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At least 1,153 records · Page 64

Future North Atlantic tropical cyclone intensities in thermodynamically modified historical environments

Tropical cyclones (TCs) have ranked as the deadliest and most financially crippling natural disasters in the United States. It is imperative to assess potential shifts in TC intensity within the paradigm of an evolving climate. In this study we apply a fixed-constraint storyline approach that holds storm tracks and initial conditions constant to probe future TC intensity in the North Atlantic Basin. First, we simulate 618 historical TC events using the Risk Analysis Framework for Tropical Cyclones (RAFT)'s deep-learning intensity model. Next, we apply warming signals derived from eight CMIP6 climate scenarios and rerun each event to explore how intensities respond across scenarios. Finally, we develop an interactive dashboard that allows users to explore individual storm simulations and the scenario-modified environmental drivers. Together, this dataset and tool provide a clear, illustrative way to investigate how TC intensity responds to changes in air-sea state.

Climate Change↗

BASIN-3D: A brokering framework to integrate diverse environmental data

Diverse observational and simulation datasets are needed to understand and predict complex ecosystem behavior over seasonal to decadal and century time-scales. Integration of these datasets poses a major barrier towards advancing environmental science, particularly due to differences in the structure and formats of data provided by various sources. Here, we describe BASIN-3D (Broker for Assimilation, Synthesis and Integration of eNvironmental Diverse, Distributed Datasets), a data integration framework designed to dynamically retrieve and transform heterogeneous data from different sources into a common format to provide an integrated view. BASIN-3D enables users to adopt a standardized approach for data retrieval and avoid customizations for the data type or source. We demonstrate the value of BASIN-3D with two use cases that require integration of data from regional to watershed spatial scales. The first application uses the BASIN-3D Python library to integrate time-series hydrological and meteorological data to provide standardized inputs to analytical and machine learning codes in order to predict the impacts of hydrological disturbances on large river corridors of the United States. The second application uses the BASIN-3D Django framework to integrate diverse time-series data in a mountainous watershed in East River, Colorado, United States to enable scientific researchers to explore and download data through an interactive web portal. Thus, BASIN-3D can be used to support data integration for both web-based tools, as well as data analytics using Python scripting and extensions like Jupyter notebooks. The framework is expected to be transferable to and useful for many other field and modeling studies.

Varadharajan, C↗

QUOTAS: A New Research Platform for the Data-driven Discovery of Black Holes

We present QUOTAS, a novel research platform for the data-driven investigation of supermassive black hole (SMBH) populations. While SMBH data—observations and simulations—have grown in complexity and abundance, our computational environments and tools have not matured commensurately to exhaust opportunities for discovery. To explore the BH, host galaxy, and parent dark matter halo connection—in this pilot version—we assemble and colocate the high-redshift, z > 3 quasar population alongside simulated data at the same cosmic epochs. As a first demonstration of the utility of QUOTAS, we investigate correlations between observed Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) quasars and their hosts with those derived from simulations. Leveraging machine-learning algorithms (ML), to expand simulation volumes, we show that halo properties extracted from smaller dark-matter-only simulation boxes successfully replicate halo populations in larger boxes. Next, using the Illustris-TNG300 simulation that includes baryonic physics as the training set, we populate the larger LEGACY Expanse dark-matter-only box with quasars, and show that observed SDSS quasar occupation statistics are accurately replicated. First science results from QUOTAS comparing colocated observational and ML-trained simulated data at z3 are presented. QUOTAS demonstrates the power of ML, in analyzing and exploring large data sets, while also offering a unique opportunity to interrogate theoretical assumptions that underpin accretion and feedback models. QUOTAS and all related materials are publicly available at the Google Kaggle platform. (The full data set—observational data and simulation data—are available at: https://www.kaggle.com/ and the codes are available at:https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/quotasplatform/quotas)

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Learning curves for drug response prediction in cancer cell lines

Motivated by the size and availability of cell line drug sensitivity data, researchers have been developing machine learning (ML) models for predicting drug response to advance cancer treatment. As drug sensitivity studies continue generating drug response data, a common question is whether the generalization performance of existing prediction models can be further improved with more training data. We utilize empirical learning curves for evaluating and comparing the data scaling properties of two neural networks (NNs) and two gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) models trained on four cell line drug screening datasets. The learning curves are accurately fitted to a power law model, providing a framework for assessing the data scaling behavior of these models. The curves demonstrate that no single model dominates in terms of prediction performance across all datasets and training sizes, thus suggesting that the actual shape of these curves depends on the unique pair of an ML model and a dataset. The multi-input NN (mNN), in which gene expressions of cancer cells and molecular drug descriptors are input into separate subnetworks, outperforms a single-input NN (sNN), where the cell and drug features are concatenated for the input layer. In contrast, a GBDT with hyperparameter tuning exhibits superior performance as compared with both NNs at the lower range of training set sizes for two of the tested datasets, whereas the mNN consistently performs better at the higher range of training sizes. Moreover, the trajectory of the curves suggests that increasing the sample size is expected to further improve prediction scores of both NNs. These observations demonstrate the benefit of using learning curves to evaluate prediction models, providing a broader perspective on the overall data scaling characteristics. A fitted power law learning curve provides a forward-looking metric for analyzing prediction performance and can serve as a co-design tool to guide experimental biologists and computational scientists in the design of future experiments in prospective research studies.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

MADLens, a python package for fast and differentiable non-Gaussian lensing simulations

Here, we present MADLens a python package for producing non-Gaussian lensing convergence maps at arbitrary source redshifts with unprecedented precision. MADLens is designed to achieve high accuracy while keeping computational costs as low as possible. A MADLens simulation with only particles produces convergence maps whose power agrees with theoretical lensing power spectra up to within the accuracy limits of HaloFit. This is made possible by a combination of a highly parallelizable particle-mesh algorithm, a sub-evolution scheme in the lensing projection, and a machine-learning inspired sharpening step. Further, MADLens is fully differentiable with respect to the initial conditions of the underlying particle-mesh simulations and a number of cosmological parameters. These properties allow MADLens to be used as a forward model in Bayesian inference algorithms that require optimization or derivative-aided sampling. Another use case for MADLens is the production of large, high resolution simulation sets as they are required for training novel deep-learning-based lensing analysis tools. We make the MADLens package publicly available under a Creative Commons License

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Rapid Identification of Synthetic Routes to Functional Metastable Phases Using X-ray Probed Laser Anneal Mapping (XPLAM) Time-Temperature Quench Maps

Many material systems have known or predicted functional phases that are metastable at standard temperature and pressure. While substantial advances have been made in the high-throughput and combinatorial synthesis of materials with a range of stoichiometries, investigation of thermal processing remains largely the domain of iterative uniform anneals or static gradients. Here we develop X-ray probed laser anneal mapping (XPLAM), a high throughput technique coupling spatially resolved X-ray diffraction with microsecond to millisecond laser gradient anneals to produce temperature–dwell–transformation (TDT) diagrams of the phase as a function of quench time and temperature. In addition to showing regimes where specific metastable phases form preferentially, TDT diagrams provide insight into the submillisecond kinetics of solid–solid phase transitions. This is a unique tool for mapping reaction pathways for metastable phases. As a first demonstration of XPLAM, we study Bi2O3, which has a rich set of polytypes, including the d-phase with an exceptionally high oxygen ion conductivity. We demonstrate the first annealing-driven synthesis of room temperature d-Bi2O3. We expect XPLAM to prove a powerful technique for rapid identification of synthetic routes to metastable phases and to generate the exhaustive data sets required for machine learning-guided exploration of materials processing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

ReaLigands: A Ligand Library Cultivated from Experiment and Intended for Molecular Computational Catalyst Design

Computational catalyst design requires identification of a metal and ligand that together result in the desired reaction reactivity and/or selectivity. A major impediment to translating computational designs to experiments is evaluating ligands that are likely to be synthesized. Here we provide a solution to this impediment with our ReaLigands library that contains >30,000 monodentate, bidentate (didentate), tridentate, and larger ligands cultivated by dismantling experimentally reported crystal structures. Individual ligands from mononuclear crystal structures were identified using a modified depth-first search algorithm and charge was assigned using a machine learning model based on quantum-chemical calculated features. In the library ligands are sorted based on direct ligand-to-metal atomic connections and on denticity. Representative principal component analysis (PCA) and uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP) analyses were used to analyze several tridentate ligand categories, which revealed both the diversity of ligands and connections between ligand categories. Furthermore, we also demonstrated the utility of this library by implementing it with our building and optimization tools, which resulted in the very rapid generation of barriers for 750 bidentate ligands for Rh-hydride ethylene migratory insertion.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Machine Learning-Driven Optimization of Building Enclosures for Moisture Durability and Thermal Performance

The design of moisture-durable building enclosures with low embodied carbon often involves an iterative process of selecting the materials for the specific exposure conditions to meet the performance requirements. While hygrothermal simulations are commonly used to evaluate moisture durability, they often require advanced expertise for proper implementation. Machine learning (ML) provides a promising alternative by streamlining the design process and minimizing the reliance on complex simulations. This study presents a machine learning-based approach for predicting moisture durability in residential wall assemblies. The ML model was trained to estimate the mold index and maximum moisture content of various layers under typical exposure conditions. The model achieved a high predictive accuracy, with a coefficient of determination (R²) exceeding 0.90 when compared to traditional hygrothermal simulations on materials that were not part of training the ML model. Building on these results, the ML model was developed into a practical tool for optimizing wall assembly designs. This tool allows users to automatically optimize material selections based on energy, moisture, and carbon performance criteria. By incorporating multi-objective optimization, the tool identifies configurations that minimize embodied carbon while maintaining moisture safety and code-compliant thermal performance. Additionally, it provides insights into how material choices influence assembly durability, energy efficiency, and carbon reduction. The tool will be implemented in the Building Science Advisor (BSA) to enhance its performance and provide more granularity on the results. This research highlights the potential for ML-driven tools to simplify the design of high-performance building enclosures, offering architects and engineers a faster, more efficient way to balance critical performance factors.

Salonvaara, Mikael [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000318991554)↗

Neuromorphic scaling advantages for energy-efficient random walk computations

Neuromorphic computing, which aims to replicate the computational structure and architecture of the brain in synthetic hardware, has typically focused on artificial intelligence applications. What is less explored is whether such brain-inspired hardware can provide value beyond cognitive tasks. Here we show that the high degree of parallelism and configurability of spiking neuromorphic architectures makes them well suited to implement random walks via discrete-time Markov chains. Overall, these random walks are useful in Monte Carlo methods, which represent a fundamental computational tool for solving a wide range of numerical computing tasks. Using IBM’s TrueNorth and Intel’s Loihi neuromorphic computing platforms, we show that our neuromorphic computing algorithm for generating random walk approximations of diffusion offers advantages in energy-efficient computation compared with conventional approaches. We also show that our neuromorphic computing algorithm can be extended to more sophisticated jump-diffusion processes that are useful in a range of applications, including financial economics, particle physics and machine learning.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Using Artificial Intelligence to Improve Reliability and Operational Efficiency of Small-Scale Hydroelectric Distributed Generation

Reliability and resilience are critical concerns for distributed generation (DG) at the rural electric level. The integration of renewable energy sources, such as small-scale hydroelectric distributed generators (hydro DGs), introduces operational challenges, particularly regarding aging infrastructure and grid stability. Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven Machine Learning (ML) models and applications of Large Language Models (LLMs) offer promising solutions for optimizing DG operations and enhancing resilience. This paper explores AI-based models for improving efficiency, fault resolution, and outage mitigation in small-scale hydro DGs. Furthermore, it highlights the development of a centralized, AI-powered information portal for rural electric cooperatives and municipalities. The research evaluates hydro DG plant models and discusses the applicability of AI-powered question-answering tools for real-time operations, focusing on statistical data, load flow, voltage regulation, and generation power. The findings demonstrate AI’s potential to transform DG management to ensure greater stability and resilience in rural electric grids.

Bhattacharyya, Arjun [ORNL] (ORCID:000900060976046↗

A Machine Learning Framework to Predict Images of Edge-on Protoplanetary Disks

The physical structure and properties of protoplanetary disks are typically derived from spatially resolved disk images. Edge-on disks in particular provide an important view point on the vertical structure and degree of settling of disks. Such analyses rely on radiative transfer (RT) calculations that are generally computationally intensive due to the high optical depth of disks. Here we present a machine learning framework that has the potential to dramatically speed up the forward modeling process by approximating the results of RT calculations. This framework, trained on an initial set of RT calculations, utilizes an autoencoder neural network to enable the generation of synthetic scattered light images of edge-on disks directly from a set of physical parameters. We demonstrate that this framework generates synthetic images 2–3 orders of magnitude faster than using RT calculations. These machine learning-generated images appear to approximate the RT images well, in particular preserving their size and shape. We also find a strong correlation between the latent space representations of the generated disk images and several of their associated physical parameters. Finally, we discuss potential changes to the framework, such as methods to further improve the image quality, extending the framework to multiple wavelengths, and inverting the process to infer physical parameters from observed images. Overall, these new tools have the potential to enable a more efficient and uniform analysis of edge-on disk properties and the initial conditions of planet formation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

MSD CoP Webinar: Advancing MSD Research with Artificial Intelligence

Context: This webinar was hosted by the MultiSector Dynamics Community of Practice (MSD CoP; https://multisectordynamics.org). Abstract: Recent advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) are quickly changing the landscape of tools available to conceptualize, execute, and disseminate research. We posit that research efforts in Multi-Sector Dynamics can benefit from these advances; the new AI in MSD Working Group thus aims to identify and quantify opportunities and risks associated with their implementation. In this webinar, we will first introduce the new AI Working Group, which was initially conceived during the first MSD workshop in October 2023. Next, our panelists will explore how generative AI, explainable AI, and machine learning can help us improve modeling efforts in multiple domains, including climate science, hydrology, and energy systems. Finally, we will discuss the aims of the working group, gather inputs from the community, and suggest directions for the next steps. Presenters : Andrea Castelletti (Politecnico di Milano; Invited Speaker), Chaopeng Shen (Pennsylvania State University; Invited Speaker), Nicole Jackson (Sandia National Laboratory; Invited Speaker), Stefano Galelli (Cornell University; Co-Chair), David Gold (Utrecht University; Co-Chair), Jillian Sturtevant (Baylor University; Communications Officer) Moderator: Pat M. Reed (MSD CoP Facilitation Team) This webinar was held on: June 14th, 2024 from 12-1:30 PM EST

Artificial Intelligence↗

Designing workflows for materials characterization

Experimental science is enabled by the combination of synthesis, imaging, and functional characterization organized into evolving discovery loop. Synthesis of new material is typically followed by a set of characterization steps aiming to provide feedback for optimization or discover fundamental mechanisms. However, the sequence of synthesis and characterization methods and their interpretation, or research workflow, has traditionally been driven by human intuition and is highly domain specific. Here, we explore concepts of scientific workflows that emerge at the interface between theory, characterization, and imaging. In this study, we discuss the criteria by which these workflows can be constructed for special cases of multiresolution structural imaging and functional characterization, as a part of more general material synthesis workflows. Some considerations for theory–experiment workflows are provided. We further pose that the emergence of user facilities and cloud labs disrupts the classical progression from ideation, orchestration, and execution stages of workflow development. To accelerate this transition, we propose the framework for workflow design, including universal hyperlanguages describing laboratory operation, ontological domain matching, reward functions and their integration between domains, and policy development for workflow optimization. These tools will enable knowledge-based workflow optimization; enable lateral instrumental networks, sequential and parallel orchestration of characterization between dissimilar facilities; and empower distributed research.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The importance of cycle-by-cycle data in performing rapid battery technology development and validation

Lithium-ion battery (LiB) technology is playing a crucial role in transforming the predominantly fossil fuel-based transportation and stationary storage sectors to achieve a low-carbon economy. Rapid innovation in the LiB materials to electrode to cell design is happening to satisfy the performance, life, and safety metrics required by those myriads of applications. Lately, advanced analytics, such as machine-learning or artificial intelligence (ML/AI) techniques, are being used more frequently to aid in expedited LiB technology development, performance validation, and life prediction. The success of these techniques often relies on a large volume of well-defined and high-quality battery test data. On the other hand, most battery developers and research and development (R&D) communities are still following a classical approach to develop batteries, which is running calendar- and/or cycle-aging tests, performing reference performance tests (RPTs), and conducting post-mortem analyses periodically without paying attention to the wealth of data often not collected during the calendar or cycle life aging tests. This sparse data collection approach is time- and resource-intensive, requiring data capture and evaluation of months to years of RPT data to diagnose accurate battery state of performance, health, and safety. Even so, the underlying aging modes and mechanisms can be missed. If collected properly, battery test data during cycling or calendaring can be efficiently combined with ML/AI techniques to create powerful tools in the rapid diagnosis of battery state of performance, health, and safety along with insights into underlying aging modes and mechanisms. In this report, we discuss the importance of effective cycle-by-cycle (CBC) data collection with example case studies. Within a reasonable timeframe, RPT data are often inadequate in capturing many of the crucial battery aging dynamics, which often predominantly show up in CBC test data. Finally, we also show examples of ML/AI techniques that use CBC data in rapid diagnosis and projection of LiB state of health (SOH) to motivate the scientific community in collecting and using CBC data to facilitate expeditious technology development and validation.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Towards reverse mode automatic differentiation of Kokkos-based codes

Derivative computation is a key component of optimization, sensitivity analysis, uncertainty quantification, and the solving of nonlinear problems. Automatic differentiation (AD) is a powerful technique for evaluating such derivatives, and in recent years, has been integrated into programming environments such as Jax, PyTorch, and TensorFlow to support derivative computations needed for training of machine learning models, facilitating wide-spread use of these technologies. The C++ language has become the de facto standard for scientific computing due to numerous factors, yet language complexity has made the wide-spread adoption of AD technologies for C++ difficult, hampering the incorporation of powerful differentiable programming approaches into C++ scientific simulations. This is exacerbated by the increasing emergence of architectures, such as GPUs, with limited memory capabilities and requiring massive thread-level concurrency. C++ AD tools must effectively use these environments to bring novel scientific simulations to next-generation DOE experimental and observational facilities. In this project, we investigated source transformation-based automatic differentiation using LLVM compiler infrastructure to automatically generate portable and efficient gradient computations of Kokkos-based code. We have demonstrated that our proposed strategy is feasible by investigating the usage of a prototype LLVM-based source transformation tool to generate gradients of simple functions made of sequences of simple Kokkos parallel regions. Speedups of up to 500x compared to Sacado were observed on NVIDIA V100 GPU.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Safe Physics-Informed Machine Learning for Dynamics and Control

This tutorial paper focuses on safe physics-informed machine learning in the context of dynamics and control, providing a comprehensive overview of how to integrate physical models and safety guarantees. As machine learning techniques enhance the modeling and control of complex dynamical systems, ensuring safety and stability remains a critical challenge, especially in safety-critical applications like autonomous vehicles, robotics, medical decision-making, and energy systems. We explore various approaches for embedding and ensuring safety constraints, including structural priors, Lyapunov and Control Barrier Functions, predictive control, projections, and robust optimization techniques. Additionally, we delve into methods for uncertainty quantification and safety verification, including reachability analysis and neural network verification tools, which help validate that control policies remain within safe operating bounds even in uncertain environments. The paper includes illustrative examples demonstrating the implementation aspects of safe learning frameworks that combine the strengths of data-driven approaches with the rigor of physical principles, offering a path toward the safe control of complex dynamical systems.

Drgona, Jan↗

SAXS Assistant: Automated SAXS analysis for structural discovery in biologics and polymeric nanoparticles

Small-angle x-ray scattering (SAXS) is a powerful technique for assessing macromolecular structure. High-throughput SAXS is limited by the time-consuming and, at times, subjective nature of SAXS data interpretation. Here, we present SAXS Assistant, a Python-based script that streamlines SAXS data analysis to extract features for machine learning (ML) and key structural parameters, including the Guinier radius of gyration (R g ), pair distance distribution function (PDDF)-derived R g , maximum particle dimension (D max ), and Kratky plots. The script builds upon BioXTAS RAW and validates reliability via Guinier/PDDF R g agreement, an important indicator of well-measured data sets. For assistance in D max estimation, a multilayer perceptron regressor was trained with 1940 data files from the Small Angle Scattering Biological Data Bank. The model achieved a test set performance R 2 = 0.90 and mean absolute error = 11.7 Å. Training exclusively with experimental data translates analyses from researchers, including experts in the field, to the ML model, which helps assess D max estimations from PDDF. Gaussian mixture model clustering was implemented to classify profiles into structural classes based on entries in the Small Angle Scattering Biological Data Bank. Users may therefore assess the similarity between experimental samples and known biomolecular shapes within the mapped repository entries. This probabilistic clustering aids in quantifying information from Kratky and generating shape-descriptive features. SAXS Assistant accelerates SAXS data analysis through enforced quality control, ML-ready outputs, and flags for low-confidence results. In addition to providing the ability to analyze large data sets at high throughput, this tool is versatile and may serve researchers in both biological and synthetic polymer research fields.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Measuring Saturn's Electron Beam Energy Spectrum using Webb's Wedges

It is very difficult to measure the voltage of the load on the Saturn accelerator. Time-resolved measurements such as vacuum voltmeters and V-dot monitors are impractical at best and completely change the pulsed power behavior at the load at worst. We would like to know the load voltage of the machine so that we could correctly model the radiation transport and tune our x-ray unfold methodology and circuit simulations of the accelerator. Step wedges have been used for decades as a tool to measure the end - point energies of high energy particle beams. Typically, the technique is used for multi-megavolt accelerators, but we have adapted it to Saturn's modest <2 MV end-point energy and modified the standard bremsstrahlung x-ray source to extract the electron beam without changing the physics of the load region. We found clear evidence of high energy electrons >2 MV. We also attempted to unfold an electron energy spectrum using a machine learning algorithm and while these results come with large uncertainties, they qualitatively agree with PIC simulation results.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗