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At least 1,153 records · Page 64

The HUNTER Dynamic Human Reliability Analysis Tool: Development of a Module for Performance Shaping Factors

The Human Unimodel for Nuclear Technology to Enhance Reliability (HUNTER) is a framework to support dynamic human reliability analysis (HRA) in communication with a variety of methods and tools. This paper explores how we developed one of the HUNTER modules: namely, the Individual module for evaluating performance shaping factors (PSFs). A PSF is any factor that influences human performance (e.g., workload or complexity). In the existing HRA, they are used to highlight human errors and adjust error probabilities. We consider the eight PSFs suggested in the Standardized Plant Analysis Risk-HRA (SPAR-H) method, a representative HRA method widely used in the nuclear field. To support our dynamic modeling using the eight SPAR-H PSFs, we reviewed the human performance literature and developed data-based mathematical models to rate and quantify PSFs in the context of dynamic HRA. We also designed the Individual module to consist of two functions: (1) the PSF qualification function for automatically or manually evaluating PSF levels, and (2) the PSF quantification function for dynamically or statically determining PSF multiplier values and integrating them to adjust human error probabilities (HEPs). How each function works in regard to the SPAR-H PSFs, and how the PSFs serve to adjust the HEPs, were investigated via literature review and are discussed in this paper.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Coupled social and infrastructure approaches for enhancing solar energy adoption. Final Report

The goal of this project was to work with rural electric cooperatives to facilitate the diffusion of solar energy adoption in households located in the rural and semi-urban areas of Virginia by identifying social and behavioral factors that might be unique to rural regions; and develop a model to calculate the solar adoption propensity score for household based on their demographics, social and behavioral characteristics which would provide an objective metric to cooperatives that can be further used to do targeted marketing of rooftop solar panels. This was achieved through the following tasks: (1) Conducted a survey of the members of Virginia electric cooperatives to identify demographic, social, financial and behavioral attributes of individuals who are likely to adopt rooftop solar panels. (2) Developed a highly detailed, data-driven, agent-based model of the population of Virginia, focusing on the rural regions. (3) Developed diffusion models that use social, behavioral, and demographic factors, and peer effects to study their impact on solar adoption in rural areas. (4) Built a prototype tool based on the diffusion model to help study market segmentation in rural areas and made it available to National Rural Electric Cooperative Association (NRECA). (5) Results and recommendations derived from the model were provided to NRECA to be shared with participating cooperatives. (6) Results were published in peer reviewed journals, conference proceedings and book chapters, and ideas disseminated through presentations and newsletters. There were several important methodological contributions made under this project which are detailed in the published papers, including: (1) Built a decision-adjusted model for predicting adoptors with imbalanced training data; (2) designed seeding strategies to maximize adoption given a fixed budget; (3) built a methodology to compare different agent based models; (4) created models to identify important factors that influence decision to adopt solar panels; and (5) built a methodology for building household profiles of solar generation to study the duck curve phenomenon. The team included members from the University of Virginia (lead), National Rural Electric Cooperative Association (NRECA), Arizona State University, Virginia Tech and Sandia National Laboratory. Note that no individual entity or stakeholder has incentive to promote solar in rural regions. Most of the research and work focuses around urban regions where the potential for growth in solar adoption is higher due to higher population density. This puts rural areas at a disadvantage. By improving the diffusion of solar adoption in rural parts of the country, we can not only provide clean energy to rural areas but also promote job growth and improves energy independence.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Regulation-Structured Dynamic Metabolic Model Provides a Potential Mechanism for Delayed Enzyme Response in Denitrification Process

In a recent study of denitrification dynamics in hyporheic zone sediments, we observed a significant time lag (up to several days) in enzymatic response to the changes in substrate concentration. To explore an underlying mechanism and understand the interactive dynamics between enzymes and nutrients, we developed a trait-based model that associates a community’s traits with functional enzymes, instead of typically used species guilds (or functional guilds). This enzyme-based formulation allows to collectively describe biogeochemical functions of microbial communities without directly parameterizing the dynamics of species guilds, therefore being scalable to complex communities. As a key component of modeling, we accounted for microbial regulation occurring through transcriptional and translational processes, the dynamics of which was parameterized based on the temporal profiles of enzyme concentrations measured using a new signature peptide-based method. The simulation results using the resulting model showed several days of a time lag in enzymatic responses as observed in experiments. Further, the model showed that the delayed enzymatic reactions could be primarily controlled by transcriptional responses and that the dynamics of transcripts and enzymes are closely correlated. The developed model can serve as a useful tool for predicting biogeochemical processes in natural environments, either independently or through integration with hydrologic flow simulators.

trait-based modeling↗

Effects of internal swelling on residual elasticity of a quasi-brittle material through a composite sphere model

This work describes the development of a micromechanical-based constitutive model accounting for the effect of internal expansion on the residual elasticity of a Hashin composite material. This material is made of spherical inclusions that are subjected to gradual swelling within a quasi-brittle matrix. The main focus of this work is to describe and analyze the material mechanical response, with an additional focus on the internal swelling’s effect on the stress–strain response and residual elasticity. Microstructural features and parameters of major importance for the mechanical responses were identified. The innovative characteristics of the proposed approach are summarized as follows: (1) a full determination of the physics of a complete-damage problem throughout the whole process of inclusion swelling with upscaling techniques, which transfers the microcrack-related properties from the lower scale to upper scale; and (2) an evolution of the mechanical fields and the corresponding residual elasticity for various inclusion swelling levels. Concerning the matrix–inclusion composite, it was hypothesized that only the matrix was susceptible to cracking, with varied degrees of damage, whereas the inclusions behave elastically and the elastic modulus of the expanding inclusions remains constant. It is to emphasize that the gradual swelling of inclusions is modeled by an increasing strain in the current micromechanical-based constitutive model, and the microcracks are represented by a set of randomly oriented penny-shaped microcracks with identical radii (namely, closed cracks). The main contribution of the current research is to establish the exact mathematical solutions for the mechanical fields (stress, strain) caused by the swelling of the inclusions (mechanical loading) and derive the effective residual elasticity of a composite (structural response) subject to internal expansion and quasi-brittle damage. Based on the assumption of closed cracks that could be extended to open cracks in the upcoming work, the results proposed by the present paper help to understand the non-linear mechanical behavior of quasi-brittle materials subject to microcracking and provide a theoretical framework to be used as academical benchmark for numerical simulations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A crystal plasticity finite element method modeling of Zircaloy with hydride phases based on scanning electron micrographs

This work developed a microstructure-based finite element model to predict the stress state of alloys with second phase inclusions. Quantitative microstructural details extracted from scanning electron microscopy (SEM) images were used to generate heterogeneous microstructures including the morphology and spatial distribution of hydrides. Generation of digital microstructure was achieved through two steps of tessellations using software Neper and Matlab. The process is demonstrated using an example of Zircaloy material with secondary phases of hydrides dispersed within and stress-strain response of Zircaloy containing hydrides was predicted. The constitutive material model for Zircaloy in this study was based on crystal plasticity theory which considers the hexagonal close-packed (HCP) atomic structure of Zircaloy material. The hydrides were modeled as isotropic elasto-plastic material. A parametric study had been conducted to understand the effect of volume fraction, and lamellae thickness of the hydride phase on the mechanical properties of the overall material. Results can help designers to alter the manufacturing process to obtain the enhanced mechanical properties for components used in nuclear applications made by Zircaloy material.

Kulkarni, Shank S.↗

A Parallel Kinetic Model for Surface and Bulk Charge Storage in ε -MnO 2 Pseudocapacitors

Pseudocapacitive materials such as manganese dioxide (MnO 2 ) are attractive for energy storage applications due to their ability to combine the fast kinetics of capacitors with the higher energy density of battery-type systems. However, the electrochemical behavior of MnO 2 remains difficult to interpret mechanistically, in part because existing models often fail to distinguish between surface-based redox processes and bulk intercalation mechanisms. In this work, we develop a physics-based model that represents MnO 2 pseudocapacitance as a linear combination of two independent, parallel electrochemical processes: (i) the surface or near-surface redox storage and (ii) lithium ion intercalation into the bulk material. These two processes are treated with distinct kinetic and thermodynamic parameters and are assumed to proceed independently. The total measured current is assumed to be the sum of these two partial currents. We validate the model using rate-dependent cyclic voltammetry experiments, demonstrating that it captures key trends and provides physically interpretable parameters reflecting the relative contributions of surface and bulk processes. By enabling a clear separation between these mechanisms, the model offers a useful framework for analyzing pseudocapacitive materials and can guide the rational design of high-performance energy storage electrodes.

Energy - Storage↗

Practical Application of Model-based Programming and State-based Architecture to Space Missions

A viewgraph presentation to develop models from systems engineers that accomplish mission objectives and manage the health of the system is shown. The topics include: 1) Overview; 2) Motivation; 3) Objective/Vision; 4) Approach; 5) Background: The Mission Data System; 6) Background: State-based Control Architecture System; 7) Background: State Analysis; 8) Overview of State Analysis; 9) Background: MDS Software Frameworks; 10) Background: Model-based Programming; 10) Background: Titan Model-based Executive; 11) Model-based Execution Architecture; 12) Compatibility Analysis of MDS and Titan Architectures; 13) Integrating Model-based Programming and Execution into the Architecture; 14) State Analysis and Modeling; 15) IMU Subsystem State Effects Diagram; 16) Titan Subsystem Model: IMU Health; 17) Integrating Model-based Programming and Execution into the Software IMU; 18) Testing Program; 19) Computationally Tractable State Estimation & Fault Diagnosis; 20) Diagnostic Algorithm Performance; 21) Integration and Test Issues; 22) Demonstrated Benefits; and 23) Next Steps

Mission Data System (MDS)↗

Designing Molten Salt Eutectics

Designing stable electrolytes with target properties is an important challenge in realizing next generation energy storage devices. Molten salt eutectics-based electrolytes are known for their stability with minimal parasitic reactions when compared to traditional organic electrolytes and are an attractive option for different battery chemistries. The operating temperature of the molten salt batteries depends on the melting temperature of the eutectic and hence there is a necessity to discover novel low melting temperature molten salt eutectic mixtures for energy storage applications. In this work we develop a high throughput computational screening approach for molten salt mixtures using thermodynamic modeling and machine learning (ML). COSMO-SAC model and ML approaches were independently developed based on the existing experimental data and these models were further used to predict the eutectic melting temperature and composition of several new binary, ternary, and quaternary mixtures. We show that combining ML and thermodynamic modeling strategies is effective in exploring the vast design space of molten salt mixtures.

Ashwin Ravichandran↗

Predictive model of scintillator plastic fogging in portals

We have developed a science-based predictive model for fogging of the scintillator plastics deployed in radiation portal monitors. The only input required is the weather conditions [i.e., daily high and low, for temperature and relative humidity (R.H.)]. The code utilizes this information, together with a thermodynamic model of the water content in equilibrium with the plastic surface, a diffusion model of the water transport into the interior of scintillator plastic panel, and a comparison of the resulting paired “water-content/night-temperature” points as a function of position in the panel against an empirical “fog-line” that establishes a water/temperature criterion for the onset of fogging. In conclusion, we have analyzed the behavior of several representative portal monitor sites, and the output of the model analysis is reasonably consistent with observation.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Fragmented Land Cover Types and Estimation of Area with Course Spatial Resolution Imagery

Imagery of coarse resolution, such weather satellite imagery with 1 sq km pixels, is increasingly used to monitor dynamic and fragmented types of land surface types, such as scars from recent fires and ponds in wetlands. Accurate estimates of these land cover types at regional to global scales are required to assess the roles of fires and wetlands in global warming, yet difficult to compute when much of the area is accounted for by fragments about the same size as the pixels. In previous research, we found that size distribution of the fragments in several example scenes fit simple two-parameter models and related effects of coarse resolution to errors in area estimates based on pixel counts. We report on progress to develop accurate area estimates based on modelling the size distribution of the fragments, including analysis of size distributions on an expanded set of maps developed from digital imagery and a test of a procedure to correct for effects of coarse spatial resolution.

Hlavka, Chris↗

Coupled Aeropropulsive Design Optimization of a Podded Electric Propulsor

New aircraft concepts are increasingly relying on non-traditional propulsion systems to achieve lower energy consumption. These non-traditional technologies, such as boundary layer ingestion or distributed electric propulsion, require a tight integration of the propulsion sys- tem to the airframe, and therefore, a traditional design approach where the aerodynamics and propulsion disciplines are considered separately is likely to result in sub-optimal designs. As a result, we have to rely on coupled aeropropulsive design optimization, in which fully coupled aeropropulsive models are optimized to maximize the advantages of these tightly integrated propulsion systems. Despite its advantages, aeropropulsive design optimization is a relatively new field, and significant advancements are required for wide adoption of this approach, especially in the context of robustness. In this work, we introduce two fully coupled aeropropulsive design optimization approaches that are compatible with CFD models with body-force terms and boundary conditions to model the effects of the propulsion system in the flow field. To test these new approaches, we developed a podded electric fan model based on the aft-propulsor of NASA’s STARC-ABL concept. This simple design problem enables us to rapidly develop and test different aeropropulsive coupling approaches, while including the challenging physical interactions that arise from coupling CFD and propulsion models. The coupled aeropropulsive model is implemented using the MPhys library, which is built with NASA’s OpenMDAO frame- work. Using this benchmark design problem, we demonstrate the robustness of the approaches and our aeropropulsive design optimization framework by performing a sweep of optimizations for a total of 50 CFD-based aeropropulsive design optimizations. Furthermore, the new aero- propulsive coupling approaches enable multi-point design optimizations. We demonstrate this capability in a multi-point design optimization problem where we optimize cruise performance subject to a fan-face distortion constraint at rolling take-off conditions. The aeropropulsive modeling approaches we present in this work represent a significant milestone in the field of aeropropulsive design optimization. The framework we developed is extremely robust and flexible, and these developments will be crucial for future aeropropulsive design optimizations of complete turbofan engines.

Optimization propulsion aerodynamics↗

A diagnostic model to estimate winds and small-scale drag from Mars Observer PMIRR data

Theoretical and modeling studies indicate that small-scale drag due to breaking gravity waves is likely to be of considerable importance for the circulation in the middle atmospheric region (approximately 40-100 km altitude) on Mars. Recent earth-based spectroscopic observations have provided evidence for the existence of circulation features, in particular, a warm winter polar region, associated with gravity wave drag. Since the Mars Observer PMIRR experiment will obtain temperature profiles extending from the surface up to about 80 km altitude, it will be extensively sampling middle atmospheric regions in which gravity wave drag may play a dominant role. Estimating the drag then becomes crucial to the estimation of the atmospheric winds from the PMIRR-observed temperatures. An interative diagnostic model based upon one previously developed and tested with earth satellite temperature data will be applied to the PMIRR measurements to produce estimates of the small-scale zonal drag and three-dimensional wind fields in the Mars middle atmosphere. This model is based on the primitive equations, and can allow for time dependence (the time tendencies used may be based upon those computed in a Fast Fourier Mapping procedure). The small-scale zonal drag is estimated as the residual in the zonal momentum equation; the horizontal winds having first been estimated from the meridional momentum equation and the continuity equation. The scheme estimates the vertical motions from the thermodynamic equation, and thus needs estimates of the diabatic heating based upon the observed temperatures. The latter will be generated using a radiative model. It is hoped that the diagnostic scheme will be able to produce good estimates of the zonal gravity wave drag in the Mars middle atmosphere, estimates that can then be used in other diagnostic or assimilation efforts, as well as more theoretical studies.

Barnes, J. R.↗

FY2021 Progress Report on BISON Metallic Fuel Model Development and V&V Using EBR-II Legacy Data

In this report, the activities and achievements made by Argonne National Laboratory for the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) BISON code metallic fuel validation and verification project in FY2021 are summarized. The cladding degradation model based on the FCCI/CCCI wastage calculations has been developed and implemented into BISON. A comprehensive evaluation of the cladding degradation model was performed based on FIPD data of the IFR experiment X447. BISON objects were also developed to enable direct use of time-varying cladding outer surface temperature profile as temperature boundary conditions, which proved to provide more accurate temperature predictions for the metallic fuel pins irradiated in EBR-II. Additionally, a new BISON object was implemented to enable direct comparison between BISON predicted data and FIPD-based post-irradiation examination (PIE) results, which would significantly facilitate BISON metallic fuel verification and validation (V&V) activities. These new BISON-FIPD integration features were used in the establishment of a low-burnup fuel swelling evaluation framework as demonstration. The framework was successfully used to evaluate current fuel swelling models based on the IFR experiment X423.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Multiaxis thrust vectoring using axisymmetric nozzles and postexit vanes on an F/A-18 configuration vehicle

A ground-based investigation was conducted on an operational system of multiaxis thrust vectoring using postexit vanes around an axisymmetric nozzle. This thrust vectoring system will be tested on the NASA F/A-18 High Alpha Research Vehicle (HARV) aircraft. The system provides thrust vectoring capability in both pitch and yaw. Ground based data were gathered from two separate tests at NASA Langley Research Center. The first was a static test in the 16-foot Transonic Tunnel Cold-Jet Facility with a 14.25 percent scale model of the axisymmetric nozzle and the postexit vanes. The second test was conducted in the 30 by 60 foot wind tunnel with a 16 percent F/A-18 complete configuration model. Data from the two sets are being used to develop models of jet plume deflection and thrust loss as a function of vane deflection. In addition, an aerodynamic interaction model based on plume deflection angles will be developed. Results from the scale model nozzle test showed that increased vane deflection caused exhaust plume turning. Aerodynamic interaction effects consisted primarily of favorable interaction of moments and unfavorable interaction of forces caused by the vectored jet plume.

Bowers, Albion H.↗

Ecological stoichiometry as a foundation for omics-enabled biogeochemical models of soil organic matter decomposition

Coupled biogeochemical cycles drive ecosystem ecology by influencing individual-to-community scale behaviors; yet the development of process-based models that accurately capture these dynamics remains elusive. Soil organic matter (SOM) decomposition in particular is influenced by resource stoichiometry that dictates microbial nutrient acquisition (‘ecological stoichiometry’). Despite its basis in biogeochemical modeling, ecological stoichiometry is only implicitly considered in high-resolution microbial investigations and the metabolic models they inform. State-of-science SOM decomposition models in both fields have advanced largely separately, but they agree on a need to move beyond seminal pool-based models. This presents an opportunity and a challenge to maximize the strengths of various models across different scales and environmental contexts. To address this challenge, we contend that ecological stoichiometry provides a framework for merging biogeochemical and microbiological models, as both explicitly consider substrate chemistries that are the basis of ecological stoichiometry as applied to SOM decomposition. We highlight two gaps that limit our understanding of SOM decomposition: (1) understanding how individual microorganisms alter metabolic strategies in response to substrate stoichiometry and (2) translating this knowledge to the scale of biogeochemical models. We suggest iterative information exchange to refine the objectives of high-resolution investigations and to specify limited dynamics for representation in large-scale models, resulting in a new class of omics-enabled biogeochemical models. Assimilating theoretical and modelling frameworks from different scientific domains is the next frontier in SOM decomposition modelling; advancing technologies in the context of stoichiometric theory provides a consistent framework for interpreting molecular data, and further distilling this information into tractable SOM decomposition models.

Carbon cycling↗

Progress Report on Model Development for the Transport of Aerosol through Microchannels

This report summarizes the current progress in the development of a phenomenological model of aerosol transport, deposition, and plugging through microchannels. The purpose is to introduce a generic, reliable numerical model for the prediction of aerosol transport, deposition, and plugging in leak paths while accounting for potential plugging formation, to a user community involving researchers, regulators, and industry. In that regard, a Graphical User Interface (GUI) was generated by integrating the individual MATLAB scripts that make up the model and adding additional features to aid the general understanding of the problem to a user. This report focuses on the model development and features included. Further, predictions from the GUI are compared with experimental data for validation. The strength of the GUI is the ability of a user to plug in basic parameters such as the initial pressure conditions and canister model specifications in order to obtain a first principal approximation of vital information such as the blowdown pressure differential, aerosol penetration, and deposition as a function of time. The user can obtain this without the know-how of the underlying MATLAB scripts and thus enables the model to be readily applied by regulators, industry, and shareholders to reduce the uncertainty in the off-site radiological consequences. The report also lists future tasks under this work scope. This includes ongoing efforts to include additional crack geometries (divergent and divergent-convergent slots) to the model; GUI development and improvement based on feedback from users, and integration of aerosol source term data from Sibling Pin tests into the model as we approach realistic canister stress corrosion cracking–induced aerosol release scenarios.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multi‐Scale Model‐Informed Deep Learning for Plasma‐Nanoparticle Interaction

The Overarching Goal of this proposed research is to understand and quantitively determine the interactions between non-thermal plasma (hot electrons, reactive radicals, vibrationally excited species) and surface reactions on influencing the activity and selectivity of the desired reactions via developing multi-scale model informed deep learning algorithm. Investigating non-thermal plasma-surface interaction is feasible due to the low bulk temperature in the discharge region. To investigate the role of plasma-nanoparticle interaction on enhancing the reaction kinetics, we will focus on ammonia cracking to generate clean hydrogen over earth-abundant, non-critical metallic nanoparticles, which is of great significance for decarbonization. We hypothesize that (1) reactive radicals interacting with surface reaction species via Eley–Rideal mechanism will significantly lower the energetics of the potential rate-limiting step of nitrogen formation; (2) the surface will be charged heterogeneously under non-thermal plasma conditions and the charged site will lower the energetics of ammonia cracking through Langmuir– Hinshelwood mechanism; (3) vibrationally excited ammonia will further promote the initial N-H bond cleavage. To access the hypothesis, we will (1) reveal the surface charge effects on tunning the reaction energetics via interpretable, physics-informed deep learning accelerated density functional theory (DFT) calculations; (2) determine the reactive radicals interacting with surface reaction species on tuning the reaction energetics via DFT; (3) reveal the surface charge effects on tunning the reaction energetics via DFT and deep learning models, (4) quantify how vibrationally excited species, reactive radicals, and surface charging effects on enhancing the catalysis via developing DFT-based microkinetic modeling (MKM) and active learning. Deep and active learning of plasma-nanoparticle interactions effects on enhancing ammonia cracking to generate hydrogen represents a new paradigm for designing high performance plasma materials. The fundamental science of how plasma-nanoparticle interactions will change the plasma kinetics and will improve the energy efficiency for decarbonization and sustainability. The interpretable and physics-informed machine learning model will accelerate low temperature plasma chemistry and material discovery with physics rules and model interpretation.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗