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At least 1,153 records · Page 64

A Note on the Probability of Initiation Problem

The purpose of this note is to draw attention to Pál’s derivation of the Pál Bell equation which is used by LLNL and LANL to model Probability of Initiation (POI) problems. Both laboratories credit the equation to Bell and Lee. Although the equation formulated by Bell and Lee and the equation derived by Pál appear to be the same, the derivation by Bell and Lee is flawed. Scattering, which was absent in Bell’s original formulation of a POI problem, was later introduced by Bell and Lee by simply replacing a fission term with a scattering term. Such a replacement, however, leads to an inaccurate average number v̅ of neutrons that is produced by a fission event. By approaching a POI problem from probabilistic point of view, Pál formulates the problem as a branching process that determines v̅ correctly. There are six reasons for writing this report. The first is to clarify the failing in Bell and Lee’s derivation. The second is to establish the origin of the equation used by the laboratories. The third is to elucidate the fixed point technique formulated by Mokhtar-Kharroubi for solving the Pál-Bell equation. The fourth is to derive the α eigenvalue that is associated with a time dependent Pál-Bell equation. The fifth is to show in Appendix A that the non-linear fission operator of the Pál-Bell equation is descended from the operator of the Galton-Watson process of stochastic theory. The sixth is to describe in Appendix B a second order positivity preserving technique that accelerates the convergence of the first order fixed point method developed by Mokhtar-Kharroubi.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Initial Delayed Critical Configuration of SHEBA I and Subcritical Measurements by Californium Source-Driven Noise Analysis

In September 1980, the initial delayed critical configuration of the Solution High-Energy Burst Assembly (SHEBA I) was assembled, and the US Department of Energy’s Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) staff performed near critical and subcritical measurements using the californium source-driven noise analysis (CSDNA) method at the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Critical Experiments Facility. An unreflected 56 cm outside diameter stainless-steel cylindrical tank was partially filled with uranyl fluoride solution (235U enrichment was 4.95 wt %) until delayed criticality was achieved. Then, measurements were performed for various fuel solution heights from delayed critical to 60% of the height required for delayed criticality. The stainless-steel tank had an inside diameter of 54.6 cm and a height of 105 cm and was partially (20–36.5 cm) filled with an aqueous solution of uranyl fluoride (with a density of 2.162 g/cm 3 ). The density of the uranium in solution was 1.042 g/cm 3 , and the solution had a H/U atomic ratio of 20.43. The tank had a 6.35 mm wall thickness and an axial reentrant tube with an inside diameter of 6.02 cm and wall thickness of 0.165 cm. The tank was essentially unreflected on the top and sides because it was in a thin metal shed. The reactivity of the near–delayed critical configuration was −10.4 cents, which corresponds to a k eff value of 0.99922. In addition to the CSDNA measurements, the prompt neutron decay constants were determined from break frequency noise analysis (BNFA) measurements. The subcritical neutron multiplication factors from CSDNA and BFNA compared extremely well. These data can be used as the basis of International Nuclear Criticality Safety Evaluation benchmark for the near-critical configuration, and the k eff values at various subcritical configurations can be used as subcritical benchmarks. Furthermore, the measured prompt neutron decay constants can be used as reactor physics benchmarks. This report documents the experimental information for the measurements performed so that, at a later date, researchers could perform the required uncertainty and calculational analyses and documentation to use these data for an International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Program (ICSBEP) or Nuclear Energy Agency benchmarks. The measured prompt neutron decay constants can be used as the basis of a benchmark for the International Reactor Physics Evaluation Program (IRPhEP). The data from these measurements are available from the ORNL Records Management Services Department, and the logbook is available from ICSBEP at Idaho National Laboratory.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Deployment Implications of Reaching the DOE Floating Offshore Wind Shot Goal: A Summary of Initial Results and Methods [Slides]

The Floating Offshore Wind Shot is an initiative to help usher in a clean energy future by driving U.S. leadership in floating offshore wind design, development, and manufacturing. Here, we document impact of attaining the Shot cost goal of $45/megawatt-hour by 2035, a reduction of 70% from today's cost levels. We find deployment of 90-120 gigawatt of floating offshore wind by 2050.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Future Farming: National Predictive Modeling Tool Initiative (NPMTI) [Slides]

The National Predictive Modeling Tool Initiative (NPMTI) is a multi-year program to develop research-based “tools” to forecast incidences of diseases and mycotoxins affecting U.S. crops. The overall goals of NPMTI are to: (1) ensure crop sustainability and crop quality; (2) provide climate change resilience; (3) improve soil health; (4) monitor pathogens and microbial diversity in the environment, but not limited to crop residues, soils, and air; (5) improve disease management thereby reducing yield losses; (6) increase precision of in-season disease management tactics; and (7) increase precision of pesticide use.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Refining Processing Engines from SAPHIRE: Initialization of Fault Tree/Event Tree Solver

SAPHIRE has been extensively employed for over 35 years to model risk-important systems and quantify risk models. As a well-established and thoroughly documented Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) tool, SAPHIRE has continuously tracked computational trends and received regular updates. Despite its ongoing evolution, there remains a need for further enhancements, particularly in dealing with the quantification of exceptionally large models. These improvements could take the form of algorithmic advancements, harnessing the power of parallel computing, and exploring the potential benefits of cloud computing solutions. Considering these aspirations, the notion of a remote solve option was introduced and subsequently evolved into a dedicated project within the SAPHIRE development team. A significant outcome of this initiative is SAPHSOLVE, an engine extracted from the SageRisk API designed specifically for remote solving capabilities. The ongoing project is nearing its culmination, marked by a series of discoveries that have brought undocumented aspects to light. Among these revelations is the intricacy of the input and output format for the SAPHSOLVE engine. This document serves the crucial purpose of meticulously delineating the precise formats for both input and output, as they form an indispensable foundation. The importance of documenting these formats cannot be overstated, as it is a pivotal step in facilitating rigorous testing and comparison. Whether it involves scrutinizing SAPHSOLVE results against those of the internal integrated solver or other external solvers, the ability to construct models or transform existing ones into a compatible SAPHSOLVE format is imperative. Chapter 1 offers a succinct introduction to both SAPHIRE and SAPHSOLVE, followed by Chapter 2 which outlines the roadmap for enhancing SAPHSOLVE. The core of this report is Chapter 3, which intricately elucidates the intricacies of the input and output file formats. To provide a tangible illustration of these formats, a rudimentary example has been compiled and is available in Appendix. SAPHSOLVE represents a novel external solving mechanism developed by the SAPHIRE team, although it has not yet reached the full spectrum of capabilities possessed by SAPHIRE's internal solver. However, the SAPHIRE team has set a comprehensive course for incorporating the functionalities of SAPHSOLVE. A comprehensive outlook on the future of SAPHSOLVE is expounded upon in Chapter 4.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Initial OpenStudio Profiling Results

OpenStudio’s performance has not historically been an area of much work, but as it has successfully replaced ad hoc model generation solutions, the performance of the software is more and more central to continuing success. This report describes an initial effort to profile OpenStudio, describes the problems encountered, the solutions to those problems, and some early recommendations for further work should funding become available. The approach taken here is to use special software, referred to as profilers, to assess the code and how it executes. This approach is more appropriate for this kind of software than the checkpoint-style timing that is often done with numerical codes. Profiling was most successful on the MacOS platform, where Apple’s Instruments software was able to decipher the complexities of OpenStudio’s command line execution of a workflow. Even with the limited exploration of performance done here, the team quickly ran into limitations imposed on the code by the stateless architecture, and the team recommends an evaluation of this architecture as a good next step to improve performance.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Report on initial development of a database of nuclear graphite characteristics based on microstructural characterization

This report outlines the current and future efforts to produce a comprehensive library of microstructures of nuclear graphite and carbon-based materials that are candidate materials for nuclear applications in the United States. This library must contain extensive characterizations of unirradiated graphite materials, a guide to some of the techniques used to characterize graphite, a compendium of characterization data of neutron-irradiated or oxidized material, and a compendium of microstructural information of carbon-based materials. These characterization efforts are being conducted at various length scales to understand these complex materials’ local structure and property relationships. Achieving this goal requires further developing or adapting advanced characterization techniques that capture graphite’s most relevant characteristics. Some of the general objectives of this project are to aid with the material selection, licensing, management, and core assessments of a graphite core by documenting the unirradiated microstructure of relevant grades or by characterizing the evolution of the microstructure under the reactor environment. Moreover, this project aims to provide additional information, guidelines for characterizing graphite, and a protocol to assess a nuclear graphite grade. This report also summarizes some of the initial results and some of the techniques commonly used to characterize nuclear graphite.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Complete Initial Evaluation of Novel Complexants for Tc Holdback for Simplified Single Cycle Separations.

Management of technetium at the back end of nuclear fuel cycle is complicated by its unique physico-chemical character, but must be addressed to due to the environmental, storage and reprocessing challenges of this fission product. In a single-cycle scenario, the recovery and purification of uranium is particularly challenging due to the tendency of a pertechnetate anion to follow uranyl cation. This report summarizes initial studies directed towards finding the solution for technetium management. Two options for controlling technetium’s chemistry in solvent extraction scenarios were studied. Molecular recognition of pertechnetate by aqueous complexants based on guanidinium moieties was compared to redox manipulation of technetium using dihydrazide reagents. Solvent extraction, potentiometric and nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy studies were performed. The influence of guanidinium reagents on the liquid-liquid partitioning of technetium is less pronounced, relative to dihydrazides. Strong impact exerted by dihydrazides originates from the technetium-catalyzed decomposition of such compounds which reduces technetium to a tetravalent, non-extractable state. Although this route of technetium management is very effective the destruction of dihydrazides is undesirable. Guanidinium complexants show a more tempered influence on technetium. The effect on the liquid-liquid partitioning of pertechnetate is evident and likely guided by anion recognition due to ion-pair and hydrogen bond formation. Guanidiniums are stable in presence of technetium as evidenced by nuclear magnetic resonance studies. The steady state chemistry of guanidiniums identify this class of aqueous complexants as solid candidates for structure-function pertechnetate recognition studies.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Initial Feasibility Assessment of Agrivoltaics in Jackson County, IL

Consistent with concerns raised in other rural communities, the agricultural community in Jackson County, IL is reluctant to install ground based photovoltaic (PV) systems on prime agricultural land. Agrivoltaic solutions have the potential to mitigate community concerns of conversion of farmland to solar energy by allowing for both energy production and farming practices to occur on the same land area. To assess the potential for agrivoltaics in Jackson County, IL, the Jackson County Coalition requested technical assistance to perform an initial technoeconomic assessment, resource assessment, and feasibility assessment based on the unique agricultural context present in the area. In this paper, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) interviewed five Jackson County experts for five key crops (vineyards, strawberries, pumpkins, apple and pear orchards, and hemp) to examine potential for agrivoltaics integration and identify key barriers that could hamper development. NREL performed technoeconomic analysis for different agrivoltaic system designs to determine the economic constraints and opportunities of agrivoltaics development. Overall, there is no one path for agrivoltaics success in Jackson County. Pilot projects can assist in demonstrating agrivoltaic feasibility to stakeholders reluctant to be first adopters. Based on preliminary analyses, agrivoltaic integration with vineyards may prove most feasible as the per acre returns of grapes are comparable with the returns needed to offset higher solar development costs for agrivoltaic systems. In terms of technical specifications of solar, pumpkins and strawberries could be integrated into more traditional solar designs, but there are concerns with shading and pest control. There is no one size fits all solution, and many options may need exploring before a workable solution is found.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

UQ4QM: Uncertainty Quantification for Quantum Materials (Chemical Dynamics Initiative Final Report)

The Uncertainty Quantification for Quantum Materials (UQ4QM) LDRD project focused on developing solutions for strategic two project areas the Chemical Dynamics Initiative (CDi) Use Case 3. This included data-driven approaches toward understanding heterogeneous data, such as multi-fidelity data or data with unknown spatial or temporal perturbations. The applications were varied but the project aims pursued solutions which were amenable to common UQ approaches in order to maximize impact.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Los Alamos National Laboratory Director's Strategic Resilience Initiative

The Director’s Strategic Resilience Initiative was created late in 2019 in recognition of the changing geo-political climate. The renewed strategic competition between Russia, China, and the United States, noted in the 2018 National Defense Strategy and the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review, put great power rivalry and competition at the forefront of national security considerations. At the same time, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s March 1, 2018, speech and China’s October 1, 2019, National Day Military Parade, underscored the nuclear dimensions of this new strategic competition. Accompanying this changed strategic environment are rapid advances in an expansive array of relevant technological sectors including affordable and comprehensive global communication and reconnaissance assets, autonomous vehicles, quantum computing, advanced manufacturing, and artificial intelligence.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

RBDMS, FracFocus, State Support, and Produced Water Initiatives

Award DE-FE-0027702 from the Department of Energy to the Ground Water Protection Council (GWPC) focused on state and federal priorities in the areas of state Risk Based Data Management System (RBDMS) development, connectivity between state systems and FracFocus.org, and data sharing initiatives across agencies. The primary objective was to enhance the RBDMS by adding new components relevant to current environmental topics such as hydraulic fracturing, increasing field inspection capabilities, creating linkages between FracFocus and state programs, upgrading eForm capabilities, and analyzing potential for data sharing. The recipient worked with state agencies developing RBDMS module(s) that meet these needs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Initial Demonstration of New Griffin Technologies for Simulating the Running-In Phase of Pebble Bed Reactors

Griffin is a reactor multiphysics modeling application based on MOOSE (Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment) and specifically targeting transient modeling of advanced reactors. Griffin has been used recently to model pebble-bed reactors for the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research and the Advanced Reactor Technology program. This modeling work has focused thus far on the direct calculation of equilibrium cores. This report documents an initial demonstration of a new running-in simulation capability. The new running-in capability is verified using the existing direct equilibrium core calculation capability. A simplified pebble-bed reactor model is then used to demonstrate the running-in simulation capability. This demonstration shows that Griffin is able to simulate years of operation during the running-in phase efficiently with each depletion step taking only several seconds. Two new technologies are also presented in this report which have been developed in Griffin that will be essential for improved accuracy both of the direct equilibrium core computation and the new running-in simulation capability. The first technology is an online cross section generation capability specifically targeted for pebble-bed reactors. This will improve the accuracy of the depletion calculation as the cross sections are generated at the exact core status. This also avoids the difficult step of pre-generating a separate standalone multigroup cross section set. Secondly, a newly implemented discretization for discontinuous finite element method (DFEM) SN transport in cylindrical (RZ) coordinates, which can be solved efficiently using the existing SN sweep solver, is discussed and some results are shown demonstrating the usefulness of the additional accuracy transport provides over a diffusion approximation.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Search For Low-Mass Quark-Antiquark Resonances Produced With an Initial State Photon at 13 TeV Using the CMS Detector

We present a search for low-mass narrow qq̅ resonances. This search uses data from LHC pp collisions at a center of mass of 13 TeV in Run 2, and corresponds to an integrated luminosity of 137 fb^{-1}, currently using 10\% of data. Utilizing full Run 2 data allows the use of a lower photon pT threshold trigger than a previous analysis performed with only 2016 data, allowing this analysis to be more sensitive to resonances in the low mass region. We require an initial state photon recoiling against the narrow resonance, leading to the resonance having a high transverse momentum. The high pT decay products of the resonance collimate and are reconstructed as a single large jet with an internal two-pronged substructure. A two-pronged dijet score based on the ParticleNet tagger is used to select jets with two-pronged substructure. The background is estimated via a data-driven method using a transfer factor between the distributions which fail and pass the two-pronged substructure requirement. The new physics signal is searched for as a narrow peak excess above the Standard Model backgrounds in the jet mass spectrum.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Stochastic Modeling Workflow to Generate Representative Geologic Variability in Training Dataset for SMART Initiative

The poster discusses the modeling workflow to generate ensemble of geologic realizations of the Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP) site, based on available site characterization data and inherent uncertainty of those data, for use by project collaborators in DOE SMART Initiative (Phase 2) to build their forward modeling, history matching, and optimization workflows. This poster is summarized from the technical report for the SMART project submitted to U.S. DOE earlier this year.

Ganesh, Priya Ravi↗