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Coupled Target-Beam-Moderator Optimization for the Second Target Station

This report describes the results for a coupled target-beam-moderator optimization analysis for the Second Target Station (STS) at ORNL's Spallation Neutron Source. This study is a continuation of the optimization analysis for the moderators in the preliminary design of STS performed in 2022. In the 2022 analysis the dimensions of the moderators are parameterized, while the target and the proton beam profile are kept constant. In this analysis the target height and the proton beam profile are added as parameters. This allows to study the coupled effects of changing target, moderator and beam dimensions. Similar to the 2022 analysis, this work is performed with an automated optimization workflow that uses the optimization toolbox DAKOTA, parameterized geometries in CREO and SpaceClaim, the unstructured mesh generation in Attila4MC, and the particle transport code MCNP6.2©. This workflow enables an efficient optimization using high-fidelity geometries. The main conclusions of this analysis are the following: • Coupled beam-target-moderator optimization provides a few additional percent performance gain over stand-alone moderator optimization. • The moderator performance is not very sensitive to the target height (between ≈60 and ≈80 mm) as long as the beam profile is chosen adequately. • The moderator performance is sensitive to the choice of beam spatial standard deviations, even when the footprint is kept constant. • The optimal moderator radius is the same for a beam footprint of 30 cm 2 , 62.5 cm 2 , and 90 cm 2 . Also the slope of the super-gaussian beam profile does not significantly impact the optimal moderator radius. • The optimal parameters and sensitivities are very similar to the 2022 optimization analysis. These results only indicate a a difference in the optimal radius of the cylindrical moderator, however, this has been corrected in the final design moderator optimization. The main purpose of this report is to document the simulations, results and lessons learned. The most impactful results are summarized in. We also note that the target geometry used in this work is not the final design.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Laboratory-Based Micro-X-ray Computed Tomography of Energy Materials at Idaho National Laboratory

Abstract The Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has implemented laboratory-based micro-X-ray computed tomography in a laboratory equipped for the examination of highly radioactive samples. This capability provides nondestructive three-dimensional volumetric information on samples to inform subsequent traditional destructive examinations as well as real-world inputs for high-fidelity scientific modeling. Samples can be imaged with spatial resolutions ranging from several hundred nm/voxel up to ~ 100 µm/voxel. The best usable spatial resolution achieved to date is 384 nm/voxel with this instrument, while the highest radiological dose rate of a sample imaged is ~ 60 R/h β/γ on contact. Advanced data analysis, including custom tomographic reconstruction and segmentation methods, have also been developed to support this capability. In addition to traditional digital X-ray radiography and tomography, this instrument is also able to visualize in situ tensile and compression testing as well as perform diffraction contrast tomography. This work describes the X-ray computed tomography post-irradiation examination capabilities at INL, as well as detailing a variety of applications this instrument has examined.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Pattern formation in a coupled membrane-bulk reaction-diffusion model for intracellular polarization and oscillations

Reaction-diffusion systems have been widely used to study spatio-temporal phenomena in cell biology, such as cell polarization. Coupled bulk-surface models naturally include compartmentalization of cytosolic and membrane-bound polarity molecules. Here we study the distribution of the polarity protein Cdc42 in a mass-conserved membrane-bulk model, and explore the effects of diffusion and spatial dimensionality on spatio-temporal pattern formation. We first analyze a one-dimensional (1-D) model for Cdc42 oscillations in fission yeast, consisting of two diffusion equations in the bulk domain coupled to nonlinear ODEs for binding kinetics at each end of the cell. In 1-D, our analysis reveals the existence of symmetric and asymmetric steady states, as well as anti-phase relaxation oscillations typical of slow-fast systems. We then extend our analysis to a two-dimensional (2-D) model with circular bulk geometry, for which species can either diffuse inside the cell or become bound to the membrane and undergo a nonlinear reaction-diffusion process. We also consider a nonlocal system of PDEs approximating the dynamics of the 2-D membrane-bulk model in the limit of fast bulk diffusion. In all three model variants we find that mass conservation selects perturbations of spatial modes that simply redistribute mass. In 1-D, only anti-phase oscillations between the two ends of the cell can occur, and in-phase oscillations are excluded. In higher dimensions, no radially symmetric oscillations are observed. Instead, the only instabilities are symmetry-breaking, either corresponding to stationary Turing instabilities, leading to the formation of stationary patterns, or to oscillatory Turing instabilities, leading to traveling and standing waves. Codimension-two Bogdanov—Takens bifurcations occur when the two distinct instabilities coincide, causing traveling waves to slow down and to eventually become stationary patterns. Our work clarifies the effect of geometry and dimensionality on behaviors observed in ma.ss-conserved cell polarity models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

On the theoretical limitations in estimating thickness of a plate-like structure from a full-field single-tone response Lamb wave measurement

A persistent question in wavenumber analysis in the estimation of thickness from a steady-state wave field is identifying the theoretical sensitivity of the system. Here, a well-known trade-off between spatial frequency/wavenumber resolution and thickness resolution exists. The current work presents a calculation of the Cramer-Rao Lower bound (CRLB), specifically as applied to thickness estimates, for a 2-dimensional multi-mode waveform in Gaussian noise. Cases of near-field and far-field excitation are considered, and transducer position with respect to the scan area is also varied. Additionally, we consider the CRLB in a plate with multiple sources, simulated as sources placed on the boundary of the plate. We conclude by presenting the CRLB values in terms of frequency for various thicknesses, and by presenting optimal excitation frequencies for a nominal thickness, based on the CRLB.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Designing an Observing System to Study the Surface Biology and Geology (SBG) of the Earth in the 2020s

Abstract Observations of planet Earth from space are a critical resource for science and society. Satellite measurements represent very large investments and United States (US) agencies organize their effort to maximize the return on that investment. The US National Research Council conducts a survey of Earth science and applications to prioritize observations for the coming decade. The most recent survey prioritized a visible to shortwave infrared imaging spectrometer and a multispectral thermal infrared imager to meet a range of needs for studying Surface Biology and Geology (SBG). SBG will be the premier integrated observatory for observing the emerging impacts of climate change by characterizing the diversity of plant life and resolving chemical and physiological signatures. It will address wildfire risk, behavior, and recovery as well as responses to hazards such as oil spills, toxic minerals in minelands, harmful algal blooms, landslides, and other geological hazards. The SBG team analyzed needed instrument characteristics (spatial, temporal, and spectral resolutions, measurement uncertainty) and assessed the cost, mass, power, volume, and risk of different architectures. We present an overview of the Research and Applications trade‐study analysis of algorithms, calibration and validation needs, and societal applications with specifics of substudies detailed in other articles in this special collection. We provide a value framework to converge from hundreds down to three candidate architectures recommended for development. The analysis identified valuable opportunities for international collaboration to increase the revisit frequency, adding value for all partners, leading to a clear measurement strategy for an observing system architecture.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Near‐Surface Hydrology and Soil Properties Drive Heterogeneity in Permafrost Distribution, Vegetation Dynamics, and Carbon Cycling in a Sub‐Arctic Watershed

Abstract Discontinuous permafrost environments exhibit strong spatial heterogeneity at scales too small to be driven by weather forcing or captured by Earth System Models. Here we analyze effects of observed spatial heterogeneity in soil and vegetation properties, hydrology, and thermal dynamics on ecosystem carbon dynamics in a watershed on the Seward Peninsula in Alaska. We apply a Morris global sensitivity analysis to a process‐rich, successfully tested terrestrial ecosystem model (TEM), ecosys , varying soil properties, boundary conditions, and weather forcing. We show that landscape heterogeneity strongly impacts soil temperatures and vegetation composition. Snow depth, O‐horizon thickness, and near‐surface water content, which vary at scales of O(m), control the soil thermal regime more than an air temperature gradient corresponding to a 140 km north–south distance. High shrub productivity is simulated only in talik (perennially unfrozen) soils with high nitrogen availability. Through these effects on plant and permafrost dynamics, landscape heterogeneity impacts ecosystem productivity. Simulations with near‐surface taliks have higher microbial respiration (by 78.0 gC m −2 yr −1 ) and higher net primary productivity (by 104.9 gC m −2 yr −1 ) compared to runs with near‐surface permafrost, and simulations with high shrub productivity have outlying values of net carbon uptake. We explored the prediction uncertainty associated with ignoring observed landscape heterogeneity, and found that watershed net carbon uptake is 60% larger when heterogeneity is accounted for. Our results highlight the complexity inherent in discontinuous permafrost environments and demonstrate that missing representation of subgrid heterogeneity in TEMs could bias predictions of high‐latitude carbon budget.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Variability in Ice Nucleating Particles Across Greater Houston Texas

The concentration and cloud-forming potential of a region's ice nucleating particle (INP) population have uncertain impacts on deep convective clouds. Specifically, ice nucleating particles (INPs) may affect various cloud properties related to the formation, lifetime, and precipitation of deep convective clouds. As part of the U.S. Department of Energy's TRacking Aerosol and Convection interaction ExpeRiment (TRACER) campaign, researchers from Texas A&M University deployed three Davis Rotating-drum Universal-size-cut Monitoring (DRUM) samplers throughout Greater Houston, Texas from June through September 2022. Ambient particles, collected at the surface with the DRUM samplers in four aerodynamic diameter size ranges (>3, 3–1.2, 1.2–0.34, and 0.34–0.15 μm), were analyzed in offline cold-stage ice nucleation experiments. The INP population in Greater Houston is complex, varying by site and day, but can be generalized by a weak to moderately efficient mode of INPs at −24°C and an efficient mode at −15°C. Analysis reveals that supermicron particles are largely responsible for ice nucleation warmer than −20°C across the region while submicron particles dominate at temperatures colder than −20°C. Additionally, significant spatial diversity in the INP population was observed, with differences in mean nucleation temperature between sites for nearly every size cut. Although INP concentrations were typically ∼0.08 L −1 at −20°C throughout the campaign, a notable region-wide increase in INP concentration for particles freezing at temperatures warmer than −20°C occurred from mid-August to mid-September. This comprehensive characterization of Greater Houston's INP population, including spatial, temporal, and particle size variations, can help constrain ice microphysics parameterizations in weather and climate models.

Thompson, Seth A. [Texas A & M Univ., College Stat↗

Microbial carbon use efficiency promotes global soil carbon storage

Soils store more carbon than other terrestrial ecosystems. How soil organic carbon (SOC) forms and persists remains uncertain, which makes it challenging to understand how it will respond to climatic change. It has been suggested that soil microorganisms play an important role in SOC formation, preservation and loss. Although microorganisms affect the accumulation and loss of soil organic matter through many pathways, microbial carbon use efficiency (CUE) is an integrative metric that can capture the balance of these processes. Although CUE has the potential to act as a predictor of variation in SOC storage, the role of CUE in SOC persistence remains unresolved. Here we examine the relationship between CUE and the preservation of SOC, and interactions with climate, vegetation and edaphic properties, using a combination of global-scale datasets, a microbial-process explicit model, data assimilation, deep learning and meta-analysis. We find that CUE is at least four times as important as other evaluated factors, such as carbon input, decomposition or vertical transport, in determining SOC storage and its spatial variation across the globe. In addition, CUE shows a positive correlation with SOC content. Our findings point to microbial CUE as a major determinant of global SOC storage. Understanding the microbial processes underlying CUE and their environmental dependence may help the prediction of SOC feedback to a changing climate.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Prediction of low-Z collinear and noncollinear antiferromagnetic compounds having momentum-dependent spin splitting even without spin-orbit coupling

The over 60 years old Rashba-Dresselhaus effect predicts spin-orbit coupling (SOC) induced momentum-dependent spin splitting and spin polarization in materials with noncentrosymmetric structures. Strong SOC induced effects usually require high-atomic number (Z) elements such as rare-earth elements. It has recently been pointed out that antiferromagnets could hold SOC-independent spin splitting and spin polarization. In the present work we develop the spatial and magnetic symmetry conditions enabling such antiferromagnet (AFM)-induced spin splitting, dividing the 1651 magnetic space groups into seven different spin splitting prototypes (SST-1 to SST-7). This analysis places the physics of AFM spin splitting (SST-4) within the broader context of symmetry conditions that enable the more familiar forms of spin splitting, such as ferromagnetic Zeeman effect (SST-5), nonmagnetic no spin splitting (SST-6), and the nonmagnetic Rashba and Dresselhaus effects (SST-7). The AFM-induced spin splitting and spin polarization do not necessarily require breaking of inversion symmetry or the presence of SOC, hence can exist even in centrosymmetric, low-Z light element compounds, considerably broadening the material base for spin manipulations. We use the “inverse design” approach of first formulating the target property (here, spin splitting in low-Z compounds not restricted to low symmetry structures), then derive the enabling physical design principles—the magnetic symmetry conditions—to search realizable compounds that satisfy these a priori design principles. This process uncovers 422 magnetic space groups (160 centrosymmetric and 262 noncentrosymmetric) that could hold AFM-induced, SOC-independent spin splitting and spin polarization. We then search for stable compounds following such enabling symmetries. We investigate the electronic and spin structures of some selected prototype compounds by density functional theory (DFT) and find spin textures that are different than the traditional Rashba-Dresselhaus patterns and exist even in the absence of SOC effect. We provide the DFT results for all antiferromagnetic spin splitting prototypes (SST-1, SST-2, SST-3, SST-4), and concentrate on two limits of SST-4 that are particularly unusual: When spin splitting is momentum dependent (just like the Rashba effect) but is enabled in antiferromagnets even in the absence of SOC in the Hamiltonian. This includes examples of (a) centrosymmetric SST-4A compounds (e.g., orthorhombic LaMnO 3 illustrating collinear AFM, as well as cubic NiS 2 illustrating noncollinear AFM) and (b) noncentrosymmetric SST-4B compounds (e.g., rhombohedral MnTiO 3 illustrating collinear AFM and hexagonal ScMnO 3 illustrating noncollinear AFM). The symmetry design principles outlined here, along with their transformation into an inverse design material search approach and DFT verification, could open the way to their experimental examination.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Impact of Model Resolution on Tropical Cyclone Simulation Using the HighResMIP–PRIMAVERA Multimodel Ensemble

A multimodel, multiresolution set of simulations over the period 1950–2014 using a common forcing protocol from CMIP6 HighResMIP have been completed by six modeling groups. Analysis of tropical cyclone performance using two different tracking algorithms suggests that enhanced resolution toward 25 km typically leads to more frequent and stronger tropical cyclones, together with improvements in spatial distribution and storm structure. Both of these factors reduce typical GCM biases seen at lower resolution. Using single ensemble members of each model, there is little evidence of systematic improvement in interannual variability in either storm frequency or accumulated cyclone energy as compared with observations when resolution is increased. Changes in the relationships between large-scale drivers of climate variability and tropical cyclone variability in the Atlantic Ocean are also not robust to model resolution. However, using a larger ensemble of simulations (of up to 14 members) with one model at different resolutions does show evidence of increased skill at higher resolution. The ensemble mean correlation of Atlantic interannual tropical cyclone variability increases from ~0.5 to ~0.65 when resolution increases from 250 to 100 km. In the northwestern Pacific Ocean the skill keeps increasing with 50-km resolution to 0.7. These calculations also suggest that more than six members are required to adequately distinguish the impact of resolution within the forced signal from the weather noise.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

LDRD23-0184: Resilience and Hazard Risk Assessment to Prioritize Security Operations for Decisions and Impacts (RHAPSODI)

Recent examples provide a significant concern for the resilience of the U.S. electric grid and represent a need for enhanced decision-making to address an increasingly wide range of complex system interactions and potential consequences. In response, this LDRD project produced a proof-of-concept evaluation called the Resilience and Hazard Assessment to Prioritize Security Operations for Decisions and Impacts (RHAPSODI) methodology as an agile and flexible analytic framework capable of addressing multiple, diverse threats to desired electric grid performance. After empirically grounding needs for the future of U.S. electric grid resilience, this project employed the systems-theoretic process analysis (STPA) to develop a systems engineering risk model. The results of a completed feasibility study of a notional high voltage transmission system demonstrate an improved ability to incorporate both spatial (e.g., geographically distributed) and temporal (e.g., dynamic and time-dependent) elements of security risk to the gird. The success of this LDRD project provides the foundation for further evolution of the systems engineering risk model for the grid; derivation of quantitative approaches to evaluate risk and resilience performance; facilitation of agile experimenting and grid sensitivity to a range of vulnerabilities; and development of tools to assist decision-makers in enhancing U.S. electrical grid resilience.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Deep X-Ray Observation of NGC 3221: Everything Everywhere All at Once

We present a comprehensive analysis of 475 ks (438 ks unpublished and 37 ks archival) XMM-Newton/EPIC-pn observations of a nearby, highly inclined, star-forming, luminous infrared galaxy NGC 3221 through spatial, temporal, and spectral information. We confirm the presence of a low-luminosity (presumably Compton-thick) active galactic nucleus (AGN). The 0.4–12 keV luminosity and the hardness ratio of the six ultraluminous X-ray sources previously identified in Chandra data exhibit diverse variability on day scales. The collective emission from unresolved sources exhibits a different day-scale variability. We have also discovered two new predominantly soft (<1 keV) sources. One of these has an enigmatic spectral shape featuring a soft component, which we interpret as a superbubble in NGC 3221, and a variable hard component from a compact object, unresolved from the superbubble. We do not confidently detect any X-ray emission from SN 1961L. The hot gas in the interstellar medium (ISM, out to ±6 kpc from the disk plane) and that in the extraplanar region (6–12 kpc) both require two thermal phases at ∼0.15 keV and ∼0.55 keV. The ∼0.55 keV component is fainter in the ISM than the ∼0.15 keV component, but the emission from the latter falls off more steeply with disk height than the emission from the former. This makes the extraplanar region hotter and less dense than the ISM. The proximity of NGC 3221 and the occurrence of the underluminous AGN offer a unique observing opportunity to study the hot diffuse medium along with nuclear and diskwide point sources.

Das, Sanskriti [Stanford Univ., CA (United States)↗

tobac v1.5: introducing fast 3D tracking, splits and mergers, and other enhancements for identifying and analysing meteorological phenomena

There is a continuously increasing need for reliable feature detection and tracking tools based on objective analysis principles for use with meteorological data. Many tools have been developed over the previous 2 decades that attempt to address this need but most have limitations on the type of data they can be used with, feature computational and/or memory expenses that make them unwieldy with larger datasets, or require some form of data reduction prior to use that limits the tool's utility. The Tracking and Object-Based Analysis of Clouds (tobac) Python package is a modular, open-source tool that improves on the overall generality and utility of past tools. A number of scientific improvements (three spatial dimensions, splits and mergers of features, an internal spectral filtering tool) and procedural enhancements (increased computational efficiency, internal regridding of data, and treatments for periodic boundary conditions) have been included in tobac as a part of the tobac v1.5 update. These improvements have made tobac one of the most robust, powerful, and flexible identification and tracking tools in our field to date and expand its potential use in other fields. Future plans for tobac v2 are also discussed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

AICCA: AI-Driven Cloud Classification Atlas

Clouds play an important role in the Earth’s energy budget, and their behavior is one of the largest uncertainties in future climate projections. Satellite observations should help in understanding cloud responses, but decades and petabytes of multispectral cloud imagery have to date received only limited use. This study describes a new analysis approach that reduces the dimensionality of satellite cloud observations by grouping them via a novel automated, unsupervised cloud classification technique based on a convolutional autoencoder, an artificial intelligence (AI) method good at identifying patterns in spatial data. Our technique combines a rotation-invariant autoencoder and hierarchical agglomerative clustering to generate cloud clusters that capture meaningful distinctions among cloud textures, using only raw multispectral imagery as input. Cloud classes are therefore defined based on spectral properties and spatial textures without reliance on location, time/season, derived physical properties, or pre-designated class definitions. We use this approach to generate a unique new cloud dataset, the AI-driven cloud classification atlas (AICCA), which clusters 22 years of ocean images from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Aqua and Terra instruments—198 million patches, each roughly 100 km × 100 km (128 × 128 pixels)—into 42 AI-generated cloud classes, a number determined via a newly-developed stability protocol that we use to maximize richness of information while ensuring stable groupings of patches. AICCA thereby translates 801 TB of satellite images into 54.2 GB of class labels and cloud top and optical properties, a reduction by a factor of 15,000. The 42 AICCA classes produce meaningful spatio-temporal and physical distinctions and capture a greater variety of cloud types than do the nine International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) categories—for example, multiple textures in the stratocumulus decks along the West coasts of North and South America. We conclude that our methodology has explanatory power, capturing regionally unique cloud classes and providing rich but tractable information for global analysis. AICCA delivers the information from multi-spectral images in a compact form, enables data-driven diagnosis of patterns of cloud organization, provides insight into cloud evolution on timescales of hours to decades, and helps democratize climate research by facilitating access to core data.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Multi-Scale Temporal Patterns in Stream Biogeochemistry Indicate Linked Permafrost and Ecological Dynamics of Boreal Catchments

Temporal patterns in stream chemistry provide integrated signals describing the hydrological and ecological state of whole catchments. However, stream chemistry integrates multi-scale signals of processes occurring in both the catchment and stream. Deconvoluting these signals could identify mechanisms of solute transport and transformation and provide a basis for monitoring ecosystem change. Here, we applied trend analysis, wavelet decomposition, multivariate autoregressive state-space modeling, and analysis of concentration-discharge relationships to assess temporal patterns in high-frequency (15 min) stream chemistry from permafrost-influenced boreal catchments in Interior Alaska at diel, storm, and seasonal time scales. We compared catchments that varied in spatial extent of permafrost to identify characteristic biogeochemical signals. Catchments with higher spatial extents of permafrost were characterized by increasing nitrate concentration through the thaw season, an abrupt increase in nitrate and fluorescent dissolved organic matter (fDOM) and declining conductivity in late summer, and flushing of nitrate and fDOM during summer rainstorms. In contrast, these patterns were absent, of lower magnitude, or reversed in catchments with lower permafrost extent. Solute dynamics revealed a positive influence of permafrost on fDOM export and the role of shallow, seasonally dynamic flowpaths in delivering solutes from high-permafrost catchments to streams. Lower spatial extent of permafrost resulted in static delivery of nitrate and limited transport of fDOM to streams. Shifts in concentration-discharge relationships and seasonal trends in stream chemistry toward less temporally dynamic patterns might therefore indicate reorganized catchment hydrology and biogeochemistry due to permafrost thaw.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

MESOSCALE THERMAL TRANSPORT MEASUREMENTS OF MULTI-PHASE AND POROUS NUCLEAR FUELS USING A SQUARE-WAVE PULSE THERMOREFLECTANCE TECHNIQUE

The safe and efficient operation of nuclear reactors require accurate knowledge of peak temperatures in the fuel assemblies. The temperature profiles are governed by the thermal transport properties of the fuel, namely the thermal conductivities (k) and thermal diffusivities (D). These values can be very difficult to measure as they are known to vary considerably from the measured bulk values of the fresh fuel, and quickly degrade with increasing burnup [1 -3] . Laser-based techniques have been effectively used for non-destructive and non-contact thermal transport measurements of a wide variety of materials, including nuclear materials [4-6] that would otherwise prove too hazardous or difficult to measure otherwise. In this study, a new thermoreflectance technique known as square-pulse transient thermoreflectance (SPTR) is described and used to determine the mesoscale thermal diffusivity of both uranium sesquisilicide (U3Si2) and uranium nitride (UN) phases in a composite fuel with micron level spatial resolution [7]. This technique employs a rapid train of square-wave pulses from an excitation laser to create a periodic heat flux on a gold coated sample surface. Surface adsorption results in transient film temperatures and hence rapid fluctuations in thermoreflectance that can be measured via a detection laser coupled with a digital oscilloscope. The lasers are coaxially focused on the sample surface, allowing for a sample measurement area of a single convolved laser spot size (~2 µm). A sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify key measurement parameters of this technique using reference materials with a range of thermal conductivities comparable to those of both ceramic, composite, and metal nuclear fuel types (1.4 – 27.2 W/m-K). The reference materials were measured using the new technique as well as a spatial-domain thermoreflectance technique (SDTR) previously reported for a comparison [8]. Additionally, measurements of several U3Si2 and UN phase regions of a polished UN/U3Si2 (70/30 vol.%) sample were taken, and the resulting calculated D values are reported, with both techniques showing excellent agreement between samples. This technique was used to scan a multiphase region at 5 micron increments to generate a local diffusivity map, demonstrating the utility of the techniques for measuring thermal transport properties in specimens with precipitates and secondary phases. Furthermore, the technique is currently being applied to measure thermal properties of Fast Flux Test Reactor (FFTR) irradiated metal fuel specimens whose porous microstructure make it very difficult to measure using other techniques. Comparison of the local scale measurements are compared with the pre-irradiated fuel samples to show the degradation of thermal transport in fuels due to pores from fission gas bubbles and other irradiation induced defects.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Long-term spatial and temporal solar resource variability over America using the NSRDB version 3 (1998–2017)

The study assesses the long-term spatial and temporal solar resource variability in America using the 20-year National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL's) National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB). Specifically, the coefficient of variation (COV) is used to analyze the spatial and temporal (interannual and seasonal) variability. Further, both spatial and temporal long-term variability are analyzed using the Köppen-Geiger climate classification. The temporal variability is found that, on average, the continental United States (CONUS) COV reaches up to 5% for global horizontal irradiance (GHI) and 10% for direct normal irradiance (DNI), and that the NSRDB domain's COV is roughly twice that of CONUS. For the seasonal variability analysis, the winter months are found to exhibit higher COV than the other seasons. In particular, December exhibits the highest variability, reaching on average 30% for DNI and 20% for GHI over various areas. On the other hand, the summer months demonstrate significantly lower variability, reaching only less than 20% for DNI and 10% for GHI, on average. Similarly, the spatial variability is analyzed by comparing each pixel to its neighbors. The long-term spatial variability is found to increase with the number of neighboring pixels being considered, which is equivalent to an increase in distance (within a 100-km x 100-km square grid). As expected, the DNI spatial variability is higher than that of GHI. Moreover, the annual solar irradiance anomalies are found to reach ±25% for both GHI and DNI (and even exceed those value in some instances) during each year of the 20-year period.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Field Sensitivity Analysis of Turbulence Model Parameters for Flow Over a Wing

Reynolds-averaged-Navier-Stokes (RANS) turbulence models are a critical tool in computational-fluid-dynamics simulations of aerodynamic systems, but simulation results can be highly sensitive to RANS-model parameter choices. Sensitivity analysis can be used to quantify these impacts, and the objective of this study is to demonstrate field sensitivity analysis with respect to ten parameters in the 2003 Menter shear-stress-transport (SST) turbulence model. Here, the analysis is demonstrated for an application relevant to wind energy, namely, flow over a NACA 0015 wing at 12 degree angle of attack and a Reynolds number of 1.5 x 10 6 . We quantify sensitivity using Sobol indices and the mean-squared gradient, which are estimated using polynomial chaos and active subspace models, respectively. Our results indicate that there are substantial spatial variations in parameter sensitivities, with different sets of most-sensitive parameters near the wing, as well as in the downstream wake, consistent with the physical interpretations of the turbulence model inputs. We show that, for this particular turbulence model and flow, simultaneous dimension reduction is possible across all quantities of interest, enabling efficient exploration of model outcomes. Ultimately, this analysis provides new insights into turbulence model parameter sensitivities in incompressible flows, and also demonstrates the implementation of field sensitivity analysis for applications relevant to aerodynamics simulations.

17 WIND ENERGY↗