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Three-dimensional estimation of deciduous forest canopy structure and leaf area using multi-directional, leaf-on and leaf-off airborne lidar data

Airborne laser scanning (ALS) has been widely used to map gap probability and leaf area index (LAI) distribution at plot and landscape scales. As an indirect measurement, most ALS methods to estimate LAI combine waveform or point density information with supporting field measurements such as the leaf angle distribution, gap probability, or direct LAI measures. The development of a more independent estimation approach would facilitate more widespread use of existing ALS data to investigate patterns of forest structure and build realistic 3-D vegetation scenes to simulate remote sensing imagery and energy balance. Here, we develop a data processing workflow (named PVlad) using ALS point cloud apparent reflectance to estimate LAI and voxel-based leaf area density (LAD), aiming to reduce the need for associated field measurements such as the gap probability. The adaptation of the path volume (PV) concept derived from apparent reflectance integrates information from multi-directional ALS pulses, and quantifies the percentage exploration of each voxel for classification and occlusion correction, such that rigorous volumetric sampling approaches can be developed to derive LAI and LAD. The PVlad workflow was applied to discrete-return lidar data (Riegl VQ480i) acquired by NASA Goddard's LiDAR, Hyperspectral and Thermal Imager (G-LiHT) Airborne Imager during leaf-on (summer) and leaf-off (spring) conditions at the Smithsonian Environmental Research Center (SERC). The estimates of LAI and LAD captured structural differences between mature, logged, and intermediate-aged stands over eight deciduous forest plots. The derived LAI values were compared to field litter collection measurements, and the derived LAD vertical distribution was compared to the output of the VoxLAD model using terrestrial laser scan (TLS) field survey data. Using voxel sizes ranging from 0.5 m to 5 m, overall LAI estimation showed linear fitting coefficient bias and for 1 and 2 m voxel sizes, and vertical LAD distribution showed strong correlation with and for 0.5 and 1m voxel sizes. For every forest stand, upper-canopy LAD had a low variance for voxel sizes of ≤ . Application of PVlad to the G-LiHT and other similar ALS data archives enables the development of fine-resolution LAI map products, including voxelization of LAD for ecosystem science and radiative transfer simulations of remote sensing imagery or surface energy balance.

Tiangang Yin↗

Elucidating the speciation of extracted lanthanides by diglycolamides

Many studies over the past few decades have been devoted to addressing the application of diglycolamides (DGAs) for hydrometallurgical-based, f-element separations. Work to date has shown the molecular structure of a DGA derivative can have a significant impact on intra-lanthanide partitioning patterns. More recent studies have pushed towards probing the structure function relationship of the lanthanide-DGA complex to enable the design of more efficient lanthanide separation systems. Spectroscopic techniques, such as UV–Visible, Fourier Transformed Infrared Spectroscopy (FT-IR), Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (NMR), and Extended X-ray Absorption Fine Structure (EXAFS), provide information regarding the inner-sphere coordination of a given lanthanide-DGA complex. Scattering techniques, such as Dynamic Light Scattering (DLS), Small-Angle X-ray Scattering (SAXS), and Small-Angle Neutron Scattering (SANS), address nanoscale structures including aggregate sizes and morphology. Here, this review assesses the current state-of-knowledge regarding lanthanide-DGA hydrometallurgical (i.e., solvent extraction systems) interrogated using spectroscopic and scattering techniques to characterize the extracted Ln 3+ DGA species. Of particular interest to this review is the impact of varied diluents, inclusion and variation of phase modifiers, and DGA derivatization on system characteristics. While there has been extensive literature on the application of DGAs for f-element separations, the literature lacks a collective assessment of the speciation of Ln 3+ in the organic phase. This review provides new insights into the field of DGA separations, explicitly with an application to intra-lanthanide separations. Specifically, this review illustrates the importance of both the co-extraction anion (Cl - , NO 3 - , or ClO 4 - ) as it pertains to both the aggregate size and Ln 3+ distribution coefficient. It is evident the ability of the anion to disrupt the hydrogen bonding network limits both aggregate size and distribution coefficients according to the Hoffmeister series. This suggests the importance of the large, softer anions with a low charge-to-surface area ratio on encouraging hydrogen bond interactions. In addition, the co-extracted cation (H + vs Na + ) is important for mitigating transfer of Ln 3+ from the aqueous to the organic phase through extensive hydrogen bonding networks. These networks are responsible for forming supramolecular aggregates where a change in morphology is observed with increasing concentrations of H + and/or Ln 3+ in the organic phase.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The calculation of radial dose from heavy ions: predictions of biological action cross sections

The track structure model of heavy ion cross sections was developed by Katz and co-workers in the 1960s. In this model the action cross section is evaluated by mapping the dose-response of a detector to gamma rays (modeled from biological target theory) onto the radial dose distribution from delta rays about the path of the ion. This is taken to yield the radial distribution of probability for a "hit" (an interaction leading to an observable end-point). Radial integration of the probability yields the cross section. When different response from ions of different Z having the same stopping power is observed this model may be indicated. Since the 1960s there have been several developments in the computation of the radial dose distribution, in the measurement of these distributions, and in new radiobiological data against which to test the model. The earliest model, by Butts and Katz made use of simplified delta ray distribution functions, of simplified electron range-energy relations, and neglected angular distributions. Nevertheless it made possible the calculation of cross sections for the inactivation of enzymes and viruses, and allowed extension to tracks in nuclear emulsions and other detectors and to biological cells. It set the pattern for models of observable effects in the matter through which the ion passed. Here we outline subsequent calculations of radial dose which make use of improved knowledge of the electron emission spectrum, the electron range-energy relation, the angular distribution, and some considerations of molecular excitation, of particular interest both close to the path of the ion and the outer limits of electron penetration. These are applied to the modeling of action cross sections for the inactivation of several strains of E-coli and B. subtilis spores where extensive measurements in the "thin-down" region have been made with heavy ion beams. Such calculations serve to test the radial dose calculations at the outer limit of electron penetration. We lack data from which to test these calculations in regions close to the path of the ion aside from our earliest work on latent tracks in plastics, though it appears that the criterion then suggested for the threshold of track formation, of a minimal dose at a minimal distance (of about 20 angstroms, in plastics), remains valid.

NASA Discipline Radiation Health↗

Gratings Fabricated on Flat Surfaces and Reproduced on Non-Flat Substrates

A method has been developed for fabricating gratings on flat substrates, and then reproducing the groove pattern on a curved (concave or convex) substrate and a corresponding grating device. First, surface relief diffraction grating grooves are formed on flat substrates. For example, they may be fabricated using photolithography and reactive ion etching, maskless lithography, holography, or mechanical ruling. Then, an imprint of the grating is made on a deformable substrate, such as plastic, polymer, or other materials using thermoforming, hot or cold embossing, or other methods. Interim stamps using electroforming, or other methods, may be produced for the imprinting process or if the same polarity of the grating image is required. The imprinted, deformable substrate is then attached to a curved, rigid substrate using epoxy or other suitable adhesives. The imprinted surface is facing away from the curved rigid substrate. As an alternative fabrication method, after grating is imprinted on the deformable substrate as described above, the grating may be coated with thin conformal conductive layer (for example, using vacuum deposition of gold). Then the membrane may be mounted over an opening in a pressured vessel in a manner of a membrane on a drum, grating side out. The pressure inside of the vessel may be changed with respect to the ambient pressure to produce concave or convex membrane surface. The shape of the opening may control the type of the surface curvature (for example, a circular opening would create spherical surface, oval opening would create toroidal surface, etc.). After that, well-known electroforming methods may be used to create a replica of the grating on the concave or convex membrane. For example, the pressure vessel assembly may be submerged into an electro-forming solution and negative electric potential applied to the metal coated membrane using an insulated wire. Positive electric potential may be then applied to a nickel or other metal plate submerged into the same solution. Metal ions would transfer from the plate through the solution into the membrane, producing high fidelity metal replica of the grating on the membrane. In one variation, an adhesive may be deposited on the deformable substrate, and then cured without touching the rigid, curved substrate. Edges of the deformable substrate may be attached to the rigid substrate to ensure uniform deformation of the deformable substrate. The assembly may be performed in vacuum, and then taken out to atmospheric pressure conditions to ensure that no air is trapped between the deformable and rigid substrates. Alternatively, a rigid surface with complementary curvature to the rigid substrate may be used to ensure uniform adhesion of the deformable substrate to the rigid substrate. Liquid may be applied to the surface of the deformable substrate to uniformly distribute pressure across its surface during the curing or hardening of the adhesive, or the film may be pressed into the surface using a deformable object or surface. After the attachment is complete, the grooves may be coated with reflective or dielectric layers to improve diffraction efficiency.

Content, David↗

Exploring the Longwave Radiative Effects of Dust Aerosols

Dust aerosols not only affect air quality and visibility where they pose a significant health and safety risk, but they can also play a role in modulating the energy balance of the Earth-atmosphere system by directly interacting with local radiative fields. Consequently, dust aerosols can impact regional climate patterns such as changes in precipitation and the evolution of the hydrological cycle. Assessing the direct effect of dust aerosols at the solar wavelengths is fairly straightforward due in part to the relatively large signal-to-noise ratio in broadband irradiance measurements. The longwave (LW) impacts, on the other hand, are rather difficult to ascertain since the measured dust signal level (10 Wm-2) is on the same order as the instrumental uncertainties. Moreover, compared to the shortwave (SW), limited experimental data on the LW optical properties of dust makes it a difficult challenge for constraining the LW impacts. Owing to the strong absorption features found in many terrestrial minerals (e.g., silicates and clays), the LW effects, although much smaller in magnitude compared to the SW, can still have a sizeable impact on the energetics of the Earth-atmosphere system, which can potentially trigger changes in the heat and moisture surface budgets, and dynamics of the atmosphere. The current endeavor is an integral part of an on-going research study to perform detailed assessments of dust direct aerosol radiative effects (DARE) using comprehensive global datasets from NASA Goddards mobile ground-based facility (cf. http://smartlabs.gsfc.nasa.gov/) during previous field experiments near key dust source regions. Here we examine and compare the results from two of these studies: the 2006 NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Activities and the 2008 Asian Monsoon Years. The former study focused on transported Saharan dust at Sal Island (16.73N, 22.93W), Cape Verde along the west coast of Africa while the latter focused on Asian dust at Zhangye China (39.082N, 100.276E), a semi-arid region between the Taklimakan and Gobi deserts. NASA Goddards Giovanni system is used to help map out the spatial distribution of retrieved aerosol optical depths across the latter desert regions. 1-D radiative transfer model constrained by local measurements, including spectral photometry/interferometry and lidar for characterizing the spatiotemporal variability in dust properties and atmospheric conditions, is employed to evaluate the local instantaneous LW DARE of dust both at the surface and at the top of the atmosphere along with heating rate profiles for cloud-free atmospheres. The efficiency in LW DARE and its significance relative to the diurnally averaged SW effects are explored and compared in both studies. Found to be non-negligible, LW DARE is an important component in the study of regional climate variation with important implications for more detailed global assessments.

Hansell, Richard A., Jr.↗

High-dimensional Data-driven Energy optimization for Multi-Modal Transit Agencies (HD-EMMA) (Final Technical Report)

Public bus transit services in the U.S. are responsible for at least 19.7 million metric tons of CO 2 emission annually. Electric vehicles (EVs) can have a much lower environmental impact than comparable internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs), especially in urban areas. Unfortunately, EVs are also much more expensive than ICEVs. As a result, many public transit agencies can afford only mixed fleets of transit vehicles, consisting of EVs, hybrids (HEVs), and ICEVs. Transit agencies that operate such mixed fleets of vehicles face a challenging optimization problem: these agencies need to decide which vehicles are assigned to serving which transit trips. Since the advantage of EVs over ICEVs varies depending on the route and time of day (e.g., the benefit of EVs is higher in slower traffic with frequent stops and lower on highways), the assignment can have a significant effect on energy use and, hence, environmental impact. Through this project, we have developed reference data about energy collections and constructed a set of machine learning models that can accurately predict the energy consumption for the whole fleet at the level of each trip. We have used these models to develop a scheduling and assignment strategy that can rotate the different vehicle types across the transit agencies’ routes. The optimization algorithm ensures that the vehicles are matched to trips considering weather patterns, expected congestion, and road gradients to minimize the overall energy usage. We list the key observations from our project for other practitioners below. Details are available in the report, and the list of source code and our publications are included in the appendix. 1. We have demonstrated the feasibility of collecting, merging and analyzing large volumes of high-resolution real-world telemetry data from a mixed vehicle fleet. To mitigate the inherent noise of the recorded GPS points, the team developed an algorithm that filters data and maps the points onto a street. The algorithm considers previous and subsequent location measurements and different characteristics of nearby streets to determine how likely the vehicle travels on them. Then, the team segmented the time series into disjoint contiguous samples based on adjacent road segments and repeated the outlier detection and removal. For each data point, the team added features corresponding to elevation changes within the samples, weather features, such as temperature, and traffic data, such as speed ratio between actual speed and free-flow speed. 2. We have developed two forms of machine learning models that be used to understand and analyze the energy operations of a mixed vehicle transit fleet. The micro prediction model provides estimates of instantaneous energy prediction for all types of buses (diesel, hybrid, and electric). Such a model is important in evaluating the energy impacts of real-time bus operation strategies, but it is challenging due to diversified driving cycles of transit buses. The model can help the drivers understand the impact of their driving behaviors and short-term congestions. The macro prediction models estimate average energy consumption across the whole trip considering the features: distance traveled, various road-type features, elevation change, day of the week, time of day, various weather features (temperature, humidity, etc.), and traffic features (speed ratio and jam factor). 3. We have demonstrated that it is possible to transfer the machine learning models we have developed in this project to other teams and cities by using inductive transfer learning. We also showed that the performance of the macro energy prediction models can be improved using a multi-task learning approach where the learning parameters are shared between the models being developed for different vehicle types. The advantage of this approach is improved learning performance as the models can exploit common spatio-temporal and environmental characteristics. 4. Finally, we have developed trip and vehicle assignment and scheduling algorithms that use the energy prediction models and develop a trip to vehicle type (diesel, electric, hybrid) assignment for the whole operation to reduce overall emissions and cost. We have shown through simulations that the proposed algorithms can save $\$$ 48,910 in energy costs and 175 metric tons of CO 2 emission annually for CARTA.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Analysis and Distribution of Proppant Recovered from Fracture Faces in the HFTS Slant Core Drilled through a Stimulated Reservoir

Although sand proppant has been used since 1949 to increase efficacy of hydraulically fractured treatments by preventing fractures from closing after well depressurization, many questions remain regarding the behavior and distribution of proppant in the subsurface. To this end, we quantified the amount of recovered proppant in open fractures within a slant core drilled through hydraulically fractured Wolfcamp Shale. To improve understanding of hydraulic-fracture growth and patterns, we then addressed basic questions such as the following regarding proppant behavior in the subsurface: Is there variation along the length of the examined core? Is the proppant mainly found in hydraulic fractures, in reactivated natural fractures, or is it transported into drilling-induced fractures during recovery? Do the majority of proppant grains remain whole or tend to get crushed? To answer these questions, we collected all material from every open fracture (407 samples total) within ~600 ft of core. Samples consisted of drilling mud, aluminum shavings from the core barrel, shale and lithic fragments, calcite, and, potentially, sand proppant (95% plain and 5% colored resin-coated grains) pumped during the hydraulic fracturing of adjacent wells. We then washed, sieved into four size fractions, weighed, and imaged all samples for quantitative image analysis. Retrieved samples were labeled with respect to a master fracture database, where fractures were identified in the core and on CT scans of each 3-ft interval, allowing us to code them as either hydraulic, natural reactivated, or drilling/recovery-induced fractures. From this coding, we quantified the amount of proppant within each fracture, analyzed the distribution of grains among different fracture types, and traced base versus colored grains. Proppant packs 0.5–1 cm thick were found in two locations where there was complex fracture geometry, but fracture faces showed no evidence of proppant embedment. In situ sand patches were found on a few fracture faces, mostly in fractures near the proppant packs. Pumped proppant was 100 and 40/70 mesh (149–420 μm), and even though widespread grain crushing is not observed, the majority of recovered proppant ranges from 63 to 250 μm. The distribution of retrieved proppant, especially the larger retrieved sizes (250– >500 μm), mirrors the proximity of the slant core to the hydraulic fracture treatment wells. Hydraulic fracture samples contained variable amounts of proppant, and natural reactivated fractures sometimes contained more proppant than nearby hydraulic fractures, suggesting transference between fracture types in the subsurface. Regarding colored proppant, some colored sands occurred in discreet fractures, whereas other colors appeared to be mixed and widespread. Ultimately, all fractures contain at least some proppant, especially in the smallest size fractions; however, the extent to which the proppant was introduced during the core-drilling process is still unknown. Our study is one of the first attempts at physically recovering and quantifying injected proppant from parted fracture breaks within a stimulated reservoir, and the results are significant in terms of understanding propped fracture networks and predicting future proppant distribution during hydraulic fracturing.

Elliott, Sara↗

Mapping by VESGEN of Blood Vessels in the Retinas of Astronauts Pre- and Post-Flight to the ISS

Research by NASA [1] established that significant risks for visual and ocular impairments associated with increased intracranial pressure (VIIP) are incurred by microgravity spaceflight, especially long-duration missions. It is well established in physiology and pathology that a fundamental role of the microvasculature is to mediate fluid transfers and remodel actively in response to environmental, immune and other stresses. We therefore hypothesize that remodeling of retinal blood vessels necessarily occurs during accommodation of microgravity-induced fluid shifts prior to subsequent development of visual and ocular impairments. Potential contributions of retinal vascular remodeling to VIIP etiology are therefore being investigated by NASA's innovative VESsel GENeration Analysis (VESGEN) software for two studies: (1) U.S. crew members before and after ISS missions, and (2) head-down tilt in human subjects before and after 70 days of bed rest. We anticipate that results of the two studies will be complete by the Investigators Workshop (January 22, 2017). METHODS: For the 2013 NASA NRA award, we are concluding the analysis of 30 degree infrared (IR) Heidelberg Spectralis images of retinal blood vessels by VESGEN (patents pending), a mature, automated software developed as a translational and basic vascular research discovery tool, particularly for retinal vascular disease. Subjects of our retrospective study include eight ISS crew members monitored for routine occupational surveillance pre- and post-flight, who provided their study consents to NASAs Lifetime Surveillance of Astronaut Health (LSAH) in coordination with approval of the VESGEN retrospective study protocol by NASAs Institutional Review Board (IRB). The ophthalmic retinal images (average image resolution, approximately 5.6 microns per pixel) are blinded as to pre and post ISS status until the second portion of our study, when VESGEN results will be correlated with other ophthalmic and medical findings for the crew members. Due to image resolution challenges, a novel Matlab tool was developed for aligning pre and post images, and comparing (querying) the two images for differences in the morphology of small vessels. RESULTS: During the past year, LSAH approved the release of all astronaut retinal images to our study for VESGEN analysis. Substantial progress on the initial blinded portion of the study is in place. We anticipate that VESGEN analysis of the 32 Spectralis IR retinal images will be complete for presentation at the 2017 IWS meeting. CONCLUSIONS: Modified retinal vascular patterning may offer early-stage predictions of ocular changes resulting in decreased visual acuity for the VIIP syndrome. Novel insights provided by VESGEN into progressively pathological and blinding vascular remodeling in the human retina currently help to guide other NIH- and NASA-supported therapeutic studies of retinal disease and modeling of the VIIP risk. Results of our vascular investigation of the retinas of astronauts pre- and post-flight may help advance the understanding of both healthy and pathological adaptations to fluid shifts in microgravity associated with the VIIP syndrome. Preliminary results indicate that imaging of higher resolution, such as the new OCT angiography (OCT-A) technology, will be required to determine conclusively the role of the smaller retinal and choroidal vessels in VIIP etiology.

VESGEN↗

Electron cyclotron emission measurements and modeling in optically semi-transparent plasma on the HSX stellarator

On the Helically Symmetric Experiment (HSX), electron cyclotron emission (ECE) at the second harmonic of the electron gyrofrequency is measured with a 16-channel heterodyne receiver. An ECE radiometer diagnostic has been calibrated with a broadband frequency source, allowing independent measurements of the electron temperature. The antenna pattern has a significant impact on the measurements, and modeling its effect is necessary to produce an ECE radiation temperature spectrum. Measurements, calibration results, and modeling of the ECE data are presented in this paper. At a relatively high plasma density, HSX plasmas are thermal, and the radiation temperature measured by the radiometer is in good agreement with the electron temperature measured by a Thomson scattering diagnostic. At a relatively low plasma density, the deviation from a Maxwellian distribution is large, and asymmetry in the radiation temperature profile is measured. These measurements are supported by single-pass and multi-pass ray tracing calculations of the electron cyclotron emission using the TRAVIS ray tracing code. Thermal and nonthermal electron populations exist in HSX, and the effect of these populations on the asymmetry in the measured emission is presented.

Cyclotron radiation↗

Hydrodynamics of Two-Phase Flows through Porous Media in Microgravity: Packed Bed Reactor Experiment onboard of the International Space Station

The objective of the Packed Bed Reactor Experiment was to develop a fundamental understanding of the hydrodynamics of two-phase flow with no phase transition through porous media in microgravity. This work describes two experimental campaigns flown on the International Space Station (ISS) that were designed to achieve the objective. This work presents the results on flow patterns observed, two-phase flow pressure drop in porous media, and the impact of capillary effects on pressure drop at various gas and liquid flow rates. This work is the first to present predictive correlations of the two-phase friction factor for the different regimes identified based on the superficial liquid and gas velocity in microgravity, the first to hypothesize the different regimes based on the change in slope of the pressure gradient versus flow rate plots, the first to address the effects of the capillarity on the pressure gradient and the first to measure column holdup and assess the effective porosity based on the packing and the trapped gas bubbles. Experimental data on pressure drop in gas (N2) – liquid (water) flow show the presence of four different flow regimes in microgravity. Dispersed bubble flow (DB) and pulse (P) flow regimes are detected at high liquid flow rates, whereas at low liquid flow rates “large bubble” or elongated bubble (LB) and “gas channeling” (GC) regimes are observed. For these different flow regimes, different two-phase flow friction factor and pressure gradient correlations are presented for the first time as a function of the gas and liquid modified Reynolds numbers and Suratman number. Within the viscous-capillary (V-C) regime, it is found that the capillary contribution is the dominant force that contributes to the pressure drop for the wetting case (glass). However, for the non-wetting packing (Teflon), the viscous contribution dominates. It was found that the gas hold-up and pressure drop are functions of bed history at low liquid and gas flow rates with the magnitude of the hysteresis decreasing with increasing flow rates. PBRE-2 results show that the capillary force is a strong function of the superficial liquid velocity but is a much weaker function of the superficial gas velocity and varies inversely with the particle diameter. Within the Viscous-Capillary (V-C) regime, over 90% of the pressure gradient is attributed to the capillary contribution in the gas continuous regime. However, in the large bubble regime, the viscous and capillary contributions were comparable. After the completion of PBRE-2 with glass spherical beads, another bed packed with alumina was installed. Pressure gradient data for the alumina packed bed (PBRE-Water Recovery) were transferred to the PI and were not analyzed by the authors of this work. The Packed Bed Reactor Experiment concluded its on-orbit operation after two successful campaigns of testing in 2017 and in 2021. The flight hardware was brought back from orbit and is being reconditioned for a series of future experiments referred to as PBRE-WRS in support of water recovery (WRS). The WRS series consists of testing different two-phase fluid system components and packed beds to assess their pressure gradient characteristics, which will be used for designing packed bed reactors for various applications relevant to life support. Although there is so much relevance of the experimental results obtained from the two PBRE campaign in microgravity to life support, these findings also apply to other applications that involve two phase flow in porous medium such as fuel cells, transport of nutrient to plants in space and other chemical and materials processing that involve two phase flows. These systems operate differently in microgravity because, due to the lack of buoyancy, the density difference between the phases becomes irrelevant and no longer leads to phase separation.

Packed Bed↗

Climate projections over the Great Lakes Region: using two-way coupling of a regional climate model with a 3-D lake model

Abstract. Warming trends in the Laurentian Great Lakes and surrounding areas have been observed in recent decades, and concerns continue to rise about the pace and pattern of future climate change over the world's largest freshwater system. To date, most regional climate models used for Great Lakes projections either neglected the lake-atmosphere interactions or are only coupled with a 1-D column lake model to represent the lake hydrodynamics. This study presents a Great Lakes climate change projection that has employed the two-way coupling of a regional climate model with a 3-D lake model (GLARM) to resolve 3-D hydrodynamics essential for large lakes. Using the three carefully selected Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) general circulation models (GCMs), we show that the GLARM ensemble average substantially reduces surface air temperature and precipitation biases of the driving GCM ensemble average in present-day climate simulations. The improvements are not only displayed from an atmospheric perspective but are also evident in the accurate simulations of lake temperature and ice coverage. We further present the GLARM projected climate change for the mid-21st century (2030–2049) and the late 21st century (2080–2099) in the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. Under RCP 8.5, the Great Lakes basin is projected to warm by 1.3–2.1 ∘C by the mid-21st century and 4.1–5.0 ∘C by the end of the century relative to the early century (2000–2019). Moderate mitigation (RCP 4.5) reduces the mid-century warming to 0.8–1.8 ∘C and late-century warming to 1.8–2.7 ∘C. Annual precipitation in GLARM is projected to increase for the entire basin, varying from 0 % to 13 % during the mid-century and from 9 % to 32 % during the late century in different scenarios and simulations. The most significant increases are projected in spring and fall when current precipitation is highest and a minimal increase in winter when it is lowest. Lake surface temperatures (LSTs) are also projected to increase across the five lakes in all of the simulations, but with strong seasonal and spatial variability. The most significant LST increases occur in Lakes Superior and Ontario. The strongest warming is projected in spring that persists into the summer, resulting from earlier and more intense stratification in the future. In addition, diminishing winter stratification in the future suggests the transition from dimictic lakes to monomictic lakes by the end of the century. In contrast, a relatively smaller increase in LSTs during fall and winter is projected with heat transfer to the deep water due to the strong mixing and energy required for ice melting. Correspondingly, the highest monthly mean ice cover is projected to reduce to 3 %–15 % and 10 %–40 % across the lakes by the end of the century in RCP 8.5 and RCP 4.5, respectively. In the coastal regions, ice duration is projected to decrease by up to 60 d.

Xue, Pengfei (ORCID:000000025702421X)↗

Immunohistochemical evidence of rapid extracellular matrix remodeling after iron-particle irradiation of mouse mammary gland

High-LET radiation has unique physical and biological properties compared to sparsely ionizing radiation. Recent studies demonstrate that sparsely ionizing radiation rapidly alters the pattern of extracellular matrix expression in several tissues, but little is known about the effect of heavy-ion radiation. This study investigates densely ionizing radiation-induced changes in extracellular matrix localization in the mammary glands of adult female BALB/c mice after whole-body irradiation with 0.8 Gy 600 MeV iron particles. The basement membrane and interstitial extracellular matrix proteins of the mammary gland stroma were mapped with respect to time postirradiation using immunofluorescence. Collagen III was induced in the adipose stroma within 1 day, continued to increase through day 9 and was resolved by day 14. Immunoreactive tenascin was induced in the epithelium by day 1, was evident at the epithelial-stromal interface by day 5-9 and persisted as a condensed layer beneath the basement membrane through day 14. These findings parallel similar changes induced by gamma irradiation but demonstrate different onset and chronicity. In contrast, the integrity of epithelial basement membrane, which was unaffected by sparsely ionizing radiation, was disrupted by iron-particle irradiation. Laminin immunoreactivity was mildly irregular at 1 h postirradiation and showed discontinuities and thickening from days 1 to 9. Continuity was restored by day 14. Thus high-LET radiation, like sparsely ionizing radiation, induces rapid-remodeling of the stromal extracellular matrix but also appears to alter the integrity of the epithelial basement membrane, which is an important regulator of epithelial cell proliferation and differentiation.

NASA Discipline Radiation Health↗

MOOSE Reactor Module Meshing Enhancements to Support Reactor Physics Analysis

The U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program develops an integrated suite of advanced reactor physics tools built upon the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework. Each code generally requires an input finite element mesh on which the physics solution is calculated, reported, and transferred to other physics codes. The meshing process is often burdensome for the complex geometries present in reactors due to lack of easy-to-use, open-source meshing tools. To address the bottleneck associated with meshing complex geometries found in nuclear reactors, NEAMS initiated the development of the MOOSE Reactor Module starting in FY21. The Reactor Module builds off the existing MOOSE Mesh System to include targeted meshing capabilities such as the ability to generate hexagonal pin cells, assemblies with ducts, rotating control drums, cores, peripheral zones around a core, as well as the automatic labeling (“reporting IDs”) of pin, assembly, and planar zones to simplify post-processing of results. As a Physics Module in MOOSE, the Reactor Module is open-source, available with any MOOSE installation, directly compatible with MOOSE-based tools, and can be invoked from MOOSEbased applications to generate meshes. Functionality from the Reactor Module has been applied to several advanced reactor concepts to demonstrate user workflow improvements and accuracy. The primary objective of the Reactor Module is to improve useability of MOOSEbased tools by streamlining mesh generation and output inspection processes. During FY22, the functionality of the Reactor Module (and accompanying Mesh System) has been expanded based on user needs. First, the Reactor Geometry Mesh Builder capability developed primarily in FY21 has been refactored and merged to the public MOOSE repository. This capability wraps underlying Reactor Module mesh generators into a “Pin – Assembly – Core” workflow appropriate for conventional Cartesian and hexagonal geometries, and notably assigns material IDs during mesh generation stage and generates only the minimal number of blocks needed in order to reduce computational burden. Biasing and boundary layer options have been added to the base mesh generators as required by thermal hydraulics solvers. The reporting ID functionality has been expanded to differentiate ring-wise and azimuthal sectors within a pin for use with depletion algorithms, and VectorPostProcessor and Reporter objects are now available to integrate solution variables across zones based on ID combinations. Functionality to trim hexagonal meshes along the center or periphery has been developed so users may leverage symmetry and reflective boundary conditions to reduce the mesh size. A flexible and powerful tool to fill the space between two sidesets has been introduced to the framework and can be used for transition layers such as stitching two assemblies together with different numbers of pins, or for complex geometries which do not follow conventional Cartesian/hexagonal patterns. Finally, additional verification problems were performed with NEAMS physics tools in complement with existing NEAMS work.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Evidence of non-isentropic release from high residual temperatures in shocked metals measured with ultrafast x-ray diffraction

Shock experiments are widely used to understand the mechanical and electronic properties of matter under extreme conditions. However, after shock loading to a Hugoniot state, a clear description of the post-shock thermal state and its impacts on materials is still lacking. We used diffraction patterns from 100-fs x-ray pulses to investigate the temperature evolution of laser-shocked Al–Zr metal film composites at time delays ranging from 5 to 75 ns driven by a 120-ps short-pulse laser. We found significant heating of both Al and Zr after shock release, which can be attributed to heat generated by inelastic deformation. A conventional hydrodynamic model that employs (i) typical descriptions of Al and Zr mechanical strength and (ii) elevated strength responses (which might be attributed to an unknown strain rate dependence) did not fully account for the measured temperature increase, which suggests that other strength-related mechanisms (such as fine-scale void growth) could play an important role in thermal responses under shock wave loading/unloading cycles. Our results suggest that a significant portion of the total shock energy delivered by lasers becomes heat due to defect-facilitated plastic work, leaving less converted to kinetic energy. This heating effect may be common in laser-shocked experiments but has not been well acknowledged. High post-shock temperatures may induce phase transformation of materials during shock release. Another implication for the study is the preservability of magnetic records from planetary surfaces that have a shock history from frequent impact events.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Quantum Choreography of the Nucleus: Rotations, Vibrations, and Emergent Structure

Abstract Nuclei are complex many-body quantum systems where interactions of the neutrons and protons via the strong, the weak, and the electromagnetic forces lead to the emergence of simple patterns of energy states that have been described by various theoretical approaches. One of the goals of all the theoretical models is the development of a universal theory that can be applied across the entire chart of nuclides. Significant progress has been made by experiments as well as the increasing sophistication of models, but a universal theory has yet to be established. A recent review of nuclei in the Z = 50–82 region of the chart of nuclides has analyzed all the available compiled data from several decades of studies towards a clarification of the low-lying structure of nuclei. Other reviews have reported and explained the emergence of multiple different shapes in nuclei at somewhat higher excitation energies than the ground state. Some have challenged the interpretation of the first excited K π = 0 + band as a vibration of ground state. This work attempts to provide a guide to determining the nature of the first excited K π = 0 + band in nuclei by the combined use of nuclear lifetimes, energy level evolutions, dynamic moments of inertia, and intrinsic quadrupole moments extracted from transition probabilities. The result is that for a subset of the nuclei in this region, the K π = 0 + band is consistent with the traditional 𝛽-vibration description of an oscillation built on the ground state.

CHFB+5DCH↗

Structure and Parameter Uncertainty in Centennial Projections of Forest Community Structure and Carbon Cycling

Secondary forest regrowth shapes community succession and biogeochemistry for decades, including in the Upper Great Lakes region. Vegetation models encapsulate our understanding of forest function, and whether models can reproduce multi‐decadal succession patterns is an indication of our ability to predict forest responses to future change. We test the ability of a vegetation model to simulate C cycling and community composition during 100 years of forest regrowth following stand‐replacing disturbance, asking (a) Which processes and parameters are most important to accurately model Upper Midwest forest succession? (b) What is the relative importance of model structure versus parameter values to these predictions? We ran ensembles of the Ecosystem Demography model v2.2 with different representations of processes important to competition for light. We compared the magnitude of structural and parameter uncertainty and assessed which sub‐model–parameter combinations best reproduced observed C fluxes and community composition. On average, our simulations underestimated observed net primary productivity (NPP) and leaf area index (LAI) after 100 years and predicted complete dominance by a single plant functional type (PFT). Out of 4,000 simulations, only nine fell within the observed range of both NPP and LAI, but these predicted unrealistically complete dominance by either early hardwood or pine PFTs. A different set of seven simulations were ecologically plausible but under‐predicted observed NPP and LAI. Parameter uncertainty was large; NPP and LAI ranged from ~0% to >200% of their mean value, and any PFT could become dominant. The two parameters that contributed most to uncertainty in predicted NPP were plant–soil water conductance and growth respiration, both unobservable empirical coefficients. We conclude that (a) parameter uncertainty is more important than structural uncertainty, at least for ED‐2.2 in Upper Midwest forests and (b) simulating both productivity and plant community composition accurately without physically unrealistic parameters remains challenging for demographic vegetation models.

canopy radiative transfer↗

The High-resolution Transmission Spectrum of HD 189733b Interpreted with Atmospheric Doppler Shifts from Three-dimensional General Circulation Models

The signature of wind patterns caused by the interplay of rotation and energy redistribution in hot Jupiters is detectable at high spectral resolution, yet no direct comparison has been attempted between predictions from general circulation models (GCMs) and observed high-resolution spectra. We present the first such comparison on near-infrared transmission spectra of the hot Jupiter HD 189733b. Exploring 12 rotation rates and two chemical regimes, we have created model spectra from 3D GCMs and cross-correlated them with the observed spectra. Comparing our models against those of HD 189733b, we obtain three key results: (1) we confirm CO and H{sub 2}O in the planet’s atmosphere at a detection significance of 8.2σ; (2) we recover the signature of day-to-night winds with speeds of several km s{sup −1} at pressures of several millibars; and (3) we constrain the rotation period of the planet to between 1.2 and 4.69 days (synchronous rotation (2.2 days) remains consistent with existing observations). Our results do not suffer from the shortcomings of 1D models as cross-correlation templates—these models mainly tend to overconstrain the slower rotation rates and show evidence for anomalous blueshifts. Our 3D models instead match the observed line-of-sight velocity of this planet by self-consistently including the effects of high-altitude day-to-night winds. Overall, we find a high degree of consistency between observations of HD 189733b and our GCM-based spectra, implying that the physics and chemistry are adequately described in current 3D forward models for the purpose of interpreting observations at high spectral resolution.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Modeling Efforts to Gain Insight into Historical Leak Events from the Single-Shell Tank A-105 in the Hanford 241-A Tank Farm - 20113

The 241-A Tank Farm is a single-shell tank (SST) farm constructed to store process waste from Hanford nuclear operations. Millions of gallons of nuclear waste were stored in the 241-A Tank Farm SSTs and some of the SSTs leaked in the past. In addition, spills and pipeline leaks during transfers and storage and intentional discharges to cribs and trenches resulted in releasing waste to the ground. Tank liner leaks are referred to as 'leaks' and all other discharges to the soil are referred to as 'releases.' Liquid waste that could be removed by pumping has been removed from all of the SSTs to reduce the potential for future leaks. The most significant historical leak event in 241-A Tank Farm occurred in 1965 when tank A-105 experienced a pressurized steam event. This event resulted in damage to the inner steel liner flooring of A-105, which was separated from the sidewalls over part of its circumference and buckled up to 2.5 m, vertically. During this event up to 7,570 L of contaminated liquid may have leaked to the adjacent soil. This leak occurred under extreme temperature and pressure conditions. Modeling efforts to better understand the nature and extent of historical leaks from subsurface SSTs that were used to store highly radioactive, self-boiling liquid wastes at 241-A Tank Farm have recently been undertaken. These efforts have compiled the available historical information to support a preliminary non-isothermal, multiphase flow and chemical transport modeling effort to re-create the conditions under which the leaks occurred and to formulate a conceptual model as to the extent and distribution of leaked radioactive contaminants in the adjacent soil material. The focus of this work was on developing an understanding of the key features, processes and bounding conditions related to tank A-105 leak events that occurred in the 1960's. The activities include estimation of leak composition, non-isothermal multiphase flow and transport modeling, and geochemical modeling. The STOMP{sup C} Water-Air-Energy modeling code was utilized to implement the three-dimensional representation of the subsurface tank and the surrounding flow field. Once constructed, the model was used to evaluate the conceptual understanding of leaks originating from different parts of the tank under the elevated temperature boundary conditions that were imposed by surrounding tanks at the time of the historical leaks. The chemical evolution of the liquid waste was also evaluated as it leaked from the tank under transient pressure and temperature gradients. The results of the preliminary evaluation suggested the presence of a heat-pipe effect beneath tank A-105 in which water vapor at an elevated temperature is driven away from the base of the tank to a position where water vapor cools, condenses and is then drawn back toward the tank by the strong capillary attraction of the dry soil. A non-sorbing contaminant (Tc-99) was introduced into this flow field to better understand the potential distribution patterns of leaked contaminants that may have occurred during the historical leak events. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗