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At least 1,153 records · Page 64

Climate, Health, Agricultural and Economic Impacts of Tighter Vehicle-Emission Standards

Non-CO2 air pollutants from motor vehicles have traditionally been controlled to protect air quality and health, but also affect climate. We use global composition climate modelling to examine the integrated impacts of adopting stringent European on-road vehicle-emission standards for these pollutants in 2015 in many developing countries. Relative to no extra controls, the tight standards lead to annual benefits in 2030 and beyond of 120,000-280,000 avoided premature air pollution-related deaths, 6.1-19.7 million metric tons of avoided ozone-related yield losses of major food crops, $US0.6-2.4 trillion avoided health damage and $US1.1-4.3 billion avoided agricultural damage, and mitigation of 0.20 (+0.14/-0.17) C of Northern Hemisphere extratropical warming during 2040-2070. Tighter vehicle-emission standards are thus extremely likely to mitigate short-term climate change in most cases, in addition to providing large improvements in human health and food security. These standards will not reduce CO2 emissions, however, which is required to mitigate long-term climate change.

Shindell, Drew↗

Modulation Study for Beam Steerable Reflectarray Antennas

The reflectarray antenna is a power-efficient antenna but with an inherent intersymbol interference (ISI) problem with digital modulations. The composite signal model of a reflectarray is established. The ISI is characterized by the signal components delays. The feed-to-element distance and the element-to-observation distance contribute to the total delay, with the latter having the major effect. The effect of typical phase shifters' phase errors is analyzed and evaluated. Simulations are performed. The analytical and simulation results for an example reflectarray at f(sub c) = 26.5 GHz and bit rate of 1.325 Gbps show that the BER degradation due to ISI is proportional to the symbol rate and the loss ranges from less than 1 dB to around 2 dB in E(sub b)/N(sub o), depending on original E(sub b)/N(sub o), for BPSK, QPSK, 8PSK and 16QAM. The phase error effect is negligible for lower order modulations and is unacceptable for higher order modulations such as 64 and 256QAM.

Xiong, Fuqin↗

Broad-Bandwidth FPGA-Based Digital Polyphase Spectrometer

With present concern for ecological sustainability ever increasing, it is desirable to model the composition of Earth s upper atmosphere accurately with regards to certain helpful and harmful chemicals, such as greenhouse gases and ozone. The microwave limb sounder (MLS) is an instrument designed to map the global day-to-day concentrations of key atmospheric constituents continuously. One important component in MLS is the spectrometer, which processes the raw data provided by the receivers into frequency-domain information that cannot only be transmitted more efficiently, but also processed directly once received. The present-generation spectrometer is fully analog. The goal is to include a fully digital spectrometer in the next-generation sensor. In a digital spectrometer, incoming analog data must be converted into a digital format, processed through a Fourier transform, and finally accumulated to reduce the impact of input noise. While the final design will be placed on an application specific integrated circuit (ASIC), the building of these chips is prohibitively expensive. To that end, this design was constructed on a field-programmable gate array (FPGA). A family of state-of-the-art digital Fourier transform spectrometers has been developed, with a combination of high bandwidth and fine resolution. Analog signals consisting of radiation emitted by constituents in planetary atmospheres or galactic sources are downconverted and subsequently digitized by a pair of interleaved analog-to-digital converters (ADCs). This 6-Gsps (gigasample per second) digital representation of the analog signal is then processed through an FPGA-based streaming fast Fourier transform (FFT). Digital spectrometers have many advantages over previously used analog spectrometers, especially in terms of accuracy and resolution, both of which are particularly important for the type of scientific questions to be addressed with next-generation radiometers.

Jamot, Robert F.↗

Attribution of Historical Whole-atmosphere Ozone Forcing to Emissions

Anthropogenic ozone radiative forcing is traditionally separately attributed to tropospheric and stratospheric changes assuming these have distinct causes. Using the interactive composition-climate model GISS-E2-R we find that this assumption is not justified. Our simulations show that changes in emissions of tropospheric ozone precursors have substantial effects on ozone in both regions, as do anthropogenic halocarbon emissions. Based on our results, additional simulations with the NCARCAM3.5 model, and published studies, we estimate industrial era (1850 to 2005) whole-atmosphere ozone forcing of 0.5 W/sq m due to anthropogenic tropospheric precursors and about -0.2 W/sq m due to halocarbons. The net troposphere plus stratosphere forcing is similar to the net halocarbon plus precursor ozone forcing, but the latter provides a more useful perspective. The halocarbon-induced ozone forcing is roughly two-thirds the magnitude of the halocarbon direct forcing but opposite in sign, yielding a net forcing of only 0.1 W/sq m. Thus the net effect of halocarbons has been smaller, while the effect of tropospheric ozone precursors has been greater, than generally recognized.

Shindell, Drew↗

Global Air Quality and Health Co-benefits of Mitigating Near-term Climate Change Through Methane and Black Carbon Emission Controls

Tropospheric ozone and black carbon (BC), a component of fine particulate matter (PM < or = 2.5 microns in aerodynamic diameter; PM2.5), are associated with premature mortality and they disrupt global and regional climate. Objectives: We examined the air quality and health benefits of 14 specific emission control measures targeting BC and methane, an ozone precursor, that were selected because of their potential to reduce the rate of climate change over the next 20-40 years. Methods: We simulated the impacts of mitigation measures on outdoor concentrations of PM2.5 and ozone using two composition-climate models, and calculated associated changes in premature PM2.5‑ and ozone-related deaths using epidemiologically derived concentration-response functions. Results: We estimated that, for PM2.5 and ozone, respectively, fully implementing these measures could reduce global population-weighted average surface concentrations by 23-34% and 7-17% and avoid 0.6-4.4 and 0.04-0.52 million annual premature deaths globally in 2030. More than 80% of the health benefits are estimated to occur in Asia. We estimated that BC mitigation measures would achieve approximately 98% of the deaths that would be avoided if all BC and methane mitigation measures were implemented, due to reduced BC and associated reductions of nonmethane ozone precursor and organic carbon emissions as well as stronger mortality relationships for PM2.5 relative to ozone. Although subject to large uncertainty, these estimates and conclusions are not strongly dependent on assumptions for the concentration-response function. Conclusions: In addition to climate benefits, our findings indicate that the methane and BC emission control measures would have substantial co-benefits for air quality and public health worldwide, potentially reversing trends of increasing air pollution concentrations and mortality in Africa and South, West, and Central Asia. These projected benefits are independent of carbon dioxide mitigation measures. Benefits of BC measures are underestimated because we did not account for benefits from reduced indoor exposures and because outdoor exposure estimates were limited by model spatial resolution.

air quality↗

Towards PCC for Concurrent and Distributed Systems (Work in Progress)

We outline some conceptual challenges in extending the PCC paradigm to a concurrent and distributed setting, and sketch a generalized notion of module correctness based on viewing communication contracts as economic games. The model supports compositional reasoning about modular systems and is meant to apply not only to certification of executable code, but also of organizational workflows.

Henriksen, Anders S.↗

High altitude smoke in the NASA GISS GCM

High altitude smoke-plumes from large, explosive fires were discovered in the late 1990sThey can now be observed with unprecedented detail from space-borne instruments with high vertical resolution in the UTLS such as CALIOP, MLS and ACE. These events inject large quantities of pollutants into a relatively clean and dry environment They serve as unique natural experiments with which to understand, using chemical transport and composition-climate models, the chemical and radiative impacts of long-lived biomass burning emissions. We are currently studying the Black Saturday bushfires in Australia during February 2009

high altitude↗

Relevence of 3D Simulations and Sandwich Core Topology for the Modeling of Honeycomb Core Sandwich Panels Undergoing Mode I Delamination

A recently developed cohesive zone traction-separation law, which includes the effects of fiber bridging in a novel way, is extended from 2D to 3D. The proposed cohesive model is applied to low fidelity (i.e. homogenized core representation) and high fidelity (i.e. directly accounting for the core topology) finite element models of a composite panel comprised of carbon fiber reinforced plastic facesheets and a honeycomb sandwich core. This enables the investigation of 2D to 3D parameter transferability, width-dependent effects such as thumbnail-shaped crack growth, and the verification of plane strain / plane stress assumptions. A pronounced curvature of the initial interface-related crack front is observed, while the bridging-related crack front is straight. Furthermore, it is found that the cohesive parameters can easily be transferred from 2D to 3D under plane stress assumptions, but not under plane strain assumptions. The numerical predictions are compared to experimental load-displacement and R-curves.

Composites↗

Diamondites: Evidence for a Distinct Tectono-Thermal Diamond-Forming Event Beneath the Kaapvaal Craton

The petrogenesis and relationship of diamondite to well-studied monocrystalline and fibrous diamonds are poorly understood yet would potentially reveal new aspects of how diamond-forming fluids are transported through the lithosphere and equilibrate with surrounding silicates. Of twenty-two silicate- and oxide-bearing diamondites investigated, most yielded garnet intergrowths (n = 15) with major element geochemistry (i.e. Ca-Cr) classifying these samples as low-Ca websteritic or eclogitic. The garnet REE patterns fit an equilibrium model suggesting the diamond-forming fluid shares an affinity with high-density fluids (HDF) observed in fibrous diamonds, specifically on the join between the saline–carbonate end- members. The δ13C values for the diamonds range from -5.27 to -22.48 ‰ (V-PDB) with δ18O values for websteritic garnets ranging from +7.6 to +5.9 ‰ (V-SMOW). The combined C-O stable isotope data support a model for a hydrothermally altered and organic carbon-bearing subducted crustal source(s) for the diamond- and garnet-forming media. The nitrogen aggregation states of the diamonds require that diamondite-formation event(s) pre-dates fibrous diamond-formation and post-dates most of the gem monocrystalline diamond-formation events at Orapa. The modelled fluid compositions responsible for the precipitation of diamondites match the fluid-poor and fluid-rich (fibrous) monocrystalline diamonds, where all grow from HDFs within the saline-silicic-carbonatitic ternary system. However, while the nature of the parental fluid(s) share a common lithophile element geochemical affinity, the origin(s) of the saline, silicic, and/or carbonatitic components of these HDFs do not always share a common origin. Therefore, it is wholly conceivable that the diamondites are evidence of a distinct and temporally unconstrained tectono-thermal diamond-forming event beneath the Kaapvaal craton.

S Mikhail↗

Micro-scale Artificial Weave Generation Capabilities for Thermal Protection System Material Modeling

Thermal Protection System (TPS) modeling requires accurate representation and prediction of the thermomechanical behavior of ablative materials. State-of-the-art TPS materials such as Phenolic Impregnated Carbon Ablator (PICA) have a proven flight record and demonstrate exceptional capabilities for handling extreme aerothermal heating conditions. The constant push for lightweight materials that are flexible in their design and performance, and hence allow for a wide range of mission profiles, has led NASA over the past years to develop its Heatshield for Extreme Entry Environment Technology (HEEET). HEEET is based primarily on a dual layer woven carbon fiber architecture and the technology has successfully been tested in arc-jet facilities. These recent developments have sparked interest in the accurate micro-scale modeling of composite weave architectures, to predict the structural response of macro-scale heatshields upon atmospheric entry. This effort can be extended to incorporate in-depth failure mechanics analyses as a result of local thermal gradients or high-velocity particle impact.

Visser, Sander J.↗

Aerostructural Weight Estimation for a Transonic Truss-Braced Wing using the Higher-fidelity Conceptual Design and Structural Optimization Tool

Continued development and enhancements of the Higher-fidelity Conceptual Design and structural optimization (HCDstruct) tool has been driven largely by advanced aircraft concepts of interest to NASA. While previous versions of HCDstruct were limited to hybrid wing body (HWB) and generalized tube and wing (TW) aircraft concepts, the latest version of HCDstruct supports the analysis of Truss-Braced Wing (TBW) aircraft concepts, where users can model both high and low wing configurations as well as strut and jury geometries parametrically. Additionally, new methods for modeling advanced composite materials within HCDstruct have been implemented. These recent tool enhancements were demonstrated for an independent assessment of the NASA/Boeing SUGAR Phase VI Mach 0.8 Transonic Truss-Braced Wing (TTBW) concept.

Zachary D. Windous↗