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At least 1,135 records · Page 63
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

DOE Award No.: DE-FE0023919 Phase 4 Scientific/Technical Report

This is the Phase 4 Report for the ‘Deepwater Methane Hydrate Characterization and Scientific Assessment or Genesis of Methane Hydrates in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM2)’ research project (DOE Award No. DE-FE0023919). The report summarizes activities from October 1, 2019 to September 30, 2020. The project is led by the University of Texas at Austin (UT). The project objective is to gain insight into the nature, formation, occurrence and physical properties of methane hydrate-bearing sediments for the purpose of methane hydrate resource appraisal through the planning and execution of drilling, coring, logging, testing and analytical activities that assess the geologic occurrence, regional context, and characteristics of marine methane hydrate deposits in the Gulf of Mexico outer continental shelf (OCS). We published a dedicated American Association of Petroleum Geologists Bulletin volume describing initial results from the UT-GOM2-1 expedition in Sept. 2020. This is part 1 of a multi-volume commitment by AAPG to this project. We further confirmed that the natural gas in hydrate at GC-955 was formed by primary microbial processes (>76.1 %). The in-situ effective permeability hydrate-bearing sandy silts at the GC-955 reservoir ranges from 0.1 md (1.0×10-16 m2) to 2.4 md (2.4×10-15m2) in cores with 83% to 93% hydrate saturation. The intrinsic permeability (the single phase permeability) is estimated from reconstituted samples to be ~12 md (1.2×10-14 m2) to ~41 md (4.1×10-14 m2). We used observation and models to interpret that the core degradation that is found in pressure cores is due to dissociation of the methane hydrate in the outer circumference of the core and dissolution of that methane into the fresh pore water that the core is stored with. We are designing approaches to minimize this core loss in the future. We spent an enormous amount of effort to further improve the ability of the pressure coring tool (the PCTB) to pressure seal correctly. We completed upgrading the upper section of the PCTB to address poor pressure. We successful tested the modifications at Geotek’s test facility in Salt Lake City (Bench Test II). We completed a Land Test of the PCTB at the Schlumberger Cameron Test and Training Facility (CTTF). The tool did not seal in 6 out of 7 tests and we clearly demonstrated that cuttings were wedging in the ball valve assembly, keeping the ball valve from sealing. We reproduced the failure mechanism observed during the land test at Salt Lake City and confirmed the sensitivity of the ball valve assembly to grit. Geotek designed and tested 9 modifications to address this issue and the PCTB is now 100% successfully sealing in the presence of grit. Our science expedition is scheduled for spring 2022 and we are fully focused on preparing for this. UT and Ohio State completed a Shallow Hazard Assessment report for each proposed UT-GOM2-2 drilling location, pursuant to 30 CFR 250.214(f) and 250.244 (f). The Shallow Hazard Reports will accompany the UT-GOM2-2 Exploration Plan that is submitted to BOEM, and completes the geological and geophysical analysis for UT-GOM2-2 permitting efforts. We updated the UT-GOM2-2 Operations Plan (Version 1). We completed the UT-GOM2-2 Science and Sample Distribution Plan (Version 1). We evaluated the scope, budget, and schedule that would result from using a commercial vessel. We developed detailed drilling schedule, mud volume, and resource estimates. We developed a vessel specification document and a well plan, and sent these documents to prospective vessel contractors.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Validation of RELAP-7 for Forced Convective and Natural Circulation Reactor Flows

New reactor designs such as small modular reactors and newly proposed passive safety systems rely on natural circulation two-phase flow cooling of the reactor core under accident conditions. Without a pump to drive the flow, the circulation rate is a strong function of void fraction. Under these conditions where the flow rate, pressure drop, and heat transfer are all closely coupled through the mixture density, the accurate prediction of void fraction is pivotal. Furthermore, while these passive systems boast a more reliable cooling option, the sensitivity of the system to two-phase flow instabilities is more likely than in forced convective cooling and can result in dangerous density wave or flow excursion conditions. Improvement of one-dimensional system codes and further development of three-dimensional code capability are all important efforts in addressing these issues. The proposed work is a critical step towards providing confidence through validation of the capability of thermal-hydraulic tools to meet the emerging challenges in reactor simulation. Historically, system analysis codes develop a stiffness over time due to fine-tuning of adjustable code parameters that result in a reluctance or inability to adopt improved models. Therefore, a rigorous effort should be invested in preparation for RELAP-7 to identify required modeling improvements of constitutive relations and validation of the code applicability to the wide range of possible reactor flow conditions. Part of this validation involves the uncertainty quantification which is a critical step in the Code Scaling, Applicability, and Uncertainty (CSAU) methodology and Best-Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) licensing method. BEPU allows recovery of safety margins and potentially optimizing plant performance, resulting in economic benefit for the reactor operators. Beginning with the collection of past experimental data covering prototypic LWR conditions, this document reviews three critical datasets available for the validation of system codes. The experimental methods, procedures, facilities, instrumentation, and supplementary information are consolidated to aid the validation efforts of this work and future projects. These three datasets (824 conditions) are chosen due to their wide acceptance and demonstrated application for code validation. Two experimental datasets from the Nuclear Power Engineering Corporation (NUPEC) span prototypic conditions of Boiling Water Reactors (BWR) and Pressurized Water Reactors (PWR). These datasets are labeled as the BFBT (BWR Full-size Fine-mesh Bundle Test) and the PSBT (PWR Subchannel and Bundle Test) datasets respectively. The third dataset is taken in an internally heated annulus that is scaled based on a BWR subassembly and includes two-phase flows important to post-blowdown analysis. Together, the datasets consider the full range of pressure and mass flux expected in LWR forced convective flows from steady-state to long term cooling conditions. Recognizing the deficiency of available data under low-pressure, low-flow, a new natural circulation dataset consisting of 107 conditions is obtained. With system pressures ranging between 145 and 950 kPa, natural circulation is driven by a heat flux up to 275 kW/m2 in a 3 m long heated region of the annulus test section which is followed by a 2 m long unheated region before entering a condenser. Stable natural circulation flow rates in this facility were measured to be between 182 and 590 kg/m2-s. Pressure and temperature are measured at ten locations in the facility. In addition, measurements of void fraction, interfacial area concentration, and gas velocity are obtained at five axial locations in the annulus test section. The RELAP5-3D code demonstrates good accuracy for void fraction predictions in BFBT and PSBT benchmarks, but shows relatively large discrepancy in the annulus experiments at lower pressures. In two-phase natural circulation, large oscillations are observed in many system parameters during the simulation of 19 experiment cases which were conducted at low pressures, and the model shows good predictive performance with the remaining 88 experiment cases. However, some discrepancies in void fraction and temperature predictions are found which may require improved constitutive modeling under these low-pressure, low-flow condition. The quantified uncertainty in void fraction predictions in three forced convection benchmarks due to uncertainties in boundary conditions and geometries are relatively small, except for a few cases in the annulus experiment. The output uncertainty of the natural circulation model is quantified by considering the measurement error in boundary conditions, and it is shown that the output uncertainty ranges are relatively small for the range of conditions considered. Through this work, a clear pathway is provided for validation of RELAP7 once the code is available.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Integral Experiment Request 523 Feasibility Study (Summary Report)

This report documents the feasibility phase of the Critical Experiment Design (CED) conducted as part of integral experiment request (IER) 523. The purpose of IER-523 is to explore the effects of using 35 weight percent enriched uranium dioxide-beryllium oxide (UO 2 -BeO) material on critical configurations using the Seven Percent Critical Experiment (7uPCX) at Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia). Preliminary experiment design concepts, neutronic analysis results, and proposed paths for continuing the CED process are presented.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Pit Production Strategic Analysis Tool

The LANL Pit Production Strategic Analysis tool is an executive-level decision support tool for planning related to the demand and production of pits. The spreadsheet-based tool includes decision factors for stockpile program demand combined with production and infrastructure planning at PF-4, Savanna River, and future production options. The tool graphically compares supply and demand under different scenarios. The tool is based on NNSA planning documents and process analyses.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Aculeaxanthones A–E, new xanthones from the marine-derived fungus Aspergillus aculeatinus WHUF0198

Introduction Dimeric natural products are widespread in plants and microorganisms, which usually have complex structures and exhibit greater bioactivities than their corresponding monomers. In this study, we report five new dimeric tetrahydroxanthones, aculeaxanthones A−E ( 4−8 ), along with the homodimeric tetrahydroxanthone secalonic acid D ( 1 ), chrysoxanthones B and C ( 2 and 3 ), and 4−4’-secalonic acid D ( 9 ), from different fermentation batches of the title fungus. Methods A part of the culture was added to a total of 60 flasks containing 300 ml each of number II fungus liquid medium and culture 4 weeks in a static state at 28˚C. The liquid phase (18 L) and mycelia was separated from the fungal culture by filtering. A crude extract was obtained from the mycelia by ultrasound using acetone. To obtain a dry extract (18 g), the liquid phase combined with the crude extract were further extracted by EtOAc and concentrated in vacuo. The MIC of anaerobic bacteria was examined by a broth microdilution assay. To obtain MICs for aerobic bacteria, the agar dilution streak method recommended in Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute document (CLSI) M07-A10 was used. Compounds 1−9 was tested against the Bel-7402, A-549 and HCT-116 cell lines according to MTT assay. Results and Discussion The structures of these compounds were elucidated on the base of 1D and 2D NMR and HR-ESIMS data, and the absolute configurations of the new xanthones 4−8 were determined by conformational analysis and time-dependent density functional theory-electronic circular dichroism (TDDFT-ECD) calculations. Compounds 1–9 were tested for cytotoxicity against the Bel-7402, A549, and HCT-116 cancer cell lines. Of the dimeric tetrahydroxanthone derivatives, only compound 6 provided cytotoxicity effect against Bel-7402 cell line (IC50, 1.96 µM). Additionally, antimicrobial activity was evaluated for all dimeric tetrahydroxanthones, including four Gram-positive bacteria including Enterococcus faecium ATCC 19434, Bacillus subtilis 168, Staphylococcus aureus ATCC 25923 and MRSA USA300; four Gram-negative bacteria, including Helicobacter pylori 129, G27, as well as 26,695, and multi drug-resistant strain H. pylori 159, and one Mycobacterium M. smegmatis ATCC 607. However, only compound 1 performed activities against H. pylori G27, H. pylori 26695, H. pylori 129, H. pylori 159, S. aureus USA300, and B. subtilis 168 with MIC values of 4.0, 4.0, 2.0, 2.0, 2.0 and 1.0 μg/mL, respectively.

Wu, Jun↗
DOE OSTI2022

Precursor Analysis Report: Doppelpaymer Ransomware Attack on Petroleos Mexicanos (PEMEX) 2019

The DoppelPaymer Ransomware Attack on Petroleos Mexicanos (PEMEX) 2019 Precursor Analysis Report leverages publicly available information about the PEMEX cyber attack and catalogs anomalous observables for each technique employed in the attack. This analysis is based upon the methodology of the Cybersecurity for the Operational Technology Environment (CyOTE) program. The 2019 DoppelPaymer ransomware attack on PEMEX, Mexico’s nationalized petroleum corporation, highlights a unique threat that ransomware and cybercriminal extortion poses to Operational Technology (OT) environments in critical infrastructure. The incident began with an employee downloading commodity malware that allowed adversaries to gain initial access to PEMEX’s enterprise environment. After conducting privilege escalation, tool ingress, and data exfiltration, the adversaries deployed DoppelPaymer ransomware throughout the PEMEX enterprise environment, resulting in the company having to take dozens of systems offline for at least several days. Although PEMEX stated that their operations were not affected, the data exfiltrated from PEMEX was made available for download on DoppelPaymer’s leak site, as well as on other illicit criminal forums. This stolen data included not only company information, but also sensitive OT-specific configuration data. This incident showcases how cybercriminal exfiltration and posting of sensitive OT architecture documentation can pose security concerns for the targeted organization for years due to the long lifespan of OT assets and architectures. Researchers and analysts identified 18 unique techniques utilized during the attack with a total of 190 observables using MITRE ATT&CK® for Industrial Control Systems. The CyOTE program assesses observables accompanying techniques used prior to the triggering event to identify opportunities to detect malicious activity. If observables accompanying the attack techniques are perceived and investigated prior to the triggering event, earlier comprehension of malicious activity can take place. Fifteen of the identified techniques used during the DoppelPaymer ransomware attack were precursors to the triggering event. Analysis identified 163 observables associated with these precursor techniques, 34 of which were assessed to have an increased likelihood of being perceived in the 60 days preceding the triggering event. The response and comprehension time could have been reduced if the observables had been identified earlier. The information gathered in this report contributes to a library of observables tied to a repository of artifacts, data sources, and technique detection references for practitioners and developers to support the comprehension of indicators of attack. Asset owners and operators can use these products if they experience similar observables or to prepare for comparable scenarios.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
DOE OSTI2022

Multimodal study of the impact of stimulation pH on shale pore structure, with an emphasis on organics behavior in alkaline environments

The tight nature of shale formations calls for hydraulic fracturing techniques able of altering the pore architecture to facilitate the production of hydrocarbon resources. The composition, pH, salinity, density and chemistry of Hydraulic Fracturing Fluids (HFF) vary substantially depending on reservoir characteristics. pH is among the most important stimulation fluid properties, ranging from very acidic, for carbonate reservoirs, to basic, in the case of clay-rich formations. pH regulates what geochemical reactions take place between the stimulation fluid and shale, as well as pore architecture alteration. The dissolution of carbonates and pyrite, and the precipitation of common minerals such as barite, gypsum and iron oxides in acidic environments have been extensively documented. In contrast, alkali stimulation environments and the role of organic components have received less attention. This research provides insight into the role of both minerals and organic components during alkaline stimulation, and the resulting pore architecture alterations. Here, a set of reactive experiments are performed using three different shales, with varying organic matter (OM) content, at different pH (3, 6, 8, 10, 12). The analysis of pore architecture alteration induced by the reaction was performed via nitrogen (N2) gas adsorption and Time-Domain Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (TD-NMR). Inductively Coupled Plasma - Optical Emission Spectrometry (ICP-OES) was used to measure the composition of the stimulation fluid post-reaction. The system with a larger impact on the pore architecture (pH 12) underwent a more extensive analysis through the application of Focused Ion Beam Scanning Electron Microscopy (FIB-SEM) and x-ray Diffraction (XRD). Results show that mineral dissolution contributed to the creation of secondary porosity, mainly through dissolution of clays and silicates. We show that the abundance and distribution of organic matter both play a significant role in changes in pore architecture. Most samples showed an increase in inter-organic porosity, likely due to the organic acids within kerogen reacting with the stimulation fluid. Samples with a larger amount and more widespread distribution of organic matter show the most significant alterations. Finally, we also highlight the dissolution process of iron-rich minerals, including framboidal pyrite, as another important source of secondary porosity.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Algorithms and file structures to enhance software workflows for ion mobility mass spectrometry (IM-MS): CRADA 410 (Final Report)

This document is the final report for CRADA 410 (Project No. 72496). The purpose of this project was supporting customizations of algorithms and raw data file structures to enhance software workflows for liquid chromatography (LC), mass spectrometry (MS) and ion mobility mass spectrometry (IM-MS)-based metabolite characterization. PNNL worked with Agilent to evaluate and improve the integration of ion mobility into existing MS data analysis methods of Agilent software tools. The project augmented PNNL’s capabilities to analyze complex omics samples. These capabilities are directly beneficial to DOE and PNNL efforts to characterize and analyze compounds in microbial and plant communities. The project assisted Agilent in further developing improved instrument-software solutions combining ion mobility with mass spectrometry for widespread applications in life sciences and other fields.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

ECAR-6564 MARVEL Project Primary Coolant System ASME BPVC Section III Division 5 Design by Analysis

This report demonstrates that the MARVEL Reactor Primary Coolant Boundary (herein referred to as the Primary Coolant System, or PCS) is designed to meet ASME BPVC Section III Division 5 elevated temperature service design-by-analysis criteria. The analysis approach that delineates division of responsibilities to meet project objectives is discussed herein. In short, Design and Service Level A, B, and C code calculations are detailed in ECAR-6580 for the majority of the PCS with complex geometry, while the Lower Downcomers, Bottom Head, and Reactor Core Barrel are analyzed in ANL-23/56. Service Level D code calculations are detailed in this document.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Assessing Uncertainty in Modeling Stress Corrosion Cracking

This report summarizes the collaboration between Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) to improve the state of knowledge on chloride induced stress corrosion cracking (CISCC). The foundation of this work relied on using SNL’s CISCC computer code to assess the current state of knowledge for probabilistically modeling CISCC on stainless steel canisters. This work is presented as three tasks. The first task is exploring and independently comparing crack growth rate (CGR) models typically used in CISCC modeling by the research community. The second task is implementing two of the more conservative CGR models from the first task into SNL’s full CISCC code to understand the impact of the different CGR models on a full probabilistic analysis while studying uncertainty from three key input parameters. The combined work of the first two tasks showed that properly measuring salt deposition rates is impactful to reducing uncertainty when modeling CISCC. The work in Task 2 also showed how probabilistic CGR models can be more appropriate at capturing aleatory uncertainty when modeling SCC. Lastly, appropriate and realistic input parameters relevant for CISCC modeling were documented in the last task as a product of the simulations considered in the first two tasks.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

High-Temperature SiC Cladding Bowing Irradiation Design and HFIR Readiness

Silicon carbide fiber–reinforced silicon carbide (SiC/SiC) matrix composites are candidate materials for long-term accident-tolerant fuel cladding for use in light water reactors (LWRs). This report documents the design of a dry SiC/SiC composite cladding bowing experiment intended for irradiation in the High Flux Isotope Reactor. The dry experiment allows for testing at representative LWR temperatures for comparison to previous experimental results. This report describes detailed neutronics, thermal, and bowing analyses supporting the irradiation. The design leverages calculations from previous irradiation experiments and production targets for reduced design complexity. The thermal analysis provides a map of SiC thermometer temperatures for comparison during post-irradiation examination to determine the experiment’s irradiation temperatures. Finally, two concepts for introducing localized constraints representative of pressurized water reactor grid spacers are presented.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Liquid Sorption-Enhanced Haber–Bosch Process

The use of a liquid sorbent in a traditional Haber-Bosch process enables significant improvements in energy efficiency and potential cost savings for arguably the most important chemical process on the planet. The approach presented in this report employs an incompressible liquid sorbent that absorbs and releases ammonia (NH 3 ) under specific conditions. To achieve this, we investigate reactions of ammonia and pure phosphoric acid (H 3 PO 4 , PA), which rapidly neutralize to form an equilibrated solution of monoammonium phosphate (MAP) and diammonium phosphate (DAP) that functions as a reversible and regenerable sorbent. Through intimate contact of the gas-phase Haber-Bosch reaction mixture with this liquid absorbent, complete equilibrium uptake may be achieved in an appropriately sized separator, and facile separation occurs through the use of independent liquid and gas phases. Following depressurization and release of the ammonia product, only the incompressible fluid needs to be repressurized and returned to the reactor. This study documents proof-of-concept absorption and desorption experiments carried out in 75 mL batch reactors, predominantly charged with precise MAP and DAP mixtures that equilibrate at process-relevant temperatures and pressures. We then assemble the first thermodynamic relationships that underlie this advantaged separation strategy, validated by reactive force field (ReaxFF) interatomic potential simulations, and benchmarked with traditional separation routes via process modeling and technoeconomic analysis. The scale of energy consumption in the century-old Haber-Bosch process is massive, and the elegant liquid sorption approach reported here offers opportunities to enhance its energy efficiency for the next frontier of ammonia synthesis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

From Text to Maps: LLM-Driven Extraction and Geotagging of Epidemiological Data

Epidemiological datasets are essential for public health analysis and decision-making, yet they remain scarce and often difficult to compile due to inconsistent data formats, language barriers, and evolving political boundaries. Traditional methods of creating such datasets involve extensive manual effort and are prone to errors in accurate location extraction. To address these challenges, we propose utilizing large language models (LLMs) to automate the extraction and geotagging of epidemiological data from textual documents. Our approach significantly reduces the manual effort required, limiting human intervention to validating a subset of records against text snippets and verifying the geotagging reasoning, as opposed to reviewing multiple entire documents manually to extract, clean, and geotag. Additionally, the LLMs identify information often overlooked by human annotators, further enhancing the dataset’s completeness. Our findings demonstrate that LLMs can be effectively used to semi-automate the extraction and geotagging of epidemiological data, offering several key advantages: (1) comprehensive information extraction with minimal risk of missing critical details; (2) minimal human intervention; (3) higher-resolution data with more precise geotagging; and (4) significantly reduced resource demands compared to traditional methods.

Harrod, Karly↗
DOE OSTI2020

Integrating System to Edge-of-Network Architecture and Management for SHINES (SEAMS) Technologies of High Penetration Grids

Consistent with the U.S. DOE’s EERE SHINES FOA objectives, the goal of this project was to enable integration from EMS to variable DER in a way that delivered visibility and opportunities for managing and controlling distributed resources using SEAMS technologies. This project implemented several SHINES technologies, which included: (1) three Stem battery systems; (2) six ConnectDER PV collars; (3) two E-Gear PV/Battery storage interfaces; and (4) eight Kitu smart inverter emulators. A Siemens Energy IP DEMS was deployed in a development environment and integrated with the SHINES technologies via OpenADR and IEEE 2030.5 protocols with documented architecture. In the case of IEEE 2030.5, a suite of technologies including a gateway, an API, software and a server from Kitu Systems (the Citadel, Convoy, Kitu Crosslink API, and Kitu Spark) were used to demonstrate that the utility could achieve visibility of distributed energy resources (DER) and control of single and multiple DER systems with a single command. The project also included a LCOE analysis of SHINES technologies compared to traditional system and circuit mitigation measures.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Adopting Code Verification Methodology Based on Model Form

Code verification is an essential part of credibility analysis for computational models. It assesses whether the mathematical model is implemented correctly into the code and whether the numerical methods behave consistently, and is done before solution verification and validation. Robust guidance for code verification exists in the literature. However, there is no known, concise guide for selecting the approach based on the model form that also presents an overview of the common elements. This document was written to address this gap as an accessible reference for beginning a code-verification effort.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Adapting Code Verification Methodology to Model Form

Code verification is an essential part of credibility analysis for computational models. It assesses whether the mathematical model is implemented correctly into the code and whether the numerical methods behave consistently, and is done before solution verification and validation. Robust guidance for code verification exists in the literature. However, there is no known, concise guide for selecting the approach based on the model form that also presents an overview of the common elements. This document was written to address this gap as an accessible reference for beginning a code-verification effort.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Industry Assessment and Initial Adaptive Protection System Design

This report presents the success merits, logic design details, and test plans for adaptive protection schemes for microgrids, secondary distribution networks, and radial distribution feeders. Success merits are presented in terms of challenges and issues which should be mitigated. The challenges and issues were identified during site-specific simulations and analysis presented in a prior report. The adaptive protection logic designs are presented in a vendor-neutral manner to make them readily adaptable to site--specific protection relays and controllers which support custom logic design. Vendor-specific implementations of the logic for the adaptive protection laboratory tests are also presented. The final section of the report presents details of the testing methodology, plans, and documentation for each of the three adaptive protection schemes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Uncertainty Quantification of Calculated Temperatures for the AGR 5/6/7 Experiment

This report documents the quantification of uncertainty of the calculated temperature data for the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) 5/6/7 fuel irradiation experiment conducted in the Advanced Test Reactor at Idaho National Laboratory in support of the Advanced Reactor Technologies? research and development program. Recognizing uncertainties inherent in physics and thermal simulations of the AGR 5/6/7 capsules, the results of the numerical simulations are used in combination with statistical analysis methods to improve qualification of measured data. The calculated fuel temperatures for AGR tests are also used for validation of the fission product transport and fuel performance simulation models. These crucial roles of the calculated fuel temperatures in ensuring achievement of the AGR experimental program objectives require accurate determination of the model temperature uncertainties. This report covers temperature uncertainty results for each of the five AGR 5/6/7 capsules. To quantify the uncertainty of calculated temperatures determined using the ABAQUS finite element heat transfer code, this study identifies and analyzes model parameters of potential importance to the calculated temperatures of fuel compacts and thermocouples. The selection of input parameters for uncertainty quantification is based on the ranking of their influences upon temperature predictions. Thus, selected input parameters include those with high sensitivity and those with the largest uncertainty. Propagation of model parameter uncertainty and sensitivity is then used to quantify the overall uncertainty of calculated temperatures. Measurement uncertainty, analysis of modeling assumptions, and expert judgment are used as the basis to quantify the uncertainty range for selected input parameters. The input uncertainties are dynamic, accounting for the effect of unplanned events and changes in thermal properties of capsule components over extended exposure to high temperatures and fast neutron irradiation. The sensitivity analysis performed in this work went beyond the traditional local sensitivity. Using experimental design, analysis of pairwise interactions of model parameters was performed to establish sufficiency of the time dependent first order (linear) expansion terms in constructing the temperature response surface. To achieve completeness, uncertainty propagation made use of pairwise noise correlations of model parameters. Furthermore, using an interpolation scheme over the input parameter domain, the analysis obtains time dependent sensitivity over the test campaign duration. This allows computation of uncertainty for the calculated fuel temperatures and the calculated graphite temperatures at thermocouple locations during the entire irradiation period.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗