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At least 1,153 records · Page 64

Comparison of Integral Parameter Estimated Uncertainties in Fast Neutron Systems with COMMARA-2.1 and COMMARA-2.0 Covariance Data

This paper shows the main differences between the COMMARA-2.0 and COMMARA-2.1 evaluated covariance data in the uncertainty estimation of integral parameters of interest for a large number of typical innovative fast neutron systems. The study provides some guidelines to the nuclear data evaluators on which materials and which reaction types need to be evaluated most accurately to achieve reliable results in computational analyses of similar systems. The assessment of the quality and reliability of the covariance data is outside the scope of the study.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A new ATLAS muon CSC readout system with system on chip technology on ATCA platform

The ATLAS muon Cathode Strip Chamber (CSC) back-end readout system has been upgraded during the LHC 2013-2015 shutdown to be able to handle the higher Level-1 trigger rate of 100 kHz and the higher occupancy at Run 2 luminosity. The readout design is based on the Reconfiguration Cluster Element (RCE) concept for high bandwidth generic DAQ implemented on the ATCA platform. The RCE design is based on the new System on Chip Xilinx Zynq series with a processor-centric architecture with ARM processor embedded in FPGA fabric and high speed I/O resources together with auxiliary memories to form a versatile DAQ building block that can host applications tapping into both software and firmware resources. The Cluster on Board (COB) ATCA carrier hosts RCE mezzanines and an embedded Fulcrum network switch to form an online DAQ processing cluster. More compact firmware solutions on the Zynq for G-link, S-link and TTC allowed the full system of 320 G-links from the 32 chambers to be processed by 6 COBs in one ATCA shelf through software waveform feature extraction to output 32 S-links. Furthermore, the full system was installed in Sept. 2014. We will present the RCE/COB design concept, the firmware and software processing architecture, and the experience from the intense commissioning towards LHC Run 2.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Increasing the detection sensitivity of the Radionuclide Aerosol Sampler/Analyzer using a cosmic veto system

Different configurations of a cosmic veto system have been evaluated for the Radionuclide Aerosol Sampler/Analyzer (RASA). The upgrade has the potential to resolve the issue that U.S. IMS radionuclide stations have difficulty meeting the 140Ba Minimum Detectable Concentration (MDC) certification requirement when the natural background radioactivity is high. It also aims to improve the detection sensitivity of the RASA system for other fission and activation products indicative of a nuclear explosion. This proof of principal utilizes a prototype RASA system located at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), and has demonstrated background reductions by up to 11.3% and improvements in the average MDC by up to 7.7%. Recommendations are made for either a 1 or 3 plate configuration, which improves the 140Ba MDC by 5.6% and 7.2% for a blank filter. Whilst elevated 212Pb activity remains problematic, the cosmic veto system provides a practical solution for sensitivity improvement with little design modification of the RASA. It also has value in improving sensitivity and preventing false-positives at remote U.S. IMS station locations where sample transfer for laboratory analysis is logistically difficult.

Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty, RASA, Cosmi↗

Predicting the performance uncertainty of a 1-MW pilot-scale carbon capture system after hierarchical laboratory-scale calibration and validation

A challenging problem in designing pilot-scale carbon capture systems is to predict, with uncertainty, the adsorber performance and capture efficiency under various operating conditions where no direct experimental data exist. Motivated by this challenge, we previously proposed a hierarchical framework in which relevant parameters of physical models were sequentially calibrated from different laboratory-scale carbon capture unit (C2U) experiments. Specifically, three models of increasing complexity were identified based on the fundamental physical and chemical processes of the sorbent-based carbon capture technology. Results from the corresponding laboratory experiments were used to statistically calibrate the physical model parameters while quantifying some of their inherent uncertainty. The parameter distributions obtained from laboratory-scale C2U calibration runs are used in this study to facilitate prediction at a larger scale where no corresponding experimental results are available. In this paper, we first describe the multiphase reactive flow model for a sorbent-based 1-MW carbon capture system then analyze results from an ensemble of simulations with the upscaled model. The simulation results are used to quantify uncertainty regarding the design’s predicted efficiency in carbon capture. In particular, we determine the minimum gas flow rate necessary to achieve 90% capture efficiency with 95% confidence.

bubbling bed↗

Development of graphite foam infiltrated with MgCl 2 for a latent heat based thermal energy storage (LHTES) system

Thermal energy storage (TES) systems that are compatible with high temperature power cycles for concentrating solar power (CSP) require high temperature media for transporting and storing thermal energy. To that end, TES systems have been proposed based on the latent heat of fusion of the phase change materials (PCMs). However, PCMs have relatively low thermal conductivities. In this paper, use of high-thermal-conductivity graphite foam infiltrated with a PCM (MgCl2) has been investigated as a potential TES system. Graphite foams with two porosities were infiltrated with MgCl2. The infiltrated composites were evaluated for density, heat of fusion, melting/freezing temperatures, and thermal diffusivities. Estimated thermal conductivities of MgCl2/graphite foam composites were significantly higher than those of MgCl2 alone over the measured temperature range. Furthermore, heat of fusion, melting/freezing temperatures, and densities showed comparable values to those of pure MgCl2. Results of this study indicate that MgCl2/graphite foam composites show promise as storage media for a latent heat thermal energy storage system for CSP applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Surface energies, adhesion energies, and exfoliation energies relevant to copper-graphene and copper-graphite systems

We have generated precise values for several key energies that are relevant to Cu-graphene or Cu-graphite systems. Such systems may find technological applications that range from graphene synthesis, to condensation heat transfer, to electrical contacts to graphene, to composites. Using density functional theory, we have calculated surface energies of the three low-index faces of bulk Cu. We find that these surface energies, calculated with the PBEsol functional, are significantly higher than with the more common PBE functional and agree more closely with experiment. We have also calculated the surface energies of graphene and graphite, the exfoliation energy between graphene and graphite, and the adhesion energies between graphene or graphite and a Cu(111) slab. The adhesion energy between a carbon layer and Cu(111) is close to the exfoliation energy and cleavage energy of graphite, the four sets of values spanning a range of only 0.394–0.456 J/m2. Our results are consistent with the earlier experimental observation of three-dimensional growth of Cu on top of graphite. The energies are also used to perform a continuum Winterbottom analysis and also discrete (atomistic) variants of this analysis to predict the equilibrium shapes of Cu particles supported on graphite.

Han, Yong↗

Wholesale Electricity Market Design with Increasing Levels of Renewable Generation: Incentivizing Flexibility in System Operations

This paper discusses the importance and challenges of incentivizing flexibility during short-term operations of the bulk power system due to the increasing variability and uncertainty from growing penetrations of variable generation (VG). Operational flexibility can refer to many aspects of a resource's capability to support the power system, such as the speed, range, and duration of power output, as well as the ability to autonomously respond to frequency or voltage changes. Inefficient utilization of existing flexibility, or unwillingness of resources to provide flexibility, can compromise system reliability by not meeting the changing net load, and it can also lead to higher costs when an inefficient use of flexibility resources occurs. There are many existing characteristics of market design that incentivize flexibility in some manner. How they incentivize the provision of flexibility as well as the level of flexibility is still debated. We explore some of these existing market designs, as well as new market mechanisms, such as pay-for-performance regulating reserve and flexible ramping products, that aim to explicitly incentivize the provision of more flexibility to the system, particularly as a result of increasing VG penetration levels.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Floating Photovoltaic Systems: Assessing the Technical Potential of Photovoltaic Systems on Man-Made Water Bodies in the Continental United States

We report that floating photovoltaic (FPV) systems, also called floatovoltaics, are a rapidly growing emerging technology application in which solar photovoltaic (PV) systems are sited directly on water. The water-based configuration of FPV systems can be mutually beneficial: Along with providing such benefits as reduced evaporation and algae growth, it can lower PV operating temperatures and potentially reduce the costs of solar energy generation. Although there is growing interest in FPV, to date there has been no systematic assessment of technical potential in the continental United States. We provide the first national-level estimate of FPV technical potential using a combination of filtered, large-scale datasets, site-specific PV generation models, and geospatial analytical tools. We quantify FPV co-benefits and siting considerations, such as land conservation, coincidence with high electricity prices, and evaporation rates. Our results demonstrate the potential of FPV to contribute significantly to the U.S. electric sector, even using conservative assumptions. A total of 24?419 man-made water bodies, representing 27% of the number and 12% of the area of man-made water bodies in the contiguous United States, were identified as being suitable for FPV generation. FPV systems covering just 27% of the identified suitable water bodies could produce almost 10% of current national generation. Lastly, many of these eligible bodies of water are in water-stressed areas with high land acquisition costs and high electricity prices, suggesting multiple benefits of FPV technologies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Microwave Heating-Induced Temperature Gradients in Liquid–Liquid Biphasic Systems

Microwaves (MWs) can enable the electrification and intensification of chemical manufacturing. They have been applied to various unit separations, such as drying, distillation, and extraction, entailing gas–liquid and solid–liquid systems. However, a limited quantitative understanding of MW-heated liquid–liquid biphasic systems related to extraction exists. This work measures the temporal and spatial temperature difference between an aqueous and an organic phase in batch and continuous microfluidic modes. We demonstrate permanent temperature differences between phases over 35 °C and spatiotemporal periodic and quasiperiodic oscillations modulated by the flow patterns. The temperature differences are primarily driven by the faster absorption rate of MW irradiation by the aqueous phase versus the slower heat transfer from the aqueous phase to the organic phase. These are amplified by low specific interfacial area and modifications of the electromagnetic field. We employ a multiphysics model to predict the temperature difference in a batch system. The model is in good agreement with the experiments. We demonstrate a strong effect of input power, dielectric properties of organic solvents, the volume of solvents, and the volume ratio between phases on the temperature difference. A simple analytical model describes the temperature difference and provides design principles. Furthermore, the combined approach offers new insights into the design and optimization of the MW-heated biphasic systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Combined Force-Frequency Sampling for Simulation of Systems Having Rugged Free Energy Landscapes.

An adaptive, machine learning-based sampling method is presented for simulation of systems having rugged, multidimensional free energy landscapes. The method's main strength resides in its ability to learn both from the frequency of visits to distinct states and the generalized force estimates that arise in a system as it evolves in phase space. This is accomplished by introducing a self-integrating artificial neural network, which generates an estimate of the free energy directly from its derivatives. The usefulness of the proposed combined approach is examined in the context of two concrete examples, namely, an alanine dipeptide molecule in water and a polymer diffusing through a narrow pore. This new method is found to be robust, faster, and more accurate than approaches that rely only on frequency-based or generalized force-based estimations. After combining the proposed approach with overfill protection and support for sparse data storage and training, the method is shown to be more effective than comparable, previously available techniques and capable of scaling efficiently to larger numbers of collective variables.

Sevgen, Emre↗

Quantifying Energetic and Entropic Pathways in Molecular Systems

When examining dynamics occurring at nonzero temperatures, both energy and entropy must be taken into account to describe activated barrier crossing events. Furthermore, good reaction coordinates need to be constructed to describe different metastable states and the transition mechanisms between them. Here we use a physics-based machine learning method called state predictive information bottleneck (SPIB) to find nonlinear reaction coordinates for three systems of varying complexity. SPIB is able to correctly predict an entropic bottleneck for an analytical flat-energy double-well system and identify the entropy- and energy-dominated pathways for an analytical four-well system. Lastly, for a simulation of benzoic acid permeation through a lipid bilayer, SPIB is able to discover the entropic and energetic barriers to the permeation process. Given these results, we thus establish that SPIB is a reasonable and robust method for finding the important entropy, energy, and enthalpy barriers in physical systems, which can then be used to enhance the understanding and sampling of different activated mechanisms.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Initial Land Use/Cover Distribution Substantially Affects Global Carbon and Local Temperature Projections in the Integrated Earth System Model

Initial land cover distribution varies among Earth system models, an uncertainty in initial conditions that can substantially affect carbon and climate projections. We use the integrated Earth System Model to show that a 3.9 M km2 difference in 2005 global forest area (9–14% of total forest area) generates uncertainties in initial atmospheric CO2 concentration, terrestrial carbon, and local temperature that propagate through a future simulation following the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5. By 2095, the initial 6 ppmv uncertainty range increases to 9 ppmv and the initial 26 PgC uncertainty range in terrestrial carbon increases to 33 PgC. The initial uncertainty range in annual average local temperature of -0.74 to 0.96 °C persists throughout the future simulation, with a seasonal maximum in Dec-Jan-Feb. These results highlight the importance of accurately characterizing historical land use and land cover to reduce overall initial condition uncertainty.

Di Vittorio, Alan↗

Uncertainty Analysis in Multi‐Sector Systems: Considerations for Risk Analysis, Projection, and Planning for Complex Systems

Abstract Simulation models of multi‐sector systems are increasingly used to understand societal resilience to climate and economic shocks and change. However, multi‐sector systems are also subject to numerous uncertainties that prevent the direct application of simulation models for prediction and planning, particularly when extrapolating past behavior to a nonstationary future. Recent studies have developed a combination of methods to characterize, attribute, and quantify these uncertainties for both single‐ and multi‐sector systems. Here, we review challenges and complications to the idealized goal of fully quantifying all uncertainties in a multi‐sector model and their interactions with policy design as they emerge at different stages of analysis: (a) inference and model calibration; (b) projecting future outcomes; and (c) scenario discovery and identification of risk regimes. We also identify potential methods and research opportunities to help navigate the tradeoffs inherent in uncertainty analyses for complex systems. During this discussion, we provide a classification of uncertainty types and discuss model coupling frameworks to support interdisciplinary collaboration on multi‐sector dynamics (MSD) research. Finally, we conclude with recommendations for best practices to ensure that MSD research can be properly contextualized with respect to the underlying uncertainties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Energy landscapes and functions of supramolecular systems

By means of two supramolecular systems—peptide amphiphiles engaged in hydrogen-bonded β-sheets, and chromophore amphiphiles driven to assemble by π-orbital overlaps—we show that the minima in the energy landscapes of supramolecular systems are defined by electrostatic repulsion and the ability of the dominant attractive forces to trap molecules in thermodynamically unfavourable configurations. Furthermore, these competing interactions can be selectively switched on and off, with the order of doing so determining the position of the final product in the energy landscape. Within the same energy landscape, the peptide-amphiphile system forms a thermodynamically favoured product characterized by long bundled fibres that promote biological cell adhesion and survival, and a metastable product characterized by short monodisperse fibres that interfere with adhesion and can lead to cell death. Our findings suggest that, in supramolecular systems, functions and energy landscapes are linked, superseding the more traditional connection between molecular design and function.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Cyber‐physical system testbed for power system monitoring and wide‐area control verification

The electric power system is intrinsically a cyber‐physical system (CPS) with power flowing inthe physical system and information flowing in the cyber‐network. Testbeds arecrucial for understanding the cyber‐physical interactions and provideenvironments for prototyping novel applications. This study proposes afour‐layer architecture for CPS testbeds with emphases on communication networkemulation and networked physical components. A configurable software‐definednetwork is employed to bridge physical components with wide‐area applicationsfor closed‐loop control. In order to distribute physically coupled devices intomultiple software simulations, this study proposes a data broker setup based ona distributed messaging environment to achieve low‐latency data streaming. Thedecoupled design with data streaming allows for building testbed components asmodules and running them in a distributed manner. Case studies verify the databroker setup for low‐latency sensing and actuation, as well as the communicationemulation setup for the desired network latency. Also illustrated is a replayattack scenario using synchrophasors in the Western Electricity CoordinatingCouncil (WECC) 181‐bus system for demonstrating the closed‐loop cyber‐physicalsimulation capability of the testbed.

Cui, Hantao↗

Evolution of the Data Quality Monitoring and Prompt Processing System in the proto DUNE-SP experiment

The DUNE Collaboration currently operates an experimental program based at CERN which includes a beam test and an extended cosmic ray run of two large-scale prototypes of the massive Liquid Argon Time Projection Chamber (LArTPC) for the DUNE Far Detector. The volume of data collected by the single-phase prototype (protoDUNE-SP) amounts to 3PB and the sustained rate of data sent to mass storage is O(100) MB/s. Data Quality Monitoring was implemented by directing a fraction of the data stream to the protoDUNE prompt processing system (p3s) which is optimized for continuous low-latency calculation of the vital detector metrics and various graphics including event displays. It served a crucial role throughout the life cycle of the experiment. We present our experience in leveraging the CERN computing environment and operating the system over an extended period of time, while adapting to evolving requirements and computing platform.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗