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At least 1,135 records · Page 63

Using machine learning to predict antimicrobial MICs and associated genomic features for nontyphoidal Salmonella

Nontyphoidal Salmonella species are the leading bacterial cause of food-borne disease in the United States. Whole genome sequences and paired antimicrobial susceptibility data are available for Salmonella strains because of surveillance efforts from public health agencies. In this study, a collection of 5,278 nontyphoidal Salmonella genomes, collected over 15 years in the United States, were used to generate XGBoost-based machine learning models for predicting minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) for 15 antibiotics. The MIC prediction models have an overall average accuracy of 95% within ± 1 two-fold dilution step (confidence interval of 95-95%), an average very major error rate of 2.7% (confidence interval of 2.4-3.0%) and an average major error rate of 0.1% (confidence interval of 0.1-0.2%). The model predicts MICs with no a priori information about the underlying gene content or resistance phenotypes of the strains. By selecting diverse genomes for training sets, we show that highly accurate MIC prediction models can be generated with fewer than 500 genomes. We also show that our approach for predicting MICs is stable over time despite annual fluctuations in antimicrobial resistance gene content in the sampled genomes. Finally, using feature selection, we explore the important genomic regions identified by the models for predicting MICs. To date, this is one of the largest MIC modeling studies to be published. Furthermore, our strategy for developing whole genome sequence-based models for surveillance and clinical diagnostics can be readily applied to other important human pathogens.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Machine Learning for Quantum Mechanical Properties of Atoms in Molecules

Here we introduce machine learning models of quantum mechanical observables of atoms in molecules. Instant out-of-sample predictions for proton and carbon nuclear chemical shifts, atomic core level excitations, and forces on atoms reach accuracies on par with density functional theory reference. Locality is exploited within nonlinear regression via local atom-centered coordinate systems. The approach is validated on a diverse set of 9 k small organic molecules. Linear scaling of computational cost in system size is demonstrated for saturated polymers with up to submesoscale lengths.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Machine Learning 5G Attack Detection in Programmable Logic

Machine learning-assisted network security may significantly contribute to securing 5G components. However, machine learning network security inference speeds generally require tens to hundreds of milliseconds thereby introducing significant latency in 5G operations. The inference latency can be reduced by deploying the machine learning model to programmable logic in a field programmable gate array (FPGA) at the cost of a small loss in accuracy. In order to quantify this loss, as well as to establish baseline performance inference speeds for programmable logic implementations, this work explores an autoencoder and a ß-variational autoencoder deployed on two different FPGA evaluation boards and compares accuracy and performance against an NVIDIA A100 GPU implementation. A publicly available 5G dataset containing 10 types of attacks along with normal traffic is introduced as part of the evaluation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Impact of short-read sequencing on the misassembly of a plant genome

Abstract Background Availability of plant genome sequences has led to significant advances. However, with few exceptions, the great majority of existing genome assemblies are derived from short read sequencing technologies with highly uneven read coverages indicative of sequencing and assembly issues that could significantly impact any downstream analysis of plant genomes. In tomato for example, 0.6% (5.1 Mb) and 9.7% (79.6 Mb) of short-read based assembly had significantly higher and lower coverage compared to background, respectively. Results To understand what the causes may be for such uneven coverage, we first established machine learning models capable of predicting genomic regions with variable coverages and found that high coverage regions tend to have higher simple sequence repeat and tandem gene densities compared to background regions. To determine if the high coverage regions were misassembled, we examined a recently available tomato long-read based assembly and found that 27.8% (1.41 Mb) of high coverage regions were potentially misassembled of duplicate sequences, compared to 1.4% in background regions. In addition, using a predictive model that can distinguish correctly and incorrectly assembled high coverage regions, we found that misassembled, high coverage regions tend to be flanked by simple sequence repeats, pseudogenes, and transposon elements. Conclusions Our study provides insights on the causes of variable coverage regions and a quantitative assessment of factors contributing to plant genome misassembly when using short reads and the generality of these causes and factors should be tested further in other species.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Machine learning applied to retrieval of temperature and concentration distributions from infrared emission measurements

Inversion of temperature and species concentration distributions from radiometric measurements involves solving nonlinear, ill-posed and high-dimensional problems. Machine Learning methods offer solving such highly nonlinear problems, offering an alternative way to deal with complex and dynamic systems with good flexibility. Here, we present a machine learning approach for retrieving temperatures and species concentrations from spectral infrared emission measurements in combustion systems. The training spectra for the machine learning model were synthesized through calculations from HITEMP 2010 for gas mixtures of CO 2 , H 2 O, and CO. The method was tested for different line-of-sight temperature and concentration distributions, different gas path lengths and different spectral intervals. Experimental validation was carried out by measuring spectral emission from a Hencken flat flame burner with a Fourier-transform infrared spectrometer with different spectral resolutions. The temperature fields above the burner for combustion with equivalence ratios of 𝜙 = 1, 𝜙 = 0.8, and 𝜙 = 1.4 were retrieved and were in excellent agreement with temperatures deduced from Rayleigh scattering thermometry.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

An Assessment of the Error Due to Computing Waste Isolation Pilot Plant Porosity Using the Porosity Response Surface Approach

The Waste Isolation Pilot Plant Performance Assessment (WIPP PA) must predict the likelihood that radionuclides will escape into the biosphere via mechanisms that depend on geohydraulic flow. Ideally, one would predict the geohydraulic flow using coupled geohydraulic and geomechanical simulations, but such coupled simulations are not computationally tractable. Instead, Sandia has historically used a look-up table of porosities for a given fluid pressure and time, called the porosity response surface, but this approach can introduce porosity errors because it largely ignores the porosity’s dependence on the past fluid pressure history. This report discusses efforts to quantify these porosity errors for both the legacy and new porosity response surfaces. Six hundred different fluid pressure histories were fed through the legacy/new geomechanical model and the legacy/new porosity response surface to generate six hundred porosity error histories. The error associated with the legacy porosity surface was substantial, while the error associated with the new porosity surface was typically small, except when fluid pressures exceeded the lithostatic pressure at the repository. In response to the errors at high pressures, a preliminary study of the WIPP PA’s sensitivity to these porosity errors was conducted. The study found that reducing the porosity errors at high pressures negligibly affected predictions of radionuclide releases. Finally, an initial machine-learned model for porosity was developed. This ML model significantly reduced the porosity error at high pressures, but sizable errors remained, so more development is necessary before coupling an ML model to the geohydraulic model.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Predicting Fracture Network Development in Crystalline Rocks

The geometric properties of fractures influence whether they propagate, arrest, or coalesce with other fractures. Thus, quantifying the relationship between fracture network characteristics may help predict fracture network development, and perhaps precursors to catastrophic failure. To constrain the relationship and predictability of fracture characteristics, we deform eight one centimeter tall rock cores under triaxial compression while acquiring in situ X-ray tomograms. The tomograms reveal precise measurements of the fracture network characteristics above the spatial resolution of 6.5 µm. We develop machine learning models to predict the value of each characteristic using the other characteristics, and excluding the macroscopic stress or strain imposed on the rock. The models predict fracture development more accurately in the experiments performed on granite and monzonite, than the experiments on marble. Fracture network development may be more predictable in these igneous rocks because their microstructure is more mechanically homogeneous than the marble, producing more systematic fracture development that is not strongly impeded by grain contacts and cleavage planes. The varying performance of the models suggest that fracture volume, length, and aperture are the most predictable of the characteristics, while fracture orientation is the least predictable. Orientation does not correlate with length, as suggested by the idea that the orientation evolves with increasing differential stress and thus fracture length. This difference between the observed and expected relationship between orientation and length highlights the influence of mechanical heterogeneities and local stress perturbations on fracture growth as fractures propagate, link, and coalesce.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Utilizing Earth Observations to Understand Landscape Patterns and Assist in Wildlife Management in Iona National Park, Angola

Following the end of the Angolan Civil War (1975-2002), human habitation in Iona National Park has grown exponentially, as has the livestock population. An ongoing drought beginning in 2017 has brought people, livestock, and wildlife into increasing competition for resources within the park. This study used Earth observation data, primarily Landsat and Sentinel imagery, to examine landscape trends to improve wildlife preservation approaches in Iona National Park, Angola. In collaboration with the NGO African Parks, we developed a robust land use and land cover (LULC) classification model using remote sensing data to augment sparse ground-based data in this arid land region. We used Google Earth Engine and a random forest classifier to map vegetation types, water bodies, and potential wildlife habitats. This analysis resulted in a high spatial resolution LULC time-series between 1984-2023, highlighting critical periods of socioecological change over the past 40 years. These results increased the partner’s ability to make scientifically grounded decisions about resource allocation and conservation priorities. This analysis supports the feasibility of applying remote sensing techniques coupled with machine learning models in dry regions, where standard survey methods are frequently limited by accessibility and resource availability. However, we identified limitations in ground-truth data and the difficulty of recognizing certain vegetation types in arid areas. Despite these limitations, the study demonstrated Earth observations' ability to transform wildlife management techniques in distant and data-scarce locations, providing a reproducible foundation for similar ecosystems around the world.

Emmanuel Aklie↗

Defect Genome of Cubic Perovskites for Fuel Cell Applications

Heterogeneities such as point defects, inherent to material systems, can profoundly influence material functionalities critical for numerous energy applications. This influence in principle can be identified and quantified through development of large defect data sets which we call the defect genome, employing high-throughput ab initio calculations. However, high-throughput screening of material models with point defects dramatically increases the computational complexity and chemical search space, creating major impediments toward developing a defect genome. In this paper, we overcome these impediments by employing computationally tractable ab initio models driven by highly scalable workflows, to study formation and interaction of various point defects (e.g., O vacancies, H interstitials, and Y substitutional dopant), in over 80 cubic perovskites, for potential proton-conducting ceramic fuel cell (PCFC) applications. The resulting defect data sets identify several promising perovskite compounds that can exhibit high proton conductivity. Furthermore, the data sets also enable us to identify and explain, insightful and novel correlations among defect energies, material identities, and defect-induced local structural distortions. Finally, such defect data sets and resultant correlations are necessary to build statistical machine learning models, which are required to accelerate discovery of new materials.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Substantial hysteresis in emergent temperature sensitivity of global wetland CH4 emissions

Abstract Wetland methane (CH 4 ) emissions ( $${F}_{{{CH}}_{4}}$$ F C H 4 ) are important in global carbon budgets and climate change assessments. Currently, $${F}_{{{CH}}_{4}}$$ F C H 4 projections rely on prescribed static temperature sensitivity that varies among biogeochemical models. Meta-analyses have proposed a consistent $${F}_{{{CH}}_{4}}$$ F C H 4 temperature dependence across spatial scales for use in models; however, site-level studies demonstrate that $${F}_{{{CH}}_{4}}$$ F C H 4 are often controlled by factors beyond temperature. Here, we evaluate the relationship between $${F}_{{{CH}}_{4}}$$ F C H 4 and temperature using observations from the FLUXNET-CH 4 database. Measurements collected across the globe show substantial seasonal hysteresis between $${F}_{{{CH}}_{4}}$$ F C H 4 and temperature, suggesting larger $${F}_{{{CH}}_{4}}$$ F C H 4 sensitivity to temperature later in the frost-free season (about 77% of site-years). Results derived from a machine-learning model and several regression models highlight the importance of representing the large spatial and temporal variability within site-years and ecosystem types. Mechanistic advancements in biogeochemical model parameterization and detailed measurements in factors modulating CH 4 production are thus needed to improve global CH 4 budget assessments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Pathway Evolution Through a Bottlenecking-Debottlenecking Strategy and Machine Learning-Aided Flux Balancing

The evolution of pathway enzymes enhances the biosynthesis of high-value chemicals, crucial for pharmaceutical, and agrochemical applications. However, unpredictable evolutionary landscapes of pathway genes often hinder successful evolution. Here, the presence of complex epistasis is identifued within the representative naringenin biosynthetic pathway enzymes, hampering straightforward directed evolution. Subsequently, a biofoundry-assisted strategy is developed for pathway bottlenecking and debottlenecking, enabling the parallel evolution of all pathway enzymes along a predictable evolutionary trajectory in six weeks. This study then utilizes a machine learning model, ProEnsemble, to further balance the pathway by optimizing the transcription of individual genes. The broad applicability of this strategy is demonstrated by constructing an Escherichia coli chassis with evolved and balanced pathway genes, resulting in 3.65 g L -1 naringenin. The optimized naringenin chassis also demonstrates enhanced production of other flavonoids. This approach can be readily adapted for any given number of enzymes in the specific metabolic pathway, paving the way for automated chassis construction in contemporary biofoundries.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Data-Driven Tailoring Optimization of Thermoset Polymers Using Ultrasonics and Machine Learning

Thermoset polymers are highly demanded for their structural robustness, thermal stability, and chemical resistance. Tailoring the properties of these polymers for high-performance applications is often preferred to designing brand-new polymers. However, the traditional destructive techniques used to characterize their properties as a function of manufacturing parameters are expensive and time-consuming. A novel non-destructive, data-driven method leveraging ultrasonics and machine learning techniques to tailor the properties of thermosets as a function of the manufacturing parameters is demonstrated. Thermoset epoxy samples with varying curing temperatures (15–40 °C) and curing agent amounts (±40%) were manufactured and tested. Their curing kinetics were monitored by determining the sound speed in the material in real time, while the longitudinal modulus of the samples was determined post-cure. Machine learning models were developed using a k-nearest neighbors algorithm. These models were implemented to predict the curing and final elastic properties using the manufacturing parameters, i.e., stoichiometry and curing temperature, and vice versa. Understanding and modeling how these parameters affect the cure kinetics and final properties will allow for efficient and reliable optimization of thermoset tailoring and manufacturing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Cyclotron radiation emission spectroscopy signal classification with machine learning in project 8

The Cyclotron Radiation Emission Spectroscopy (CRES) technique pioneered by Project 8 measures cyclotron radiation from individual electrons in a background magnetic field to construct a highly precise energy spectrum for beta decay studies and other applications. The detector, magnetic trap geometry, and electron dynamics give rise to a multitude of complex electron signal structures which carry information about distinguishing physical traits. Here, we develop machine learning models to classify CRES signals with high accuracy based on these traits, improve the resultant frequency spectrum, and offer the potential for a sophisticated analysis which will help Project 8 achieve tritium endpoint measurement in the future.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Binding profiles for 961 Drosophila and C. elegans transcription factors reveal tissue-specific regulatory relationships

A catalog of transcription factor (TF) binding sites in the genome is critical for deciphering regulatory relationships. Here, we present the culmination of the efforts of the modENCODE (model organism Encyclopedia of DNA Elements) and modERN (model organism Encyclopedia of Regulatory Networks) consortia to systematically assay TF binding events in vivo in two major model organisms,Drosophila melanogaster(fly) andCaenorhabditis elegans(worm). These data sets comprise 605 TFs identifying 3.6 M sites in the fly and 356 TFs identifying 0.9 M sites in the worm, and represent the majority of the regulatory space in each genome. We demonstrate that TFs associate with chromatin in clusters termed “metapeaks,” that larger metapeaks have characteristics of high-occupancy target (HOT) regions, and that the importance of consensus sequence motifs bound by TFs depends on metapeak size and complexity. Combining ChIP-seq data with single-cell RNA-seq data in a machine-learning model identifies TFs with a prominent role in promoting target gene expression in specific cell types, even differentiating between parent–daughter cells during embryogenesis. These data are a rich resource for the community that should fuel and guide future investigations into TF function. To facilitate data accessibility and utility, all strains expressing green fluorescent protein (GFP)-tagged TFs are available at the stock centers for each organism. The chromatin immunoprecipitation sequencing data are available through the ENCODE Data Coordinating Center, GEO, and through a direct interface that provides rapid access to processed data sets and summary analyses, as well as widgets to probe the cell-type-specific TF–target relationships.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗

Data to Accompany: PM2.5 is insufficient to explain personal PAH exposure

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) air quality index (AQI) data from outdoor stationary monitors and Hazard Mapping System (HMS) smoke density data from satellites are often used as proxies for personal chemical exposure. Silicone wristbands can quantify more individualized exposure data than stationary air monitors or smoke satellites. However, it is not understood how these proxy measurements compare to chemical data measured from wristbands. We hypothesized that predictive models for personal chemical exposure would be significantly improved by expanding beyond stationary PM2.5 AQI data or satellite HMS data to also include environmental and behavioral information. In Eugene, Oregon, participants wore daily wristbands, carried a phone that recorded locations, and answered daily questionnaires for a seven-day period in multiple seasons. We gathered publicly available daily PM2.5 AQI data and HMS data. We analyzed wristbands for 94 organic chemicals, including 53 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). Wristband chemical detections and concentrations, behavioral variables (e.g., time spent indoors), and environmental conditions (e.g., PM2.5 AQI) significantly differed between seasons. Machine learning models were fit to predict personal chemical exposure using PM2.5 AQI only, HMS only, and a multivariate feature set including PM2.5 AQI, HMS, and other environmental and behavioral information. On average, the multivariate models increased predictive accuracy by approximately 70% compared to either the AQI model or the HMS model for all chemicals modeled. This study provides evidence that PM2.5 AQI data alone or HMS data alone is insufficient to explain personal chemical exposures. Our results identify additional key predictors of personal chemical exposure.

Bramer, Lisa M↗

Citizen science coupled with machine learning to quantify green-blue infrastructure cooling potential in Maricopa County, Arizona

Here, this study investigates the spatiotemporal cooling performance of green and blue infrastructure (GBI) in the Dobson Ranch urban neighborhood in Phoenix, Arizona. We leveraged citizen science near-surface (2 m) air temperature (Tair) measurements to train a highly accurate Tair predicting LightGBM machine learning model (R 2 : 0.986, MAE: 0.251 °C, RMSE: 0.585 °C). On June 16, 2024, the park area exhibited approximately 1 °C cooling effect (relative to the neighborhood mean) during both day and night. In contrast, the nearby artificial lake exhibited a stronger cooling effect of 2.4 °C during the day but a slight warming of 0.3 °C at night. At 00:00, locations 50 m downwind of the park were 0.3 °C warmer than the park, while locations 50 m upwind were 0.8 °C warmer. At 11:00, we observed that the downwind area is 0.8 °C cooler and the upwind area is 0.6 °C warmer—at the same 50 m distances relative to the park. We also observed 1 °C cooler and warmer effects respectively at the same 50 m downwind and upwind locations at 19:00 on June 17, 2024. Our data-driven analysis highlights potential limitations of car-traverse measurements, showing that failure to account for temporal variations during the traverse can lead to overestimation of Tair at night and underestimation during the day. Our analysis also showed only a weak correlation (coefficient: 0.48) between Landsat-derived land surface temperature (LST) and model predicted Tair at the time of the local Landsat overpass (∼11.00). This highlights the potential error of relying solely on LST for human thermal exposure analysis—particularly within the heterogenous built-environment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Machine learning-based real-time kinetic profile reconstruction in DIII-D

Abstract Kinetic equilibrium reconstruction plays a vital role in the physical analysis of plasma stability and control in fusion tokamaks. However, the traditional approach is subjective and prone to human biases. To address this, the consistent automatic kinetic equilibrium reconstruction (CAKE) method was introduced, providing objective results. Nonetheless, its offline nature limits its application in real-time plasma control systems (PCSs). To address this limitation, we present RTCAKENN, a machine learning model that approximates 7 CAKE-level output profiles, namely pressure, inverse q , toroidal current density, electron temperature and density, carbon ion impurity temperature and rotation profiles, using real-time available inputs. The deep neural network consists of an encoder layer, where the scalars and interdependent inputs such as plasma boundary coordinates and motional Stark effect data are encoded using multi-layer perceptrons (MLPs), while profile inputs are encoded by 1D convolutional layers. The encoded data is passed through a MLP for latent feature extraction, before being decoded in the decoding layers, which consist of upsampling and convolutional layers. RTCAKENN has been implemented in the DIII-D PCS and our model achieves accuracy comparable to CAKE and surpasses existing real-time alternatives. Through clever dropout training, RTCAKENN exhibits robustness and can operate even in the absence of Thomson scattering data or charge exchange recombination data. It executes in under 8 ms in the real-time environment, enabling future application in real-time control and analysis.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Ionic Liquids for Direct Air Capture of CO 2 using Electric‐Field‐Mediated Moisture Gradient Process (Final Technical Report)

The final report provides executive summary, a list of publications, and information on training graduate students and postdoctoral researchers. We carried out computational and experimental research on understanding molecular-level mechanism of how CO 2 is absorbed in a solution containing ethylene glycol as the solvent and KOH as the salt in the presence of ionic liquids and under the influence of electric field. In doing so, we developed an automated high-throughput method which allowed us to measure the solubility of CO 2 in a large number of ionic liquids, considerably speeding up the CO 2 solubility measurement. We also demonstrated how varying the concentration of ionic liquids in ethylene glycol can result in a maximum in ionic conductivity. Reaction of CO 2 and subsequent release results in a 50% reduction when the process is operated at an ionic liquid-ethylene glycol concentration yielding maximum ionic conductivity amongst all the ionic liquid-ethylene glycol combinations studied as a part of this research. We utilized machine learning models to identify unique ionic liquid-solvent combinations with ionic conductivity much higher than that measured for ionic liquid-ethylene glycol combinations. We demonstrated that the rate of CO 2 reaction with KOH in ethylene glycol can be optimized with the type of ionic liquid and its concentration. Overall, the research led to publication of 10 peer-reviewed research articles and several presentations at national conferences. We are also in the process of developing additional manuscripts based on the research carried out as a part of this project. Two graduate students and two postdoctoral researchers were supported on the funding.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗