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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

State of Innovation 2025: Progress in Accelerating Next-Generation Cement and Concrete Technologies

The cement and concrete sectors are entering a decisive period as next-generation technologies advance from laboratory research to demonstration, early deployment, and first-of-a-kind commercial plants. Building on the 2024 State of Innovation report, the 2025 outlook highlights both the rapid acceleration of innovation and the urgent need for coordinated action across the value chain. Venture capital activity into the cement and concrete space stabilized following the record surge of 2022-2023, yet landmark financings, such as Sublime Systems' $200 million round and Terra CO2's $124 million Series B, signal continued investor confidence in companies approaching commercialization. Corporate procurement has become a powerful new catalyst, with Microsoft, Amazon, and CRH (Cement Roadstone Holdings) Ventures providing long-term commitments that underpin the first wave of next-generation cementitious products. The sector is shifting from early-stage experimentation toward the scaling of well-capitalized leaders capable of bridging the critical "capitalization gap." Early innovators continue to expand the toolkit through novel binders, electrochemical cements, biogenic limestone, and carbonate mineralization pathways. Going into 2026, cost competitiveness, durability validation, and scalability enabled by resilient supply chains remain the decisive factors for market adoption. At the 2025 Next Generation Cement and Concrete Critical Technologies Meeting, attendees emphasized dual-track funding strategies that integrate federal grants with private capital as key to enabling market breakthrough. State programs and corporate demand are sustaining momentum, while successful companies increasingly demonstrate both economic value and reduced dependence on imported materials. The National Concrete Pavement Technology Center and others underscored that broad integration of next-generation materials will hinge on standards compatibility, verified field performance, and workforce readiness. Colorado continues to serve as a proving ground through pilot programs that combine supplier training, phased implementation, and real-world data to de-risk innovation and provide replicable models for other regions. The 2025 Cement and Concrete Critical Technologies Workshop reinforced that scaling next-generation materials will require alignment among technology innovation, performance validation, and market demand. Stakeholders must move beyond siloed efforts toward collaborative frameworks that coordinate standards, funding, and infrastructure deployment. As a neutral convener and technical validator, the National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR) plays a pivotal role in bridging innovation and market adoption through collaborative research, technology validation, and entrepreneurship programs. By uniting innovators, incumbents, policymakers, contractors, and investors, NLR and its partners are helping chart a credible pathway toward widespread commercialization in the decade ahead.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2022

Advances in phosphor two-color ratio method thermography for full-field surface temperature measurements

We report thermographic phosphors can be employed for optical sensing of surface, gas phase, and bulk material temperatures through different strategies including the time-decay method, time-integrated method, and frequency-domain method. We focus on the time-integrated method, also known as the ratio method, as it can be more practical in many situations. This work advances the ratio method using two machine vision cameras with CMOS detectors for full-field temperature measurements of a solid surface. A phosphor calibration coupon is fabricated using aerosol deposition and employed for in situ determination of the temperature-versus-intensity ratio relationship. Algorithms from digital image correlation are employed to determine the stereoscopic imaging system intrinsic and extrinsic parameters, and accurately register material points on the sample to subpixel locations in each image with 0.07 px or better accuracy. Detector nonlinearity is carefully characterized and corrected. Temperature-dependent, spatial non-uniformity of the full-field intensity ratio—posited to be caused by a blue-shift effect of the bandpass filter for non-collimated light and/or a wavelength-dependent transmission efficiency of the lens—is assessed and treated for cases where a standard flat-field correction fails to correct the non-uniformity. In sum, pixel-wise calibration curves relating the computed intensity ratio to temperature in the range of T = 300–430 K are generated, with an embedded error of less than 3 K. This work offers a full calibration methodology and several improvements on two-color phosphor thermography, opening the door for full-field temperature measurements in dynamic tests with deforming test articles.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Revealing systematic changes in the transcriptome during the transition from exponential growth to stationary phase

ABSTRACT The composition of bacterial transcriptomes is determined by the transcriptional regulatory network (TRN). The TRN regulates the transition from one physiological state to another. Here, we use independent component analysis to monitor the composition of the transcriptome during the transition from the exponential growth phase to the stationary phase. With Escherichia coli K-12 MG1655 as a model strain, we trigger the transition using carbon, nitrogen, and sulfur starvation. We find that (i) the transition to the stationary phase accompanies common transcriptome changes, including increased stringent responses and reduced production of cellular building blocks and energy regardless of the limiting element; (ii) condition-specific changes are strongly associated with transcriptional regulators ( e.g. , Crp, NtrC, CysB, Cbl) responsible for metabolizing the limiting element; and (iii) the shortage of each limiting element differentially affects the production of amino acids and extracellular polymers. This study demonstrates how the combination of genome-scale datasets and new data analytics reveals the fundamental characteristics of a key transition in the life cycle of bacteria. IMPORTANCE Nutrient limitations are critical environmental perturbations in bacterial physiology. Despite its importance, a detailed understanding of how bacterial transcriptomes are adjusted has been limited. By utilizing independent component analysis (ICA) to decompose transcriptome data, this study reveals key regulatory events that enable bacteria to adapt to nutrient limitations. The findings not only highlight common responses, such as the stringent response, but also condition-specific regulatory shifts associated with carbon, nitrogen, and sulfur starvation. The insights gained from this work advance our knowledge of bacterial physiology, gene regulation, and metabolic adaptation.

Lim, Hyun Gyu (ORCID:0000000204692388)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Gas phase formation of cyclopentanaphthalene (benzindene) isomers via reactions of 5- and 6-indenyl radicals with vinylacetylene

The tricyclic polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) 3H-cyclopenta[a]naphthalene (C 13 H 10 ), 1H-cyclopenta[b]naphthalene (C 13 H 10 ) and 1H-cyclopenta[a]naphthalene (C 13 H 10 ) along with their indene-based bicyclic isomers (E)-5-(but-1-en-3-yn-1-yl)-1H-indene, (E)-6-(but-1-en-3-yn-1-yl)-1H-indene, 5-(but-3-ene-1-yn-1-yl)-1H-in-dene, and 6-(but-3-ene-1-yn-1-yl)-1H-indene were formed via a “directed synthesis” in a high-temperature chemical micro reactor at the temperature of 1300 ± 10 K through the reactions of the 5- and 6-indenyl radicals (C 9 H 7 ˙) with vinylacetylene (C 4 H 4 ). The isomer distributions were probed utilizing tunable vacuum ultraviolet light by recording the photoionization efficiency curves at mass-to-charge of m/z = 166 (C 13 H 10 ) and 167 ( 13 CC 12 H 10 ) of the products in a supersonic molecular beam. Here, the underlying reaction mechanisms involve the initial formation of van-der-Waals complexes followed by addition of the 5- and 6-indenyl radicals to vinylacetylene via submerged barriers, followed by isomerization (hydrogen shifts, ring closures), and termination via atomic hydrogen elimination accompanied by aromatization. All the barriers involved in the formation of 3H-cyclopenta[a]naphthalene, 1H-cyclopenta[b]naphthalene and 1H-cyclopenta[a]naphthalene are submerged with respect to the reactants indicating that the mechanisms are in fact barrierless, potentially forming PAHs via the hydrogen abstraction – vinylacetylene addition (HAVA) pathway in the cold molecular clouds such as Taurus Molecular Cloud-1 (TMC-1) at temperatures as low as 10 K.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Soft, malleable double diamond twin

A twin boundary (TB) is a common low energy planar defect in crystals including those with the atomic diamond structure (C, Si, Ge, etc.). We study twins in a self-assembled soft matter block copolymer (BCP) supramolecular crystal having the double diamond (DD) structure, consisting of two translationally shifted, interpenetrating diamond networks of the minority polydimethyl siloxane block embedded in a polystyrene block matrix. The coherent, low energy, mirror-symmetric double tubular network twin has one minority block network with its nodes offset from the (222) TB plane, while nodes of the second network lie in the plane of the boundary. The offset network, although at a scale about a factor of 10 3 larger, has precisely the same geometry and symmetry as a (111) twin in atomic single diamond where the tetrahedral units spanning the TB retain nearly the same strut (bond) lengths and strut (bond) angles as in the normal unit cell. In DD, the second network undergoes a dramatic restructuring—the tetrahedral nodes transform into two new types of mirror-symmetric nodes (pentahedral and trihedral) which alternate and link to form a hexagonal mesh in the plane of the TB. The collective reorganization of the supramolecular packing highlights the hierarchical structure of ordered BCP phases and emphasizes the remarkable malleability of soft matter.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Xylella fastidiosa causes transcriptional shifts that precede tylose formation and starch depletion in xylem

Abstract Pierce's disease (PD) in grapevine ( Vitis vinifera ) is caused by the bacterial pathogen Xylella fastidiosa . X. fastidiosa is limited to the xylem tissue and following infection induces extensive plant‐derived xylem blockages, primarily in the form of tyloses. Tylose‐mediated vessel occlusions are a hallmark of PD, particularly in susceptible V. vinifera . We temporally monitored tylose development over the course of the disease to link symptom severity to the level of tylose occlusion and the presence/absence of the bacterial pathogen at fine‐scale resolution. The majority of vessels containing tyloses were devoid of bacterial cells, indicating that direct, localized perception of X. fastidiosa was not a primary cause of tylose formation. In addition, we used X‐ray computed microtomography and machine‐learning to determine that X. fastidiosa induces significant starch depletion in xylem ray parenchyma cells. This suggests that a signalling mechanism emanating from the vessels colonized by bacteria enables a systemic response to X. fastidiosa infection. To understand the transcriptional changes underlying these phenotypes, we integrated global transcriptomics into the phenotypes we tracked over the disease spectrum. Differential gene expression analysis revealed that considerable transcriptomic reprogramming occurred during early PD before symptom appearance. Specifically, we determined that many genes associated with tylose formation (ethylene signalling and cell wall biogenesis) and drought stress were up‐regulated during both Phase I and Phase II of PD. On the contrary, several genes related to photosynthesis and carbon fixation were down‐regulated during both phases. These responses correlate with significant starch depletion observed in ray cells and tylose synthesis in vessels.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

High-Field Magnetoelectric and Spin-Phonon Coupling in Multiferroic (NH 4 ) 2 [FeCl 5 ·(H 2 O)]

We combine high field polarization, magneto-infrared spectroscopy, and lattice dynamics calculations with prior magnetization to explore the properties of (NH 4 ) 2 [FeCl 5 ·(H 2 O)]-a type II molecular multiferroic in which the mixing between charge, structure, and magnetism is controlled by intermolecular hydrogen and halogen bonds. Electric polarization is sensitive to the series of field-induced spin reorientations, increasing linearly with the field and reaching a maximum before collapsing to zero across the quasi-collinear to collinear-sinusoidal reorientation due to the restoration of inversion symmetry. Magnetoelectric coupling is on the order of 1.2 ps/m for the P∥c, H∥c configuration between 5 and 25 T at 1.5 K. In this range, the coupling takes place via an orbital hybridization mechanism. Other forms of mixing are active in (NH 4 ) 2 [FeCl 5 ·(H 2 O)] as well. Magneto-infrared spectroscopy reveals that all of the vibrational modes below 600 cm –1 are sensitive to the field-induced transition to the fully saturated magnetic state at 30 T. We analyze these local lattice distortions and use frequency shifts to extract spin-phonon coupling constants for the Fe–O stretch, Fe–OH 2 rock, and NH 4 + libration. Inspection also reveals subtle symmetry breaking of the ammonium counterions across the ferroelectric transition. Here, the coexistence of such varied mixing processes in a platform with intermolecular hydrogen- and halogen-bonding opens the door to greater understanding of multiferroics and magnetoelectrics governed by through-space interactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

MX precipitate behavior in an irradiated advanced Fe-9Cr steel: Helium sequestration and cavity swelling performance

This work is the third and final part in an initial series on addressing the behavior of MX precipitate stability in an advanced Fe-9Cr reduced activation ferritic/martensitic (RAFM) alloy under fusion-relevant ion irradiation conditions. Here, the helium trapping properties of MX precipitates are investigated across varying damage levels (15–100 dpa), temperatures (400–600 °C), and helium doses (10–25 appm He/dpa) using sophisticated dual ion beam experiments and electron microscopy. Results indicate that individual MX precipitates efficiently sequester helium in the form of nanoscale bubbles at the precipitate-matrix interfaces near the peak swelling temperature (∼5 bubbles/precipitate at 500 °C). Swelling was primarily due to matrix cavities. The Fe-9Cr alloy reached 2% swelling by 100 dpa, suggesting a shift to steady-state swelling around 50 dpa at 500 °C. Furthermore, MX precipitate dissolution beginning at 15 dpa did not coincide with this onset of steady-state swelling.

Dual ion irradiation↗
DOE OSTI2023

FWP FEAA149: “Next Generation Environmental Barrier Coatings”

Environmental barrier coatings (EBCs) are required coatings for utilization of SiC/SiC ceramic matrix composite (CMC) components in gas turbines, where the EBC represents the life-limiting factor for such components. EBC/CMC systems have shown success in aero-engine applications with increased turbine inlet temperatures and improved efficiencies, which are achieved through higher temperature stability, lower density, and decreased reliance on cooling air compared to traditional superalloys. While industrial gas turbines (IGTs) do not currently utilize SiC/SiC CMCs, the current shift towards low-carbon or carbon-free fuel sources for power generation could result in a need for EBC/CMC components with higher temperature capabilities. In this work, three tasks were outlined to improve understanding of EBC lifetimes to encourage use in IGTs with carbon-free fuel such as hydrogen: 1. Define the bond coating oxidation kinetics and EBC failure criteria, 2. Measure thermal expansion coefficients of each layered material, and 3. Perform advanced characterization and modeling to assess EBC lifetimes. Cyclic steam oxidation tests were conducted on various EBC/Si/SiC chemistries and EBC/SiC architectures to define substrate oxidation kinetics and EBC failure modes. An open-source code was developed to quantify the undulating thermally grown oxide thickness with thousands of measurements from specimen cross-section images. Bond coating oxidation kinetics were determined and used to develop a kinetic and thermodynamic model for predicting EBC lifetimes. High-temperature Raman spectroscopy was utilized for determining the SiO 2 thermally grown oxide phase transformation as the life-limiting feature for EBCs. Model efforts supported the claim that the SiO 2 phase transformation causes elevated stress during thermal cycling with associated cracking that decreases the adhesion strength of the EBC, eventually resulting in coating spallation. The finite element model subroutine will be made publicly available upon internal review. Further development of an EBC lifetime model for IGTs involves definition of a critical SiO 2 thickness for EBC spallation and must also consider both environmental (gas velocity, pressure, etc.) and specimen (EBC dopants, layer architectures, etc.) effects into predicted bond coating oxidation kinetics for long-lifetime components.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Modulating Poly(oligocyclobutane) Properties Through Backbone Modifications

Poly(1,n′-divinyl)oligocyclobutane (pDVOCB) has emerged as a class of poly(cycloolefin) that is amenable to chemical recycling and demonstrates promising thermomechanical properties. However, their high melting temperatures coupled with insolubility makes melt processing challenging due to thermo-oxidation of internal alkenes. To address these issues, we describe a series of polymers incorporating modifications to the pDVOCB backbone and analyze the effects on material stability and processability. Intentional migration of the internal 1,2-disubstituted alkenes to an exocyclic trisubstituted position yields isomerized pDVOCB (IpDVOCB) which exhibits a depression of thermal transitions by up to 50 °C. Conversely, elimination of stereoirregularity between enchained DVOCB oligomers through alkene saturation yields hydrogenated pDVOCB (HpDVOCB), resulting in elevated thermal transitions by up to 30 °C. Furthermore, these shifts are attributed to changes in crystal defect density which is strongly influenced by chain stereoregularity. Understanding these behaviors guides future polymer design and expands the control and use of this new class of recyclable poly(cycloolefin)s.

Differential scanning calorimetry↗
DOE OSTI2021

Shape-Selective Synthesis of Alkylcyclopentenyl Cations in Zeolites and Spectroscopic Distinction of Constitutional Isomers

Alkylcyclopentenyl cations belong to the long-lived intermediates that make up the “hydrocarbon pool” during the catalytic conversion of methanol on zeolites, and recent works show that such cations contribute to olefin and aromatics formation. From liquid phase chemistry, two types of alkylcyclopentenyl cations are known and distinguished by the substituent at the central carbon (C-2) of the allylic system: a more stable type with a methyl group at the C-2 and a less stable type with hydrogen at the C-2. The following three linked objectives are pursued: (i) IR spectroscopic distinction of the different substitution patterns at the allylic system of alkylcyclopentenyl cations, (ii) the role of the zeolite framework in determining the substitution pattern, and (iii) identification of alkylcyclopentenyl cations from precursors relevant to methanol-to-olefins conversion. UV–vis and IR spectroscopy are applied in situ to characterize alkylcyclopentenyl cations produced by adsorption of a pentaalkylcyclopentadiene or by adsorption and thermally induced cyclization of 2,6-dimethyl-2,4,6-octatriene. Prior knowledge of electronic spectra is combined with DFT-computed and experimental IR spectra to establish the frequency of the C–H vibration of the C-2 hydrogen-substituted type, and a characteristic red shift of the asymmetric allylic stretching vibration (Δν ≈ -20 to -30 cm –1 ) after replacing hydrogen by methyl at the central carbon of the allylic system. Although DFT demonstrates that both types of ions fit into medium- and large-pore zeolites and that the C-2 methyl-substituted type is thermodynamically favored even in the pores of the considered zeolites, formation of alkylcyclopentenyl cations is found by UV–vis and IR spectra to be shape-selective. The bulkier C-2 methyl-substituted type is detected in large-pore zeolites (MOR, BEA) and in the intersections of medium-pore zeolites (MFI), whereas in channels of medium size (TON), the less bulky C-2 hydrogen-substituted type is exclusively formed. Finally, the type of ion formed and its overall size are dictated by the zeolite framework and are independent of the precursor; the same type of alkylcyclopentenyl cation as found through cyclization of dimethyloctatriene could be generated from ethene.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Pioneering Microporous Layers for Proton-Exchange-Membrane Water Electrolyzers via Tape Casting

The imperative shift towards decarbonization necessitates the production of clean hydrogen through water electrolysis, powered by renewable energy sources. Among electrolyzer technologies, proton-exchange-membrane (PEM) systems emerge as a promising option for large-scale hydrogen generation due to their modular design and rapid response, aligning well with the intermittency of renewable energy. In this study, we employ a tape casting method to fabricate microporous layers (MPLs), both as a single layer and as a bilayer over commercial porous transport layers (PTLs), to further enhance performance of water electrolyzers. We demonstrate that microporous layers require adequate pore sizes to facilitate gas removal, preventing gas flooding and preserving electrolyzer performance. Our single layer microporous layers exhibit lower overpotentials compared to commercial sintered Ti PTLs by 142 mV at 4 A·cm ⁻2 . Moreover, we show that having an effective microporous layer enhances electrolyzer performance irrespective of the substrate used, offering avenues for cost reduction. We also investigate novel PTL structures with reduced tortuosity and integrated MPL fabricated via phase inversion tape casting, resulting in a performance enhancement of 92 mV. Our findings unravel the critical role of microporous layer structures and their impact on electrolyzer performance.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Hyperspectral Detection of the Fluorescence Shift between Chirality-Sorted Empty and Water-Filled Single-Wall Carbon Nanotube Enantiomers

Single-wall carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs) have extraordinary electronic and optical properties that depend strongly on their exact chiral structure and their interaction with their inner and outer environment. The fluorescence (PL) of semiconducting SWCNTs, for instance, will shift depending on the molecules with which the SWCNT’s hollow core is filled. These interaction-induced shifts are challenging to resolve on the ensemble level in samples containing a mixture of different filling contents due to the relatively large inhomogeneous line width of the ensemble SWCNT PL compared to the size of these shifts. To circumvent this inhomogeneous broadening, single-tube spectroscopy and hyperspectral imaging are often applied, which until now required time-consuming statistical studies. Here, we present hyperspectral PL microscopy combined with automated SWCNT segmenting based on either principal component analysis or a convolutional neural network, capable of both spatially and spectrally resolving the PL along the length of many individual SWCNTs at the same time and automatically fitting peak positions and line widths of individual SWCNTs. The methodology is demonstrated by accurately determining the emission shifts and line widths of thousands of left- and right-handed empty and water-filled SWCNTs coated with a chiral surfactant, resulting in four statistical distributions which cannot be resolved in ensemble spectroscopy of unsorted samples. The results demonstrate a robust method to quickly probe ensemble properties with single-enantiomer spectral resolution. Moreover, it promises to be an absolute quantitative method to characterize the relative abundances of SWCNTs with different handedness or filling content in macroscopic samples, simply by counting individual species.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2019

Optical and photoemission investigation of structural and magnetic transitions in the iron-based superconductor Sr 0.67 Na 0.33 Fe 2 As 2

We report the temperature-dependent optical conductivity and angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy (ARPES) studies of the multiband iron-based superconductor Sr 0.67 Na 0.33 Fe 2 As 2 . Measurements were made in the high-temperature tetragonal paramagnetic phase, below the structural and magnetic transitions at $T_N$ $≃$ 125 K in the orthorhombic spin-density-wave (SDW)-like phase and $T_r$ $≃$42 K in the reentrant tetragonal double-Q magnetic phase where both charge and SDWorder exist, and below the superconducting transition at $T_c$ $≃$ 10 K. The free-carrier component in the optical conductivity is described by two Drude contributions: one strong and broad and the other weak and narrow. The broad Drude component decreases dramatically below TN and Tr , with much of its strength being transferred to a bound excitation in the midinfrared, while the narrow Drude component shows no anomalies at either of the transitions, actually increasing in strength at low temperature while narrowing dramatically. The behavior of an infrared-active mode suggests zone folding below Tr. Below Tc the dramatic decrease in the low-frequency optical conductivity signals the formation of a superconducting energy gap. ARPES reveals holelike bands at the center of the Brillouin zone (BZ), with both electron- and holelike bands at the corners. Below $T_N$, the hole pockets at the center of the BZ decrease in size, consistent with the behavior of the broad Drude component; however, below $T_r$ the electronlike bands shift and split, giving rise to a low-energy excitation in the optical conductivity at $≃$20 meV. The $C_2$ and $C_4$ magnetic states, with resulting spin-density-wave and charge-SDW order, respectively, lead to a significant reconstruction of the Fermi surface that has profound implications for the transport originating from the electron and hole pockets but appears to have relatively little impact on the superconductivity in this material.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2025

Projected evolution of droughts and human exposure in the contiguous United States under SSP5-8.5: a regional downscaling perspective

The increasingly unpredictable and extreme weather patterns under a warming climate underscore the urgency of accurate regional assessments of future drought risk. This study evaluates the projected drought evolution in the contiguous United States under the high-emission shared socioeconomic pathway 5–8.5 climate scenario for the coming decades. Using a multi-model ensemble of six Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 global climate models combined with dynamical downscaling techniques, we analyzed near-term (2020–2039) and mid-term (2040–2059) drought patterns using the self-calibrating palmer drought severity index (ScPDSI), the standardized precipitation index (SPI-12), and the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI-12). Results reveal a widespread increase in abnormally dry (D0) and moderate drought (D1) conditions, particularly in urban areas, while severe (D2), extreme (D3), and exceptional (D4) droughts are expected to become less common in many regions. Meanwhile, persistent and intensifying droughts are projected in the western and southwestern U.S., driven by long-term soil moisture deficits. The ScPDSI projects that 1.1 million urban residents will be affected by D0 conditions in 2050, while SPI-12 suggests a decrease in the total affected populations after 2040. ScPDSI indicates prolonged droughts in the West, and SPI-12 captures transient variability. Although the total drought-exposed population is expected to decrease, urban areas will continue to bear a greater burden, particularly for mild droughts (D0, D1). These findings highlight a shift toward more frequent mild droughts, fewer severe droughts, and persistent drying in the Southwest, emphasizing the need for region-specific adaptation strategies.

CMIP6↗
DOE OSTI2021

Choosing Transport Events for Initiating Splitting and Rouletting

A study was performed to determine which transport events should be used to initiate a weight window lookup to achieve the best variance reduction performance. A weight window lookup potentially triggers particle splitting (in important regions of phase space) or rouletting (in unimportant regions), thereby optimizing computational effort. Potential initiating transport events include collisions (both pre- and post-collision), geometry surface crossings, traversing a mean-free path, and streaming across a weight window boundary. Permutations of these initiating events were tested on an urban model with background radiation sources and a spent fuel cask with a neutron dose mesh tally. Generally, all methods perform better with finer weight window meshes. Tracking on weight windows performs well for coarse weight window meshes, while a combination of splitting each mean-free path, geometric surface crossing, and before collisions performs well for fine weight window meshes.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Innovating Distributed Embedded Energy Prize (InDEEP): A Lessons Learned Report

The U.S. Department of Energy's Water Power Technologies Office (WPTO) launched the Innovating Distributed Embedded Energy Prize (InDEEP) in March 2023 to accelerate innovation in Distributed Embedded Energy Conversion Technologies (DEEC-Tec) for ocean wave energy. Administered by the National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR) with technical support from Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), InDEEP focused on the development of small, distributed, and embeddable energy converters (DEECs) and their integration into scalable DEEC-Tec metamaterials for marine renewable energy applications. Spanning three phases over two years, InDEEP awarded approximately $2.3 million to teams from academia, industry, and startups. Phase I emphasized conceptual design. Phase II moved into the prototyping of individual DEECs. Phase III required integration into functional DEEC-Tec metamaterial prototypes. Across 60 submissions, teams explored a wide range of energy conversion mechanisms - including piezoelectric, variable-capacitance, ionic, and inductive methods. Note, the prize did not include the design nor demonstration of ocean wave energy conversion systems. Rather, the prize only required participants to design and demonstrate individual DEECs and corresponding DEEC-Tec metamaterials. This prize utilized a mix of novel and proven techniques to attract participants from outside marine energy, including an engagement leaderboard, robust recruitment, technical expert mentorship, and a suite of technical trainings. Key insights from the competition emphasized that DEEC-Tec metamaterials must be intentionally designed to produce beneficial emergent behaviors - advantages that go beyond simply combining multiple DEEC units. Top-performing teams showed that thoughtful design of system architecture, coordinated deformation, and systems adaptabilities could unlock meaningful performance gains both at the DEEC system level and DEEC-Tec metamaterial system level. A critical realization was that many DEEC-Tec metamaterials could benefit from being designed to accept lower-frequency energy inputs and shift those into higher-frequencies per each DEEC making up the respective DEEC-Tec metamaterial. Other important takeaways included the need for rigorous and quantitative performance testing, effective integration of power conditioning electronics, and the pivotal role of material science in enabling innovative, adaptive DEEC-Tec-based energy conversion designs. InDEEP also helped establish a growing DEEC-Tec community of practitioners, attracting participants from beyond traditional marine energy sectors. Through a strong support infrastructure, InDEEP fostered early-stage innovation and laid a foundation for future DEEC-Tec-based ocean wave energy conversion solutions - positioning DEEC-Tec as a promising pathway toward scalable, resilient ocean wave energy conversion. Through focused R&D of individual DEECs and their integration into DEEC-Tec metamaterials, alongside a growing, multidisciplinary community catalyzed by InDEEP, there is a strong opportunity to drive a disruptive shift in ocean wave energy conversion design and development. This convergence of novel architectures, emergent behaviors, and collaborative innovation positions DEEC-Tec as a transformative approach, moving the field from rigid, centralized energy conversion-based designs to resilient, modular systems highly adaptable for real-world ocean wave energy conversion applications.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2025

Etching-Chemistry-Driven Ruthenium Doping on Ti 3 C 2 T x MXene for Optimizing Electrochemical Performance

We demonstrate that the etching chemistry used during MXene synthesis from Ti 3 AlC 2 MAX phase significantly influences surface functionalization and structural vacancies, which in turn affect ruthenium (Ru) ion interactions. Using hydrofluoric acid (HF) and ammonium bifluoride (NH 4 HF 2 ) as etchants, we obtained MXene surfaces with distinct functional groups and Ti vacancies that impact Ru ion interactions and electrochemical performance. Both MXene variants (labeled MX(H) and MX(N), respectively) exhibited negative zeta potentials in their pristine state, but upon the addition of Ru the zeta potential for MX(H) reached 12.9 mV while that for MX(N) remained negative at −6.4 mV. This adsorption resulted in a 14.4-fold increase in the specific capacitance of MX(H)/Ru compared to pristine MX(H), whereas MX(N)/Ru exhibited only a 4.4-fold increase over its pristine counterpart. X-ray diffraction analysis identified the formation of ammonium titanium oxide fluoride, (NH 4 ) 3 TiOF 5 , on MX(N), which likely contributed to its reduced Ru adsorption. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy suggested the presence of Ti vacancies in both MXene variants; however, their behavior toward Ru accommodation differed markedly, with MX(H) showing the most obvious shift in the Ti 2p peak in the XPS survey spectrum, while MX(N) showed the most obvious shift in the C 1s peak. Electron paramagnetic resonance spectroscopy further demonstrated a distinct alteration in the spectral signatures of MX(H) upon Ru addition, in contrast to the negligible changes in MX(N), indicating effective passivation of the Ti defect sites in MX(H) via vacancy-assisted Ru doping. Cyclic voltammetry showed that Ru-incorporated MX(H) nanocomposites exhibit more efficient redox-active sites, as reflected in their higher capacitance values. These findings highlight the pivotal role of MXene surface chemistry in controlling cation adsorption, providing valuable insights for the rational design of high-performance electrodes.

2D surface engineering↗