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At least 1,153 records · Page 64

Uncertainty quantification of fireball features extracted from nuclear test films using computer vision

Films from the US’s historic nuclear testing era comprise the only extensive collection of imagery depicting high-yield detonations. These films offer unique insights into the characteristics of flows occurring on scales that are difficult to replicate experimentally, and they are a valuable source of data for the validation of models used to describe nuclear detonations. In recent work, we implemented modern computer vision and machine learning techniques to extract features of the fireball following nuclear detonation. With a training dataset of fireball films, we fine-tuned a You Only Look Once 11 (YOLO11) model to detect and track the fireball. Applied to a video, the outer bounding box produced in each frame by YOLO11 is used as an input prompt to Meta’s Segment Anything Model 2 (SAM2), which is shown to accurately predict the boundary of the fireball over time with high resolution. These state-of-the-art computer vision foundation models exhibit impressive visual accuracy in their results but lack an output of values that robustly quantify uncertainty in scientific applications. In this paper, we develop procedures for uncertainty quantification of extracted fireball features. We outline the application of a parallel attention mechanism to calculate uncertainty ranges that complement and better pose model validation data. This higher quality fireball validation data may serve to improve prognostic models describing nuclear detonations in support of nuclear forensic and emergency response activities.

Khristy, Joel [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000209963060)↗

Precursor Processing Development for Low Cost, High Strength Carbon Fiber for Composite Overwrapped Pressure Vessel Applications

Carbon fiber (CF) is central to produce lightweight, high pressure, composite overwrapped pressure vessels (COPVs), which are used for on-board storage of hydrogen for fuel cell vehicles. In 2015, carbon fiber cost accounted for 62% of the cost of a hydrogen storage system, as COPVs were manufactured with T700S CF at $\$ $29.40/kg CF. The high cost of hydrogen storage, largely attributed to the carbon fiber cost, limits the application of fuel cells in vehicles. Therefore, our team endeavored to develop fiber processing to demonstrate carbon fiber tensile properties similar to T700S with a production cost potential of $\$ $12.60/kg or less. Here, the overarching goal of the project was the development of low cost, high strength carbon fiber for composite overwrapped pressure vessels. Within the project, our team investigated a new low-cost, high-volume, high quality polyacrylonitrile (PAN)-based precursor terpolymer for the production of carbon fiber precursors, methods for increasing water and energy use efficiency in wash-water/solvent separation, and ultimately developed a multifilament spinning and conversion process for the production of hollow carbon fibers from a segmented arc spinneret utilizing a solution spinning method.

08 HYDROGEN↗

A proposed framework for the development and qualitative evaluation of West Nile virus models and their application to local public health decision-making

West Nile virus (WNV) is a globally distributed mosquito-borne virus of great public health concern. The number of WNV human cases and mosquito infection patterns vary in space and time. Many statistical models have been developed to understand and predict WNV geographic and temporal dynamics. However, these modeling efforts have been disjointed with little model comparison and inconsistent validation. In this paper, we describe a framework to unify and standardize WNV modeling efforts nationwide. WNV risk, detection, or warning models for this review were solicited from active research groups working in different regions of the United States. A total of 13 models were selected and described. The spatial and temporal scales of each model were compared to guide the timing and the locations for mosquito and virus surveillance, to support mosquito vector control decisions, and to assist in conducting public health outreach campaigns at multiple scales of decision-making. Our overarching goal is to bridge the existing gap between model development, which is usually conducted as an academic exercise, and practical model applications, which occur at state, tribal, local, or territorial public health and mosquito control agency levels. The proposed model assessment and comparison framework helps clarify the value of individual models for decision-making and identifies the appropriate temporal and spatial scope of each model. This qualitative evaluation clearly identifies gaps in linking models to applied decisions and sets the stage for a quantitative comparison of models. Specifically, whereas many coarse-grained models (county resolution or greater) have been developed, the greatest need is for fine-grained, short-term planning models (m–km, days–weeks) that remain scarce. We further recommend quantifying the value of information for each decision to identify decisions that would benefit most from model input.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Modeling Green Roof Potential to Mitigate Urban Flooding in a Chinese City

The Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River (MLRYR) region, which has humid subtropical climate conditions and unique plum rain season, is characterized by a simultaneous high-frequency urban flooding and reduction in groundwater levels. Retrofitting the existing buildings into green roofs is a promising approach to combat urban flooding, especially for a densely developed city. Here, the application potential of the Green Roof System (GRS) and the Improved Green Roof System (IGRS) designed to divert overflowing water from green roofs to recharge groundwater were analyzed in a densely developed city, Nanchang, China. For the first time, the influence of GRS on the hydraulic condition of Combined Sewage System/Storm Water System (CSS/SWS) is analyzed, which is a direct reflection of the effect of GRS on alleviating urban flooding. The simulation results show that GRS can retain about 41–75% of precipitation in a 2-hour timescale and the flooding volumes in the GRS/IGRS region are 82% and 28% less than those of the Traditional Roof System (TRS) in 10- and 100-yr precipitation events, respectively. In the continuous simulations, GRS also enhances Evapotranspiration (ET), which accounts for 39% of annual precipitation, so that reduces the cumulative surface runoff. Considering the IGRS can provide more hydrological benefits than the GRS under the same climate conditions, we may conclude that the widespread implementation of both the GRS and the IGRS in Nanchang and other densely developed cities in the MLRYR region could significantly reduce surface and peak runoff rates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

pnnl/blueprint-styler

Make custom blueprint.css styles A framework for creating custom visual themes and styles for the Blueprintjs React component library: https://blueprintjs.com/docs/ Features create custom css themes and styles for Blueprintjs components visualize the effect of the custom styles during development publish an example application that includes all available themes: https://stash.pnnl.gov/pages/UXRSRC/blueprint-styler/master/browse/build/index.html publish the compiled theme to npm (or artifactory)

Bradford, James↗

Ground Source Heat Pump Screening Tool and Related Resources

This archive contains both a link to Oak Ridge National Laboratory's Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP) Screening Tool and related resources documenting its development, technical features, and applications. The web-based screening tool is a techno-economic analysis resource designed to evaluate the feasibility, costs, and benefits of implementing GSHP systems in buildings across various U.S. climate zones. It is intended for use by building owners, HVAC system designers, and installers to support decision-making in residential and commercial applications, incorporating advanced modeling capabilities such as ground heat exchanger design. The included resources detail the tool's creation and use, covering topics such as innovative ground heat exchanger design methodologies, the development of an open library of g-functions for borehole configurations, and studies on GSHP performance and economic viability in retrofitting single-family homes.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

2D-EFICACY: Control of Metastable 2D Carbide[1]Chalcogenide Heterolayers: Strain and Moire Engineering

The experimental isolation of graphene led to the discovery of an entirely new world of two-dimensional (2D) materials in which the 2D nature often leads to emergent behaviors not seen in bulk systems. 2D transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) exhibit physico-chemical properties that depend on the transition metal, polymorph, thickness, and presence and type of defects. Recently, a group of thin (10-100nm) transition metal carbides (TMCs), such as Mo2C, has been synthesized that exhibit a thickness-dependent superconducting critical temperature (Tc). These thin TMCs are different from MXenes, another class of 2D materials consisting of few layers of nitrides or carbides (<5nm) produced by chemical etching and delamination. The goal of this renewal proposal is to combine experiment and computation to synthesize and elucidate the guiding principles that control the growth, orientation and strain of heterostacks of thin TMCs and TMDs composed with Nb, Ti and W. We expect to stabilize metastable hybrid phases of TMCs sandwiched between TMDs (H-TMD/Cs) with unprecedented physico-chemical properties. As part of previous DOE-funded work by the Terrones/Sinnott groups, thin (10-100 nm thick) Mo2C flakes were successfully synthesized by chemical vapor deposition (CVD). By subsequently exposing Mo2C to H2S, partial chalcogenization was achieved, resulting in heterostacks of MoCx phases and MoS2. The formation of MoS2 led to a deficiency of Mo atoms in the underlying Mo2C, resulting in an inhomogeneous phase change from α-Mo2C to γ’-MoCx and then to γ-MoC. The γ’-MoCx is a strained metastable phase and the heterostack of all three phases demonstrated an increased Tc relative to that of α-Mo2C, from 4 to 6K; its interleaved layered structure consisting of superconducting and semiconducting phases is ideal for future studies of Josephson junction series arrays. Moiré patterns in these heterostacked systems could result in new phenomena, as moiré patterns in bilayer graphene showed unconventional superconductivity and moiré excitons have been observed in twisted TMD heterobilayers. The scientific hypothesis of the proposed synergistic computational and experimental research is that orientation and strain control within confined thin metastable TMCs, sandwiched by stable phases of TMCs and layered TMDs, will depend on kinetic and thermodynamic “knobs” that include fast temperature changes, chalcogen diffusion through preferred crystallographic planes, reaction times, pressure, reactive atmosphere, precursors, and surfactants, which will also tailor properties such as superconductivity, magnetism, ferroelectricity, piezoelectricity, and catalytic performance. We will develop the guiding principles for the synthesis and stabilization of metastable H-TMD/Cs based on Nb, Ti and W. In order to validate the hypothesis, four tasks are proposed: The first task will synthesize ultra-thin TMCs based on Nb, W and Ti, by: 1) adapting the CVD method used for Mo2C, 2) plasma assisted CVD, 3) defect-mediated CVD processes, and 4) cryo-milling of carbide powders. The second task will accomplish the synthesis and basic physico-chemical characterizations of H-TMD/Cs by chalcogenization of the materials synthesized in task one, and by carbonization of TMDs. H-TMD/Cs will also be investigated for their suitability in energy conversion applications such as supercapacitors, Li and multivalent ion batteries, and electrocatalysts, topics of interest to DoE. These tasks will be carried out in close conjunction with density functional theory (DFT) calculations with insights into energetics, lattice parameters, stability, phase diagrams, band structures, and density of states of H-TMD/Cs. The third task will characterize and evaluate strain and moiré patterns at the interfaces of different H-TMD/Cs by high-resolution scanning transmission electron microscopy (HR-STEM), scanning tunneling microscopy (STM), and conductive tip atomic force microscopy. Nudged elastic band calculations with DFT will be performed to understand the chalcogen diffusion process, which will provide insights into the interfaces between different phases of TMCs and TMDs. The fourth task aims at quantifying the stability and dynamics of H-TMD/Cs by in-situ TEM and Raman studies under heating, strain, and electrical biasing. Phonon calculations using DFT will provide a basis for interpreting Raman spectra. This coherent framework involving synthesis, characterization, and computation will result in a broad scientific impact for energy related applications. The ability to develop new H-TMD/Cs will enhance a range of applications that include batteries, catalysts, switches, sensors, quantum computing components and smart coatings.

2-Dimensional materials↗

2D-EFICACY: Control of Metastable 2D Carbide Chalcogenide Heterolayers: Strain and Moire Engineering

The experimental isolation of graphene led to the discovery of an entirely new world of two-dimensional (2D) materials in which the 2D nature often leads to emergent behaviors not seen in bulk systems. 2D transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) exhibit physico-chemical properties that depend on the transition metal, polymorph, thickness, and presence and type of defects. Recently, a group of thin (10-100nm) transition metal carbides (TMCs), such as Mo 2 C, has been synthesized that exhibit a thickness-dependent superconducting critical temperature (Tc). These thin TMCs are different from MXenes, another class of 2D materials consisting of few layers of nitrides or carbides (<5nm) produced by chemical etching and delamination. The goal of this renewal proposal is to combine experiment and computation to synthesize and elucidate the guiding principles that control the growth, orientation and strain of heterostacks of thin TMCs and TMDs composed with Nb, Ti and W. We expect to stabilize metastable hybrid phases of TMCs sandwiched between TMDs (H-TMD/Cs) with unprecedented physico-chemical properties. As part of previous DOE-funded work by the Terrones/Sinnott groups, thin (10-100 nm thick) Mo 2 C flakes were successfully synthesized by chemical vapor deposition (CVD). By subsequently exposing Mo 2 C to H 2 S, partial chalcogenization was achieved, resulting in heterostacks of MoCx phases and MoS 2 . The formation of MoS 2 led to a deficiency of Mo atoms in the underlying Mo 2 C, resulting in an inhomogeneous phase change from α-Mo 2 C to γ’-MoCx and then to γ-MoC. The γ’-MoCx is a strained metastable phase and the heterostack of all three phases demonstrated an increased Tc relative to that of α-Mo 2 C, from 4 to 6K; its interleaved layered structure consisting of superconducting and semiconducting phases is ideal for future studies of Josephson junction series arrays. Moiré patterns in these heterostacked systems could result in new phenomena, as moiré patterns in bilayer graphene showed unconventional superconductivity and moiré excitons have been observed in twisted TMD heterobilayers. The scientific hypothesis of the proposed synergistic computational and experimental research is that orientation and strain control within confined thin metastable TMCs, sandwiched by stable phases of TMCs and layered TMDs, will depend on kinetic and thermodynamic “knobs” that include fast temperature changes, chalcogen diffusion through preferred crystallographic planes, reaction times, pressure, reactive atmosphere, precursors, and surfactants, which will also tailor properties such as superconductivity, magnetism, ferroelectricity, piezoelectricity, and catalytic performance. We will develop the guiding principles for the synthesis and stabilization of metastable H-TMD/Cs based on Nb, Ti and W. In order to validate the hypothesis, four tasks are proposed: The first task will synthesize ultra-thin TMCs based on Nb, W and Ti, by: 1) adapting the CVD method used for Mo 2 C, 2) plasma assisted CVD, 3) defect-mediated CVD processes, and 4) cryo-milling of carbide powders. The second task will accomplish the synthesis and basic physico-chemical characterizations of H-TMD/Cs by chalcogenization of the materials synthesized in task one, and by carbonization of TMDs. H-TMD/Cs will also be investigated for their suitability in energy conversion applications such as supercapacitors, Li and multivalent ion batteries, and electrocatalysts, topics of interest to DoE. These tasks will be carried out in close conjunction with density functional theory (DFT) calculations with insights into energetics, lattice parameters, stability, phase diagrams, band structures, and density of states of H-TMD/Cs. The third task will characterize and evaluate strain and moiré patterns at the interfaces of different H-TMD/Cs by high-resolution scanning transmission electron microscopy (HR-STEM), scanning tunneling microscopy (STM), and conductive tip atomic force microscopy. Nudged elastic band calculations with DFT will be performed to understand the chalcogen diffusion process, which will provide insights into the interfaces between different phases of TMCs and TMDs. The fourth task aims at quantifying the stability and dynamics of H-TMD/Cs by in-situ TEM and Raman studies under heating, strain, and electrical biasing. Phonon calculations using DFT will provide a basis for interpreting Raman spectra. This coherent framework involving synthesis, characterization, and computation will result in a broad scientific impact for energy related applications. The ability to develop new H-TMD/Cs will enhance a range of applications that include batteries, catalysts, switches, sensors, quantum computing components and smart coatings.

2-Dimensional Materials↗

Development of a metamodelling framework for building energy models with application to fifth-generation district heating and cooling networks

Fully defined physics-based building energy models can accurately represent building systems; however, generating models based on high-level parameters is time consuming and simulation time of complex models can be slow. This article discusses the development of a Metamodelling Framework to create metamodels from a building energy modelling dataset. The framework generates metamodels using either linear regression, random forests, or support vector regressions. A fifth-generation district heating and cooling system analysis use case was used to motivate the development of the framework. The use case required quick and accurate representations of annual building loads reported hourly. Typical annual building modelling approaches can result in a runtime of 10 min. The metamodels runtime was reduced to less than 10 s to load and run an annual simulation with user-defined covariates. The results of the metamodel performance and an abbreviated topology analysis based on the motivating use case will be presented.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A Unified Testing Platform to Mature Blockchain Applications for Grid Emulation Environments: Preprint

Blockchain technology is a relatively novel technology that can be used to develop more decentralized, autonomous and tamper-evident solutions. A feature that can aid Transactive Energy Systems to reach their goals by enabling individual actors to communicate and reach consensus with other participants in a more decentralized fashion. However, technical barriers to evaluate and adopt this type of technology within the electrical domain still exist. To facilitate this task, BLOSEM Unified Testing Platform (UTP), a DOE-sponsored, multi-lab effort intends to accelerate the development of solutions by offering a common set of reusable services that can be used to interconnect existent grid tools with blockchain services. UTP is intended to serve as development platform that can provide application engineers with the technical means to evaluate potential blockchain solutions, by enabling them to concentrate on the actual application functionalities while at the same time abstracting the connectivity and performance measurement tasks. The use of BLOSEM UTP is further demonstrated by implementing two potential use cases that are intended to validate both the feasibility of implementing these applications as blockchain-based solutions while also demonstrating the features provided by UTP.

blockchain↗

Full Scale Engine Demonstration of Additively Manufactured High Gamma Prime Turbine Blade

Additive manufacturing (AM), also known as 3D printing, is a rapidly developing technology with tremendous potential in both developmental and production applications. Solar Turbines Incorporated is committed to AM technology development for gas turbine applications. The ability to metal 3D print novel designs of turbine blades capable of actual turbine engine operation would effectively reduce design validation cycle time and allow acquisition of key performance data early in a design campaign. In support of Solar’s advanced manufacturing development and ongoing engine efficiency improvement goals, ORNL and Solar conducted a project to 3D print, machine, inspect, and engine test a full set of Mercury TM 50 stage 2 turbine blades. This full-scale, hot-fired engine demonstration has identified both the capabilities and limitations of the current technologies required to produce turbine hot-section AM components.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Experimental calibration of an Fe3+/Fe2+-in-amphibole oxybarometer and its application to shallow magmatic processes at Shiveluch Volcano, Kamchatka

Abstract Oxygen fugacity is an important but difficult parameter to constrain for primitive arc magmas. In this study, the partitioning behavior of Fe3+/Fe2+ between amphibole and glass synthesized in piston-cylinder and cold-seal apparatus experiments is developed as an oxybarometer, applicable to magmas ranging from basaltic to dacitic composition. The partitioning of Fe2+ is strongly dependent on melt polymerization; the relative compatibility of Fe2+ in amphibole decreases with increasing polymerization. The Fe2+/Mg distribution coefficient between amphibole and melt is a relatively constant value across all compositions and is, on average, 0.27. The amphibole oxybarometer is applied to amphibole in mafic enclaves, cumulates, and basaltic tephra erupted from Shiveluch volcano in Kamchatka with measured Fe3+/FeTotal. An average Fe3+/Fe2+ amphibole-glass distribution coefficient for basalt is used to convert the Fe3+/FeTotal of amphibole in samples from Shiveluch to magmatic oxygen fugacity relative to NNO. The fO2 of primitive melts at the volcano is approximately NNO+2 and is faithfully recorded in amphibole from an amphibole-rich cumulate and the basaltic tephra. Apparently, higher fO2 recorded by amphibole in mafic enclaves likely results from partial dehydrogenation of amphibole during residence in a shallow andesite storage region. We identify three pulses of mafic magma recharge within two weeks of, a month before, and two to three months before the eruption and find that, at each of these times, the host andesite was recharged by at least two magmas at varying stages of differentiation. Application of the amphibole oxybarometer not only gives insight into magmatic fO2 but also potentially details of shallow magmatic processes.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Big Data Meets Geothermal Exploration (CRADA Final Report)

As part of the Cyclotron Road program, Zanskar Geothermal & Minerals, Inc. investigated the application of micro-earthquake and ambient noise seismology methods to imaging and characterizing the structural characteristics and hydrothermal flux of subsurface faults. Significant advances in what could be resolved were enabled by two major developments in seismology: 1) the availability of large-n arrays of low-cost seismometers, and 2) the availability of increased computational power and semi-automated data reduction algorithms. In tandem, these advances may improve the signal-to-noise ratio and spatial precision of the data collected and enable higher-resolution characterization of subsurface fracture systems and their spatio-temporal evolution. These tools supported efforts to reduce dry-hole risk and to improve wellfield productivity for geothermal resource development. In particular, two applications of these advances were evaluated: 1) fracture-seismic imaging, which was used to detect ambient emissions from fluid-filled fractures, and 2) reservoir tomography, which used information about travel paths, source locations, and source parameters of micro-earthquakes to identify areas of enhanced permeability. Integration of these methods provided guidance for siting wells and served as prior constraints for reservoir models, informing forecasts of power potential and production and injection strategies aimed at minimizing temperature decline and improving overall resource productivity.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Recent Developments and Findings of Heat Pipe Experiments for Microreactor Applications

Microreactor technologies are required to provide reliable carbon-free power generation in remote applications. The heat pipe–cooled microreactor concept, in particular, offers notable advantages due to the passive operation of heat pipes, enabling increased reliability and simplicity in a more compact form factor. There is a significant need for experimental work to aid and expedite the deployment of heat pipe microreactors due to their unique technological characteristics. Thus, there has been increased interest in heat pipe experiments by numerous institutions in order to support these efforts. Finally, the present work is a comprehensive review of recent heat pipe experiments from six major institutions, describing their designs, instruments, methods, and results. In addition, this paper also presents a background on heat pipe experiments along with discussions on instrumentation, accident scenarios, wick enhancement, and proposed future directions.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Preliminary Assessment of Qiskit Quantum Simulator Capabilities for Development of Quantum Hopfield Neural Network for Anomaly Detection Applications (Q4 Report)

Quantum information processing offers potentially faster performance compared to the classical counterpart. The goal of this work is to investigate performance of Quantum Hopfield Neural Network for applications to anomaly detection. Preliminary study consist of assessment of computational capabilities of Qiskit quantum simulator. Eventual objective is to implement Quantum Hopfield Network algorithm for detection of weak nuisance and anomaly signal in the presence of strong and highly varying background in gamma radiation data measured during environmental screening.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Navier: Dataflow Architecture for Computation Chemistry

Navier’s objectives were two evaluate the use of emerging technologies, especially dataflow accelerators, for high-performance computing (HPC) applications, specifically in the domain of chemistry, and to develop a prototype software stack to support such applications. Navier builds on capabilities previously developed by synergistic projects, such as PNNL Data Model Convergence (DMC) LDRD Hardware Advanced Workflows (HAW) and DuOMO, as well as DOE ARIAA. Throughout its 18 months, the Navier team developed new capabilities and artifacts at all levels of the HW/SW stack, provided a seamless way to integrate novel computing architectures (Sambanova SN10 and Xilinx Versal AI) into an existing software stack, developed chemistry workflows, data analytics tools, and HPC molecular dynamics workflows that leverage the developed stack and PNNL institutional investments in emerging architectures. Navier also explored the use of active learning to accelerate a computational chemistry workflow for organic molecules on PNNL Junction cluster (in collaboration with AMD/Xilinx). Navier developed tools, methodologies, and studies for hardware software co-design and (sparse) dataflow accelerators that are composable and can be used together or separately. These methodologies are now used in other projects, such as DOE AMAIS and HPDA. This report describes Navier’s achievement, the developed tools and methodologies, and the research findings and conclusions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗