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At least 1,135 records · Page 63

Topological Relationship–Based Flow Direction Modeling: Mesh–Independent River Networks Representation

River networks are important features in surface hydrology. However, accurately representing river networks in spatially distributed hydrologic and Earth system models is often sensitive to the model's spatial resolution. Specifically, river networks are often misrepresented because of the mismatch between the model's spatial resolution and river network details, resulting in significant uncertainty in the projected flow direction. In this study, we developed a topological relationship-based river network representation method for spatially distributed hydrologic models. This novel method uses (a) graph theory algorithms to simplify real-world vector-based river networks and assist in mesh generation; and (b) a topological relationship-based method to reconstruct conceptual river networks. The main advantages of our method are that (a) it combines the strengths of vector-based and DEM raster-based river network extraction methods; and (b) it is mesh-independent and can be applied to both structured and unstructured meshes. This method paves a path for advanced terrain analysis and hydrologic modeling across different scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Modelling galaxy cluster triaxiality in stacked cluster weak lensing analyses

Counts of galaxy clusters offer a high-precision probe of cosmology, but control of systematic errors will determine the accuracy of this measurement. Using Buzzard simulations, we quantify one such systematic, the triaxiality distribution of clusters identified with the redMaPPer optical cluster finding algorithm, which was used in the Dark Energy Survey Year-1 (DES Y1) cluster cosmology analysis. We test whether redMaPPer selection biases the clusters’ shape and orientation and find that it only biases orientation, preferentially selecting clusters with their major axes oriented along the line of sight. Modelling the richness–mass relation as log-linear, we find that the log-richness amplitude ln (A) is boosted from the lowest to highest orientation bin with a significance of 14σ, while the orientation dependence of the richness-mass slope and intrinsic scatter is minimal. We also find that the weak lensing shear-profile ratios of cluster-associated dark haloes in different orientation bins resemble a ‘bottleneck’ shape that can be quantified with a Cauchy function. We test the correlation of orientation with two other leading systematics in cluster cosmology – miscentering and projection – and find a null correlation. The resulting mass bias predicted from our templates confirms the DES Y1 finding that triaxiality is a leading source of bias in cluster cosmology. However, the richness-dependence of the bias confirms that triaxiality does not fully resolve the tension at low-richness between DES Y1 cluster cosmology and other probes. Our model can be used for quantifying the impact of triaxiality bias on cosmological constraints for upcoming weak lensing surveys of galaxy clusters.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Pricing Strategy of Electric Vehicle Aggregators Based on Locational Marginal Price to Minimize Photovoltaic (PV) Curtailment

The global climate crisis demands urgent action to mitigate global warming. Using renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind power, for electricity generation is crucial. This shift from centralized to distributed power systems, however, brings challenges, including voltage fluctuations and renewable energy curtailment. The rapid growth of the electric vehicle (EV) industry adds complexity, increasing overall electricity demand and straining the power supply during peak charging times. This paper proposes a scheduling strategy for EV aggregators to reduce renewable energy curtailment and stabilize grid operation by strategically scheduling EV charging. Using Multi -Agent Transport Simulation (MATSim), a traffic simulation tool, EV driving data in Denver, Colorado, USA, were modeled. The EV aggregator adjusts charging fees based on locational marginal prices, encouraging EVs to charge at different stations according to pricing. Simulations on an IEEE 33-bus system with distributed energy resources and EV charging stations validate the proposed algorithm, demonstrating its effectiveness in reducing curtailment by 12.55% and stabilizing grid operation.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Online distributed price-based control of DR resources with competitive guarantees

Demand response (DR) of building HVAC load can provide crucial demand-side flexibility for the future smart grid. Compared to direct load control, price-based control can respect the customers’ autonomy and privacy. However, it is challenging for price-based control to attain provable performance guarantees under future uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a framework for a utility to perform price-based control of flexible building load within the utility’s service area, in order to attain competitive performance guarantees in terms of controlling the system peak demand under future uncertainty. By adopting a two-step approach, our online price-based control solution can attain a provable competitive ratio for all possible realizations within a given uncertainty set. Simulation experiments demonstrate that, with a robustification procedure, our solution can perform well not only for worst-case inputs, but also for average-case inputs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

WindWatts Computational Framework and Web UI [SWR-20-100]

This software provides a collection of algorithms, an API, and a functional Web UI for the Distributed Wind’s WindWatts project. DW WindWatts is a DOE WETO-funded project aimed at the development of tools to supporting the distributed wind industry, particularly with respect to siting and resource assessment. The computational framework and the back-end API are powering the easy to use front-end services available at: https://windwatts.nrel.gov. https://github.com/NREL/dw-tap-api; https://github.com/NREL/dw-tap; https://github.com/NREL/windwatts-data For reference, this software was previously known as DW TAP Computational Framework.

Phillips, Caleb↗

NRC Multiphysics Analysis Capability Deployment (FY2021--Part 1)

This report details progress and activities of Idaho National Laboratory (INL) on the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) project “Development and Modeling Support for Advanced Non-Light Water Reactors.” The tasks completed for this report are as follows: First, Task 1d: The net radiation transfer method was implemented into MOOSE for modeling reactor cavity cooling system geometries. RCCS models for two experiments were created: (1) Natural Convection Shutdown Heat Removal Test Facility (NSTF) experiment R022, and (2) HTTR VCS mockup. For validation, computed temperature distributions were compared to measured temperatures. Next, Task 4c: An algorithm for computing the pebble bed reactor equilibrium core isotopic com-position was developed and an initial version is implemented into the reactor multi-physics code Griffin. Initial results for a simplified axisymmetric pebble bed reactor are presented. Finally, Task 7: generation of a reference plant model for molten salt cooled pebble bed reactor.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Conceptual Machine Learning Strategy for Maintenance of Molten Salt Heat Exchanger

This report addresses the requirements of Milestone M3.2 Define maintenance scenarios and benchmarks. Development of digital twins (DT) for molten salt reactor (MSR) components is crucial for reducing operating and maintenance costs (O&M) and ensuring commercial viability of these reactors. Our focus is on development of DT for MSR primary system heat exchanger (HX), a critical component, the fault in which can reduce operating efficiency and force reactor shutdown. We are investigating feasibility of a conceptual DT of HX consisting of internal distributed temperature sensing with fiber optics and machine learning (ML) algorithms to detect and localize faults.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Machine Learning Classification of Molten Salt Heat Exchanger Channel Plugging using Synthetic Data

This report addresses the requirements of Milestone M3.4 AI capability to identify and predict maintenance events. Development of digital twins (DT) for molten salt reactor (MSR) components is crucial for reducing operating and maintenance costs (O&M) and ensuring commercial viability of these reactors. Our focus is on development of DT for MSR primary system heat exchanger (HX), a critical component, the fault in which can reduce operating efficiency and force reactor shutdown. We are investigating the feasibility of a conceptual DT of HX consisting of internal distributed temperature sensing with fiber optics and machine learning (ML) algorithms to detect and localize faults. To determine the optimal approach to detection and localization of channel plugging, we benchmark seven different ML models: Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Gaussian Naïve Bayes, Support Vector Machines (SVM), Decision Tree Classifier, Random Forest Tree Classifier, and Feed-Forward Neural Network. ML algorithms are benchmarked using synthetic HX plugging data generated with computational fluid dynamics COMSOL software, with added brown noise to represent experimental noise. We show that the best performance is obtained with the Decision Tree classifier.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Probabilistic Data Association for Orbital-Element Estimation Using Multistage Expectation–Maximization

Tracking space objects is important for managing space traffic and predicting collisions, but is difficult in part due to data association and orbit model uncertainty. Expectation–maximization (EM) is a commonly used tracking method that has not been widely considered for tracking space objects. The technique consists of iteratively computing data association probabilities with a set of current element estimates, and updating estimates of the elements by solving a nonlinear weighted least-squares regression problem where the weights are the data association probabilities. In this paper, we demonstrate the use of EM for probabilistic data association and orbital-element estimation by applying the technique to simulated data from two angles-only tracking scenarios. In both scenarios, EM provides correct data associations and accurate maximum likelihood estimates of orbital elements. One scenario considers tracking a single object in clutter and quantifies the improvement of the orbital-element estimates and data associations as the detection probability increases. However, standard application of EM requires knowing the number of objects or may fail when a large number of objects are present. To address these issues, this paper employs a multistage version of EM that is applicable when there are a large and possibly unknown number of objects.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Stochastic microstructural analysis of ceramic matrix composites using a high-fidelity multiscale framework

This paper presents a high-fidelity multiscale framework to simulate the mechanical behavior of ceramic matrix composites (CMCs), accounting for the complex micromorphology captured using detailed material characterization. First, high-resolution micrographs are obtained for the specific carbon fiber silicon-carbide-nitride matrix (C/SiNC) CMC to characterize the variability of the architectural features and manufacturing-induced defects at the microscale. An image processing algorithm is then used to precisely estimate the size and distribution of all subscale features and defects from the micrographs. The information is then used to generate a three-dimensional stochastic representative volume element (SRVE) to reconstruct microscale constituents accounting for the variability. As a result, the generated SRVEs are simulated using the high-fidelity generalized method of cells (HFGMC) micromechanics theory to investigate the effects of defects on the elastic properties of C/SiNC CMCs.

Ceramic Matrix Composites↗

Estimation of tunnel blockage from wall pressure signatures: A review and data correlation

A method is described for estimating low speed wind tunnel blockage, including model volume, bubble separation and viscous wake effects. A tunnel-centerline, source/sink distribution is derived from measured wall pressure signatures using fast algorithms to solve the inverse problem in three dimensions. Blockage may then be computed throughout the test volume. Correlations using scaled models or tests in two tunnels were made in all cases. In many cases model reference area exceeded 10% of the tunnel cross-sectional area. Good correlations were obtained regarding model surface pressures, lift drag and pitching moment. It is shown that blockage-induced velocity variations across the test section are relatively unimportant but axial gradients should be considered when model size is determined.

Hackett, J. E.↗

Role of passive remote sensors. Sensor System Panel report

Capabilities of present passive systems are described and the development of passive remote sensing systems for the more abundant tropospheric trace species is recommended. The combination of nadir-viewing spectrometers and solar occultation for tropospheric measurement of those gases having large stratospheric burdens is discussed. Development of a nadir-viewing instrument capable of obtaining continuous spectra in narrower bands is recommended. Gas filter radiometers for species specific measurements and development of a spectral survey instrument are discussed. Further development of aerosol retrieval algorithms, including polarization techniques, for obtaining aerosol thickness and size distributions is advised. Recommendations of specific investigations to be pursued are presented.

Source record↗

Reduction methods for nonlinear steady-state thermal analysis

Hybrid analysis techniques and a problem adaptive computational algorithm are presented for predicting the nonlinear steady state temperature distribution in structures and solids. In the proposed techniques, the structure is discretized by using the finite element method. The vector of nodal temperatures is then expressed as a linear combination of a small number of global temperature modes (or basis vectors), and the Bubnov Galerkin technique is used to compute the amplitudes of the global modes. The global temperature modes (or basis vectors) are chosen to include the various order derivatives of the nodal temperature vector with respect to preselected path parameter(s). The potential of the proposed reduction methods for solution of large scale, nonlinear thermal problems is discussed and the effectiveness of the methods is demonstrated by means of numerical examples, including steady state conduction, convection, and radiation modes of heat transfer.

Noor, A. K.↗

Advances in information extraction techniques

Sundry recent developments are presented which show some potential for affecting the automatic extraction of information from remotely sensed data. Pattern representations more abstract than Euclidean vector spaces offer some hope of unifying structural and decision theoretical approaches. The estimation of expected classification error rates is becoming more sophisticated and rigorous, but useful finite-sample results for nonparametric distributions appear unobtainable. Focus on computational complexity allows comparison of algorithms, while software engineering techniques reduce the effort necessary to develop and maintain complex image processing systems. Advances in computer systems architecture, commercial database technology, and man-machine communications should be closely monitored by the remote sensing community. A NASA-sponsored recommendation for research directions in mathematical pattern recognition are offered.

Nagy, G.↗

An overview of controls research on the NASA Langley Research Center grid

The NASA Langley Research Center has assembled a flexible grid on which control systems research can be accomplished on a two-dimensional structure that has many physically distributed sensors and actuators. The grid is a rectangular planar structure that is suspended by two cables attached to one edge so that out of plane vibrations are normal to gravity. There are six torque wheel actuators mounted to it so that torque is produced in the grid plane. Also, there are six rate gyros mounted to sense angular motion in the grid plane and eight accelerometers that measure linear acceleration normal to the grid plane. All components can be relocated to meet specific control system test requirements. Digital, analog, and hybrid control systems capability is provided in the apparatus. To date, research on this grid has been conducted in the areas of system and parameter identification, model estimation, distributed modal control, hierarchical adaptive control, and advanced redundancy management algorithms. The presentation overviews each technique and presents the most significant results generated for each area.

Montgomery, Raymond C.↗