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At least 1,135 records · Page 63

The NASA Fireball Network

In the summer of 2008, the NASA Meteoroid Environments Office (MEO) began to establish a video fireball network, based on the following objectives: (1) determine the speed distribution of cm size meteoroids, (2) determine the major sources of cm size meteoroids (showers/sporadic sources), (3) characterize meteor showers (numbers, magnitudes, trajectories, orbits), (4) determine the size at which showers dominate the meteor flux, (5) discriminate between re-entering space debris and meteors, and 6) locate meteorite falls. In order to achieve the above with the limited resources available to the MEO, it was necessary that the network function almost fully autonomously, with very little required from humans in the areas of upkeep or analysis. With this in mind, the camera design and, most importantly, the ASGARD meteor detection software were adopted from the University of Western Ontario's Southern Ontario Meteor Network (SOMN), as NASA has a cooperative agreement with Western's Meteor Physics Group. 15 cameras have been built, and the network now consists of 8 operational cameras, with at least 4 more slated for deployment in calendar year 2013. The goal is to have 15 systems, distributed in two or more groups east of automatic analysis; every morning, this server also automatically generates an email and a web page (http://fireballs.ndc.nasa.gov) containing an automated analysis of the previous night's events. This analysis provides the following for each meteor: UTC date and time, speed, start and end locations (longitude, latitude, altitude), radiant, shower identification, light curve (meteor absolute magnitude as a function of time), photometric mass, orbital elements, and Tisserand parameter. Radiant/orbital plots and various histograms (number versus speed, time, etc) are also produced. After more than four years of operation, over 5,000 multi-station fireballs have been observed, 3 of which potentially dropped meteorites. A database containing data on all these events, including the videos and calibration information, has been developed and is being modified to include data from the SOMN and other camera networks.

Cooke, William J.↗

Restructuring and Optimizing Reactor Building Lifting Processes & Designing a Solution for an Overhead Door Handling Forklift Attachment

This poster presents two innovative projects aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and safety at the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) Complex. The first project focuses on restructuring the existing lift book used for hoisting operations within the ATR Reactor Building. The current lift book, a cumbersome 150+ page document, is being transformed into a more efficient format using charts that allow for quick identification of maximum lift heights based on object footprint and weight. This new method also considers various parameters such as floor integrity and reactor status, dividing entries into four distinct charts to improve usability and safety during lifts. The second project involves designing a specialized forklift attachment for handling an overhead door at the ATR Reactor Building. The attachment is engineered to securely lift and lower a 1200lb, 14ft long door, ensuring safe replacement operations. The design process included research on forklift attachment codes, modeling in Autodesk Inventor, and testing through Finite Element Analysis (FEA) and hand calculations to confirm the attachment's structural integrity. Future work includes completing detailed drawings and an Engineering Calculations Analysis and Review (ECAR) document to proceed with manufacturing and assembly. Together, these projects demonstrate a commitment to optimizing reactor building operations through innovative engineering solutions and safety considerations.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

Reference Computational Meshing Strategy for Computational Fluid Dynamics Simulation of Departure from Nucleate Boiling

The objective of this effort is to establish a strategy and process for generation of suitable computational mesh for computational fluid dynamics simulations of departure from nucleate boiling in a 5 by 5 fuel rod assembly held in place by PWR mixing vane spacer grids. This mesh generation process will support ongoing efforts to develop, demonstrate and validate advanced multi-phase computational fluid dynamics methods that enable more robust identification of dryout conditions and DNB occurrence.Building upon prior efforts and experience, multiple computational meshes were developed using the native mesh generation capabilities of the commercial CFD code STAR-CCM+. These meshes were used to simulate two test cases from the Westinghouse 5 by 5 rod bundle facility. The sensitivity of predicted quantities of interest to the mesh resolution was then established using two evaluation methods, the Grid Convergence Index method and the Least Squares method. This evaluation suggests that the Least Squares method can reliably establish the uncertainty associated with local parameters such as vector velocity components at a point in the domain or surface averaged quantities such as outlet velocity magnitude. However, neither method is suitable for characterization of uncertainty in global extrema such as peak fuel surface temperature, primarily because such parameters are not necessarily associated with a fixed point in space. This shortcoming is significant because the current generation algorithm for identification of DNB event conditions relies on identification of such global extrema. Ongoing efforts to identify DNB based on local surface conditions will address this challenge.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

On Problems Associated with Modeling Wing-Tail Configurations from Wind Tunnel Data

This paper considers factors that contribute to poor identification of unsteady aerodynamics from wind tunnel data for an airliner configuration. One approach to modeling a wing-tail configuration is considered and applied to both steady and large-amplitude forced pitch oscillation wind tunnel data taken over a wide range of angles of attack but a limited range of amplitude and frequencies. The identified models fit the measured data well but in some cases with inaccurate parameters. Only limited conclusions can be drawn from analysis of the current data set until further experiments can be performed to resolve the identification issues. The analysis of measured and simulated data provides some insights and guidance on how an effective experiment may be designed for wing-tail configurations with nonlinear unsteady aerodynamics.

Murphy, Patrick C.↗

Development of Ion Mobility Spectrometry for Exobiology Flight Experiments

Ion Mobility Spectrometry (IMS) can provide gas chromatography with sample identification independent of sample retention time, with minimal interface. Initial commercial methods of IMS however, did not possess sufficient analytical capabilities and presented operational parameters which were unsuitable for exobiology missions. Subsequent development of IMS technology, with the focus on exobiology analytical requirements and mission imposed operational limitations, has produced an IMS interfaced with a GC capable of fulfilling the analytical requirements of several exobiology missions. Future exobiology missions will require further development of the IMS, particularly in the areas of overall instrument miniaturization and complex sample identification. The evolution of the exobiology focused IMS will be presented up to the current prototype design, which is a component of several proposed exobiology instruments. Areas of future development will also be discussed.

Kojiro, Daniel R.↗

Effect of pulse sequence parameter selection on signal strength in positive-contrast MRI markers for MRI-based prostate postimplant assessment

Purpose: For postimplant dosimetric assessment, computed tomography (CT) is commonly used to identify prostate brachytherapy seeds, at the expense of accurate anatomical contouring. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is superior to CT for anatomical delineation, but identification of the negative-contrast seeds is challenging. Positive-contrast MRI markers were proposed to replace spacers to assist seed localization on MRI images. Visualization of these markers under varying scan parameters was investigated. Methods: To simulate a clinical scenario, a prostate phantom was implanted with 66 markers and 86 seeds, and imaged on a 3.0T MRI scanner using a 3D fast radiofrequency-spoiled gradient recalled echo acquisition with various combinations of scan parameters. Scan parameters, including flip angle, number of excitations, bandwidth, field-of-view, slice thickness, and encoding steps were systematically varied to study their effects on signal, noise, scan time, image resolution, and artifacts. Results: The effects of pulse sequence parameter selection on the marker signal strength and image noise were characterized. The authors also examined the tradeoff between signal-to-noise ratio, scan time, and image artifacts, such as the wraparound artifact, susceptibility artifact, chemical shift artifact, and partial volume averaging artifact. Given reasonable scan time and managable artifacts, the authors recommended scan parameter combinations that can provide robust visualization of the MRI markers. Conclusions: The recommended MRI pulse sequence protocol allows for consistent visualization of the markers to assist seed localization, potentially enabling MRI-only prostate postimplant dosimetry.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Locating the Source of Forced Oscillations in Transmission Power Grids

A forced oscillation event in power grids refers to a state where malfunctioning or abnormally operating equipment causes persisting periodic disturbances in the system. While power grids are designed to damp most perturbations during standard operations, some of them can excite normal modes of the system and cause significant energy transfers across the system, creating large oscillations thousands of miles away from the source. Localization of the source of such disturbances remains an outstanding challenge due to a limited knowledge of the system parameters outside of the zone of responsibility of system operators. Here, we propose a new method for locating the source of forced oscillations that addresses this challenge by performing a simultaneous dynamic model identification using a principled maximum likelihood approach. We illustrate the validity of the algorithm on a variety of examples where forcing leads to resonance conditions in the system dynamics. Our results establish that an accurate knowledge of system parameters is not required for a successful inference of the source and frequency of a forced oscillation. We anticipate that our method will find a broader application in general dynamical systems that can be well described by their linearized dynamics over short periods of time.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Feature Extraction for Pipeline Defects Inspection Based Upon Distributed Acoustic Fiber Optic Sensing Data

Fiber-optic distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) is becoming an increasingly important tool for real-time monitoring of energy and civil infrastructure structural health such as pipelines. We present a systematic theoretical study of the potential for DAS to be directly coupled with guided ultrasonic waves typically used in conventional acoustic non-destructive evaluation (NDE) methods for real-time pipeline health monitoring. We are referring to this innovative new NDE technique as ultrasonic guided wave and optical fiber sensor fusion. In the practical application of DAS coupled with guided ultrasonic waves, the structural design of (1) the specific guided waves excited, (2) the physical installation of the acoustic transducers and the fiber optic sensors, and (3) the functional performance specifications (gauge length, sensitivity, Etc.) of fiber optic DAS have an important influence on overall capabilities of the monitoring system. Meanwhile, physics-based analysis of acoustic waves is still a challenge due to the complex nature of the Lamb wave when it propagates, scatters, and disperses in the presence of structural defects. In this work, we simulate carbon steel pipes relevant for oil and gas pipeline applications with diameters of approximately 6-12” and wall thickness of 0.5” as the objects to be monitored. By establishing and implementing these capabilities, we seek to pursue an in-depth study on structural parameter optimization of DAS network, measurement range, and signal processing with an ultimate goal of increasing the sensitivity and efficacy of DAS to defect identification for various modes of corrosion expected in practice. To study the characteristics of scattered acoustic waves and performance of DAS for defect identification, we simulated the response of DAS for multiple pipe structures, defect types, and DAS sensor network configuration using finite element software Ansys, then the properties of signal response are extracted to construct defect-sensitive features. The raw data simulated, and the associated features extracted can ultimately be utilized as annotated training data to benchmark various designs for DAS applications, guided acoustic excitation sources, and learning model parameters to enhance early detection of potentially problematic defects.

Pipeline Defects Inspection, Fiber-optic sensors, ↗

On the estimation algorithm used in adaptive performance optimization of turbofan engines

The performance seeking control algorithm is designed to continuously optimize the performance of propulsion systems. The performance seeking control algorithm uses a nominal model of the propulsion system and estimates, in flight, the engine deviation parameters characterizing the engine deviations with respect to nominal conditions. In practice, because of measurement biases and/or model uncertainties, the estimated engine deviation parameters may not reflect the engine's actual off-nominal condition. This factor has a necessary impact on the overall performance seeking control scheme exacerbated by the open-loop character of the algorithm. The effects produced by unknown measurement biases over the estimation algorithm are evaluated. This evaluation allows for identification of the most critical measurements for application of the performance seeking control algorithm to an F100 engine. An equivalence relation between the biases and engine deviation parameters stems from an observability study; therefore, it is undecided whether the estimated engine deviation parameters represent the actual engine deviation or whether they simply reflect the measurement biases. A new algorithm, based on the engine's (steady-state) optimization model, is proposed and tested with flight data. When compared with previous Kalman filter schemes, based on local engine dynamic models, the new algorithm is easier to design and tune and it reduces the computational burden of the onboard computer.

Espana, Martin D.↗

Machine-Learning Assisted Identification of Accurate Battery Lifetime Models with Uncertainty

Reduced-order battery lifetime models, which consist of algebraic expressions for various aging modes, are widely utilized for extrapolating degradation trends from accelerated aging tests to real-world aging scenarios. Identifying models with high accuracy and low uncertainty is crucial for ensuring that model extrapolations are believable, however, it is difficult to compose expressions that accurately predict multivariate data trends; a review of cycling degradation models from literature reveals a wide variety of functional relationships. Here, a machine-learning assisted model identification method is utilized to fit degradation in a stand-out LFP-Gr aging data set, with uncertainty quantified by bootstrap resampling. The model identified in this work results in approximately half the mean absolute error of a human expert model. Models are validated by converting to a state-equation form and comparing predictions against cells aging under varying loads. Parameter uncertainty is carried forward into an energy storage system simulation to estimate the impact of aging model uncertainty on system lifetime. The new model identification method used here reduces life-prediction uncertainty by more than a factor of three (86% ± 5% relative capacity at 10 years for human-expert model, 88.5% ± 1.5% for machine-learning assisted model), empowering more confident estimates of energy storage system lifetime.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Computational Inference of Vibratory System with Incomplete Modal Information Using Parallel, Interactive and Adaptive Markov Chains

Inverse analysis of vibratory system is an important subject in fault identification, model updating, and robust design and control. It is challenging subject because 1) the problem is oftentimes underdetermined while the measurements are limited and/or incomplete; 2) many combinations of parameters may yield results that are similar with respect to actual response measurements; and 3) uncertainties inevitably exist. The aim of this research is to leverage upon computational intelligence through statistical inference to facilitate an enhanced, probabilistic framework using incomplete modal response measurement. This new framework is built upon efficient inverse identification through optimization, whereas Bayesian inference is employed to account for the effect of uncertainties. To overcome the computational cost barrier, we adopt Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to characterize the target function/distribution. Instead of using single Markov chain in conventional Bayesian approach, we develop a new sampling theory with multiple parallel, interactive and adaptive Markov chains and incorporate it into Bayesian inference. This can harness the collective power of these Markov chains to realize the concurrent search of multiple local optima. The number of required Markov chains and their respective initial model parameters are automatically determined via Monte Carlo simulation-based sample pre-screening followed by K-means clustering analysis. These enhancements can effectively address the aforementioned challenges in finite element inverse analysis. The validity of this framework is systematically demonstrated through case studies.

K Zhou↗

Using distributed temperature sensing to detect CO 2 leakage along the injection well casing

The objective of this study is to evaluate the sensitivity of Distributed Temperature Sensing (DTS) data to detect CO 2 leakage along an injection well casing. This paper describes the relationship between the CO 2 leakage rate and temperature response at DTS locations, and the method and numerical model used for understanding such a relationship. The uncertainties in the parameters are propagated to the interpretation of DTS measurements, which may lead to false positive and false negative identifications of CO 2 leakage. We propose to identify CO 2 leakage by analyzing both temperature history plots at selected vertical locations as well as the vertical temperature profiles at different times. The analysis should be combined with numerical simulations for the estimation of leakage rates. In addition, leakage needs to be confirmed by data from a warm-up test (temperature recovery after injection of cold CO 2 is stopped) to minimize the probability of false identifications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Uncertainty in master-equation-based rate coefficient calculations

Rate coefficients are key quantities in gas phase kinetics and can be determined theoretically via master equation (ME) calculations. Rate coefficients characterize how fast a certain chemical species reacts away due to collisions into a specific product. Some of these collisions are simply transferring energy between the colliding partners, in which case the initial chemical species can undergo a unimolecular reaction: dissociation or isomerization. Other collisions are reactive, and the colliding partners either exchange atoms, these are direct reactions, or form complexes that can themselves react further or get stabilized by deactivating collisions with a bath gas. The input of MEs are molecular parameters: geometries, energies, and frequencies determined from ab initio calculations. While the calculation of these rate coefficients using ab initio data is becoming routine in many cases, the determination of the uncertainties of the rate coefficients are often ignored, sometimes crudely assessed by varying independently just a few of the numerous parameters, and only occasionally studied in detail. In this study, molecular frequencies, barrier heights, well depths, and imaginary frequencies (needed to calculate quantum mechanical tunneling) were automatically perturbed in an uncorrelated fashion. Our Python tool, MEUQ, takes user requests to change all or specified well, barrier, or bimolecular product parameters for a reaction. We propagate the uncertainty in these input parameters and perform global sensitivity analysis in the rate coefficients for the ethyl + O 2 system using state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques via Python interface to UQ Toolkit (www . sandia.gov/uqtoolkit). A total of 10,000 sets of rate coefficients were collected after perturbing 240 molecular parameters. With our methodology, sensitive mechanistic steps can be revealed to a modeler in a straightforward manner for identification of significant and negligible influences in bimolecular reactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Uncertainty in master-equation-based rate coefficient calculations

Rate coefficients are key quantities in gas phase kinetics and can be determined theoretically via master equation (ME) calculations. Rate coefficients characterize how fast a certain chemical species reacts away due to collisions into a specific product. Some of these collisions are simply transferring energy between the colliding partners, in which case the initial chemical species can undergo a unimolecular reaction: dissociation or isomerization. Other collisions are reactive, and the colliding partners either exchange atoms, these are direct reactions, or form complexes that can themselves react further or get stabilized by deactivating collisions with a bath gas. The input of MEs are molecular parameters: geometries, energies, and frequencies determined from ab initio calculations. While the calculation of these rate coefficients using ab initio data is becoming routine in many cases, the determination of the uncertainties of the rate coefficients are often ignored, sometimes crudely assessed by varying independently just a few of the numerous parameters, and only occasionally studied in detail. In this study, molecular frequencies, barrier heights, well depths, and imaginary frequencies (needed to calculate quantum mechanical tunneling) were automatically perturbed in an uncorrelated fashion. Our Python tool, MEUQ, takes user requests to change all or specified well, barrier, or bimolecular product parameters for a reaction. We propagate the uncertainty in these input parameters and perform global sensitivity analysis in the rate coefficients for the ethyl + O 2 system using state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques via Python interface to UQ Toolkit (www.sandia.gov/uqtoolkit). A total of 10,000 sets of rate coefficients were collected after perturbing 240 molecular parameters. With our methodology, sensitive mechanistic steps can be revealed to a modeler in a straightforward manner for identification of significant and negligible influences in bimolecular reactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

WPEC SG44 Subgroup Report: Investigation of Covariance Data in General Purpose Nuclear Data Libraries [Slides]

Presentations were as follows: Progress on the Development of Thermal Scattering Covariance Formats, New Paradigm for Nuclear Data Evaluation, The Role of Fission Yield Correlations to Obtain Realistic Uncertainty Values in the Summation Method, ENDF/B-VIII.0 Augmented Covariance Data: The First Iteration, Status and Requirements of Nuclear Data Variance-Covariance Matrices for the Neutronic Assessment of Fast Reactor Cores, The Identification and Treatment of Unrecognized Uncertainties and the Impact on Evaluated Uncertainties– SG44, Improved Calibration of Nuclear Resonance Parameters, Report on the CSEWG Covariance and Measurement Session Initiative on Creating Templates of Expected Measurement Uncertainties, The Nuclear Data Belief Network, Investigation of Covariance Data in General Purpose Nuclear Data Libraries, and Computational Benchmark Proposal.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Application of a Kalman filter identification technique to flight data from the X-22A variable stability V/STOL aircraft

A digital identification technique based on Kalman filter theory was developed for the estimation of V/STOL aircraft stability and control parameters from flight data. The application of this technique to flight data from flying qualities experiments using the variable stability X-22A V/STOL aircraft is discussed. The estimation algorithm is briefly reviewed, experimental and data acquisition procedures used in the X-22A flight programs are outlined, and specific problem areas such as the determination of noise statistics and selection of pilot inputs to enhance identifiability are discussed. Results are presented for a wide range of simulated dynamic configurations.

Lebacqz, J. V.↗

Using model order tests to determine sensory inputs in a motion study

In the study of motion effects on tracking performance, a problem of interest is the determination of what sensory inputs a human uses in controlling his tracking task. In the approach presented here a simple canonical model (FID or a proportional, integral, derivative structure) is used to model the human's input-output time series. A study of significant changes in reduction of the output error loss functional is conducted as different permutations of parameters are considered. Since this canonical model includes parameters which are related to inputs to the human (such as the error signal, its derivatives and integration), the study of model order is equivalent to the study of which sensory inputs are being used by the tracker. The parameters are obtained which have the greatest effect on reducing the loss function significantly. In this manner the identification procedure converts the problem of testing for model order into the problem of determining sensory inputs.

Repperger, D. W.↗