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At least 1,135 records · Page 63

The value of wake steering wind farm flow control in US energy markets

Abstract. Wind farm flow control represents a category of control strategies for achieving wind-plant-level objectives, such as increasing wind plant power production and/or reducing structural loads, by mitigating the impact of wake interactions between wind turbines. Wake steering is a wind farm flow control technology in which specific turbines are misaligned with the wind to deflect their wakes away from downstream turbines, thus increasing overall wind plant power production. In addition to promising results from simulation studies, wake steering has been shown to successfully increase energy production through several recent field trials. However, to better understand the benefits of wind farm flow control strategies such as wake steering, the value of the additional energy to the electrical grid should be evaluated – for example, by considering the price of electricity when the additional energy is produced. In this study, we investigate the potential for wake steering to increase the value of wind plant energy production by combining model predictions of power gains using the FLOw Redirection and Induction in Steady State (FLORIS) engineering wind farm flow control tool with historical electricity price data for 15 existing US wind plants in four different electricity market regions. Specifically, for each wind plant, we use FLORIS to estimate power gains from wake steering for a time series of hourly wind speeds and wind directions spanning the years 2018–2020, obtained from the ERA5 reanalysis dataset. The modeled power gains are then correlated with hourly electricity prices for the nearest transmission node. Through this process we find that wake steering increases annual energy production (AEP) between 0.4 % and 1.7 %, depending on the wind plant, with average increases in potential annual revenue (i.e., annual revenue of production, ARP) 4 % higher than the AEP gains. For most wind plants, ARP gain was found to exceed AEP gain. But the ratio between ARP gain and AEP gain is greater for wind plants in regions with high wind penetration because electricity prices tend to be relatively higher during periods with below-rated wind plant power production, when wake losses occur and wake steering is active; for wind plants in the Southwest Power Pool – the region with the highest wind penetration analyzed (31 %) – the increase in ARP from wake steering is 11 % higher than the AEP gain. Consequently, we expect the value of wake steering, and other types of wind farm flow control, to increase as wind penetration continues to grow.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Offshore low-level jet observations and model representation using lidar buoy data off the California coast

Abstract. Low-level jets (LLJs) occur under a variety of atmospheric conditions and influence the available wind resource for wind energy projects. In 2020, lidar-mounted buoys owned by the US Department of Energy (DOE) were deployed off the California coast in two wind energy lease areas administered by the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management: Humboldt and Morro Bay. The wind profile observations from the lidars and collocated near-surface meteorological stations (4–240 m) provide valuable year-long analyses of offshore LLJ characteristics at heights relevant to wind turbines. At Humboldt, LLJs were associated with flow reversals and north-northeasterly winds, directions that are more aligned with terrain influences than the predominant northerly flow. At Morro Bay, coastal LLJs were observed primarily during northerly flow as opposed to the predominant north-northwesterly flow. LLJs were observed more frequently in colder seasons within the lowest 250 m a.s.l. (above sea level), in contrast with the summertime occurrence of the higher-altitude California coastal jet influenced by the North Pacific High, which typically occurs at heights of 300–400 m. The lidar buoy observations also validate LLJ representation in atmospheric models that estimate potential energy yield of offshore wind farms. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis version 5 (ERA5) was unsuccessful at identifying all observed LLJs at both buoy locations within the lowest 200 m. An extension of the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) 20-year wind resource dataset for the Outer Continental Shelf off the coast of California (CA20-Ext) yielded marginally greater captures of observed LLJs using the Mellor–Yamada–Nakanishi–Niino (MYNN) planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme than the 2023 National Offshore Wind dataset (NOW-23), which uses the Yonsei University (YSU) scheme. However, CA20-Ext also produced the most LLJ false alarms, which are instances when a model identified an LLJ but no LLJ was observed. CA20-Ext and NOW-23 exhibited a tendency to overestimate the duration of LLJ events and underestimate LLJ core heights.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Metrics tool for for evaluating atmospheric rivers in climate data

The metric tool code is designed for evaluating atmospheric rivers (AR) in climate models and reanalysis. It is python based, with built in metrics of AR frequency, AR precipitation, AR peak day, AR characteristics (width, length, area, latitude and longitude), and output of diagnostic plots. Is there

Dong, Bo↗

Air mass back trajectories during cold-air outbreaks (CAOs) at Andenes and Bear Island, Norway

For each CAO hour identified from interpolated sounding, a 36-hour back trajectory was calculated using the NOAA HYSPLIT model. We used three different meteorological data as inputs to HYSPLIT: GFS 0.25 deg, GDSA 1deg, and NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis. The trajectories were calculated at four elevations: 500 m, 1000 m, 2000 m, and 5000 m. Locations (latitudes and longitudes) for each hour of the trajectory were reported in the data files.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Back trajectories for TBS flights (c1-level)

The ARMTRAJ VAP provides four trajectory datasets initialized at ARM deployment coordinates and configured using ARM datasets. The four trajectory datasets support aerosol, cloud, and planetary boundary layer research. Trajectory calculations use the HYSPLIT model informed by the ERA5 reanalysis dataset at its highest spatial resolution (~31 km). For each sample in each of the four datasets, HYSPLIT will also be run at multiple starting locations surrounding ARM deployments, enabling an ensemble of runs from which the mean and variability (estimated uncertainty) of each sample's trajectory coordinates, thermodynamic properties, or other fields will be reported.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

E3SMv3 ‘Nephele’ Perturbed Parameter Ensemble Value-Added Product for ENA, SGP, NSA, and Global Means

Processed output from the E3SMv3 Nephele perturbed parameter ensemble (PPE). This product contains global means of present-day (using 2010 aerosol forcings) and preindustrial (using 1850 aerosol forcings) monthly and daily global-mean quantities, as well as hourly mean quantities at the E3SMv3 model grid cell closest to the ENA, SGP, and NSA ARM sites. In this PPE, the E3SMv3 model was run for 27 months in an atmosphere-only configuration with free tropospheric winds nudged to reanalysis. Each ensemble member represents a unique combination of 25 model parameter values (in the microphysics, convective microphysics, and aerosol schemes) that were perturbed randomly and simultaneously. The E3SMv3 default configuration is included as member 0. See https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.174907165.57104591/v1 (in review) for more information on the Nephele PPE and the perturbed parameters.

Model atmospheric temperature↗

A Climatology of Dust Deposition in the Upper Colorado River Basin for February-May 1980-2023

This data set is a long-term climatology of the average monthly total dust deposition, wet and dry, for the months of February-May 1980-2023 pulled from the MERRA-2 reanalysis data set over the Upper Colorado River Basin. This data set can be used to study the long-term spatiotemporal patterns of dust deposition, especially on snow. This data set is associated with the preprint article “A multi-decadal climatology of dust-on-snow from wet deposition in the Upper Colorado River Basin”.

dry_dust_deposition↗

Leaf Photosynthetic Parameters Vcmax and Jmax and Supporting Gas Exchange Data, Barrow, Alaska, 2012-2016

Photosynthetic parameters Vcmax and Jmax estimated from CO2 response curves and from light saturated photosynthesis using the one point method. Data were collected in Barrow 2012-2016 on 7 species - Arctophila fulva, Arctagrostis latifolia, Carex aquatilis, Dupontia fisheri, Eriophorum angustifolium, Petasites frigidus, Salix pulchra. To allow for future reanalysis of our data, and to maximize further use of it by the modelling community, all our data including our raw gas exchange data is available. This dataset contains 3 csv, 3 xlsx, and 1 pdf files.The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research.The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska.Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

North-South asymmetry of the neutral exosphere.

A systematic asymmetry in the neutral exosphere between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres has been identified for the first time after correcting for all other known systematic variations. This phenomenon was clearly detected from recent measurements of helium drag effects near 1000 km on the low mass-to-area ratio Explorer 19 satellite. From a reanalysis of all four NASA Langley Air Density Explorer satellites (Explorers 9, 19, 24, and 39), this systematic asymmetry was traced over an entire solar activity cycle. It was found that helium concentrations in local summer at high latitudes are generally more than 50% lower in the Southern Hemisphere than in the Northern Hemisphere. In addition, the increase in helium concentrations from summer to winter was found to be approximately 80% greater in the Southern Hemisphere than in the Northern Hemisphere.

Keating, G. M.↗

Automated procedure for design of wing structures to satisfy strength and flutter requirements

A pilot computer program was developed for the design of minimum mass wing structures under flutter, strength, and minimum gage constraints. The wing structure is idealized by finite elements, and second-order piston theory aerodynamics is used in the flutter calculation. Mathematical programing methods are used for the optimization. Computation times during the design process are reduced by three techniques. First, iterative analysis methods used to reduce significantly reanalysis times. Second, the number of design variables is kept small by not using a one-to-one correspondence between finite elements and design variables. Third, a technique for using approximate second derivatives with Newton's method for the optimization is incorporated. The program output is compared witH previous published results. It is found that some flutter characteristics, such as the flutter speed, can display discontinous dependence on the design variables (which are the thicknesses of the structural elements). It is concluded that it is undesirable to use such quantities in the formulation of the flutter constraint.

Haftka, R. T.↗

Design oriented structural analysis.

Recent developments in computer-aided structural design indicate a need for computerized structural analysis techniques which are efficient for the repetitive analysis of large complex structures undergoing design modifications. This paper describes such a technique based on a Taylor series approach. Results are presented for an idealized aircraft fuselage midsection to demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the technique. The results show that satisfactory analyses of modified structures may be obtained with the proposed technique, even for large changes in member sizes, for only a small fraction of the computational cost of a full reanalysis.

Storaasli, O. O.↗

Application of a substructuring technique to the problem of crack extension and closure

A substructuring technique, originally developed for the efficient reanalysis of structures, is incorporated into the methodology associated with the plastic analysis of structures. An existing finite-element computer program that accounts for elastic-plastic material behavior under cyclic loading was modified to account for changing kinematic constraint conditions - crack growth and intermittent contact of crack surfaces in two dimensional regions. Application of the analysis is presented for a problem of a centercrack panel to demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the technique.

Armen, H., Jr.↗

Optimal aeroelastic design of an oblique wing structure

A procedure is presented for determining the optimal cover panel thickness of a wing structure to meet specified strength and static aeroelastic divergence requirements for minimum weight. Efficient reanalysis techniques using discrete structural and aerodynamic methods are used in conjunction with redesign algorithms driven by optimality criteria. The optimality conditions for the divergence constraint are established, and expressions are obtained for derivatives of the dynamic pressure at divergence with respect to design variables. The procedure is applied to an oblique wing aircraft where strength and stiffness are critical design considerations for sizing the cover thickness of the wing structure.

Gwin, L. B.↗

Possible sources of the diffuse soft X-ray flux

A review is presented of recent arguments concerning the origin of the cosmic X-ray background in the energy region below 1 keV. Observational limitations on a possible hot intergalactic medium are discussed. Reanalysis of the Small Magellatic Cloud shadowing experiment of McCammon et al. (1971) using refined neutral hydrogen maps have confirmed the conclusion that at least 75% of the 1/4 keV flux detected from that direction must originate from regions closer than the SMC. Recent rocket observations have located three galactic soft X-ray emitting regions of large angular extent. Arguments are reviewed that the emission mechanism for this diffuse galactic flux must be thermal. It is suggested that a component of the interstellar medium is very hot and is responsible for both the soft X-ray background and the oxygen VI ions seen as interstellar absorption lines in the ultraviolet spectra of some early-type stars observed by the Copernicus satellite.

Bunner, A. N.↗

Evidence for the nonuniform distribution of microwave attenuating clouds in the atmosphere of Venus - Mariner 2

Data obtained by Mariner 2 in three microwave-radiometer scans of Venus are reanalyzed using model Venusian atmospheres based on observations by Veneras 4 through 8 as well as by Mariners 5 and 10. It is noted that a previous analysis of this microwave data revealed a CO2 percentage and surface pressures that were considerably lower than those measured in situ as well as a longitudinal temperature gradient that was much larger than that indicated by the more recent measurements. The reanalysis shows that the measured scan ratios require different average values of microwave-cloud opacity for each scan and that the anomalous temperature decrease observed in the south polar region of the terminator scan requires a very opaque microwave cloud between local zenith angles of 40 and 70 deg. It is suggested that a nonuniform microwave-attenuating cloud is located below the IR and visible cloud deck of Venus.

Jones, D. E.↗

Fireball end heights - A diagnostic for the structure of meteoric material

An earlier analysis of Prairie Network fireball trajectory data failed to discriminate between the varieties of meteoric materials that are thought to be present. The Lost City meteorite event offers another calibration of the fireball data and prompts a reanalysis intended to distinguish between ordinary chondritic meteorites and the more fragile early-type carbonaceous chondrites. The carbonaceous material is expected to ablate more readily and have shorter trajectories or higher end heights. Observational error and natural dispersion in the structures produce severe smoothing effects, and the end-height diagnostic is, in itself, not entirely convincing. However, after making a tentative division of the data, one can discern differences in orbits and beginning heights among the three end-height groups. These are consistent with expectations of the behavior of chondritic stones (group I), weak carbonaceous chondrites (group II), and still more fragile cometary material (group III). It is concluded that if the carbonaceous material occurs in reasonable abundance among the fireballs, it has been properly identified by this analysis.

Ceplecha, Z.↗