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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,153 records · Page 64
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

A Comparison of Time Series Gap-Filling Methods to Impute Solar Radiation Data

Complete solar resource datasets play a critical role at every stage of solar project phases. However, measured or modeled solar resource data come with significant uncertainties and usually suffer from several issues, including but not limited to, data gaps, data quality issue, etc. In order to mitigate these issues an appropriate data imputation method should be implemented to build a complete and reliable temporal (and spatial) database. Being motivated by this, in this study we compare the performances of eight different gap filling methods extensively by creating random and artificial data gaps in (i) hourly irradiance data for one year using a few locations of the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) and (ii) one-minute ground measurement dataset from Surface Radiation Budget Network (SURFRAD) stations.

clearness index↗
DOE OSTI2023

NREL Comparison of Absolute Cavity Pyrgeometers, InfraRed Integrating Sphere, and Pyrgeometers Traceable to World Infrared Standard Group: September 25-October 6, 2023

The comparison of the absolute cavity pyrgeometers (ACPs) with the InfraRed Integrating Sphere (IRIS), Eppley Precision Infrared Radiometer (PIR) pyrgeometers, and Kipp & Zonen (KZ) pyrgeometers traceable to the World Infrared Standard Group (WISG) was held during NREL ACP and IRIS Comparisons (NAIC) from September 25 to October 6, 2023. Data from all instruments was collected during nighttime clear sky conditions only. The irradiance measured by the ACPs is collected in 30 seconds intervals during the measurement period of two hours, and 10 seconds intervals during the calibration period of 6 minutes. During the comparison, the average (av) irradiance difference measured by ACPs and IRIS9 varied from -0.75 W/m 2 to 0.76 W/m 2 , standard deviation (sd) from 0.78 W/m 2 to 1.04 W/m 2 , and uncertainty U95 from 1.96 W/m 2 to 2.07 W/m 2 . The average irradiance difference measured by ACP95F3 minus the irradiance measured by all pyrgeometers varied from 1.64 to 3.96 W/m 2 , sd from 1.70 W/m 2 to 1.86 W/m 2 , and uncertainty U 95 from 3.78 W/m 2 to 5.42W/m 2 . Note that from September 25th at 18:31 to September 29 th at 5:30 ACP96F3 irradiance is calculated using Bruce, et al 2023 method.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2019

Correlating results from high resolution EBSD with TEM- and ECCI-based dislocation microscopy: Approaching single dislocation sensitivity via noise reduction

High resolution electron backscatter diffraction (HREBSD), an SEM-based diffraction technique, may be used to measure the lattice distortion of a crystalline material and to infer the geometrically necessary dislocation content. Uncertainty in the image correlation process used to compare diffraction patterns leads to an uneven distribution of measurement noise in terms of the lattice distortion, which results in erroneous identification of dislocation type and density. This work presents a method of reducing noise in HREBSD dislocation measurements by removing the effect of the most problematic components of the measured distortion. The method is then validated by comparing with TEM analysis of dislocation pile-ups near a twin boundary in austenitic stainless steel and with ECCI analysis near a nano-indentation on a tantalum oligocrystal. Finally, the HREBSD dislocation microscopy technique is able to resolve individual dislocations visible in TEM and ECCI and correctly identify their Burgers vectors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Bay Area Regional Energy: Network Integrated Commercial Retrofits (BRICR) Project. Final Report

The BRICR project applied large-scale building energy modeling concepts with the aim of reducing the cost of energy efficiency targeting, design, and project development, and measurement of energy savings for energy efficiency programs implemented by local governments that serve small and medium commercial buildings (SMB). The project leveraged the services and resources of existing local government energy programs serving disadvantaged and hard-to-reach SMB customers. In contrast to programs run by utilities, local government programs generally do not have direct access to energy billing records for an entire class of customers in a geographic area, which prior research demonstrated useful for large-scale building energy model baseline development and calibration. , However, local governments are rich in public records that offer important clues about physical attributes and uses that, along with behavior, determine energy use. Relying only on public records, BRICR demonstrated development of credible baseline energy models for 3,792 office, retail, and hotel buildings. Publicly disclosed annual energy use data from a local energy benchmarking program and anonymized data from the Building Performance Database, the nation’s largest dataset about energy-related characteristics of buildings, were utilized to validate and calibrate energy models via an innovative method comparing distributions of energy intensity by fuel type for portfolios of buildings of similar size, vintage, and use. Portfolio calibration does not provide certainty that an energy model fits an individual building; the method is useful when billing data is not accessible – a common situation for researchers, energy service providers and ESCOs, local governments, and any party other than a utility. A software component was developed, the BRICR gem, which automates simulation when relevant data is added or edited by the user to a file saved in the standardized BuildingSync XML schema for energy audit data. The component was demonstrated as a simplified means to generate a mass of energy models corresponding to public records containing basic attributes such as building scale, location, use, year built, and aspect ratio in combination with building energy code prototype data corresponding to use and vintage. The component was also demonstrated as a simplified means to automate energy simulation when attributes are revised; the intention was to enable iterative improvement of the baseline model and energy savings estimates for common energy conservation measures as users revise relevant attributes based on their observations. In the context of institutional change and uncertainty for the participating local government energy programs, 13 whole building retrofits were completed. Impacts were measured by applying the CalTRACK2.0 methods to standardize measurement of normalized metered energy consumption. The GRIDMeter methods of stratified sampling and individual load shape analysis were applied to adjust for impacts of the effect of COVID-19 on retrofitted buildings in the context of all local buildings of similar size and use. Excluding impacts of the pandemic, retrofitted buildings demonstrated between 1.6% and 25.1% reduction in energy use. The project contributed use cases and feedback that helped inform evolution of the software tools and data formats that were combined for the first time in the BRICR project.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Quantum enabled precision measurements of the 229Th nuclear isomer transition (final report)

The existence of the nuclear isomer transition in thorium-229 was first inferred from keV lines in the gamma spectrum of uranium-233 decay more than 40 years ago. Over the years, the value of the transition energy has been refined with indirect measurements using nuclear physics techniques, and the current evidence points to transition energy in the laser-accessible vacuum ultra-violet region of the spectrum. At the start of this project, the two best measurements of the transition energy were 7.8±0.5 eV and 8.28±0.17 eV from high precision gamma ray spectroscopy and kinetic energy of internal conversion electrons, respectively. This project aimed to reduce the uncertainty in the transition energy to 10 meV using direct calorimetric measurements of the decay energy with superconducting nanowire single photon detectors (SNSPDs). Specifically, the method that was pursued was to generate thorium-229 in the excited isomer state by the alpha decay of uranium-233, embed the excited state thorium into an SNSPD, then detect the energy released when the isomer deexcites.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Picosecond magneto-optic thermometry measurements of nanoscale thermal transport in AlN thin films

The thermal conductivity Λ of wide bandgap semiconductor thin films, such as AlN, affects the performance of high-frequency devices, power devices, and optoelectronics. However, accurate measurements of Λ in thin films with sub-micrometer thicknesses and Λ > 100 W m -1 K -1 is challenging. Widely used pump/probe metrologies, such as time–domain thermoreflectance (TDTR) and frequency–domain thermoreflectance, lack the spatiotemporal resolution necessary to accurately quantify thermal properties of sub-micrometer thin films with high Λ. In this work, we use a combination of magneto-optic thermometry and TiN interfacial layers to significantly enhance the spatiotemporal resolution of pump/probe thermal transport measurements. We use our approach to measure Λ of 100, 400, and 1000 nm AlN thin films. We coat AlN thin films with a ferromagnetic thin-film transducer with the geometry of (1 nm-Pt/0.4 nm-Co) x3 /(2 nm-TiN). This PtCo/TiN transducer has a fast thermal response time of <50 ps, which allows us to differentiate between the thermal response of the transducer, AlN thin film, and substrate. For the 100, 400, and 1000 nm thick AlN films, we determine Λ to be 200 ± 80, 165 ± 35, and 300 ± 70 W m -1 K -1 , respectively. We conclude with an uncertainty analysis that quantifies the errors associated with pump/probe measurements of thermal conductivity, as a function of transducer type, thin-film thermal conductivity, and thin-film thickness. Time resolved magneto-optic Kerr effect experiments can measure films that are three to five times thinner than is possible with standard pump/probe metrologies, such as TDTR. This advance in metrology will enable better characterization of nanoscale heat transfer in high thermal conductivity material systems like wide bandgap semiconductor heterostructures and devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Neutrino Interaction Model and Uncertainties for MicroBooNE Analyses

The MicroBooNE experiment is searching for an excess of electron-like events at low neutrino energy, as well as making the first high-statistics measurements of neutrino interactions on argon. Interpretation of these results requires a reliable model of neutrino interaction physics with well-motivated uncertainties. This note describes the neutrino interaction model and uncertainties adopted for use in MicroBooNE’s cross section measurements and low-energy excess search.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2020

TDCOSMO. I. An exploration of systematic uncertainties in the inference of $H_0$ from time-delay cosmography

Time-delay cosmography of lensed quasars has achieved 2.4% precision on the measurement of the Hubble constant, H0. As part of an ongoing effort to uncover and control systematic uncertainties, we investigate three potential sources: 1- stellar kinematics, 2- line-of-sight effects, and 3- the deflector mass model. To meet this goal in a quantitative way, we reproduced the H0LiCOW/SHARP/STRIDES (hereafter TDCOSMO) procedures on a set of real and simulated data, and we find the following. First, stellar kinematics cannot be a dominant source of error or bias since we find that a systematic change of 10% of measured velocity dispersion leads to only a 0.7% shift on H0 from the seven lenses analyzed by TDCOSMO. Second, we find no bias to arise from incorrect estimation of the line-of-sight effects. Third, we show that elliptical composite (stars + dark matter halo), power-law, and cored power-law mass profiles have the flexibility to yield a broad range in H0 values. However, the TDCOSMO procedures that model the data with both composite and power-law mass profiles are informative. If the models agree, as we observe in real systems owing to the “bulge-halo” conspiracy, H0 is recovered precisely and accurately by both models. If the two models disagree, as in the case of some pathological models illustrated here, the TDCOSMO procedure either discriminates between them through the goodness of fit, or it accounts for the discrepancy in the final error bars provided by the analysis. This conclusion is consistent with a reanalysis of six of the TDCOSMO (real) lenses: the composite model yields H0 = 74.0−1.8+1.7 km s−1 Mpc−1, while the power-law model yields 74.2−1.6+1.6 km s−1 Mpc−1. In conclusion, we find no evidence of bias or errors larger than the current statistical uncertainties reported by TDCOSMO.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Contextually aware roadside radiation measurement testbed

Here we demonstrate a contextually aware multimodal roadside radiation measurement detection testbed for traffic monitoring applications in nuclear nonproliferation. Many variables in traffic such as vehicle or cargo size, mass, speed, shape, and distance of closest approach can have significant impacts on the radiation measured from a vehicle-transported radiation source. These factors can lead to uncertainties in the analysis of the radiation source, especially for lower-strength radiation sources of interest. Our testbed, known as the Multimodal Measurement System (MMS) uses non-radiation sensors including magnetometers, geophones, radiofrequency receivers, cameras, and LiDAR to extract contextual information about vehicles passing by the system. These contextual data can then be fused with data from radiation measurements to increase the system’s sensitivity and accuracy in nuclear threat detection applications. This work describes the instrumentation of the MMS and its data acquisition pipeline. Furthermore, we describe the pre-analysis performed on the raw multimodal data streams for data fusion, and the high-level machine learning analyses for detection and characterization. The variety of sensors within the MMS provides a valuable testbed that can be used to identify the combinations of contextual sensors that provide the greatest improvements to radiation source detection and characterization within the restrictions for various proliferation detection applications. The MMS is also modular so that additional combinations of sensors can be explored in the future.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Stochastic multiscale modeling for quantifying statistical and model errors with application to composite materials

This paper provides a coherent and efficient computational framework for stochastic multiscale analysis of material systems in the presence of parametric uncertainties and modeling errors. Uncertainty in those model parameters that are not deduced as upscaled quantities is attributed to an uncertainty “germ”. While such parameters can appear at any scale, they are predominant at the finest analysis scale. Additional uncertainties stemming from statistical estimation, attributed to lack of data and model error, are associated with each submodel contributing to the multiscale system. Here, a robust and efficient framework based on a generalized extended polynomial chaos expansion (gEPCE) is proposed to simultaneously propagate all these uncertainties in order to provide a probabilistic representation of specific quantities of interest (QoI). We characterize the full probability distribution of the QoI and the uncertainty in the failure probability pertaining to its tails. By combining gEPCE with kernel density estimation (KDE) and directional derivatives, we construct sensitivity measures that connect these statistical metrics of QoI to the various sources of uncertainty to assess their individual and combined impacts. An illustrative problem featuring three-point bending of a composite beam is investigated to demonstrate the presented approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Selection of high-redshift Lyman-Break Galaxies from broadband and wide photometric surveys

Here, in this paper, we investigate the possibility of selecting high-redshift Lyman-Break Galaxies (LBG) using current and future broadband wide photometric surveys, such as the Ultraviolet Near Infrared Optical Northern Survey (UNIONS) or the Vera C. Rubin Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), using a Random Forest algorithm. This work is conducted in the context of future large-scale structure spectroscopic surveys like DESI-II, the next phase of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), which will start around 2029. We use deep imaging data from the Hyper Suprime Camera (HSC) and the Canada-France-Hawaii Telescope Large Area U-band Deep Survey (CLAUDS) on the COSMOS and XMM-LSS fields. To predict the selection performance of LBGs with image quality similar to UNIONS, we degrade the u,g,r,i and z bands to UNIONS depth. The Random Forest algorithm is trained with the u,g,r,i and z bands to classify LBGs in the 2.5 < z < 3.5 range. We find that fixing a target density budget of 1,100 deg -2 , the Random Forest approach gives a density of z > 2 targets of 873 deg -2 , and a density of 493 deg -2 of confirmed LBGs after spectroscopic confirmation with DESI. This UNIONS-like selection was tested in a dedicated spectroscopic observation campaign of 1,000 targets with DESI on the COSMOS field, providing a safe spectroscopic sample with a mean redshift of 3. This sample is used to derive forecasts for DESI-II, assuming a sky coverage of 5,000 deg 2 . We predict uncertainties on Alcock-Paczynski parameters α ⊥ and α ∥ to be 0.7% and 1% for 2.6 < z < 3.2, resulting in a potential 2% measurement of the dark energy fraction at high redshift. Additionally, we estimate the uncertainty in local non-Gaussianity and predict σ fNL ≈ 7, which would be comparable to the current best precision achieved by Planck. The latter forecast suggests that achieving the precision required to place stringent constraints on inflationary models (σ fNL ≈ 1) using spectroscopic galaxy surveys necessitates the development of a next-generation (Stage V) spectroscopic survey.

cosmological parameters from LSS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Selection of high-redshift Lyman-Break Galaxies from broadband and wide photometric surveys

In this paper, we investigate the possibility of selecting high-redshift Lyman-Break Galaxies (LBG) using current and future broadband wide photometric surveys, such as the Ultraviolet Near Infrared Optical Northern Survey (UNIONS) or the Vera C. Rubin Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), using a Random Forest algorithm. This work is conducted in the context of future large-scale structure spectroscopic surveys like DESI-II, the next phase of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), which will start around 2029.We use deep imaging data from the Hyper Suprime Camera (HSC) and the Canada-France-Hawaii Telescope Large Area U-band Deep Survey (CLAUDS) on the COSMOS and XMM-LSS fields. To predict the selection performance of LBGs with image quality similar to UNIONS, we degrade the u,g,r,i and z bands to UNIONS depth.The Random Forest algorithm is trained with the u,g,r,i and z bands to classify LBGs in the 2.5 < z < 3.5 range.We find that fixing a target density budget of 1,100 deg$^{-2}$, the Random Forest approach gives a density of z > 2 targets of 873 deg$^{-2}$, and a density of 493 deg$^{-2}$ of confirmed LBGs after spectroscopic confirmation with DESI. This UNIONS-like selection was tested in a dedicated spectroscopic observation campaign of 1,000 targets with DESI on the COSMOS field, providing a safe spectroscopic sample with a mean redshift of 3. This sample is used to derive forecasts for DESI-II, assuming a sky coverage of 5,000 deg$^{2}$. We predict uncertainties on Alcock-Paczynski parameters α$_{⊥}$ and α$_{∥}$ to be 0.7% and 1% for 2.6 < z < 3.2, resulting in a potential 2% measurement of the dark energy fraction at high redshift. Additionally, we estimate the uncertainty in local non-Gaussianity and predict σ$_{fNL}$ ≈ 7, which would be comparable to the current best precision achieved by Planck. The latter forecast suggests that achieving the precision required to place stringent constraints on inflationary models (σ$_{fNL}$ ≈ 1) using spectroscopic galaxy surveys necessitates the development of a next-generation (Stage V) spectroscopic survey.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Analysis of ZPPR-15 experimental data for VTR software validation

As part of the Versatile Test Reactor (VTR) program, extensive validation work is being performed to demonstrate the fidelity of the Argonne Reactor Code (ARC) software package presently used for the core design studies. It is anticipated that this software will be also used for initial operations although additional software may be introduced at a later time to supplement or replace some components. The validation work was focused on accumulating reactor models that are consistent with the VTR and thus can be used to validate the accuracy of predictions made by the software used to design and operate the VTR. The U.S. does not have any active experimental facilities that can neutronically mockup the VTR core design. However, in the past, the U.S. had extensive experimental facilities for fast reactor neutronics. In that regard, the ZPPR-15 experiments carried out at ANL during the 1980s work best because the fuel form is closest to the VTR design, there is a considerable amount of processed data available for use, and existing staff are already familiar with the experimental machine and measurements. Because of previous collaborative work, many of the ZPPR-15 loadings of interest have already been processed into MCNP and preliminary ARC models, and a full uncertainty quantification has already been completed for many of the ZPPR-15 measurements. This manuscript covers the recent analysis work on the ZPPR-15 experiments and compares it with the experimental results. With respect to the ARC software components, this manuscript focuses on validation of the MC 2 , DIF3D and GAMSOR using the ZPPR-15 experimental data.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Search for the chiral magnetic effect in Au+Au collisions at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$ = 27 GeV with the STAR forward event plane detectors

A decisive experimental test of the Chiral Magnetic Effect (CME) is considered one of the major scientific goals at the Relativistic Heavy-Ion Collider (RHIC) towards understanding the nontrivial topological fluctuations of the Quantum Chromodynamics vacuum. In heavy-ion collisions, the CME is expected to result in a charge separation phenomenon across the reaction plane, whose strength could be strongly energy dependent. The previous CME searches have been focused on top RHIC energy collisions. In this Letter, we present a low energy search for the CME in Au+Au collisions at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$ = 27 GeV. We measure elliptic flow scaled charge-dependent correlators relative to the event planes that are defined at both mid-rapidity |η| < 1.0 and at forward rapidity 2.1 < |η| < 5.1. We compare the results based on the directed flow plane ( $Ψ$ 1 ) at forward rapidity and the elliptic flow plane ( $Ψ$ 2 ) at both central and forward rapidity. The CME scenario is expected to result in a larger correlation relative to $Ψ$ 1 than to $Ψ$ 2 , while a flow driven background scenario would lead to a consistent result for both event planes. In 10-50% centrality, results using three different event planes are found to be consistent within experimental uncertainties, suggesting a flow driven background scenario dominating the measurement. We obtain an upper limit on the deviation from a flow driven background scenario at the 95% confidence level. This work opens up a possible road map towards future CME search with the high statistics data from the RHIC Beam Energy Scan Phase-II.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Global nitrogen deposition inputs to cropland at national scale from 1961 to 2020

Nitrogen (N) deposition is a significant nutrient input to cropland and consequently important for the evaluation of N budgets and N use efficiency (NUE) at different scales and over time. However, the spatiotemporal coverage of N deposition measurements is limited globally, whereas modeled N deposition values carry uncertainties. Here, we reviewed existing methods and related data sources for quantifying N deposition inputs to crop production on a national scale. We utilized different data sources to estimate N deposition input to crop production at national scale and compared our estimates with 14 N budget datasets, as well as measured N deposition data from observation networks in 9 countries. We created four datasets of N deposition inputs on cropland during 1961–2020 for 236 countries. These products showed good agreement for the majority of countries and can be used in the modeling and assessment of NUE at national and global scales. One of the datasets is recommended for general use in regional to global N budget and NUE estimates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Extension of SCALE/Sampler’s sensitivity index for the assessment of cross section, fission yield, and decay data uncertainties

Accurate prediction of nuclide compositions and neutron and gamma sources and spectra for fresh and spent nuclear fuel through computational modeling and simulations is the basis for safeguards instruments design, optimization, and calibration, and for validation of the measured responses. The accuracy of these simulations can be significantly impacted by uncertainties in input parameters to the applied computer code. Input parameters are, for example, dimensions, material compositions, and temperatures of the model. Additionally, important but sometimes neglected input parameters for simulations of nuclear systems are the nuclear data that include nuclear reaction cross sections, fission product yields, and decay data. It has been shown that uncertainties of calculated results are dominated by uncertainties of these nuclear data.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

CMS PYTHIA 8 colour reconnection tunes based on underlying-event data

New sets of parameter tunes for two of the colour reconnection models, quantum chromodynamics-inspired and gluon-move, implemented in the PYTHIA 8 event generator, are obtained based on the default CMS PYTHIA 8 underlying-event tune, CP5. Measurements sensitive to the underlying event performed by the CMS experiment at centre-of-mass energies $\sqrt{s}=$7 and 13 TeV, and by the CDF experiment at 1.96 TeV are used to constrain the parameters of colour reconnection models and multiple-parton interactions simultaneously. The new colour reconnection tunes are compared with various measurements at 1.96, 7, 8, and 13 TeV including measurements of the underlying-event, strange-particle multiplicities, jet substructure observables, jet shapes, and colour flow in top quark pair ($t\bar{t}$) events. The new tunes are also used to estimate the uncertainty related to colour reconnection modelling in the top quark mass measurement using the decay products of $t\bar{t}$ events in the semileptonic channel at 13 TeV .

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Proxy-Based Bayesian Inversion Of Poroelastic Simulations To Interpret Strain Tensor Data Measured During Well Testing

The long runtimes of 3D poroelastic numerical simulators makes it impractical to interpret deformation datasets using many inversion schemes. Recent advances in instrumentation have made it possible to measure the strain tensor during well testing, but the lack of robust inversion methods is limiting the ability to interpret these data. We have developed an inversion workflow that reduces the number of computations required to complete a Bayesian inversion using DREAMzs. The workflow trains a KNN model using output from the poroelastic simulator, and then uses the KNN model as a proxy for the simulator during inversion. The workflow also includes a strategy for ensuring the results from the proxy model converge to the results from the simulator, ensuring the accuracy of the final results. An idealized example configured to represent a well test in a deep aquifer is used to verify that the workflow correctly identifies parameters and characterizes noise. Field data measured using strainmeters during an injection test at an oil reservoir in Oklahoma are used to evaluate performance with a real dataset. The workflow identified 265 history matching solutions out of 1240 total simulation runs (21% acceptance ratio), and the results are used to characterize posterior parameter distribution and evaluate the prediction uncertainty. This approach makes it feasible to invert strain data measured during well testing and this has the potential to improve the characterization of aquifers and reservoirs.

Roudini, Soheil↗