instrument included in the study. As such, these metrics can be used for fingerprinting of DOM samples and as a benchmark for quality control in participating laboratories, with future strides in environmental science building upon these efforts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Nationwide HVAC Energy-Saving Potential Quantification for Office Buildings with Occupant-Centric Controls in Various Climates

The occupant-centric control (OCC) is receiving an increasing attention due to its ability to reduce building heating ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) system energy consumptions while not affecting the occupant thermal comfort. This paper aims to investigate and quantify the nationwide energy-saving potential of implementing the occupant-centric HVAC controls in typical office buildings using a whole building simulation software EnergyPlus. First, the medium office and large office from the Department of Energy (DOE) Commercial Prototype Building Models (CBPM) were enhanced to have detailed layouts and dynamic occupancy schedules. Then, a comprehensive simulation plan was created by incorporating the multiple zone-level and system-level occupant-centric building HVAC controls recommended by the updated ASHRAE Standard 90.1 – 2019 and ASHRAE Guideline 36 – 2018. Three control scenarios with different occupancy sensing methods were identified in this simulation plan. A nation-wide parametric analysis which includes two building types, three occupancy sensing scenarios, two building code versions, and 16 U.S. climate zones was carried out. The simulation results of the key control variables and HVAC energy consumption suggest that generally, both the occupancy presence sensor and occupant counting sensor could achieve energy savings for the office buildings in majority of the scenarios. However, compared with the occupancy presence sensor, which could support both the temperature setpoint reset and operational breathing zone airflow rate reset for the unoccupied zones, the occupant counting sensor only brings a marginal benefit. Besides, a higher HVAC energy-saving ratio could be achieved in the heating-dominated zone, since the energy reduction brought with the minimum outdoor airflow rate reset is stronger in the heating mode.

Pang, Zhihong↗

A novel conditional generative model for efficient ensemble forecasts of state variables in large-scale geological carbon storage

Integrating monitoring data to efficiently update reservoir pressure and CO 2 plume distribution forecasts presents a significant challenge in geological carbon storage (GCS) applications. Inverse modeling techniques are commonly used to fuse observational data and refine reservoir model parameters, thereby improving state variable forecasts. However, these techniques often rely on linear or Gaussian assumptions, which can limit their effectiveness in accurately predicting state variables. Moreover, simulating large-scale three-dimensional (3D) GCS problems is computationally expensive, making iterative runs in inverse problems prohibitive. To address these challenges, we propose a conditional generative model utilizing the score-based diffusion method for real-time 3D pressure and saturation field distribution predictions. Our approach involves solving the score function with a mini-batch-based Monte Carlo estimator to generate labeled data. This data is subsequently employed to train a fully connected neural network, enabling it to learn the conditional sample generator within a supervised learning framework. This method enables the rapid generation of a large ensemble of predictions, facilitating comprehensive uncertainty quantification of state variables. Here we applied our method to forecast the dynamic 3D distributions of pressure and saturation fields over a 30-year injection period. The statistical assessment with low root mean square error (RMSE) values demonstrates that our method can accurately predict the spatiotemporal distributions of both pressure and saturation fields. Moreover, the developed conditional generative model shows high computational efficiency by generating 100 ensemble forecasts of 3D state variables in less than 10 min. The consistency between ensemble averages and ground truth values further illustrates the model’s capability to capture state variable dynamics during the CO 2 plume injection process. Notably, the ground truth values fall within the ensemble forecasts, indicating that our uncertainty quantification effectively captures variability and potential noise in the observations. Thus, the developed conditional generative model proves to be a more efficient, accurate, and practical tool for GCS applications, facilitating timely risk analysis and informed decision-making.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Effect of Cell Geometry and Trigger Method on the Risks Associated with Thermal Runaway of Lithium-Ion Batteries

Consideration of thermal runaway heat output variability is paramount for the development of safe lithium-ion battery assemblies. This study utilizes data gathered from fractional thermal runaway calorimetry (FTRC) experiments to conduct a comparative analysis of thermal runaway heat output for three cell formats (18650, 21700, and 33600) as a function of trigger method (heaters, internal short-circuiting device, and nail penetration). The analysis is based on comparisons for the calculated total energy yield, fractional energy yield, heat rate, and heat flux. This study reveals that nail penetration tends to result in higher thermal runaway heat output for larger cells (21700 & 33600); these experiments also tended to result in higher fractions of the total energy being released through the cell body. The smaller cells (18650) did not appear to have significant variation in heat output as a function of trigger method. This finding suggests that, for this cell type, worst-case scenario heat output could be achievable in assembly level testing regardless of the utilized trigger method. This study also demonstrates successful translation of FTRC results, as recorded in the Battery Failure Databank, into meaningful analysis that breaks down the influence of specific conditions on thermal runaway heat output.

calorimetry↗

Impact of Disorder and Defects on Bond Energies in Highly Fluorinated Graphene

Fluorinated graphite materials are of interest for an assortment of applications and can be synthesized under a variety of synthetic conditions from many different types of carbon. Due to such variations, structural disorders in the form of defects and polymorphism are often present. Here, we investigate the impact of local structural variations on the C–F bond dissociation energies (BDEs) in carbon-based fluoride materials using density functional theory (DFT) computational methods. Employing fluorographene (FG) cluster models, we determine the impact of different C–F bonding configurations in the core of each platelet on the equilibrium BDEs for each C–F bond. The introduction of structural disorder decreases the first C–F BDE by approximately 1 eV compared to the canonical arrangement of axial C–F bonds ordered as in a network of cyclohexane “chairs”. Variability of calculated BDEs among the different polymorphs decreases upon subsequent F removal. Common structural tendencies of the adiabatic defluorination pathways for each polymorph are identified. In conclusion, our analysis suggests that at F/C ratios near 1.0, disorder in the local structure can play a significant role in the energetics of the initial carbon fluoride defluorination and that the influence of this configurational disorder diminishes with decreasing F/C ratios.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The Global Fingerprint of Modern Ice-Mass Loss on 3-D Crustal Motion

Crustal motion generated by rapid ice-mass loss from Earth's glaciers and ice sheets has previously been considered in Global Navigational Satellite System (GNSS) analyses and numerical models across regions of ice retreat. However, the fingerprint of ice-mass loss is not limited to glaciated areas, but is characterized by a global pattern of 3-D crustal deformation. We compute “far-field” vertical and horizontal deformation rates that occurred in response to early 21st century mass flux from the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets, global glaciers and ice caps, and associated ocean loading. We demonstrate that mass changes in the Greenland Ice Sheet and high latitude glacier systems each generated average crustal motion of 0.1–0.4 mm/yr across much of the Northern Hemisphere, with significant year-to-year variability in magnitude and direction. Horizontal motions associated with ice-mass loss exceed vertical rates in many far-field areas, and both should be considered in future analysis of GNSS measurements.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Little influence of Arctic amplification on mid-latitude climate

Observations and model simulations show enhanced warming in the Arctic under increasing greenhouse gases, a phenomenon known as the Arctic amplification (AA), that is likely caused by sea-ice loss. AA reduces meridional temperature gradients linked to circulation, thus mid-latitude weather and climate changes have been attributed to AA, often on the basis of regression analysis and atmospheric simulations. However, other modelling studies show only a weak link. This inconsistency may result from deficiencies in separating the effects of AA from those of natural variability or background warming. In this work, using coupled model simulations with and without AA, we show that cold-season precipitation, snowfall and circulation changes over northern mid-latitudes come mostly from background warming. AA and sea-ice loss increase precipitation and snowfall above ~60° N and reduce meridional temperature gradients above ~45° N in the lower–mid troposphere. However, minimal impact on the mean climate is seen below ~60° N, with weak reduction in zonal wind over 50°–70° N and 150–700 hPa, mainly over the North Atlantic and northern central Asia. These results suggest that the climatic impacts of AA are probably small outside the high latitudes, thus caution is needed in attributing mid-latitude changes to AA and sea-ice loss on the basis of statistical analyses that cannot distinguish the impact of AA from other correlated changes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Nature of the diffuse emission sources in the H i supershell in the galaxy IC 1613

ABSTRACT We present a study of the nearby low-metallicity dwarf galaxy IC 1613, focusing on the search for massive stars and related feedback processes, as well as for faint supernova remnants (SNR) in late stages of evolution. We obtained the deepest images of IC 1613 in the narrow-band H α, He ii and [S ii] emission lines and new long-slit spectroscopy observations using several facilities (6-m BTA, 2.5m SAI MSU, and 150RTT telescopes), in combination with the multiwavelength archival data from MUSE/VLT, VLA, XMM–Newton, and Swift/XRT. Our deep narrow-band photometry identifies several faint shells in the galaxy, and we further investigate their physical characteristics with the new long-slit spectroscopy observations and the archival multiwavelength data. Based on energy balance calculations and assumptions about their possible nature, we propose that one of the shells is a possible remnant of a supernova explosion. We study five out of eight Wolf–Rayet (WR) star candidates previously published for this galaxy using the He ii emission line mapping, MUSE/VLT archival spectra, and new long-slit spectra. Our analysis discards the considered WR candidates and finds no new ones. We found P Cyg profiles in H α line in two stars, which we classify as Luminous Blue Variable (LBV) star candidates. Overall, the galaxy IC 1613 may have a lower rate of WR star formation than previously suggested.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

Carrier properties of Bi(111) grown on mica and Si(111)

A comparison is presented between properties of Bi(111) films grown by Stranski-Krastanov epitaxy on Si(111) 7 × 7 and by van der Waals epitaxy on mica substrates. Thin film morphologies and electronic transport properties of Bi(111) films of variable thickness are investigated for each growth method. Atomic force micrographs for Bi(111) films on mica reveal clearly defined triangular regions consisting of layered steps with height 0.4 nm, corresponding to the Bi(111) bilayer height. Variable-temperature electronic transport measurements show the existence of a quantum confinement-induced energy gap in the film interiors, resulting in a semimetal-to-semiconductor transition. Magnetotransport analysis in a three-carrier model including metallic electrons in surface states and electrons and holes in the films' interiors provides a detailed study of densities, mobilities, and mean-free paths of the three carrier types. Further, improved electronic transport properties are found in Bi(111) films of higher thickness on mica compared to on Si(111), a likely result of the largely strain-free van der Waals epitaxial growth.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Hydrodynamic instabilities and heat transfer characteristics in the duct flow of a fluid in the supercritical thermodynamic regime

The behavior of fluids at supercritical thermodynamic conditions is inherently complex due to large variations in thermodynamic and transport properties. Recent numerical and experimental investigations illustrate ongoing interest for these fluids, especially supercritical CO 2 and supercritical water, for a variety of applications. For example, supercritical water reactors (SCWR) operate in this extreme condition of high-pressure and temperature, resulting in highly dynamic flow fields and unexpected heat transfer regimes. The potential heat transfer benefits in this regime are directly associated with the extreme variations in thermodynamic and transport properties, which occur at, and above, the critical point. This work characterizes the hydrodynamic instabilities that arise for fluids at supercritical thermodynamic conditions when buoyancy forces are significant. Two specific configurations are considered, a natural convection cavity flow, and a mixed convection, heated, horizontal channel flow. Natural convection flow in a cavity is a classical configuration with expected behavior below the critical point. This configuration aids in characterizing the effect of the variable properties in the supercritical thermodynamic regime. Further, limited studies in the existing literature have been conducted for low-Reynolds and intermediate-Rayleigh numbers, mixed-convection channel flows for supercritical water, which is the focus of the channel flow configuration. To investigate the thermally driven hydrodynamic instabilities in this regime, a high-order fully-implicit numerical method is used. Such strong variations in thermophysical properties (in particular, density) are difficult to simulate and an altogether compressible framework is needed. Therefore, the compressible Navier-Stokes equations are solved without any additional assumptions. The fully implicit, high-order in space and time, reconstructed discontinuous Galerkin method as implemented within the multi-physics code called ALE3D (Arbitrary Lagrangian and Eulerian in 2D and 3D), developed at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), is used. This fully implicit, L-stable method accurately captures the compressible nature of the ow in the limit of very low Mach number. It has been widely accepted that above the critical point, only one phase is observed. However, recent research has indicated the existence of the distinct gas-like and liquid-like regions separated by the Widom line, the locus of the maxima of the specific heat. Along the Widom line, density decreases 6-fold, viscosity drops by a factor of 2, while specific heat spikes by an order of magnitude. These variations, specifically in density and viscosity, produce a thick pseudo-interface and flow dynamics behavior akin to film boiling. A pseudo-film at the heated wall of the cavity and the horizontal channel is observed where buoyancy forces induce mixing through the specific configurations. Further the local Rayleigh and Richardson numbers provide maps of the flow field and the buoyancy forces driving the microscopic mixing. In the first chapter, I describe a background of supercritical fluid and the various applications. The second chapter focuses on the mathematical model and numerical method used for simulations, where a description of the equation of state for supercritical water is described. The third chapter focuses on the natural convection cavity with a heated bottom wall. In this cavity a gas-like and a liquid-like flow within the supercritical thermodynamic regime are observed. The fourth chapter focuses on a forced convection, horizontal channel, distinguishing between the gas-like, liquid-like, and mixed flow regimes. Mixed convection flow, with the addition of gravitational forces in the horizontal channel show the influence of variable properties on the hydrodynamic development, heat transfer, and rising instabilities. The last chapter of this research focuses on characterizing the unstable hydrodynamics through time-averaging processes and analysis of the movement of energy through the developing plumes.

42 ENGINEERING↗

RASA Field Performance at US International Monitoring Stations

This report attempts to collate, analyze, and summarize RASA performance over time at each of 11 US operated IMS stations. The performance over time was compared to routine maintenance operations. The data, in general, were summarized into a set analyzed almost exclusively in Excel. The data set allows for further probing into RASA performance over time. The data set would permit data to be routinely added for continued analysis. In general, all RASA systems ran within the CTBTO mandated the MDA requirements over their current lifetime of operations. The largest impacts to performance appeared to arise from variabilities of Germanium gamma detectors as they were replaced. It is noted that the air volumes of samples were not provided and had to be assumed to be constant over the period analyzed.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

High-Temperature Linear Receiver Enabled by Multicomponent Aerogels

Concentrating solar thermal (CST) technology has significant potential mainly due to its dispatchability and low cost of storage. However, to compete with other sources, including utility-scale solar PV, its final cost (cents/kWh) still needs to be lowered. Cost reduction can be achieved by improving the system level efficiency of the CST plants through the deployment of advanced power cycles, which operate at high temperatures of ~700°C. However, optical, and thermal losses pose a major challenge to the efficiency of such CST systems. The overall aim of this project is to investigate and de-risk a linear solar receiver concept called an Aerogel Insulated Receiver (AIR) that generates high temperatures (up to 700°C) at a low solar concentration ratio (<100) and with a high collection efficiency (optical × receiver). Our prior work has demonstrated the thermal stability1 and optical and heat-insulating properties2,3 of transparent aerogel insulation at a one-inch scale. The focus of this work is on (1) co-optimization of the geometry of the aerogel tile and receiver enclosure to fit a standard parabolic collector (PTC), (2) scale-up of aerogels into 4-inch tiles while preserving key properties, (3) experimental measurement of receiver heat loss (W/m) in a >70-cm test stand and validation of anticipated receiver performance at high temperatures. Regarding (1), appropriate optical and thermal models for a parabolic trough receiver (PTR) are developed and validated. The geometry of the aerogels and the receiver enclosure are co-optimized to maximize the collection efficiency. The model predicts a 54% collection efficiency at 700°C for an AIR design based on flat aerogels. By combining the collection efficiency with the power block efficiency of supercritical CO 2 cycles, we predict >10% improvements in peak plant efficiency relative to existing line-focusing CST systems. The application of curved plasmonic aerogels is predicted to further increase the collection efficiency to 64%. Regarding (2), we demonstrate the successful development of 6-inch-long refractory aerogel tiles with optical, thermal, and stability characteristics consistent with our prior work. This scale-up requires a transition to a larger ALD station and modifying the ALD process variables such as exposure time and the number of precursor doses. Regarding (3), we design and develop an AIR test stand measuring 3 feet in length. Heat loss performance analysis is carried out using the test stand. The results indicate that aerogel insulation can significantly reduce receiver thermal losses at the high operating temperatures required for next-generation PTRs. The experimental results agree with the heat loss performance predicted by our receiver model. Lastly, we conducted preliminary failure mode and effects (FMEA) and techno-economic (TEA) analyses to identify failure mitigation strategies and commercial opportunities, respectively. Overall, this project identifies key opportunities and challenges in deploying aerogel insulating receivers in next-generation line-focusing CST technologies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Thermomechanical Modeling of Copper

The plastic deformation of metals is a dissipative process. Some fraction of the plastic work is converted to heat which, given the temperature dependent response of metals, produces a thermal-mechanical coupling. In various cases, for instance when the loading is dynamic, this interaction can impact the resulting response of a material and/or system. Thus, appropriately capturing the heat generation from plastic work is necessary for various solid mechanics analysis. Determination of the fraction of work converted to heat has been long studied. Recent developments have demonstrated that the fraction is not constant but depends on various state variables. Resolving these features requires combined modeling and experimental studies. To this end, 304L stainless steel – a poor thermal conductor – was recently subjected to such an investigation. Advanced modeling capabilities were deployed to assess novel thermomechanically coupled experiments. As a complement to that study, in the current work a similar investigation is performed on copper – a good thermal conductor – to assess performance on the opposite end of the spectrum. The current document discusses these modeling efforts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗