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At least 1,135 records · Page 63

Modeling the impact of extreme summer drought on conventional and renewable generation capacity: Methods and a case study on the Eastern U.S. power system

Across recent years, there has been a growing prevalence of extreme weather events throughout the United States, posing significant challenges to the reliable and resilient operation of power systems. Specifically, summer droughts threaten to severely reduce available generation capacity to meet regional electricity demand, potentially leading to power outages. This underscores the importance of accurate resource adequacy (RA) assessment to ensure the reliable operation of the nation’s energy infrastructure. Accurately evaluating the usable capacity of regional generation fleets is a challenging undertaking due to the intricate interactions between power systems and hydro-climatic systems. Here, this paper proposes a systematic and analytical framework to evaluate the impacts of extreme summer drought events on the available capacity of various generating technologies, incorporating both meteorological and hydrologic factors. The framework provides detailed plant-level capacity derating models for hydroelectric, thermoelectric, and renewable power plants, facilitating evaluations with high temporal and spatial resolution. The application of the proposed impact assessment framework to the 2025 generation fleet of the real-world power system within the PJM and SERC regions of the United States yields insightful results. By analyzing the daily usable capacity of 6,055 at-risk generators across the study region, it shows that the summer capacity deration is most significant for hydroelectric and once-through thermal power plants, followed by recirculating thermal power plants and combustion turbines. In the event of the recurrence of the 2007 southeastern summer drought event in the near future, the generation fleet could experience a substantial reduction in available capacity, estimated at approximately 8.5 GW, compared to typical summer conditions. The sensitivity analysis reveals that the usable capacity of the generation fleet would suffer an even more significant decrease under conditions of increasingly severe summer droughts. The proposed approach and the findings of this study provide valuable methodologies and insights, empowering stakeholders to bolster the resilience of power systems against the potentially devastating effects of future extreme drought events.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Transit Rider/Travel Behavior Inventory Survey - Minneapolis-St. Paul Metro - 1990

The 1990 transit on-board survey aimed to update the 1988 survey, which was conducted as part of the Preliminary Engineering Study for the Hennepin County Light Rail Transit System. The 1988 study received Regional Transit Board funding, and survey results could be applied to a mode split model for projecting ridership on the proposed Light Rail Transit System. However, this survey was designed with the 1990 Travel Behavior Inventory in mind. The intention had been to update the 1988 survey in 1990 to be compatible with the 1990 Travel Behavior Inventory data. The results of the 1990 survey were used primarily to create a table of observed transit trips between each of the 1,200 traffic analysis zones in the region. This trip table was used to calibrate a new mode split model, which estimated future year travel by mode. The 1990 update survey focused on new routes and routes that had changed significantly since 1988. To preserve compatibility with the 1988 survey, the same survey questionnaire card was used, together with the same survey procedures for data collection. The procedures randomly sampled bus patrons during the transit trip, asking key questions about the patron and the transit trip. The survey card was intended for patrons to fill out quickly so it could be completed during the transit trip. The questions focused on conditions that have proven over time to significantly influence ridership. In all, a total of 20,126 valid survey records were processed. Adding surrogate trips, the survey data file is composed of a total of 27,159 trip records . About 10% of the records were filled out by persons who had answered more than one questionnaire.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Electrification Futures Study: Operational Analysis of U.S. Power Systems with Increased Electrification and Demand-Side Flexibility

This report provides a high-resolution U.S. national-scale power systems assessment of scenarios with widespread electrification using detailed grid simulations. We find that high electrification scenarios envisioned in the Electrification Futures Study can be operated at the hourly level to meet future increased levels of electrified demand and, under the most aggressive cases, with up to 66% of generation from wind and solar technologies. The analysis also examines the value of flexibility from demand by supporting system operability under high electrification and high renewable systems. Demand-side flexibility—especially flexibility from newly electrified loads—is found to enhance the operational efficiency by reducing VRE curtailment and increasing utilization of generators with lower operating costs. It can also enhance the ability of electrification to decarbonize the energy sector.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

High-Temperature Heat Transfer Fluid Circulator for Concentrating Solar Power Systems

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) plants with Thermal Energy Storage (TES), require compressors capable of circulating supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) heat transfer fluids (HTFs) at temperatures from 500 to 700+°C and pressures from 8 to 25 MPa (80 to 250 Bar or 1160 to 3626 psia) in order to achieve thermal-to-electric efficiencies >50%. A review of papers relating to SCO2 compressors reveals that in almost every case the conditions being considered either allow for cooling of the SCO2 working fluid or are considering operating conditions close to the critical point at a temperature and pressure of approximately 31°C and 1070 psi). While the technology reported in these papers is relevant to most turbomachinery, the current CSP gas pathway circulator operating pressures are well above the CO2 critical point and do not allow for cooling of the main HTF flow. The purpose of this paper was to describe the key system issues affecting the design of a HTF circulator that could be scaled from a small size research and proof of concept circulator compressor to sizes supporting power plants producint upwards of 100 to 300 Mega Watts of electrical power. Due to the high temperatures and pressures the research scale HTF circulator was designed to be hermetically sealed to prevent leakage of the super critical carbon dioxide to the environment. In order to achieve hermetic sealing the drive motor and centrifugal impeller were fully integrated in a single shaft system configuration. From a preliminary assessment of compression power as a function of operating speed and impeller diameter it was determined that a smaller, higher speed impeller would result in a more efficient circulator. However, due to the high pressure and corresponding density of the sCO2 coupled with high operating speeds, large windage losses (i.e., viscous drag on the high speed rotating shaft) would occur which could result in a substantial reduction in efficiency of the system. Therefore tradoff studies were complerted to identify the operating speeds and system component sizes to achieve high efficiency. Based on the trade studies, the final design was a 55 mm diamter compressor impeller operating at speeds to 85,000 rpm. The unit will be built and tested in the future. Key Words: Super Critical Carbon Dioxide, Heat Transfer Fluid, Turbomachinery, Compressor, Circulator, Critical Point, Concentrating Solar Power, Solar Energy

Super Critical Carbon Dioxide, Heat Transfer Fluid↗

MixPI: Mixed-time slicing path integral software for quantized molecular dynamics simulations

We introduce the MixPI software to implement path integral molecular dynamics (PIMD) simulations for the study of condensed phase systems where nuclear quantum effects (NQEs) are important. In contrast to existing PIMD simulation software, MixPI enables the implementation of mixed quantum–classical path integral simulations where only a subset of system degrees of freedom (dofs) are treated quantum mechanically in an extended phase space while the remaining dofs are described classically. We expect this software to be particularly useful for simulations of electron and proton transfer in condensed phase systems, as well as for the study of biological and material systems where only a handful of dofs contribute significantly to the observed NQEs. We demonstrate the use of MixPI in two different systems. The first is a simple water model where we implement a set of mixed quantum–classical simulations to compute average energy and radial distribution functions. We use these simulations to benchmark the effectiveness of MixPI and to demonstrate how it enables systematic investigation into the origin of observed NQEs. We then compute radial distribution functions for a system where MixPI is essential: a solvated metal (M 2+ ) cation described using an explicit quantized electron localized on an M 3+ ion in water.

chemical physics↗

A spectrophotometric study of the impact of pH and metal-to-ligand ratio on the speciation of the Pu( vi )-oxalate system

The oxalate ligand is prevalent throughout the nuclear fuel cycle. While the Pu(III)- and Pu(IV)-oxalate systems are well studied due to their use in plutonium metal and PuO 2 production, the effect of oxalate on Pu(VI) remains understudied. Absorption spectroscopy was employed to probe the solution behavior of the Pu(VI)-oxalate system as a function of pH (1, 3, 7) and metal-to-ligand ratio (M/L; 10 : 1–1 : 10). Peak changes in the UV-vis-NIR spectra were associated with the formation of multiple Pu(VI)-oxalate species with increasing oxalate concentration. Some insight into identification of species present in solution was gained from the limited Pu(VI)-oxalate literature and comparisons with the assumed isostructural U(VI)-oxalate system. A peak in the UV-vis-NIR spectrum at 839 nm, which corresponds to the formation of a 1 : 1 PuO 2 (C 2 O 4 )(aq) complex, was observed and used to determine the formation constant (log β° = 4.64 ± 0.06). A higher coordinated Pu(VI)-oxalate peak at 846 nm was tentatively assigned as the 1 : 2 complex PuO 2 (C 2 O 4 ) 2 2₋ and a preliminary formation constant was determined (log β° = 9.30 ± 0.08). In conclusion, the predominance of both complexes was shown in speciation diagrams calculated from the formation constants, illustrating the importance of considering the Pu(VI)-oxalate system in the nuclear fuel cycle.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Reciprocity relations in a biologically inspired nanomagnonic system with dipolar coupling

In this study, magnetosome chains in magnetotactic bacteria present ideal nanomagnonic model systems for studying collective resonance modes of dipolar-coupled single domain particles in relation to their spatial arrangement. Using microresonator-based ferromagnetic resonance (FMR) spectroscopy, electron microscopy, and micromagnetic modeling, we here provide insights into the complex magnonic activity within a single magnetosome chain. While the angular dependence of its FMR spectrum is dominated by twofold symmetry features due to the uniaxial anisotropy of linear chain segments, we also observed an unexpected behavior such as interrupted lines and flat bands due to the intricate geometrical details of this particular chain, such as a cross-like structural anomaly where a pair of particles is oriented perpendicular to the main axis of the chain and thus breaks the prevailing axial dipolar coupling symmetry. Such a cross junction formed by four particles exhibits interesting magnonic network properties. Notably, we observe reciprocity in the sense that the spectral response of one particle to an excitation of another one is identical to the response of the latter given an excitation of the former. Furthermore, we have identified that magnonic coupling between A and B can be facilitated via a dark state, as in magnonic stimulated Raman adiabatic passage, and that this dark-state coupling can be made non-reciprocal between A and B by breaking the symmetry of the spatial arrangement of the four particles.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A Framework for Addressing Hydropower Modeling Gaps in Electric Grid Planning and Operational Studies [Slides]

Realistic representation of hydropower in power system planning and operation studies is extremely important as it helps in avoiding under/over-estimation of the services the hydro power units can provide. A framework and tools have been developed to account for hydrological conditions and modify power system models accordingly. For example, HyDat – data and AI driven platform, that provides that data required for editing the power system model files Collaborative effort with V&R Energy. Also, development of POM based tools have been performed, a) Tool1: editing .raw files with realistic current and maximum hydrogeneration and redispatch of other units, and b) Tool2: Editing .dyr files to represent water head, current and maximum generation. Finally the framework, HASP framework combines HyDat and V&R energy tools to produce modified power system model files. Key Take-away points from contingency analysis studies include a) the number of critical contingencies increases as the water levels are reduced (70%>75%>80%), and b) both the extent and the quality of dynamic response of the Hydropower unit is different with varying water head levels.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Effects of Hydrogen on the Phase Relations in Fe-FeS at Pressures of Mars-Sized Bodies

The large radius, and therefore low density, of the Martian core found in the InSight mission data analysis highlights the importance of considering other light elements besides sulfur (S), which has been considered as the main light element for Mars for decades. Hydrogen (H) is abundant in the solar system and becomes siderophile at high pressures. Although Fe-S and Fe-H systems have been studied individually, the Fe-S-H ternary system has only been investigated up to 16 GPa and 1723 K. We have investigated the Fe-S-H system at pressures and temperatures (P-T) relevant to the cores of Mars-sized planets (up to 45 GPa and well above the melting temperature of FeS) in the laser-heated diamond anvil cell combined with in situ synchrotron X-ray diffraction. Here we found that sufficient hydrogen leads to the disappearance of Fe 3 S at high P-T. Instead, separate Fe-H and Fe-S phases appear at 23–35 GPa. At pressures above 35 GPa, we found a new phase appearing while Fe-S phases disappear and Fe-H phases remain. Our analysis indicates that the new phase likely contains both S and H in the crystal structure (tentatively FeS x H y where x ≈ 1 and y ≈ 1). The observed pressure-dependent changes in the phase relation may be important for understanding the structure and dynamics of the Martian core and the cores of Mars-sized exoplanets.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Quantification of storage required for preserving frequency security in wind‐integrated systems

Abstract The penetration of wind power generation into the power grid has been accelerated in recent times due to the aggressive emission targets set by governments and other regulatory authorities. Although wind power has the advantage of being environment‐friendly, wind as a resource is intermittent in nature. In addition, wind power contributes little inertia to the system as most wind turbines are connected to the grid via power electronic converters. These negative aspects of wind power pose serious challenges to the frequency security of power systems as penetration increases. In this work, an approach is proposed where an energy storage system (ESS) is used to mitigate frequency security issues of wind‐integrated systems. ESSs are well equipped to supply virtual inertia to the grid due to their fast‐acting nature, thus replenishing some of the energy storage capability of displaced inertial generation. In this work, a probabilistic approach is proposed to estimate the amount of inertia required by a system to ensure frequency security. Reduction in total system inertia due to the displacement of conventional synchronous generation by wind power generation is considered in this approach, while also taking into account the loss of inertia due to forced outages of conventional units. Monte Carlo simulation is employed for implementing the probabilistic estimation of system inertia. An ESS is then sized appropriately, using the system swing equation, to compensate for the lost inertia. The uncertainty associated with wind energy is modeled into the framework using an autoregressive moving average technique. Effects of increasing the system peak load and changing the wind profile on the expected system inertia are studied to illustrate various factors that might affect system frequency security. The proposed method is validated using the IEEE 39‐bus test system.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

A Sustainable Wind–Biogas Hybrid System for Remote Areas in Jordan: A Case Study of Mobile Hospital for a Zaatari Syrian Refugee Camp

Access to reliable and sustainable energy in remote areas remains a pressing global challenge, significantly affecting economic development and the quality of life. This study focuses on the implementation of fully off-grid wind–biogas hybrid power systems to address this issue, with a focus on remote healthcare camp facilities. This paper investigates the performance of a hybrid renewable energy system within the context of one of Jordan’s northern remote areas, the Zaatari Syrian Refugee Camp, assessing its efficiency and environmental impact by taking the Zaatari hospital as the case study. Simulations were conducted to evaluate system components, including wind turbines, biogas generators, and diesel generators. A comprehensive evaluation was conducted, encompassing both the operational efficiency of the system and its impact on the environment. This study also considered various scenarios (SC#), including grid availability and autonomy levels, to optimize system configurations. The techno-economic assessment employed the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) as a key performance indicator, and sensitivity analyses explored the impact of diesel costs and wind power fluctuations on the system. Additionally, environmental assessment was conducted to evaluate the environmental effects of hybrid systems, with a specific focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This investigation involved an examination of emissions in three different scenarios. The results indicate that the lowest LCOE that could be achieved was 0.0734 USD/kWh in SC#1 with 72.42% autonomy, whereas achieving 100% autonomy increased the LCOE to 0.1756 USD/kWh. Additionally, the results reveal that in scenarios SC#2 and SC#3, which have a higher proportion of diesel generator usage, there were elevated levels of NO x and CO 2 emissions. Conversely, in SC#1, which lacks diesel generators, emissions were notably lower. The proposed hybrid system demonstrates its potential to provide a reliable energy supply to healthcare facilities in remote regions, emphasizing both economic feasibility and environmental benefits. These findings contribute to informed decision making for sustainable energy solutions in similar contexts, promoting healthcare accessibility and environmental sustainability.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Data on the comprehensive first-principles diffusion study of the aluminum-magnesium system

First-principles calculation of diffusion coefficients between Mg and Al is investigated comprehensively using density functional theory (DFT). The effect of different uncertainty sources arising from first principles calculations has been investigated systematically. These sources include the diffusion model, energetic, entropic and attempt frequency calculations. Variation in self and impurity diffusion coefficients of Mg and Al in stable phases are quantified using different DFT settings and compared with the experiments. Using the optimal DFT settings, diffusion coefficients in metastable phases of Al and Mg are predicted. The dataset refers to “An integrated experimental and computational study of diffusion and atomic mobility of the aluminum-magnesium system” [1].

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DSO+T: Expanded Study Results DSO+T Study: Volume 5

The Distribution System Operator with Transactive (DSO+T) study investigates the engineering and economic performance of a transactive energy retail market coordinating a high penetration of customer-side flexible energy assets. The study seeks to answer whether such an implementation is cost effective for customers, recovers sufficient revenue for DSOs, and is equally applicable and beneficial to a range of flexible asset types, renewable generation scenarios, and market assumptions. This report volume provides a detailed set of results for the DSO+T study extending results presented in Volumes 1, 2, and 4. The engineering and economic performance of the transactive energy scheme is presented for two separate flexible asset deployments: flexible loads (HVAC units and residential water heaters) and behind-the-meter batteries. The results of each transactive case are compared to a business-as-usual case. These cases are subject to two different renewable generation scenarios, a moderate renewable generation scenario, representative of current levels of renewable generation deployment, and a future high renewables scenario, including the increased deployment of rooftop solar photovoltaic and electric vehicles. The transactive coordination scheme is shown to produce effective and stable control and decrease peak loads 9–15%. The resulting annual demand flexibility provides net economic savings of $3.3–5.0B per year for a region the size of Texas. Detailed analysis shows that net benefits were seen for a range of distribution system operator, customer, and flexible asset types. Both participating customer (with transactive flexible assets) and nonparticipating customers (with nonflexible assets) see reductions in annual utility bills and net annual energy expenses in the range of 10–16%.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Topological antiferromagnetic semimetal for spintronics: A case study of a layered square-net system EuZnSb 2

Here, we use the first-principles and effective Hamiltonian methods to study the electronic structure and magnetic properties of a recently synthesized layered antiferromagnetic square-net topological semimetal EuZnSb2 [Phys. Rev. Res. 2, 033462 (2020)]. The main message of the paper is that effects of small changes in the band structure produced by the magnetic ordering and changes in the orientation of the Néel vector are amplified in such transport properties as the spin Hall conductivity. We predict that the effects of the broken symmetry introduced by the ordering of the Néel vector, being very weak in the bulk, are pronounced in the surface electronic dispersion, suggesting that surface probes may be more suited to measure them. The coexistence of the magnetism with many other competing phases make this material interesting and possibly useful for quantum spintronics applications.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Impact of refrigerant undercharge faults on building indoor conditions and HVAC system operation in residential Buildings: A simulation study

This study investigates the impact of refrigerant undercharge on indoor temperature and HVAC system performance in residential buildings. Simulation models for typical residential buildings in Orlando, FL and Indianapolis, IN were developed using the ResStock database. A refrigerant undercharge fault model was then applied to the simulations with varying levels of fault intensity. The paper offers an extensive analysis, revealing that variations in supply air temperature, equipment runtime, and cooling energy consumption due to the level of refrigerant undercharge faults are notably significant on a summer representative day. Similarly, on a winter representative day, changes in supply air temperature and runtime are significant as well as changes in supplemental heat energy consumption. We find that occupants may remain oblivious to these faults during the cooling season, particularly when the HVAC system is oversized; in that case, supply air temperature data could help detect a fault. Another challenge is that during the heating season, when the supplemental heater operates, it is difficult to identify a refrigerant undercharge fault using only indoor and supply air temperature data. Finally, this study finds that supply air temperature, equipment runtime, and supplemental heater energy consumption data can help in detecting refrigerant undercharge faults.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗