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DOE OSTI2020

Evaluation of low-exergy heating and cooling systems and topology optimization for deep energy savings at the urban district level

District energy systems have the potential to achieve deep energy savings by leveraging the density and diversity of loads in urban districts. However, planning and adoption of district thermal energy systems is hindered by the analytical burden and high infrastructure costs. It is hypothesized that network topology optimization would enable wider adoption of advanced (ambient temperature) district thermal energy systems, resulting in energy savings. In this study, energy modeling is used to compare the energy performance of “conventional” and “advanced” district thermal energy systems at the urban district level, and a partial exhaustive search is used to evaluate a heuristic for the topology optimization problem. For the prototypical district considered, advanced district thermal energy systems mated with low-exergy building heating and cooling systems achieved a source energy use intensity that was 49% lower than that of conventional systems. The minimal spanning tree heuristic was demonstrated to be effective for the network topology optimization problem in the context of a prototypical district, and contributes to mitigating the problem’s computational complexity. The work presented in this paper demonstrates the potential of advanced district thermal energy systems to achieve deep energy savings, and advances to addressing barriers to their adoption through topology optimization.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2024

Evaluating the Impact of Off-Design CHP Performance on the Optimal Sizing and Dispatch on Hybrid Renewable-CHP Distributed Energy Resources

The maturation of distributed energy resources (DER) has prompted the exploration of their deployment in commercial building applications due to their potential to supply energy at lower costs and emissions rates compared to centralized generation. While several software tools exist for evaluating the techno-economic potential of integrated renewable energy and combined heat and power (CHP) systems for distributed generation applications, many suffer from poor accuracy in capturing off-design (part load and changes in ambient air temperature and pressure) performance characteristics of microturbines, combustion turbines, or internal combustion engines. Thus, this paper presents a methodology for integrating these off-design characteristics in the mixed-integer linear program within REopt, a hybrid DER screening tool. The economic impact of the CHP off-design performance is observed through several application studies of various hybrid system configurations in different climates. Each study indicates how CHP off-design performance influences optimal sizing and dispatch decisions and therefore overall system economic value. We observe through case studies that modeling without the off-design effects, depending on the CHP prime mover and site, can result in Net Present Value predictions of hybrid systems that can be overoptimistic in frequently hot climates (up to 52%), too conservative in frequently cold climates (up to 11%), or unaffected (+/-1%) in temperate climates. Cases also highlight several advantages of hybrid systems relative to non-hybrid systems such as total economic value and the systems' ability to mitigate potentially negative consequences attributed to off-design performance.

ambient de-rate↗

DOE OSTI2021

Evaluation of cooling setpoint setback savings in commercial buildings using electricity and exterior temperature time series data

Commercial buildings account for a significant amount of total energy produced in the US, and the Heating Ventilation and Cooling (HVAC) systems are one of the most significant components of their overall consumption. In this study, we proposed a new data-driven approach to evaluate HVAC cooling systems in commercial buildings and identify savings opportunities. The focus is an investigation of the impact of thermostat setpoint setback but using only whole building, electricity data taken at 15-min intervals for the analysis. We conducted a comparative study of setpoint setback characteristics on 432 commercial buildings with 5 building usage types across the United States. To accomplish this, both piecewise and Random Forest regression algorithms were employed using electricity and exterior temperature datasets to identify operational characteristics and the effective setpoints in the building to determine the corresponding savings opportunities. Both occupied and unoccupied time periods were studied across cooling degree days (CDD), when air conditioning is typically operational. Here the results show that in commercial buildings, on average, cooling systems account for 9.5% of total consumption. When a one degree setback during the cooling season is applied, an average of approximately 1.1% of annual consumption is achieved; retail and office buildings demonstrate the highest potential for savings. Additionally, we identified that the number of cooling degree days and base to peak ratio (BPR) are the most important variables for predicting the magnitude of the consumption of cooling systems.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Short-term electricity load forecasting: Application-driven evaluation of machine learning models across spatial and temporal scales

As we transition towards a decarbonized economy, the integration of variable renewable energy resources and new demands (e.g., electric vehicles, heat pumps) into the electricity grid places unprecedented pressure on grid operators to effectively anticipate and manage peak load. In this context, machine learning algorithms are proving to be indispensable for accurate short-term load forecasting, a crucial task to address these challenges. This study benchmarks 6 machine learning algorithms, including three neural networks and three tree-based algorithms, across various levels of spatial aggregation and time horizons (1, 4, 8, 24, and 48 h). The central contribution of this work is the comparison and analysis of load forecasting models not only based on statistical metrics, but also based on a novel error metric, which evaluates the cost implications of forecast errors for power system stakeholders. Results show that tree-based models outperform neural networks, based on statistical metrics, and yield less skewed error distributions for most spatial scales. However, through the lens of the novel error metric, neural networks are the more competitive choice, especially for forecast horizons that exceed 8 h. The study concludes with actionable recommendations to grid operators and highlights the need for the development of error metrics that link forecasting accuracy to operational costs. To promote transparency and open science, the datasets and Python code are open-sourced via a supplementary repository.

Houben, Nikolaus↗

DOE OSTI2022

The locational value of distributed energy resources: A parcel-level evaluation of solar and wind potential in New York state

We report distributed energy resources (DERs) are poised to play a significant role in evolving power systems because of their flexibility to be sited in areas of high value to the grid. Traditional DER compensation frameworks, specifically net energy metering (NEM), inadequately communicate differences in the locational and temporal value of DER generation to the grid. As a transition from NEM, New York State's (NYS's) Value of Distributed Energy Resources (VDER) framework provides a methodology for calculating different value components that DERs offer the grid. To study the impacts of VDER frameworks on DER deployment, we developed a model to assess the value of distributed solar and wind systems configured as either a behind-the-meter system or a front-of-the-meter system for each parcel of land in NYS. Using parcel-level granularity, we can closely evaluate DER locational value and siting availability, particularly in urban and suburban settings. Our analysis finds while most DER generators would be modestly compensated for deferred transmission and distribution infrastructure upgrades (~0.01 $\$$/kWh for solar PV), a subset of projects receive significant value from this component (0.035 to 0.089 $\$$/kWh for top 5% of parcels for solar PV). Finally, our analysis finds VDER provides less overall compensation than NEM to the average DER generator, however, it increases access to compensation for front-of-the-meter DERs - a large and emerging market.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Modeling framework for evaluating the impacts of hydrodynamic pressure on hydrologic exchange fluxes and residence time for a large-scale river section over a long-term period

Quantifying hydrologic exchange fluxes (HEF) at the river and subsurface interface and their residence times (RT) in subsurface are important for managing the water quality and ecosystem health in dynamic river corridor systems. In this study, a modeling framework is developed for coupling the three-dimensional (3D) multi-phase surface, subsurface flow transport, and numerical tracer model for RT in a large-scale river section over a long period. The framework is utilized to evaluate the impacts of hydrodynamic pressure on HEFs and RT for a 30 km section of the Columbia River in Washington State over a three-year period. Based on comparisons between model simulations with and without considering hydrodynamic pressure, we found that hydrodynamic pressure increases the net HEFs by 7% with river gaining water from the subsurface domain, and leads to slight reduction of RT.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

A cost–benefit framework to evaluate capacity upgrade options in overhead line transmission planning

This paper presents the methodology behind the new Reconductoring Economic and Financial Analysis (REFA) tool, an open-access software, used by transmission utilities to evaluate transmission capacity enhancement options. The proposed methodology is intended to be used in a new planning stage, after the capacity expansion and prior to the individual transmission project engineering, allowing capacity upgrade options (reconductoring, rebuild or voltage upgrade), and respective conductor selection, to be compared under the same economic basis. Furthermore, the REFA tool implements a methodology to rank project options and conductor types based on economic criteria, considering an approximation of the ampacity and sag constraints. Results, using 5 real transmission lines in the US, show that least-cost combinations of project and conductor types can be very diverse, which emphasizes the need for the proposed methodology and tool.

Advanced conductors↗

DOE OSTI2020

Cost-optimal evaluation of centralized and distributed microgrid topologies considering voltage constraints

Optimal design of hybrid renewable mini-grids requires both economic and power quality considerations. Existing modeling approaches address these considerations via separate or loosely coupled models. Here, we extend REopt—a techno-economic optimization model developed at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory—to consider both within a single model. REopt formulates the design problem as a mixed-integer linear program that solves for a site's optimal technology mix, sizing, and operation to minimize life cycle cost. REopt has traditionally assumed a single node system. In the work presented here, we expand the REopt platform to consider multiple connected nodes with associated voltage constraints. In order to do this, we model power flow using a fixed-point linear approximation method. Additionally, we then use the model to explore design considerations of mini-grids in Sub-Saharan Africa. Specifically, we evaluate under what combinations of transmission line distance and capacity it is technically viable and economically preferable to build multiple isolated mini-grids versus an interconnected, centralized system.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2023

Evaluation and selection of eutectic salts combined with metal foams for applications in high-temperature latent heat thermal energy storage

This study presents a systematic process for selecting eutectic salts for use in latent heat thermal energy storage (LHTES), and provides experimental evidence regarding their performance. One primary goal was to identify the most suitable eutectic salt for use with metallic foams over a temperature range of 450 °C–500 °C. Twenty-one eutectic salts were preselected for comparison. Here, the performance and cost-effectiveness of each were evaluated based on the Ragone relation, enabling a fair comparison of each salt's heat storage capacity and power density relative to cost. As a result, MgCl-NaCl, CaCl 2 -NaCl, and FLiNaK were selected as the most promising candidates. Subsequently, experiments were performed to demonstrate the compatibility of the selected salts with metal foams while the copper and aluminum foams were immersed in the salts at 550 °C for 120 h. Combining C10100 (copper alloy) foam with CaCl 2 -NaCl was observed to generate the least surface corrosion due to oxidation. The charge/discharge performance and thermal stability of CaCl 2 -NaCl, both with and without the copper foam, were also tested to confirm the feasibility of this combination. The capsule with the copper foam showed enhanced performance (a 13 % reduced discharge rate) in comparison to the capsule without copper foam. The melting point of the CaCl 2 -NaCl remained unchanged for 300-h duration of the cyclic melting/solidification experiments, and no thermal stability issues were observed.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Comprehensive evaluation of commercially scalable atomic-layer-deposited alumina coating impact on full cell battery performance across varied test conditions

Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD) has emerged as a strategic enhancement method for lithium-ion battery (LIB) materials offering potential benefits and durability benefits for industrial battery production. However, the translation from laboratory achievements to commercial-scale applications has been limited. Here, this study aims to bridge this gap by comprehensively evaluating the effects of commercially scalable Al 2 O 3 ALD coatings using full pouch cell performance as a means to assess the ALD impact. We utilized large-scale slot-die coating techniques to ensure consistent electrode quality and tested four configurations of pouch cells to analyze the individual effects of ALD coating on anode and cathode electroactive materials. Our extensive testing matrix included long-term cycling, fast discharge, fast charge, leakage current, and high voltage tests. While at lower C-rates (<~1C), the influence of Al 2 O 3 coatings on cell performance is not significant. Fast charging conditions reveal that the anode ALD coating significantly enhances performance via a passivating effect, while on the cathode, it is detrimental, potentially due to increased resistance of the thin interfacial layer formed during the ALD processing. Leakage current and high-voltage tests show that the application of ALD coatings on either anode or cathode effectively minimizes side reactions at the electrode-electrolyte interface. Additionally, ALD coatings significantly mitigate concentrated and localized lithium plating on the anodes. These insights provide a valuable understanding of the potential of ALD technologies in LIB manufacturing to tailor cell performance, paving the way for safer, more efficient, and cost-effective battery solutions.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Evaluation of methods and improvement of predictions for specification properties of petroleum-based and alternative aviation fuels

To support our research and process modeling for liquid fuels, including blends, from petroleum and synthetic sources such as from biomass intermediates, we evaluated composition-based prediction methods and improved predictions for five key specification properties of petroleum-based and alternative aviation fuels, namely distillation temperatures (10 % distilled, t 10 , and final boiling point, t FBP ), density, flash point, net heat of combustion, and freezing point. The types of fuels included were petroleum-based jet fuels, jet-fuel surrogate mixtures, synthetic blending components obtained from different sources, and blends of Jet A with many synthetic blending components. Expanded datasets to update associated parameters allowed significant improvements for one of the prediction methods used in earlier work, namely the Modified Weighted Average method published initially by Shi et al. By considering the importance of lighter compounds for flash points and heavier compounds for freezing points, the revised Modified Weighted Average method was further improved. For liquid density, the revised Modified Weighted Average method gave the best overall results. The revised Modified Weighted Average method, the American Society for Testing and Materials D7215 method, and the D7215 method modified by another group gave comparable results for flash point, while the revised Modified Weighted Average and D3338 methods gave the best results for net heat of combustion. Freezing point was well predicted using the revised Modified Weighted Average method and showed the most significant improvements over current predictions. Distillation temperature t 10 was not well predicted, while t FBP was predicted with a mean absolute error comparable to experimental reproducibility.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Evaluation of the energy balance of chemical looping combustion of solid fuels using CuO-based oxygen carriers

Chemical looping combustion (CLC) can inherently capture the CO2 generated during thermal energy production. When using CuO-based oxygen carriers, the reactions in both the fuel reactor (FR) and air reactor (AR) are exothermic, facilitating autothermal operation. To prevent the oxygen carrier from becoming agglomerated while ensuring a sufficient oxygen release rate, it is necessary to predict the FR temperature and remove an appropriate amount of heat from the AR when burning high-rank fuels. Here in this work, the energy balance of a CuO-based CLC system firing various solid fuels (biomass, coal, and petroleum coke) was investigated by establishing a thermodynamic model using FactSage. The energy distribution characteristics of the FR were quantified based on a virtual five-step thermodynamic sequence. The effects of fuel properties, oxygen carrier properties, and operating conditions on the energy balance were evaluated systematically. The results indicate that the temperature difference between the FR and AR is not very sensitive to the heating value of the fuel, while the CuO loading of the oxygen carrier, the heat capacity of the support material, and the flow rate of the fluidizing gas have significant impact. The insights obtained in this work will help improve the design and heat management of CLC.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

Experimental evaluation of thermal-fluids performance of Helium-Cooled Flat Plate (HCFP) divertor

Various helium (He)-cooled solid-tungsten (W) divertor concepts have been proposed for long-pulse magnetic fusion energy reactors. Among these concepts, the He-cooled flat plate divertor (HCFP) modules have the largest plasma-facing surface area of ~0.2 m 2 . Simulations have shown that the most recent version of the design can withstand heat fluxes as great as 8 MW/m 2 . Earlier experimental studies of a single shortened HCFP cooling unit with a slot length of 7.6 cm used air at ambient temperature and pressures below 0.6 MPa. Here, we present initial experimental studies of a copper alloy and steel test section modeling a shortened HCFP cooling unit using He at prototypical pressure of 10 MPa, inlet temperatures T i ≤ 200 °C and steady-state incident heat fluxes q" ≤ 1.2 MW/m 2 . Results for Nusselt number Nu as a function of Reynolds number Re were obtained for Re = 1.2×10 4 –3.4×10 4 , and used to develop a Nu(Re) correlation and validate numerical models of the test section using commercial computational fluid dynamics (CFD) software. Simulations with this model are performed to evaluate the effect of the shortened slot. Furthermore, these analyses are used to estimate the thermal-fluids performance of the HCFP under prototypical conditions.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Evaluation of liquid metal embrittlement of F82H and 4340 steels in liquid lithium

Here, to evaluate the liquid metal embrittlement (LME) susceptibility of F82H, a reduced activation ferritic-martensitic (RAFM) steel, a testing procedure using hollow cylindrical tensile specimens was used. Tensile tests are compared between specimens filled with argon and lithium at 200 °C. To validate the procedure, initial testing was performed on type 4340 steel, which is well-known to exhibit LME. Compared to 4340 steel, F82H only showed minor effects of Li exposure, including pre-testing exposures with Li at 400 °C for 1 h and 500 °C for 500 h. Furthermore, changing the strain rate or tensile test temperature also did not show significant embrittlement.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Evaluation of accuracy and convergence of numerical coupling approaches for poroelasticity benchmark problems

Accurate modeling of subsurface flow and transport processes is vital as the prevalence of subsurface activities such as carbon sequestration, geothermal recovery, and nuclear waste disposal increases. Computational modeling of these problems leverages poroelasticity theory, which describes coupled fluid flow and mechanical deformation. Although fully coupled monolithic schemes are accurate for coupled problems, they can demand significant computational resources for large problems. In this work, a fixed stress scheme is implemented into the Sandia Sierra Multiphysics toolkit. Two implementation methods, along with the fully coupled method, are verified with one-dimensional (1D) Terzaghi, 2D Mandel, and 3D Cryer sphere benchmark problems. The impact of a range of material parameters and convergence tolerances on numerical accuracy and efficiency was evaluated. Overall the fixed stress schemes achieved acceptable numerical accuracy and efficiency compared to the fully coupled scheme. However, the accuracy of the fixed stress scheme tends to decrease with low permeable cases, requiring the finer tolerance to achieve a desired numerical accuracy. For the fully coupled scheme, high numerical accuracy was observed in most of cases except a low permeability case where an order of magnitude finer tolerance was required for accurate results. Finally, a two-layer Terzaghi problem and an injection–production well system were used to demonstrate the applicability of findings from the benchmark problems for more realistic conditions over a range of permeability. Simulation results suggest that the fixed stress scheme provides accurate solutions for all cases considered with the proper adjustment of the tolerance. Furthermore, this work clearly demonstrates the robustness of the fixed stress scheme for coupled poroelastic problems, while a cautious selection of numerical tolerance may be required under certain conditions with low permeable materials.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

A generalized analytical energy balance model for evaluating agglomeration from a binary collision of wet particles

Agglomeration of wet particles, i.e., particles coated with a thin liquid layer, is a common phenomenon in many processes like fluidized bed combustion of low rank fuels. The availability of an agglomeration model that can evaluate the outcome of a binary collision between wet particles differing in solid particle properties, liquid layer thicknesses, and initial collision (impact) speeds is essential for obtaining a comprehensive understanding on the existing processes experiencing wet particle agglomeration or for a successful development of new processes with high chances of wet particle agglomeration. This study presents a generalized agglomeration model on the basis of energy conservation before and after collision when colliding wet particles may differ in solid particle properties, liquid layer thicknesses, and impact speeds. The model was established based on the approximate values of energy losses that may happen during the collision. It incorporates body forces, solid-solid contacting, liquid capillary, and viscous contributions, as well as the liquid bridge volume effect. Predictions of the new model for collision outcomes of identical wet particles were like those from an analytical energy balance model developed recently by the group for identical wet particles. We also validated the new model by experimental data from literature. The results of a collision direction analysis indicated that the direction often has a minimal effect on the collision outcome in many practical scenarios. The results of Monte Carlo uncertainty analyses with the new model revealed that proper estimations of impact speed, under capillary limiting conditions, and thickness of coating layers and asperity heights, under viscous limiting conditions, are critical for the realistic prediction of collision outcomes at impact speeds close to critical impact speed, i.e., the minimum particle speed required for the particles to rebound.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Co-simulation of transactive energy markets: A framework for market testing and evaluation

The proliferation of distributed energy resources (DER)—and the ability to intelligently control these assets—is re-defining the electrical distribution system. As the number of controllable devices rapidly expands, grid operators must determine how to incorporate these assets while delivering reliable, equitable, and affordable electricity. One possible approach is to establish distribution-level electricity markets and allow devices/aggregations of devices to participate in price establishment. While this approach purports some of the same benefits as the highly successful wholesale electricity markets (i.e., open competition, efficient price discovery, reduced communication overhead), this needs to be researched and quantified via an analysis platform that models distribution-level markets at the appropriate fidelity. Specifically, the simultaneous evaluation of market performance, DER performance, DER bidding approaches, and distribution feeder power quality requires modeling that spans multiple technical areas. Co-simulation has emerged as a powerful tool in addressing this type of problem, where outputs depend on a range of underlying areas of expertise and associated models. In this paper we describe a solution, as implemented in the HELICS co-simulation platform, where we include (1) high fidelity house models, (2) intelligent bidding agents, (3) a modular market integration/design, and (4) a distribution feeder model. We then present a case study where we test two different market designs: (1) a pseudo-wholesale double-blind auction, and (2) an asynchronous matching market. In this work, the markets are run under two DER penetration levels and economic results are compared to full retail net energy metering and avoided cost net metering scenarios that bookend current approaches to remuneration of DER participation. We show the potential for transactive markets to provide increased value for most customers relative to net metering (and all customers relative to avoided cost scenarios) while decreasing costs for the utility.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2022

Experimental driving performance evaluation of battery-powered medium and heavy duty all-electric vehicles

As the push to reduce air pollutants and carbon dioxide for global warming continues, there is increasing interest in the development and deployment of battery electric vehicles for heavy-duty applications as one of the critical and challenging steps of a broader effort to fully electrify the transportation sector. This study evaluated and quantified the energy consumption rates and energy regeneration rates for three heavy-duty battery electric vehicles (a step van, a yard tractor, and a class 8 truck) using driving cycle tests with a heavy-duty vehicle chassis dynamometer. Information in this area is currently very limited, and yet it is critical to understanding how effective heavy-duty battery electric vehicles will be for a wide range of applications as the electrification of the heavy-duty vehicle market continues to expand. Energy consumption rates ranged from 0.37 and 2.71 kWh/km for most vehicle/cycle combinations. On a diesel liter energy-equivalent basis, the heavy-duty vehicles had approximately 3 to 6 times better energy consumption rates compared to comparable diesel vehicles, with weight normalized energy consumption rates also comparing favorably to the current and future greenhouse gas/fuel economy standards for equivalent diesel vehicles. Based on battery capacities ranging from 80 to 215 kWh, the vehicle ranges varied from 38.18 km to 171.2 km, with ranges of 115.9 km to 171.2 km for most types of driving and lower ranges of 38.18 to 42.20 km for sustained grade cycles. Overall, the advantage of improved energy consumption rates coupled with improvements that can be expected for battery technology and vehicle range, provide promise for expanded use of heavy-duty vehicles going into the future.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗